Doug Altman, medical statistician par excellence: What can radiologists learn from his legacy?

This narrative review describes our experience of working with Doug Altman, the most highly cited medical statistician in the world. Doug was particularly interested in diagnostics, and imaging studies in particular. We describe how his insights helped improve our own radiological research studies and we provide advice for other researchers hoping to improve their own research practice.

Meeting the new joint British Society of Gastrointestinal and Abdominal Radiology and Royal College of Radiologists CT colonography standards: a 6-year experience.

AIM: To audit the performance of computed tomography colonography (CTC) at St Mark's Hospital against the joint British Society of Gastrointestinal and Abdominal Radiology (BSGAR) and Royal College of Radiologists (RCR) standards. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective audit of all CTC studies between January 2012 to December 2017 was performed against the BSGAR/RCR standards along with additional data outwith the guidelines. Evidence was obtained from a central database, radiology information systems (RISs), picture archiving and communication systems (PACSs), and electronic patient records (EPRs). RESULTS: Over the 6 years, 13,143 CTCs were performed and 12,996 (99%) were adequate or better. Of the cases 1,867 had a >6 mm polyp or cancer reported (polyp identification rate [PIR] 14%) and the positive predictive value (PPV) was 93% (1,148/1,240). Median radiation dose was 458 mGy·cm, mean additional acquisition rate was 19% (2,505/13,143), subsequent endoscopy rate was 9% (1,222/13,143) and mean interpretation time for a negative study was 34.6 minutes. Nine perforations occurred (perforation rate of 0.068%) and one was symptomatic (symptomatic perforation rate of 0.008%). For suspected cancers, the same-day endoscopy rate was 27% (96/360) and same-day staging rate was 76% (272/360). Post-imaging colorectal cancer rates (PICRC) was 3.06 per 100 cancers detected and 0.23 per 1,000 CTCs. The service was always rated "good" or higher by patients. CONCLUSION: This audit shows the CTC service at St Mark's Hospital to be safe and of sufficiently high quality to meet the BSGAR/RCR standards with most outcomes equal to or above the aspirational target. Areas for service and individual reader improvement were also identified.

Do radiological research articles apply the term "pilot study" correctly? Systematic review.

AIM: To determine what proportion of radiological studies used the term "pilot" correctly. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Indexed studies describing themselves as a "pilot" in their title were identified from four indexed radiological journals. The aim was to identify 20 consecutive, eligible studies from each journal, as this sample size was deemed sufficient to be representative as to how this methodological description was employed by authors of radiological articles. Data were extracted relating to study design and data presented. The review was reported according to PRISMA guidelines. RESULTS: The search string used identified 658 records across the four targeted journals. Ultimately, 78 reviews describing 5,572 patients were selected for systematic review. Median sample size was just 20 patients. No individual study qualified as a genuine pilot study when assessed against the a priori criteria. In reality, the large majority (66 studies, 84.6%) were framed as studies of diagnostic test accuracy. A significant proportion (21 studies, 26.9%) was retrospective, and the overwhelming majority were conducted in single centres (76 centres, 94.7%). Most (55 studies, 70.5%) stated no rationale for their sample size, and no study presented a formal power calculation. CONCLUSION: Radiological "pilot" studies are mostly underpowered studies of diagnostic test accuracy. In order to have scientific credibility, authors, reviewers, and editors of radiological journals are encouraged to familiarise themselves with different methodological study designs and their precise implications.

What Exactly is Meant by "Loss of Domain" for Ventral Hernia? Systematic Review of Definitions.

Large ventral hernias are a significant surgical challenge. "Loss of domain" (LOD) expresses the relationship between hernia and abdominal volume, and is used to predict operative difficulty and success. This systematic review assessed whether different definitions of LOD are used in the literature. The PubMed database was searched for articles reporting large hernia repairs that explicitly described LOD. Two reviewers screened citations and extracted data from selected articles, focusing on the definitions used for LOD, study demographics, study design, and reporting surgical specialty. One hundred and seven articles were identified, 93 full-texts examined, and 77 were included in the systematic review. Sixty-seven articles were from the primary literature, and 10 articles were from the secondary literature. Twenty-eight articles (36%) gave a written definition for loss of domain. These varied and divided into six broad groupings; four described the loss of the right of domain, six described abdominal strap muscle contraction, five described the "second abdomen", five describing large irreducible hernias. Six gave miscellaneous definitions. Two articles gave multiple definitions. Twenty articles (26%) gave volumetric definitions; eight used the Tanaka method [hernia sac volume (HSV)/abdominal cavity volume] and five used the Sabbagh method [(HSV)/total peritoneal volume]. The definitions used for loss of domain were not dependent on the reporting specialty. Our systematic review revealed that multiple definitions of loss of domain are being used. These vary and are not interchangeable. Expert consensus on this matter is necessary to standardise this important concept for hernia surgeons.

Diagnostic pathways in Crohn's disease.

The management of Crohn's disease (CD) is shifting from a stepwise, incremental approach based on symptom control to more aggressive early combined immunosuppression in an attempt to induce remission more rapidly and avoid long-term bowel damage. Accurately defining disease activity is a major challenge, as there is often a disconnect between symptomatology and underlying disease status. The role of imaging in CD has evolved such that it now plays a central role establishing the initial diagnosis, characterising disease phenotype, activity assessment, disease surveillance, and assessing response to therapy. Furthermore, the "treat-to-target" approach is being investigated in CD, with resolution of transmural inflammation on cross-sectional imaging being the treatment goal. In this review, we summarise the principal imaging techniques available to the radiologist, the key findings, and provide some guidance on the preferred imaging option in the diagnostic pathway. We consider the relative merits and drawbacks of each imaging technique before offering a brief discussion of some current developments and research avenues in CD imaging. We discuss how imaging may be useful in a "treat-to-target" approach. Finally, we highlight some practical considerations around service configuration and delivery to optimise imaging in CD in an accurate, cost-effective manner.

Automated versus subjective assessment of spatial and temporal MRI small bowel motility in Crohn's disease.

AIM: To investigate whether subjective radiologist grading of motility on magnetic resonance enterography (MRE) is as effective as software quantification, and to determine the combination of motility metrics with the strongest association with symptom severity. MATERIALS AND METHODS: One hundred and five Crohn's disease patients (52 male, 53 female, 16-68 years old, mean age 34 years old) recruited from two sites underwent MRE, including a 20 second breath-hold cine motility sequence. Each subject completed a Harvey-Bradshaw Index (HBI) symptom questionnaire. Five features within normally appearing bowel were scored visually by two experienced radiologists, and then quantified using automated analysis software, including (1) mean motility, (2) spatial motility variation, (3) temporal motility variation, (4) area of motile bowel, (5) intestinal distension. Multivariable linear regression derived the combination of features with the highest association with HBI score. RESULTS: The best automated metric combination was temporal variation (p<0.05) plus area of motile bowel (p<0.05), achieving an R2 adjusted value of 0.036. Spatial variation was also associated with symptoms (p<0.05, R2 adjusted = 0.034); however, when visually assessed by radiologists, none of the features had a significant relationship with the HBI score. CONCLUSION: Software quantified temporal and spatial variability in bowel motility are associated with abdominal symptoms in Crohn's disease. Subjective radiologist assessment of bowel motility is insufficient to detect aberrant motility. Automated analysis of motility patterns holds promise as an objective biomarker for aberrant physiology underlying symptoms in enteric disorders.

Effect of faecal occult blood positivity on detection rates and positive predictive value of CT colonography when screening for colorectal neoplasia.

AIM: To determine the detection rates and positive predictive value (PPV) of computed tomography (CT) colonography (CTC) according to the magnitude of faecal occult blood test (FOBt) positivity. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Anonymised data from individuals undergoing CTC after a positive FOBt in the English Bowel Cancer Screening Programme were analysed. The detection of colorectal cancer (CRC), advanced neoplasia, and ≥ 6 mm polyps were stratified by the number of positive FOBt windows. The PPV was calculated by reference to subsequent endoscopy results. The influence of the FOBt result on detection rates was estimated with multilevel logistic regression. PPV, CRC stage, and location were compared across groups according to FOBt positivity. RESULTS: Four thousand, six hundred and one individuals were included (mean = 66.7 years, 54.2% men). Detection rates of CRC and advanced neoplasia increased with greater numbers of positive FOBt windows (odds ratio [OR] for CRC = 1.41; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.31-1.52; OR for advanced neoplasia = 1.17; 95%CI: 1.12-1.23; both p < 0.0001). The PPV was significantly greater at higher FOBt levels (p = 0.020). The number of positive FOBt windows had no significant effect on stage (p = 0.30) or location (p = 0.20) of confirmed CRC. CONCLUSIONS: The magnitude of FOBt positivity influences the PPV and detection rates when screening for colorectal neoplasia. CTC may be particularly useful for FOBt patients with few positive test windows.

Patterns of recurrence of gastrointestinal stromal tumour (GIST) following complete resection: implications for follow-up.

AIM: To determine the frequency, time course and sites of recurrence following surgical resection of gastrointestinal stromal tumours (GIST) and to evaluate the performance of a risk-based surveillance protocol in detection of recurrence. METHODS: Eighty-one patients on surveillance following complete resection of GIST were included. Patients were stratified into risk groups according to accepted histopathological criteria. Computed tomography (CT) examinations were retrospectively reviewed to determine rates, sites and imaging characteristics of recurrence and to assess compliance with the local follow-up protocol. RESULTS: The median time of follow-up was 41 months. Nineteen patients suffered recurrence, all of whom were in the high-risk group. Fifty-eight percent of relapses occurred within 1 year and 84% within 3 years. Even within the high-risk group, patients with relapse had significantly larger (mean 15 versus 10.4 cm, p < 0.05) and more mitotically active primary tumours (mean 33.7 versus 5.6 mitoses per 50 high-power fields; p < 0.05) than those with no relapse. Relapse was to the liver in 12 cases (63%) and to the omentum and mesentery in nine cases (47%), and was asymptomatic in three-quarters of patients. CONCLUSIONS: The high incidence of GIST recurrence in the high-risk group in the first 3 years after surgery supports the use of intensive imaging surveillance in this period. Relapse is often asymptomatic and commonly occurs to the liver, omentum and mesentery. Stratification by tumour factors may enable improved tailoring of surveillance protocols within the high-risk group in the future.

Evaluating patients' preferences for type of bowel preparation prior to screening CT colonography: convenience and comfort versus sensitivity and specificity.

AIMS: To explore the relative value patients place on comfort and convenience versus test sensitivity and specificity in the context of computed tomographic colonography (CTC) screening. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty semi-structured interviews were carried out with patients attending hospital for radiological tests unrelated to CTC. Preferences for CTC with different types of bowel preparation for CTC screening were examined and interviews were analysed thematically. The discussion guide included separate sections on CTC, bowel preparation methods (non-, reduced- and full-laxative), and sensitivity and specificity. Patients were given information on each topic in turn and asked about their views and preferences during each section. RESULTS: Following information about the test, patients' attitudes towards CTC were positive. Following information on bowel preparation, full-laxative purgation was anticipated to cause more adverse physical and lifestyle effects than using reduced- or non-laxative preparation. However, stated preferences were approximately equally divided, largely due to patients anticipating that non-laxative preparations would reduce test accuracy (because the bowel was not thoroughly cleansed). Following information on sensitivity and specificity (which supported patients' expectations), the predominant stated preference was for full-laxative preparation. CONCLUSIONS: Patients are likely to value test sensitivity and specificity over a more comfortable and convenient preparation. Future research should test this hypothesis on a larger sample.

CT colonography in the English Bowel Cancer Screening Programme: national survey of current practice.

AIM: To obtain information regarding the provision of computed tomography colonography (CTC) services to the National Health Service (NHS) Bowel Cancer Screening Programme (BCSP). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Specialist screening practitioners at the 58 BCSP screening centres and lead BCSP radiologists at 110 hospitals performing CTC for the Programme were contacted and completed a semi-structured questionnaire administered by telephone. Responses were collated and descriptive statistics derived. RESULTS: One hundred and seven (98%) SSPs and 103 (94%) radiologists were surveyed. All screening centres had access to CTC at 110 hospital sites. All sites used CTC for failed or contraindicated colonoscopy, 24% used it for patients taking anticoagulants, and 17% for those with fear of colonoscopy. Patient preference was not an indication at any site. Multidetector CT (100%), carbon dioxide insufflators (94%), and CTC software (95%) were almost universal. Ninety-one percent of radiographers and 98% of radiologists were trained in CTC image acquisition and interpretation, respectively. Seventy-five percent of the radiologists were gastrointestinal subspecialists and two-thirds had interpreted more than 300 examinations in clinical practice, although 5% had interpreted fewer than 100. Eighty-one percent of radiologists favoured some form of accreditation for CTC interpretation. CONCLUSIONS: CTC is widely available to the BCSP. Appropriate hardware and software is almost ubiquitous. Most radiographers and radiologists offering CTC to the BCSP have received specific training. Formal service evaluation is patchy. The majority of radiologists would welcome national accreditation for CTC.

An interview study analysing patients' experiences and perceptions of non-laxative or full-laxative preparation with faecal tagging prior to CT colonography.

AIM: To compare patients' experiences of either non- or full-laxative bowel preparation with additional faecal tagging and subsequent computed tomographic (CT) colonography using in-depth interviews to elicit detailed responses. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients who received CT colonography after non- (n = 9) or full-laxative (n = 9) preparation participated in a semi-structured telephone interview at least 2 days after the investigation. Full-laxative preparation consisted of magnesium citrate and sodium picosulphate administered at home (or polyethylene glycol, if contraindicated), followed by hospital-based faecal tagging with iohexol. Non-laxative preparation was home-based barium sulphate for faecal tagging. Interviews were transcribed and thematically analysed to identify recurrent themes on patients' perceptions and experiences. RESULTS: Experiences of full-laxative preparation were usually negative and characterized by pre-test diarrhoea that caused significant interference with daily routine. Post-test flatus was common. Non-laxative preparation was well-tolerated; patients reported no or minimal changes to bowel habit and rapid return to daily routine. Patients reported worry and uncertainty about the purpose of faecal tagging. For iohexol, this also added burden from waiting before testing. CONCLUSION: Patients' responses supported previous findings that non-laxative preparation is more acceptable than full-laxative preparation but both can be improved. Faecal tagging used in combination with laxative preparation is poorly understood, adding burden and worry. Home-based non-laxative preparation is also poorly understood and patients require better information on the purpose and mechanism in order to give fully informed consent. This may also optimize adherence to instructions. Allowing home-based self-administration of all types of preparation would prevent waiting before testing.

Contemporary imaging of rectus diastasis and the abdominal wall.

Diastasis of the rectus abdominis muscles (rectus diastasis, RD) is common, particularly in postpartum women. Although imaging is not always mandatory for assessment, several cross-sectional imaging techniques, in particular ultrasound (US), computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can depict the abdominal wall in exquisite detail. They permit simultaneous assessment of the degree and craniocaudal extent of RD, evaluation for co-existent hernia and subjective judgement of muscle quality. Increasingly, dynamic imaging techniques show both static anatomy and muscle movement and function. In this review, we highlight the imaging findings of RD, associated hernia, and potential mimics.

Identifying predictors of ventral hernia recurrence: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Ventra hernias are increasing in prevalence and many recur despite attempted repair. To date, much of the literature is underpowered and divergent. As a result there is limited high quality evidence to inform surgeons succinctly which perioperative variables influence postoperative recurrence. This systematic review aimed to identify predictors of ventral hernia recurrence. METHODS: PubMed was searched for studies reporting prognostic data of ventral hernia recurrence between 1 January 1995 and 1 January 2018. Extracted data described hernia type (primary/incisional), definitions of recurrence, methods used to detect recurrence, duration of follow-up, and co-morbidity. Data were extracted for all potential predictors, estimates and thresholds described. Random-effects meta-analysis was used. Bias was assessed with a modified PROBAST (Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool). RESULTS: Screening of 18 214 abstracts yielded 274 individual studies for inclusion. Hernia recurrence was defined in 66 studies (24.1 per cent), using 41 different unstandardized definitions. Three patient variables (female sex, age 65 years or less, and BMI greater than 25, 30, 35 or 40 kg/m2), five patient co-morbidities (smoking, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, ASA grade III-IV, steroid use), two hernia-related variables (incisional/primary, recurrent/primary), six intraoperative variables (biological mesh, bridged repair, open versus laparoscopic surgery, suture versus mesh repair, onlay/retrorectus, intraperitoneal/retrorectus), and six postoperative variables (any complication, surgical-site occurrence, wound infection, seroma, haematoma, wound dehiscence) were identified as significant prognostic factors for hernia recurrence. CONCLUSION: This study summarized the current evidence base for predicting ventral hernia recurrence. Results should inform best practice and future research.

Adult intestinal failure.

Intestinal failure (IF) is the inability of the alimentary tract to digest and absorb sufficient nutrition to maintain normal fluid balance, growth, and health. It commonly arises from disease affecting the mesenteric root. Although severe IF is usually managed in specialized units, it lies at the end of a spectrum with degrees of nutritional compromise being widely encountered, but commonly under-recognized. Furthermore, in the majority of cases, the initial enteric insult occurs in non-specialist IF centres. The aim of this article is to review the common causes of IF, general principles of its management, some commoner complications, and the role of radiology in the approach to a patient with severe IF. The radiologist has a crucial role in helping provide access for feeding solutions (both enteral and parenteral) and controlling sepsis (via drainage of collections) in an initial restorative phase of treatment, whilst simultaneously mapping bowel anatomy and quality, and searching for disease complications to assist the clinicians in planning a later, restorative phase of therapy.

European guidelines on achalasia: United European Gastroenterology and European Society of Neurogastroenterology and Motility recommendations.

INTRODUCTION: Achalasia is a primary motor disorder of the oesophagus characterised by absence of peristalsis and insufficient lower oesophageal sphincter relaxation. With new advances and developments in achalasia management, there is an increasing demand for comprehensive evidence-based guidelines to assist clinicians in achalasia patient care. METHODS: Guidelines were established by a working group of representatives from United European Gastroenterology, European Society of Neurogastroenterology and Motility, European Society of Gastrointestinal and Abdominal Radiology and the European Association of Endoscopic Surgery in accordance with the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation II instrument. A systematic review of the literature was performed, and the certainty of the evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation methodology. Recommendations were voted upon using a nominal group technique. RESULTS: These guidelines focus on the definition of achalasia, treatment aims, diagnostic tests, medical, endoscopic and surgical therapy, management of treatment failure, follow-up and oesophageal cancer risk. CONCLUSION: These multidisciplinary guidelines provide a comprehensive evidence-based framework with recommendations on the diagnosis, treatment and follow-up of adult achalasia patients.