Serum protein profiling reveals baseline and pharmacodynamic biomarker signatures associated with clinical outcome in mCRC patients treated with chemotherapy ± cediranib.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated soluble serum proteins as biomarkers to subset patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) treated with chemotherapy±cediranib, a vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) signalling inhibitor (VEGFi). Exploring biomarkers at pre- and on-treatment may identify patient subgroups showing clinical benefit on cediranib combination. METHODS: Two hundred and seven serum proteins were analysed in 588 mCRC patients at pre- and on-treatment with chemotherapy (FOLFOX/CAPOX)±cediranib 20 mg. Patients were enrolled in the phase III trial HORIZON II. We correlated baseline biomarker signatures and pharmacodynamic (PD) biomarkers with PFS and OS. RESULTS: We identified a baseline signature (BS) of 47 biomarkers that included VEGFA, VEGFD, VEGFR2, VEGFR3 and TIE-2, which defined two distinct subgroups of patients. Patients treated with chemotherapy plus cediranib who had 'high' BS had shorter PFS (HR=1.82, P=0.003) than patients with 'low' BS. This BS did not correlate with PFS of the patients treated with chemotherapy plus placebo. In addition, we identified a profile of 16 PD proteins on treatment associated with PFS (HR=0.58, P<0.001) and OS (HR=0.52, P<0.001) in patients treated with chemotherapy plus cediranib. This PD profile did not correlate with PFS and OS in patients treated with chemotherapy plus placebo. CONCLUSIONS: Serum proteins may represent relevant biomarkers to predict the outcome of patients treated with VEGFi-based therapies. We report a BS and PD biomarkers that may identify mCRC patients showing increased benefit of combining cediranib with chemotherapy. These exploratory findings need to be validated in future prospective studies.

Prognostic/predictive value of 207 serum factors in colorectal cancer treated with cediranib and/or chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic and predictive value of multiple serum biomarkers was evaluated using samples from a randomised phase III study (HORIZON II) investigating chemotherapy with or without cediranib in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). METHODS: Baseline levels of 207 protein markers were measured in serum samples from 582 HORIZON II (FOLFOX/XELOX plus cediranib 20 mg (n=330) or placebo (n=252)) patients. Median baseline values of each biomarker were used to categorise patients as high or low. Markers were then assessed for their association with efficacy, defined by progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). A generalised boosted regression model identified markers of particular interest. RESULTS: Correlation of protein levels with PFS and OS suggested that multiple factors had a prognostic value, independent of treatment arm, including IL-6, IL-8, C-reactive protein (CRP), ICAM-1 and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). Among the angiogenesis regulators, low levels of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), VEGF-D, VEGFR-1, VEGFR-3, NRP1 and Tie-2 correlated with better outcome. CONCLUSION: This large data set generated using serum samples from mCRC patients treated with chemotherapy and VEGF inhibitors, defines baseline characteristics for 207 serum proteins. Multiple prognostic factors were identified that could be disease related or predict which patients derive most benefit from 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)-based chemotherapy, meriting further exploration in prospective studies.