CODEX: COunterfactual Deep learning for the in silico EXploration of cancer cell line perturbations.

MOTIVATION: High-throughput screens (HTS) provide a powerful tool to decipher the causal effects of chemical and genetic perturbations on cancer cell lines. Their ability to evaluate a wide spectrum of interventions, from single drugs to intricate drug combinations and CRISPR-interference, has established them as an invaluable resource for the development of novel therapeutic approaches. Nevertheless, the combinatorial complexity of potential interventions makes a comprehensive exploration intractable. Hence, prioritizing interventions for further experimental investigation becomes of utmost importance. RESULTS: We propose CODEX (COunterfactual Deep learning for the in silico EXploration of cancer cell line perturbations) as a general framework for the causal modeling of HTS data, linking perturbations to their downstream consequences. CODEX relies on a stringent causal modeling strategy based on counterfactual reasoning. As such, CODEX predicts drug-specific cellular responses, comprising cell survival and molecular alterations, and facilitates the in silico exploration of drug combinations. This is achieved for both bulk and single-cell HTS. We further show that CODEX provides a rationale to explore complex genetic modifications from CRISPR-interference in silico in single cells. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: Our implementation of CODEX is publicly available at https://github.com/sschrod/CODEX. All data used in this article are publicly available.

Adaptive digital tissue deconvolution.

MOTIVATION: The inference of cellular compositions from bulk and spatial transcriptomics data increasingly complements data analyses. Multiple computational approaches were suggested and recently, machine learning techniques were developed to systematically improve estimates. Such approaches allow to infer additional, less abundant cell types. However, they rely on training data which do not capture the full biological diversity encountered in transcriptomics analyses; data can contain cellular contributions not seen in the training data and as such, analyses can be biased or blurred. Thus, computational approaches have to deal with unknown, hidden contributions. Moreover, most methods are based on cellular archetypes which serve as a reference; e.g. a generic T-cell profile is used to infer the proportion of T-cells. It is well known that cells adapt their molecular phenotype to the environment and that pre-specified cell archetypes can distort the inference of cellular compositions. RESULTS: We propose Adaptive Digital Tissue Deconvolution (ADTD) to estimate cellular proportions of pre-selected cell types together with possibly unknown and hidden background contributions. Moreover, ADTD adapts prototypic reference profiles to the molecular environment of the cells, which further resolves cell-type specific gene regulation from bulk transcriptomics data. We verify this in simulation studies and demonstrate that ADTD improves existing approaches in estimating cellular compositions. In an application to bulk transcriptomics data from breast cancer patients, we demonstrate that ADTD provides insights into cell-type specific molecular differences between breast cancer subtypes. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: A python implementation of ADTD and a tutorial are available at Gitlab and zenodo (doi:10.5281/zenodo.7548362).

DRAGON: Determining Regulatory Associations using Graphical models on multi-Omic Networks.

The increasing quantity of multi-omic data, such as methylomic and transcriptomic profiles collected on the same specimen or even on the same cell, provides a unique opportunity to explore the complex interactions that define cell phenotype and govern cellular responses to perturbations. We propose a network approach based on Gaussian Graphical Models (GGMs) that facilitates the joint analysis of paired omics data. This method, called DRAGON (Determining Regulatory Associations using Graphical models on multi-Omic Networks), calibrates its parameters to achieve an optimal trade-off between the network's complexity and estimation accuracy, while explicitly accounting for the characteristics of each of the assessed omics 'layers.' In simulation studies, we show that DRAGON adapts to edge density and feature size differences between omics layers, improving model inference and edge recovery compared to state-of-the-art methods. We further demonstrate in an analysis of joint transcriptome - methylome data from TCGA breast cancer specimens that DRAGON can identify key molecular mechanisms such as gene regulation via promoter methylation. In particular, we identify Transcription Factor AP-2 Beta (TFAP2B) as a potential multi-omic biomarker for basal-type breast cancer. DRAGON is available as open-source code in Python through the Network Zoo package (netZooPy v0.8; netzoo.github.io).

Evaluating the Effect of Data Merging and Postacquisition Normalization on Statistical Analysis of Untargeted High-Resolution Mass Spectrometry Based Urinary Metabolomics Data.

Urine is one of the most widely used biofluids in metabolomic studies because it can be collected noninvasively and is available in large quantities. However, it shows large heterogeneity in sample concentration and consequently requires normalization to reduce unwanted variation and extract meaningful biological information. Biological samples like urine are commonly measured with electrospray ionization (ESI) coupled to a mass spectrometer, producing data sets for positive and negative modes. Combining these gives a more complete picture of the total metabolites present in a sample. However, the effect of this data merging on subsequent data analysis, especially in combination with normalization, has not yet been analyzed. To address this issue, we conducted a neutral comparison study to evaluate the performance of eight postacquisition normalization methods under different data merging procedures using 1029 urine samples from the Food Chain plus (FoCus) cohort. Samples were measured with a Fourier transform ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometer (FT-ICR-MS). Normalization methods were evaluated by five criteria capturing the ability to remove sample concentration variation and preserve relevant biological information. Merging data after normalization was generally favorable for quality control (QC) sample similarity, sample classification, and feature selection for most of the tested normalization methods. Merging data after normalization and the usage of probabilistic quotient normalization (PQN) in a similar setting are generally recommended. Relying on a single analyte to capture sample concentration differences, like with postacquisition creatinine normalization, seems to be a less preferable approach, especially when data merging is applied.

Anomaly detection in mixed high-dimensional molecular data.

MOTIVATION: Mixed molecular data combines continuous and categorical features of the same samples, such as OMICS profiles with genotypes, diagnoses, or patient sex. Like all high-dimensional molecular data, it is prone to incorrect values that can stem from various sources for example the technical limitations of the measurement devices, errors in the sample preparation, or contamination. Most anomaly detection algorithms identify complete samples as outliers or anomalies. However, in most cases, not all measurements of those samples are erroneous but only a few one-dimensional features within the samples are incorrect. These one-dimensional data errors are continuous measurements that are either located outside or inside the normal ranges of their features but in both cases show atypical values given all other continuous and categorical features in the sample. Additionally, categorical anomalies can occur for example when the genotype or diagnosis was submitted wrongly. RESULTS: We introduce ADMIRE (Anomaly Detection using MIxed gRaphical modEls), a novel approach for the detection and correction of anomalies in mixed high-dimensional data. Hereby, we focus on the detection of single (one-dimensional) data errors in the categorical and continuous features of a sample. For that the joint distribution of continuous and categorical features is learned by mixed graphical models, anomalies are detected by the difference between measured and model-based estimations and are corrected using imputation. We evaluated ADMIRE in simulation and by screening for anomalies in one of our own metabolic datasets. In simulation experiments, ADMIRE outperformed the state-of-the-art methods of Local Outlier Factor, stray, and Isolation Forest. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: All data and code is available at https://github.com/spang-lab/adadmire. ADMIRE is implemented in a Python package called adadmire which can be found at https://pypi.org/project/adadmire.

Interactive exploration of adverse events and multimorbidity in CKD.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Persons with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are at increased risk of adverse events, early mortality, and multimorbidity. A detailed overview of adverse event types and rates from a large CKD cohort under regular nephrological care is missing. We generated an interactive tool to enable exploration of adverse events and their combinations in the prospective, observational German CKD (GCKD) study. METHODS: The GCKD study enrolled 5217 participants under regular nephrological care with an estimated glomerular filtration rate of 30-60 or >60 mL/min/1.73m2 and an overt proteinuria. Cardio-, cerebro- and peripheral vascular, kidney, infection, and cancer events, as well as deaths were adjudicated following a standard operation procedure. We summarized these time-to-event data points for exploration in interactive graphs within an R shiny app. Multivariable adjusted Cox models for time to first event were fitted. Cumulative incidence functions, Kaplan-Meier curves and intersection plots were used to display main adverse events and their combinations by sex and CKD etiology. RESULTS: Over a median of 6.5 years, 10 271 events occurred in total and 680 participants (13.0%) died while 2947 participants (56.5%) experienced any event. The new publicly available interactive platform enables readers to scrutinize adverse events and their combinations as well as mortality trends as a gateway to better understand multimorbidity in CKD: incident rates per 1000 patient-years varied by event type, CKD etiology, and baseline characteristics. Incidence rates for the most frequent events and their recurrence were 113.6 (cardiovascular), 75.0 (kidney), and 66.0 (infection). Participants with diabetic kidney disease and men were more prone to experiencing events. CONCLUSION: This comprehensive explorative tool to visualize adverse events (https://gckd.diz.uk-erlangen.de/), their combination, mortality, and multimorbidity among persons with CKD may manifest as a valuable resource for patient care, identification of high-risk groups, health services, and public health policy planning.

Responsibility and decision-making authority in using clinical decision support systems: an empirical-ethical exploration of German prospective professionals' preferences and concerns.

Machine learning-driven clinical decision support systems (ML-CDSSs) seem impressively promising for future routine and emergency care. However, reflection on their clinical implementation reveals a wide array of ethical challenges. The preferences, concerns and expectations of professional stakeholders remain largely unexplored. Empirical research, however, may help to clarify the conceptual debate and its aspects in terms of their relevance for clinical practice. This study explores, from an ethical point of view, future healthcare professionals' attitudes to potential changes of responsibility and decision-making authority when using ML-CDSS. Twenty-seven semistructured interviews were conducted with German medical students and nursing trainees. The data were analysed based on qualitative content analysis according to Kuckartz. Interviewees' reflections are presented under three themes the interviewees describe as closely related: (self-)attribution of responsibility, decision-making authority and need of (professional) experience. The results illustrate the conceptual interconnectedness of professional responsibility and its structural and epistemic preconditions to be able to fulfil clinicians' responsibility in a meaningful manner. The study also sheds light on the four relata of responsibility understood as a relational concept. The article closes with concrete suggestions for the ethically sound clinical implementation of ML-CDSS.

Expectation of clinical decision support systems: a survey study among nephrologist end-users.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD), a major public health problem with differing disease etiologies, leads to complications, comorbidities, polypharmacy, and mortality. Monitoring disease progression and personalized treatment efforts are crucial for long-term patient outcomes. Physicians need to integrate different data levels, e.g., clinical parameters, biomarkers, and drug information, with medical knowledge. Clinical decision support systems (CDSS) can tackle these issues and improve patient management. Knowledge about the awareness and implementation of CDSS in Germany within the field of nephrology is scarce. PURPOSE: Nephrologists' attitude towards any CDSS and potential CDSS features of interest, like adverse event prediction algorithms, is important for a successful implementation. This survey investigates nephrologists' experiences with and expectations towards a useful CDSS for daily medical routine in the outpatient setting. METHODS: The 38-item questionnaire survey was conducted either by telephone or as a do-it-yourself online interview amongst nephrologists across all of Germany. Answers were collected and analysed using the Electronic Data Capture System REDCap, as well as Stata SE 15.1, and Excel. The survey consisted of four modules: experiences with CDSS (M1), expectations towards a helpful CDSS (M2), evaluation of adverse event prediction algorithms (M3), and ethical aspects of CDSS (M4). Descriptive statistical analyses of all questions were conducted. RESULTS: The study population comprised 54 physicians, with a response rate of about 80-100% per question. Most participants were aged between 51-60 years (45.1%), 64% were male, and most participants had been working in nephrology out-patient clinics for a median of 10.5 years. Overall, CDSS use was poor (81.2%), often due to lack of knowledge about existing CDSS. Most participants (79%) believed CDSS to be helpful in the management of CKD patients with a high willingness to try out a CDSS. Of all adverse event prediction algorithms, prediction of CKD progression (97.8%) and in-silico simulations of disease progression when changing, e. g., lifestyle or medication (97.7%) were rated most important. The spectrum of answers on ethical aspects of CDSS was diverse. CONCLUSION: This survey provides insights into experience with and expectations of out-patient nephrologists on CDSS. Despite the current lack of knowledge on CDSS, the willingness to integrate CDSS into daily patient care, and the need for adverse event prediction algorithms was high.

A Predictive Model for Progression of CKD to Kidney Failure Based on Routine Laboratory Tests.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Stratification of chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients at risk for progressing to kidney failure requiring kidney replacement therapy (KFRT) is important for clinical decision-making and trial enrollment. STUDY DESIGN: Four independent prospective observational cohort studies. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: The development cohort comprised 4,915 CKD patients, and 3 independent validation cohorts comprised a total of 3,063. Patients were observed for approximately 5 years. EXPOSURE: 22 demographic, anthropometric, and laboratory variables commonly assessed in CKD patients. OUTCOME: Progression to KFRT. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox proportional hazards model was fit to select laboratory variables that best identified patients at high risk for KFRT. Model discrimination and calibration were assessed and compared against the 4-variable Tangri (T4) risk equation both in a resampling approach within the development cohort and in the validation cohorts using cause-specific concordance (C) statistics, net reclassification improvement, and calibration graphs. RESULTS: The newly derived 6-variable risk score (Z6) included serum creatinine, albumin, cystatin C, and urea, as well as hemoglobin and the urinary albumin-creatinine ratio. In the the resampling approach, Z6 achieved a median C statistic of 0.909 (95% CI, 0.868-0.937) at 2 years after the baseline visit, whereas the T4 achieved a median C statistic of 0.855 (95% CI, 0.799-0.915). In the 3 independent validation cohorts, the Z6C statistics were 0.894, 0.921, and 0.891, whereas the T4C statistics were 0.882, 0.913, and 0.862. LIMITATIONS: The Z6 was both derived and tested only in White European cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: A new risk equation based on 6 routinely available laboratory tests facilitates identification of patients with CKD who are at high risk of progressing to KFRT.

A metabolome-wide association study in the general population reveals decreased levels of serum laurylcarnitine in people with depression.

Depression constitutes a leading cause of disability worldwide. Despite extensive research on its interaction with psychobiological factors, associated pathways are far from being elucidated. Metabolomics, assessing the final products of complex biochemical reactions, has emerged as a valuable tool for exploring molecular pathways. We conducted a metabolome-wide association analysis to investigate the link between the serum metabolome and depressed mood (DM) in 1411 participants of the KORA (Cooperative Health Research in the Augsburg Region) F4 study (discovery cohort). Serum metabolomics data comprised 353 unique metabolites measured by Metabolon. We identified 72 (5.1%) KORA participants with DM. Linear regression tests were conducted modeling each metabolite value by DM status, adjusted for age, sex, body-mass index, antihypertensive, cardiovascular, antidiabetic, and thyroid gland hormone drugs, corticoids and antidepressants. Sensitivity analyses were performed in subcohorts stratified for sex, suicidal ideation, and use of antidepressants. We replicated our results in an independent sample of 968 participants of the SHIP-Trend (Study of Health in Pomerania) study including 52 (5.4%) individuals with DM (replication cohort). We found significantly lower laurylcarnitine levels in KORA F4 participants with DM after multiple testing correction according to Benjamini/Hochberg. This finding was replicated in the independent SHIP-Trend study. Laurylcarnitine remained significantly associated (p value < 0.05) with depression in samples stratified for sex, suicidal ideation, and antidepressant medication. Decreased blood laurylcarnitine levels in depressed individuals may point to impaired fatty acid oxidation and/or mitochondrial function in depressive disorders, possibly representing a novel therapeutic target.

A Novel Metabolic Signature To Predict the Requirement of Dialysis or Renal Transplantation in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease.

Identification of chronic kidney disease patients at risk of progressing to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) is essential for treatment decision-making and clinical trial design. Here, we explored whether proton nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy of blood plasma improves the currently best performing kidney failure risk equation, the so-called Tangri score. Our study cohort comprised 4640 participants from the German Chronic Kidney Disease (GCKD) study, of whom 185 (3.99%) progressed over a mean observation time of 3.70 ± 0.88 years to ESRD requiring either dialysis or transplantation. The original four-variable Tangri risk equation yielded a C statistic of 0.863 (95% CI, 0.831-0.900). Upon inclusion of NMR features by state-of-the-art machine learning methods, the C statistic improved to 0.875 (95% CI, 0.850-0.911), thereby outperforming the Tangri score in 94 out of 100 subsampling rounds. Of the 24 NMR features included in the model, creatinine, high-density lipoprotein, valine, acetyl groups of glycoproteins, and Ca2+-EDTA carried the highest weights. In conclusion, proton NMR-based plasma fingerprinting improved markedly the detection of patients at risk of developing ESRD, thus enabling enhanced patient treatment.

Scale-Invariant Biomarker Discovery in Urine and Plasma Metabolite Fingerprints.

Metabolomics data is typically scaled to a common reference like a constant volume of body fluid, a constant creatinine level, or a constant area under the spectrum. Such scaling of the data, however, may affect the selection of biomarkers and the biological interpretation of results in unforeseen ways. Here, we studied how both the outcome of hypothesis tests for differential metabolite concentration and the screening for multivariate metabolite signatures are affected by the choice of scale. To overcome this problem for metabolite signatures and to establish a scale-invariant biomarker discovery algorithm, we extended linear zero-sum regression to the logistic regression framework and showed in two applications to 1H NMR-based metabolomics data how this approach overcomes the scaling problem. Logistic zero-sum regression is available as an R package as well as a high-performance computing implementation that can be downloaded at https://github.com/rehbergT/zeroSum .

Quantification of Metabolites by NMR Spectroscopy in the Presence of Protein.

The high reliability of NMR spectroscopy makes it an ideal tool for large-scale metabolomic studies. However, the complexity of biofluids and, in particular, the presence of macromolecules poses a significant challenge. Ultrafiltration and protein precipitation are established means of deproteinization and recovery of free or total metabolite content, but neither is ever complete. In addition, aside from cost and labor, all deproteinization methods constitute an additional source of experimental variation. The Carr-Purcell-Meiboom-Gill (CPMG) echo-train acquisition of NMR spectra obviates the need for prior deproteinization by attenuating signals from macromolecules, but concentration values of metabolites measured in blood plasma will not necessarily reflect total or free metabolite content. Here, in contrast to approaches that propose the determination of individual T1 and T2 relaxation times for the computation of correction factors, we demonstrate their determination by spike-in experiments with known amounts of metabolites in pooled samples of the matrix of interest to facilitate the measurement of total metabolite content. Provided that the protein content does not vary too much among individual samples, accurate quantitation of metabolites is feasible. Moreover, samples with significantly deviating protein content may be readily recognized by inclusion of a standard that shows moderate protein binding. It is also shown that urinary proteins when present in high concentrations may effect detection of common urinary metabolites prone to strong protein binding such as tryptophan.

Evaluation of dilution and normalization strategies to correct for urinary output in HPLC-HRTOFMS metabolomics.

Reliable identification of features distinguishing biological groups of interest in urinary metabolite fingerprints requires the control of total metabolite abundance, which may vary significantly as the kidneys adjust the excretion of water and solutes to meet the homeostatic needs of the body. Failure to account for such variation may lead to misclassification and accumulation of missing data in case of less concentrated urine specimens. Here, different pre- and post-acquisition methods of normalization were compared systematically for their ability to recover features from liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry metabolite fingerprints of urine that allow distinction between patients with chronic kidney disease and healthy controls. Methods of normalization that were employed prior to analysis included dilution of urine specimens to either a fixed creatinine concentration or osmolality value. Post-acquisition normalization methods applied to chromatograms of 1:4 diluted urine specimens comprised normalization to creatinine, osmolality, and sum of all integrals. Dilution of urine specimens to a fixed creatinine concentration resulted not only in the least number of missing values, but it was also the only method allowing the unambiguous classification of urine specimens from healthy and diseased individuals. The robustness of classification could be confirmed for two independent patient cohorts of chronic kidney disease patients and yielded a shared set of 49 discriminant metabolite features. Graphical Abstract Dilution to a uniform creatinine concentration across urine specimens yields more comparable urinary metabolite fingerprints.

Identification of Plasma Metabolites Prognostic of Acute Kidney Injury after Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a frequent complication after cardiopulmonary bypass, but early detection of postoperative AKI remains challenging. Protein biomarkers predict AKI excellently in homogeneous cohorts but are less reliable in patients suffering from various comorbidities. We employed nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in a prospective study of 85 adult cardiac surgery patients to identify metabolites prognostic of AKI in plasma specimens collected 24 h after surgery. Postoperative AKI of stages 1-3, as defined by the Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN), developed in 33 cases. A random forests classifier trained on the NMR spectra prognosticated AKI across all stages, with an average accuracy of 80 ± 0.9% and an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.87 ± 0.01. Prognostications were based, on average, on 24 ± 2.8 spectral features. Among the set of discriminative ions and molecules identified were Mg(2+), lactate, and the glucuronide conjugate of propofol. Using creatinine, Mg(2+), and lactate levels to derive an AKIN index score, we found AKIN 1 disease to be largely indistinguishable from AKIN 0, in concordance with the rather mild nature of AKIN 1 disease.

Data Normalization of (1)H NMR Metabolite Fingerprinting Data Sets in the Presence of Unbalanced Metabolite Regulation.

Data normalization is an essential step in NMR-based metabolomics. Conducted properly, it improves data quality and removes unwanted biases. The choice of the appropriate normalization method is critical and depends on the inherent properties of the data set in question. In particular, the presence of unbalanced metabolic regulation, where the different specimens and cohorts under investigation do not contain approximately equal shares of up- and down-regulated features, may strongly influence data normalization. Here, we demonstrate the suitability of the Shapiro-Wilk test to detect such unbalanced regulation. Next, employing a Latin-square design consisting of eight metabolites spiked into a urine specimen at eight different known concentrations, we show that commonly used normalization and scaling methods fail to retrieve true metabolite concentrations in the presence of increasing amounts of glucose added to simulate unbalanced regulation. However, by learning the normalization parameters on a subset of nonregulated features only, Linear Baseline Normalization, Probabilistic Quotient Normalization, and Variance Stabilization Normalization were found to account well for different dilutions of the samples without distorting the true spike-in levels even in the presence of marked unbalanced metabolic regulation. Finally, the methods described were applied successfully to a real world example of unbalanced regulation, namely, a set of plasma specimens collected from patients with and without acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass use.

Allocation Rules and Age-Dependent Waiting Times for Kidney Transplantation­an Analysis of Data From the German Transplantation Registry.

BACKGROUND: Rigid age limits in the current allocation system for post-mortem donor kidneys in Germany may have problematic effects. The new German national transplantion registry enables data analysis with respect to this question. METHODS: Using anonymized data from the German national transplantion registry, we extracted and evaluated information on the recipients and postmortem donors of kidneys that were allocated in Germany through Eurotransplant over the period 2006-2020. RESULTS: Data on 19 664 kidney transplantations in Germany from 2006 to 2020 were analyzed. The median waiting time for kidney transplantation was 5.8 years. Persons under age 18 waited a median of 1.7 years; persons aged 18 to 64, 7.0 years; and persons aged 65 and older, 3.8 years. Over the period of observation, post-mortem kidneys were transplanted into 401 people of age 64 (2.0% of all organ recipients) and 1,393 people of age 65 (7.1% of all organ recipients). The difference in waiting times between allocation programs for persons under age 65 (ETKAS, "Eurotransplant Kidney Allocation System") and those aged 65 and older (ESP, "Eurotransplant Senior Program") increased over the period of observation, from 2.6 years in 2006-2010 to 4.1 years in 2017-2020. CONCLUSION: The rigid age limits in the current allocation rules for post-mortem kidney donations in Germany are prolonging the waiting times for transplants among patients aged 18 to 64. We think these rules need to be fundamentally reassessed.

Potential and Uncertainties of RejectClass in Acute Kidney Graft Dysfunction: An Independent Validation Study.

BACKGROUND: Kidney graft rejections are classified based on the Banff classification. The RejectClass algorithm, initially derived from a cohort comprising mostly protocol biopsies, identifies data-driven phenotypes of acute rejection and chronic pathology using Banff lesion scores. It also provides composite scores for inflammation activity and chronicity. This study independently evaluates the performance of RejectClass in a cohort consisting entirely of indication biopsies. METHODS: We retrospectively applied RejectClass to 441 patients from the German TRABIO (TRAnsplant BIOpsies) cohort who had received indication biopsies. The primary endpoint was death-censored graft failure during 2 y of follow-up. RESULTS: The application of RejectClass to our cohort demonstrated moderately comparable phenotypic features with the derivation cohort, and most clusters indicated an elevated risk of graft loss. However, the reproduction of all phenotypes and the associated risks of graft failure, as depicted in the original studies, was not fully accomplished. In contrast, adjusted Cox proportional hazards analyses substantiated that both the inflammation score and the chronicity score are independently associated with graft loss, exhibiting hazard ratios of 1.7 (95% confidence interval, 1.2-2.3; P = 0.002) and 2.2 (95% confidence interval, 1.8-2.6; P < 0.001), respectively, per 0.25-point increment (scale: 0.0-1.0). CONCLUSIONS: The composite inflammation and chronicity scores may already have direct utility in quantitatively assessing the disease stage. Further refinement and validation of RejectClass clusters are necessary to achieve more reliable and accurate phenotyping of rejection.

The German Transplantation Registry Reveals Deficiencies in the Listing Process for Kidney Transplantation.

Introduction: The time from dialysis onset to enrollment on the kidney waiting list (listing time) is a crucial step on the path to receiving a kidney allograft; however, this process has received very little research attention in the Eurotransplant (ET) area. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed data from the German transplantation registry, including patients who were on the waiting list for a first kidney transplant in Germany between 2006 and 2016. Listing time was evaluated using a mixed linear model. The outcomes on the kidney waiting list were assessed using competing risk analyses. Results: We assessed a total of 43,955 patients. Listing occurred at a higher pace in patients receiving living donor transplantations (median 0.4 years from dialysis onset) than in deceased donor transplantations (Eurotransplant Kidney Allocation System [ETKAS] 1.1 years, European Senior Program [ESP] 1.4 years, Acceptable Mismatch program 1.3 years), with 28.5% of living donor transplantations performed preemptively. There was only modest variation in listing time between the transplant centers. Patients with a history of viral infection, high immunization; hemodialysis patients; and patients with a higher body mass index (BMI) had a delayed listing process. Two of 3 patients listed in the ETKAS, excluding those with potential bonus points (pediatric, other organ transplantations), were eventually transplanted. Older patients, male patients, patients with blood type O, and patients with diabetic nephropathy as the underlying renal disease had the highest risk not to proceed to transplantation. Conclusion: Although long waiting times remain the biggest hurdle for transplantation in Germany, there is ample room for improvement of the listing process.