The role of lung biopsy for diagnosis and prognosis of interstitial lung disease in systemic sclerosis: a systematic literature review.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic and theragnostic role of histopathological subsets in systemic sclerosis interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) have been largely neglected due to the paucity of treatment options and the risks associated with surgical lung biopsy. The novel drugs for the treatment of ILDs and the availability of transbronchial cryobiopsy provide a new clinical scenario making lung biopsy more feasible and a pivotal guide for treatment. The aim of our study was to investigate the usefulness of lung biopsy in SSc ILD with a systematic literature review (SLR). METHODS: PubMed, Embase and Cochrane databases were searched up to June 30, 2023. Search terms included both database-specific controlled vocabulary terms and free-text terms relating to lung biopsy and SSc-ILD diagnostic and prognosis. The SLR was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis (PRISMA). Studies were selected according to the PEO (population, exposure, and outcomes) framework and Quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies (QUADAS) were reported. RESULTS: We selected 14 articles (comprising 364 SSc-ILD patients). The paucity and heterogeneity of the studies prevented a systematic analysis. Diffuse cutaneous SSc was present in 30-100% of cases. Female predominance was observed in all studies (ranging from 64 to 100%). Mean age ranged from 42 to 64 years. Mean FVC was 73.98 (+/-17.3), mean DLCO was 59.49 (+/-16.1). Anti-Scl70 antibodies positivity was detected in 33% of cases (range: 0-69.6). All patients underwent surgical lung biopsies, and multiple lobes were biopsied in a minority of studies (4/14). Poor HRCT-pathologic correlation was reported with HRCT-NSIP showing histopathologic UIP in up to 1/3 of cases. Limited data suggest that SSc-UIP patients may have a worse prognosis and response to immunosuppressive treatment compared to other histopathologic patterns. CONCLUSIONS: The data from this SLR clearly show the paucity and heterogeneity of the studies reporting lung biopsy in SSc ILD. Moreover, they highlight the need for further research to address whether the lung biopsy can be helpful to refine prognostic prediction and guide therapeutic choices.

Update of penetrance estimates in Birt-Hogg-Dubé syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Birt-Hogg-Dubé (BHD) syndrome is a rare genetic syndrome caused by pathogenic or likely pathogenic germline variants in the FLCN gene. Patients with BHD syndrome have an increased risk of fibrofolliculomas, pulmonary cysts, pneumothorax and renal cell carcinoma. There is debate regarding whether colonic polyps should be added to the criteria. Previous risk estimates have mostly been based on small clinical case series. METHODS: A comprehensive review was conducted to identify studies that had recruited families carrying pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants in FLCN. Pedigree data were requested from these studies and pooled. Segregation analysis was used to estimate the cumulative risk of each manifestation for carriers of FLCN pathogenic variants. RESULTS: Our final dataset contained 204 families that were informative for at least one manifestation of BHD (67 families informative for skin manifestations, 63 for lung, 88 for renal carcinoma and 29 for polyps). By age 70 years, male carriers of the FLCN variant have an estimated 19% (95% CI 12% to 31%) risk of renal tumours, 87% (95% CI 80% to 92%) of lung involvement and 87% (95% CI 78% to 93%) of skin lesions, while female carriers had an estimated 21% (95% CI 13% to 32%) risk of renal tumours, 82% (95% CI 73% to 88%) of lung involvement and 78% (95% CI 67% to 85%) of skin lesions. The cumulative risk of colonic polyps by age 70 years old was 21% (95% CI 8% to 45%) for male carriers and 32% (95% CI 16% to 53%) for female carriers. CONCLUSIONS: These updated penetrance estimates, based on a large number of families, are important for the genetic counselling and clinical management of BHD syndrome.

Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis Is Associated with Common Genetic Variants and Limited Rare Variants.

Rationale: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a rare, irreversible, and progressive disease of the lungs. Common genetic variants, in addition to nongenetic factors, have been consistently associated with IPF. Rare variants identified by candidate gene, family-based, and exome studies have also been reported to associate with IPF. However, the extent to which rare variants, genome-wide, may contribute to the risk of IPF remains unknown. Objectives: We used whole-genome sequencing to investigate the role of rare variants, genome-wide, on IPF risk. Methods: As part of the Trans-Omics for Precision Medicine Program, we sequenced 2,180 cases of IPF. Association testing focused on the aggregated effect of rare variants (minor allele frequency ⩽0.01) within genes or regions. We also identified individual rare variants that are influential within genes and estimated the heritability of IPF on the basis of rare and common variants. Measurements and Main Results: Rare variants in both TERT and RTEL1 were significantly associated with IPF. A single rare variant in each of the TERT and RTEL1 genes was found to consistently influence the aggregated test statistics. There was no significant evidence of association with other previously reported rare variants. The SNP heritability of IPF was estimated to be 32% (SE = 3%). Conclusions: Rare variants within the TERT and RTEL1 genes and well-established common variants have the largest contribution to IPF risk overall. Efforts in risk profiling or the development of therapies for IPF that focus on TERT, RTEL1, common variants, and environmental risk factors are likely to have the largest impact on this complex disease.

Unsupervised machine learning identifies predictive progression markers of IPF.

OBJECTIVES: To identify and evaluate predictive lung imaging markers and their pathways of change during progression of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) from sequential data of an IPF cohort. To test if these imaging markers predict outcome. METHODS: We studied radiological disease progression in 76 patients with IPF, including overall 190 computed tomography (CT) examinations of the chest. An algorithm identified candidates for imaging patterns marking progression by computationally clustering visual CT features. A classification algorithm selected clusters associated with radiological disease progression by testing their value for recognizing the temporal sequence of examinations. This resulted in radiological disease progression signatures, and pathways of lung tissue change accompanying progression observed across the cohort. Finally, we tested if the dynamics of marker patterns predict outcome, and performed an external validation study on a cohort from a different center. RESULTS: Progression marker patterns were identified and exhibited high stability in a repeatability experiment with 20 random sub-cohorts of the overall cohort. The 4 top-ranked progression markers were consistently selected as most informative for progression across all random sub-cohorts. After spatial image registration, local tracking of lung pattern transitions revealed a network of tissue transition pathways from healthy to a sequence of disease tissues. The progression markers were predictive for outcome, and the model achieved comparable results on a replication cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Unsupervised learning can identify radiological disease progression markers that predict outcome. Local tracking of pattern transitions reveals pathways of radiological disease progression from healthy lung tissue through a sequence of diseased tissue types. KEY POINTS: • Unsupervised learning can identify radiological disease progression markers that predict outcome in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. • Local tracking of pattern transitions reveals pathways of radiological disease progression from healthy lung tissue through a sequence of diseased tissue types. • The progression markers achieved comparable results on a replication cohort.

Lung cancer in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: A retrospective multicentre study in Europe.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: There remains a paucity of large databases for patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and lung cancer. We aimed to create a European registry. METHODS: This was a multicentre, retrospective study across seven European countries between 1 January 2010 and 18 May 2021. RESULTS: We identified 324 patients with lung cancer among 3178 patients with IPF (prevalence = 10.2%). By the end of the 10 year-period following IPF diagnosis, 26.6% of alive patients with IPF had been diagnosed with lung cancer. Patients with IPF and lung cancer experienced increased risk of all-cause mortality than IPF patients without lung cancer (HR: 1.51, [95% CI: 1.22-1.86], p < 0.0001). All-cause mortality was significantly lower for patients with IPF and lung cancer with a monocyte count of either <0.60 or 0.60-<0.95 K/µl than patients with monocyte count ≥0.95 K/µl (HR [<0.60 vs. ≥0.95 K/µl]: 0.35, [95% CI: 0.17-0.72], HR [0.60-<0.95 vs. ≥0.95 K/µl]: 0.42, [95% CI: 0.21-0.82], p = 0.003). Patients with IPF and lung cancer that received antifibrotics presented with decreased all cause-mortality compared to those who did not receive antifibrotics (HR: 0.61, [95% CI: 0.42-0.87], p = 0.006). In the adjusted model, a significantly lower proportion of surgically treated patients with IPF and otherwise technically operable lung cancer experienced all-cause mortality compared to non-surgically treated patients (HR: 0.30 [95% CI: 0.11-0.86], p = 0.02). CONCLUSION: Lung cancer exerts a dramatic impact on patients with IPF. A consensus statement for the management of patients with IPF and lung cancer is sorely needed.

Integrating Clinical Probability into the Diagnostic Approach to Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: An International Working Group Perspective.

Background: When considering the diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), experienced clinicians integrate clinical features that help to differentiate IPF from other fibrosing interstitial lung diseases, thus generating a "pre-test" probability of IPF. The aim of this international working group perspective was to summarize these features using a tabulated approach similar to chest HRCT and histopathologic patterns reported in the international guidelines for the diagnosis of IPF, and to help formally incorporate these clinical likelihoods into diagnostic reasoning to facilitate the diagnosis of IPF. Methods: The committee group identified factors that influence the clinical likelihood of a diagnosis of IPF, which was categorized as a pre-test clinical probability of IPF into "high" (70-100%), "intermediate" (30-70%), or "low" (0-30%). After integration of radiological and histopathological features, the post-test probability of diagnosis was categorized into "definite" (90-100%), "high confidence" (70-89%), "low confidence" (51-69%), or "low" (0-50%) probability of IPF. Findings: A conceptual Bayesian framework was created, integrating the clinical likelihood of IPF ("pre-test probability of IPF") with the HRCT pattern, the histopathology pattern when available, and/or the pattern of observed disease behavior, into a "post-test probability of IPF." The diagnostic probability of IPF was expressed using an adapted diagnostic ontology for fibrotic interstitial lung diseases. Interpretation: The present approach will help incorporate the clinical judgment into the diagnosis of IPF, thus facilitating the application of IPF diagnostic guidelines and, ultimately improving diagnostic confidence and reducing the need for invasive diagnostic techniques.

Doubts and concerns about COVID-19 uncertainties on imaging data, clinical score, and outcomes.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 is a pandemic disease affecting predominantly the respiratory apparatus with clinical manifestations ranging from asymptomatic to respiratory failure. Chest CT is a crucial tool in diagnosing and evaluating the severity of pulmonary involvement through dedicated scoring systems. Nonetheless, many questions regarding the relationship of radiologic and clinical features of the disease have emerged in multidisciplinary meetings. The aim of this retrospective study was to explore such relationship throughout an innovative and alternative approach. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study included 550 patients (range 25-98 years; 354 males, mean age 66.1; 196 females, mean age 70.9) hospitalized for COVID-19 with available radiological and clinical data between 1 March 2021 and 30 April 2022. Radiological data included CO-RADS, chest CT score, dominant pattern, and typical/atypical findings detected on CT examinations. Clinical data included clinical score and outcome. The relationship between such features was investigated through the development of the main four frequently asked questions summarizing the many issues arisen in multidisciplinary meetings, as follows 1) CO-RADS, chest CT score, clinical score, and outcomes; 2) the involvement of a specific lung lobe and outcomes; 3) dominant pattern/distribution and severity score for the same chest CT score; 4) additional factors and outcomes. RESULTS: 1) If CT was suggestive for COVID, a strong correlation between CT/clinical score and prognosis was found; 2) Middle lobe CT involvement was an unfavorable prognostic criterion; 3) If CT score < 50%, the pattern was not influential, whereas if CT score > 50%, crazy paving as dominant pattern leaded to a 15% increased death rate, stacked up against other patterns, thus almost doubling it; 4) Additional factors usually did not matter, but lymph-nodes and pleural effusion worsened prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: This study outlined those radiological features of COVID-19 most relevant towards disease severity and outcome with an innovative approach.

Clinical, radiological and pathological findings in patients with persistent lung disease following SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Some patients experience pulmonary sequelae after SARS-CoV-2 infection, ranging from self-limited abnormalities to major lung diseases. Morphological analysis of lung tissue may help our understanding of pathogenic mechanisms and help to provide consistent personalised management. The aim of this study was to ascertain morphological and immunomolecular features of lung tissue. Transbronchial lung cryobiopsy was carried out in patients with persistent symptoms and computed tomography suggestive of residual lung disease after recovery from SARS-CoV-2 infection. 164 patients were referred for suspected pulmonary sequelae after COVID-19; 10 patients with >5% parenchymal lung disease underwent lung biopsy. The histological pattern of lung disease was not homogeneous and three different case clusters could be identified, which was mirrored by their clinical and radiological features. Cluster 1 ("chronic fibrosing") was characterised by post-infection progression of pre-existing interstitial pneumonias. Cluster 2 ("acute/subacute injury") was characterised by different types and grades of lung injury, ranging from organising pneumonia and fibrosing nonspecific interstitial pneumonia to diffuse alveolar damage. Cluster 3 ("vascular changes") was characterised by diffuse vascular increase, dilatation and distortion (capillaries and venules) within otherwise normal parenchyma. Clusters 2 and 3 had immunophenotypical changes similar to those observed in early/mild COVID-19 pneumonias (abnormal expression of STAT3 in hyperplastic pneumocytes and PD-L1, IDO and STAT3 in endothelial cells). This is the first study correlating histological/immunohistochemical patterns with clinical and radiological pictures of patients with post-COVID lung disease. Different phenotypes with potentially different underlying pathogenic mechanisms have been identified.

European Respiratory Society guidelines on transbronchial lung cryobiopsy in the diagnosis of interstitial lung diseases.

BACKGROUND: In patients with interstitial lung diseases (ILD), histopathological input is often required to obtain a diagnosis. Surgical lung biopsy (SLB) is considered the reference standard, but many patients are clinically unfit to undergo this invasive procedure, and adverse events, length of hospitalisation and costs are considerable. This European Respiratory Society (ERS) guideline provides evidence-based clinical practice recommendations for the role of transbronchial lung cryobiopsy (TBLC) in obtaining tissue-based diagnosis in patients with undiagnosed ILD. METHODS: The ERS Task Force consisted of clinical experts in the field of ILD and/or TBLC and methodological experts. Four PICO (Patient, Intervention, Comparator, Outcomes) questions and two narrative questions were formulated. Systematic literature searches were performed in MEDLINE and Embase (up to June 2021). GRADE (Grading, Recommendation, Assessment, Development and Evaluation) methodology was applied. RESULTS: In patients with undiagnosed ILD and an indication to obtain histopathological data: 1) TBLC is suggested as a replacement test in patients considered eligible to undergo SLB, 2) TBLC is suggested in patients not considered eligible to undergo SLB, 3) SLB is suggested as an add-on test in patients with a non-informative TBLC, 4) no recommendation is made for or against a second TBLC in patients with a non-informative TBLC and 5) TBLC operators should undergo training, but no recommendation is made for the type of training required. CONCLUSIONS: TBLC provides important diagnostic information in patients with undiagnosed ILD. Diagnostic yield is lower compared to SLB, at reduced serious adverse events and length of hospitalisation. Certainty of the evidence is mostly "very low".

The role of chest CT in deciphering interstitial lung involvement: systemic sclerosis versus COVID-19.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to identify the main CT features that may help in distinguishing a progression of interstitial lung disease (ILD) secondary to SSc from COVID-19 pneumonia. METHODS: This multicentric study included 22 international readers grouped into a radiologist group (RADs) and a non-radiologist group (nRADs). A total of 99 patients, 52 with COVID-19 and 47 with SSc-ILD, were included in the study. RESULTS: Fibrosis inside focal ground-glass opacities (GGOs) in the upper lobes; fibrosis in the lower lobe GGOs; reticulations in lower lobes (especially if bilateral and symmetrical or associated with signs of fibrosis) were the CT features most frequently associated with SSc-ILD. The CT features most frequently associated with COVID- 19 pneumonia were: consolidation (CONS) in the lower lobes, CONS with peripheral (both central/peripheral or patchy distributions), anterior and posterior CONS and rounded-shaped GGOs in the lower lobes. After multivariate analysis, the presence of CONs in the lower lobes (P < 0.0001) and signs of fibrosis in GGOs in the lower lobes (P < 0.0001) remained independently associated with COVID-19 pneumonia and SSc-ILD, respectively. A predictive score was created that was positively associated with COVID-19 diagnosis (96.1% sensitivity and 83.3% specificity). CONCLUSION: CT diagnosis differentiating between COVID-19 pneumonia and SSc-ILD is possible through a combination of the proposed score and radiologic expertise. The presence of consolidation in the lower lobes may suggest COVID-19 pneumonia, while the presence of fibrosis inside GGOs may indicate SSc-ILD.

Nintedanib and immunomodulatory therapies in progressive fibrosing interstitial lung diseases.

BACKGROUND: In the INBUILD trial in patients with chronic fibrosing interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) and a progressive phenotype, nintedanib reduced the rate of ILD progression with adverse events that were manageable for most patients. We investigated the potential impact of immunomodulatory therapies on the efficacy and safety of nintedanib. METHODS: Subjects with fibrosing ILDs other than idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, who had shown progression of ILD within the prior 24 months despite management in clinical practice, were randomized to receive nintedanib or placebo. Certain immunomodulatory therapies were restricted for the first 6 months. We analyzed post-hoc the rate of decline in forced vital capacity (FVC) over 52 weeks in subgroups by glucocorticoid use at baseline and in analyses excluding subjects or FVC measurements taken after initiation of restricted immunomodulatory or antifibrotic therapies. RESULTS: Of 663 subjects, 361 (54.4%) were taking glucocorticoids at baseline (353 at a dose of ≤ 20 mg/day). In the placebo group, the adjusted rate of decline in FVC (mL/year) over 52 weeks was numerically greater in subjects taking than not taking glucocorticoids at baseline (- 206.4 [SE 20.2] vs - 165.8 [21.9]). The difference between the nintedanib and placebo groups was 133.3 (95% CI 76.6, 190.0) mL/year in subjects taking glucocorticoids at baseline and 76.1 (15.0, 137.2) mL/year in subjects who were not (interaction P = 0.18). The effect of nintedanib on reducing the rate of FVC decline in analyses excluding subjects or measurements taken after initiation of restricted immunomodulatory or antifibrotic therapies was similar to the primary analysis. The adverse event profile of nintedanib was similar between subjects who did and did not use prohibited or restricted therapies at baseline or during treatment with trial drug. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with progressive fibrosing ILDs, the effect of nintedanib on reducing FVC decline was not influenced by the use of immunomodulatory therapies. Nintedanib can be used in combination with immunomodulatory therapies in patients with progressive fibrosing ILDs. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02999178. Registered 21 December 2016, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02999178.

Transbronchial cryobiopsy increases diagnostic confidence in interstitial lung disease: a prospective multicentre trial.

INTRODUCTION: The accurate diagnosis of individual interstitial lung diseases (ILD) is often challenging, but is a critical determinant of appropriate management. If a diagnosis cannot be made after multidisciplinary team discussion (MDTD), surgical lung biopsy is the current recommended tissue sampling technique according to the most recent guidelines. Transbronchial lung cryobiopsy (TBLC) has been proposed as an alternative to surgical lung biopsy. METHODS: This prospective, multicentre, international study analysed the impact of TBLC on the diagnostic assessment of 128 patients with suspected idiopathic interstitial pneumonia by a central MDTD board (two clinicians, two radiologists, two pathologists). The level of confidence for the first-choice diagnoses were evaluated in four steps, as follows: 1) clinicoradiological data alone; 2) addition of bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) findings; 3) addition of TBLC interpretation; and 4) surgical lung biopsy findings (if available). We evaluated the contribution of TBLC to the formulation of a confident first-choice MDTD diagnosis. RESULTS: TBLC led to a significant increase in the percentage of cases with confident diagnoses or provisional diagnoses with high confidence (likelihood ≥70%) from 60.2% to 81.2%. In 32 out of 52 patients nondiagnostic after BAL, TBLC provided a diagnosis with a likelihood ≥70%. The percentage of confident diagnoses (likelihood ≥90%) increased from 22.7% after BAL to 53.9% after TBLC. Pneumothoraces occurred in 16.4% of patients, and moderate or severe bleeding in 15.7% of patients. No deaths were observed within 30 days. INTERPRETATION: TBLC increases diagnostic confidence in the majority of ILD patients with an uncertain noninvasive diagnosis, with manageable side-effects. These data support the integration of TBLC into the diagnostic algorithm for ILD.

Quantitative analysis of pulmonary vasculature in systemic sclerosis at spirometry-gated chest CT.

OBJECTIVE: To prospectively investigate whether differences in pulmonary vasculature exist in systemic sclerosis (SSc) and how they are distributed in patients with different pulmonary function. METHODS: Seventy-four patients with SSc undergoing chest CT scan for interstitial lung disease (ILD) screening or follow-up were prospectively enrolled. A thorough clinical, laboratory and functional evaluation was performed the same day. Chest CT was spirometry gated at total lung capacity and images were analysed by two automated software programs to quantify emphysema, ILD patterns (ground-glass, reticular, honeycombing), and pulmonary vascular volume (PVV). Patients were divided in restricted (FVC% <80, DLco%<80), isolated DLco% reduction (iDLco- FVC%≥80, DLco%<80) and normals (FVC%≥80, DLco%≥80). Spearman ρ, Mann-Whitney tests and logistic regressions were used to assess for correlations, differences among groups and relationships between continuous variables. RESULTS: Absolute and lung volume normalised PVV (PVV/LV) correlated inversely with functional parameters and positively with all ILD patterns (ρ=0.75 with ground glass, ρ=0.68 with reticular). PVV/LV was the only predictor of DLco at multivariate analysis (p=0.007). Meanwhile, the reticular pattern prevailed in peripheral regions and lower lung thirds, PVV/LV prevailed in central regions and middle lung thirds. iDLco group had a significantly higher PVV/LV (2.2%) than normal (1.6%), but lower than restricted ones (3.8%). CONCLUSIONS: Chest CT in SSc detects a progressive increase in PVV/LV as DLco decreases. Redistribution of perfusion to less affected lung regions rather than angiogenesis nearby fibrotic lung may explain the results. Further studies to ascertain whether the increase in PVV/LV reflects a real increase in blood volume are needed.

Pleuroparenchymal fibroelastosis in rheumatic autoimmune diseases: a systematic literature review.

OBJECTIVES: Pleuroparenchymal fibroelastosis (PPFE) is characterized by predominantly upper lobe pleural and subjacent parenchymal fibrosis; PPFE features were described in patients with rheumatic autoimmune diseases (RAID). A systematic literature review was performed to investigate the prevalence, prognosis and potential association of PPFE with previous immunosuppression in RAID. METHODS: EMBASE, Web of Science and PubMed databases were questioned from inception to 1 September 2019. Articles published in English and addressing PPFE in patients with RAID were selected. RESULTS: Twenty out of 794 papers were selected with a total of 76 cases of RAID-PPFE patients (20 SSc, 9 RA, 6 IIM6 primary SS, 5 overlap syndromes, 3 ANCA-associated vasculitides, 2 granulomatosis with polyangiitis, 1 microscopic polyangiitis, 1 UCTD, 1 SLE, 1 GCA and 21 patients with non-specified RAID). Dyspnoea was the most frequently reported symptom (37/48 patients, 77%). Patients frequently presented with a restrictive pattern and decline in diffusing lung capacity for carbon monoxide. During the follow-up, 7/12 patients had progression at imaging, 22/39 presented a generic clinical worsening, 19/38 had a functional deterioration and 15/43 remained stable. CONCLUSION: The present systematic literature review confirms that PPFE features are present in RAID. Rheumatologists should be aware of this new radiological pattern that holds a bad prognosis.

Stratification of long-term outcome in stable idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis by combining longitudinal computed tomography and forced vital capacity.

OBJECTIVES: To test HRCT with either visual or quantitative analysis in both short-term and long-term follow-up of stable IPF against long-term (transplant-free) survival, beyond 2 years of disease stability. METHODS: Fifty-eight IPF patients had FVC measurements and HRCTs at baseline (HRCT0), 10-14 months (HRCT1) and 22-26 months (HRCT2). Visual scoring, CALIPER quantitative analysis of HRCT measures, and their deltas were evaluated against combined all-cause mortality and lung transplantation by adjusted Cox proportional hazard models at each time interval. RESULTS: At HRCT1, a ≥ 20% relative increase in CALIPER-total lung fibrosis yielded the highest radiological association with outcome (C-statistic 0.62). Moreover, the model combining FVC% drop ≥ 10% and ≥ 20% relative increase of CALIPER-total lung fibrosis improved the stratification of outcome (C-statistic 0.69, high-risk category HR 12.1; landmark analysis at HRCT1 C-statistic 0.66, HR 14.9 and at HRCT2 C-statistic 0.61, HR 21.8). Likewise, at HRCT2, the model combining FVC% decrease trend and ≥ 20% relative increase of CALIPER-pulmonary vessel-related volume (VRS) improved the stratification of outcome (C-statistic 0.65, HR 11.0; landmark analysis at HRCT1 C-statistic 0.62, HR 13.8 and at HRCT2 C-statistic 0.58, HR 12.6). A less robust stratification of outcome distinction was also demonstrated with the categorical visual scoring of disease change. CONCLUSIONS: Annual combined CALIPER -FVC changes showed the greatest stratification of long-term outcome in stable IPF patients, beyond 2 years. KEY POINTS: • Longitudinal high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) data is more helpful than baseline HRCT alone for stratification of long-term outcome in IPF. • HRCT changes by visual or quantitative analysis can be added with benefit to the current spirometric reference standard to improve stratification of long-term outcome in IPF. • HRCT follow-up at 12-14 months is more helpful than HRCT follow-up at 23-26 months in clinically stable subjects with IPF.

Diagnostic Likelihood Thresholds That Define a Working Diagnosis of Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis.

Rationale: The level of diagnostic likelihood at which physicians prescribe antifibrotic therapy without requesting surgical lung biopsy (SLB) in patients suspected of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is unknown.Objectives: To determine how often physicians advocate SLB in patient subgroups defined by IPF likelihood and risk associated with SLB, and to identify the level of diagnostic likelihood at which physicians prescribe antifibrotic therapy with requesting SLB.Methods: An international cohort of respiratory physicians evaluated 60 cases of interstitial lung disease, giving: 1) differential diagnoses with diagnostic likelihood; 2) a decision on the need for SLB; and 3) initial management. Diagnoses were stratified according to diagnostic likelihood bands described by Ryerson and colleagues.Measurements and Main Results: A total of 404 physicians evaluated the 60 cases (24,240 physician-patient evaluations). IPF was part of the differential diagnosis in 9,958/24,240 (41.1%) of all physician-patient evaluations. SLB was requested in 8.1%, 29.6%, and 48.4% of definite, provisional high-confidence and provisional low-confidence diagnoses of IPF, respectively. In 63.0% of provisional high-confidence IPF diagnoses, antifibrotic therapy was prescribed without requesting SLB. No significant mortality difference was observed between cases given a definite diagnosis of IPF (90-100% diagnostic likelihood) and cases given a provisional high-confidence IPF diagnosis (hazard ratio, 0.97; P = 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.90-1.04).Conclusions: Most respiratory physicians prescribe antifibrotic therapy without requesting an SLB if a provisional high-confidence diagnosis or "working diagnosis" of IPF can be made (likelihood ≥ 70%). SLB is recommended in only a minority of patients with suspected, but not definite, IPF.

Diagnostic yield and risk/benefit analysis of trans-bronchial lung cryobiopsy in diffuse parenchymal lung diseases: a large cohort of 699 patients.

BACKGROUND: Standardization of trans-bronchial lung cryobiopsy in diffuse parenchymal lung diseases is imminent; however, the majority of published series on cryobiopsy include a limited number of patients and are characterized by several differences in procedural technical details. METHODS: This is an observational, retrospective cohort study. Aim of the study was to suggest some sampling strategies related to transbronchial cryobiopsy in the diagnostic work-up of patients with diffuse parenchymal lung diseases. RESULTS: Six hundred ninety-nine patients with suspected diffuse parenchymal lung disease were recruited. A specific pathological diagnosis was achieved in 614/699 cases (87.8%) and a multidisciplinary diagnosis was obtained in 630/699 cases (90.1%). Diagnostic yield was significantly influenced by the number of samples taken (1 vs ≥ 2 biopsies, p < 0.005). In 60.4% of patients, biopsies were taken from one site and in 39.6% from different sites (in the same lobe or in two different lobes), with a significant increase in diagnostic yield, specifically in patients with fibrotic lung diseases (65.5% vs 93.4%, p < 0.0001). The 2.4 mm or 1.9 mm probes were used, with no differences in terms of diagnostic yield. Regarding safety, pneumothorax occurred in 19.2% and was influenced by baseline lung function; in all patients Fogarty balloon has been used and severe haemorrhage occurred in 0.7% of cases. Three patients (0.4% of cases) died within 30 days after the procedure. CONCLUSIONS: We propose some sampling strategies of cryobiopsy which seem to be associated with a higher diagnostic yield and a favorable risk/benefit ratio: sampling at least two samples in different sites, using either the 2.4 mm or the 1.9 mm probe, intubating the patients and using bronchial blockers/catheters.