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MOTIVATION: Data is increasingly used for improvement and research in public health, especially administrative data such as that collected in electronic health records. Patients enter and exit these typically open-cohort datasets non-uniformly; this can render simple questions about incidence and prevalence time-consuming and with unnecessary variation between analyses. We therefore developed methods to automate analysis of incidence and prevalence in open cohort datasets, to improve transparency, productivity and reproducibility of analyses. IMPLEMENTATION: We provide both a code-free set of rules for incidence and prevalence that can be applied to any open cohort, and a python Command Line Interface implementation of these rules requiring python 3.9 or later. GENERAL FEATURES: The Command Line Interface is used to calculate incidence and point prevalence time series from open cohort data. The ruleset can be used in developing other implementations or can be rearranged to form other analytical questions such as period prevalence. AVAILABILITY: The command line interface is freely available from https://github.com/THINKINGGroup/analogy_publication .
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Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Humanos , Prevalencia , Incidencia , Estudios de Cohortes , Registros Electrónicos de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Programas Informáticos , Reproducibilidad de los ResultadosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Anxiety is a prevalent condition with a substantial associated burden of morbidity. Previous literature investigating effects of anxiety on mortality rates has found conflicting results. This is in part due to inadequate consideration of comorbid depression as a confounder and analysing sub-types of anxiety together. The objective of this study was to compare mortality risks in people diagnosed with anxiety. METHODS: We undertook a retrospective cohort study using the 'The Health Improvement Network' database (a UK primary care dataset) between 1st January 2005 to 1st January 2018. 345 903 patients with anxiety (exposed group) were matched to 691 449 unexposed patients. Cox regression analyses were used to adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality risk. RESULTS: During the study period 18 962 patients (5·5%) died in the exposed group compared to 32 288 (4·7%) in the unexposed group. This translated into a crude HR for all of 1·14 (95% CI 1·12 - 1·16), which remained significant after adjustment for key co-variates (including depression) giving a final HR of 1·05 (95% CI 1·03 - 1·07). When broken down by sub-type of anxiety (10·3% (35, 581) had phobias, 82·7% (385,882) has 'other' types, and 7·0% (24,262) had stress related anxiety) there were markedly different effect sizes. The adjusted model for the stress-related anxiety sub-type demonstrated a HR of 0·88 (95% CI 0·80 - 0·97). Conversely, the HR was increased in 'other' sub-types to 1·07 (95% CI 1·05 - 1·09) and non-significant in phobia types of anxiety. CONCLUSION: A complex relationship is found between anxiety and mortality. The presence of anxiety slightly increased the risk of death, but this risk varies depending on the type of anxiety diagnosed.
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Trastornos de Ansiedad , Ansiedad , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estudios de Cohortes , ComorbilidadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Early menopausal onset can increase adverse health outcomes in later life; meanwhile, reproductive experiences before menopause may affect its timing. Framed by life course methodology, the study tested for independent and interdependent associations between reproductive history (contraception, age at first birth, parity, terminated pregnancy) and socioeconomic factors (education, wealth, rural-urban residence, cigarette use, marital status, age at first cohabitation) with the occurrence of early menopause. METHODS: The study population was ever-married women aged 40-49 from the 2016 Demographic & Health Survey (N = 2748). Analytical methods involved probability- and age-adjusted multivariate logistic regression models and predictive margins. RESULTS: Connections between reproductive and socioeconomic characteristics were key dynamics associated with menopause in ages 40-49. Contraception, parity, and ages at first birth and marriage were found to be independently associated with menopause in this age group. Evidence of interactions was found where no contraceptive use was associated with higher probabilities of menopause for first-time mothers aged 12-15 and for women with no education. CONCLUSIONS: Studying Ugandan women's reproductive histories highlighted the importance of regional knowledge about menopause. Though we hypothesized that risks would correlate in a chain, the results pointed to risks clustering around contraception, suggesting that improving contraceptive use and education for women could increase menopausal age. Furthermore, the positive association between low parity and early menopause supports the biological mechanism of faster oocyte depletion; however, high-parity populations like Uganda tend to have a younger menopausal age than low-parity populations. Declining mortality in the demographic transition could explain these inverse associations.
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Anticoncepción , Acontecimientos que Cambian la Vida , Femenino , Fertilidad , Humanos , Menopausia , Dinámica Poblacional , Embarazo , Factores Socioeconómicos , UgandaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Exposure to domestic violence and abuse (DVA) is a global public health issue associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. There are few high-quality studies that assess the impact of DVA exposure on the development of atopic disease. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between exposure to DVA and the subsequent development of atopy. METHODS: In this population-based, retrospective, open cohort study, we identified women with no history of atopic disease between January 1, 1995 and September 30, 2019 from IQVIA Medical Research Data, an anonymized UK primary care dataset. We used clinical codes to identify exposed patients (those with a code identifying exposure to DVA; n = 13,852) and unexposed patients (n = 49,036), who were matched by age and deprivation quintile. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) (with 95% CIs) of developing atopic disease: asthma, atopic eczema, or allergic rhinoconjunctivitis. RESULTS: During the study period, 967 exposed women (incidence rate, 20.10/1,000 person-years) developed atopic disease, compared with 2,607 unexposed women (incidence rate, 13.24/1,000 person-years). This translated to an adjusted HR of 1.52 (95% CI, 1.41-1.64) accounting for key confounders; asthma (adjusted HR = 1.69; 95% CI, 1.44-1.99), atopic eczema (adjusted HR = 1.40; 95% CI, 1.26-1.56), and allergic rhinoconjunctivitis (adjusted HR = 1.63; 95% CI, 1.45-1.84). CONCLUSIONS: Domestic violence and abuse is a significant global public health issue. These results demonstrate a significant associated risk for developing atopic disease. Public health approaches to the prevention and detection of DVA are necessary to reduce the associated ill health burden.
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Asma , Conjuntivitis , Dermatitis Atópica , Hipersensibilidad , Humanos , Femenino , Dermatitis Atópica/epidemiología , Dermatitis Atópica/complicaciones , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hipersensibilidad/complicaciones , Asma/prevención & controlRESUMEN
Changes in research practice during the COVID-19 pandemic necessitates renewed attention to ethical protocols and reporting for data collection on sensitive topics. This review summarises the state of ethical reporting among studies collecting violence data during early stages of the pandemic. We systematically searched for journal publications from the start of the pandemic to November 2021, identifying 75 studies that collected primary data on violence against women and/or violence against children. We developed and applied a 14-item checklist of best practices to assess the transparency of ethics reporting and adherence to relevant global guidelines on violence research. Studies reported adhering to best practices on 31% of scored items. Reporting was highest for ethical clearance (87%) and informed consent/assent (84/83%) and lowest for whether measures to promote interviewer safety and support (3%), for facilitating referrals for minors and soliciting participant feedback were in place (both 0%). Violence studies employing primary data collection during COVID-19 reported on few ethical standards, obscuring stakeholder ability to enforce a 'do no harm' approach and to assess the reliability of findings. We offer recommendations and guidelines to improve future reporting and implementation of ethics within violence studies.
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COVID-19 , Pandemias , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Lista de Verificación , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Violencia/prevención & controlRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Post-viral syndromes (PVS), including Long COVID, are symptoms sustained from weeks to years following an acute viral infection. Non-pharmacological treatments for these symptoms are poorly understood. This review summarises the evidence for the effectiveness of non-pharmacological treatments for PVS. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review to evaluate the effectiveness of non-pharmacological interventions for PVS, as compared to either standard care, alternative non-pharmacological therapy, or placebo. The outcomes of interest were changes in symptoms, exercise capacity, quality of life (including mental health and wellbeing), and work capability. We searched five databases (Embase, MEDLINE, PsycINFO, CINAHL, MedRxiv) for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) published between 1 January 2001 to 29 October 2021. The relevant outcome data were extracted, the study quality was appraised using the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool, and the findings were synthesised narratively. FINDINGS: Overall, five studies of five different interventions (Pilates, music therapy, telerehabilitation, resistance exercise, neuromodulation) met the inclusion criteria. Aside from music-based intervention, all other selected interventions demonstrated some support in the management of PVS in some patients. INTERPRETATION: In this study, we observed a lack of robust evidence evaluating the non-pharmacological treatments for PVS, including Long COVID. Considering the prevalence of prolonged symptoms following acute viral infections, there is an urgent need for clinical trials evaluating the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of non-pharmacological treatments for patients with PVS. REGISTRATION: The study protocol was registered with PROSPERO [CRD42021282074] in October 2021 and published in BMJ Open in 2022.
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COVID-19 , Virosis , Humanos , Síndrome Post Agudo de COVID-19 , Salud MentalRESUMEN
The health impacts of intimate partner violence against women and childhood sexual abuse are not fully understood. Here we conducted a systematic review by comprehensively searching seven electronic databases for literature on intimate partner violence-associated and childhood sexual abuse-associated health effects. Following the burden of proof methodology, we evaluated the evidence strength linking intimate partner violence and/or childhood sexual abuse to health outcomes supported by at least three studies. Results indicated a moderate association of intimate partner violence with major depressive disorder and with maternal abortion and miscarriage (63% and 35% increased risk, respectively). HIV/AIDS, anxiety disorders and self-harm exhibited weak associations with intimate partner violence. Fifteen outcomes were evaluated for their relationship to childhood sexual abuse, which was shown to be moderately associated with alcohol use disorders and with self-harm (45% and 35% increased risk, respectively). Associations between childhood sexual abuse and 11 additional health outcomes, such as asthma and type 2 diabetes mellitus, were found to be weak. Although our understanding remains limited by data scarcity, these health impacts are larger in magnitude and more extensive than previously reported. Renewed efforts on violence prevention and evidence-based approaches that promote healing and ensure access to care are necessary.
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Aborto Espontáneo , Alcoholismo , Trastorno Depresivo Mayor , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Violencia de Pareja , Delitos Sexuales , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Embarazo , Alcoholismo/complicaciones , Alcoholismo/epidemiología , Prevalencia , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
Aims: Periodontal disease and domestic abuse (DA) are significant public health problems. Previous cross-sectional evidence indicates an association between DA exposure and development of periodontal disease. There have been no large-scale cohort studies exploring this relationship in a UK-setting. Our aim was to conduct a population-based retrospective open cohort study to explore the association between DA exposure and the subsequent development of general practitioner (GP)-coded periodontal disease. Materials and methods: We undertook a retrospective open-cohort study using the IQVIA Medical Research Database (IMRD) UK database between the 1st January 1995 to 31st January 2021. Women (aged 18 years and over) exposed to DA were matched by age, deprivation, and smoking status to up to 4 unexposed women, all of whom had no pre-existing record of periodontal disease. Cox regression analysis was used to calculate crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) to describe the risk of developing periodontal disease in the exposed group. Results: 23429 exposed patients were matched to 69815 unexposed patients. During the study period, 78 exposed patients had developed GP-recorded periodontal disease compared to 154 in the unexposed group, translating to an IR of 94.18 per 100,000 person years (py) and 54.67 per 100,000 py respectively. Following adjustment for key covariates, this translated to an aHR of 1.74 (95% CI 1.31-2.32), which was robust during our sensitivity analysis. Conclusions: Our results provide further evidence that DA exposure is associated with increased risk of developing periodontal disease. There is a need for swift implementation of public health policies to improve surveillance, reporting, and prevention of DA.
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Background: Childhood maltreatment affects over one in three children worldwide and is associated with a substantial disease burden. This study explores the association between childhood maltreatment and the development of atopic disease. Methods: We did a population-based retrospective matched open cohort study using participating general practices between 1st January 1995 and 30th September 2019. Read codes were utilised to identify patients exposed to childhood maltreatment (either suspected or confirmed) who were matched to up to four unexposed patients by age, sex, general practice, and Townsend deprivation quintile. Cox regression analysis was used to calculate adjusted (age, sex, Townsend deprivation quintile) hazard ratios (aHR) for development of atopy (asthma, atopic dermatitis, or allergic rhino conjunctivitis) during follow up in those without atopy at study entry. Results: 183,897 exposed patients were matched to 621,699 unexposed patients. During the follow up period, 18,555 patients (incidence rate (IR) 28.18 per 1000 person-years) in the exposed group developed atopic disease compared to the 68,368 (IR 23.58 per 1000 person-years) in the unexposed group, translating to an adjusted HR of 1.14 (95% CI 1.12-1.15). Notably, the risk of developing asthma was aHR 1.42 (95% CI 1.37-1.46). Associations were more pronounced in analyses restricted to females and confirmed cases of childhood maltreatment only. Interpretation: Considering the substantial health burden associated with childhood maltreatment, it is important to implement public health policies aimed at enhancing: 1) detection and primary prevention of childhood maltreatment, 2) secondary and tertiary prevention interventions to reduce the burden of ill health associated with exposure to maltreatment and 3) clinical awareness of such associations and subsequent knowledge of management. Funding: None.
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INTRODUCTION: Exposure to gender-based violence (GBV) and violence against children (VAC) can result in substantial morbidity and mortality. Previous reviews of health outcomes associated with GBV and VAC have focused on limited definitions of exposure to violence (ie, intimate partner violence) and often investigate associations only with predefined health outcomes. In this protocol, we describe a systematic review and meta-analysis for a comprehensive assessment of the impact of violence exposure on health outcomes and health-related risk factors across the life-course. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, Global Index Medicus, Cochrane and Web of Science Core Collection) will be searched from 1 January 1970 to 30 September 2021 and searches updated to the current date prior to final preparation of results. Reviewers will first screen titles and abstracts, and eligible articles will then be full-text screened and accepted should they meet all inclusion criteria. Data will be extracted using a standardised form with fields to capture study characteristics and estimates of association between violence exposure and health outcomes. Individual study quality will be assessed via six risk of bias criteria. For exposure-outcome pairs with sufficient data, evidence will be synthesised via a meta-regression-Bayesian, regularised, trimmed model and confidence in the cumulative evidence assessed via the burden of proof risk function. Where possible, variations in associations by subgroup, that is, age, sex or gender, will be explored. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Formal ethical approval is not required. Findings from this review will be used to inform improved estimation of GBV and VAC within the Global Burden of Disease Study. The review has been undertaken in conjunction with the Lancet Commission on GBV and the Maltreatment of Young People with the aim of providing new data insights for a report on the global response to violence. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42022299831.