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1.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 121(33): e2313428121, 2024 Aug 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39102551

RESUMEN

Moral values guide consequential attitudes and actions. Here, we report evidence of seasonal variation in Americans' endorsement of some-but not all-moral values. Studies 1 and 2 examined a decade of data from the United States (total N = 232,975) and produced consistent evidence of a biannual seasonal cycle in values pertaining to loyalty, authority, and purity ("binding" moral values)-with strongest endorsement in spring and autumn and weakest endorsement in summer and winter-but not in values pertaining to care and fairness ("individualizing" moral values). Study 2 also provided some evidence that the summer decrease, but not the winter decrease, in binding moral value endorsement was stronger in regions with greater seasonal extremity. Analyses on an additional year of US data (study 3; n = 24,199) provided further replication and showed that this biannual seasonal cycle cannot be easily dismissed as a sampling artifact. Study 4 provided a partial explanation for the biannual seasonal cycle in Americans' endorsement of binding moral values by showing that it was predicted by an analogous seasonal cycle in Americans' experience of anxiety. Study 5 tested the generalizability of the primary findings and found similar seasonal cycles in endorsement of binding moral values in Canada and Australia (but not in the United Kingdom). Collectively, results from these five studies provide evidence that moral values change with the seasons, with intriguing implications for additional outcomes that can be affected by those values (e.g., intergroup prejudices, political attitudes, legal judgments).


Asunto(s)
Principios Morales , Estaciones del Año , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Valores Sociales , Femenino , Masculino
2.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 121(12): e2315940121, 2024 Mar 19.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38489384

RESUMEN

Water microdroplets (7 to 11 µm average diameter, depending on flow rate) are sprayed in a closed chamber at ambient temperature, whose relative humidity (RH) is controlled. The resulting concentration of ROS (reactive oxygen species) formed in the microdroplets, measured by the amount of hydrogen peroxide (H2O2), is determined by nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) and by spectrofluorimetric assays after the droplets are collected. The results are found to agree closely with one another. In addition, hydrated hydroxyl radical cations (•OH-H3O+) are recorded from the droplets using mass spectrometry and superoxide radical anions (•O2-) and hydroxyl radicals (•OH) by electron paramagnetic resonance spectroscopy. As the RH varies from 15 to 95%, the concentration of H2O2 shows a marked rise by a factor of about 3.5 in going from 15 to 50%, then levels off. By replacing the H2O of the sprayed water with deuterium oxide (D2O) but keeping the gas surrounding droplets with H2O, mass spectrometric analysis of the hydrated hydroxyl radical cations demonstrates that the water in the air plays a dominant role in producing H2O2 and other ROS, which accounts for the variation with RH. As RH increases, the droplet evaporation rate decreases. These two facts help us understand why viruses in droplets both survive better at low RH values, as found in indoor air in the wintertime, and are disinfected more effectively at higher RH values, as found in indoor air in the summertime, thus explaining the recognized seasonality of airborne viral infections.

3.
Plant J ; 117(4): 1223-1238, 2024 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37991980

RESUMEN

Plant species with large genomes tend to be excluded from climatically more extreme environments with a shorter growing season. Species that occupy such environments are assumed to be under natural selection for more rapid growth and smaller genome size (GS). However, evidence for this is available only for temperate organisms. Here, we study the evolution of GS in two subfamilies of the tropical family Zingiberaceae to find out whether species with larger genomes are confined to environments where the vegetative season is longer. We tested our hypothesis on 337 ginger species from regions with contrasting climates by correlating their GS with an array of plant traits and environmental variables. We revealed 16-fold variation in GS which was tightly related to shoot seasonality. Negative correlations of GS with latitude, temperature and precipitation emerged in the subfamily Zingiberoidae, demonstrating that species with larger GS are excluded from areas with a shorter growing season. In the subfamily Alpinioideae, GS turned out to be correlated with the type of stem and light requirements and its members cope with seasonality mainly by adaptation to shady and moist habitats. The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck models suggested that evolution in regions with humid climates favoured larger GS than in drier regions. Our results indicate that climate seasonality exerts an upper constraint on GS not only in temperate regions but also in the tropics, unless species with large genomes find alternative ways to escape from that constraint.


Asunto(s)
Zingiber officinale , Ecosistema , Clima , Estaciones del Año , Plantas
4.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(35): e2123366119, 2022 08 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35994633

RESUMEN

Variability in resource availability is hypothesized to be a significant driver of primate adaptation and evolution, but most paleoclimate proxies cannot recover environmental seasonality on the scale of an individual lifespan. Oxygen isotope compositions (δ18O values) sampled at high spatial resolution in the dentitions of modern African primates (n = 2,352 near weekly measurements from 26 teeth) track concurrent seasonal precipitation, regional climatic patterns, discrete meteorological events, and niche partitioning. We leverage these data to contextualize the first δ18O values of two 17 Ma Afropithecus turkanensis individuals from Kalodirr, Kenya, from which we infer variably bimodal wet seasons, supported by rainfall reconstructions in a global Earth system model. Afropithecus' δ18O fluctuations are intermediate in magnitude between those measured at high resolution in baboons (Papio spp.) living across a gradient of aridity and modern forest-dwelling chimpanzees (Pan troglodytes verus). This large-bodied Miocene ape consumed seasonally variable food and water sources enriched in 18O compared to contemporaneous terrestrial fauna (n = 66 fossil specimens). Reliance on fallback foods during documented dry seasons potentially contributed to novel dental features long considered adaptations to hard-object feeding. Developmentally informed microsampling recovers greater ecological complexity than conventional isotope sampling; the two Miocene apes (n = 248 near weekly measurements) evince as great a range of seasonal δ18O variation as more time-averaged bulk measurements from 101 eastern African Plio-Pleistocene hominins and 42 papionins spanning 4 million y. These results reveal unprecedented environmental histories in primate teeth and suggest a framework for evaluating climate change and primate paleoecology throughout the Cenozoic.


Asunto(s)
Evolución Biológica , Cambio Climático , Fósiles , Isótopos de Oxígeno , Pan troglodytes , Diente , África , Animales , Guinea Ecuatorial , Fósiles/anatomía & histología , Historia del Siglo XXI , Hominidae/anatomía & histología , Kenia , Isótopos de Oxígeno/análisis , Pan troglodytes/anatomía & histología , Papio/anatomía & histología , Primates/anatomía & histología , Diente/anatomía & histología , Diente/química
5.
J Allergy Clin Immunol ; 153(6): 1681-1691.e12, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38142822

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The upper respiratory tract is continuously exposed to microorganisms and noxious elements, leading to local immune responses and the secretion of immune markers. While several studies describe immune marker profiles in respiratory mucosal samples in defined patient cohorts, mucosal immune profiles from the general population during the different seasons are lacking. Such baseline profiles are essential to understand the effect of various exposures to the mucosal immune system throughout life. OBJECTIVE: We sought to establish baseline local upper respiratory mucosal immune profiles in the general population and assess these profiles with regard to age, sex, seasonality, and basic health and lifestyle factors. METHODS: We measured the concentrations of 35 immune markers involved in a broad range of immunological processes at the mucosa in nasopharyngeal swab samples from 951 individuals, aged 0 to 86 years, from a nationwide study. RESULTS: Clustering analysis showed that immune marker profiles clearly reflected immunological functions, such as tissue regeneration and antiviral responses. Immune marker concentrations changed strongly with seasonality and age, with the most profound changes occurring in the first 25 years of life; they were also associated with sex, body mass index, smoking, mild symptoms of airway infection, and chronic asthma and hay fever. CONCLUSION: Immunological analyses of noninvasive mucosal samples provide insight into mucosal immune responses to microbial and noxious element exposure in the general population. These data provide a baseline for future studies on respiratory mucosal immune responses and for the development of mucosal immune-based diagnostics.


Asunto(s)
Biomarcadores , Mucosa Respiratoria , Estaciones del Año , Humanos , Adulto , Adolescente , Anciano , Masculino , Femenino , Niño , Persona de Mediana Edad , Preescolar , Lactante , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Mucosa Respiratoria/inmunología , Factores de Edad , Adulto Joven , Recién Nacido , Inmunidad Mucosa
6.
J Infect Dis ; 229(Supplement_1): S25-S33, 2024 Mar 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37249267

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Previous studies reported inconsistent findings regarding the association between respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) subgroup distribution and timing of RSV season. We aimed to further understand the association by conducting a global-level systematic analysis. METHODS: We compiled published data on RSV seasonality through a systematic literature review, and unpublished data shared by international collaborators. Using annual cumulative proportion (ACP) of RSV-positive cases, we defined RSV season onset and offset as ACP reaching 10% and 90%, respectively. Linear regression models accounting for meteorological factors were constructed to analyze the association of proportion of RSV-A with the corresponding RSV season onset and offset. RESULTS: We included 36 study sites from 20 countries, providing data for 179 study-years in 1995-2019. Globally, RSV subgroup distribution was not significantly associated with RSV season onset or offset globally, except for RSV season offset in the tropics in 1 model, possibly by chance. Models that included RSV subgroup distribution and meteorological factors explained only 2%-4% of the variations in timing of RSV season. CONCLUSIONS: Year-on-year variations in RSV season onset and offset are not well explained by RSV subgroup distribution or meteorological factors. Factors including population susceptibility, mobility, and viral interference should be examined in future studies.


Asunto(s)
Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano , Humanos , Modelos Lineales , Estaciones del Año , Interferencia Viral
7.
Plant J ; 116(5): 1293-1308, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37596909

RESUMEN

With climate change, an aggravation in summer drought is expected in the Mediterranean region. To assess the impact of such a future scenario, we compared the response of Quercus pubescens, a drought-resistant deciduous oak species, to long-term amplified drought (AD) (partial rain exclusion in natura for 10 years) and natural drought (ND). We studied leaf physiological and physico-chemical trait responses to ND and AD over the seasonal cycle, with a focus on chemical traits including major groups of central (photosynthetic pigments and plastoquinones) and specialized (tocochromanols, phenolic compounds, and cuticular waxes) metabolites. Seasonality was the main driver of all leaf traits, including cuticular triterpenoids, which were highly concentrated in summer, suggesting their importance to cope with drought and thermal stress periods. Under AD, trees not only reduced CO2 assimilation (-42%) in summer and leaf concentrations of some phenolic compounds and photosynthetic pigments (carotenoids from the xanthophyll cycle) but also enhanced the levels of other photosynthetic pigments (chlorophylls, lutein, and neoxanthin) and plastochromanol-8, an antioxidant located in chloroplasts. Overall, the metabolomic adjustments across seasons and drought conditions reinforce the idea that Q. pubescens is highly resistant to drought although significant losses of antioxidant defenses and photoprotection were identified under AD.


Asunto(s)
Quercus , Quercus/metabolismo , Antioxidantes/metabolismo , Estaciones del Año , Bosques , Lluvia , Hojas de la Planta/metabolismo , Árboles/metabolismo , Sequías , Agua/metabolismo
8.
Clin Infect Dis ; 79(Supplement_1): S8-S19, 2024 Jul 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38996039

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The Ethiopian government has developed the multisectoral cholera elimination plan (NCP) with an aim of reducing cholera incidence and case fatality rate (CFR). To better understand and monitor the progress of this plan, a comprehensive review of national cholera epidemiology is needed. METHODS: Reported data on cholera/acute watery diarrhea (AWD) cases in the past 20 years were extracted from the Ethiopian Public Health Institute and World Health Organization databases. Descriptive statistics, Pearson χ2, and logistic regression analyses were conducted. RESULTS: From January 2001 to November 2023, a total of 215 205 cholera/AWD cases, 2355 deaths with a cumulative CFR of 1.10% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.092-1.095), and a mean annual incidence rate of 8.9/100 000 (95% CI, 6.5-11.3) were reported. Two major upsurges of cholera epidemics were found in the last two decades with mean attack rate (AR) of 20.57/100 000 in 2006-2010 and 14.83/100 000 in 2016-2020. Another resurgence of outbreaks occured in 2021-2023 (mean AR, 8.63/100 000). In 2015-2023, 54.0% (53 990/99 945) of cases were aged 15-44 years. National cholera CFR (3.13% [95% CI: 2.1-4.5]) was the highest in 2022. The 2015-2023 cumulative cholera CFR was different across regions: Benishangul Gumuz (6.07%), Gambela (1.89%), Sidama (1.42%), Southern Nation, Nationalities, and Peoples' (1.34%), Oromia (1.10%), and Amhara (1.09%). Cholera/AWD patients in older adults (≥45 years), severe dehydration, peak rainy season (June-August), and outpatients were associated with higher risk of death. CONCLUSIONS: Cholera has been a public health problem in Ethiopia with case fatalities still above the global target. Case management needs to be improved particularly in outpatients and older populations. Outbreak preparedness should be rolled out well in advance of the typical rainy seasons. Significant investments are essential to advance the cholera surveillance system at healthcare setting and community level. Underlying factors of cholera deaths per areas should be further investigated to guide appropriate interventions to meet the NCP target by 2028.


Asunto(s)
Cólera , Diarrea , Brotes de Enfermedades , Estaciones del Año , Humanos , Cólera/epidemiología , Cólera/mortalidad , Etiopía/epidemiología , Incidencia , Diarrea/epidemiología , Diarrea/mortalidad , Diarrea/microbiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudios Retrospectivos , Adulto Joven , Preescolar , Masculino , Femenino , Niño , Persona de Mediana Edad , Lactante , Anciano
9.
Clin Infect Dis ; 78(5): 1352-1359, 2024 May 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38366649

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of acute respiratory illnesses in children. RSV can be broadly categorized into 2 major subtypes: A and B. RSV subtypes have been known to cocirculate with variability in different regions of the world. Clinical associations with viral subtype have been studied among children with conflicting findings such that no conclusive relationships between RSV subtype and severity have been established. METHODS: During 2016-2020, children aged <5 years were enrolled in prospective surveillance in the emergency department or inpatient settings at 7 US pediatric medical centers. Surveillance data collection included parent/guardian interviews, chart reviews, and collection of midturbinate nasal plus/minus throat swabs for RSV (RSV-A, RSV-B, and untyped) using reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. RESULTS: Among 6398 RSV-positive children aged <5 years, 3424 (54%) had subtype RSV-A infections, 2602 (41%) had subtype RSV-B infections, and 272 (5%) were not typed, inconclusive, or mixed infections. In both adjusted and unadjusted analyses, RSV-A-positive children were more likely to be hospitalized, as well as when restricted to <1 year. By season, RSV-A and RSV-B cocirculated in varying levels, with 1 subtype dominating proportionally. CONCLUSIONS: Findings indicate that RSV-A and RSV-B may only be marginally clinically distinguishable, but both subtypes are associated with medically attended illness in children aged <5 years. Furthermore, circulation of RSV subtypes varies substantially each year, seasonally and geographically. With introduction of new RSV prevention products, this highlights the importance of continued monitoring of RSV-A and RSV-B subtypes.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano , Estaciones del Año , Humanos , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/epidemiología , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/virología , Infecciones por Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/prevención & control , Lactante , Preescolar , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano/genética , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano/clasificación , Virus Sincitial Respiratorio Humano/aislamiento & purificación , Masculino , Femenino , Estudios Prospectivos , Hospitalización/estadística & datos numéricos , Recién Nacido , Vacunas contra Virus Sincitial Respiratorio/administración & dosificación
10.
Clin Infect Dis ; 78(5): 1345-1351, 2024 May 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38373257

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Group A Streptococcus (GAS) causes an estimated 5.2 million outpatient visits for pharyngitis annually in the United States, with incidence peaking in winter, but the annual spatiotemporal pattern of GAS pharyngitis across the United States is poorly characterized. METHODS: We used outpatient claims data from individuals with private medical insurance between 2010 and 2018 to quantify GAS pharyngitis visit rates across U.S. census regions, subregions, and states. We evaluated seasonal and age-based patterns of geographic spread and the association between school start dates and the summertime upward inflection in GAS visits. RESULTS: The South had the most visits per person (yearly average, 39.11 visits per 1000 people; 95% confidence interval, 36.21-42.01) and the West had the fewest (yearly average, 17.63 visits per 1000 people; 95% confidence interval, 16.76-18.49). Visits increased earliest in the South and in school-age children. Differences in visits between the South and other regions were most pronounced in the late summer through early winter. Visits peaked earliest in central southern states, in December to January, and latest on the coasts, in March. The onset of the rise in GAS pharyngitis visits correlated with, but preceded, average school start times. CONCLUSIONS: The burden and timing of GAS pharyngitis varied across the continental United States, with the South experiencing the highest overall rates and earliest onset and peak in outpatient visits. Understanding the drivers of these regional differences in GAS pharyngitis will help in identifying and targeting prevention measures.


Asunto(s)
Faringitis , Estaciones del Año , Infecciones Estreptocócicas , Streptococcus pyogenes , Humanos , Faringitis/microbiología , Faringitis/epidemiología , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/epidemiología , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/microbiología , Niño , Preescolar , Adolescente , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Adulto Joven , Persona de Mediana Edad , Lactante , Incidencia , Análisis Espacio-Temporal , Anciano
11.
Ecol Lett ; 27(2): e14386, 2024 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38403295

RESUMEN

Outbreaks and spread of infectious diseases are often associated with seasonality and environmental changes, including global warming. Free-living stages of soil-transmitted helminths are highly susceptible to climatic drivers; however, how multiple climatic variables affect helminth species, and the long-term consequences of these interactions, is poorly understood. We used experiments on nine trichostrongylid species of herbivores to develop a temperature- and humidity-dependent model of infection hazard, which was then implemented at the European scale under climate change scenarios. Intestinal and stomach helminths exhibited contrasting climatic responses, with the former group strongly affected by temperature while the latter primarily impacted by humidity. Among the demographic traits, larval survival heavily modulated the infection hazard. According to the specific climatic responses of the two groups, climate change is expected to generate differences in the seasonal and spatial shifts of the infection hazard and group co-circulation. In the future, an intensification of these trends could create new opportunities for species range expansion and co-occurrence at European central-northern latitudes.


Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Helmintos , Animales , Calentamiento Global , Larva
12.
Ecol Lett ; 27(2): e14392, 2024 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38400796

RESUMEN

Trade-offs between current and future reproduction manifest as a set of co-varying life history and metabolic traits, collectively referred to as 'pace of life' (POL). Seasonal migration modulates environmental dynamics and putatively affects POL, however, the mechanisms by which migratory behaviour shapes POL remain unclear. We explored how migratory behaviour interacts with environmental and metabolic dynamics to shape POL. Using an individual-based model of movement and metabolism, we compared fitness-optimized trade-offs among migration strategies. We found annual experienced seasonality modulated by migratory movements and distance between end-points primarily drove POL differentiation through developmental and migration phenology trade-offs. Similarly, our analysis of empirically estimated metabolic data from 265 bird species suggested seasonal niche tracking and migration distance interact to drive POL. We show multiple viable life-history strategies are conducive to a migratory lifestyle. Overall, our findings suggest metabolism mediates complex interactions between behaviour, environment and life history.


Asunto(s)
Rasgos de la Historia de Vida , Animales , Estaciones del Año , Reproducción , Aves , Fenotipo , Migración Animal
13.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(6): 1240-1244, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38782018

RESUMEN

A 2022 canine gastroenteritis outbreak in the United Kingdom was associated with circulation of a new canine enteric coronavirus closely related to a 2020 variant with an additional spike gene recombination. The variants are unrelated to canine enteric coronavirus-like viruses associated with human disease but represent a model for coronavirus population adaptation.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Coronavirus , Brotes de Enfermedades , Enfermedades de los Perros , Gastroenteritis , Filogenia , Animales , Perros , Brotes de Enfermedades/veterinaria , Enfermedades de los Perros/virología , Enfermedades de los Perros/epidemiología , Reino Unido/epidemiología , Gastroenteritis/virología , Gastroenteritis/epidemiología , Gastroenteritis/veterinaria , Infecciones por Coronavirus/veterinaria , Infecciones por Coronavirus/epidemiología , Infecciones por Coronavirus/virología , Coronavirus Canino/genética , Coronavirus Canino/clasificación , Humanos , Glicoproteína de la Espiga del Coronavirus/genética
14.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(2): 234-244, 2024 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38270192

RESUMEN

Parechovirus infections usually affect neonates and young children; manifestations vary from asymptomatic to life-threatening. We describe laboratory capacity in Europe for assessing parechovirus circulation, seasonality, and epidemiology. We used retrospective anonymized data collected from parechovirus infection case-patients identified in Europe during January 2015-December 2021. Of 21 laboratories from 18 countries that participated in the study, 16 (76%) laboratories with parechovirus detection capacity reported 1,845 positive samples; 12/16 (75%) with typing capability successfully identified 517 samples. Parechovirus A3 was the most common type (n = 278), followed by A1 (153), A6 (50), A4 (13), A5 (22), and A14 (1). Clinical data from 1,269 participants highlighted correlation of types A3, A4, and A5 with severe disease in neonates. We observed a wide capacity in Europe to detect, type, and analyze parechovirus data. To enhance surveillance and response for PeV outbreaks, sharing typing protocols and data on parechovirus-positive cases should be encouraged.


Asunto(s)
Parechovirus , Niño , Recién Nacido , Humanos , Preescolar , Parechovirus/genética , Estudios Retrospectivos , Europa (Continente)/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Laboratorios
15.
Am J Epidemiol ; 193(6): 898-907, 2024 06 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38343158

RESUMEN

Forecasting of seasonal mortality patterns can provide useful information for planning health-care demand and capacity. Timely mortality forecasts are needed during severe winter spikes and/or pandemic waves to guide policy-making and public health decisions. In this article, we propose a flexible method for forecasting all-cause mortality in real time considering short-term changes in seasonal patterns within an epidemiologic year. All-cause mortality data have the advantage of being available with less delay than cause-specific mortality data. In this study, we use all-cause monthly death counts obtained from the national statistical offices of Denmark, France, Spain, and Sweden from epidemic seasons 2012-2013 through 2021-2022 to demonstrate the performance of the proposed approach. The method forecasts deaths 1 month ahead, based on their expected ratio to the next month. Prediction intervals are obtained via bootstrapping. The forecasts accurately predict the winter mortality peaks before the COVID-19 pandemic. Although the method predicts mortality less accurately during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, it captures the aspects of later waves better than other traditional methods. The method is attractive for health researchers and governmental offices for aiding public health responses because it uses minimal input data, makes simple and intuitive assumptions, and provides accurate forecasts both during seasonal influenza epidemics and during novel virus pandemics.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Predicción , Mortalidad , Estaciones del Año , Humanos , Predicción/métodos , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/epidemiología , Mortalidad/tendencias , Causas de Muerte , Pandemias , Suecia/epidemiología , España/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Modelos Estadísticos , Europa (Continente)/epidemiología , Dinamarca/epidemiología
16.
Cancer ; 2024 Jun 28.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38941496

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Seasonal variations in systemic immunity have been reported. This study aimed to evaluate whether seasonality affects the efficacy of anticancer immunotherapy. METHODS: A total of 604 patients with lung cancer receiving single anti-programmed cell death (ligand) 1 (anti-PD-[L]1) inhibitors from two prospective observational cohorts were screened. Primary outcomes were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Patients were classified into two groups according to the season when the treatment started: winter (November-February) and other seasons (March-October). Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards models were fitted to evaluate the impact of seasonality on survival. For validation, propensity score matching was performed. RESULTS: A total of 484 patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer were included. In an unmatched population, multivariable analysis demonstrated that the winter group (n = 173) had a significantly lower risk of progression or death from immunotherapy than the other group (n = 311) (PFS: hazard ratio [HR], 0.77 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.62-0.96]; p = .018; OS: HR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.1-0.98]; p = .032). In a propensity score-matched population, the winter group (n = 162) showed significantly longer median PFS (2.8 months [95% CI, 1.9-4.1 months] vs. 2.0 months [95% CI, 1.4-2.7 months]; p = .009) than the other group (n = 162). The winter group's median OS was also significantly longer than that of the other group (13.4 months [95% CI, 10.2-18.0 months] vs. 8.0 months [95% CI, 3.6-8.7 months]; p = .012). The trend toward longer survival in the winter group continued in subgroup analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Starting an anti-PD-(L)1 inhibitor in winter was associated with better treatment outcomes in patients with lung cancer compared to other seasons.

17.
Proc Biol Sci ; 291(2014): 20231766, 2024 Jan 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38196367

RESUMEN

Different populations of hosts and parasites experience distinct seasonality in environmental factors, depending on local-scale biotic and abiotic factors. This can lead to highly heterogeneous disease outcomes across host ranges. Variable seasonality characterizes urogenital schistosomiasis, a neglected tropical disease caused by parasitic trematodes (Schistosoma haematobium). Their intermediate hosts are aquatic Bulinus snails that are highly adapted to extreme rainfall seasonality, undergoing prolonged dormancy yearly. While Bulinus snails have a remarkable capacity for rebounding following dormancy, we investigated the extent to which parasite survival within snails is diminished. We conducted an investigation of seasonal snail schistosome dynamics in 109 ponds of variable ephemerality in Tanzania from August 2021 to July 2022. First, we found that ponds have two synchronized peaks of schistosome infection prevalence and observed cercariae, though of lower magnitude in the fully desiccating than non-desiccating ponds. Second, we evaluated total yearly schistosome prevalence across an ephemerality gradient, finding ponds with intermediate ephemerality to have the highest infection rates. We also investigated dynamics of non-schistosome trematodes, which lacked synonymity with schistosome patterns. We found peak schistosome transmission risk at intermediate pond ephemerality, thus the impacts of anticipated increases in landscape desiccation could result in increases or decreases in transmission risk with global change.


Asunto(s)
Schistosoma , Caracoles , Trematodos , Animales , Estanques/parasitología , Tanzanía/epidemiología , Análisis Espacio-Temporal , Caracoles/parasitología
18.
Proc Biol Sci ; 291(2028): 20241013, 2024 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39106952

RESUMEN

Males and females often differ in ecology, behaviour and lifestyle, and these differences are expected to lead to sex differences in parasite susceptibility. However, neither the sex differences in parasite prevalence, nor their ecological and evolutionary drivers have been investigated across a broad range of taxa using phylogenetically corrected analyses. Using the most extensive dataset yet that includes 755 prevalence estimates from 151 wild bird species in a meta-analytic framework, here we compare sex differences in blood and gastrointestinal parasites. We show that despite sex differences in parasite infection being frequently reported in the literature, only Haemoproteus infections were more prevalent in females than in males. Notably, only seasonality was strongly associated with the sex-specific parasite prevalence of both Leucocytozoon and Haemoproteus, where birds showed greater female bias in prevalence during breeding periods compared to the non-breeding period. No other ecological or sexual selection variables were associated with sex-specific prevalence of parasite prevalence. We suggest that much of the variation in sex-biased prevalence could be idiosyncratic, and driven by local ecology and behavioural differences of the parasite and the host. Therefore, breeding ecology and sexual selection may only have a modest influence on sex-different parasite prevalence across wild birds.


Asunto(s)
Evolución Biológica , Enfermedades de las Aves , Aves , Animales , Aves/parasitología , Femenino , Enfermedades de las Aves/parasitología , Enfermedades de las Aves/epidemiología , Masculino , Prevalencia , Haemosporida/fisiología , Factores Sexuales , Caracteres Sexuales , Animales Salvajes/parasitología , Estaciones del Año , Infecciones Protozoarias en Animales/epidemiología , Infecciones Protozoarias en Animales/parasitología
19.
Proc Biol Sci ; 291(2025): 20240090, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38889793

RESUMEN

The more insects there are, the more food there is for insectivores and the higher the likelihood for insect-associated ecosystem services. Yet, we lack insights into the drivers of insect biomass over space and seasons, for both tropical and temperate zones. We used 245 Malaise traps, managed by 191 volunteers and park guards, to characterize year-round flying insect biomass in a temperate (Sweden) and a tropical (Madagascar) country. Surprisingly, we found that local insect biomass was similar across zones. In Sweden, local insect biomass increased with accumulated heat and varied across habitats, while biomass in Madagascar was unrelated to the environmental predictors measured. Drivers behind seasonality partly converged: In both countries, the seasonality of insect biomass differed between warmer and colder sites, and wetter and drier sites. In Sweden, short-term deviations from expected season-specific biomass were explained by week-to-week fluctuations in accumulated heat, rainfall and soil moisture, whereas in Madagascar, weeks with higher soil moisture had higher insect biomass. Overall, our study identifies key drivers of the seasonal distribution of flying insect biomass in a temperate and a tropical climate. This knowledge is key to understanding the spatial and seasonal availability of insects-as well as predicting future scenarios of insect biomass change.


Asunto(s)
Biomasa , Estaciones del Año , Temperatura , Clima Tropical , Animales , Suecia , Madagascar , Insectos/fisiología , Agua , Ecosistema
20.
BMC Microbiol ; 24(1): 149, 2024 Apr 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38678219

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Recognition of seasonal trends in bacterial infection and drug resistance rates may enhance diagnosis, direct therapeutic strategies, and inform preventive measures. Limited data exist on the seasonal variability of Acinetobacter baumannii. We investigated the seasonality of A. baumannii, the correlation between temperature and meropenem resistance, and the impact of temperature on this bacterium. RESULTS: Meropenem resistance rates increased with lower temperatures, peaking in winter/colder months. Nonresistant strain detection exhibited temperature-dependent seasonality, rising in summer/warmer months and declining in winter/colder months. In contrast, resistant strains showed no seasonality. Variations in meropenem-resistant and nonresistant bacterial resilience to temperature changes were observed. Nonresistant strains displayed growth advantages at temperatures ≥ 25 °C, whereas meropenem-resistant A. baumannii with ß-lactamase OXA-23 exhibited greater resistance to low-temperature (4 °C) stress. Furthermore, at 4 °C, A. baumannii upregulated carbapenem resistance-related genes (adeJ, oxa-51, and oxa-23) and increased meropenem stress tolerance. CONCLUSIONS: Meropenem resistance rates in A. baumannii display seasonality and are negatively correlated with local temperature, with rates peaking in winter, possibly linked to the differential adaptation of resistant and nonresistant isolates to temperature fluctuations. Furthermore, due to significant resistance rate variations between quarters, compiling monthly or quarterly reports might enhance comprehension of antibiotic resistance trends. Consequently, this could assist in formulating strategies to control and prevent resistance within healthcare facilities.


Asunto(s)
Acinetobacter baumannii , Antibacterianos , Meropenem , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana , Estaciones del Año , Temperatura , beta-Lactamasas , Acinetobacter baumannii/efectos de los fármacos , Acinetobacter baumannii/genética , Meropenem/farmacología , Antibacterianos/farmacología , beta-Lactamasas/genética , Adaptación Fisiológica/genética , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana/genética , Humanos , Infecciones por Acinetobacter/microbiología , Proteínas Bacterianas/genética
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