The Historical Epidemiology of Human Monkeypox: A Review of Evidence from the 1970 Emergence to the 2022 Outbreak.

Human Monkeypox (HMPX) outbreak in the year 2022 occurs in many countries outside of the African regions, a common location of such outbreaks, with a considerable rate of human-to-human transmission, which was an uncommon route of infection before. The epidemiological reports also represent a sharping pace of infection spreading between communities rather than in previous outbreaks as the following pace of afflictions is unpredictable. Also, the cautions regarding the sexually transmitted infection of the such virus have been raised in this outbreak. Further, the main reservoirs of the recent outbreaks are yet to be revealed. As a consequence, the World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the 2022 HMPX outbreak as an "Atypical" phenomenon compared to its previous characteristics. To better recognize the properties of this outbreak, herein we systematically described and compared the historical evidence of monkeypox virus outbreaks in the aspects of epidemiological, clinical, and molecular evolutions since its emergence, as well as an explanation of the previous investigations and considerations of WHO and other international health societies over time. The history of human and monkeypox virus interaction during the past 64 years provides viewpoints on preventing strategies and assessing the present and potential future hazards of health implications.

Mortality Risk Factors among Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients in a Major Referral Center in Iran.

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has killed many people worldwide since December 2019, and Iran has been among the most affected countries. In this retrospective study, we aimed to determine the prognostic factors associated with mortality in COVID-19 patients by analyzing 396 survived and 63 non-survived patients in Shahid Modarres Hospital, Tehran, Iran, from January 30th until April 5th, 2020. As the results, the BMI > 35 (p = 0.0003), lung cancer (p = 0.007), chronic kidney disease (p = 0.002), Immunocompromised condition (p = 0.003), and diabetes (p = 0.018) were more frequently observed in the expired group. The history of statins use was more common in the discharged group (p = 0.002), while there was no significant difference in the drug history of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin II receptor blockers, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, aspirin, and/or steroids, and in the past-year influenza vaccination. Multivariable regression demonstrated rising odds of in-hospital death related with age (odds ratio (OR) = 1.055, p = 0.002), levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) (OR = 2.915, p < 0.001), creatinine (OR = 1.740, p = 0.023), lymphocyte count (OR = 0.999, p = 0.008), and magnesium level (OR = 0.032, p < 0.001) on admission. In conclusion, the patients with older age and higher BMI with lymphopenia, hypomagnesemia, elevated CRP and/or raised creatinine on admission are at higher risk of mortality due to the COVID-19 infection, which requires the physicians to use timely and strong therapeutic measures for such patients.

Risk factors, thromboembolic events, and clinical course of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation among COVID-19 hospitalized patients: A multicenter cross-sectional analysis in Iran.

Background and Aims: We focused on determining the risk factors, thromboembolic events, and clinical course of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation (NOAF) among hospitalized coronavirus disease (COVID-19) patients. Methods: This retrospective study was conducted in the major referral centers in Tehran, Iran. Of 1764 patients enrolled in the study from January 2020 until July 2021, 147 had NOAF, and 1617 had normal sinus rhythm. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regressions were employed accordingly to evaluate NOAF risk factors. The statistical assessments have been run utilizing SPSS 25.0 (SPSS) or R 3.6.3 software. Results: For the NOAF patients, the age was significantly higher, and the more prevalent comorbidities were metabolic syndrome, heart failure (HF), peripheral vascular disease, coronary artery disease, and liver cirrhosis. The multivariate analysis showed the established independent risk factors were; Troponin-I (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.86; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.89-7.87; p < 0.001), HF (HR = 2.54; 95% CI = 1.61-4.02; p < 0.001), bilateral grand-glass opacification (HR = 2.26; 95% CI = 1.68-3.05; p = 0.002). For cases with thromboembolic events, NOAF was the most important prognostic factor (odds ratio [OR] = 2.97; 95% CI = 2.03-4.33; p < 0.001). While evaluating the diagnostic ability of prognostic factors in detecting NOAF, Troponin-I (Area under the curve [AUC] = 0.85), C-Reactive Protein (AUC = 0.72), and d-dimer (AUC = 0.65) had the most accurate sensitivity. Furthermore, the Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that the survival rates diminished more steeply for patients with NOAF history. Conclusion: In hospitalized COVID-19 patients with NOAF, the risk of thromboembolic events, hospital stay, and fatality are significantly higher. The established risk factors showed that patients with older age, higher inflammation states, and more severe clinical conditions based on CHADS2VASC-score potentially need subsequent preventive strategies. Appropriate prophylactic anticoagulants, Initial management of cytokine storm, sufficient oxygen support, and reducing viral shedding could be of assistance in such patients.

Generalized, non-neonatial tetanus is a highly fatal disease in Afghanistan: A case series study.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the clinical features and outcomes of a case series of adult tetanus and illustrate inadequacies in confronting this preventable disease. DESIGN AND METHODS: This study retrospectively evaluated 24 relatively severe, confirmed cases of tetanus, diagnosed between March 2017 and December 2018, in Kabul Antani Hospital, Afghanistan. RESULTS: Regarding the source of the infection: 18 patients (75%) had a history of injuries, 1 had a history of a dog bite and 1 was an intravenous drug user; 4 patients had no external injuries or wounds. Dysphagia was the main clinical manifestation for which patients sought medical treatment (50%). Of the 12 patients who died, 7 presented with confusion and seizure, 1 with acute kidney injury, and 2 with pneumonia. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality due to tetanus is high in Afghanistan (Case Fatality Rate (CFR) 50%)), suggesting an urgent need for vaccination policy and programs, post-exposure protocols, and facilities equipped for the treatment of adult tetanus. The Ministry of Public Health of Afghanistan should seek to improve the accessibility, distribution and recording of tetanus immunization through vaccination.

The impact of metabolic syndrome on morbidity and mortality among intensive care unit admitted COVID-19 patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Given the limited information describing the connection between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), we aimed to assess the impact of MetS on morbidity and mortality among COVID-19 patients. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was performed from 1st April to May 3, 2020 on 157 ICU-admitted COVID-19 patients in Shahid Modarres Hospital in Tehran, Iran. Patients' clinical, laboratory and radiological findings, and subsequent complications, were collected and compared between MetS and non-MetS groups. RESULTS: 74 of all cases had MetS. Among the MetS components, waist circumference (p-value = 0.006 for men; p-value<0.0001 for women), Triglycerides (p-value = 0.002), and Fasting Blood Sugar (p-value = 0.007) were significantly higher in MetS group; with no statistical difference found in HDL levels (p-value = 0.21 for men; p-value = 0.13 for women), systolic blood pressure(p-value = 0.07), and diastolic blood pressure (p-value = 0.18) between two groups. Length of ICU admission (p-value = 0.009), the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (p-value = 0.0001), respiratory failure (p-value = 0.0008), and pressure ulcers (p-value = 0.02) were observed significantly more in MetS group. The Odds Ratio (OR) of mortality with 0(OR = 0.3660), 1(OR = 0.5155), 2(OR = 0.5397), 3(OR = 1.9511), 4(OR = 5.7018), and 5(OR = 8.3740) MetS components showed an increased mortality risk as the components' count increased. The patient with BMI>40 (OR = 6.9368) had more odds of fatality comparing to those with BMI>35 (OR = 4.0690) and BMI>30 (OR = 2.5287). Furthermore, the waist circumference (OR = 8.31; p-value<0.0001) and fasting blood sugar (OR = 2.4588; p-value = 0.0245) were obtained by multivariate logistic regression as independent prognostic factors for mortality. CONCLUSION: The findings suggest a strong relationship between having MetS and increased risk of severe complications and mortality among COVID-19 ICU-admitted patients.