The illusion of polygenic disease risk prediction.

A problem at the interface of genomic medicine and medical screening is that genetic associations of etiological significance are often interpreted as having predictive significance. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified many thousands of associations between common DNA variants and hundreds of diseases and benign traits. This knowledge has generated many publications with the understandable expectation that it can be used to derive polygenic risk scores for predicting disease to identify those at sufficiently high risk to benefit from preventive intervention. However, the expectation rests on the incorrect assumption that odds ratios derived from polygenic risk scores that are important etiologically are also directly useful in risk prediction and population screening.

AGI-134: a fully synthetic α-Gal glycolipid that converts tumors into in situ autologous vaccines, induces anti-tumor immunity and is synergistic with an anti-PD-1 antibody in mouse melanoma models.

BACKGROUND: Treatments that generate T cell-mediated immunity to a patient's unique neoantigens are the current holy grail of cancer immunotherapy. In particular, treatments that do not require cumbersome and individualized ex vivo processing or manufacturing processes are especially sought after. Here we report that AGI-134, a glycolipid-like small molecule, can be used for coating tumor cells with the xenoantigen Galα1-3Galß1-4GlcNAc (α-Gal) in situ leading to opsonization with pre-existing natural anti-α-Gal antibodies (in short anti-Gal), which triggers immune cascades resulting in T cell mediated anti-tumor immunity. METHODS: Various immunological effects of coating tumor cells with α-Gal via AGI-134 in vitro were measured by flow cytometry: (1) opsonization with anti-Gal and complement, (2) antibody-dependent cell-mediated cytotoxicity (ADCC) by NK cells, and (3) phagocytosis and antigen cross-presentation by antigen presenting cells (APCs). A viability kit was used to test AGI-134 mediated complement dependent cytotoxicity (CDC) in cancer cells. The anti-tumoral activity of AGI-134 alone or in combination with an anti-programmed death-1 (anti-PD-1) antibody was tested in melanoma models in anti-Gal expressing galactosyltransferase knockout (α1,3GT-/-) mice. CDC and phagocytosis data were analyzed by one-way ANOVA, ADCC results by paired t-test, distal tumor growth by Mantel-Cox test, C5a data by Mann-Whitney test, and single tumor regression by repeated measures analysis. RESULTS: In vitro, α-Gal labelling of tumor cells via AGI-134 incorporation into the cell membrane leads to anti-Gal binding and complement activation. Through the effects of complement and ADCC, tumor cells are lysed and tumor antigen uptake by APCs increased. Antigen associated with lysed cells is cross-presented by CD8α+ dendritic cells leading to activation of antigen-specific CD8+ T cells. In B16-F10 or JB/RH melanoma models in α1,3GT-/- mice, intratumoral AGI-134 administration leads to primary tumor regression and has a robust abscopal effect, i.e., it protects from the development of distal, uninjected lesions. Combinations of AGI-134 and anti-PD-1 antibody shows a synergistic benefit in protection from secondary tumor growth. CONCLUSIONS: We have identified AGI-134 as an immunotherapeutic drug candidate, which could be an excellent combination partner for anti-PD-1 therapy, by facilitating tumor antigen processing and increasing the repertoire of tumor-specific T cells prior to anti-PD-1 treatment.

Prenatal reflex DNA screening for trisomies 21, 18, and 13.

PURPOSE: The purpose of the study was to determine the screening performance of prenatal reflex DNA screening for trisomies 21 (T21), 18 (T18), and 13 (T13) as part of a routine service at five hospitals. METHODS: Women who accepted screening had a first-trimester combined test (pregnancy-associated plasma protein A, free ß-human chorionic gonadotropin, nuchal translucency interpreted with maternal age). Those with a risk of having an affected pregnancy ≥1 in 800 were reflexed to a DNA sequencing test using stored plasma from the original blood sample, thereby avoiding the need to recall them. RESULTS: Of 22,812 women screened (including 106 with affected pregnancies), 2,480 (10.9%) were reflexed to DNA testing; 101/106 were detected (69/73 T21, 24/25 T18, and 8/8 T13), a 95% detection rate (95% confidence interval 89-98%) with four false positives (0.02%, 95% confidence interval 0.00-0.05%). The odds of being affected given a positive result were 25:1. Of the 105 screen-positive pregnancies, 91 (87%) had an invasive diagnostic test. Reflex DNA screening avoided up to 530 invasive diagnostic tests compared with using the combined test. CONCLUSION: Reflex DNA screening was successfully implemented in routine care, achieving a high detection rate, low false-positive rate, and, consequently, greater safety with fewer invasive diagnostic tests than other methods of screening.

Specifying a Gold Standard for the Validation of Fetal Fraction Estimation in Prenatal Screening.

BACKGROUND: An estimate of fetal fraction (FF) is needed for DNA-based screening for trisomy 21 and other aneuploidies, but there is no gold standard to validate FF measurement methods. We specify a gold standard and use it to validate a method of measuring FF (SeqFF) in singleton pregnancies. METHODS: The gold standard was a formula derived from 2 elements: (a) an estimate of the percentage of DNA fragments in maternal plasma from chromosome 21 (%Ch21) in pregnancies without trisomy 21, 18, or 13 (PU) and (b) calculation of %Ch21 with increasing FF in trisomy 21 pregnancies (P21). The SeqFF method was evaluated by plotting regression lines of %Ch21 and SeqFF estimates of FF in 31 singleton male and 31 female trisomy 21 pregnancies and comparing the regressions with the reference line derived from the gold standard formula. RESULTS: The gold standard formula was P21 = (1/2)PUFF + PU, with FF expressed as a proportion, or converting %Ch21 to multiples of the median (MoM), P21(MoM) = (1/2)FF + 1. Based on 3865 pregnancies, the PU was 1.2935%. The regression lines for trisomy 21 pregnancies with male and female fetuses were almost identical to the gold standard reference line (regression slopes in MoMs 0.52 and 0.50, respectively, compared with 0.50 for the gold standard reference line). CONCLUSIONS: The proposed gold standard can be used to validate different methods of estimating FF in singleton pregnancies. SeqFF is an accurate method of estimating FF.

The IONA® Test: Development of an Automated Cell-Free DNA-Based Screening Test for Fetal Trisomies 13, 18, and 21 That Employs the Ion Proton Semiconductor Sequencing Platform.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a screening test for fetal trisomy 13, 18, and 21 using cell-free DNA from maternal blood with an automated workflow using the Ion Proton sequencing platform. METHODS: An automated next-generation sequencing workflow was developed using the Ion Proton sequencing platform and software developed for straightforward bioinformatic analysis. An algorithm was developed using 239 samples to determine the likelihood of trisomy, using DNA fragment counts and a fetal fraction validity check; the results were compared with those from invasive diagnostic procedures. A further 111 samples were used to assess the tests' sensitivity (detection rate) and specificity (1 minus false-positive rate). RESULTS: The 110 of a possible 111 valid samples used to verify the IONA® test gave 100% sensitivity and specificity, compared with invasive diagnostic procedures; one failed the fetal fraction validity check giving a sample failure rate of 0.29% across all 350 analysed samples. CONCLUSION: The data indicate that the IONA test provides a robust, accurate automated workflow suitable for use on maternal blood samples to screen for trisomies 13, 18, and 21. The test has the potential to reduce the number of unnecessary invasive procedures performed and facilitate testing by screening laboratories.

A simple method to allow for guanine-cytosine amplification error in prenatal DNA screening for trisomy 18.

BACKGROUND: A source of error in prenatal screening for trisomies is PCR amplification error associated with guanine-cytosine (GC) content of DNA fragments in maternal plasma. We describe a simple method of allowing for this. METHODS: Data from a Reflex DNA screening programme (67 trisomy 18 and 83 unaffected pregnancies) were used to compare the ratio of chromosome 18 DNA fragment counts to chromosome 8 DNA fragment counts (because chromosome 8 has a similar GC content to chromosome 18) with the percentage of chromosome 18 DNA counts using counts from all autosomes in the denominator, with and without an all autosome correction for the GC content of the DNA fragments. RESULTS: A chromosome 18 to 8 ratio of DNA fragment counts was more discriminatory than the percentage of all autosome counts arising from chromosome 18 without, or with an all autosome correction for GC content bias. It achieves a high screening performance, eg. for a 0.25% false-positive rate, a 97% detection rate instead of 49% without a correction for GC content, and 91% with an all autosome correction for GC content. CONCLUSION: Consideration can be given to using the ratio of chromosome 18 DNA fragment counts to chromosome 8 DNA fragment counts in cell-free DNA prenatal screening for trisomy 18, avoiding the need for more complex methods of making a correction for the GC content currently used.

Prenatal maternal plasma DNA screening for cystic fibrosis: A computer modelling study of screening performance.

Background: Prenatal cystic fibrosis (CF) screening is currently based on determining the carrier status of both parents. We propose a new method based only on the analysis of DNA in maternal plasma. Methods: The method relies on the quantitative amplification of the CF gene to determine the percentage of DNA fragments in maternal plasma at targeted CF mutation sites that carry a CF mutation. Computer modelling was carried out to estimate the distributions of these percentages in pregnancies with and without a fetus affected with CF. This was done according to the number of DNA fragments counted and fetal fraction, using the 23 CF mutations recommended by the American College of Medical Genetics for parental carrier testing. Results: The estimated detection rate (sensitivity) is 70% (100% of those detected using the 23 mutations), the false-positive rate 0.002%, and the odds of being affected given a positive screening result 14:1, compared with 70%, 0.12%, and 1:3, respectively, with current prenatal screening based on parental carrier testing. Conclusions: Compared with current screening practice based on parental carrier testing, the proposed method would substantially reduce the number of invasive diagnostic procedures (amniocentesis or chorionic villus sampling) without reducing the CF detection rate. The expected advantages of the proposed method justify carrying out the necessary test development for use in a clinical validation study.

VegT activation of the early zygotic gene Xnr5 requires lifting of Tcf-mediated repression in the Xenopus blastula.

Xenopus Nodal-related (Xnr) 5 is one of the earliest expressed components of a network of TGF-beta factors participating in endoderm and mesoderm formation. Zygotic gene expression is not required for induction of Xnr5; rather, expression is dependent on the maternal factors VegT, localised throughout the vegetal pole, and beta-catenin, functional in the future dorsal region of the embryo. Using transient assays with a luciferase reporter in Xenopus embryos, we have defined a minimal promoter, which mimics the response of the endogenous gene to applied factors. Expression of luciferase from the minimal promoter is dorsal-specific and requires two T-box half sites and a functional beta-catenin/XTcf-3 pathway. Mutation of two Tcf/Lef sites in the minimal promoter permits induction by VegT to wild-type promoter levels in the presence of a dominant-negative XTcf-3, indicating that beta-catenin/XTcf-3 are repressive and are not required as transactivators of Xnr5 transcription. The activity of the Tcf/Lef mutant promoter is similar in both ventral and dorsal sides of the embryo. In transgenic experiments, the dorsal specificity of expression of a beta-gal reporter driven by the wild-type minimal promoter is abolished upon mutation of these Tcf/Lef sites. We propose a model in which XTcf-3 functions as a repressor of Xnr5 throughout the blastula embryo, except where repression is lifted by the binding of beta-catenin in the dorsal region. This removal of repression allows activation of the promoter by VegT in the dorsal vegetal region. Subsequently, zygotically expressed LEF1 supersedes the role of beta-catenin/XTcf-3.

Multiple interactions between maternally-activated signalling pathways control Xenopus nodal-related genes.

We have investigated the induction of the six Xenopus nodal-related genes, Xnr1-Xnr6, by maternal determinants. The beta-catenin pathway was modelled by stimulation using Xwnt8, activin-like signalling was modelled by activin, and VegT action was studied by overexpression in animal cap explants. Combinations of factors were examined, and previously unrecognised interactions were revealed in animal caps and whole embryos. For the induction of Xnr5 and Xnr6 in whole embryos, using a beta-catenin antisense morpholino oligonucleotide or a dominant negative XTcf3, we have demonstrated an absolute permissive requirement for the beta-catenin/Tcf pathway, in addition to the requirement for VegT action. In animal caps Xnr5 and Xnr6 are induced in response to VegT overexpression, and this induction is dependent upon the concomitant activation of the beta-catenin pathway that VegT initiates in animal caps. For the induction of Xnr3, VegT interacts negatively so as to inhibit the induction otherwise observed with wnt-signalling alone. The negative effect of VegT is not the result of a general inhibition of wnt-signalling, and does not result from an inhibition of wnt-induced siamois expression. A 294 bp proximal promoter fragment of the Xnr3 gene is sufficient to mediate the negative effect of VegT. Further experiments, employing cycloheximide to examine the dependence of Xnr gene expression upon proteins translated after the mid-blastula stage, demonstrated that Xnrs 4, 5 and 6 are 'primary' Xnr genes whose expression in the late blastula is solely dependent upon factors present before the mid-blastula stage.

Retargeting pre-existing human antibodies to a bacterial pathogen with an alpha-Gal conjugated aptamer.

UNLABELLED: The ever-increasing threat of multi-drug resistant bacterial infections has spurred renewed interest in alternative approaches to classical antibiotic therapy. In contrast to other mammals, humans do not express the galactose-α-1,3-galactosyl-ß-1,4-N-acetyl-glucosamine (α-Gal) epitope. As a result of exposure of humans to α-Gal in the environment, a large proportion of circulating antibodies are specific for the trisaccharide. In this study, we examine whether these anti-Gal antibodies can be recruited and redirected to exert anti-bacterial activity. We show that a specific DNA aptamer conjugated to an α-Gal epitope at its 5' end, herein termed an alphamer, can bind to group A Streptococcus (GAS) bacteria by recognition of a conserved region of the surface-anchored M protein. The anti-GAS alphamer was shown to recruit anti-Gal antibodies to the streptococcal surface in an α-Gal-specific manner, elicit uptake and killing of the bacteria by human phagocytes, and slow growth of invasive GAS in human whole blood. These studies provide a first in vitro proof of concept that alphamers have the potential to redirect pre-existing antibodies to bacteria in a specific manner and trigger an immediate antibacterial immune response. Further validation of this novel therapeutic approach of applying α-Gal technology in in vivo models of bacterial infection is warranted. KEY MESSAGES: . α-Gal-tagged aptamers lead to GAS opsonization with anti-Gal antibodies. . α-Gal-tagged aptamers confer phagocytosis and killing of GAS cells by human phagocytes. . α-Gal-tagged aptamers reduces replication of GAS in human blood. . α-Gal-tagged aptamers may have the potential to be used as novel passive immunization drugs.

Promoter analysis of human corticotropin-releasing factor (CRF) type 1 receptor and regulation by CRF and urocortin.

We report the full genomic organization of the human gene for the corticotropin-releasing factor (CRF) receptor type 1 (CRFR1), with complete mapping of exons 1-14. The 5' flanking region (2.4 kb) of the gene encoding for human CRFR1 was isolated, sequenced, and characterized. Two major transcriptional start sites were determined at -265 and -238, relative to the ATG start site (+1). Transient expression of constructs containing sequentially deleted 5'-flanking sequences of CRFR1 fused to luciferase, revealed the minimal promoter sequence 370 bp in size, as shown by assays in neuroblastoma (SH-5YSY), teratocarcinoma (NT2), and adenocarcinoma (MCF 7) cell lines. CRF and UCN markedly increased promoter activity during transient CRFR1 expression studies. Similarly, CRF and UCN up-regulate the endogenous CRFR1 at the mRNA level in NT2 and MCF 7 cells. To dissect further the mechanisms involved, we have used primary myometrial cells transfected with the CRFR1 promoter. CRF and UCN increased the promoter activity, an effect blocked by protein kinase (PK)A and PKC inhibitors. Both CRF and UCN cause a positive feedback effect in primary cultures of human pregnant myometrial cells, by increasing mRNA expression of CRFR1. This effect appears to be dependent on activation of both PKA and PKC by CRF, whereas UCN's effect was mediated solely via PKC activation. Collectively, our data suggest that the CRFR1 gene is under the influence of both CRF and UCN, acting via distinct signaling pathways to create a positive feedback loop and regulate further the transcription of the receptor.

Non-ß-cell progenitors of ß-cells in pregnant mice.

Pregnancy is a normal physiological condition in which the maternal ß-cell mass increases rapidly about two-fold to adapt to new metabolic challenges. We have used a lineage tracing of ß-cells to analyse the origin of new ß-cells during this rapid expansion in pregnancy. Double transgenic mice bearing a tamoxifen-dependent Cre-recombinase construct under the control of a rat insulin promoter, together with a reporter Z/AP gene, were generated. Then, in response to a pulse of tamoxifen before pregnancy, ß-cells in these animals were marked irreversibly and heritably with the human placental alkaline phosphatase (HP AP). First, we conclude that the lineage tracing system was highly specific for ß-cells. Secondly, we scored the proportion of the ß-cells marked with HP AP during a subsequent chase period in pregnant and non-pregnant females. We observed a dilution in this labeling index in pregnant animal pancreata, compared to nonpregnant controls, during a single pregnancy in the chase period. To extend these observations we also analysed the labeling index in pancreata of animals during the second of two pregnancies in the chase period. The combined data revealed statistically-significant dilution during pregnancy, indicating a contribution to new beta cells from a non-ß-cell source. Thus for the first time in a normal physiological condition, we have demonstrated not only ß-cell duplication, but also the activation of a non-ß-cell progenitor population. Further, there was no transdifferentiation of ß-cells to other cell types in a two and half month period following labeling, including the period of pregnancy.

Unequal representation of different unique genomic DNA sequences in the cell-free plasma DNA of individual donors.

OBJECTIVES: To assess whether different genomic cell-free DNAs are equally abundant in the plasma of individual donors, and any relationship between DNA methylation and representation in plasma. DESIGN AND METHODS: The concentrations of DNA in plasma were determined by real-time PCR. RESULTS: Different DNA sequences were not equally represented. The relative abundances were similar in different donors. CONCLUSIONS: Different DNA sequences are not equally abundant in plasma, with no relationship between DNA methylation and abundance.

Methylation of the imprinted GNAS1 gene in cell-free plasma DNA: equal steady-state quantities of methylated and unmethylated DNA in plasma.

BACKGROUND: Genomic DNA sequences in cell-free plasma are biomarkers of cancer prognosis, where characteristic changes in methylation of tumour suppressor or oncogene DNA regions are indicative of changes in gene activity. Also, cell-free fetal DNA can be distinguished, by its methylation status, from the maternal DNA in the plasma of pregnant women, hence providing DNA biomarkers for the proposed minimally-invasive diagnosis of fetal aneuploidies, including Down's syndrome. However, the production and clearance of cell-free DNA from plasma in relation to its methylation status, are poorly understood processes. METHODS: We studied the methylation status of DNA derived from the imprinted GNAS1 locus, in cell-free plasma DNA of healthy adults. Heterozygotes were identified that carried the SNP rs1800905 in the imprinted region. The parent-of-origin-dependent DNA methylation was analysed by bisulfite conversion, followed by cloning and sequencing. RESULTS: Genomic DNA molecules derived from both the methylated, maternal, allele and the unmethylated, paternal, allele were found in plasma. Methylated and unmethylated DNA molecules were present in equal numbers. CONCLUSIONS: Our data indicate that the methylation status of a DNA sequence has no effect on its steady state concentration in the cell-free DNA component of plasma, in healthy adults.

Noninvasive prenatal diagnosis of aneuploidy using cell-free nucleic acids in maternal blood: promises and unanswered questions.

The discovery of cell-free fetal (cff) DNA and RNA in the maternal circulation has driven developments in noninvasive prenatal diagnosis (NIPD) for the past decade. Detection of paternally derived alleles in cff DNA is becoming well established. Now much interest is focussing on NIPD of fetal chromosomal abnormalities, such as trisomy 21, which is a considerable challenge because this demands accurate quantitative measurements of the amounts of specific cff DNA or cff RNA sequences in maternal blood samples. Emerging strategies for distinguishing and quantifying the fetal nucleic acids in the maternal circulation promise continued development of the field, and pose a number of unanswered questions.