Higher-valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in older adults, taking into account indirect effects from childhood vaccination: a cost-effectiveness study for the Netherlands.

BACKGROUND: New 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal vaccines (PCV15, PCV20) are available for both children and adults, while PCV21 for adults is in development. However, their cost-effectiveness for older adults, taking into account indirect protection and serotype replacement from a switch to PCV15 and PCV20 in childhood vaccination, remains unexamined. METHODS: We used a static model for the Netherlands to assess the cost-effectiveness of different strategies with 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23), PCV15, PCV20, and PCV21 for a 65-year-old cohort from a societal perspective, over a 15-year time horizon. Childhood vaccination was varied from PCV10 to PCV13, PCV15, and PCV20. Indirect protection was assumed to reduce the incidence of vaccine serotypes in older adults by 80% (except for serotype 3, no effect), completely offset by an increase in non-vaccine serotype incidence due to serotype replacement. RESULTS: Indirect effects from childhood vaccination reduced the cost-effectiveness of vaccination of older adults, depending on the serotype overlap between the vaccines. With PCV10, PCV13, or PCV15 in children, PCV20 was more effective and less costly for older adults than PPV23 and PCV15. PCV20 costs approximately €10,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained compared to no pneumococcal vaccination, which falls below the conventional Dutch €20,000/QALY gained threshold. However, with PCV20 in children, PCV20 was no longer considered cost-effective for older adults, costing €22,550/QALY gained. As indirect effects progressed over time, the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 for older adults further diminished for newly vaccinated cohorts. PPV23 was more cost-effective than PCV20 for cohorts vaccinated 3 years after the switch to PCV20 in children. PCV21 offered the most QALY gains, and its cost-effectiveness was minimally affected by indirect effects due to its coverage of 11 different serotypes compared to PCV20. CONCLUSIONS: For long-term cost-effectiveness in the Netherlands, the pneumococcal vaccine for older adults should either include invasive serotypes not covered by childhood vaccination or become more affordable than its current pricing for individual use.

Association between work sick-leave absenteeism and SARS-CoV-2 notifications in the Netherlands during the COVID-19 epidemic.

BACKGROUND: Alternative data sources for surveillance have gained importance in maintaining coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) situational awareness as nationwide testing has drastically decreased. Therefore, we explored whether rates of sick-leave from work are associated with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) notification trends and at which lag, to indicate the usefulness of sick-leave data for COVID-19 surveillance. METHODS: We explored trends during the COVID-19 epidemic of weekly sick-leave rates and SARS-CoV-2 notification rates from 1 June 2020 to 10 April 2022. Separate time series were inspected visually. Then, Spearman correlation coefficients were calculated at different lag and lead times of zero to four weeks between sick-leave and SARS-CoV-2 notification rates. We distinguished between four SARS-CoV-2 variant periods, two labour sectors and overall, and all-cause sick-leave versus COVID-19-specific sick-leave. RESULTS: The correlation coefficients between weekly all-cause sick-leave and SARS-CoV-2 notification rate at optimal lags were between 0.58 and 0.93, varying by the variant period and sector (overall: 0.83, lag -1; 95% CI [0.76, 0.88]). COVID-19-specific sick-leave correlations were higher than all-cause sick-leave correlations. Correlations were slightly lower in healthcare and education than overall. The highest correlations were mostly at lag -2 and -1 for all-cause sick-leave, meaning that sick-leave preceded SARS-CoV-2 notifications. Correlations were highest mostly at lag zero for COVID-19-specific sick-leave (coinciding with SARS-CoV-2 notifications). CONCLUSION: All-cause sick-leave might offer an earlier indication and evolution of trends in SARS-CoV-2 rates, especially when testing is less available. Sick-leave data may complement COVID-19 and other infectious disease surveillance systems as a syndromic data source.

Positive Impact of [18F]FDG-PET/CT on Mortality in Patients With Staphylococcus aureus Bacteremia Explained by Immortal Time Bias.

BACKGROUND: Several studies have suggested that in patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia (SAB) [18F] fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography ([18F]FDG-PET/CT) improves outcome. However, these studies often ignored possible immortal time bias. METHODS: Prospective multicenter cohort study in 2 university and 5 non-university hospitals, including all patients with SAB. [18F]FDG-PET/CT was performed on clinical indication as part of usual care. Primary outcome was 90-day all-cause mortality. Effect of [18F]FDG-PET/CT was modeled with a Cox proportional hazards model using [18F]FDG-PET/CT as a time-varying variable and corrected for confounders for mortality (age, Charlson score, positive follow-up cultures, septic shock, and endocarditis). Secondary outcome was 90-day infection-related mortality (assessed by adjudication committee) using the same analysis. In a subgroup-analysis, we determined the effect of [18F]FDG-PET/CT in patients with high risk of metastatic infection. RESULTS: Of 476 patients, 178 (37%) underwent [18F]FDG-PET/CT. Day-90 all-cause mortality was 31% (147 patients), and infection-related mortality was 17% (83 patients). The confounder adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for all-cause mortality was 0.50 (95% confidence interval [CI]: .34-.74) in patients that underwent [18F]FDG-PET/CT. Adjustment for immortal time bias changed the aHR to 1.00 (95% CI .68-1.48). Likewise, after correction for immortal time bias, [18F]FDG-PET/CT had no effect on infection-related mortality (cause specific aHR 1.30 [95% CI .77-2.21]), on all-cause mortality in patients with high-risk SAB (aHR 1.07 (95% CI .63-1.83) or on infection-related mortality in high-risk SAB (aHR for 1.24 [95% CI .67-2.28]). CONCLUSIONS: After adjustment for immortal time bias [18F]FDG-PET/CT was not associated with day-90 all-cause or infection-related mortality in patients with SAB.

Fosfomycin Vs Ciprofloxacin as Oral Step-Down Treatment for Escherichia coli Febrile Urinary Tract Infections in Women: A Randomized, Placebo-Controlled, Double-Blind, Multicenter Trial.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to determine the noninferiority of fosfomycin compared to ciprofloxacin as an oral step-down treatment for Escherichia coli febrile urinary tract infections (fUTIs) in women. METHODS: This was a double-blind, randomized, controlled trial in 15 Dutch hospitals. Adult women who were receiving 2-5 days of empirical intravenous antimicrobials for E. coli fUTI were assigned to step-down treatment with once-daily 3g fosfomycin or twice-daily 0.5g ciprofloxacin for 10 days of total antibiotic treatment. For the primary end point, clinical cure at days 6-10 post-end of treatment (PET), a noninferiority margin of 10% was chosen. The trial was registered on Trialregister.nl (NTR6449). RESULTS: After enrollment of 97 patients between 2017 and 2020, the trial ended prematurely because of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. The primary end point was met in 36 of 48 patients (75.0%) assigned to fosfomycin and 30 of 46 patients (65.2%) assigned to ciprofloxacin (risk difference [RD], 9.6%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: -8.8% to 28.0%). In patients assigned to fosfomycin and ciprofloxacin, microbiological cure at days 6-10 PET occurred in 29 of 37 (78.4%) and 33 of 35 (94.3%; RD, -16.2%; 95% CI: -32.7 to -0.0%). Any gastrointestinal adverse event was reported in 25 of 48 (52.1%) and 14 of 46 (30.4%) patients (RD, 20.8%; 95% CI: 1.6% to 40.0%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Fosfomycin is noninferior to ciprofloxacin as oral step-down treatment for fUTI caused by E. coli in women. Fosfomycin use is associated with more gastrointestinal events. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Trial NL6275 (NTR6449).

Efficacy of BCG Vaccination Against Respiratory Tract Infections in Older Adults During the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic.

BACKGROUND: Older age is associated with increased severity and death from respiratory infections, including coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The tuberculosis BCG vaccine may provide heterologous protection against nontuberculous infections and has been proposed as a potential preventive strategy against COVID-19. METHODS: In this multicenter, placebo-controlled trial, we randomly assigned older adults (aged ≥60 years; n = 2014) to intracutaneous vaccination with BCG vaccine (n = 1008) or placebo (n = 1006). The primary end point was the cumulative incidence of respiratory tract infections (RTIs) that required medical intervention, during 12 months of follow-up. Secondary end points included the incidence of COVID-19, and the effect of BCG vaccination on the cellular and humoral immune responses. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of RTIs requiring medical intervention was 0.029 in the BCG-vaccinated group and 0.024 in the control group (subdistribution hazard ratio, 1.26 [98.2% confidence interval, .65-2.44]). In the BCG vaccine and placebo groups, 51 and 48 individuals, respectively tested positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) with polymerase chain reaction (subdistribution hazard ratio, 1.053 [95% confidence interval, .71-1.56]). No difference was observed in the frequency of adverse events. BCG vaccination was associated with enhanced cytokine responses after influenza, and also partially associated after SARS-CoV-2 stimulation. In patients diagnosed with COVID-19, antibody responses after infection were significantly stronger if the volunteers had previously received BCG vaccine. CONCLUSIONS: BCG vaccination had no effect on the incidence of RTIs, including SARS-CoV-2 infection, in older adult volunteers. However, it improved cytokine responses stimulated by influenza and SARS-CoV-2 and induced stronger antibody titers after COVID-19 infection. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: EU Clinical Trials Register 2020-001591-15 ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04417335.

An International Prospective Cohort Study To Validate 2 Prediction Rules for Infections Caused by Third-generation Cephalosporin-resistant Enterobacterales.

BACKGROUND: The possibility of bloodstream infections caused by third-generation cephalosporin-resistant Enterobacterales (3GC-R-BSI) leads to a trade-off between empiric inappropriate treatment (IAT) and unnecessary carbapenem use (UCU). Accurately predicting 3GC-R-BSI could reduce IAT and UCU. We externally validate 2 previously derived prediction rules for community-onset (CO) and hospital-onset (HO) suspected bloodstream infections. METHODS: In 33 hospitals in 13 countries we prospectively enrolled 200 patients per hospital in whom blood cultures were obtained and intravenous antibiotics with coverage for Enterobacterales were empirically started. Cases were defined as 3GC-R-BSI or 3GC-R gram-negative infection (3GC-R-GNI) (analysis 2); all other outcomes served as a comparator. Model discrimination and calibration were assessed. Impact on carbapenem use was assessed at several cutoff points. RESULTS: 4650 CO infection episodes were included and the prevalence of 3GC-R-BSI was 2.1% (n = 97). IAT occurred in 69 of 97 (71.1%) 3GC-R-BSI and UCU in 398 of 4553 non-3GC-R-BSI patients (8.7%). Model calibration was good, and the AUC was .79 (95% CI, .75-.83) for 3GC-R-BSI. The prediction rule potentially reduced IAT to 62% (60/97) while keeping UCU comparable at 8.4% or could reduce UCU to 6.3% (287/4553) while keeping IAT equal. IAT and UCU in all 3GC-R-GNIs (analysis 2) improved at similar percentages. 1683 HO infection episodes were included and the prevalence of 3GC-R-BSI was 4.9% (n = 83). Here model calibration was insufficient. CONCLUSIONS: A prediction rule for CO 3GC-R infection was validated in an international cohort and could improve empirical antibiotic use. Validation of the HO rule yielded suboptimal performance.

Effectiveness of extended- versus normal-release nitrofurantoin for cystitis: an instrumental variable analysis.

BACKGROUND: It is unknown whether nitrofurantoin 50 mg normal-release every 6 h (NF50) and nitrofurantoin 100 mg extended-release every 12 h (NF100) are equally effective for treating cystitis in primary care. In the Netherlands, GP prescription of either option largely depends on pharmacy procurement, rather than on patient-related factors. METHODS: GP data between January 2013 and July 2018 were retrospectively collected. Inclusion criteria were the use of nitrofurantoin for uncomplicated cystitis, complicated cystitis or cystitis in pregnancy. Criteria for early and late failure were a second antibiotic prescription for cystitis or pyelonephritis within 14 and 28 days post-prescription, respectively. Crude and confounder-adjusted (CA) risk differences (RDs) were estimated using linear regression. Instrumental variable analysis and CA instrumental variable analysis used GP practice proportion of NF50 versus NF100 use as the instrumental variable. RESULTS: For uncomplicated cystitis (n=46855), treatment with NF50 and NF100 resulted in late failure in 9.7% and 9.6%, respectively. The CA RD, instrumental variable RD and CA instrumental variable RD were 0.2% (95% CI=-0.5 to 0.8), -0.7% (95% CI=-1.7 to 0.3) and 0.0% (95% CI=-0.9 to 1.0), respectively. In complicated cystitis (n=10767), late failure occurred in 10.9% and 11.1% after using NF50 and NF100, respectively [CA RD=0.5% (95% CI=-1.2 to 1.8), instrumental variable RD=-0.8% (95% CI=-3.4 to 1.8) and CA instrumental variable RD=-0.3% (95% CI=-3.0 to 2.4)]. For cystitis in pregnancy (n=1087), NF50 and NF100 resulted in late failure in 13.4% and 7.8%, respectively [CA RD=-5.4% (95% CI=-10.0 to -1.4), instrumental variable RD=-8.9% (95% CI=-16.0 to -1.8) and CA instrumental variable RD=-8.9% (95% CI=-16.0 to -1.7)]. No differences were observed in early failure. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with cystitis in pregnancy, NF100 was associated with a lower incidence of late clinical failure compared with NF50. We found no differences in clinical failure between NF50 and NF100 for uncomplicated and complicated cystitis.

Cardiac events after macrolides or fluoroquinolones in patients hospitalized for community-acquired pneumonia: post-hoc analysis of a cluster-randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend macrolides and fluoroquinolones in patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), but their use has been associated with cardiac events. We quantified associations between macrolide and fluoroquinolone use and cardiac events in patients hospitalized with CAP in non-ICU wards. METHODS: This was a post-hoc analysis of a cluster-randomized trial as a cohort study; including patients with a working diagnosis of CAP admitted to non-ICU wards without a cardiac event on admission. We calculated cause-specific hazard ratio's (HR's) for effects of time-dependent macrolide and fluoroquinolone exposure as compared to beta-lactam monotherapy on cardiac events, defined as new or worsening heart failure, arrhythmia, or myocardial ischemia during hospitalization. RESULTS: Cardiac events occurred in 146 (6.9%) of 2107 patients, including heart failure (n = 101, 4.8%), arrhythmia (n = 53, 2.5%), and myocardial ischemia (n = 14, 0.7%). These occurred in 11 of 207 (5.3%), 18 of 250 (7.2%), and 31 of 277 (11.2%) patients exposed to azithromycin, clarithromycin, and erythromycin for at least one day, and in 9 of 234 (3.8%), 5 of 194 (2.6%), and 23 of 566 (4.1%) exposed to ciprofloxacin, levofloxacin, and moxifloxacin, respectively. HR's for erythromycin, compared to beta-lactam monotherapy, on any cardiac event and heart failure were 1.60 (95% CI 1.09;2.36) and 1.89 (95% CI 1.22;2.91), respectively. HR's for levofloxacin and moxifloxacin, compared to beta-lactam monotherapy, on any cardiac event were 0.40 (95% CI 0.18;0.87)and 0.56 (95% CI 0.36;0.87), respectively. Findings remained consistent after adjustment for confounders and/or in a sensitivity analysis of radiologically confirmed CAP (n = 1604, 76.1%). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with CAP hospitalized to non-ICU wards, erythromycin use was associated with a 68% increased risk of hospital-acquired cardiac events, mainly heart failure. Levofloxacin and moxifloxacin were associated with a lower risk of heart failure. Although our study does not fully exclude confounding bias, findings remained largely unchanged in crude, adjusted, and sensitivity analyses. These findings may caution the use of erythromycin as empirical therapy in these patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The original trial was retrospectively registered under ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT01660204 on August 8th, 2012.

Antibiotic treatment strategies for community-acquired pneumonia in adults.

BACKGROUND: The choice of empirical antibiotic treatment for patients with clinically suspected community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) who are admitted to non-intensive care unit (ICU) hospital wards is complicated by the limited availability of evidence. We compared strategies of empirical treatment (allowing deviations for medical reasons) with beta-lactam monotherapy, beta-lactam-macrolide combination therapy, or fluoroquinolone monotherapy. METHODS: In a cluster-randomized, crossover trial with strategies rotated in 4-month periods, we tested the noninferiority of the beta-lactam strategy to the beta-lactam-macrolide and fluoroquinolone strategies with respect to 90-day mortality, in an intention-to-treat analysis, using a noninferiority margin of 3 percentage points and a two-sided 90% confidence interval. RESULTS: A total of 656 patients were included during the beta-lactam strategy periods, 739 during the beta-lactam-macrolide strategy periods, and 888 during the fluoroquinolone strategy periods, with rates of adherence to the strategy of 93.0%, 88.0%, and 92.7%, respectively. The median age of the patients was 70 years. The crude 90-day mortality was 9.0% (59 patients), 11.1% (82 patients), and 8.8% (78 patients), respectively, during these strategy periods. In the intention-to-treat analysis, the risk of death was higher by 1.9 percentage points (90% confidence interval [CI], -0.6 to 4.4) with the beta-lactam-macrolide strategy than with the beta-lactam strategy and lower by 0.6 percentage points (90% CI, -2.8 to 1.9) with the fluoroquinolone strategy than with the beta-lactam strategy. These results indicated noninferiority of the beta-lactam strategy. The median length of hospital stay was 6 days for all strategies, and the median time to starting oral treatment was 3 days (interquartile range, 0 to 4) with the fluoroquinolone strategy and 4 days (interquartile range, 3 to 5) with the other strategies. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with clinically suspected CAP admitted to non-ICU wards, a strategy of preferred empirical treatment with beta-lactam monotherapy was noninferior to strategies with a beta-lactam-macrolide combination or fluoroquinolone monotherapy with regard to 90-day mortality. (Funded by the Netherlands Organization for Health Research and Development; CAP-START ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01660204.).

Polysaccharide conjugate vaccine against pneumococcal pneumonia in adults.

BACKGROUND: Pneumococcal polysaccharide conjugate vaccines prevent pneumococcal disease in infants, but their efficacy against pneumococcal community-acquired pneumonia in adults 65 years of age or older is unknown. METHODS: In a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial involving 84,496 adults 65 years of age or older, we evaluated the efficacy of 13-valent polysaccharide conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in preventing first episodes of vaccine-type strains of pneumococcal community-acquired pneumonia, nonbacteremic and noninvasive pneumococcal community-acquired pneumonia, and invasive pneumococcal disease. Standard laboratory methods and a serotype-specific urinary antigen detection assay were used to identify community-acquired pneumonia and invasive pneumococcal disease. RESULTS: In the per-protocol analysis of first episodes of infections due to vaccine-type strains, community-acquired pneumonia occurred in 49 persons in the PCV13 group and 90 persons in the placebo group (vaccine efficacy, 45.6%; 95.2% confidence interval [CI], 21.8 to 62.5), nonbacteremic and noninvasive community-acquired pneumonia occurred in 33 persons in the PCV13 group and 60 persons in the placebo group (vaccine efficacy, 45.0%; 95.2% CI, 14.2 to 65.3), and invasive pneumococcal disease occurred in 7 persons in the PCV13 group and 28 persons in the placebo group (vaccine efficacy, 75.0%; 95% CI, 41.4 to 90.8). Efficacy persisted throughout the trial (mean follow-up, 3.97 years). In the modified intention-to-treat analysis, similar efficacy was observed (vaccine efficacy, 37.7%, 41.1%, and 75.8%, respectively), and community-acquired pneumonia occurred in 747 persons in the PCV13 group and 787 persons in placebo group (vaccine efficacy, 5.1%; 95% CI, -5.1 to 14.2). Numbers of serious adverse events and deaths were similar in the two groups, but there were more local reactions in the PCV13 group. CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults, PCV13 was effective in preventing vaccine-type pneumococcal, bacteremic, and nonbacteremic community-acquired pneumonia and vaccine-type invasive pneumococcal disease but not in preventing community-acquired pneumonia from any cause. (Funded by Pfizer; CAPITA ClinicalTrials.gov number NCT00744263.).

Community-acquired pneumonia requiring hospitalization: rational decision making and interpretation of guidelines.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: This review focuses on the evidence base for guideline recommendations on the diagnosis, the optimal choice, timing and duration of empirical antibiotic therapy, and the use of microbiological tests for patients hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP): issues for which guidelines are frequently used as a quick reference. Furthermore, we will discuss possibilities for future research in these topics. RECENT FINDINGS: Many national and international guideline recommendations, even on critical elements of CAP management, are based on low-to-moderate quality evidence. SUMMARY: The diagnosis and management of CAP has hardly changed for decades. The recommendation to cover atypical pathogens in all hospitalized CAP patients is based on observational studies only and is challenged by two recent trials. The following years, improved diagnostic testing, radiologically by low-dose Computed Tomography or ultrasound and/or microbiologically by point-of-care multiplex PCR, has the potential to largely influence the choice and start of antibiotic therapy in hospitalized CAP patients. Rapid microbiological testing will hopefully improve antibiotic de-escalation or early pathogen-directed therapy, both potent ways of reducing broad-spectrum antibiotic use. Current guideline recommendations on the timing and duration of antibiotic therapy are based on limited evidence, but will be hard to improve.

Cost-effectiveness of antibiotic treatment strategies for community-acquired pneumonia: results from a cluster randomized cross-over trial.

BACKGROUND: To determine the cost-effectiveness of strategies of preferred antibiotic treatment with beta-lactam/macrolide combination or fluoroquinolone monotherapy compared to beta-lactam monotherapy. METHODS: Costs and effects were estimated using data from a cluster-randomized cross-over trial of antibiotic treatment strategies, primarily from the reduced third payer perspective (i.e. hospital admission costs). Cost-minimization analysis (CMA) and cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) were performed using linear mixed models. CMA results were expressed as difference in costs per patient. CEA results were expressed as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) showing additional costs per prevented death. RESULTS: A total of 2,283 patients were included. Crude average costs within 90 days from the reduced third payer perspective were €4,294, €4,392, and €4,002 per patient for the beta-lactam monotherapy, beta-lactam/macrolide combination, and fluoroquinolone monotherapy strategy, respectively. CMA results were €106 (95% CI €-697 to €754) for the beta-lactam/macrolide combination strategy and €-278 (95%CI €-991 to €396) for the fluoroquinolone monotherapy strategy, both compared to the beta-lactam monotherapy strategy. The ICER was not statistically significantly different between the strategies. Other perspectives yielded similar results. CONCLUSIONS: There were no significant differences in cost-effectiveness of strategies of preferred antibiotic treatment of CAP on non-ICU wards with either beta-lactam monotherapy, beta-lactam/macrolide combination therapy, or fluoroquinolone monotherapy. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The trial was registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01660204 , on May 2nd, 2012.

Quality of life in community-dwelling Dutch elderly measured by EQ-5D-3L.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to evaluate health status and associated factors in community-dwelling elderly in the Netherlands. METHODS: Participants from a placebo-controlled double-blind randomized controlled trial conducted in the Netherlands were invited at the time of enrolment to participate in this study. Data were collected on comorbidities, socio-demographic background and health status, using EQ-5D-3L instrument. EQ-5D-3L summary index values (EQ-5D-indices) was derived using Dutch tariff. Regression analysis was conducted to identify factors associated with EQ-5D-indices and visual analogue scale (EQ-VAS). RESULTS: 48,634 elderly (≥65 years) were included. The most frequently reported complaint was pain/discomfort (29.4%), but for the elder elderly (i.e. ≥85 years) it was mobility (52.9%). The proportion of persons reporting (multiple) problems increased with age from 31.5% for 65-69 years old subjects to 65.9% for elder elderly. The mean EQ-5D-indices and EQ-VAS decreased with age from 0.94 and 84, respectively in those 65 to 69 years old to 0.86 and 76, respectively, in ≥85 years old subjects. Increasing age, female gender, low education, geographic factors and comorbidities were associated with impaired health status. CONCLUSIONS: Within community-dwelling elderly large differences in health status exist. Impairment increases rapidly with age, but health status is also associated with socio-demographic variables and comorbidities. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00812084 .

The Impact of Age on the Efficacy of 13-valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine in Elderly.

In a post hoc analysis of the Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) immunization Trial in Adults the model-predicted 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine efficacy for preventing vaccine-type specific CAP and Invasive Pneumococcal Disease declined from 65% to 40% for subjects being 65 and 75 year olds at the time of vaccination, respectively.

Cost-effectiveness of adult pneumococcal conjugate vaccination in the Netherlands.

The Community-Acquired Pneumonia Immunization Trial in Adults (CAPiTA) demonstrated the efficacy of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in preventing vaccine-type community-acquired pneumonia and vaccine-type invasive pneumococcal disease in elderly subjects. We examined the cost-effectiveness of PCV13 vaccination in the Netherlands. Using a Markov-type model, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) of PCV13 vaccination in different age- and risk-groups for pneumococcal disease were evaluated using a societal perspective. Estimates of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), costs, vaccine efficacy and epidemiological data were based on the CAPiTA study and other prospective studies. The base-case was PCV13 vaccination of adults aged 65-74 years compared to no vaccination, assuming no net indirect effects in base-case due to paediatric 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine use. Analyses for age- and risk-group specific vaccination strategies and for different levels of hypothetical herd effects from a paediatric PCV programme were also conducted. The ICER for base-case was €8650 per QALY (95% CI 5750-17,100). Vaccination of high-risk individuals aged 65-74 years was cost-saving and extension to medium-risk individuals aged 65-74 years yielded an ICER of €2900. Further extension to include medium- and high-risk individuals aged ≥18 years yielded an ICER of €3100.PCV13 vaccination is highly cost-effective in the Netherlands. The transferability of our results to other countries depends upon vaccination strategies already implemented in those countries.

Diagnostic Stewardship in Community-Acquired Pneumonia With Syndromic Molecular Testing: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Lower respiratory tract (LRT) infections, including community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), are a leading cause of hospital admissions and mortality. Molecular tests have the potential to optimize treatment decisions and management of CAP, but limited evidence exists to support their routine use. Objective: To determine whether the judicious use of a syndromic polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based panel for rapid testing of CAP in the emergency department (ED) leads to faster, more accurate microbiological test result-based treatment. Design, Setting, and Participants: This parallel-arm, single-blinded, single-center, randomized clinical superiority trial was conducted between September 25, 2020, and June 21, 2022, in the ED of Haukeland University Hospital, a large tertiary care hospital in Bergen, Norway. Adult patients who presented to the ED with suspected CAP were recruited. Participants were randomized 1:1 to either the intervention arm or standard-of-care arm. The primary outcomes were analyzed according to the intention-to-treat principle. Intervention: Patients randomized to the intervention arm received rapid syndromic PCR testing (BioFire FilmArray Pneumonia plus Panel; bioMérieux) of LRT samples and standard of care. Patients randomized to the standard-of-care arm received standard microbiological diagnostics alone. Main Outcomes and Measures: The 2 primary outcomes were the provision of pathogen-directed treatment based on a microbiological test result and the time to provision of pathogen-directed treatment (within 48 hours after randomization). Results: There were 374 patients (221 males [59.1%]; median (IQR) age, 72 [60-79] years) included in the trial, with 187 in each treatment arm. Analysis of primary outcomes showed that 66 patients (35.3%) in the intervention arm and 25 (13.4%) in the standard-of-care arm received pathogen-directed treatment, corresponding to a reduction in absolute risk of 21.9 (95% CI, 13.5-30.3) percentage points and an odds ratio for the intervention arm of 3.53 (95% CI, 2.13-6.02; P < .001). The median (IQR) time to provision of pathogen-directed treatment within 48 hours was 34.5 (31.6-37.3) hours in the intervention arm and 43.8 (42.0-45.6) hours in the standard-of-care arm (mean difference, -9.4 hours; 95% CI, -12.7 to -6.0 hours; P < .001). The corresponding hazard ratio for intervention compared with standard of care was 3.08 (95% CI, 1.95-4.89). Findings remained significant after adjustment for season. Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this randomized clinical trial indicated that routine deployment of PCR testing for LRT pathogens led to faster and more targeted microbial treatment for patients with suspected CAP. Rapid molecular testing could complement or replace selected standard, time-consuming, laboratory-based diagnostics. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04660084.

Acute kidney injury in Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia: a recurrent events analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate risk factors for acute kidney injury (AKI) and the effect of AKI on mortality in Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia, while taking into account recurrent AKI episodes, competing risks, time-varying variables, and time-varying effects. METHODS: We performed an unplanned analysis using data from a multicentre cohort study of patients with Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia (SAB). The primary outcome was cumulative incidence of AKI, according to Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes definitions. RESULTS: We included 453 patients in this study of whom 194 (43%) patients experienced one or more AKI episodes. Age (hazard ratio (HR) 1.013, 95% CI 1.001-1.024), Charlson comorbidity index (HR 1.07, 95% CI 1.01-1.14), prior chronic kidney disease (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.28-2.42), septic shock (HR 3.28, 95% CI 2.31-4.66), persistent bacteraemia (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.08-2.17), and vancomycin therapy (HR 1.80, 95% CI 1.05-3.09) were independently associated with AKI, but flucloxacillin, cefazolin, rifampicin, and aminoglycoside therapy were not. After adjustment for confounders and immortal time bias, AKI was associated with an increased risk of 90-day mortality (HR 4.26, 95% CI 2.91-6.23). DISCUSSION: The incidence of AKI in SAB is high and a substantial proportion of patients develop recurrent episodes of AKI after recovery. AKI is specifically linked to the use of vancomycin and not to anti-staphylococcal penicillins. The clinical outcome of patients with SAB complicated by AKI is worse than previously estimated.

Routine vaccination for influenza and pneumococcal disease and its effect on COVID-19 in a population of Dutch older adults.

Objectives: Protective heterologous beneficial effects of vaccines have been reported, and in this study we aimed to assess the impact of routine pneumococcal and influenza vaccination on the incidence and symptom duration of COVID-19 in a population of Dutch older adults. Methods: This cohort study is a secondary analysis of the BCG-CORONA-ELDERLY study, a randomised controlled trial on the effect of BCG vaccination on the cumulative incidence of respiratory tract infections requiring medical intervention in adults ≥60 years. The primary outcome was the cumulative incidence of a self-reported positive SARS-CoV-2 PCR test, and was assessed using a Fine-Gray competing risks model adjusted for baseline characteristics at enrolment. We analysed data from November 1st 2020 until the end of the main study in May 2021. Results: Routine vaccination data 2020/2021 were available for 1963/2014 (97.5 %) participants; 44/1963 (2.2 %) were excluded due to COVID-19 before vaccination. 1076/1919 (56.1 %) had received the influenza vaccine and 289/1919 (15.1 %) the pneumococcal vaccine. The cumulative incidence of COVID-19 was 0.030 (95 %CI 0.021-0.041) in those vaccinated against influenza compared to 0.029 (95 %CI 0.019-0.041) in the unvaccinated group (subdistribution hazard ratio (SDHR) 1.018; 95 %CI 0.602-1.721). For pneumococcal vaccination the cumulative incidence was 0.031 (95 %CI 0.015-0.056) for the vaccinated and 0.029 (95 %CI 0.022-0.038) for non-vaccinated individuals (SDHR 0.961; 95 %CI 0.443-2.085). BCG vaccination in the previous year and sex were not significant effect modifiers in the primary analysis. Duration of fever, cough and dyspnoea was also not significantly different between treatment arms. Conclusion: Neither influenza nor pneumococcal vaccination was associated with a lower incidence or shorter duration of COVID-19 symptoms in older adults.

The impact of circadian rhythm on Bacillus Calmette-Guérin vaccination effects on SARS-CoV-2 infections.

Background and objective: A recent study has suggested that circadian rhythm has an important impact on the immunological effects induced by Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) vaccination. The objective of this study was to evaluate whether the timing of BCG vaccination (morning or afternoon) affects its impact on severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections and clinically relevant respiratory tract infections (RTIs). Methods: This is a post-hoc analysis of the BCG-CORONA-ELDERLY (NCT04417335) multicenter, placebo-controlled trial, in which participants aged 60 years and older were randomly assigned to vaccination with BCG or placebo, and followed for 12 months. The primary endpoint was the cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection. To assess the impact of circadian rhythm on the BCG effects, participants were divided into four groups: vaccinated with either BCG or placebo in the morning (between 9:00h and 11:30h) or in the afternoon (between 14:30h and 18:00h). Results: The subdistribution hazard ratio of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the first six months after vaccination was 2.394 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.856-6.696) for the morning BCG group and 0.284 (95% CI, 0.055-1.480) for the afternoon BCG group. When comparing those two groups, the interaction hazard ratio was 8.966 (95% CI, 1.366-58.836). In the period from six months until 12 months after vaccination cumulative incidences of SARS-CoV-2 infection were comparable, as well as cumulative incidences of clinically relevant RTI in both periods. Conclusion: Vaccination with BCG in the afternoon offered better protection against SARS-CoV-2 infections than BCG vaccination in the morning in the first six months after vaccination.