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OBJECTIVES: As coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) spread, many states implemented nonpharmaceutical interventions in the absence of effective therapies with varying degrees of success. Our aim was to evaluate restrictions comparing two regions of Georgia and their impact on outcomes as measured by confirmed illness and deaths. METHODS: Using The New York Times COVID-19 incidence data and mandate information from various web sites, we examined trends in cases and deaths using joinpoint analysis at the region and county level before and after the implementation of a mandate. RESULTS: We found that rates of cases and deaths showed the greatest decrease in acceleration after the simultaneous implementation of a statewide shelter-in-place for vulnerable populations combined with social distancing for businesses and limiting gatherings to <10 people. County-level shelters-in-place, business closures, limits on gatherings to <10, and mask mandates showed significant case rate decreases after a county implemented them. School closures had no consistent effect on either outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that protecting vulnerable populations, implementing social distancing, and mandating masks may be effective countermeasures to containment while mitigating the economic and psychosocial effects of strict shelters-in-place and business closures. In addition, states should consider allowing local municipalities the flexibility to enact nonpharmaceutical interventions that are more or less restrictive than the state-level mandates under some conditions in which the data indicate it is necessary to protect communities from disease or undue economic burden.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Salud Pública , Georgia/epidemiología , Distanciamiento Físico , IncidenciaRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Intravenous alteplase reduces disability and improves functionality among acute ischemic stroke patients. Two decades after its approval, only a small fraction of patients get the treatment, and demonstrating its impact on mortality may make a strong case for its wider use. This study assessed the impact of thrombolytic treatment by alteplase on 1-year mortality and readmission among acute ischemic stroke patients. METHOD: The 2008-2013 Georgia Coverdell Acute Stroke Registry data were linked with the 2008-2013 hospital discharge and the 2008-2014 death data in Georgia. Multiple imputation was applied; a propensity score measuring the probability of receiving intravenous alteplase was calculated and used for matching. A conditional logistic regression was applied to compare 1-year mortality and readmission among propensity score matched pairs. RESULTS: Overall, 20.3% of 9620 acute ischemic stroke patients died and 22.4% were readmitted in one year. The multivariable regression result showed that patients who did not receive IV alteplase had a 1.49 (95%CI: 1.09-2.04; p-value=0.01) times higher odds of dying at one year than those who were treated with the thrombolytic agent. Among patients discharged home, no statistically significant difference was documented in the odds of being readmitted at least once within 365days post-stroke discharge. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: After accounting for patient differences and missing value, intravenous alteplase is associated with reduction in long-term mortality. The results of this study suggest that patients who are identified as eligible for intravenous alteplase need to be offered the treatment.
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Fibrinolíticos/administración & dosificación , Accidente Cerebrovascular/tratamiento farmacológico , Activador de Tejido Plasminógeno/administración & dosificación , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Georgia/epidemiología , Tamaño de las Instituciones de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Infusiones Intravenosas , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Sistema de Registros , Accidente Cerebrovascular/mortalidadRESUMEN
OBJECTIVES: A study of network relationships, geographic contiguity, and risk behavior was designed to test the hypothesis that all 3 are required to maintain endemicity of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in at-risk urban communities. Specifically, a highly interactive network, close geographic proximity, and compound risk (multiple high-risk activities with multiple partners) would be required. METHODS: We enrolled 927 participants from two contiguous geographic areas in Atlanta, GA: a higher-risk area and lower-risk area, as measured by history of HIV reporting. We began by enrolling 30 "seeds" (15 in each area) who were comparable in their demographic and behavioral characteristics, and constructed 30 networks using a chain-link design. We assessed each individual's geographic range; measured the network characteristics of those in the higher and lower-risk areas; and measured compound risk as the presence of two or more (of 6) major risks for HIV. RESULTS: Among participants in the higher-risk area, the frequency of compound risk was 15%, compared with 5% in the lower-risk area. Geographic cohesion in the higher-risk group was substantially higher than that in the lower-risk group, based on comparison of geographic distance and social distance, and on the extent of overlap of personal geographic range. The networks in the 2 areas were similar: both areas show highly interactive networks with similar degree distributions, and most measures of network attributes were virtually the same. CONCLUSIONS: Our original hypothesis was supported in part. The higher and lower-risk groups differed appreciably with regard to risk and geographic cohesion, but were substantially the same with regard to network properties. These results suggest that a "minimum" network configuration may be required for maintenance of endemic transmission, but a particular prevalence level may be determined by factors related to risk, geography, and possibly other factors.
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Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Demografía , Femenino , Geografía , Infecciones por VIH/etiología , Infecciones por VIH/transmisión , Infecciones por VIH/virología , Estado de Salud , Humanos , Masculino , Prevalencia , Riesgo , Asunción de Riesgos , Conducta Sexual , Parejas Sexuales , Factores Sociológicos , Población UrbanaRESUMEN
Progression of geographic disparities in social determinants of health is a global concern. Using an Urban Health Index (UHI) approach, we proposed a framework of examining the change of geographic disparities in social determinants in small areas. Using the City of Atlanta in Georgia (USA) as a case study, we standardized six census-based social determinant indicators in 2000 and in 2010, respectively, and calculated their geometric mean to assign each census tract a UHI value for 2000 and for 2010. We then evaluated the temporal change of the UHIs in relation to the demographic changes using spatial and statistical methods. We found that Atlanta experienced an improvement in social determinant status and a reduction of disparities in the 10 years. The areas that experienced improvement, however, underwent demographic changes as well. This analysis provides support for displacement, rather than improvement, as the underlying factor for apparent change in geographic disparities. Findings suggest the importance of local evaluation for future policies to reduce disparities in cities.
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Ciudades/estadística & datos numéricos , Geografía , Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Indicadores de Salud , Servicios Urbanos de Salud/organización & administración , Salud Urbana/estadística & datos numéricos , Georgia , HumanosRESUMEN
The role of main partnerships in shaping HIV transmission dynamics among men who have sex with men (MSM) has gained recognition in recent studies, but there is little evidence that existing definitions of partnership type are accurate or have consistent meaning for all men. Using data collected from 2011 to 2013 on 693 partnerships described by 193 Black and White MSM in Atlanta, GA, partnership attributes and risk behaviors were examined and compared by race, stratified in two ways: (1) by commonly used definitions of partnerships as "main" or "casual" and (2) by a new data-driven partnership typology identified through latent class analysis (LCA). Racial differences were analyzed using chi-square, Fisher's exact, and Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney tests. Black participants were less likely to report condomless anal sex (CAS) within partnerships they labeled as main, yet they were also less likely to describe these partnerships as "primary" on a parallel question. In contrast, within strata defined by the LCA-derived typology, most partnership attributes were comparable and the likelihood of CAS was equivalent by race. These findings suggest that classification of partnerships as main or casual does not accurately capture the partnership patterns of MSM, resulting in differential misclassification by race. Future studies and interventions should refine and utilize more evidence-based typologies.
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Homosexualidad Masculina/estadística & datos numéricos , Grupos Raciales/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Georgia/epidemiología , Humanos , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Asunción de Riesgos , Parejas Sexuales , Sexo InseguroRESUMEN
Neighborhood conditions and sexual network turnover have been associated with the acquisition of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections (STIs). However, few studies investigate the influence of neighborhood conditions on sexual network turnover. This longitudinal study used data collected across 7 visits from a predominantly substance-misusing cohort of 172 African American adults relocated from public housing in Atlanta, Georgia, to determine whether post-relocation changes in exposure to neighborhood conditions influence sexual network stability, the number of new partners joining sexual networks, and the number of partners leaving sexual networks over time. At each visit, participant and sexual network characteristics were captured via survey, and administrative data were analyzed to describe the census tracts where participants lived. Multilevel models were used to longitudinally assess the relationships of tract-level characteristics to sexual network dynamics over time. On average, participants relocated to neighborhoods that were less economically deprived and violent, and had lower alcohol outlet densities. Post-relocation reductions in exposure to alcohol outlet density were associated with fewer new partners joining sexual networks. Reduced perceived community violence was associated with more sexual partners leaving sexual networks. These associations were marginally significant. No post-relocation changes in place characteristics were significantly associated with overall sexual network stability. Neighborhood social context may influence sexual network turnover. To increase understanding of the social-ecological determinants of HIV/STIs, a new line of research should investigate the combined influence of neighborhood conditions and sexual network dynamics on HIV/STI transmission over time.
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Negro o Afroamericano/estadística & datos numéricos , Vivienda Popular/estadística & datos numéricos , Características de la Residencia/estadística & datos numéricos , Conducta Sexual/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Femenino , Georgia/epidemiología , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Parejas SexualesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: We investigated the implications of one structural intervention--public housing relocations--for partnership dynamics among individuals living areas with high sexually transmitted infection (STI) prevalence. High-prevalence areas fuel STI endemicity and are perpetuated by spatially assortative partnerships. METHODS: We analyzed 7 waves of data from a cohort of black adults (n = 172) relocating from 7 public housing complexes in Atlanta, Georgia. At each wave, data on whether participants' sexual partners lived in the neighborhood were gathered via survey. Participant addresses were geocoded to census tracts, and measures of tract-level STI prevalence, socioeconomic conditions, and other attributes were created for each wave. "High-prevalence tracts" were tracts in the highest quartile of STI prevalence in Georgia. Descriptive statistics and hierarchical generalized linear models examined trajectories of spatially assortative partnerships and identified predictors of assortativity among participants in high-prevalence tracts. RESULTS: All 7 tracts containing public housing complexes at baseline were high-prevalence tracts; most participants relocated to high-prevalence tracts. Spatially assortative partnerships had a U-shaped distribution: the mean percent of partners living in participants' neighborhoods at baseline was 54%; this mean declined to 28% at wave 2 and was 45% at wave 7. Participants who experienced greater postrelocation improvements in tract-level socioeconomic conditions had a lower odds of having spatially assortative partnerships (adjusted odds ratio, 1.55; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.06-2.26). CONCLUSIONS: Public housing relocation initiatives may disrupt high-prevalence areas if residents experience significant postrelocation gains in tract-level socioeconomic conditions.
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Vivienda Popular , Parejas Sexuales , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/epidemiología , Adulto , Negro o Afroamericano/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Georgia/epidemiología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Características de la Residencia , Análisis EspacialRESUMEN
Differences in individual behaviors have failed to explain racial disparities between Black and White men who have sex with men (MSM). However, reporting of behaviors and partner characteristics are assumed to be non-differentially reported by race. From 314 participants, this study used the two-sided data-where sexual partners provide information on each other and their relationship-of 127 dyads of Black and White MSM from Atlanta, GA, to assess the reliability of partner-reported demographic characteristics and the concordance of sexual behaviors and partnership attributes by race. We compared proportions of concordance by race using a modified kappa (K m) to assess chance-corrected agreement. The median difference in age between self- and partner-reports was 0 (0-1) years. Compared to self-reports, 97 % of the partners of Black participants and 96 % of the partners of White participants correctly classified their race. We observed poor agreement on pre-sexual discussion (K m = 0.18) and being in an ongoing relationship (K m = 0.13), with no differences by race (p = 0.11). Although not statistically significant, Black MSM dyads had lower levels of concordance for unprotected anal intercourse in the previous 12 months (68 %) compared to White dyads (90 %), with fair agreement among Black dyads (K m = 0.26). Measures of partner-reported age and race are likely accurate; however, certain self-reported sexual behaviors and partnership attributes may be unreliable and differentially reported by race. Our findings highlight the need to assess the validity of measures used to estimate HIV transmission and inform racial disparities research.
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Negro o Afroamericano/estadística & datos numéricos , Homosexualidad Masculina/estadística & datos numéricos , Conducta Sexual/estadística & datos numéricos , Población Blanca/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios de Cohortes , Georgia/epidemiología , Humanos , Masculino , Autoinforme , Parejas SexualesRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Studying the heterogeneity and correlates of HIV risk in the sexual networks of black and white men who have sex with men (MSM) may help explain racial disparities in HIV-infection. METHODS: Black and white MSM were recruited as seeds using venue-based time sampling and provided data regarding their recent sex partners. We used chain referral methods to enroll seeds' recent sex partners; newly enrolled partners in turn provided data on their recent sex partners, some of whom later enrolled. Data about unenrolled recent sex partners obtained from seeds and enrolled participants were also analyzed. We estimated the prevalence of HIV in sexual networks of MSM and assessed differential patterns of network HIV risk by the race of the seed. RESULTS: The mean network prevalence of HIV in sexual networks of black MSM (n = 117) was 36% compared with 4% in networks of white MSM (n = 78; P < 0.0001). Sexual networks of unemployed black MSM had a higher prevalence of HIV than their employed counterparts (51% vs. 29%, P = 0.007). The networks of HIV-negative black MSM seeds aged 18 to 24 years had a network prevalence of 9% compared with 2% among those aged 30 years or older. In networks originating from a black HIV-positive seed, the prevalence ranged from 63% among those aged 18 to 24 years to 80% among those 30 years or older. CONCLUSIONS: The high prevalence of HIV in the networks of HIV-negative young black MSM demonstrates a mechanism for the increased HIV incidence observed in this age group. More research is needed into how age and socioeconomic factors shape sexual networks and HIV risk.
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Negro o Afroamericano/estadística & datos numéricos , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Homosexualidad Masculina/etnología , Parejas Sexuales , Población Blanca/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Prevalencia , Riesgo , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Ecologic and cross-sectional multilevel analyses suggest that characteristics of the places where people live influence their vulnerability to HIV and other sexually-transmitted infections (STIs). Using data from a predominately substance-misusing cohort of African-American adults relocating from US public housing complexes, this multilevel longitudinal study tested the hypothesis that participants who experienced greater post-relocation improvements in economic disadvantage, violent crime, and male:female sex ratios would experience greater reductions in perceived partner risk and in the odds of having a partner who had another partner (i.e., indirect concurrency). Baseline data were collected from 172 public housing residents before relocations occurred; three waves of post-relocation data were collected every 9 months. Participants who experienced greater improvements in community violence and in economic conditions experienced greater reductions in partner risk. Reduced community violence was associated with reduced indirect concurrency. Structural interventions that decrease exposure to violence and economic disadvantage may reduce vulnerability to HIV/STIs.
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Negro o Afroamericano , Vivienda Popular , Características de la Residencia , Conducta Sexual/estadística & datos numéricos , Parejas Sexuales , Medio Social , Adulto , Negro o Afroamericano/psicología , Negro o Afroamericano/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/etnología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores de Riesgo , Seguridad , Conducta Sexual/psicología , Factores Socioeconómicos , Trastornos Relacionados con Sustancias/etnología , Trastornos Relacionados con Sustancias/psicología , Estados Unidos , Violencia/psicología , Violencia/estadística & datos numéricos , Poblaciones Vulnerables/etnología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Though numbers alone may be insufficient to capture the nuances of population health, they provide a common language of appraisal and furnish clear evidence of disparities and inequalities. Over the past 30 years, facilitated by high speed computing and electronics, considerable investment has been made in the collection and analysis of urban health indicators, environmental indicators, and methods for their amalgamation. Much of this work has been characterized by a perceived need for a standard set of indicators. We used publication databases (e.g. Medline) and web searches to identify compilations of health indicators and health metrics. We found 14 long-term large-area compilations of health indicators and determinants and seven compilations of environmental health indicators, comprising hundreds of metrics. Despite the plethora of indicators, these compilations have striking similarities in the domains from which the indicators are drawn--an unappreciated concordance among the major collections. Research with these databases and other sources has produced a small number of composite indices, and a number of methods for the amalgamation of indicators and the demonstration of disparities. These indices have been primarily used for large-area (nation, region, state) comparisons, with both developing and developed countries, often for purposes of ranking. Small area indices have been less explored, in part perhaps because of the vagaries of data availability, and because idiosyncratic local conditions require flexible approaches as opposed to a fixed format. One result has been advances in the ability to compare large areas, but with a concomitant deficiency in tools for public health workers to assess the status of local health and health disparities. Large area assessments are important, but the need for small area action requires a greater focus on local information and analysis, emphasizing method over prespecified content.
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Indicadores de Salud , Salud Urbana/estadística & datos numéricos , Salud Ambiental , Humanos , Internacionalidad , Factores SocioeconómicosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Cross-sectional and ecologic studies suggest that place characteristics influence sexual behaviors and sexually transmitted infections (STIs). Using data from a predominately substance-misusing cohort of African American adults relocating from US public housing complexes, this multilevel longitudinal study tested the hypothesis that participants who experienced greater postrelocation improvements in neighborhood conditions (i.e., socioeconomic disadvantage, social disorder, STI prevalence, and male/female sex ratios) would have reduced the odds of testing positive for an STI over time. METHODS: Baseline data were collected in 2009 from 172 public housing residents before relocations occurred; 3 waves of postrelocation data were collected every 9 months thereafter. Polymerase chain reaction methods were used to test participants' urine for Chlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis. Individual-level characteristics were assessed via survey. Administrative data described the census tracts where participants lived at each wave (e.g., sex ratios, violent crime rates, and poverty rates). Hypotheses were tested using multilevel models. RESULTS: Participants experienced improvements in all tract-level conditions studied and reductions in STIs over time (baseline: 29% tested STI positive; wave 4: 16% tested positive). Analyses identified a borderline statistically significant relationship between moving to tracts with more equitable sex ratios and reduced odds of testing positive for an STI (odds ratio, 0.16; 95% confidence interval, 0.02-1.01). Changes in other neighborhood conditions were not associated with this outcome. DISCUSSION: Consonant with past research, our findings suggest that moving to areas with more equitable sex ratios reduces the risk of STI infection. Future research should study the extent to which this relationship is mediated by changes in sexual network dynamics.
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Negro o Afroamericano , Pobreza/estadística & datos numéricos , Vivienda Popular/estadística & datos numéricos , Conducta Sexual/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/prevención & control , Trastornos Relacionados con Sustancias/prevención & control , Violencia/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Negro o Afroamericano/psicología , Negro o Afroamericano/estadística & datos numéricos , Chlamydia trachomatis/aislamiento & purificación , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Georgia/epidemiología , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Neisseria gonorrhoeae/aislamiento & purificación , Oportunidad Relativa , Prevalencia , Características de la Residencia , Conducta Sexual/psicología , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/epidemiología , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/microbiología , Enfermedades de Transmisión Sexual/psicología , Trastornos Relacionados con Sustancias/epidemiología , Trichomonas vaginalis/aislamiento & purificaciónRESUMEN
Available urban health metrics focus primarily on large area rankings. Less has been done to develop an index that provides information about level of health and health disparities for small geographic areas. Adopting a method used by the Human Development Index, we standardized indicators for small area units on a (0, 1) interval and combined them using their geometric mean to form an Urban Health Index (UHI). Disparities were assessed using the ratio of the highest to lowest decile and measurement of the slope of the eight middle deciles (middle; 80 %) of the data. We examined the sensitivity of the measure to weighting, to changes in the method, to correlation among indicators, and to substitution of indicators. Using seven health determinants and applying these methods to the 128 census tracts in the city of Atlanta, USA, we found a disparity ratio of 5.92 and a disparity slope of 0.54, suggesting substantial inequality and heterogeneity of risk. The component indicators were highly correlated; their systematic removal had a small effect on the results. Except in extreme cases, weighting had a little effect on the rankings. A map of Atlanta census tracts exposed a swath of high disparity. UHI rankings, ratio, and slope were resistant to alteration in composition and to non-extreme weighting schemes. This empirical evaluation was limited to a single realization, but suggests that a flexible tool, whose method rather than content is standardized, may be of use for local evaluation, for decision making, and for area comparison.
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Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Análisis de Área Pequeña , Salud Urbana/estadística & datos numéricos , Indicadores de Salud , Humanos , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Factores SocioeconómicosRESUMEN
USA is experiencing a paradigm shift in public housing policy: while policies used to place people who qualified for housing assistance into spatially concentrated housing complexes, they now seek to geographically disperse them, often to voucher-subsidized rental units in the private market. Programs that relocate residents from public housing complexes tend to move them to neighborhoods that are less impoverished and less violent. To date, studies have reached conflicting findings about the relationship between public housing relocations and depression among adult relocaters. The present longitudinal multilevel analysis tests the hypothesis that pre-/postrelocation improvements in local economic conditions, social disorder, and perceived community violence are associated with declines in depressive symptoms in a cohort of African-American adults; active substance misusers were oversampled. We tested this hypothesis in a cohort of 172 adults who were living in one of seven public housing complexes scheduled for relocation and demolition in Atlanta, GA; by design, 20% were dependent on substances and 50% misused substances but were not dependent. Baseline data captured prerelocation characteristics of participants; of the seven census tracts where they lived, three waves of postrelocation data were gathered approximately every 9 months thereafter. Surveys were administered at each wave to assess depressive symptoms measured using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D), perceived community violence, and other individual-level covariates. Participants' home addresses were geocoded to census tracts at each wave, and administrative data sources were used to characterize tract-level economic disadvantage and social disorder. Hypotheses were tested using multilevel models. Between waves 1 and 2, participants experienced significant improvements in reported depressive symptoms and perceived community violence and in tract-level economic disadvantage and social disorder; these reductions were sustained across waves 2-4. A 1 standard deviation improvement in economic conditions was associated with a 1-unit reduction in CES-D scores; the magnitude of this relationship did not vary by baseline substance misuse or gender. Reduced perceived community violence also predicted lower CES-D scores. Our objective measure of social disorder was unrelated to depressive symptoms. We found that relocaters who experienced greater pre-/postrelocation improvements in economic conditions or in perceived community violence experienced fewer depressive symptoms. Combined with past research, these findings suggest that relocation initiatives should focus on the quality of the places to which relocaters move; future research should also identify pathways linking pre-/postrelocation changes in place characteristics to changes in mental health.
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Negro o Afroamericano/estadística & datos numéricos , Depresión/epidemiología , Vivienda Popular , Características de la Residencia , Trastornos Relacionados con Sustancias/epidemiología , Violencia/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Negro o Afroamericano/psicología , Estudios de Cohortes , Depresión/diagnóstico , Femenino , Georgia , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Seguridad , Factores Socioeconómicos , Trastornos Relacionados con Sustancias/psicología , Estados Unidos , Violencia/psicologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Men who have sex with men (MSM) are the most affected risk group in the United States' human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic. Sexual concurrency, the overlapping of partnerships in time, accelerates HIV transmission in populations and has been documented at high levels among MSM. However, concurrency is challenging to measure empirically and variations in assessment techniques used (primarily the date overlap and direct question approaches) and the outcomes derived from them have led to heterogeneity and questionable validity of estimates among MSM and other populations. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to evaluate a novel Web-based and interactive partnership-timing module designed for measuring concurrency among MSM, and to compare outcomes measured by the partnership-timing module to those of typical approaches in an online study of MSM. METHODS: In an online study of MSM aged ≥18 years, we assessed concurrency by using the direct question method and by gathering the dates of first and last sex, with enhanced programming logic, for each reported partner in the previous 6 months. From these methods, we computed multiple concurrency cumulative prevalence outcomes: direct question, day resolution / date overlap, and month resolution / date overlap including both 1-month ties and excluding ties. We additionally computed variants of the UNAIDS point prevalence outcome. The partnership-timing module was also administered. It uses an interactive month resolution calendar to improve recall and follow-up questions to resolve temporal ambiguities, combines elements of the direct question and date overlap approaches. The agreement between the partnership-timing module and other concurrency outcomes was assessed with percent agreement, kappa statistic (κ), and matched odds ratios at the individual, dyad, and triad levels of analysis. RESULTS: Among 2737 MSM who completed the partnership section of the partnership-timing module, 41.07% (1124/2737) of individuals had concurrent partners in the previous 6 months. The partnership-timing module had the highest degree of agreement with the direct question. Agreement was lower with date overlap outcomes (agreement range 79%-81%, κ range .55-.59) and lowest with the UNAIDS outcome at 5 months before interview (65% agreement, κ=.14, 95% CI .12-.16). All agreements declined after excluding individuals with 1 sex partner (always classified as not engaging in concurrency), although the highest agreement was still observed with the direct question technique (81% agreement, κ=.59, 95% CI .55-.63). Similar patterns in agreement were observed with dyad- and triad-level outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: The partnership-timing module showed strong concurrency detection ability and agreement with previous measures. These levels of agreement were greater than others have reported among previous measures. The partnership-timing module may be well suited to quantifying concurrency among MSM at multiple levels of analysis.
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Infecciones por VIH/transmisión , Homosexualidad Masculina , Internet , Conducta Sexual , Parejas Sexuales , Adulto , Epidemias , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Humanos , Masculino , Prevalencia , Factores de Riesgo , Factores de Tiempo , Estados Unidos/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR-tuberculosis) is a global public health threat, but few data exist elucidating factors driving this epidemic. The initial XDR-tuberculosis report from South Africa suggested transmission is an important factor, but detailed epidemiologic and molecular analyses were not available for further characterization. METHODS: We performed a retrospective, observational study among XDR-tuberculosis patients to identify hospital-associated epidemiologic links. We used spoligotyping, IS6110-based restriction fragment-length polymorphism analysis, and sequencing of resistance-determining regions to identify clusters. Social network analysis was used to construct transmission networks among genotypically clustered patients. RESULTS: Among 148 XDR-tuberculosis patients, 98% were infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), and 59% had smear-positive tuberculosis. Nearly all (93%) were hospitalized while infectious with XDR-tuberculosis (median duration, 15 days; interquartile range: 10-25 days). Genotyping identified a predominant cluster comprising 96% of isolates. Epidemiologic links were identified for 82% of patients; social network analysis demonstrated multiple generations of transmission across a highly interconnected network. CONCLUSIONS: The XDR-tuberculosis epidemic in Tugela Ferry, South Africa, has been highly clonal. However, the epidemic is not the result of a point-source outbreak; rather, a high degree of interconnectedness allowed multiple generations of nosocomial transmission. Similar to the outbreaks of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in the 1990s, poor infection control, delayed diagnosis, and a high HIV prevalence facilitated transmission. Important lessons from those outbreaks must be applied to stem further expansion of this epidemic.
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Antituberculosos/uso terapéutico , Infección Hospitalaria/transmisión , Tuberculosis Extensivamente Resistente a Drogas/transmisión , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/clasificación , Adulto , Análisis por Conglomerados , Infección Hospitalaria/complicaciones , Infección Hospitalaria/epidemiología , Infección Hospitalaria/microbiología , Quimioterapia Combinada , Etambutol/uso terapéutico , Tuberculosis Extensivamente Resistente a Drogas/complicaciones , Tuberculosis Extensivamente Resistente a Drogas/epidemiología , Tuberculosis Extensivamente Resistente a Drogas/microbiología , Femenino , Genotipo , Infecciones por VIH/virología , Hospitales Rurales , Humanos , Isoniazida/uso terapéutico , Masculino , Mutación , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genética , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/aislamiento & purificación , Polimorfismo de Longitud del Fragmento de Restricción , Prevalencia , Pirazinamida/uso terapéutico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Rifampin/uso terapéutico , Análisis de Secuencia de ADN , Sudáfrica/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: Sexual violence is endemic on college campuses. Four-year campuses present high-risk environments for sexual violence and heavy episodic drinking is a robust risk factor for victimization. However, limited literature exists on sexual violence at two-year institutions, with most research focused on four-year campuses. We examined whether campus climates affect sexual violence prevalence rates. PARTICIPANTS: Sexual misconduct campus climate data from two-year and four-year campus students. METHODS: We used Bayesian logistic regressions to compare sexual victimization odds between two- and four-year campuses. RESULTS: Four-year students were twice as likely to have experienced sexual victimization and 2.5 times more likely to engage in heavy episodic drinking compared to two-year students. The risk of sexual victimization associated with heavy episodic drinking was reliably similar across campus types. CONCLUSIONS: Campus climates reliably impact student's risk of sexual victimization. Based on these findings, two- and four-year campuses may need to implement distinct prevention services.
RESUMEN
Little is known regarding the relationship between common comorbidities in persons with tuberculosis (TB) (including human immunodeficiency virus [HIV], diabetes, and hepatitis C virus [HCV]) with post-TB mortality. We conducted a retrospective cohort study among persons who initiated treatment for rifampicin-resistant and multi/extensively drug-resistant (RR and M/XDR) TB reported to the country of Georgia's TB surveillance during 2009-2017. Exposures included HIV serologic status, diabetes, and HCV status. Our outcome was all-cause post-TB mortality determined by cross-validating vital status with Georgia's death registry through November 2019. We estimated adjusted hazard rate ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of post-TB mortality among participants with and without comorbidities using cause-specific hazard regressions. Among 1032 eligible participants, 34 (3.3%) died during treatment and 87 (8.7%) died post-TB treatment. Among those who died post-TB treatment, the median time to death was 21 months (interquartile range 7-39) post-TB treatment. After adjusting for confounders, the hazard rates of post-TB mortality were higher among participants with HIV co-infection (aHR=3.74, 95%CI 1.77-7.91) compared to those without HIV co-infection. In our cohort, post-TB mortality occurred most commonly in the first three years post-TB treatment. Linkage to care for common TB comorbidities post-treatment may reduce post-TB mortality rates.
RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: High incidence and prevalence of sexually transmitted infection (STI) in blacks have been attributed to multiple factors. However, few articles have discussed spatial access to healthcare as a driver of disparities. The objective of this analysis was to evaluate the relationship between travel time to a healthcare provider and the likelihood of testing positive for 1 of 3 STIs in a sample of adults living in public housing. METHODS: One hundred and eight black adults in Atlanta, GA from November 2008 to June 2009, completed a survey that queried sexual behavior and healthcare use and had urine tested for Chlamydia trachomatis, Neisseria gonorrhoeae, and Trichomonas vaginalis by molecular methods. Travel time was a continuous variable capturing the number of minutes it took to reach the place where participants received most of their care. Multivariate analyses tested the hypothesis that individuals reporting longer travel times would be more likely to test positive for an STI. Travel time was squared to linearize its relationship to the outcome. RESULTS: Thirty-six residents (37.5%) tested positive for ≥1 STI. A curvilinear relationship existed between travel time and STI status. When travel time was <48 minutes, a positive relationship existed between travel time and the odds of testing positive for an STI. An inverse relationship existed when travel time was ≥48 minutes. CONCLUSION: Residents of impoverished communities experience a curvilinear relationship between travel time and STI status. We discuss possible factors that might have created this curvilinear relationship, including voluntary social isolation.