Machine learning prediction for COVID-19 disease severity at hospital admission.

IMPORTANCE: Early prognostication of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 who may require mechanical ventilation and have worse outcomes within 30 days of admission is useful for delivering appropriate clinical care and optimizing resource allocation. OBJECTIVE: To develop machine learning models to predict COVID-19 severity at the time of the hospital admission based on a single institution data. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: We established a retrospective cohort of patients with COVID-19 from University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center from May 2020 to March 2022. Easily accessible objective markers including basic laboratory variables and initial respiratory status were assessed using Random Forest's feature importance score to create a predictive risk score. Twenty-five significant variables were identified to be used in classification models. The best predictive models were selected with repeated tenfold cross-validation methods. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Among patients with COVID-19 admitted to the hospital, severity was defined by 30-day mortality (30DM) rates and need for mechanical ventilation. RESULTS: This was a large, single institution COVID-19 cohort including total of 1795 patients. The average age was 59.7 years old with diverse heterogeneity. 236 (13%) required mechanical ventilation and 156 patients (8.6%) died within 30 days of hospitalization. Predictive accuracy of each predictive model was validated with the 10-CV method. Random Forest classifier for 30DM model had 192 sub-trees, and obtained 0.72 sensitivity and 0.78 specificity, and 0.82 AUC. The model used to predict MV has 64 sub-trees and returned obtained 0.75 sensitivity and 0.75 specificity, and 0.81 AUC. Our scoring tool can be accessed at https://faculty.tamuc.edu/mmete/covid-risk.html . CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this study, we developed a risk score based on objective variables of COVID-19 patients within six hours of admission to the hospital, therefore helping predict a patient's risk of developing critical illness secondary to COVID-19.

Comparison of New Visual Disturbances after Superior versus Nasal/Temporal Laser Peripheral Iridotomy: A Prospective Randomized Trial.

PURPOSE: To determine whether laser peripheral iridotomy (LPI) location affects postoperative dysphotopsia symptoms. DESIGN: Multicenter, randomized, prospective, single-masked trial. PARTICIPANTS: Five hundred fifty-nine South Indian patients 30 years of age or older diagnosed as primary angle-closure suspects (PACSs) or with primary angle closure (PAC) or primary angle-closure glaucoma (PACG) in both eyes. METHODS: Patients were randomized to either bilateral superior or bilateral nasal/temporal LPI. Occurrence of new visual disturbances was evaluated before and 2 weeks after LPI using a questionnaire based on the 7-item dysphotopsia symptoms described by Spaeth et al. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: New-onset dysphotopsia symptoms. RESULTS: Superior LPI (n = 285) and nasal/temporal LPI (n = 274) patients were matched for age (P = 0.6), gender (P = 0.7), and distribution of PACS versus PAC or PACG (P = 0.7). Similar initial laser energy settings were used in both groups (P = 0.3), although superior LPIs required more shots (P = 0.006) and greater total energy (P < 0.001) than nasal/temporal LPIs. No significant differences in postoperative anterior chamber reaction (P = 0.7) or LPI area (P = 0.9) were noted between the 2 groups. No group differences were noted regarding the proportion of patients demonstrating 1 or more dysphotopsia symptoms before LPI (15.8% for superior vs. 13.9% for nasal/temporal; P = 0.1) or any individual dysphotopsia symptom (P > 0.2 for all). After LPI, 8.9% of all patients reported 1 or more new symptoms, the most common consisting of linear dysphotopsias, glare, and blurring in 2.7%, 4.3%, and 4.3% of patients, respectively. Patients undergoing superior LPI were not more likely to describe the new onset of 1 or more dysphotopsia symptoms as compared with patients undergoing nasal/temporal LPI (8.4% vs. 9.5%; P = 0.7), nor did the frequency of any new individual symptoms differ by group (P ≥ 0.3 for all). In multivariate logistic regression analysis, neither LPI location nor LPI area nor total laser energy predicted higher odds of new postoperative dysphotopsias (P > 0.1 for all). CONCLUSIONS: Laser peripheral iridotomy likely is safe with respect to visual dysphotopsias regardless of location, LPI size, and amount of laser energy used.

Cashew Nut Consumption Increases HDL Cholesterol and Reduces Systolic Blood Pressure in Asian Indians with Type 2 Diabetes: A 12-Week Randomized Controlled Trial.

Background: There is increasing evidence that nut consumption decreases the risk of cardiovascular disease. However, there are few data on the health effects of cashew nuts among adults with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). Objective: The study aimed to investigate the effects of cashew nut supplementation on glycemia, body weight, blood pressure, and lipid profile in Asian Indians with T2DM. Methods: In a parallel-arm, randomized controlled trial, 300 adults with T2DM [mean ± SD age: 51 ± 9.3 y; body mass index (BMI; in kg/m2): 26.0 ± 3.4; 55% male] were randomly assigned to receive advice to follow a standard diabetic diet (control) or similar advice plus 30 g cashew nuts/d (intervention) for 12 wk. The macronutrient composition of the prescribed diabetic diet was 60-65% energy from carbohydrates, 15-25% from fat, and the rest from protein. Differences between groups in changes in anthropometric and biochemical variables were analyzed using linear models with robust variance estimation under an assumed independence working correlation. Results: Participants in the intervention group had a greater decrease in systolic blood pressure from baseline to 12 wk than did controls (-4.9 ± 13.7 compared with -1.7 ± 11.6 mm Hg; P = 0.04) and a greater increase in plasma HDL cholesterol compared with controls (+1.7 ± 5.6 compared with +0.1 ± 4.6 mg/dL; P = 0.01). There were no differences between the groups with respect to changes in body weight, BMI, blood lipid, and glycemic variables. Plasma oleic acid concentrations and self-reported dietary intake of nuts, oleic acid, and monounsaturated fatty acids suggested excellent compliance with the nut consumption. Conclusion: Cashew nut supplementation in Asian Indians with T2DM reduced systolic blood pressure and increased HDL cholesterol concentrations with no deleterious effects on body weight, glycemia, or other lipid variables. This study was registered at the clinical trial registry of India as CTRI/2017/07/009022.

Enhanced nearfield acoustic holography for larger distances of reconstructions using fixed parameter Tikhonov regularization.

This paper evaluates the performance of various regularization parameter choice methods applied to different approaches of nearfield acoustic holography when a very nearfield measurement is not possible. For a fixed grid resolution, the larger the hologram distance, the larger the error in the naive nearfield acoustic holography reconstructions. These errors can be smoothed out by using an appropriate order of regularization. This study shows that by using a fixed/manual choice of regularization parameter, instead of automated parameter choice methods, reasonably accurate reconstructions can be obtained even when the hologram distance is 16 times larger than the grid resolution.

Management Practices in Indian Patients with Uncontrolled Hypertension.

INTRODUCTION: Hypertension (HTN), being a major risk factor for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), is an important issue of medical and public health. High blood pressure (BP) is ranked as the third most important risk factor for attributable burden of disease in south Asia (2010). Hypertension (HTN) exerts a substantial public health burden on cardiovascular health status and healthcare systems in India. Uncontrolled hypertension among adults with hypertension is associated with increased mortality. An inadequate data is available in India on uncontrolled hypertension. OBJECTIVES: The present study was planned to evaluate the patient profile, co-morbidities, management in uncontrolled hypertensive patients and also to determine the number of patients with resistant hypertension across India. METHODS: A total of 4725 uncontrolled hypertensive patients who were on anti-hypertensive medications were evaluated in this cross-sectional and observational study. The observed patterns were recorded with respect to the prevalence of uncontrolled hypertension and evaluate the socio-demographic, medical history, anthropometric variables and treatment preferences in Indian patients with uncontrolled hypertension. RESULTS: Majority of the patients with uncontrolled hypertension were males (71.4%) and aged 46-65 years. Most of the study population were pre-obese (males: 35.7%; females: 27.4%). Higher proportion of patients with uncontrolled hypertension were residents of Maharashtra (25.6%) and Gujarat (11.6%). Antihypertensive monotherapy was used by 45.4% and 54.6% patients used combination therapy (≥ 2 categories of anti-hypertensive medications). Angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) were the most preferred agent as monotherapy (70.6%) and also the most common component of dual and triple combination anti-hypertensive agent. 19.5% (922/4725) patients had resistant hypertension and 80% of the patients were aged 46-65 years. Higher proportion of patients were males (67.2%; 620/922) and higher proportion of patients were to residents of Andhra Pradesh (21.4% patients) and Maharashtra (19.3% patients). All 922 resistant hypertensive patients were on ≥ 3 anti-hypertensive medications and received ARB + CCB + Diuretics as the most preferred anti-hypertensive combination therapy. Diabetes and dyslipidaemia were the major comorbidities reported in patients with uncontrolled and resistant hypertension. Lipid lowering agents followed by oral hypoglycaemic agents and antiplatelet medications were the common concomitant medications used. Various factor responsible for not achieving the desired blood pressure goals may be the physician's lack of awareness about recent hypertensive treatment guidelines that might contribute to patient's poor adherence due to not explaining adequately the benefit and risks of a medication, not giving consideration to the patient's life style, the cost of medication, and inadequate dose titration. CONCLUSIONS: Uncontrolled hypertension is a major problem in India. It is prudent to focus on multiple risk factors while treating hypertension. A combination therapy with multiple blood pressure lowering drugs are important and concerns should be identified while selecting the appropriate dosage of combinations of anti-hypertensive therapy and adherence to the therapy. The preferred choices for mono, dual combination and triple combination anti-hypertensive regimens are ARBs; ARB + CCB; ARB + CCB + Diuretics, respectively. In this study, most of the patients were on monotherapy; however a rationale combination therapy or dose adjustment is required for the effective management of hypertension. The protective measures to be taken to control hypertension includes reduction of physicians inertia, diet and physical activity, regular patient follow-up with BP measurements and counselling, and the improvement in patient adherence.

Comparison between ocular biometry parameters in patients with unilateral congenital glaucoma.

Purpose: To compare the axial length (AL) and corneal diameter between glaucomatous eye (GE) and fellow normal eye (NE) in patients with unilateral congenital glaucoma and to obtain a normative database for ocular growth among Indian children below 3 years of age. Methods: Retrospective longitudinal study. Patients who had a follow-up of 3 years from diagnosis with ocular biometry parameters being recorded at least thrice (once a year) and fellow eye being normal were included. Data collected were age, gender, intraocular pressure (IOP), AL, corneal diameter, optic disc findings, diagnosis, and surgery details. Results: Eleven patients were analyzed. All GE underwent combined trabeculotomy with trabeculectomy. Mean (SD) baseline IOP, AL, and corneal diameter were 17.1 (6.7) mmHg, 18.9 (1.1) mm and 12 (0.91) mm in GE, and 11.1 (3.8) mmHg, 17.8 (0.44) mm, and 10.5 (0.58) mm in NE, respectively. Increase in AL was 3.1 mm in the first year followed by 0.6 mm in second year and 0.4 mm in third year in GE compared to 2.6, 0.6, and 0.5 mm in NE, respectively. Corneal diameter increased by 1.1 mm in GE in the first year and remained stable thereafter compared to 0.7 mm in first year followed by 0.3 mm in second year and stable thereafter in NE. The percentage of success was 73% at 3 years. Conclusion: Axial length and corneal diameter were higher in GE than NE at all-time points. With prompt intervention, the growth curve of the GE was made parallel to that of NE.

Scurvy: a rare cause of haemarthrosis.

A male in his 60s with a history of previously treated locally advanced head and neck cancer presented to the emergency department with atraumatic left knee pain and upper and lower extremity ecchymoses that had been present for 3 weeks. His initial laboratory results showed a normocytic anaemia, normal platelet count, slightly abnormal coagulation studies and normal inflammatory markers. Arthrocentesis of the left knee revealed haemarthrosis, and additional laboratory workup found an undetectable serum vitamin C (ascorbic acid) level consistent with scurvy. It was determined that scurvy had predisposed the patient to injury, leading to haemarthrosis. Following vitamin C supplementation, dietary and activity modifications, and acetaminophen as needed, the patient's serum vitamin C level normalised and his left knee pain and swelling improved. Scurvy is a rare cause of haemarthrosis, but it should be recognised in at-risk patients since treatment is effective.

Smartphone Gonioscopy With a Magnifying Intraocular Lens: A Cost-effective Angle Imaging Device.

Gonioscopy is an important part of glaucoma diagnosis and management. Imaging and documentation of the anterior chamber angle has been previously performed using slit-lamp-assisted photography or using smartphones with or without an attached macro lens. Smartphones have transformed ophthalmic imaging by virtue of their availability, easy use, and portability. In this report, the authors aim to demonstrate gonio-imaging using a smartphone attached with an intraocular lens which behaves like a macro lens. With the patient in a sitting position or in the supine position, a goniolens is placed on the patient's cornea. A smartphone with a 10 D intraocular lens attachment over its camera is used to take images or videos of the anterior chamber angle with high magnification. This imaging modality is cost-effective and can be used for screening and photographic documentation of the angle, and can be of immense benefit, especially in primary health care centers.

Effect of almond consumption on insulin sensitivity and serum lipids among Asian Indian adults with overweight and obesity- A randomized controlled trial.

Background: Asian Indians have an increased susceptibility to type 2 diabetes and premature coronary artery disease. Nuts, like almonds, are rich in unsaturated fat and micronutrients with known health benefits. Objectives: This study aimed to assess the efficacy of almonds for reduction of insulin resistance and improving lipid profile in overweight Asian Indian adults. Methods: This parallel-arm, randomized, controlled trial was conducted in Chennai, India on 400 participants aged 25-65 years with a body mass index ≥ 23 kg/m2. The intervention group received 43 g of almonds/day for 12 weeks, while the control group was advised to consume a customary diet but to avoid nuts. Anthropometric, clinical, and dietary data were assessed at periodic intervals. Glucose tolerance, serum insulin, glycated hemoglobin, C-peptide and lipid profile were assessed at baseline and end of the study. Insulin resistance (homeostasis assessment model-HOMA IR) and oral insulin disposition index (DIo) were calculated. Results: A total of 352 participants completed the study. Significant improvement was seen in DIo [mean (95% CI) = + 0.7 mmol/L (0.1, 1.3); p = 0.03], HOMA IR (-0.4 (-0.7, -0.04; p = 0.03) and total cholesterol (-5.4 mg/dl (-10.2, -0.6); p = 0.03) in the intervention group compared to the control group. Incremental area under the curve (IAUC) and mean amplitude of glycemic excursion (MAGE) assessed using continuous glucose monitoring systems were also significantly lower in the intervention group. Dietary 24-h recalls showed a higher significant reduction in carbohydrate and increase in mono unsaturated fatty acid (MUFA) and polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) intake in the intervention group compared to the control group. Conclusion: Daily consumption of almonds increased the intake of MUFA with decrease in carbohydrate calories and decreases insulin resistance, improves insulin sensitivity and lowers serum cholesterol in Asian Indians with overweight/obesity. These effects in the long run could aid in reducing the risk of diabetes and other cardiometabolic disease.

The Heritability of Primary Angle Closure Anatomic Traits and Predictors of Angle Closure in South Indian Siblings.

PURPOSE: To estimate the heritability of ocular biometric and anterior chamber morphologic parameters and to determine predictors of angle closure concordance in South Indian probands with angle closure and their siblings DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study METHODS: Subjects received a standardized ophthalmic examination, A-scan ultrasonography, pachymetry, and anterior segment optical coherence tomography (ASOCT) imaging. Heritability was calculated using residual correlation coefficients adjusted for age, sex, and home setting. Concordant sibling pairs were defined as both proband and sibling with angle closure. Predictors of angle closure concordance among siblings were calculated using multivariable logistic regression models. RESULTS: A total of 345 sibling pairs participated. All anterior chamber parameters were highly heritable (P < .001 for all). Similarly, all iris parameters, axial length, lens thickness (LT), central corneal thickness, anterior lens curvature, lens vault (LV), spherical equivalent, and intraocular pressure were moderately to highly heritable (P < .004 for all). LV and LT were more heritable among concordant siblings (P < .05 for both). In contrast, ASOCT angle parameters had statistically insignificant heritability estimates. In multivariable analyses, siblings older than their probands were more likely to be concordant for angle closure (OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.01, 1.09; P = .02) and siblings with deeper anterior chamber depths (ACDs) compared to their proband were less likely to be concordant for angle closure (OR 0.74, 95% CI 0.64, 0.86; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Iris, anterior chamber, and lens parameters may be heritable whereas angle parameters were not. LT and LV may play important roles in the pathogenesis of angle closure. Siblings who are older or have a shallower ACD may need more careful disease monitoring.

Assessment of glaucoma referral letter for quality and accuracy among patients referred to a tertiary eye care center.

Purpose: To assess the quality and accuracy of glaucoma referrals from ophthalmologist. Methods: Retrospective review of patients chart with referral letter to a tertiary glaucoma center between January and December 2017. Patients aged <16 years, lens-induced glaucoma, uveitic glaucoma, and glaucoma following retinal and corneal surgery were excluded. Results: A total of 184 patients referred by 55 ophthalmologists were included. Mean patient age (SD) was 57.8 ± 14 years. Intraocular pressure was not documented in the referral letter in 113 (61%) patients, gonioscopy in 174 (95%) patients, disc findings in 149 (81%) patients, and visual fields in 175 (95%) patients. Thirteen (37%) of the 35 patients referred as open angle glaucoma were found to have angle closure glaucoma. Pseudoexfoliation glaucoma was diagnosed in 29 (16%) patients, of which 18 were missed by the referring ophthalmologist. Conclusion: In our study >90% of referral letter did not have the essential parameters. A standard template for glaucoma referral is suggested, which will help the patient to get better transfer of care.

Mefenamic acid-induced bilateral transient myopia, secondary angle closure glaucoma and choroidal detachment.

Drug-induced secondary angle closure is quite common and in the majority of cases simply stopping the medication leads to rapid reversal of the condition and resolution of glaucoma. We describe here a patient who presented with secondary angle closure glaucoma and myopia following mefenamic acid ingestion which was managed successfully by stopping the medication, symptomatic treatment and reassurance.

Effect of Mannitol on Intraocular Pressure in Vitrectomized and Nonvitrectomized Eyes: A Prospective Comparative Study.

PURPOSE: To compare the effect of mannitol in reducing intraocular pressure (IOP) in vitrectomized and nonvitrectomized eyes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Prospective comparative case study. Eyes with IOP≥40 mm Hg were included. Eyes which are vitrectomized and silicon oil filled were classified as group 1, and nonvitrectomized open-angle eyes were classified as group 2. Mannitol (20%, 1 g/kg) was administered intravenously over 30 minutes, and IOP was recorded at 30 minutes interval till 2 hours and at the third and fourth hour from the start of mannitol. RESULTS: Thirty eyes (patients) were recruited in each group. Mean (SD) IOP reduced from 48.5±5.2 to 43.7±8 at 30 minutes, 40.7±8.4 at 60 minutes, 37.3±9.6 at 90 minutes, 35.6±10.4 at 2 hours, 34±10.7 at 3 hours, and 33±11.2 mm Hg at 4 hours in group 1, and from 48.9±6.5 to 43.2±8.6 at 30 minutes, 40.2±7.8 at 60 minutes, 36.7±7.3 at 90 minutes, 35.1±7.7 at 2 hours, 34.2±8.8 at 3 hours, and 35.7±9.4 mm Hg at 4 hours in group 2. There was a significant reduction in IOP at each time point compared with baseline in both the groups (P<0.001). There was no significant difference in IOP between the 2 groups at each time point. CONCLUSION: Mannitol reduces IOP significantly in both vitrectomized and nonvitrectomized eyes.

Intermediate-term outcome of Aurolab aqueous drainage implant.

PURPOSE: To report the intermediate-term safety and efficacy of Aurolab aqueous drainage implant (AADI) in patients with glaucoma. METHODS: Retrospective review of patients who underwent AADI between January 2013 and December 2016. Patients aged >16 years and with a minimum follow-up of 6 months were included. Success was defined as complete when the intraocular pressure was ≥6 and ≤21 mmHg without antiglaucoma medication and as qualified if those requiring additional antiglaucoma medications were included. RESULTS: The study included 55 patients (55 eyes) with a mean age ± standard deviation (SD) of 47.3 ± 18.1 years with a mean follow-up of 16.7 ± 11.4 months. Mean intraocular pressure reduced from 30.8 ± 11.1 mmHg to 13.1 ± 4.7, 14.1 ± 4.8, 15.7 ± 2.5 (P < 0.001) mmHg at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years, respectively. The mean number of antiglaucoma medications reduced from 3.4 ± 1 to 0.8 ± 1.2, 0.7 ± 1.1, 0.8 ± 1 (P < 0.001) at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years, respectively. The cumulative probability of complete and qualified success was 62% and 100% at 6 months, 54% and 92% at 1 year, and 43% and 88% at 2 years, respectively. Four patients failed during the follow-up period. Postoperative complication occurred in 28 eyes (51%), of which 17 eyes (31%) required intervention. CONCLUSION: AADI is a safe and effective treatment for the control of intraocular pressure in patients with glaucoma.

Caregiver Burden in Primary Congenital Glaucoma.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the demographic, clinical, and socioeconomic factors associated with variation in the quality of life (QOL) in caregivers of children with primary congenital glaucoma (PCG) in south India. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey. METHODS: Caregivers of children younger than 18 with diagnosed PCG were prospectively enrolled at Aravind Eye Hospital in Madurai and Coimbatore, India. Participants completed 2 questionnaires, the PHQ-9 (9-item Patient Health Questionnaire) and the CarCGQoL (Caregivers Congenital Glaucoma QOL Questionnaire). Clinical, demographic, and socioeconomic data were obtained for each child-caregiver dyad. Rasch-calibrated scores were calculated for patient-reported outcome measures. Spearman correlation and linear regression were used to analyze data to determine associations with caregiver QOL. RESULTS: There were 70 caregivers (mean age 32.1, 77.1% female) of 70 children with PCG (mean age 7.7, 37.1% female) included in the study. In univariate and multivariable analyses, child's age (ß = -0.04; 95% confidence interval, -0.08 to -0.01) and duration of disease (ß = - 0.03; 95% confidence interval, -0.07 to -0.01) were the only factors associated with CarCGQoL. Survey items related to anger, self-confidence, irritability, appetite, and interest in leisure activities had the lowest scores. There was a negative correlation between CarCGQoL and PHQ-9 scores (r = -0.66, P < .01), indicating that worse caregiver QOL was significantly correlated with more depressive symptoms. CONCLUSION: This study identified traits associated with QOL decline, as well as the QOL issues most likely to affect caregivers of children with PCG in south India. Findings from this study may be important for designing interventions to improve caregivers' QOL, thereby maximizing their ability to care for children with PCG.