Transcriptomic signatures of chronic active antibody-mediated rejection deciphered by RNA sequencing of human kidney allografts.

Natural killer (NK) cells mediate spontaneous cell-mediated cytotoxicity and antibody-dependent cell-mediated cytotoxicity. This dual functionality could enable their participation in chronic active antibody-mediated rejection (CA-ABMR). Earlier microarray profiling studies have not subcategorized antibody-mediated rejection into CA-ABMR and active-ABMR, and the gene expression pattern of CA-ABMR has not been compared with that of T cell-mediated rejection (TCMR). To fill these gaps, we RNA sequenced human kidney allograft biopsies categorized as CA-ABMR, active-ABMR, TCMR, or No Rejection (NR). Among the 15,910 genes identified in the biopsies, 60, 114, and 231 genes were uniquely overexpressed in CA-ABMR, TCMR, and active-ABMR, respectively; compared to NR, 50 genes were shared between CA-ABMR and active-ABMR, and 164 genes between CA-ABMR and TCMR. The overexpressed genes were annotated to NK cells and T cells in CA-ABMR and TCMR, and to neutrophils and monocytes in active-ABMR. The NK cell cytotoxicity and allograft rejection pathways were enriched in CA-ABMR. Genes encoding perforin, granzymes, and death receptor were overexpressed in CA-ABMR versus active-ABMR but not compared to TCMR. NK cell cytotoxicity pathway gene set variation analysis score was higher in CA-ABMR compared to active-ABMR but not in TCMR. Principal component analysis of the deconvolved immune cellular transcriptomes separated CA-ABMR and TCMR from active-ABMR and NR. Immunohistochemistry of kidney allograft biopsies validated a higher proportion of CD56+ NK cells in CA-ABMR than in active-ABMR. Thus, CA-ABMR was exemplified by the overexpression of the NK cell cytotoxicity pathway gene set and, surprisingly, molecularly more like TCMR than active-ABMR.

Single nuclei transcriptomics delineates complex immune and kidney cell interactions contributing to kidney allograft fibrosis.

Chronic allograft dysfunction (CAD), characterized histologically by interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy, is the major cause of kidney allograft loss. Here, using single nuclei RNA sequencing and transcriptome analysis, we identified the origin, functional heterogeneity, and regulation of fibrosis-forming cells in kidney allografts with CAD. A robust technique was used to isolate individual nuclei from kidney allograft biopsies and successfully profiled 23,980 nuclei from five kidney transplant recipients with CAD and 17,913 nuclei from three patients with normal allograft function. Our analysis revealed two distinct states of fibrosis in CAD; low and high extracellular matrix (ECM) with distinct kidney cell subclusters, immune cell types, and transcriptional profiles. Imaging mass cytometry analysis confirmed increased ECM deposition at the protein level. Proximal tubular cells transitioned to an injured mixed tubular (MT1) phenotype comprised of activated fibroblasts and myofibroblast markers, generated provisional ECM which recruited inflammatory cells, and served as the main driver of fibrosis. MT1 cells in the high ECM state achieved replicative repair evidenced by dedifferentiation and nephrogenic transcriptional signatures. MT1 in the low ECM state showed decreased apoptosis, decreased cycling tubular cells, and severe metabolic dysfunction, limiting the potential for repair. Activated B, T and plasma cells were increased in the high ECM state, while macrophage subtypes were increased in the low ECM state. Intercellular communication between kidney parenchymal cells and donor-derived macrophages, detected several years post-transplantation, played a key role in injury propagation. Thus, our study identified novel molecular targets for interventions aimed to ameliorate or prevent allograft fibrogenesis in kidney transplant recipients.

Deceased-Donor Acute Kidney Injury and Acute Rejection in Kidney Transplant Recipients: A Multicenter Cohort.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Donor acute kidney injury (AKI) activates innate immunity, enhances HLA expression in the kidney allograft, and provokes recipient alloimmune responses. We hypothesized that injury and inflammation that manifested in deceased-donor urine biomarkers would be associated with higher rates of biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR) and allograft failure after transplantation. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 862 deceased donors for 1,137 kidney recipients at 13 centers. EXPOSURES: We measured concentrations of interleukin 18 (IL-18), kidney injury molecule 1 (KIM-1), and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) in deceased donor urine. We also used the Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN) criteria to assess donor clinical AKI. OUTCOMES: The primary outcome was a composite of BPAR and graft failure (not from death). A secondary outcome was the composite of BPAR, graft failure, and/or de novo donor-specific antibody (DSA). Outcomes were ascertained in the first posttransplant year. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable Fine-Gray models with death as a competing risk. RESULTS: Mean recipient age was 54 ± 13 (SD) years, and 82% received antithymocyte globulin. We found no significant associations between donor urinary IL-18, KIM-1, and NGAL and the primary outcome (subdistribution hazard ratio [HR] for highest vs lowest tertile of 0.76 [95% CI, 0.45-1.28], 1.20 [95% CI, 0.69-2.07], and 1.14 [95% CI, 0.71-1.84], respectively). In secondary analyses, we detected no significant associations between clinically defined AKI and the primary outcome or between donor biomarkers and the composite outcome of BPAR, graft failure, and/or de novo DSA. LIMITATIONS: BPAR was ascertained through for-cause biopsies, not surveillance biopsies. CONCLUSIONS: In a large cohort of kidney recipients who almost all received induction with thymoglobulin, donor injury biomarkers were associated with neither graft failure and rejection nor a secondary outcome that included de novo DSA. These findings provide some reassurance that centers can successfully manage immunological complications using deceased-donor kidneys with AKI.

Conditional deletion of myeloid-specific mitofusin 2 but not mitofusin 1 promotes kidney fibrosis.

Macrophages exert critical functions during kidney injury, inflammation, and tissue repair or fibrosis. Mitochondrial structural and functional aberrations due to an imbalance in mitochondrial fusion/fission processes are implicated in the pathogenesis of chronic kidney disease. Therefore, we investigated macrophage-specific functions of mitochondrial fusion proteins, mitofusin (MFN)1 and MFN2, in modulating macrophage mitochondrial dynamics, biogenesis, oxidative stress, polarization, and fibrotic response. MFN1 and MFN2 were found to be suppressed in mice after adenine diet-induced chronic kidney disease, in transforming growth factor-beta 1-treated bone marrow-derived macrophages, and in THP-1-derived human macrophages (a human leukemic cell line). However, abrogating Mfn2 but not Mfn1 in myeloid-lineage cells resulted in greater macrophage recruitment into the kidney during fibrosis and the macrophage-derived fibrotic response associated with collagen deposition culminating in worsening kidney function. Myeloid-specific Mfn1 /Mfn2 double knockout mice also showed increased adenine-induced fibrosis. Mfn2-deficient bone marrow-derived macrophages displayed enhanced polarization towards the profibrotic/M2 phenotype and impaired mitochondrial biogenesis. Macrophages in the kidney of Mfn2-deficient and double knockout but not Mfn1-deficient mice exhibited greater mitochondrial mass, size, oxidative stress and lower mitophagy under fibrotic conditions than the macrophages in the kidney of wild-type mice. Thus, downregulation of MFN2 but not MFN1 lead to macrophage polarization towards a profibrotic phenotype to promote kidney fibrosis through a mechanism involving suppression of macrophage mitophagy and dysfunctional mitochondrial dynamics.

Validation of a noninvasive prognostic signature for allograft failure following BK virus associated nephropathy.

Identifying kidney transplant recipients at risk for graft failure following BK virus nephropathy (BKVN) may allow personalization of therapy. We have reported that a noninvasive composite signature of urinary cell level of plasminogen activator inhibitor-1(PAI-1) mRNA and serum creatinine level, measured at the time of BKVN diagnosis, is prognostic of graft failure. In this investigation, we determined whether the composite signature is prognostic of graft failure in an independent cohort of 25 patients with BKVN. Of the 25 patients, 8 developed graft failure and 17 did not. We measured urinary cell levels of PAI-1 mRNA, 18S rRNA, and BKV VP1 mRNA at the time of BKVN diagnosis and evaluated clinical parameters including Banff pathology scores, acute rejection, and graft function. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the noninvasive composite signature was 0.95 (P < .001) for prognosticating graft failure. The previously reported threshold of -0.858 predicted graft failure with a sensitivity of 75% and a specificity of 94%. Our current study validates the use of composite signature and the threshold of -0.858 to identify those at risk for graft failure following BKVN diagnosis, and supports future studies utilizing the composite signature score to personalize treatment of BKVN.

Contemporary incidence and risk factors of post transplant Erythrocytosis in deceased donor kidney transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Post-Transplant erythrocytosis (PTE) has not been studied in large recent cohorts. In this study, we evaluated the incidence, risk factors, and outcome of PTE with current transplant practices using the present World Health Organization criteria to define erythrocytosis. We also tested the hypothesis that the risk of PTE is greater with higher-quality kidneys. METHODS: We utilized the Deceased Donor Study which is an ongoing, multicenter, observational study of deceased donors and their kidney recipients that were transplanted between 2010 and 2013 across 13 centers. Eryrthocytosis is defined by hemoglobin> 16.5 g/dL in men and> 16 g/dL in women. Kidney quality is measured by Kidney Donor Profile Index (KDPI). RESULTS: Of the 1123 recipients qualified to be in this study, PTE was observed at a median of 18 months in 75 (6.6%) recipients. Compared to recipients without PTE, those with PTE were younger [mean 48±11 vs 54±13 years, p < 0.001], more likely to have polycystic kidney disease [17% vs 6%, p < 0.001], have received kidneys from younger donors [36 ±13 vs 41±15 years], and be on RAAS inhibitors [35% vs 22%, p < 0.001]. Recipients with PTE were less likely to have received kidneys from donors with hypertension [16% vs 32%, p = 0.004], diabetes [1% vs 11%, p = 0.008], and cerebrovascular event (24% vs 36%, p = 0.036). Higher KDPI was associated with decreased PTE risk [HR 0.98 (95% CI: 0.97-0.99)]. Over 60 months of follow-up, only 17 (36%) recipients had sustained PTE. There was no association between PTE and graft failure or mortality, CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of PTE was low in our study and PTE resolved in majority of patients. Lower KDPI increases risk of PTE. The underutilization of RAAS inhibitors in PTE patients raises the possibility of under-recognition of this phenomenon and should be explored in future studies.

Dissecting the human kidney allograft transcriptome: single-cell RNA sequencing.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) has provided opportunities to interrogate kidney allografts at a hitherto unavailable molecular level of resolution. Understanding of this technology is essential to better appreciate the relevant biomedical literature. RECENT FINDINGS: Sequencing is a technique to determine the order of nucleotides in a segment of RNA or DNA. RNA-seq of kidney allograft tissues has revealed novel mechanistic insights but does not provide information on individual cell types and cell states. scRNA-seq enables to study the transcriptome of individual cells and assess the transcriptional differences and similarities within a population of cells. Initial studies on rejecting kidney allograft tissues in humans have identified the transcriptional profile of the active players of the innate and adaptive immune system. Application of scRNA-seq in a preclinical model of kidney transplantation has revealed that allograft-infiltrating myeloid cells follow a trajectory of differentiation from monocytes to proinflammatory macrophages and exhibit distinct interactions with kidney allograft parenchymal cells; myeloid cell expression of Axl played a major role in promoting intragraft myeloid cell and T-cell differentiation. SUMMARY: The current review discusses the technical aspects of scRNA-seq and summarizes the application of this technology to dissect the human kidney allograft transcriptome.

Incidence and Risk Factors for Acute and Chronic Kidney Injury after Adult Cord Blood Transplantation.

Although cord blood transplantation (CBT) extends allograft access, patient comorbidities, chemoradiation, and nephrotoxic medications all contribute to acute kidney injury (AKI) risk. We analyzed AKI in adult myeloablative CBT recipients who underwent transplantation from 2006 to 2017 for hematologic malignancies using cyclosporine A (CSA)/mycophenolate mofetil immunosuppression. Maximum grades of AKI were calculated using Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (grade 1, 1.5 to <2-fold; grade 2, 2 to <3-fold; or grade 3, ≥3-fold over baseline) definitions. In total, 153 patients (median 51 years [range, 23-65], 114/153 [75%] acute leukemia, 27/153 [18%] African, 88/153 [58%] cytomegalovirus seropositive, median age-adjusted hematopoietic cell comorbidity index 3 [range, 0-9], median pretransplant albumin 4.0 g/dL [range, 2.6-5.2]) underwent transplantation. The day 100 cumulative incidence of grade 1-3 AKI was 83% (95% confidence interval [CI], 77%-89%) (predominantly grade 2, median onset 40 days, range 0 to 96), and grade 2-3 AKI incidence was 54% (95% CI, 46%-62%) (median onset 43 days, range 0 to 96). Mean CSA level preceding AKI onset was high (360 ng/mL, target range 300-350). In multivariate analysis, African ancestry, addition of haploidentical CD34+ cells, low day -7 albumin, critical illness/intensive care admission, and nephrotoxic drug exposure (predominantly CSA and/or foscarnet) were associated with AKI. In a day 100 landmark analysis, 6% of patients with no prior AKI had chronic kidney disease (CKD) at 2 years versus 43% with prior grade 1 and 38% with prior grade 2-3 AKI (overall P= .02). Adult CBT recipients are at significant AKI risk, and AKI is associated with increased risk of CKD. Prevention strategies, early recognition, and prompt intervention are critical to mitigate kidney injury.

Kidney allograft recipients, immunosuppression, and coronavirus disease-2019: a report of consecutive cases from a New York City transplant center.

BACKGROUND: Kidney graft recipients receiving immunosuppressive therapy may be at heightened risk for coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) and adverse outcomes. It is therefore important to characterize the clinical course and outcome of Covid-19 in this population and identify safe therapeutic strategies. METHODS: We performed a retrospective chart review of 73 adult kidney graft recipients evaluated for Covid-19 from 13 March to 20 April 2020. Primary outcomes included recovery from symptoms, acute kidney injury, graft failure and case fatality rate. RESULTS: Of the 73 patients screened, 54 tested positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-39 with moderate to severe symptoms requiring hospital admission and 15 with mild symptoms managed in the ambulatory setting. Hospitalized patients were more likely to be male, of Hispanic ethnicity and to have cardiovascular disease. In the hospitalized group, tacrolimus dosage was reduced in 46% of patients and mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) therapy was stopped in 61% of patients. None of the ambulatory patients had tacrolimus reduction or discontinuation of MMF. Azithromycin or doxycycline was prescribed at a similar rate among hospitalized and ambulatory patients (38% versus 40%). Hydroxychloroquine was prescribed in 79% of hospitalized patients. Graft failure requiring hemodialysis occurred in 3 of 39 hospitalized patients (8%) and 7 patients died, resulting in a case fatality rate of 13% among Covid-19-positive patients and 18% among hospitalized Covid-19-positive patients. CONCLUSIONS: Data from our study suggest that a strategy of systematic triage to outpatient or inpatient care, early management of concurrent bacterial infections and judicious adjustment of immunosuppressive drugs rather than cessation is feasible in kidney transplant recipients with Covid-19.

Deceased-donor acute kidney injury is not associated with kidney allograft failure.

Deceased-donor acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with organ discard and delayed graft function, but data on longer-term allograft survival are limited. We performed a multicenter study to determine associations between donor AKI (from none to severe based on AKI Network stages) and all-cause graft failure, adjusting for donor, transplant, and recipient factors. We examined whether any of the following factors modified the relationship between donor AKI and graft survival: kidney donor profile index, cold ischemia time, donation after cardiac death, expanded-criteria donation, kidney machine perfusion, donor-recipient gender combinations, or delayed graft function. We also evaluated the association between donor AKI and a 3-year composite outcome of all-cause graft failure or estimated glomerular filtration rate ≤ 20 mL/min/1.73 m2 in a subcohort of 30% of recipients. Among 2,430 kidneys transplanted from 1,298 deceased donors, 585 (24%) were from donors with AKI. Over a median follow-up of 4.0 years, there were no significant differences in graft survival by donor AKI stage. We found no evidence that pre-specified variables modified the effect of donor AKI on graft survival. In the subcohort, donor AKI was not associated with the 3-year composite outcome. Donor AKI was not associated with graft failure in this well-phenotyped cohort. Given the organ shortage, the transplant community should consider measures to increase utilization of kidneys from deceased donors with AKI.

Antibiotic prophylaxis for ureteral stent removal after kidney transplantation.

There are no guidelines for antibiotic prophylaxis for ureteral stent removal after kidney transplantation. We reviewed the charts of 277 adult kidney transplant recipients with ureteral stents transplanted at our center between September 2014 and December 2015 and investigated whether antibiotic prophylaxis for stent removal was associated with reduced incidence of urinary tract infections (UTI). We defined UTI as a urine culture ≥104  CFU/mL of bacterial isolates irrespective of symptoms. Primary outcome was the incidence of UTI within four weeks of stent removal. Among the 277 recipients, 199 (72%) were on sulfamethoxazole/trimethoprim (SMZ/TMP) as Pneumocystis jirovecii prophylaxis. At the time of ureteral stent removal, 56 recipients (20%) received additional antibiotic prophylaxis (ABX+) and 221 (80%) did not (ABX-). The difference in the incidence of UTI in the ABX(+) group (16%) and ABX(-) group (19%) was not statistically significant (P = 0.85). Variables independently associated with the development of UTI were recipient age (odds ratio [OR] 1.04, [95% confidence interval 1.01-1.07]) and UTI while stents were in situ (OR 3.9 [2.00-7.62]). Use of SMZ/TMP was protective (OR 0.35 [0.18-0.7]). Our study does not show a statistically significant benefit for additional antibiotic prophylaxis for ureteral stent removal. Antibiotic prophylaxis may be beneficial for recipients not on SMZ/TMP at the time of stent removal.

Butyrate-producing gut bacteria and viral infections in kidney transplant recipients: A pilot study.

BACKGROUND: The gut microbiome is being associated increasingly with development of infections besides Clostridium difficile infection. A recent study found an association between butyrate-producing gut (BPG) bacteria and less frequent development of lower respiratory viral infections in allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant recipients (Haak et al, Blood 131(26): 2978, 2018). In this investigation, we examine the relationship between the abundance of BPG bacteria and the development of viral infections in a cohort of kidney transplant recipients. METHODS: We recruited 168 kidney transplant recipients who provided 510 fecal specimens in the first 3 months after transplantation and profiled the gut microbiota using 16S rRNA gene sequencing of the V4-V5 hypervariable region. We classified the kidney transplant recipients into higher BPG Bacteria Group and lower BPG Bacteria Group using the same criteria of 1% relative gut abundance of BPG bacteria as the Haak et al study. RESULTS: Administration of antibiotics against anaerobes was associated with a significant decrease in the relative gut abundance of BPG bacteria. The higher BPG Bacteria Group was associated with less development of respiratory viral infections (Hazard Ratio [HR]: 0.28, P = .01) but not with less development of CMV viremia (HR: 0.38, P = .13) or BK viremia (HR: 1.02, P = .98) at 2 years post transplantation. CONCLUSION: Our pilot investigation supports future validation of the relationship between high relative gut abundance of BPG bacteria and decreased risk for development of respiratory viral infections.

Single nucleotide variant counts computed from RNA sequencing and cellular traffic into human kidney allografts.

Advances in bioinformatics allow identification of single nucleotide polymorphisms (variants) from RNA sequence data. In an allograft biopsy, 2 genomes contribute to the RNA pool, 1 from the donor organ and the other from the infiltrating recipient's cells. We hypothesize that imbalances in genetic variants of RNA sequence data of kidney allograft biopsies provide an objective measure of cellular infiltration of the allograft. We performed mRNA sequencing of 40 kidney allograft biopsies, selected to represent a comprehensive range of diagnostic categories. We analyzed the sequencing reads of these biopsies and of 462 lymphoblastoid cell lines from the 1000 Genomes Project, for RNA variants. The ratio of heterozygous to nonreference genome homozygous variants (Het/Hom ratio) on all autosomes was determined for each sample, and the estimation of stromal and immune cells in malignant tumors using expression data (ESTIMATE) score was computed as a complementary estimate of the degree of cellular infiltration into biopsies. The Het/Hom ratios (P = .02) and the ESTIMATE scores (P < .001) were associated with the biopsy diagnosis. Both measures correlated significantly (r = .67, P < .0001), even though the Het/Hom ratio is based on mRNA sequence variation, while the ESTIMATE score uses mRNA expression. Het/Hom ratio and the ESTIMATE score may offer unbiased and quantitative parameters for characterizing cellular traffic into human kidney allografts.

Urinary cell mRNA profiles predictive of human kidney allograft status.

Kidney allograft status is currently characterized using the invasive percutaneous needle core biopsy procedure. The procedure has become safer over the years, but challenges and complications still exist including sampling error, interobserver variability, bleeding, arteriovenous fistula, graft loss, and even death. Because the most common type of acute rejection is distinguished by inflammatory cells exiting the intravascular compartment and gaining access to the renal tubular space, we reasoned that a kidney allograft may function as an in vivo flow cytometer and sort cells involved in rejection into urine. To test this idea, we developed quantitative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assays for absolute quantification of mRNA and pre-amplification protocols to overcome the low RNA yield from urine. Here, we review our single center urinary cell mRNA profiling studies that led to the multicenter Clinical Trials in Organ Transplantation (CTOT-04) study and the discovery and validation of a 3-gene signature of 18S rRNA-normalized measures of CD3ε mRNA and IP-10 mRNA and 18S rRNA that is diagnostic and predictive of acute cellular rejection in the kidney allograft. We also review our development of a 4-gene signature of mRNAs for vimentin, NKCC2, E-cadherin, and 18S rRNA diagnostic of interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy (IF/TA).

Exome Sequencing and Prediction of Long-Term Kidney Allograft Function.

Current strategies to improve graft outcome following kidney transplantation consider information at the human leukocyte antigen (HLA) loci. Cell surface antigens, in addition to HLA, may serve as the stimuli as well as the targets for the anti-allograft immune response and influence long-term graft outcomes. We therefore performed exome sequencing of DNA from kidney graft recipients and their living donors and estimated all possible cell surface antigens mismatches for a given donor/recipient pair by computing the number of amino acid mismatches in trans-membrane proteins. We designated this tally as the allogenomics mismatch score (AMS). We examined the association between the AMS and post-transplant estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) using mixed models, considering transplants from three independent cohorts (a total of 53 donor-recipient pairs, 106 exomes, and 239 eGFR measurements). We found that the AMS has a significant effect on eGFR (mixed model, effect size across the entire range of the score: -19.4 [-37.7, -1.1], P = 0.0042, χ2 = 8.1919, d.f. = 1) that is independent of the HLA-A, B, DR matching, donor age, and time post-transplantation. The AMS effect is consistent across the three independent cohorts studied and similar to the strong effect size of donor age. Taken together, these results show that the AMS, a novel tool to quantify amino acid mismatches in trans-membrane proteins in individual donor/recipient pair, is a strong, robust predictor of long-term graft function in kidney transplant recipients.

Kidney allograft failure in the steroid-free immunosuppression era: A matched case-control study.

We studied the causes and predictors of death-censored kidney allograft failure among 1670 kidney recipients transplanted at our center in the corticosteroid-free maintenance immunosuppression era. As of January 1, 2012, we identified 137 recipients with allograft failure; 130 of them (cases) were matched 1-1 for recipient age, calendar year of transplant, and donor type with 130 recipients with functioning grafts (controls). Median time to allograft failure was 29 months (interquartile range: 18-51). Physician-validated and biopsy-confirmed categories of allograft failure were as follows: acute rejection (21%), glomerular disease (19%), transplant glomerulopathy (13%), interstitial fibrosis tubular atrophy (10%), and polyomavirus-associated nephropathy (7%). Graft failures were attributed to medical conditions in 21% and remained unresolved in 9%. Donor race, donor age, human leukocyte antigen mismatches, serum creatinine, urinary protein, acute cellular rejection, acute antibody-mediated rejection, BK viremia, and CMV viremia were associated with allograft failure. Independent predictors of allograft failure were acute cellular rejection (odds ratio: 18.31, 95% confidence interval: 5.28-63.45) and urine protein ≥1 g/d within the first year post-transplantation (5.85, 2.37-14.45). Serum creatinine ≤1.5 mg/dL within the first year post-transplantation reduced the odds (0.29, 0.13-0.64) of allograft failure. Our study has identified modifiable risk factors to reduce the burden of allograft failure.

Urine Metabolite Profiles Predictive of Human Kidney Allograft Status.

Noninvasive diagnosis and prognostication of acute cellular rejection in the kidney allograft may help realize the full benefits of kidney transplantation. To investigate whether urine metabolites predict kidney allograft status, we determined levels of 749 metabolites in 1516 urine samples from 241 kidney graft recipients enrolled in the prospective multicenter Clinical Trials in Organ Transplantation-04 study. A metabolite signature of the ratio of 3-sialyllactose to xanthosine in biopsy specimen-matched urine supernatants best discriminated acute cellular rejection biopsy specimens from specimens without rejection. For clinical application, we developed a high-throughput mass spectrometry-based assay that enabled absolute and rapid quantification of the 3-sialyllactose-to-xanthosine ratio in urine samples. A composite signature of ratios of 3-sialyllactose to xanthosine and quinolinate to X-16397 and our previously reported urinary cell mRNA signature of 18S ribosomal RNA, CD3ε mRNA, and interferon-inducible protein-10 mRNA outperformed the metabolite signatures and the mRNA signature. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for the composite metabolite-mRNA signature was 0.93, and the signature was diagnostic of acute cellular rejection with a specificity of 84% and a sensitivity of 90%. The composite signature, developed using solely biopsy specimen-matched urine samples, predicted future acute cellular rejection when applied to pristine samples taken days to weeks before biopsy. We conclude that metabolite profiling of urine offers a noninvasive means of diagnosing and prognosticating acute cellular rejection in the human kidney allograft, and that the combined metabolite and mRNA signature is diagnostic and prognostic of acute cellular rejection with very high accuracy.

Development and validation of a prognostic index for allograft outcome in kidney recipients with transplant glomerulopathy.

We studied 92 patients with transplant glomerulopathy to develop a prognostic index based on the risk factors for allograft failure within five years of diagnosis (Development cohort). During 60 months (median) follow-up, 64 patients developed allograft failure. A chronic-inflammation score generated by combining Banff ci, ct and ti scores, serum creatinine and proteinuria at biopsy, were independent risk factors for allograft failure. Based on the Cox model, we developed a prognostic index and classified patients into risk groups. Compared to the low-risk group (median allograft survival over 60 months from diagnosis), patients in the medium risk group had a hazard ratio of 2.83 (median survival 25 months), while those in the high-risk group had a hazard ratio of 5.96 (median survival 3.7 months). We next evaluated the performance of the prognostic index in an independent external cohort of 47 patients with transplant glomerulopathy (Validation cohort). The hazard ratios were 2.18 (median survival 19 months) and 16.27 (median survival 1.6 months), respectively, for patients in the medium and high-risk groups, compared to the low-risk group (median survival 47 months). Our prognostic index model did well in measures of discrimination and calibration. Thus, risk stratification of transplant glomerulopathy based on our prognostic index may provide informative insight for both the patient and physician regarding prognosis and treatment.

Urinary-cell mRNA profile and acute cellular rejection in kidney allografts.

BACKGROUND: The standard test for the diagnosis of acute rejection in kidney transplants is the renal biopsy. Noninvasive tests would be preferable. METHODS: We prospectively collected 4300 urine specimens from 485 kidney-graft recipients from day 3 through month 12 after transplantation. Messenger RNA (mRNA) levels were measured in urinary cells and correlated with allograft-rejection status with the use of logistic regression. RESULTS: A three-gene signature of 18S ribosomal (rRNA)-normalized measures of CD3ε mRNA and interferon-inducible protein 10 (IP-10) mRNA, and 18S rRNA discriminated between biopsy specimens showing acute cellular rejection and those not showing rejection (area under the curve [AUC], 0.85; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.78 to 0.91; P<0.001 by receiver-operating-characteristic curve analysis). The cross-validation estimate of the AUC was 0.83 by bootstrap resampling, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test indicated good fit (P=0.77). In an external-validation data set, the AUC was 0.74 (95% CI, 0.61 to 0.86; P<0.001) and did not differ significantly from the AUC in our primary data set (P=0.13). The signature distinguished acute cellular rejection from acute antibody-mediated rejection and borderline rejection (AUC, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.68 to 0.89; P<0.001). It also distinguished patients who received anti-interleukin-2 receptor antibodies from those who received T-cell-depleting antibodies (P<0.001) and was diagnostic of acute cellular rejection in both groups. Urinary tract infection did not affect the signature (P=0.69). The average trajectory of the signature in repeated urine samples remained below the diagnostic threshold for acute cellular rejection in the group of patients with no rejection, but in the group with rejection, there was a sharp rise during the weeks before the biopsy showing rejection (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: A molecular signature of CD3ε mRNA, IP-10 mRNA, and 18S rRNA levels in urinary cells appears to be diagnostic and prognostic of acute cellular rejection in kidney allografts. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health and others.).