Snatch-and-Grab Inhibitors to Fight the Flu.

Transcription of viral mRNA in cells infected with influenza viruses involves capturing and cleaving the first 10-20 nucleotides of 5' capped host mRNAs to be used as primers in viral RNA synthesis. A newly developed inhibitor of the viral endonuclease responsible for this cap-snatching shows therapeutic efficacy for the treatment of influenza. To view this Bench to Bedside, open or download the PDF.

Human anti-N1 monoclonal antibodies elicited by pandemic H1N1 virus infection broadly inhibit HxN1 viruses in vitro and in vivo.

Neuraminidase (NA) is one of the two influenza virus surface glycoproteins, and antibodies that target it are an independent correlate of protection. However, our current understanding of NA antigenicity is incomplete. Here, we describe human monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) from a patient with a pandemic H1N1 virus infection in 2009. Two mAbs exhibited broad reactivity and inhibited NA enzyme activity of seasonal H1N1 viruses circulating before and after 2009, as well as viruses with avian or swine N1s. The mAbs provided robust protection from lethal challenge with human H1N1 and avian H5N1 viruses in mice, and both target an epitope on the lateral face of NA. In summary, we identified two broadly protective NA antibodies that share a novel epitope, inhibited NA activity, and provide protection against virus challenge in mice. Our work reaffirms that NA should be included as a target in future broadly protective or universal influenza virus vaccines.

High-dimensional characterization of post-acute sequelae of COVID-19.

The acute clinical manifestations of COVID-19 have been well characterized1,2, but the post-acute sequelae of this disease have not been comprehensively described. Here we use the national healthcare databases of the US Department of Veterans Affairs to systematically and comprehensively identify 6-month incident sequelae-including diagnoses, medication use and laboratory abnormalities-in patients with COVID-19 who survived for at least 30 days after diagnosis. We show that beyond the first 30 days of illness, people with COVID-19 exhibit a higher risk of death and use of health resources. Our high-dimensional approach identifies incident sequelae in the respiratory system, as well as several other sequelae that include nervous system and neurocognitive disorders, mental health disorders, metabolic disorders, cardiovascular disorders, gastrointestinal disorders, malaise, fatigue, musculoskeletal pain and anaemia. We show increased incident use of several therapeutic agents-including pain medications (opioids and non-opioids) as well as antidepressant, anxiolytic, antihypertensive and oral hypoglycaemic agents-as well as evidence of laboratory abnormalities in several organ systems. Our analysis of an array of prespecified outcomes reveals a risk gradient that increases according to the severity of the acute COVID-19 infection (that is, whether patients were not hospitalized, hospitalized or admitted to intensive care). Our findings show that a substantial burden of health loss that spans pulmonary and several extrapulmonary organ systems is experienced by patients who survive after the acute phase of COVID-19. These results will help to inform health system planning and the development of multidisciplinary care strategies to reduce chronic health loss among individuals with COVID-19.

Targeted recruitment of immune effector cells for rapid eradication of influenza virus infections.

Despite much research, considerable data suggest that influenza virus remains a serious health problem because i) the effectiveness of current vaccines ranges only from 19% to 60%, ii) available therapies remain ineffective in advanced stages of disease, iii) death rates vary between 25,000 and 72,000/year in the United States, and iv) avian influenza strains are now being transmitted to dairy cattle that in turn are infecting humans. To address these concerns, we have developed zanDR, a bispecific small molecule that binds and inhibits viral neuraminidase expressed on both free virus and virus-infected cells and recruits naturally occurring anti-rhamnose and anti-dinitrophenyl (DNP) antibodies with rhamnose and DNP haptens. Because the neuraminidase inhibition replicates the chemotherapeutic mechanism of zanamivir and oseltamivir, while rhamnose and DNP recruit endogenous antibodies much like an anti-influenza vaccine, zanDR reproduces most of the functions of current methods of protection against influenza virus infections. Importantly, studies on cells in culture demonstrate that both of the above protective mechanisms remain highly functional in the zanDR conjugate, while studies in lethally infected mice with advanced-stage disease establish that a single intranasal dose of zanDR not only yields 100% protection but also reduces lung viral loads faster and ~1,000× more thoroughly than current antiviral therapies. Since zanDR also lowers secretion of proinflammatory cytokines and protects against virus-induced damage to the lungs better than current therapies, we suggest that combining an immunotherapy with a chemotherapy in single pharmacological agent constitutes a promising approach for treating the more challenging forms of influenza.

Ultrapotent influenza hemagglutinin fusion inhibitors developed through SuFEx-enabled high-throughput medicinal chemistry.

Seasonal and pandemic-associated influenza strains cause highly contagious viral respiratory infections that can lead to severe illness and excess mortality. Here, we report on the optimization of our small-molecule inhibitor F0045(S) targeting the influenza hemagglutinin (HA) stem with our Sulfur-Fluoride Exchange (SuFEx) click chemistry-based high-throughput medicinal chemistry (HTMC) strategy. A combination of SuFEx- and amide-based lead molecule diversification and structure-guided design led to identification and validation of ultrapotent influenza fusion inhibitors with subnanomolar EC50 cellular antiviral activity against several influenza A group 1 strains. X-ray structures of six of these compounds with HA indicate that the appended moieties occupy additional pockets on the HA surface and increase the binding interaction, where the accumulation of several polar interactions also contributes to the improved affinity. The compounds here represent the most potent HA small-molecule inhibitors to date. Our divergent HTMC platform is therefore a powerful, rapid, and cost-effective approach to develop bioactive chemical probes and drug-like candidates against viral targets.

Interferon-λ Mediates Non-redundant Front-Line Antiviral Protection against Influenza Virus Infection without Compromising Host Fitness.

Lambda interferons (IFNλs) or type III IFNs share homology, expression patterns, signaling cascades, and antiviral functions with type I IFNs. This has complicated the unwinding of their unique non-redundant roles. Through the systematic study of influenza virus infection in mice, we herein show that IFNλs are the first IFNs produced that act at the epithelial barrier to suppress initial viral spread without activating inflammation. If infection progresses, type I IFNs come into play to enhance viral resistance and induce pro-inflammatory responses essential for confronting infection but causing immunopathology. Central to this are neutrophils which respond to both cytokines to upregulate antimicrobial functions but exhibit pro-inflammatory activation only to type I IFNs. Accordingly, Ifnlr1-/- mice display enhanced type I IFN production, neutrophilia, lung injury, and lethality, while therapeutic administration of PEG-IFNλ potently suppresses these effects. IFNλs therefore constitute the front line of antiviral defense in the lung without compromising host fitness.

Fc-optimized antibodies elicit CD8 immunity to viral respiratory infection.

Antibodies against viral pathogens represent promising therapeutic agents for the control of infection, and their antiviral efficacy has been shown to require the coordinated function of both the Fab and Fc domains1. The Fc domain engages a wide spectrum of receptors on discrete cells of the immune system to trigger the clearance of viruses and subsequent killing of infected cells1-4. Here we report that Fc engineering of anti-influenza IgG monoclonal antibodies for selective binding to the activating Fcγ receptor FcγRIIa results in enhanced ability to prevent or treat lethal viral respiratory infection in mice, with increased maturation of dendritic cells and the induction of protective CD8+ T cell responses. These findings highlight the capacity for IgG antibodies to induce protective adaptive immunity to viral infection when they selectively activate a dendritic cell and T cell pathway, with important implications for the development of therapeutic antibodies with improved antiviral efficacy against viral respiratory pathogens.

Multimodeling approach to evaluating the efficacy of layering pharmaceutical and nonpharmaceutical interventions for influenza pandemics.

When an influenza pandemic emerges, temporary school closures and antiviral treatment may slow virus spread, reduce the overall disease burden, and provide time for vaccine development, distribution, and administration while keeping a larger portion of the general population infection free. The impact of such measures will depend on the transmissibility and severity of the virus and the timing and extent of their implementation. To provide robust assessments of layered pandemic intervention strategies, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) funded a network of academic groups to build a framework for the development and comparison of multiple pandemic influenza models. Research teams from Columbia University, Imperial College London/Princeton University, Northeastern University, the University of Texas at Austin/Yale University, and the University of Virginia independently modeled three prescribed sets of pandemic influenza scenarios developed collaboratively by the CDC and network members. Results provided by the groups were aggregated into a mean-based ensemble. The ensemble and most component models agreed on the ranking of the most and least effective intervention strategies by impact but not on the magnitude of those impacts. In the scenarios evaluated, vaccination alone, due to the time needed for development, approval, and deployment, would not be expected to substantially reduce the numbers of illnesses, hospitalizations, and deaths that would occur. Only strategies that included early implementation of school closure were found to substantially mitigate early spread and allow time for vaccines to be developed and administered, especially under a highly transmissible pandemic scenario.

Antivirals for treatment of severe influenza: a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.

BACKGROUND: The optimal antiviral drug for treatment of severe influenza remains unclear. To support updated WHO influenza clinical guidelines, this systematic review and network meta-analysis evaluated antivirals for treatment of patients with severe influenza. METHODS: We systematically searched MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Global Health, Epistemonikos, and ClinicalTrials.gov for randomised controlled trials published up to Sept 20, 2023, that enrolled hospitalised patients with suspected or laboratory-confirmed influenza and compared direct-acting influenza antivirals against placebo, standard care, or another antiviral. Pairs of coauthors independently extracted data on study characteristics, patient characteristics, antiviral characteristics, and outcomes, with discrepancies resolved by discussion or by a third coauthor. Key outcomes of interest were time to alleviation of symptoms, duration of hospitalisation, admission to intensive care unit, progression to invasive mechanical ventilation, duration of mechanical ventilation, mortality, hospital discharge destination, emergence of antiviral resistance, adverse events, adverse events related to treatments, and serious adverse events. We conducted frequentist network meta-analyses to summarise the evidence and evaluated the certainty of evidence using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) approach. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42023456650. FINDINGS: Of 11 878 records identified by our search, eight trials with 1424 participants (mean age 36-60 years for trials that reported mean or median age; 43-78% male patients) were included in this systematic review, of which six were included in the network meta-analysis. The effects of oseltamivir, peramivir, or zanamivir on mortality compared with placebo or standard care without placebo for seasonal and zoonotic influenza were of very low certainty. Compared with placebo or standard care, we found low certainty evidence that duration of hospitalisation for seasonal influenza was reduced with oseltamivir (mean difference -1·63 days, 95% CI -2·81 to -0·45) and peramivir (-1·73 days, -3·33 to -0·13). Compared with standard care, there was little or no difference in time to alleviation of symptoms with oseltamivir (0·34 days, -0·86 to 1·54; low certainty evidence) or peramivir (-0·05 days, -0·69 to 0·59; low certainty evidence). There were no differences in adverse events or serious adverse events with oseltamivir, peramivir, and zanamivir (very low certainty evidence). Uncertainty remains about the effects of antivirals on other outcomes for patients with severe influenza. Due to the small number of eligible trials, we could not test for publication bias. INTERPRETATION: In hospitalised patients with severe influenza, oseltamivir and peramivir might reduce duration of hospitalisation compared with standard care or placebo, although the certainty of evidence is low. The effects of all antivirals on mortality and other important patient outcomes are very uncertain due to scarce data from randomised controlled trials. FUNDING: World Health Organization.

Antibody inhibition of influenza A virus assembly and release.

Antibodies are frontline defenders against influenza virus infection, providing protection through multiple complementary mechanisms. Although a subset of monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) has been shown to restrict replication at the level of virus assembly and release, it remains unclear how potent and pervasive this mechanism of protection is, due in part to the challenge of separating this effect from other aspects of antibody function. To address this question, we developed imaging-based assays to determine how effectively a broad range of mAbs against the IAV surface proteins can specifically restrict viral egress. We find that classically neutralizing antibodies against hemagglutinin are broadly multifunctional, inhibiting virus assembly and release at concentrations 1-20-fold higher than the concentrations at which they inhibit viral entry. These antibodies are also capable of altering the morphological features of shed virions, reducing the proportion of filamentous particles. We find that antibodies against neuraminidase and M2 also restrict viral egress and that inhibition by anti-neuraminidase mAbs is only partly attributable to a loss in enzymatic activity. In all cases, antigen crosslinking-either on the surface of the infected cell, between the viral and cell membrane, or both-plays a critical role in inhibition, and we are able to distinguish between these modes experimentally and through a structure-based computational model. Together, these results provide a framework for dissecting antibody multifunctionality that could help guide the development of improved therapeutic antibodies or vaccines and that can be extended to other viral families and antibody isotypes.IMPORTANCEAntibodies against influenza A virus provide multifaceted protection against infection. Although sensitive and quantitative assays are widely used to measure inhibition of viral attachment and entry, the ability of diverse antibodies to inhibit viral egress is less clear. We address this challenge by developing an imaging-based approach to measure antibody inhibition of virus release across a panel of monoclonal antibodies targeting the influenza A virus surface proteins. Using this approach, we find that inhibition of viral egress is common and can have similar potency to the ability of an antibody to inhibit viral entry. Insights into this understudied aspect of antibody function may help guide the development of improved countermeasures.

4'-Fluorouridine mitigates lethal infection with pandemic human and highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses.

Influenza outbreaks are associated with substantial morbidity, mortality and economic burden. Next generation antivirals are needed to treat seasonal infections and prepare against zoonotic spillover of avian influenza viruses with pandemic potential. Having previously identified oral efficacy of the nucleoside analog 4'-Fluorouridine (4'-FlU, EIDD-2749) against SARS-CoV-2 and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), we explored activity of the compound against seasonal and highly pathogenic influenza (HPAI) viruses in cell culture, human airway epithelium (HAE) models, and/or two animal models, ferrets and mice, that assess IAV transmission and lethal viral pneumonia, respectively. 4'-FlU inhibited a panel of relevant influenza A and B viruses with nanomolar to sub-micromolar potency in HAE cells. In vitro polymerase assays revealed immediate chain termination of IAV polymerase after 4'-FlU incorporation, in contrast to delayed chain termination of SARS-CoV-2 and RSV polymerase. Once-daily oral treatment of ferrets with 2 mg/kg 4'-FlU initiated 12 hours after infection rapidly stopped virus shedding and prevented transmission to untreated sentinels. Treatment of mice infected with a lethal inoculum of pandemic A/CA/07/2009 (H1N1)pdm09 (pdmCa09) with 4'-FlU alleviated pneumonia. Three doses mediated complete survival when treatment was initiated up to 60 hours after infection, indicating a broad time window for effective intervention. Therapeutic oral 4'-FlU ensured survival of animals infected with HPAI A/VN/12/2003 (H5N1) and of immunocompromised mice infected with pdmCa09. Recoverees were protected against homologous reinfection. This study defines the mechanistic foundation for high sensitivity of influenza viruses to 4'-FlU and supports 4'-FlU as developmental candidate for the treatment of seasonal and pandemic influenza.

Dual neutralization of influenza virus hemagglutinin and neuraminidase by a bispecific antibody leads to improved antiviral activity.

Targeting multiple viral proteins is pivotal for sustained suppression of highly mutable viruses. In recent years, broadly neutralizing antibodies that target the influenza virus hemagglutinin and neuraminidase glycoproteins have been developed, and antibody monotherapy has been tested in preclinical and clinical studies to treat or prevent influenza virus infection. However, the impact of dual neutralization of the hemagglutinin and neuraminidase on the course of infection, as well as its therapeutic potential, has not been thoroughly tested. For this purpose, we generated a bispecific antibody that neutralizes both the hemagglutinin and the neuraminidase of influenza viruses. We demonstrated that this bispecific antibody has a dual-antiviral activity as it blocks infection and prevents the release of progeny viruses from the infected cells. We show that dual neutralization of the hemagglutinin and the neuraminidase by a bispecific antibody is advantageous over monoclonal antibody combination as it resulted an improved neutralization capacity and augmented the antibody effector functions. Notably, the bispecific antibody showed enhanced antiviral activity in influenza virus-infected mice, reduced mice mortality, and limited the virus mutation profile upon antibody administration. Thus, dual neutralization of the hemagglutinin and neuraminidase could be effective in controlling influenza virus infection.

Antiviral Approaches against Influenza Virus.

Preventing and controlling influenza virus infection remains a global public health challenge, as it causes seasonal epidemics to unexpected pandemics. These infections are responsible for high morbidity, mortality, and substantial economic impact. Vaccines are the prophylaxis mainstay in the fight against influenza. However, vaccination fails to confer complete protection due to inadequate vaccination coverages, vaccine shortages, and mismatches with circulating strains. Antivirals represent an important prophylactic and therapeutic measure to reduce influenza-associated morbidity and mortality, particularly in high-risk populations. Here, we review current FDA-approved influenza antivirals with their mechanisms of action, and different viral- and host-directed influenza antiviral approaches, including immunomodulatory interventions in clinical development. Furthermore, we also illustrate the potential utility of machine learning in developing next-generation antivirals against influenza.

Multicountry Spread of Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 Viruses with Reduced Oseltamivir Inhibition, May 2023-February 2024.

Since May 2023, a novel combination of neuraminidase mutations, I223V + S247N, has been detected in influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses collected in countries spanning 5 continents, mostly in Europe (67/101). The viruses belong to 2 phylogenetically distinct groups and display ≈13-fold reduced inhibition by oseltamivir while retaining normal susceptibility to other antiviral drugs.

Antiviral Susceptibility of Swine-Origin Influenza A Viruses Isolated from Humans, United States.

Since 2013, a total of 167 human infections with swine-origin (variant) influenza A viruses of A(H1N1)v, A(H1N2)v, and A(H3N2)v subtypes have been reported in the United States. Analysis of 147 genome sequences revealed that nearly all had S31N substitution, an M2 channel blocker-resistance marker, whereas neuraminidase inhibitor-resistance markers were not found. Two viruses had a polymerase acidic substitution (I38M or E199G) associated with decreased susceptibility to baloxavir, an inhibitor of viral cap-dependent endonuclease (CEN). Using phenotypic assays, we established subtype-specific susceptibility baselines for neuraminidase and CEN inhibitors. When compared with either baseline or CEN-sequence-matched controls, only the I38M substitution decreased baloxavir susceptibility, by 27-fold. Human monoclonal antibodies FI6v3 and CR9114 targeting the hemagglutinin's stem showed variable (0.03 to >10 µg/mL) neutralizing activity toward variant viruses, even within the same clade. Methodology and interpretation of laboratory data described in this study provide information for risk assessment and decision-making on therapeutic control measures.

A phase 1 study in healthy volunteers to investigate the safety, tolerability, and pharmacokinetics of VIR-2482: a monoclonal antibody for the prevention of severe influenza A illness.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics (PK), and immunogenicity of VIR-2482 in healthy adult subjects. A phase 1, first-in-human, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled dose-escalation study was conducted. One hundred participants were allocated to four cohorts (60 mg, 300 mg, 1,200 mg, and 1,800 mg). In each cohort, participants were randomized in a 4:1 ratio (active:placebo) to receive either VIR-2482 or volume-matched placebo by gluteal intramuscular injection. Participants remained at the investigative site under observation for 48 h, and adverse events (AEs) were collected for 56 days. PK and immunogenicity were measured up to 52 weeks post-dose. VIR-2482 was well tolerated at all doses studied. The overall incidence of AEs was comparable between VIR-2482 (68.8%) and placebo (85.0%). Nineteen VIR-2482 (23.8%) and six placebo (30.0%) recipients had Grade 1 or 2 AEs that were considered to be related to the study intervention. There were no treatment-related serious AEs. Injection-site reactions (ISRs) were reported in six (7.5%) VIR-2482 recipients, while no such reactions were reported among the placebo recipients. All ISRs were Grade 1, and there was no relationship with the dose. Median VIR-2482 serum elimination half-life ranged from 56.7 to 70.6 days across cohorts. The serum area under the curve and Cmax were dose-proportional. Nasopharyngeal VIR-2482 concentrations were approximately 2%-5% of serum levels and were less than dose-proportional. The incidence of immunogenicity across all cohorts was 1.3%. Overall, the safety, tolerability, and pharmacokinetic profile of VIR-2482 at doses up to 1,800 mg supported its further investigation as a long-acting antibody for the prevention of influenza A illness. This study has been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov under identifier NCT04033406.

A panel of janus kinase inhibitors identified with anti-inflammatory effects protect mice from lethal influenza virus infection.

Influenza remains a significant threat to public health. In severe cases, excessive inflammation can lead to severe pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome, contributing to patient morbidity and mortality. While antivirals can be effective if administered early, current anti-inflammatory drugs have limited success in treating severe cases. Therefore, discovering new anti-inflammatory agents to inhibit influenza-related inflammatory diseases is crucial. Herein, we screened a drug library with known targets using a human monocyte U937 infected with the influenza virus to identify novel anti-inflammatory agents. We also evaluated the anti-inflammatory effects of the hit compounds in an influenza mouse model. Our research revealed that JAK inhibitors exhibited a higher hit rate and more potent inhibition effect than inhibitors targeting other drug targets in vitro. Of the 22 JAK inhibitors tested, 15 exhibited robust anti-inflammatory activity against influenza virus infection in vitro. Subsequently, we evaluated the efficacy of 10 JAK inhibitors using an influenza mouse model and observed that seven provided protection ranging from 40% to 70% against lethal influenza virus infection. We selected oclacitinib as a representative compound for an extensive study to further investigate the in vivo therapeutic potential of JAK inhibitors for severe influenza-associated inflammation. Our results revealed that oclacitinib effectively suppressed neutrophil and macrophage infiltration, reduced pro-inflammatory cytokine production, and ultimately mitigated lung injury in mice infected with lethal influenza virus without impacting viral titer. These findings suggest that JAK inhibitors can modulate immune responses to influenza virus infection and may serve as potential treatments for influenza.IMPORTANCEAntivirals exhibit limited efficacy in treating severe influenza when not administered promptly during the infection. Current steroidal and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs demonstrate restricted effectiveness against severe influenza or are associated with significant side effects. Therefore, there is an urgent need for novel anti-inflammatory agents that possess high potency and minimal adverse reactions. In this study, 15 JAK inhibitors were identified through a screening process based on their anti-inflammatory activity against influenza virus infection in vitro. Remarkably, 7 of the 10 selected inhibitors exhibited protective effects against lethal influenza virus infection in mice, thereby highlighting the potential therapeutic value of JAK inhibitors for treating influenza.

Microsecond dynamics of H10N7 influenza neuraminidase reveals the plasticity of loop regions and drug resistance due to the R292K mutation.

At the beginning of the last century, multiple pandemics caused by influenza (flu) viruses severely impacted public health. Despite the development of vaccinations and antiviral medications to prevent and control impending flu outbreaks, unforeseen novel strains and continuously evolving old strains continue to represent a serious threat to human life. Therefore, the recently identified H10N7, for which not much data is available for rational structure-based drug design, needs to be further explored. Here, we investigated the structural dynamics of neuraminidase N7 upon binding of inhibitors, and the drug resistance mechanisms against the oseltamivir (OTV) and laninamivir (LNV) antivirals due to the crucial R292K mutation on the N7 using the computational microscope, molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. In this study, each system underwent long 2 × 1 µs MD simulations to answer the conformational changes and drug resistance mechanisms. These long time-scale dynamics simulations and free energy landscapes demonstrated that the mutant systems showed a high degree of conformational variation compared to their wildtype (WT) counterparts, and the LNV-bound mutant exhibited an extended 150-loop conformation. Further, the molecular mechanics Poisson-Boltzmann surface area (MM/PBSA) calculation and MM/GBSA free energy decomposition were used to characterize the binding of OTV and LNV with WT, and R292K mutated N7, revealing the R292K mutation as drug-resistant, facilitated by a decline in binding interaction and a reduction in the dehydration penalty. Due to the broader binding pocket cavity of the smaller K292 mutant residue relative to the wildtype, the drug carboxylate to K292 hydrogen bonding was lost, and the area surrounding the K292 residue was more accessible to water molecules. This implies that drug resistance could be reduced by strengthening the hydrogen bond contacts between N7 inhibitors and altered N7, creating inhibitors that can form a hydrogen bond to the mutant K292, or preserving the closed cavity conformations.

Pharmacoeconomic study of anti-influenza virus drugs in Japan based on a network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: An analysis was conducted in Japan to determine the most cost-effective neuraminidase inhibitor for the treatment of influenza virus infections from the healthcare payer's standpoint. OBJECTIVE: This study reanalysed the findings of a previous study that had some limitations (no probabilistic sensitivity analysis and quality of life scores measured by the EQ-5D-3L instead of the EQ-5D-5L) and used a decision tree model with only three health conditions. METHODS: This study incorporated new data from a network meta-analysis study into the first examination. The second examination involved constructing a new decision tree model encompassing seven health conditions and identifying costs, which consisted of medical costs and drug prices based on the 2020 version of the Japanese medical fee index. Effectiveness outcomes were measured using EQ-5D-5L questionnaires for adult patients with a history of influenza virus infections within a 14-day time horizon. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to examine the uncertainty. RESULTS: In the first examination, the base-case cost-effectiveness analysis confirmed that oseltamivir outperformed laninamivir, zanamivir and peramivir, making it the most cost-effective neuraminidase inhibitor. The second examination revealed that oseltamivir dominated the other agents. Both deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed robust results that validated oseltamivir as the most cost effective among the four neuraminidase inhibitors. CONCLUSIONS: This study thus reaffirms oseltamivir's position as the most cost-effective neuraminidase inhibitor for the treatment of influenza virus infections in Japan from the perspective of healthcare payment. These findings can help decision makers and healthcare providers in Japan.

Impact of Baloxavir Resistance-Associated Substitutions on Influenza Virus Growth and Drug Susceptibility.

Baloxavir marboxil (baloxavir) is a recently FDA-approved influenza virus polymerase acidic (PA) endonuclease inhibitor. Several PA substitutions have been demonstrated to confer reduced susceptibility to baloxavir; however, their impacts on measurements of antiviral drug susceptibility and replication capacity when present as a fraction of the viral population have not been established. We generated recombinant A/California/04/09 (H1N1)-like viruses (IAV) with PA I38L, I38T, or E199D substitutions and B/Victoria/504/2000-like virus (IBV) with PA I38T. These substitutions reduced baloxavir susceptibility by 15.3-, 72.3-, 5.4-, and 54.5-fold, respectively, when tested in normal human bronchial epithelial (NHBE) cells. We then assessed the replication kinetics, polymerase activity, and baloxavir susceptibility of the wild-type:mutant (WT:MUT) virus mixtures in NHBE cells. The percentage of MUT relative to WT virus necessary to detect reduced baloxavir susceptibility in phenotypic assays ranged from 10% (IBV I38T) to 92% (IAV E199D). While I38T did not alter IAV replication kinetics or polymerase activity, IAV PA I38L and E199D MUTs and the IBV PA I38T MUT exhibited reduced replication levels and significantly altered polymerase activity. Differences in replication were detectable when the MUTs comprised ≥90%, ≥90%, or ≥75% of the population, respectively. Droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) and next-generation sequencing (NGS) analyses showed that WT viruses generally outcompeted the respective MUTs after multiple replication cycles and serial passaging in NHBE cells when initial mixtures contained ≥50% of the WT viruses; however, we also identified potential compensatory substitutions (IAV PA D394N and IBV PA E329G) that emerged and appeared to improve the replication capacity of baloxavir-resistant virus in cell culture. IMPORTANCE Baloxavir marboxil, an influenza virus polymerase acidic endonuclease inhibitor, represents a recently approved new class of influenza antivirals. Treatment-emergent resistance to baloxavir has been observed in clinical trials, and the potential spread of resistant variants could diminish baloxavir effectiveness. Here, we report the impact of the proportion of drug-resistant subpopulations on the ability to detect resistance in clinical isolates and the impact of substitutions on viral replication of mixtures containing both drug-sensitive and drug-resistant variants. We also show that ddPCR and NGS methods can be successfully used for detection of resistant subpopulations in clinical isolates and to quantify their relative abundance. Taken together, our data shed light on the potential impact of baloxavir-resistant I38T/L and E199D substitutions on baloxavir susceptibility and other biological properties of influenza virus and the ability to detect resistance in phenotypic and genotypic assays.