Forewarning of hypotensive events using a Bayesian artificial neural network in neurocritical care.

Traumatically brain injured (TBI) patients are at risk from secondary insults. Arterial hypotension, critically low blood pressure, is one of the most dangerous secondary insults and is related to poor outcome in patients. The overall aim of this study was to get proof of the concept that advanced statistical techniques (machine learning) are methods that are able to provide early warning of impending hypotensive events before they occur during neuro-critical care. A Bayesian artificial neural network (BANN) model predicting episodes of hypotension was developed using data from 104 patients selected from the BrainIT multi-center database. Arterial hypotension events were recorded and defined using the Edinburgh University Secondary Insult Grades (EUSIG) physiological adverse event scoring system. The BANN was trained on a random selection of 50% of the available patients (n = 52) and validated on the remaining cohort. A multi-center prospective pilot study (Phase 1, n = 30) was then conducted with the system running live in the clinical environment, followed by a second validation pilot study (Phase 2, n = 49). From these prospectively collected data, a final evaluation study was done on 69 of these patients with 10 patients excluded from the Phase 2 study because of insufficient or invalid data. Each data collection phase was a prospective non-interventional observational study conducted in a live clinical setting to test the data collection systems and the model performance. No prediction information was available to the clinical teams during a patient's stay in the ICU. The final cohort (n = 69), using a decision threshold of 0.4, and including false positive checks, gave a sensitivity of 39.3% (95% CI 32.9-46.1) and a specificity of 91.5% (95% CI 89.0-93.7). Using a decision threshold of 0.3, and false positive correction, gave a sensitivity of 46.6% (95% CI 40.1-53.2) and specificity of 85.6% (95% CI 82.3-88.8). With a decision threshold of 0.3, > 15 min warning of patient instability can be achieved. We have shown, using advanced machine learning techniques running in a live neuro-critical care environment, that it would be possible to give neurointensive teams early warning of potential hypotensive events before they emerge, allowing closer monitoring and earlier clinical assessment in an attempt to prevent the onset of hypotension. The multi-centre clinical infrastructure developed to support the clinical studies provides a solid base for further collaborative research on data quality, false positive correction and the display of early warning data in a clinical setting.

Early warning of EUSIG-defined hypotensive events using a Bayesian Artificial Neural Network.

BACKGROUND: Hypotension is recognized as a potentially damaging secondary insult after traumatic brain injury. Systems to give clinical teams some early warning of likely hypotensive instability could be added to the range of existing techniques used in the management of this group of patients. By using the Edinburgh University Secondary Insult Grades (EUSIG) definitions for -hypotension (systolic arterial pressure <90 mmHg OR mean arterial -pressure <70 mmHg) we collected a group of ∼2,000 events by analyzing the Brain-IT database. We then constructed a Bayesian Artificial Neural Network (an advanced statistical modeling technique) that is able to provide some early warning when trained on this previously collected demographic and physiological data. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using EUSIG defined event data from the Brain-IT database, we identified a Bayesian artificial neural network (BANN) topology and constructed a series of datasets using a group of clinically guided input variables. This allowed us to train a BANN, which was then tested on an unseen set of patients from the Brain-IT database. The initial tests used a particularly harsh assessment criterion whereby a true positive prediction was only allowed if the BANN predicted an upcoming event to the exact minute. We have now developed the system to the point where it is about to be used in a two-stage Phase II clinical trial and we are also researching a more realistic assessment technique. KEY RESULTS: We have constructed a BANN that is able to provide early warning to the clinicians based on a model that uses information from the physiological inputs; systolic and mean arterial pressure and heart rate; and demographic variables age and gender. We use 15-min SubWindows starting at 15 and 30 min before an event and process mean, slope and standard deviations. Based on 10 simulation runs, our current sensitivity is 36.25% (SE 1.31) with a specificity of 90.82% (SE 0.85). Initial results from a Phase I clinical study shows a model sensitivity of 40.95% (SE 6%) and specificity of 86.46% (SE 3%) Although this figure is low it is considered clinically useful for this dangerous condition, provided the false positive rate can be kept sufficiently low as to be practical in an intensive care environment. CONCLUSION: We have shown that using advanced statistical modeling techniques can provide clinical teams with useful information that will assist clinical care.

Trigger characteristics of EUSIG-defined hypotensive events.

BACKGROUND: Hypotension is a recognized -secondary insult after traumatic brain injury (TBI). There are many definitions of hypotension, an often cited example being the Brain Trauma Foundation's current (2007) "Guidelines for the Management of Severe Traumatic Brain Injury," which defines hypotension as systolic pressure <90 mmHg. However, this same document declares "The importance of mean arterial pressure, as opposed to systolic pressure should also be stressed, …." Our work shows that when using the Edinburgh University Secondary Insult Grades (EUSIG) definitions, which require monitoring of both systolic and mean arterial pressures, that most hypotensive events are in fact triggered by a breach of the mean arterial level of 70 mmHg. We suggest that close monitoring of mean arterial pressure would enable clinical teams to avoid more potentially damaging hypotensive events. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An analysis of 100 patients from the Brain-IT database was performed. Using the EUSIG definitions, 2,081 events can be obtained by analyzing the systolic and mean blood pressures on a minute by minute basis. A software program was written to identify and classify the trigger pattern for each event. A categorical analysis of these triggering patterns has been carried out. KEY RESULTS: Our analysis shows that most events are triggered by a drop in mean arterial pressure. In fact a large number of events (91%) occur where the mean arterial pressure is below the threshold limits whereas the systolic pressure does not cross the 90 mmHg limit at all. CONCLUSION: We suggest that more emphasis should be placed on closely monitoring mean arterial pressure as well as systolic pressure when trying to guard against hypotensive problems in traumatically brain injured patients. In future work we will study the underlying physiological mechanisms and attempt to further classify concomitant conditions that may be contributing to the onset of a hypotensive event.

Semantic security: specification and enforcement of semantic policies for security-driven collaborations.

Collaborative research can often have demands on finer-grained security that go beyond the authentication-only paradigm as typified by many e-Infrastructure/Grid based solutions. Supporting finer-grained access control is often essential for domains where the specification and subsequent enforcement of authorization policies is needed. The clinical domain is one area in particular where this is so. However it is the case that existing security authorization solutions are fragile, inflexible and difficult to establish and maintain. As a result they often do not meet the needs of real world collaborations where robustness and flexibility of policy specification and enforcement, and ease of maintenance are essential. In this paper we present results of the JISC funded Advanced Grid Authorisation through Semantic Technologies (AGAST) project (www.nesc.ac.uk/hub/projects/agast) and show how semantic-based approaches to security policy specification and enforcement can address many of the limitations with existing security solutions. These are demonstrated into the clinical trials domain through the MRC funded Virtual Organisations for Trials and Epidemiological Studies (VOTES) project (www.nesc.ac.uk/hub/projects/votes) and the epidemiological domain through the JISC funded SeeGEO project (www.nesc.ac.uk/hub/projects/seegeo).

Supporting grid-based clinical trials in Scotland.

A computational infrastructure to underpin complex clinical trials and medical population studies is highly desirable. This should allow access to a range of distributed clinical data sets; support the efficient processing and analysis of the data obtained; have security at its heart; and ensure that authorized individuals are able to see privileged data and no more. Each clinical trial has its own requirements on data sets and how they are used; hence a reusable and flexible framework offers many advantages. The MRC funded Virtual Organisations for Trials and Epidemiological Studies (VOTES) is a collaborative project involving several UK universities specifically to explore this space. This article presents the experiences of developing the Scottish component of this nationwide infrastructure, by the National e-Science Centre (NeSC) based at the University of Glasgow, and the issues inherent in accessing and using the clinical data sets in a flexible, dynamic and secure manner.

Towards a virtual anonymisation grid for unified access to remote clinical data.

Grid technologies provide an infrastructure through which, amongst other things, data access and integration is facilitated across highly distributed and heterogeneous resources. Different domains have their own requirements on the nature of this data access and integration. The clinical domain offers arguably the greatest challenges facing the roll-out and adoption of Grid technologies to meet the changing face of post-genomic clinical research, especially with regard to information governance, ethics and hence security solutions. This paper outlines a novel system design for secure anonymous data access and linkage that meets the needs of key stakeholders in this space including end user researchers, data providers and owners and ethical oversight bodies amongst others. We identify how existing solutions developed within the Medical Research Council funded Virtual Organisations for Trials and Epidemiological Studies (VOTES) project are being re-factored to meet the needs of these players and to address information governance criteria.

The Long-Term Outcome of Boys With Partial Androgen Insensitivity Syndrome and a Mutation in the Androgen Receptor Gene.

BACKGROUND: In boys with suspected partial androgen insensitivity syndrome (PAIS), systematic evidence that supports the long-term prognostic value of identifying a mutation in the androgen receptor gene (AR) is lacking. OBJECTIVE: To assess the clinical characteristics and long-term outcomes in young men with suspected PAIS in relation to the results of AR analysis. METHODS: Through the International Disorders of Sex Development Registry, clinical information was gathered on young men suspected of having PAIS (n = 52) who presented before the age of 16 years and had genetic analysis of AR. RESULTS: The median ages at presentation and at the time of the study were 1 month (range, 1 day to 16 years) and 22 years (range, 16 to 52 years), respectively. Of the cohort, 29 men (56%) had 20 different AR mutations reported. At diagnosis, the median external masculinization scores were 7 and 6 in cases with and without AR mutation, respectively (P = .9), and median current external masculinization scores were 9 and 10, respectively (P = .28). Thirty-five men (67%) required at least one surgical procedure, and those with a mutation were more likely to require multiple surgeries for hypospadias (P = .004). All cases with an AR mutation had gynecomastia, compared to 9% of those without an AR mutation. Of the six men who had a mastectomy, five (83%) had an AR mutation. CONCLUSIONS: Boys with genetically confirmed PAIS are likely to have a poorer clinical outcome than those with XY DSD, with normal T synthesis, and without an identifiable AR mutation. Routine genetic analysis of AR to confirm PAIS informs long-term prognosis and management.

Sex differences in the effect of ethanol injection and consumption on brain allopregnanolone levels in C57BL/6 mice.

The pharmacological profile of allopregnanolone, a neuroactive steroid that is a potent positive modulator of gamma-aminobutyric acidA (GABAA) receptors, is similar to that of ethanol. Recent findings indicate that acute injection of ethanol increased endogenous allopregnanolone to pharmacologically relevant concentrations in male rats. However, there are no comparable data in mice, nor has the effect of ethanol drinking on endogenous allopregnanolone levels been investigated. Therefore, the present studies measured the effect of ethanol drinking and injection on allopregnanolone levels in male and female C57BL/6 mice. One group was given 17 days of 2-h limited access to a 10% v/v ethanol solution in a preference-drinking paradigm, while another group had access to water only. The ethanol dose consumed in 2 h exceeded 2 g/kg. Then, separate groups of mice were injected with either 2 g/kg ethanol or saline. Mice were killed 30 min after the 2-h drinking session or injection. Blood ethanol concentration was significantly higher in the ethanol-injected versus ethanol-drinking groups, even though the dose was similar. Consumption of ethanol significantly increased brain allopregnanolone levels in male but not female mice, compared with animals drinking water, but did not alter plasma corticosterone levels. In contrast, injection of ethanol did not significantly alter brain allopregnanolone levels in male or female mice and only significantly increased plasma corticosterone levels in the male mice, when compared with saline-injected animals. The sex differences in the effect of ethanol administration on endogenous allopregnanolone levels suggest that the hormonal milieu may impact ethanol's effect on GABAergic neurosteroids. Importantly, these data are the first to report the effect of ethanol drinking on allopregnanolone levels and indicate that ethanol consumption and ethanol injection can produce physiologically relevant allopregnanolone levels in male mice. These results have important implications for studies investigating the potential role of endogenous allopregnanolone levels in modulating susceptibility to ethanol abuse.

Self-administration of two long-acting monoamine transport blockers in rhesus monkeys.

RATIONALE: 2beta-propanoyl-3beta-(4-tolyl)-tropane (PTT) is a cocaine analog with high affinity at and selectivity for the dopamine transporter (DAT). 2beta-propanoyl-3beta-(2-naphthyl)-tropane (HD-23), like cocaine, binds with approximately equal affinity to the DAT, the serotonin transporter, and the norepinephrine transporter but has over a 100-fold higher affinity for these monoamine transporters than cocaine. The reinforcing effects of these drugs have not been evaluated in cocaine-na nonhuman primates. OBJECTIVE: The primary goal of the present study was to examine the reinforcing effects of PTT and HD-23 in rhesus monkeys before and after a history of intravenous cocaine self-administration. METHODS: Monkeys (n=4) were initially trained to respond under a fixed-ratio 30 schedule of food presentation. When responding was stable, saline, PTT (0.001-0.03 mg/kg per injection), and HD-23 (0.0003-0.0056 mg/kg per injection) were made available for self-administration for least five sessions per dose. Next, a cocaine dose-effect function (0.0003-0.3 mg/kg per injection) was determined and then

Dopamine D2/D3 receptors modulate cocaine's reinforcing and discriminative stimulus effects in rhesus monkeys.

Numerous studies have suggested that dopamine (DA) D2 and D3 receptors are involved in the behavioral effects of cocaine. The present experiments evaluated the reinforcing and cocaine-like discriminative stimulus effects of several D2/D3 agonists in rhesus monkeys. In the first experiment, animals (n = 4) were trained to self-administer 0.03 mg/kg/inj cocaine under a fixed-interval (FI) 5-min schedule. When substituted for cocaine, the D2/D3 agonist quinpirole (0.003-0.03 mg/kg/inj) functioned as a reinforcer in all monkeys. In two cocaine-naive monkeys trained to respond under an FI 3-min schedule of food presentation, quinpirole maintained low rates of responding in one subject, while at the highest dose (0.03 mg/kg/inj) it functioned as a reinforcer in the second monkey. In this animal, increased activity was observed at this dose, which may have contributed to the overall rate of responding. In the second experiment, monkeys (n = 4) were trained to discriminate cocaine from saline using a two-lever, food-reinforced, drug discrimination procedure. The D2/D3 agonists quinpirole, (+/-)-7-OH-DPAT, and R-( + )-7-OH-DPAT fully substituted for cocaine. However, the time-course of substitution differed between quinpirole, which substituted for cocaine 10 min after administration, and (+/-)- and R-(+)-7-OH-DPAT, which required 60-min pretreatments. The behavioral potencies, as determined from ED50, values, correlated with previously reported in vitro binding affinity and functional activity at the D3 receptor [R-(+ )-7-OH-DPAT > (+/-)-7-OH-DPAT > quinpirole]. These results further indicate that direct-acting D2/D3 agonists can function as reinforcers and produce cocaine-like discriminative stimulus effects, and support the idea that D3 receptors should continue to be a valuable target for future behavioral studies evaluating cocaine's mechanisms of action.

Open pelvic fracture: an injury for trauma centers.

Twenty-seven blunt trauma patients with open pelvic fracture who were seen in a trauma center over a 10-year period were characterized for treatment and resource consumption. Age, injury severity score, mortality, mechanism of injury, associated injuries, blood requirement, length of stay (LOS), surgical procedures, and complications were analyzed. There was a mean of 26 units of blood transfused, 9 operative procedures, and LOS of 43 days. Associated injuries were common. Aggressive hemorrhage and sepsis control, including 2 hemipelvectomies, resulted in an overall survival rate of 85%, with no mortality occurring in the last 20 patients. The reduced mortality obtained in the treatment of this highly resource consumptive injury suggests that open pelvic fracture should be managed at a trauma center, where these resources are immediately available.

Modulation of cocaine's discriminative stimulus effects by dopamine D(1) agonists in rhesus monkeys.

Dopamine (DA) D(1) agonists are classified as high- or low-efficacy on the basis of in vitro functional measures as compared to DA. In monkeys self-administering cocaine, high-efficacy D(1) agonists have been shown to have reinforcing effects, while low-efficacy agonists do not. However, the relationship between D(1) agonist efficacy and cocaine-like discriminative stimulus effects, particularly in rhesus monkeys, is not clear. The present study investigated the discriminative stimulus effects of a high- (SKF 81297) and a low-efficacy (SKF 38393) D(1) agonist in rhesus monkeys (n=4) trained to discriminate cocaine from saline using a two-lever drug discrimination procedure. In a second experiment, the effects of agonist pretreatments, as well as pretreatment with a D(1) antagonist, on cocaine's discriminative stimulus effects were evaluated. SKF 81297 (0.01-1.7 mg/kg) fully substituted for cocaine in three of four animals (> 80% cocaine-appropriate responding), while SKF 38393 (0.3-10 mg/kg) occasioned < 50% cocaine-appropriate responding in all subjects. When given as a pretreatment, neither agonist altered cocaine's discriminative stimulus effects at the doses tested. In contrast, the D(1) antagonist SCH 23390 attenuated cocaine's discriminative stimulus effects. These results indicate that D(1) agonists have cocaine-like discriminative stimulus effects in rhesus monkeys that are consistent with their in vitro efficacies. However, when given in combination with cocaine, D(1) agonist efficacy does not appear to be a major factor in modifying cocaine's discriminative stimulus effects.

e-Infrastructures supporting research into depression, self-harm and suicide.

The Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC)-funded Data Management through e-Social Sciences (DAMES) project is investigating, as one of its four research themes, how research into depression, self-harm and suicide may be enhanced through the adoption of e-Science infrastructures and techniques. In this paper, we explore the challenges in supporting such research infrastructures and describe the distributed and heterogeneous datasets that need to be provisioned to support such research. We describe and demonstrate the application of an advanced user and security-driven infrastructure that has been developed specifically to meet these challenges in an on-going study into depression, self-harm and suicide.

The European disorder of sex development registry: a virtual research environment.

Disorders of sex development (DSD) are a rare group of conditions which require further research. Effective research into understanding the aetiology, as well as long-term outcome of these rare conditions, requires multicentre collaboration often across national boundaries. The EU-funded EuroDSD programme (www.eurodsd.eu) is one such collaboration involving clinical centres and clinical and genetic experts across Europe. At the heart of the EuroDSD collaboration is a European DSD registry and a targeted virtual research environment (VRE) that supports the sharing of DSD data. Security, ethics and information governance are cornerstones of this infrastructure. This paper describes the infrastructure that has been developed, the inherent challenges in security, availability and dependability that must be overcome for the enterprise to succeed and provides a sample of the data that are stored in the registry along with a summary analysis of the current data sets.

In vitro modulation of the human gastrointestinal microbial community by plant-derived polysaccharide-rich dietary supplements.

The use of prebiotics is a possible strategy to manage and steer the complex gut microbial community towards a health-promoting composition (Gastrointestinal Resource Management). In this study, the Simulator of the Human Intestinal Microbial Ecosystem was used to investigate the effects of two commercially-available plant polysaccharide supplements on the structure, composition and metabolism of an in vitro cultured colon microbial community. Microbial analyses showed both a bifidogenic (up to +1.3 log cfu/mL) and a lactobacillogenic (up to +0.9 log cfu/mL) effect during treatment with the dietary supplements. Quantitative PCR confirmed that the increase of Bifidobacteria spp. was statistically significant (P<0.05) in all of the colon compartments and showed a significant increase of the bacteroides-prevotella group concentration (+0.6 log cells/ml) in the compartment simulating the proximal colon. Denaturant gradient gel electrophoresis analyses and a relative ecological interpretation, in combination with sugar and short-chain fatty acids quantification, provided evidence of a positive effect of both the tested products. Overall, the treatment period was associated with (i) good and selective fermentability of the polysaccharide supplements along the entire colon; (ii) positive and selective bifidogenic effect; (iii) the possibility of enhancing species belonging to Bacteroidetes, a phylum recently associated with body weight management.

Left atrial myxoma: computed tomography as a diagnostic modality.

The workup of left atrial myxomas has variably ranged from a physical examination, laboratory tests, and echocardiography to the invasive modalities of angiography and cardiac surgery. We propose that computed tomography (CT) be considered a sensitive, noninvasive adjuvant in the diagnosis of these tumors. This report describes successful utilization of CT imaging in one such case of proven left atrial myxoma.