The Prognostic Accuracy of Clinical Judgment Versus a Validated Frailty Screening Instrument in Older Patients at the Emergency Department: Findings of the AmsterGEM Study.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To compare the prognostic accuracy of clinical judgment for frailty in older patients at the emergency department with a validated screening instrument and patient-perceived frailty. METHODS: A prospective cohort study in patients 70 years of age and older in 2 Dutch EDs with a follow-up of 3 months. A dichotomous question was asked to the physician and patient: "Do you consider the patient / yourself to be frail?" The Identification of Seniors At Risk-Hospitalized Patients (ISAR-HP) was used as a validated screening instrument. The primary composite outcome consisted of either functional decline, institutionalization, or mortality. RESULTS: A total of 736 patients were included. The physician identified 59% as frail, compared with 49% by ISAR-HP and 43% by patients themselves. The level of agreement was fair (Fleiss Kappa, 0.31). After 3 months, 31% of the patients experienced at least 1 adverse health outcome. The sensitivity was 79% for the physician, 72% for ISAR-HP, 61% for the patient, and 48% for all 3 combined. The specificity was 50% for the physician, 63% for ISAR-HP, 66% for the patient, and 85% for all 3 positive. The highest positive likelihood ratio was 3.03 (physician, ISAR-HP, patient combined), and the lowest negative likelihood ratio was 0.42 (physician). The areas under the receiver operating curves were all poor: 0.68 at best for ISAR-HP. CONCLUSION: Clinical judgment for frailty showed fair agreement with a validated screening instrument and patient-perceived frailty. All 3 instruments have poor prognostic accuracy, which does not improve when combined. These findings illustrate the limited prognostic value of clinical judgment as a frailty screener in older patients at the ED.

Aesthetics Assessment and Patient Reported Outcome of Nasolabial Aesthetics in 18-Year-Old Patients With Unilateral Cleft Lip.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if there is a correlation between objective nasolabial aesthetics assessment using the Cleft Aesthetic Rating Scale (CARS) and patient satisfaction. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of a generic satisfaction questionnaire and independent assessment by three cleft surgeons of the nasolabial area of these patients on 2D frontal photographs, using the CARS. SETTING: The Vrije Universiteit Medical Center and The Academic Center for Dentistry Amsterdam. PATIENTS: Thirty-nine 18-year old patients with a repaired complete or incomplete unilateral cleft lip, with or without a cleft palate, and a completed satisfaction questionnaire. Exclusion criteria were an incomplete questionnaire; a history of facial trauma; and congenital syndromes affecting facial appearance. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The correlation between surgeon evaluation (on a 5-point Likert scale) and patient satisfaction (not, moderately or very satisfied) on nasolabial appearance was assessed using Spearman rho (ρ). RESULTS: There was a negligible correlation between surgeon evaluation and patient satisfaction on nose assessment (ρ = 0.20) and a moderate correlation on lip assessment (ρ = 0.32). CONCLUSIONS: Most literature supports this discrepancy between different objective aesthetics evaluation methods and subjective patient-reported outcome measures, suggesting there are factors playing a role in patient satisfaction that are impossible to objectify with assessment methods. Therefore, a strong emphasis should remain on clear communication between the physician and patient regarding their expectations, perception, and satisfaction of surgery results.

What Outcomes do Dutch Healthcare Professionals Perceive as Important Before Participation in Moral Case Deliberation?

BACKGROUND: There has been little attention paid to research on the outcomes of clinical ethics support (CES) or critical reflection on what constitutes a good CES outcome. Understanding how CES users perceive the importance of CES outcomes can contribute to a better understanding, use of and normative reflection on CES outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To describe the perceptions of Dutch healthcare professionals on important outcomes of moral case deliberation (MCD), prior to MCD participation, and to compare results between respondents. METHODS: This mixed-methods study used both the Euro-MCD instrument and semi-structured interviews. Healthcare professionals who were about to implement MCD were recruited from nursing homes, hospitals, psychiatry and mentally disabled care institutions. RESULTS: 331 healthcare professionals completed the Euro-MCD instrument, 13 healthcare professionals were interviewed. The outcomes perceived as most important were 'more open communication', 'better mutual understanding', 'concrete actions', 'see the situation from different perspectives', 'consensus on how to manage the situation' and 'find more courses of action'. Interviewees also perceived improving quality of care, professionalism and the organization as important. Women, nurses, managers and professionals in mentally disabled care rated outcomes more highly than other respondents. CONCLUSIONS: Dutch healthcare professionals perceived the MCD outcomes related to collaboration as most important. The empirical findings can contribute to shared ownership of MCD and a more specific use of MCD in different contexts. They can inform international comparative research on different CES types and contribute to normative discussions concerning CES outcomes. Future studies should reflect upon important MCD outcomes after having experienced MCD.

Evaluation of the usefulness of 2 prediction models of clinical prediction models in physical therapy: a qualitative process evaluation.

OBJECTIVE: The purposes of this study were to (1) evaluate the usefulness of 2 prediction models by assessing the actual use and advantages/disadvantages of application in daily clinical practice and (2) propose recommendations to enhance their implementation. METHODS: Physical therapists working in 283 practices in the area of Breda (the Netherlands) were invited to participate in this study. Two prediction models were presented: (1) to predict persistent shoulder pain and (2) to predict the preferable treatment in nonspecific neck pain. Participants were asked to apply both models in practice. After 2 months, their opinions about the usefulness of both models were gathered during a focus group meeting or by using an online questionnaire in order to identify the most important advantages/disadvantages of each prediction model. RESULTS: In total, 46 physical therapists (13.8%) of 39 practices participated. Evaluative data were available from 32 participants who used the shoulder model 102 times and the neck model 126 times. For the shoulder model, the most frequent advantage (mentioned 14 times) was that it enabled physical therapists to estimate a motivated prognosis, that is, a prognosis based on the score of the model. The most frequent mentioned disadvantage was that participants expressed their doubts about the validity of the model because the model initially was developed for usage in a general practice setting. For the neck model, the most frequently mentioned advantage (29 times) was that the model was easy to interpret. The most important disadvantage (mentioned 14 times) was that the model only takes a few treatment options into account. CONCLUSIONS: The physical therapists participating in this study reported that both models evaluated in this study were not easy to use in daily practice. Based on the findings of this study, we recommend that these models are modified to meet the practical needs of the therapist, before assessing their impact on daily clinical care and patient outcomes.

A narrative review of frailty assessment in older patients at the emergency department.

Optimizing emergency care for the aging population is an important future challenge, as the proportion of older patients at the emergency department (ED) rapidly increases. Older patients, particularly those who are frail, have a high risk of adverse outcomes after an ED visit, such as functional decline, institutionalization, and death. The ED can have a key position in identifying frail older patients who benefit most from comprehensive geriatric care [including delirium preventive measures, early evaluation of after-discharge care, and a comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA)]. However, performing extensive frailty assessment is not suitable at the ED. Therefore, quick and easy-to-use instruments are needed to identify older patients at risk for adverse outcomes. This narrative review outlines the importance and complexity of frailty assessment at the ED. It aligns the available screening instruments, including clinical judgment as frailty assessment, and summarizes arguments for and against frailty assessment at the ED.

Agreement and reliability of a symptom modification test cluster for patients with subacromial pain syndrome.

OBJECTIVES: To identify if a plausible theoretical construct exists for a test cluster in a group of patients with subacromial pain syndrome presenting with glenohumeral internal rotation deficit (GIRD); determine the intertester agreement and reliability of the proposed test cluster; determine if there are any meaningful relationships between the test cluster and the component tests for the entire sample; and determine if there are any differences in disability on the Dutch version of the shoulder pain and disability index between participants with a positive and negative test cluster. METHODS: This study is a retrospective secondary analysis of data that were collected to determine the interrater agreement and reliability of clinical tests for assessment of patients with shoulder pain in primary care. RESULTS: The test cluster total agreement and negative specific agreement was 87.8 and 90.4%, respectively. The prevalence-adjusted bias-adjusted kappa for the test cluster was substantial at 0.76. There were statistically significant meaningful relationships (≥0.50) between GIRD and the test cluster for Tester A (Phi = 0.71, p < .01) and Tester B (Phi = 0.82, p < .01). No differences in disability were identified between those with a positive and negative test cluster. CONCLUSION: The test cluster described in this study may be a reliable means of identifying a subgroup of patients with subacromial pain syndrome related to GIRD. Future research should look to validate this test cluster prospectively.

Can prolonged sick leave after gynecologic surgery be predicted? An observational study in The Netherlands.

BACKGROUND: Sick leave frequently has been used as an outcome to evaluate minimal invasive surgery compared with conventional open surgery. However, sick leave is determined not only by the surgical approach. Recently, a postoperative recovery-specific quality-of-life questionnaire, the Recovery Index (RI-10), has been developed and validated. This study investigated the relation of the Recovery Index 10, the RI-6 (a subset of 6 questions), and the type of surgery to sick leave. METHODS: The study enrolled 46 patients with a paid job scheduled for elective gynecologic surgery, who filled out the RI-10. After 8 weeks, the patients were approached by telephone to give information on their return to work. RESULTS: Of the 46 patients, 23 (50%) returned to work completely after 8 weeks, 14 (30%) resumed work partly, and 9 (20%) did not resume work at all. In the analysis, the patients who completely returned to work were compared with those who did not return or partially returned. Recovery as expressed in the RI-6 improved with time after surgery. It appeared that the measurement 2 weeks after surgery showed the best discriminative capacity to predict sick leave after 8 weeks, with an area under the curve of 0.88 (confidence interval, 0.74-1.03). The subjective postoperative recovery as expressed by the RI-6 is more closely related to the type of surgery (p = 0.001) sick leave is (p = 0.14). CONCLUSIONS: The subjective recovery scored by the patient on a questionnaire of six questions is a better outcome than sick leave for evaluating surgical approaches. If administered 2 weeks after surgery, it may predict prolonged sick leave.

Analysis of unintended events in hospitals: inter-rater reliability of constructing causal trees and classifying root causes.

BACKGROUND: Root cause analysis is a method to examine causes of unintended events. PRISMA (Prevention and Recovery Information System for Monitoring and Analysis: is a root cause analysis tool. With PRISMA, events are described in causal trees and root causes are subsequently classified with the Eindhoven Classification Model (ECM). It is important that root cause analysis tools are reliable, because they form the basis for patient safety interventions. OBJECTIVES: Determining the inter-rater reliability of descriptions, number and classifications of root causes. DESIGN: Totally, 300 unintended event reports were sampled from a database of 2028 events in 30 hospital units. The reports were previously analysed using PRISMA by experienced analysts and were re-analysed to compare descriptions and number of root causes (n = 150) and to determine the inter-rater reliability of classifications (n = 150). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Percentage agreement and Cohen's kappa (kappa). RESULTS: Agreement between descriptions of root causes was satisfactory: 54% agreement, 17% partial agreement and 29% no agreement. Inter-rater reliability of number of root causes was moderate (kappa = 0.46). Inter-rater reliability of classifying root causes with the ECM was substantial from highest category level (kappa = 0.71) to lowest subcategory level (kappa = 0.63). Most discrepancies occurred in classifying external causes. CONCLUSIONS: Results indicate that causal tree analysis with PRISMA is reliable. Analysts formulated similar root causes and agreed considerably on classifications, but showed variation in number of root causes. More training on disclosure of all relevant root causes is recommended as well as adjustment of the model by combining all external causes into one category.

Preliminary state of development of prediction models for primary care physical therapy: a systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: To summarize the methodological quality and developmental stage of prediction models for musculoskeletal complaints that are relevant for physical therapists in primary care. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: A systematic literature search was carried out in the databases of Medline, Embase, and Cinahl. Studies on prediction models for musculoskeletal complaints that can be used by primary care physical therapists were included. Methodological quality of the studies was assessed and relevant study characteristics were extracted. RESULTS: The search retrieved 4,702 references of which 29 studies were included in this review. The study quality of the included studies showed substantial variation. The studied populations consisted mostly of back (n=10) and neck pain (n=6) patients, and patients with knee complaints (n=4). Most studies (n=22) used "perceived recovery" as primary outcome. Most prediction models (n=18) were at the derivation level of development. CONCLUSIONS: Many prediction models are available for a wide range of patient populations. The developmental stage of most models is preliminary and the study quality is often moderate. We do not recommend physiotherapist to use these models yet. All models reviewed here are in the developmental stage and need validation and impact evaluation before using them in daily practice.

The effect of TNF-alpha blocking therapy on lipid levels in rheumatoid arthritis: a meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Changes in the lipid profile have been described in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) following therapy with tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha blocking agents. However, thus far, results have been inconsistent. Therefore, we investigated changes in lipid levels after TNF-alpha blocking therapy using meta-analysis of published data. METHODS: The literature was searched to identify studies assessing changes in total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDLc), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, atherogenic index (ie, TC/HDLc ratio), and apolipoprotein levels in response to TNF-alpha blocking therapy. Weighted mean levels of lipids at different time points and subsequent changes in these lipid levels between these time points were calculated with multivariate linear mixed models. RESULTS: Data were available on TC in 15 studies encompassing 766 RA patients and on HDLc in 14 studies encompassing 736 RA patients. TC increased significantly (maximum increase of 10%) and HDLc increased significantly in the first 2 to 6 weeks of therapy (maximum increase of 7%), after which it remained more or less stable. The atherogenic index did not significantly change over time. There was too limited information to evaluate changes in other lipids and apolipoproteins. CONCLUSIONS: TNF-alpha blocking therapy has a modest effect on TC and HDLc levels in RA patients with no significant overall effect on the atherogenic index. Whether TNF-alpha blocking effects on qualitative lipid changes (structure and function) are more relevant to their presumed vascular benefits requires further study.

Fatalistic responses to different types of genetic risk information: exploring the role of self-malleability.

Providing people with genetic risk information may induce a sense of fatalism, the belief that little can be done to reduce the risk. We postulated that fatalism is a function of health risk information and individual differences in self-perception. DNA-based risk information was hypothesised to generate more fatalism than risk information based on family history or non-genetic risk information. Moreover, people who view themselves as more rather than less able to change self-attributes were hypothesised to respond least fatalistically. Factor analyses in separate samples were used to construct a five-item 'Malleability of self' measure. Predictive validity of the measure was tested using a within-subjects analogue design. Participants responded to three scenario vignettes in which they were informed of an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). In Scenario 1, risk was ascertained by DNA testing, family history and cholesterol testing; in Scenario 2, it was ascertained by family history and cholesterol testing; in Scenario 3, risk was ascertained by cholesterol testing alone. Scenario 1 was associated with least perceived control over cholesterol level and CVD risk. People who viewed themselves as more able to change self-attributes experienced more control in all three scenarios.

The "Oxford Heup Score": the translation and validation of a questionnaire into Dutch to evaluate the results of total hip arthroplasty.

BACKGROUND: The evaluation of a total hip prosthesis would be most complete if the opinion of the patient, surgeon and the radiographs are combined. Disease specific patient outcome questionnaires are scarce, especially in Dutch. METHODS: The disease-specific 12-item questionnaire on the perception of patients with total hip replacement was translated into Dutch. We also investigated the extra value of two specific hip items, "the need for walking aids" and "sexual problems because of the hip", four general items on overall satisfaction and one question about patient classification. The 14 hip-specific items were each scored from 1 (least difficulties) to 5 (most difficulties). The Dutch translation, the "Oxford Heup Score" (OHS) was tested on psychometric quality in a multicenter prospective study. RESULTS: The psychometric results of the OHS proved to be adequate. In the first postoperative year the score was very sensitive to changes, whereas in the second year it did not change significantly. The two added hip-specific questions were both filled out positively by more than 50% of the patients and thus fit perfectly into a hip-specific patient outcome questionnaire such as the OHS. INTERPRETATION: The OHS proves to be an appropriate instrument for assessment of the outcome of total hip replacement from the patient's perspective. Together with the judgement of the surgeon, it provides useful insights into the question of whether this operation has been a success or not.