Conversion from clinically isolated syndrome to multiple sclerosis: A large multicentre study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: We explored which clinical and biochemical variables predict conversion from clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS) in a large international cohort. METHODS: Thirty-three centres provided serum samples from 1047 CIS cases with at least two years' follow-up. Age, sex, clinical presentation, T2-hyperintense lesions, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) oligoclonal bands (OCBs), CSF IgG index, CSF cell count, serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 (25-OH-D), cotinine and IgG titres against Epstein-Barr nuclear antigen 1 (EBNA-1) and cytomegalovirus were tested for association with risk of CDMS. RESULTS: At median follow-up of 4.31 years, 623 CIS cases converted to CDMS. Predictors of conversion in multivariable analyses were OCB (HR = 2.18, 95% CI = 1.71-2.77, p < 0.001), number of T2 lesions (two to nine lesions vs 0/1 lesions: HR = 1.97, 95% CI = 1.52-2.55, p < 0.001; >9 lesions vs 0/1 lesions: HR = 2.74, 95% CI = 2.04-3.68, p < 0.001) and age at CIS (HR per year inversely increase = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.98-0.99, p < 0.001). Lower 25-OH-D levels were associated with CDMS in univariable analysis, but this was attenuated in the multivariable model. OCB positivity was associated with higher EBNA-1 IgG titres. CONCLUSIONS: We validated MRI lesion load, OCB and age at CIS as the strongest independent predictors of conversion to CDMS in this multicentre setting. A role for vitamin D is suggested but requires further investigation.

Increased plasma 8,12-iso-iPF2alpha- VI levels in relapsing multiple sclerosis patients are not predictive of disease progression.

BACKGROUND: Oxidative stress plays an important role in multiple sclerosis (MS). Isoprostanes are biomarkers for oxidative stress and have been related to neurological disease progression. OBJECTIVE: To study whether plasma isoprostane levels were related to disease progression in MS. METHODS: Plasma levels of 8,12-iso-iPF2alpha-VI were determined in 17 patients with clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), 41 relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients and 5 primary progressive MS (PPMS) patients and related to MRI and clinical disease parameters. RESULTS: Isoprostane levels were similar in CIS (60.9, interquartile range (IQR): 47.7-77.7 pg/ml) and RRMS patients (65.3, IQR: 51.9-82.8 pg/ml). The plasma levels were lower in PPMS patients (42.5, IQR: 37.1-49.9) pg/ml, p<0.05) compared to CIS and RRMS patients in this cohort, which was not confirmed in a second cohort. Baseline isoprostane levels were not related to clinical progression defined by conversion form CIS to RRMS or change in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) or MS Functional Composite (MSFC) scores during six years of follow-up (CIS + RRMS), nor to change in volume of gadolinium enhancing lesions, T2 lesion load or T1 hypointense lesion load during 2.8 years of follow-up (CIS + RRMS). CONCLUSION: These results do not support a strong role of 8,12-iso-iPF2alpha-VI in the prediction of disease progression in MS.

Relevance of IL7R genotype and mRNA expression in Dutch patients with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: The interleukin 7 receptor (IL7R) has been recognized as a susceptibility gene for Multiple Sclerosis (MS). Analysis of rs6897932 (the most strongly MS-associated single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)), showed effects of genotype on the relative expression of membrane-bound to total amount of IL7R mRNA. OBJECTIVE: We assessed the relevance of IL7R on MS phenotype (including clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) parameters) at DNA and mRNA level in Dutch patients with MS. METHODS: The genotype of rs6897932 was analyzed in 697 patients with MS and 174 healthy controls. The relevance of genotype and carriership of the C allele on MS phenotype (disease activity and severity, using clinical and MRI parameters) was assessed. In addition, relative gene expression of membrane-bound to total IL7R mRNA was analyzed with respect to disease phenotype in a subgroup of 95 patients with early relapsing MS. RESULTS: In particular, homozygosity for the risk allele is a risk factor for MS in our population (OR(CC vs CT and TT) = 1.65 (95% CI: 1.18-2.30), two-sided p = 0.004). However, no effect of genotype or the relative expression of membrane-bound IL7R (presence of exon 6-7) to total amount of IL7R mRNA (presence of exon 4-5) was found on MS phenotype. DISCUSSION: Homozygosity for the IL7R exon 6 rs6897932 C allele is associated with a higher risk for MS in our Dutch population. No effect was found of genotype or mRNA expression on disease phenotype.

Genetic correlations of brain lesion distribution in multiple sclerosis: an exploratory study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: In MS, the total brain lesion volume and spatial distribution of lesions across the brain vary widely among individual patients. We hypothesized that spatial distribution may be partially driven by genetic predisposition, and we aimed to explore relations among candidate genes and the spatial distribution of white matter brain lesions in MS. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Genotypes of 69 SNPs in 208 patients with MS were related to the spatial distribution of T2 brain lesions. Lesions were manually outlined on MR images, and binary lesion masks were produced and registered to a common space. With Randomise software, the lesion masks were related to genotype by using a voxelwise nonparametric GLM approach, followed by clusterwise analysis. We used a DNA chip with SNPs selected from the literature on MS susceptibility, severity, and phenotypes. RESULTS: For 11 of these SNPs, 1 of the genotypes expressed significant clusters of increased or decreased lesion probability in varying, predominantly periventricular, brain regions. When we statistically controlled the voxelwise analyses for effects of total brain lesion volume, only 1 SNP remained significant: rs2227139, located within the MHC class II region. This SNP retained its periventricular cluster of significantly increased lesion probability for the heterozygote genotype. CONCLUSIONS: Heterozygosity of rs2227139 (MHC class II region) is associated with increased right frontal periventricular lesion probability (P<.01). Ten other SNPs showed associations between genotype and spatial lesion distribution that are partly explained by total lesion volume.