Dihydrotestosterone is a predictor for mortality in males with community-acquired pneumonia: results of a 6-year follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Adrenal hormone metabolite levels are altered in acute illnesses such as community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Our aim was to investigate associations of sex and mineralocorticoid hormone metabolites with short- and long-term mortality and severity of CAP in male and female patients. METHODS: We prospectively followed 285 patients (60.4% male, mean age 71 years) with CAP from a previous multicenter trial. At baseline, levels of different metabolites of sex hormones and mineralocorticoids were measured by liquid chromatography coupled to tandem mass spectrometry. We calculated Cox regression models adjusted for age and comorbidities. RESULTS: All-cause mortality was 5.3% after 30 days and increased to 47.4% after 6 years. In males, high levels of dihydrotestosterone were associated with higher 6-year mortality (adjusted HR 2.84, 95%CI 1.15-6.99, p = 0.023), whereas high levels of 17-OH-progesterone were associated with lower 6-year mortality (adjusted HR 0.72, 95%CI 0.54-0.97, p = 0.029). Testosterone levels in males correlated inversely with inflammatory markers (CRP rho = - 0.39, p < 0.001; PCT rho = - 0.34, p < 0.001) and disease severity as assessed by the Pneumonia severity index (PSI) (rho = - 0.23, p = 0.003). No similar association was found for female patients. CONCLUSION: Whereas in males with CAP, sex and mineralocorticoid hormone metabolite levels correlated with inflammation, disease severity and long-term survival, no similar association was found for females. Further study of sex and mineralocorticoid hormones in acute illness could generate predictive signatures with implementation in clinical practice.

Association of adrenal hormone metabolites and mortality over a 6-year follow-up in COPD patients with acute exacerbation.

BACKGROUND: The release of hormones from the adrenal gland is vital in acute and chronic illnesses such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) involving recurrent exacerbations. Using a metabolomic approach, we aim to investigate associations of different adrenal hormone metabolites with short- and long-term mortality in COPD patients. METHODS: We prospectively followed 172 COPD patients (median age 75 years, 62% male) from a previous Swiss multicenter trial. At baseline, we measured levels of a comprehensive spectrum of adrenal hormone metabolites, including glucocorticoid, mineralocorticoid and androgen hormones by liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry (MS). We calculated Cox regression models adjusted for gender, age, comorbidities and previous corticosteroid therapy. RESULTS: Mortality was 6.4% after 30 days and increased to 61.6% after 6 years. Higher initial androgen hormones predicted lower long-term mortality with significant results for dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA) [adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 0.82; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.70-0.98; p=0.026] and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate (DHEA-S) (adjusted HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.50-0.91; p=0.009). An activation of stress hormones (particularly cortisol and cortisone) showed a time-dependent effect with higher levels pointing towards higher mortality at short term, but lower mortality at long term. Activation of the mineralocorticoid axis tended to be associated with increased short-term mortality (adjusted HR of aldosterone, 2.76; 95% CI, 0.79-9.65; p=0.111). CONCLUSIONS: Independent of age, gender, corticosteroid exposure and exacerbation type, adrenal hormones are associated with mortality at short and long term in patients with COPD exacerbation with different time-dependent effects of glucocorticoids, androgens and mineralocorticoids. A better physiopathological understanding of the causality of these effects may have therapeutic implications.

Admission levels of asymmetric and symmetric dimethylarginine predict long-term outcome in patients with community-acquired pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: During infection, there is an activation of the L-arginine-nitric-oxide pathway, with a shift from nitric oxide synthesis to a degradation of L-arginine to its metabolites, asymmetric and symmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA and SDMA). However, the prognostic implications for short-term or long-term survival remains unclear. We investigated the association of L-arginine, ADMA, and SDMA with adverse clinical outcomes in a well-defined cohort of patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). METHODS: We measured L-arginine, ADMA, and SDMA in 268 CAP patients from a Swiss multicenter trial by mass spectrometry and used Cox regression models to investigate associations between blood marker levels and disease severity as well as mortality over a period of 6 years. RESULTS: Six-year mortality was 44.8%. Admission levels of ADMA and SDMA (µmol/L) were correlated with CAP severity as assessed by the pneumonia severity index (r = 0.32, p < 0.001 and r = 0.56, p < 0.001 for ADMA and SDMA, respectively) and higher in 6-year non-survivors versus survivors (median 0.62 vs. 0.48; p < 0.001 and 1.01 vs. 0.85; p < 0.001 for ADMA and SDMA, respectively). Both ADMA and SDMA were significantly associated with long-term mortality (hazard ratios [HR] 4.44 [95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.84 to 10.74] and 2.81 [95% CI 1.45 to 5.48], respectively). The effects were no longer significant after multivariate adjustment for age and comorbidities. No association of L-arginine with severity and outcome was found. CONCLUSIONS: Both ADMA and SDMA show a severity-dependent increase in patients with CAP and are strongly associated with mortality. This association is mainly explained by age and comorbidities. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ISRCTN95122877 . Registered 31 July 2006.

Activation of the tryptophan/serotonin pathway is associated with severity and predicts outcomes in pneumonia: results of a long-term cohort study.

BACKGROUND: As part of the immune defense during infection, an increase in enzyme activity of indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase (IDO) leads to a breakdown of tryptophan to kynurenine. In previous animal studies, therapeutic antagonism of IDO resulted in reduced sepsis mortality. We investigated the prognostic ability of tryptophan, serotonin, kynurenine and IDO (represented by the ratio of kynurenine/tryptophan) to predict adverse clinical outcomes in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). METHODS: We measured tryptophan, serotonin and kynurenine on admission plasma samples from CAP patients included in a previous multicenter trial by liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). We studied their association with inflammation (C-reactive protein), infection (procalcitonin) and clinical outcome. RESULTS: Mortality in the 268 included patients was 45% within 6 years of follow-up. IDO and kynurenine showed a strong positive correlation with markers of infection (procalcitonin) and inflammation (C-reactive protein) as well as sepsis and CAP severity scores. Tryptophan showed similar, but negative correlations. In a multivariate regression analysis adjusted for age and comorbidities, higher IDO activity and lower tryptophan levels were strongly associated with short-term adverse outcome defined as death and/or ICU admission within 30 days with adjusted odds ratios of 9.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.4-59.5, p=0.021] and 0.11 (95% CI 0.02-0.70, p=0.021). Multivariate analysis did not reveal significant associations for kynurenine and serotonin. CONCLUSIONS: In hospitalized CAP patients, higher IDO activity and lower tryptophan levels independently predicted disease severity and short-term adverse outcome. Whether therapeutic modulation of IDO has positive effects on outcome needs further investigation.

Time-dependent association of glucocorticoids with adverse outcome in community-acquired pneumonia: a 6-year prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal stress axis plays a crucial role in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), with high cortisol being associated with disease severity and corticosteroid treatment resulting in earlier time to recovery. Our aim in the present study was to compare different glucocorticoid hormones, including cortisol, 11-deoxycortisol, cortisone, and corticosterone, regarding their association with short- and long-term adverse outcomes in a well-defined CAP cohort. METHODS: We prospectively followed 285 patients with CAP from a previous Swiss multicenter trial for a median of 6.1 years and measured different admission glucocorticoid serum levels by liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry. We used adjusted Cox regression models to investigate associations between admission hormone levels and all-cause mortality at different time points. RESULTS: Mortality was 5.3% after 30 days and increased to 47.3% after 6 years. High admission cortisol was associated with adverse outcome after 30 days (adjusted OR 3.85, 95% CI 1.10-13.49, p = 0.035). In the long term (i.e.,), however, high admission cortisol was associated with better survival (adjusted HR after 3 years 0.53, 95% CI 0.32-0.89, p = 0.017; adjusted HR after 6 years 0.57, 95% CI 0.36-0.90, p = 0.015). Compared with 11-deoxycortisol, cortisone, and corticosterone, cortisol showed the highest association with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Among different glucocorticoid hormones, cortisol showed the highest association with mortality in CAP. Whereas a more pronounced glucocorticoid stress response on hospital admission was associated with higher short-term adverse outcome, long-term outcome was favorable in these patients. These data should support the correct interpretation of glucocorticoid blood data.

Asymmetric Dimethylarginine Predicts Long-Term Outcome in Patients with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

INTRODUCTION: In chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), there is an activation of the L-arginine nitric oxide pathway. Pulmonary obstruction causes to elevated nitric oxide (NO) levels, which lead to higher production of the NO-inhibiting metabolites asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA) and symmetric dimethylarginine (SDMA). METHODS: We investigated the association of L-arginine, ADMA, and SDMA with clinical outcomes in a well-defined observational cohort of 150 patients with acute exacerbation of COPD. We measured L-arginine, ADMA, and SDMA by mass spectrometry in patients with pneumonic or non-pneumonic exacerbation of COPD included in a Swiss multicenter trial. We used Cox regression models to investigate the associations between blood marker levels and disease severity as well as all-cause mortality over a follow-up of 6.1 years. RESULTS: Six-year all-cause mortality was 54%. Admission levels of ADMA and SDMA (µmol L-1) were increased in 6-year non-survivors compared to survivors' median (0.60 vs. 0.46, p = 0.004; and 1.05 vs. 0.85, p = 0.012). In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, ADMA was associated with long-term mortality resulting in an age- and comorbidity-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 4.55 (95% confidence interval 1.02-20.43, p = 0.048). SDMA was only associated in univariate models and no association of L-arginine with outcome was found. CONCLUSION: ADMA was found to be an independent risk factor for long-term all-cause mortality in patients with acute exacerbation of COPD. Whether therapeutic modification of the L-arginine-nitric oxide pathway has the potential to improve outcome should be evaluated in future interventional trials.

Activation of the Serotonin Pathway is Associated with Poor Outcome in COPD Exacerbation: Results of a Long-Term Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND/INTRODUCTION: Indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase (IDO) metabolizes tryptophan to kynurenine. An increase of its activity is associated with severity in patients with pneumonia. In chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients, an elevation of serotonin has been reported. Experimental models showed that cigarette smoke inhibits monoamine oxidase (MAO) leading to higher levels of serotonin. We investigated the prognostic ability of tryptophan, serotonin, kynurenine, IDO, and tryptophan hydroxylase (TPH) to predict short- and long-term outcomes in patients with a COPD exacerbation. METHODS: We measured tryptophan, serotonin, and kynurenine on admission plasma samples in patients with a COPD exacerbation from a previous trial by liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). IDO and TPH were calculated as ratios of kynurenine over tryptophan, and serotonin over tryptophan, respectively. We studied their association with parameters measured in clinical routine at emergency department admission representing inflammation (C-reactive protein [CRP]), infection (procalcitonin [PCT]), oxygenation (SpO2), as well as patients' clinical outcome, confirmed by structured phone interviews. RESULTS: Mortality in the 149 included patients was 53.7% within six years of follow-up. While IDO activity showed strong positive correlations, tryptophan was negatively correlated with CRP and PCT. For 30-day adverse outcome defined as death and/or intensive care unit (ICU) admission, a multivariate regression analysis adjusted for age and comorbidities found strong associations for IDO activity (adjusted odds ratios of 31.4 (95%CI 1.1-857), p = 0.041) and TPH (adjusted odds ratios 27.0 (95%CI 2.2-327), p = 0.010). TPH also showed a significant association with mortality at 18 months, (hazard ratio 2.61 (95%CI 1.2-5.8), p = 0.020). CONCLUSION: In hospitalized patients with a COPD exacerbation, higher IDO and TPH activities independently predicted adverse short-term outcomes and TPH levels were also predictive of 18-month mortality. Whether therapeutic modulation of the serotonin pathway has positive effects on outcome needs further investigation.

Copeptin predicts 10-year all-cause mortality in community patients: a 10-year prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Copeptin, the C-terminal part of the arginine vasopressin (AVP) precursor peptide, is secreted in response to stress and correlates with adverse clinical outcomes in the acute-care hospital setting. There are no comprehensive data regarding its prognostic value in the community. We evaluated associations of copeptin levels with 10-year mortality in patients visiting their general practitioner (GP) for a respiratory infection included in a previous trial. METHODS: This is a post hoc analysis including data from 359 patients included in the PARTI trial. Copeptin was measured in batch-analysis on admission and after 7 days. We calculated Cox regression models and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) to assess an association of copeptin with mortality and adverse outcome. Follow-up data were collected by GP, patient and relative tracing through phone interviews 10 years after trial inclusion. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 10.0 years, mortality was 9.8%. Median admission copeptin levels (pmol/L) were significantly elevated in non-survivors compared to survivors (13.8, IQR 5.9-27.8; vs. 6.3 IQR 4.1-11.5; p<0.001). Admission copeptin levels were associated with 10-year all-cause mortality [age-adjusted hazard ratio 1.7 (95% CI, 1.2-2.5); p<0.001, AUC 0.68]. Results were similar for discharge copeptin levels. Copeptin also predicted adverse outcomes defined as death, pulmonary embolism and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events. CONCLUSIONS: In a sample of community-dwelling patients visiting their GP for a respiratory infection, copeptin levels were associated with 10-year all-cause mortality. In conjunction with traditional risk factors, this marker may help to better direct preventive measures in this population.

Prospective evaluation of biomarkers for prediction of quality of life in community-acquired pneumonia.

BACKGROUND: Most clinical research investigated prognostic biomarkers for their ability to predict cardiovascular events or mortality. It is unknown whether biomarkers allow prediction of quality of life (QoL) after survival of the acute event. Herein, we investigated the prognostic potential of well-established inflammatory/cardiovascular blood biomarkers including white blood cells (WBC), C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), pro-adrenomedullin (proADM) and pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (proANP) in regard to a decline in QoL in a well-defined cohort of patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). METHODS: Within this secondary analysis including 753 patients with a final inpatient diagnosis of CAP from a multicenter trial, we investigated associations between admission biomarker levels and decline in QoL assessed by the EQ-5D health questionnaire from admission to day 30 and after 6 years. RESULTS: Admission proADM and proANP levels significantly predicted decline of the weighted EQ-5D index after 30 days (n=753) with adjusted odds ratios (ORs) of 2.0 ([95% CI 1.1-3.8]; p=0.027) and 3.7 ([95% CI 2.2-6.0]; p<0.001). Results for 6-year outcomes (n=349) were similar with ORs of 3.3 ([95% CI 1.3-8.3]; p=0.012) and 6.2 ([95% CI 2.7-14.2]; p<0.001). The markers were associated with most of the different QoL dimensions including mobility, self-care, and usual activities, but not pain/discomfort and to a lesser degree anxiety/depression and the visual analogue scale (VAS). Initial WBC, PCT and CRP values did not well predict QoL at any time point. CONCLUSIONS: ProADM and proANP accurately predict short- and long-term decline in QoL across most dimensions in CAP patients. It will be interesting to reveal underlying physiopathology in future studies.

Systematic review regarding metabolic profiling for improved pathophysiological understanding of disease and outcome prediction in respiratory infections.

Metabolic profiling through targeted quantification of a predefined subset of metabolites, performed by mass spectrometric analytical techniques, allows detailed investigation of biological pathways and thus may provide information about the interaction of different organic systems, ultimately improving understanding of disease risk and prognosis in a variety of diseases. Early risk assessment, in turn, may improve patient management in regard to cite-of-care decisions and treatment modalities. Within this review, we focus on the potential of metabolic profiling to improve our pathophysiological understanding of disease and management of patients. We focus thereby on lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) including community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), an important disease responsible for high mortality, morbidity and costs worldwide. Observational data from numerous clinical and experimental studies have provided convincing data linking metabolic blood biomarkers such as lactate, glucose or cortisol to patient outcomes. Also, identified through metabolomic studies, novel innovative metabolic markers such as steroid hormones, biogenic amines, members of the oxidative status, sphingo- and glycerophospholipids, and trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) have shown promising results. Since many uncertainties remain in predicting mortality in these patients, further prospective and retrospective observational studies are needed to uncover metabolic pathways responsible for mortality associated with LRTI. Improved understanding of outcome-specific metabolite signatures in LRTIs may optimize patient management strategies, provide potential new targets for future individual therapy, and thereby improve patients' chances for survival.

The role of metabolomic markers for patients with infectious diseases: implications for risk stratification and therapeutic modulation.

INTRODUCTION: Metabolomics is a rapidly growing area of research. Metabolomic markers can provide information about the interaction of different organ systems, and thereby improve the understanding of physio-pathological processes, disease risk, prognosis and therapy responsiveness in a variety of diseases. Areas covered: In this narrative review of recent clinical studies investigating metabolomic markers in adult patients presenting with acute infectious disease, we mainly focused on patients with sepsis and lower respiratory tract infections. Currently, there is a growing body of literature showing that single metabolites from distinct metabolic pathways, as well as more complex metabolomic signatures are associated with disease severity and outcome in patients with systemic infections. These pathways include, among others, metabolomic markers of oxidative stress, steroid hormone and amino acid pathways, and nutritional markers. Expert commentary: Metabolic profiling has great potential to optimize patient management, to provide new targets for individual therapy and thereby improve survival of patients. At this stage, research mainly focused on the identification of new predictive signatures and less on metabolic determinants to predict treatment response. The transition from observational studies to implementation of novel markers into clinical practice is the next crucial step to prove the usefulness of metabolomic markers in patient care.

Gut, microbiota-dependent trimethylamine-N-oxide is associated with long-term all-cause mortality in patients with exacerbated chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

OBJECTIVES: The gut, microflora-dependent metabolite trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) has emerged as a dietary-associated risk factor for incident cardiovascular events. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a prevalent disease worldwide with a high associated risk for cardiovascular disease and death due to an infectious cause. AIMS: To study whether TMAO is predictive for adverse clinical outcomes in patients with exacerbated COPD. METHODS: A total of 189 patients with COPD exacerbation were prospectively followed for a median of 6.1 y. TMAO plasma levels at the time of emergency department admission were measured by liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry. Cox and linear regression models were used to investigate associations of TMAO with all-cause mortality and different comorbidities. RESULTS: All-cause mortality was 55.6% after 6 y. The deceased patients showed significantly higher median admission TMAO (µmol/L) levels compared with survivors (3.9 [interquartile range: 2.3-7.1] versus 2.9 [interquartile range: 1.8-4.7]; P = 0.01), which resulted in an unadjusted hazard ratio of 1.8 ([95% confidence interval: 1.2-3.0], P = 0.01). This association was no longer significant after multivariate adjustment. Median TMAO levels were similar in nonpneumonic and pneumonic COPD exacerbation. Higher age, higher body mass index, diabetes mellitus, and chronic kidney disease were predictors for increased plasma TMAO levels in linear regression analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Increased circulating TMAO levels per se were associated with long-term all-cause mortality in patients with COPD independent of type of exacerbation. However, this association was largely explained by comorbidities and age. Whether TMAO levels can additionally be influenced by nutritional interventions should be addressed in future studies.

Trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) predicts fatal outcomes in community-acquired pneumonia patients without evident coronary artery disease.

INTRODUCTION: The pro-atherosclerotic metabolite trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) is a risk factor for incident cardiovascular events and a potentially modifiable mediator of chronic inflammation through broad-spectrum antibiotic treatment by changing the microbiome. Whether TMAO is associated with adverse clinical outcomes in acute inflammatory community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) patients is unknown. METHODS: A total of 317 CAP patients from a previous Swiss multicenter trial were prospectively followed for a median of 6.1years. TMAO plasma levels were measured by liquid chromatography coupled with tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). We used Cox regression models to investigate associations between baseline TMAO levels and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Six-year mortality was 45.1%, and 18.9% of the patients had coronary artery disease (CAD). Median admission TMAO (µmolL-1) levels were significantly higher in non-survivors compared to survivors (4.1 [interquartile range (IQR), 2.2-7.2] vs. 2.5 [IQR, 1.5-4.1]; p<0.001). A strong association between TMAO and 6-year all-cause mortality was found for patients without CAD (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.9 ([95% CI 1.2-3.1]; p<0.05). In patients with known CAD, no such association was found (adjusted HR 0.6 (0.2-1.6); p=0.309, interaction p=0.009). In patients without antibiotic pretreatment receiving antibiotic treatment, TMAO significantly decreased from admission to day seven (median, 3.9 [IQR, 2.1-7.5] vs. 3.1 [IQR, 1.4-6.6]; p<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: TMAO is associated with long-term fatal outcomes in CAP patients without evident CAD and modifiable through antibiotic treatment. Whether chronic modulation of TMAO by targeting the microbiome reduces mortality risk needs to be evaluated in future interventional trials.