RESUMEN
In the context of global precipitation anomalies and climate warming, the evolution of fragile desert ecosystems, which account for one-third of the world's land area, will become more complex. Studies of regional climate change and ecosystem response are important components of global climate change research, especially in arid desert regions. Zygophyllum xanthoxylum and Ammopiptanthus mongolicus are two dominant but endangered shrub species in the Alxa Desert in the arid region of central Asia. Using dendrochronological methods, we studied the response of radial growth of those two species to climate factors, and the adaptability of the two shrub populations under a regional warming trend. We found that radial growth of both shrubs was mainly affected by precipitation during the growing season. In additionally, along with the decrease of precipitation and the increase of temperature from east to west of Alxa desert Plateau, the limiting effect of drought during the growing season on radial growth increased. The climate response characteristics and changes between dry and wet periods exhibited spatial and temporal heterogeneity due to micro-level geomorphological factors. Under a regional climate warming trend, individual growth and population development of the two endangered shrubs will be adversely affected. In areas where these species are naturally distributed, populations will gradually become concentrated in micro-geomorphic regions with better soil moisture conditions, such as low-lying areas in the gullies that develop in alluvial fans. This finding has important scientific significance for understanding the development of the region's dominant shrub populations and protection of these and other endangered plants in arid desert areas.