Low-intensity daily smoking and mortality risk among Mexican women.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between low-intensity smoking (10 or less cigarettes per day) and all-cause and cause-specific mortality risk among women who smoke and by age at cessation among women who previously smoked. METHODS: In this study, 104 717 female participants of the Mexican Teachers' Cohort Study were categorised according to self-reported smoking status at baseline (2006/2008) and were followed for mortality through 2019. We estimated HRs and 95% CIs for all-cause and cause-specific mortality using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models with age as the underlying time metric. RESULTS: Smoking as few as one to two cigarettes per day was associated with higher mortality risk for all causes (HR: 1.36; 95% CI 1.10 to 1.67) and all cancers (HR: 1.46; 95% CI 1.05 to 2.02), compared with never smoking. Similarly, slightly higher HRs were observed among participants smoking ≥3 cigarettes per day (all causes HR: 1.43; 95% CI 1.19 to 1.70; all cancers HR: 1.48; 95% CI 1.10 to 1.97; cardiovascular disease HR: 1.58; 95% CI 1.09 to 2.28). CONCLUSIONS: In this large study of Mexican women, low-intensity smoking was associated with higher mortality risk for all causes and all cancers. Interventions are needed to promote cessation among women who smoke at low-intensity in Mexico, regardless of how few cigarettes they smoke per day.

Disparities on prostate cancer survival in Mexico: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate prostate cancer (PC) survival in Mexico and explore survival disparities according to the marginalization level of residence place. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A nationwide administrative claims database (4 110 men) whose PC treatment was financed by Seguro Popular between 2012-2016, was cross-linked to the National Mortality Registry up to December 2019. Patients were classified according to their oncological risk at diagnosis and the marginalization level of the residence municipality. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate multivariable survival functions. RESULTS: Five-years PC survival (69%; 95%CI: 68,71%) ranged from 72% to 54% at very low and very high marginalization, respectively (p for trend<0.001). The lowest PC survival was observed in men with high-risk PC (47%; 95%CI: 33,66%) residents in very high marginalization municipalities. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, PC survival was lower than that reported in other Latin American countries. The distribution of oncologic risk and survival differences across marginalization levels suggests limited early detection and cancer health disparities.

Supervivencia y factores asociados en pacientes con cáncer cervicouterino atendidas por el Seguro Popular en México.

 Objetivo. Estimar la supervivencia a cinco años por cáncer cervicouterino y sus factores asociados en pacientes mexica-nas, cuya atención fue financiada por el Fondo de Protección contra Gastos Catastróficos (FPGC) del Seguro Popular durante el periodo 2006-2014. Material y métodos. Se analizó la base de datos de las pacientes mencionadas y se vinculó con el Subsistema Epidemiológico y Estadístico de Defunciones. Se hizo un análisis de supervivencia a cinco años por etapa clínica y factores asociados, mediante el método de Kaplan-Meier y los modelos de riesgos proporcionales de Cox. Resultados. La supervivencia global por cáncer cervicouterino a los cinco años fue de 68.5%. Los factores asociados fueron la etapa clínica (locoregional [HR=2.8 IC95% HR: 2.6,3.0] y metastásica [HR=5.4 IC95% HR: 4.9,5.9]) com-parada con la etapa temprana y la edad (HR=1.003 IC95% HR:1.001,1.004). Conclusiones. Las mujeres que lograron el acceso a la atención del cáncer cervical financiadas por el FPGC tuvieron una supervivencia ligeramente superior a las reportadas en otros estudios.

Sleep duration and incident frailty: The Rural Frailty Study.

BACKGROUND: The association between sleep duration and frailty remains unconclusive since most of the studies have been cross-sectional. Therefore, this study aimed to analyze the association between sleep duration, sleep complaints, and incident frailty. METHODS: A community-based cohort study from rural areas in Mexico with 309 older adults aged 70 and over. Data from waves two and three of the Rural Frailty Study were used. We operationalized the Fried frailty phenotype to describe prevalent and incident frailty at two consecutive waves. Sleep duration was classified as: ≤ 5 h, 6 h, 7-8 h, and ≥ 9 h; and the self-reported sleep complaints as a dichotomous variable. Analyses were performed using Poison regression models. RESULTS: The average age was 76.2 years and 55.3% were women; the incidence of frailty was 30.4%; 13.3% slept ≤5 h, and 38.5% ≥ 9 h. Compared with the group that slept 7-8 h, the risk of frailty at 4.4 years of follow-up was significantly higher among those who slept ≤5 h (adjusted RR 1.80, 95% CI: 1.04-3.11) and among those who slept ≥9 h (adjusted RR 1.69, 95% CI: 1.10-2.58). Sleep complaints were not associated with incident frailty (adjusted RR 1.41, 95% CI: 0.94-2.12). CONCLUSIONS: Our results show that short and long sleep duration are associated with the incidence of frailty. Studies that objectively evaluate sleep duration are needed to clarify whether meeting the recommended hours of sleep decreases frailty incidence.

Evaluation of Mexico's low cancer mortality using two national death registries.

OBJECTIVE: To compare cancer mortality rates in Mexico from two national death registries that independently code and attribute cause of death. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We compared 5-year age-standardized total cancer and sitespecific cancer mortality rates (2010-2014) from Mexico's official death registry with a death registry from a disease surveillance system. We obtained age-adjusted mortality rates and 95% confidence intervals using the direct method and World Population Prospects 2010 as a standard. RESULTS: Cancer mortality estimates for Mexico were minimally affected by the use of two distinct death certificate-coding procedures. Cancer mortality was 73.3 for Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía and 72.7 for System for Epidemiologic Death Statistics per 100 000 women. The corresponding estimates for men were 68.3 and 67.8. CONCLUSIONS: Mexico's low cancer mortality is unlikely to be explained by death certificate processing. Further investigations into the process of death certification and cancer registration should be conducted in Mexico.

OBJETIVO: Comparar la mortalidad por cáncer en México a partir de dos registros de mortalidad nacionales. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Se comparó la tasa de mortalidad estandarizada por edad para cáncer total y por sitio específico (2010-2014) utilizando dos fuentes con diferentes métodos de procesamiento de información. Se obtuvieron tasas estandarizadas e intervalos de confianza al 95% utilizando el método directo y como población estándar el World Population Prospects 2010. RESULTADOS: Las tasas de mortalidad no se vieron afectadas por métodos distintos para procesar información. La mortalidad por cáncer en mujeres fue de 73.3 por cada 100 000 en el Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía y 72.7 en el Subsistema Epidemiológico y Estadístico de Defunciones. Las estimaciones para hombres fueron 68.3 and 67.8, respectivamente. CONCLUSIONES: Es poco probable que la baja mortalidad por cáncer en México se explique por el procesamiento de la información. Es necesario realizar estudios enfocados en el proceso de certificación y registro de muerte por cáncer.

Effect of care-delivery delay on the survival of Mexican women with breast cancer.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the effect of care-delivery delays on survival among women with breast cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 854 women attending 11 hospitals from 2007-2009 was carried out. Kaplan-Meier estimators and a Cox proportional-risk model were employed. RESULTS: A total of 10.5% of cases were diagnosed in stage I. 82% of sampled women delayed care for more than 67 days between noticing a symptom and initiating treatment. The median time from receipt of results of the mammography to biopsy was 31 days (IQR 14-56). Compared with those who were in quartile I (Q1), survival was lower among those in Q3 and Q4 (HR=1.68, 95%CI 0.94-3.00; HR=1.76, 95% CI 1.04-2.98, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: To increase survival, it is suggested that the time between receipt of the mammography results and diagnostic biopsy be reduced.

Utilization of hospital services for cancer care in Mexico.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the utilization of hospital services for cancer care by location, sex, age group and care institution in Mexico from 2004-2013. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Time series study from 2004-2013, based on administrative records of hospital discharges for cancer in the health sector, including the private sector. RESULTS: The utilization rate increased significantly from 290 to 360 per 100 000 inhabitants. A total of 62% of hospital discharges related to malignant tumors were concentrated in eight types of cancer. Leukemia, breast and colorectal cancers almost doubled in the period. While lung cancer showed a decline among men, it increased among women. A total of 63.1% of cancer patients were women, and 81% of cases occurred in the public sector. From 2011, the Ministry of Health was the main provider of hospital services for cancer care. CONCLUSIONS: Increases in utilization were mainly found in the Ministry of Health, quite possibly as a result of the implementation of universal insurance.

Implementation and validation of a probabilistic linkage method for population databases without identification variables.

Linking records of the same person from different sources makes it possible to build administrative cohorts and perform longitudinal analyzes, as an alternative to traditional cohort studies, and have important practical implications in producing knowledge in public health. We implemented the Fellegi-Sunter probabilistic linkage method to a sample of records from the Mexican Automated System for Hospital Discharges and the Statistical and Epidemiological System for Deaths and evaluated its performance. The records in each source were randomly divided into a training sample (25%) and a validation sample (75%). We evaluated different types of blocking in terms of complexity reduction and pairs completeness, and record linkage in terms of sensitivity and positive predictive value. In the validation sample, a blocking scheme based on trigrams of the full name achieved 95.76% pairs completeness and 99.9996% complexity reduction. After pairs classification, we achieved a sensitivity of 90.72% and a positive predictive value of 97.10% in the validation sample. Both values were about one percentage point higher than that obtained in the automatic classification without clerical review of potential pairs. We concluded that the linkage algorithm achieved a good performance in terms of sensitivity and positive predictive value and can be used to build administrative cohorts for the epidemiological analysis of populations with records in health information systems.

Acute Lymphoblastic Leukaemia Survival in Children Covered by Seguro Popular in Mexico: A National Comprehensive Analysis 2005-2017.

The aim of the study was to measure survival of children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) under Mexico's public health insurance for the population treated under Seguro Popular. A retrospective cohort study using claims data from Mexico's Seguro Popular program, covering cancer treatment from 2005 to 2015 was conducted. Overall 5-year national and state-specific survival for children with ALL across Mexico who initiated cancer treatment under this program was estimated. From 2005 to 2015, 8,977 children with ALL initiated treatment under Seguro Popular. Under this financing scheme, the annual number of treated children doubled from 535 in 2005 to 1,070 in 2015. The estimates for 5-year overall survival of 61.8% (95%CI 60.8, 62.9) remained constant over time. We observed wide gaps in risk-standardized 5-year overall survival among states ranging from 74.7% to 43.7%. We found a higher risk of mortality for children who received treatment in a non-pediatric specialty hospital (Hazards Ratio, HR = 1.18; 95%CI 1.09, 1.26), facilities without a pediatric oncology/hematology specialist (HR = 2.17; 95%CI 1.62, 2.90), and hospitals with low patient volume (HR = 1.22; 95%CI 1.13, 1.32). In a decade Mexico's Seguro Popular doubled access to ALL treatment for covered children and by 2015 financed the vast majority of estimated ALL cases for that population. While some progress in ALL survival may have been achieved, nationwide 5-year overall survival did not improve over time and did not achieve levels found in comparable countries. Our results provide lessons for Mexico's evolving health system and for countries moving toward universal health coverage.

Neighborhood features and depression in Mexican older adults: A longitudinal analysis based on the study on global AGEing and adult health (SAGE), waves 1 and 2 (2009-2014).

A growing body of literature shows that neighborhood characteristics influence older adults' mental health. Therefore, the aim of this study was to examine the association between structural and social characteristics of the neighborhood, and depression in Mexican older adults. A longitudinal study was conducted based on waves 1 (2009-2010) and 2 (2014) of the Mexican sample from the Study on global AGEing and adult health (SAGE). A street-network buffer around each participant's household was used to define neighborhood, so that built environment and social characteristics were assessed within it. Depression was ascertained by using an algorithm based on the Composite International Diagnostic Interview. In the analysis, multilevel logistic regression models were constructed separately for each built and social environments measurement, adjusted for socioeconomic, demographic and health-related covariates, and stratified by area of residence (urban versus rural). The results showed that a length of space between 15-45 meters restricted to vehicles was significantly associated with a lower risk of depression in older adults from the urban area (OR: 0.44; IC 95% 0.23-0.83) and the protective association appeared to be larger with increasing space with this restriction, although it lacked significance. Contrarily, the built environment measures were not predictive of depression in the rural setting. On the other hand, none of the variables from the social environment had a significant association, although safety appeared to behave as a risk factor in the overall (OR: 1.48; CI 95% 0.96-2.30; p = 0.08) and rural (OR: 3.44; CI 95% 0.95-12.45; p = 0.06) samples, as it reached marginal significance. Research about neighborhood effects on older adults' mental health is an emergent field that has shown that depression might be treated not only from the individual-level, but also from the neighborhood-level. Additionally, further research is needed, especially in low- and middle-income countries, to help guide neighborhood policies.

Supervivencia y factores asociados en pacientes con cáncer cervicouterino atendidas por el Seguro Popular en México / Survival analysis and associated factors in patients with cervical cancer financed by the Seguro Popular in Mexico

Resumen: Objetivo: Estimar la supervivencia a cinco años por cáncer cervicouterino y sus factores asociados en pacientes mexicanas, cuya atención fue financiada por el Fondo de Protección contra Gastos Catastróficos (FPGC) del Seguro Popular durante el periodo 2006-2014. Material y métodos: Se analizó la base de datos de las pacientes mencionadas y se vinculó con el Subsistema Epidemiológico y Estadístico de Defunciones. Se hizo un análisis de supervivencia a cinco años por etapa clínica y factores asociados, mediante el método de Kaplan-Meier y los modelos de riesgos proporcionales de Cox. Resultados: La supervivencia global por cáncer cervicouterino a los cinco años fue de 68.5%. Los factores asociados fueron la etapa clínica (locoregional [HR=2.8 IC95% HR: 2.6,3.0] y metastásica [HR=5.4 IC95% HR: 4.9,5.9]) comparada con la etapa temprana y la edad (HR=1.003 IC95% HR:1.001,1.004). Conclusiones: Las mujeres que lograron el acceso a la atención del cáncer cervical financiadas por el FPGC tuvieron una supervivencia ligeramente superior a las reportadas en otros estudios.

Abstract: Objective: Estimate five-year survival from cervical cancer and associated factors in Mexican patients financed by Seguro Popular during the period 2006-2014. Materials and methods: We analyzed the database of patients financed by the Catastrophic Expenses Protection Fund and linked it to the Statistical and Epidemiological System of mortality. We performed a five-year survival analysis by clinical stage and associated factors, using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models. Results: Overall survival for cervical cancer at five years was 68.5%. The associated factors were the clinical stage: locoregional (HR=2.8 CI95% HR: 2.6,3.0) and metastatic (HR=5.4 CI95% HR: 4.9,5.9) compared to early stage and age (HR=1.003 CI95% HR:1.001,1.004). Conclusions: Women who gained access to Catastrophic Expenses Protection Fund cervical cancer care had similar survival than that reported in other studies.

The Mexican Cycle of Suicide: A National Analysis of Seasonality, 2000-2013.

INTRODUCTION: Suicide is a complex and multifactorial phenomenon with growing importance to public health. An increase in its occurrence has been observed in Mexico over the past 10 years. The present article analyzes the secular trend in suicide at the national level between the years 2000 and 2013. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All suicides during the study period (n = 64,298, of which 82.11% were men) were characterized using a spectral decomposition of the time series and a wavelet analysis to evaluate the effect of seasonal changes, type of area (urban versus rural) and sex. RESULTS: A seasonal pattern was observed with statistically significant cycles every 12 months, where peaks were identified in May but only for men in urban zones as of the year 2007. In addition, specific days of the year were found to have a higher frequency of suicides, which coincided with holidays (New Year, Mother's Day, Mexican Independence Day and Christmas). CONCLUSION: A wavelet analysis can be used to decompose complex time series. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first application of this technique to the study of suicides in developing countries. This analysis enabled identifying a seasonal pattern among urban men in Mexico. The identification of seasonal patterns can help to create primary prevention strategies, increase the dissemination of crisis intervention strategies and promote mental health. These strategies could be emphasized during specific periods of the year and directed towards profiles with a higher risk.

Evaluation of Mexico's low cancer mortality using two national death registries / Evaluación de la baja mortalidad por cáncer en México a partir de dos registros nacionales

Abstract: Objective: To compare cancer mortality rates in Mexico from two national death registries that independently code and attribute cause of death. Materials and methods: We compared 5-year age-standardized total cancer and site-specific cancer mortality rates (2010-2014) from Mexico's official death registry with a death registry from a disease surveillance system. We obtained age-adjusted mortality rates and 95% confidence intervals using the direct method and World Population Prospects 2010 as a standard. Results: Cancer mortality estimates for Mexico were minimally affected by the use of two distinct death certificate-coding procedures. Cancer mortality was 73.3 forInstituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografíaand 72.7 for System for Epidemiolo gic Death Statistics per 100 000 women. The corresponding estimates for men were 68.3 and 67.8. Conclusion: Mexico's low cancer mortality is unlikely to be explained by death certificate processing. Further investigations into the process of death certification and cancer registration should be conducted in Mexico.

Resumen: Objetivo: Comparar la mortalidad por cáncer en México a partir de dos registros de mortalidad nacionales. Material y métodos: Se comparó la tasa de mortalidad estandarizada por edad para cáncer total y por sitio específico (2010-2014) utilizando dos fuentes con diferentes métodos de procesamiento de información. Se obtuvieron tasas estandarizadas e intervalos de confianza al 95% utilizando el método directo y como población estándar el World Population Prospects 2010. Resultados: Las tasas de mortalidad no se vieron afectadas por métodos distintos para procesar información. La mortalidad por cáncer en mujeres fue de 73.3 por cada 100 000 en el Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía y 72.7 en el Subsistema Epidemiológico y Estadístico de Defunciones. Las estimaciones para hombres fueron 68.3 and 67.8, respectivamente. Conclusión: Es poco probable que la baja mortalidad por cáncer en México se explique por el procesamiento de la información. Es necesario realizar estudios enfocados en el proceso de certificación y registro de muerte por cáncer.

Effect of care-delivery delay on the survival of Mexican women with breast cancer / Efecto de la demora en la atención sobre la supervivencia de mujeres mexicanas con cáncer de mama

Abstract Objective: To estimate the effect of care-delivery delays on survival among women with breast cancer. Materials and methods: A retrospective analysis of 854 women attending 11 hospitals from 2007-2009 was carried out. Kaplan-Meier estimators and a Cox proportional-risk model were employed. Results: A total of 10.5% of cases were diagnosed in stage I. 82% of sampled women delayed care for more than 67 days between noticing a symptom and initiating treatment. The median time from receipt of results of the mammography to biopsy was 31 days (IQR 14-56). Compared with those who were in quartile I (Q1), survival was lower among those in Q3 and Q4 (HR=1.68, 95%CI 0.94-3.00; HR=1.76, 95% CI 1.04-2.98, respectively). Conclusions: To increase survival, it is suggested that the time between receipt of the mammography results and diagnostic biopsy be reduced.

Resumen Objetivo: Estimar el efecto del tiempo de atención sobre la supervivencia de mujeres con cáncer de mama. Material y métodos: Se realizó el análisis retrospectivo de 854 mujeres atendidas en 11 hospitales entre 2007 y 2009. Se emplearon estimadores de Kaplan-Meier y un modelo de riesgos proporcionales de Cox. Resultados: 10.5% se diagnosticó en etapa I, mientras que 82.1% demoró más de 67 días entre la percepción de un síntoma y el inicio del tratamiento. La mediana del tiempo desde la entrega de los resultados de la mastografía hasta la biopsia fue de 31 días (RIQ 14-56); en comparación con quienes se encontraron en el cuartil 1 (Q1), la supervivencia fue menor en aquellas que se encontraron en los Q3 y Q4 (HR=1.68, IC95% 0.94-3.00; HR=1.76, IC95% 1.04-2.98, respectivamente). Conclusiones: Se sugiere reducir el tiempo desde la entrega de los resultados de la mastografía a la biopsia diagnóstica para incrementar la supervivencia.

Utilization of hospital services for cancer care in Mexico / Utilización de los servicios hospitalarios para la atención del cáncer en México

Abstract: Objective: To analyze the utilization of hospital services for cancer care by location, sex, age group and care institution in Mexico from 2004-2013. Materials and methods: Time series study from 2004-2013, based on administrative records of hospital discharges for cancer in the health sector, including the private sector. Results: The utilization rate increased significantly from 290 to 360 per 100 000 inhabitants. A total of 62% of hospital discharges related to malignant tumors were concentrated in eight types of cancer. Leukemia, breast and colorectal cancers almost doubled in the period. While lung cancer showed a decline among men, it increased among women. A total of 63.1% of cancer patients were women, and 81% of cases occurred in the public sector. From 2011, the Ministry of Health was the main provider of hospital services for cancer care. Conclusions: Increases in utilization were mainly found in the Ministry of Health, quite possibly as a result of the implementation of universal insurance.

Resumen: Objetivo: Analizar la utilización de servicios hospitalarios para la atención del cáncer según localización, sexo, grupo de edad e institución de atención en México de 2004 a 2013. Material y métodos: Estudio de serie de tiempo de 2004-2013, de registros administrativos de egresos hospitalarios por cáncer del sector salud, incluyendo el sector privado. Resultados: La tasa de utilización incrementó significativamente de 290 a 360 por 100000 habitantes. El 62% de egresos hospitalarios por tumores malignos se concentró en ocho tipos. La leucemia, cáncer de mama y de colon y recto casi se duplicaron en el periodo. El cáncer de pulmón muestra un descenso en hombres mientras que en las mujeres sigue aumentando; 63.1% fueron mujeres. El 81% ocurrió en el sector público. A partir de 2011 la Secretaría de Salud fue el principal productor de servicios hospitalarios para la atención del cáncer. Conclusiones: El aumento en la utilización se dio principalmente en la Secretaría de Salud muy posiblemente como resultado de la implementación del Seguro Popular.