Prevalence and factors associated with thyroid autoimmunity among children newly diagnosed with type 1 diabetes before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Kuwait.

AIMS: This study reports the prevalence and characteristics related to the development of thyroid autoimmunity among children newly diagnosed with type I diabetes (T1D) during the COVID-19 pandemic in Kuwait. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a prospective observational study of all children under age 14 years newly diagnosed with T1D in Kuwait. We define the duration of the COVID-19 pandemic from the official declaration of the first identified positive COVID-19 case on 24 February 2020 until 31 December 2022. For comparison, we use the time period directly before the COVID-19 pandemic, 1 January 2017 to 23 February 2020. RESULTS: One thousand twenty-four (1024) children newly diagnosed with T1D in Kuwait during the study period were included. Among newly diagnosed children, 20.3% tested positive for thyroid antibodies during the COVID-19 pandemic, compared with 14.5% during the pre-pandemic period (p = 0.015). Children with positive COVID-19 status were more likely to present with thyroid antibodies (p = 0.035). After adjusting for other characteristics, patients diagnosed with T1D during the COVID-19 pandemic had double the odds of testing positive for thyroid antibodies (Adjusted odds ratio = 2.173, 95%CI: 1.108, 4.261, p = 0.024). CONCLUSIONS: Incident cases of T1D during the COVID-19 pandemic may be different in aetiology or contextual factors leading to a higher risk of thyroid autoimmunity. Longitudinal studies are needed to understand the role of COVID-19 in the onset and progression of T1D and on thyroid autoimmunity and disease.

Early onset of Type 1 Diabetes in Kuwait: Distinct Clinical, Metabolic and Immunological characteristics.

OBJECTIVE: Exploring early onset diabetes in terms of describing characteristics at time of diagnosis might aid in a better understanding of etiology and may have implications on management and prevention. The aim of this study is to investigate the prevalence of early onset Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) in Kuwait as well as describe their baseline clinical, biochemical, and immunological characteristics. METHODS: Medical records of children newly diagnosed with T1D and registered in the Childhood-Onset Diabetes electronic Registry (CODeR) in Kuwait between 2017-2022 were reviewed. Early onset T1D was defined as diagnosis at age younger than 6 years. RESULTS: 2051 children were registered with new-onset T1D between 2017-2022 of which 657 (32.0%) were diagnosed at early onset. There has been a trend of slight increase in the percentage of early onset T1D after 2020 (15.2%) with a prevalence of 18.4% and 20.2% in 2021 and 2022 respectively (p = 0.056). Age at onset was inversely related to admission to the PICU (OR = 0.90, 95%CI 0.85, 0.95, p < 0.0001) and was directly related to positive celiac autoimmunity (p = 0.022), higher HbA1C (p < 0.0001) and C-peptide levels (p < 0.0001). However, age at onset of T1D was inversely related to the higher Vitamin D levels (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: These findings reinforce the need for increased attention to be given to study the development of T1D in children of younger age. This in turn will support special management and prevention measures targeted towards this vulnerable age group.

Higher rates of diabetic ketoacidosis and admission to the paediatric intensive care unit among newly diagnosed children with type 1 diabetes in Kuwait during the COVID-19 pandemic.

INTRODUCTION: The COVID-19 pandemic might have a multifaceted effect on children with type 1 diabetes (T1D), either directly through infection itself or indirectly due to measures implemented by health authorities to control the pandemic. OBJECTIVE: To compare data on children newly diagnosed with T1D in Kuwait during the COVID-19 pandemic to the pre-pandemic period. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We analysed data on children aged 12 years or less registered in the Childhood-Onset Diabetes electronic Registry (CODeR) in Kuwait. Data were incidence rate (IR), diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), and its severity and admission to the paediatric intensive care unit (PICU). RESULTS: The IR of T1D was 40.2 per 100,000 (95% CI; 36.0-44.8) during the COVID-19 pandemic period and was not statistically different from pre-pandemic. A higher proportion of incident T1D cases presented with DKA and were admitted to the PICU during the pandemic (52.2% vs. 37.8%: p Ë‚ 0.001, 19.8% vs. 10.9%; p = 0.002, respectively). The COVID-19 pandemic was positively associated with presentation of DKA and admission to PICU (AOR = 1.73; 95% CI, 1.13-2.65; p = 0.012, AOR = 2.04; 95% CI, 1.13-3.67; p = 0.018, respectively). Children of families with a positive history for diabetes were less likely to present with DKA and get admitted to the PICU during the COVID-19 pandemic (AOR = 0.38; 95% CI, 0.20-0.74; p = 0.004, AOR = 0.22; 95% CI, 0.08-0.61; p = 0.004, respectively). CONCLUSION: High rates of DKA at presentation and admission to PICU in incident T1D cases during the COVID-19 pandemic warrant further studies and effective mitigation efforts through increasing awareness, early detection, and timely intervention.

The Pediatric COVID-19 Registry in Kuwait: Methodology and Results of Pilot Phase.

OBJECTIVE: Establishing a pediatric COVID-19 registry in Kuwait (PCR-Q8) was deemed imperative during the pandemic to study children infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) focusing on mode of presentation, therapeutic interventions, disease severity, and early outcomes. This manuscript describes the rapid establishment of the PCR-Q8 registry showcasing an infrastructure of the development process and presents the results of the pilot phase. SUBJECT AND METHODS: The registry was developed and implemented using the general key steps from a resource titled "Registries for Evaluating Patient Outcomes: A User's Guide" as a guide for best practice, experience from a previously established pediatric diabetes registry in Kuwait and several other COVID-19 registries developed globally. During the pilot phase, a convenience sample of 120 children was included, of whom 66 (55%) were male. RESULTS: Experience and expertise from other COVID-19 registries; guidance provided by the World Health Organization; and effective collaboration and cooperation between the stakeholders, study group, and data enterers during these challenging times were critical for the development and implementation of the registry. Our results were similar to international reports which showed that most children presented with mild disease (69.2%), majority (70.2%) had normal chest X-ray, and the most common symptom at presentation was fever (77%). CONCLUSION: We anticipate the development of PCR-Q8 to be a stepping-stone for more in-depth investigation of SARS-CoV-2 infection in children in Kuwait and for the establishment of other registries.

Incidence of type 1 diabetes has doubled in Kuwaiti children 0-14 years over the last 20 years.

AIMS: This study had 2 aims: to report data on the incidence of childhood-onset type 1 diabetes in Kuwaiti children aged 0-14 years during 2011 to 2013 and to compare the recent data with those collected during 1992 to 1997. METHODS: All newly diagnosed patients were registered through the Childhood-Onset Diabetes eRegistry (CODeR) in 2011-2013, based on the DiaMond protocol used in 1992-1997. RESULTS: A total of 515 Kuwaiti children (247 boys and 268 girls) aged 0-14 years newly diagnosed with type 1 diabetes were registered from 1 January 2011 to 31 December 2013. Data ascertainment were 96.7%. The mean age ± SD at diagnosis was 8.7 ± 3.4 years in boys and 7.9 ± 3.1 years in girls. The crude incidence rate (95% CI) was 40.9 (37.4-44.6) and the age standardized rate 41.7 (95% 38.1-45.4) per 100,000 per year, 39.3 (34.6-44.4) among boys and 44.1 (39.0-49.7) among girls. A statistically significant increasing trend in incidence was observed as the overall crude incidence rose from 17.7 in 1992-1994 to 40.9 per 100,000 per year in 2011-2013. The Poisson regression model depicting the trend in incidence revealed that, the incidence rates adjusted for age and sex in 2011 to 2013 was 2.3 (95% CI 1.9-2.7) times higher than 1992-1997. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of type 1 diabetes in Kuwaiti children 0-14 years has doubled in the last 2 decades. The reasons for this increase requires further investigation.

Recombinant growth hormone therapy in children with short stature in Kuwait: a cross-sectional study of use and treatment outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Recombinant Growth hormone (rGH) therapy is approved in many countries for treatment of short stature in a number of childhood diagnoses. Despite the increasing body of international literature on rGH use, there is paucity of data on rGH use in Kuwait and the broader Middle-East which share unique ethnic and socio-cultural backgrounds. This study aimed to describe the pattern of use and treatment outcomes of rGH therapy in Kuwait. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional retrospective review of children treated with rGH in the Department of Pediatrics, in a major hospital in Kuwait between December 2013 and December 2014. Data were extracted using standard data extraction form and the response to rGH therapy was defined as a gain of ≥ 0.3 standard deviation score (SDS) of height per year. RESULTS: A total of 60 children were treated with rGH in the center. Their Median (Interquartile) age at rGH initiation was 9.0 (6.2, 10.7) years. The most common indications for rGH therapy were Growth Hormone Deficiency (GHD) 23 (38.3 %), Idiopathic Short Stature (ISS) 12 (20.0 %) and Small for Gestational Age (SGA) 9 (15.0 %). After excluding patients with TS, no significant differences were found in gender of those who received rGH therapy in all indications combined or in each group (p ≥ 0.40). At 1-year follow-up, children in all groups had median height SDS change of ≥ 0.3 SDS except for children with ISS. Age at rGH initiation was negatively associated with 1-year treatment response, Adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 0.56 (95 % CI: 0.04-1.49); p = 0.011). CONCLUSIONS: GHD is the most common indication of rGH therapy. All indications except for ISS showed significant 1-year treatment response to therapy. Treatment outcomes in patients with ISS should be further investigated in Kuwait. Younger age at initiation of rGH therapy was independently associated with significant response to therapy suggesting the importance of identifying children with short stature and prompt initiation of rGH therapy.

Advanced medical students' experiences and views on professionalism at Kuwait University.

BACKGROUND: Professionalism is a core competency in the medical profession worldwide. Numerous studies investigate how this competency is taught and learned. However, there are few reports on the students' views and experiences with professionalism especially in the Arab world. Our aim was to explore the experiences and views of Kuwait final-year medical students on professionalism. METHODS: This was a questionnaire study of final-year medical students at Kuwait University (n = 95). Open- and close-ended questions were used to determine the students' experiences and views on: definition, teaching, learning, and assessment of professionalism. RESULTS: Eighty-five of the students completed the questionnaire (89.5%). A total of 252 attributes defining professionalism were listed by our respondents. The majority (98.0%) of these attributes were categorized under the CanMEDS theme describing professionalism as commitment to patients, profession, and society through ethical practice. The most helpful methods in learning about professionalism for the students were contact with positive role models, patients and families, and with their own families, relatives and peers. The students' rating of the quality and quantity of teaching professionalism in the institution was quite variable. Despite this, 68.2% of the students felt very or somewhat comfortable explaining the meaning of medical professionalism to junior medical students. Almost half of the students felt that their education had always or sometimes helped them deal with professionally-challenging situations. Majority (77.6%) of the students thought that their academic assessments should include assessment of professionalism and should be used as a selection criterion in their future academic careers (62.3%). Most of the students discussed and sought advice regarding professionally-challenging situations from their fellow medical students and colleagues. Seventy-five (88.2%) students did not know which organizational body in the institution deals with matters pertaining to medical professionalism. CONCLUSION: This study highlights the influence of the curriculum, the hidden curriculum, and culture on medical students' perception of professionalism. Medical educators should take in account such influences when teaching and assessing professionalism. Future research should aim at creating a framework of competencies that addresses professionalism in a context suitable for the Arabian culture.

Lessons Learned From COVID-19 Lockdown: An ASPED/MENA Study on Lifestyle Changes and Quality of Life During Ramadan Fasting in Children and Adolescents Living With Type 1 Diabetes.

Background: Lockdown was a unique experience that affected many aspects of life, particularly during the challenge of Ramadan fasting (RF). Studying this can increase understanding of the effects of lifestyle changes on quality of life (QoL) for children with type 1 diabetes (T1D) during RF. Methods: A cross-sectional study that assessed the effect of lockdown on lifestyle and QoL on fasting children living with T1D during Ramadan in the Middle East and North Africa region (2020-2021). We compared the child (self) and parent (proxy) reports using PEDQoL v3.0 disease specific questionnaire during lockdown and non-lockdown periods, and assessed correlations with lifestyle changes using regression and gap analyses. Results: A total of 998 reports from 499 children with T1D aged 8 to 18 years (study = 276, control = 223), and their parents during RF in lockdown and non-lockdown periods. Fathers were more involved in their children's care during lockdown (P = .019). Patients had better compliance with treatment (P = .002), a reversed sleep pattern (P = .033), increased food intake (P ⩽ .001), and less exercise (P < .001). Children and parents perceived better QoL during lockdown (P ⩽.001) with no differences between their reports in "Diabetes Symptoms", "Treatment Adherence," and "Communication" domains. Self and proxy reports were different in all domains during non-lockdown (P = <.001-.009). In gap analysis, although not statistically significant, the gap was approximated between children's and parents' perceptions in all domains during lockdown. Conclusion: COVID-19 lockdown had a positive impact on QoL of children living with T1D during RF, possibly due to lifestyle changes and superior psychosocial family dynamics.

Health-related quality of life of children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes during the COVID-19 pandemic in Kuwait.

Background: With the rapid transmission of COVID-19 globally, countries have implemented strict governmental measures and social distancing rules that aimed to minimize the spread of the virus. School closures, quarantine orders, and social isolation, coupled with a surge in family stress and lack of peer interactions, are probable causes of mental health complications and psychological symptoms faced by children. This study aims at comparing the HRQoL of children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes (T1D) and affected by COVID-19 infection (personal or familial) and those who were not affected by COVID-19. Materials and methods: A random sample was selected from children and adolescents diagnosed with T1D at the six major governmental diabetes centers in Kuwait. To measure HRQoL, parent-proxy and self-reports from the Pediatric Quality of Life Inventory (PedsQLTM) 3.0 Diabetes Module were used. Results: A sample of 455 children and adolescents with T1D diabetes (44.6% male participants and 41.98% affected by COVID-19 infection) was studied. The total score of the HRQoL self-reports was significantly higher compared with parent-proxy reports (79.06 ± 15.19 vs. 73.79 ± 15.17, p < 0.01). Children reported significantly higher HRQoL scores in the "treatment I" domain and "worry" domain and lower scores in the "diabetes" symptoms domain, compared with their parents' reports (p < 0.01). In the COVID-19-affected group, a major difference was noticed between the total scores of children and parent-proxy reports (77.04 ± 15.81 vs. 72.80±14.90, p = 0.047). The affected children reported significantly lower scores in "diabetes" symptoms (59.50) (p < 0.01) and higher scores in the "treatment I" domain (81.43) than their parent-proxy reports (72.05) (p < 0.01). Conclusion: This is the first report on the health-related quality of life of children with T1D in Kuwait during the COVID-19 era. Parents' or caregivers' experience of caring for their children was negative, as they worried, and reported poorer HRQoL compared with their children's perceptions. There is a need to empower healthcare professionals to support parents and caregivers of children with chronic diseases such as T1D in promoting self-management, enhancing physical and psychological wellbeing, treatment adherence, and continuous health education during pandemics of any kind.

Epidemiological trends in the presentation of diabetic ketoacidosis in children newly diagnosed with type 1 diabetes from 2011 to 2017 in Kuwait.

Background: Monitoring the trends in the presentation of T1D over decades cannot be underestimated as it provides a rich source of information on diabetes-related complications like DKA. DKA represents a medical emergency, with potentially fatal outcome, and thus the prevention of DKA is a priority in diabetes care. The aim of this study is to report on trends in the presentation of DKA in children newly diagnosed with T1D in Kuwait. Material and methods: This study is based on a retrospective review of children newly diagnosed with T1D aged 14 years or less at three Governmental Hospitals representing three health sectors out of the total six health sectors in the country during the period 2011-2017. Results: A total of 799 children (376 males and 423 females) were newly diagnosed with T1D. 287 children presented with DKA (35.9%) with only 73 children (9.1%) classified as severe. During the years 2011 to 2017, we note that the percentage of children older than 6 years of age presenting with severe DKA has decreased significantly (p=0.022). Unfortunately, this has not been replicated in children younger than 6 years. Conclusion: This study highlights the importance of continued monitoring of clinical characteristics of children at diagnosis of T1D specifically presenting with DKA to enable diabetes care professionals to appreciate the multifaceted aspects of T1D, in particular the importance of raising awareness of the early signs of the onset of T1D with special attention to DKA and its severe consequences.

Once-Weekly Exenatide in Youth With Type 2 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: Approved treatments for type 2 diabetes in pediatric patients include metformin, liraglutide, and insulin. However, approximately one-half of the youth fail metformin monotherapy within 1 year, insulin therapy is associated with challenges, and liraglutide requires daily injections. Consequently, the efficacy and safety of once-weekly injections of exenatide for the treatment of youth with type 2 diabetes was evaluated. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Participants (aged 10 to <18 years) were randomized (5:2) to once-weekly exenatide 2 mg or placebo, respectively. The primary efficacy end point was change in glycated hemoglobin from baseline to week 24. Secondary efficacy end points were also evaluated, and the frequency of adverse events (AEs) was assessed. RESULTS: A total of 83 participants were randomized (exenatide, 59; placebo, 24) and 72 completed 24-week treatment (exenatide, 49; placebo, 23). At 24 weeks, the least squares mean change in glycated hemoglobin was -0.36% for the exenatide and +0.49% for the placebo groups (between-group difference, -0.85%; 95% CI -1.51, -0.19; P = 0.012). Nonsignificant least squares mean differences from baseline to 24 weeks favoring exenatide were observed: fasting glucose -21.6 mg/dL (-49.0, 5.7; P = 0.119), systolic blood pressure -2.8 mmHg (-8.0, 2.4; P = 0.284), and body weight -1.22 kg (-3.59, 1.15; P = 0.307). AEs occurred in 36 (61.0%) and 17 (73.9%) participants in the exenatide and placebo groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In youth with type 2 diabetes suboptimally controlled with current treatments, once-weekly exenatide reduced glycated hemoglobin at 24 weeks and was well tolerated.

Rabson-Mendenhall Syndrome in a brother-sister pair in Kuwait: Diagnosis and 5 year follow up.

AIM: To report on Rabson-Mendenhall Syndrome (RMS) diagnosed in Kuwait. METHODS: A toddler (18 months old) was referred with high plasma insulin and dysmorphic features suggestive of RMS including coarse facial features with globular nose, full lips and furrowed tongue. His skin was hyperkeratotic with hypertrichosis. His sister (aged 13.5 years) was diagnosed with diabetes at 9 years of age and treated with metformin and insulin. She presented with similar dysmorphic features, extensive acanthosis nigricans, dental abnormalities and bilateral nephrocalcinosis. The children were born to non-consanguineous parents. Blood samples were sent for genetic testing in a reference laboratory. RESULTS: Both children were found to be homozygous for the p.Arg141Trp missense variant (p.Arg114Trp if numbered according to pro-receptor sequence) in the alpha subunit of the insulin receptor. CONCLUSIONS: These cases demonstrate the importance of raising awareness among healthcare professionals to ensure rapid referral of patients with characteristic physical features of RMS and severe insulin resistance for genetic testing. Unfortunately, treatment of RMS patients remains a challenge with poor prognosis and short life expectancy usually caused by diabetes-related complications. Genetic testing confirms the diagnosis and allows informed genetic counseling of parents considering future pregnancies.

Identification of Maturity-Onset-Diabetes of the Young (MODY) mutations in a country where diabetes is endemic.

Genetic variants responsible for Maturity-Onset-Diabetes of the Young (MODY) in Kuwait were investigated. A newly established a National Referral Clinic, the Dasman Diabetes Institute (DDI-NRC), assessed forty-five members from 31 suspected MODY families by whole exome sequencing. Thirty-three of the 45 samples were independently sequenced at the DDI-NRI, Exeter University, UK ( https://www.diabetesgenes.org/ ) using targeted 21-gene panel approach. Pathogenic mutations in GCK, HNF1A, HNF1B, HNF4A, and PDX1 confirmed MODY in 7 families, giving an overall positivity rate of 22.6% in this cohort. Novel variants were identified in three families in PDX1, HNF1B, and HNF1B. In this cohort, Multiplex Ligation-dependent Probe Amplification assay did not add any value to MODY variant detection rate in sequencing negative cases. In highly selected familial autoantibody negative diabetes, known MODY genes represent a minority and 77.3% of the familial cases have yet to have a causal variant described.

Cultural Adaptation of Health Literacy Measures: Translation Validation of the Newest Vital Sign in Arabic-Speaking Parents of Children With Type 1 Diabetes in Kuwait.

PURPOSE: The purpose of the study was to assess the feasibility of use and reliability of the Arabic version of the Newest Vital Sign (NVS-Ar) in parents of children with type 1 diabetes (T1D). METHODS: The final translated version of NVS-Ar was administered to 175 adult caregivers of children with T1D who are native Arabic speakers. The association between NVS-Ar scores for the parents/legal guardians and A1C for their children was assessed. The internal consistency was evaluated by Cronbach's α, and reliability was assessed by test-retest method. RESULTS: The median (interquartile range) score was 4.0 (3-5). The internal consistency of the NVS-Ar was moderate (α = .58). The intraclass correlation coefficient was .61. There was no correlation between NVS-Ar score and A1C (Spearman's ρ = .055; P = .62). Furthermore, there was significant inverse association between adequate health literacy and optimal glycemic control among the children, which remained evident even after adjusting for the duration of T1D, age, or education of the parents/guardians. However, it lost statistical significance after adjustment for treatment regimen. CONCLUSION: Study findings indicate that the NVS is unlikely to be a predictive tool for functional health literacy in Arabic settings and that there is a need to properly translate and validate other tools such as the Test of Functional Health Literacy in Adults or, alternatively, to develop a reliable tool.

Audit of glycemic control in patients with type 1 diabetes referred to a pediatric clinic in a specialized center in Kuwait.

INTRODUCTION: Intensive glycemic control reduces the risk of microvascular and macrovascular complications. Furthermore, optimal glycemic control is essential for normal growth and development. Thus, there is a need to monitor and evaluate glycemic control in patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D). Our aim was to audit glycemic control in patients with T1D in a specialized center as per the Society of Pediatric and Adolescent Diabetes (ISPAD) Hemoglobin A1C (HbA1C) target recommendations published in 2014. METHODS: This is a retrospective cross-sectional study reporting on glycemic control (HbA1C) of patients younger than 21 years of age and with T1D treated at Dasman Diabetes Institute (DDI) between January 2013 and December 2015. RESULTS: A total of 470 patients with T1D (250 males and 220 females) were included. Only 53 (11.3%) patients met the ISPAD target for optimal glycemic control with HbA1C < 7.5% (58 mmol/mol). Older age was positively associated with poor glycemic control (p = 0.001) while Continuous Subcutaneous Insulin Infusion (CSII) therapy was negatively associated with poor glycemic control, adjusted Odds Ratio (OR) 0.33 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.16-0.66) for CSII and adjusted OR 0.42 (95% CI: 0.27-0.64) for shifting to CSII (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Achieving optimal glycemic control is a significant challenge for young patients with T1D. Glycemic control goals should be individualized to achieve such goals safely, realistically and with a better quality of life for patients with T1D.

Use of Non-invasive Parameters and Machine-Learning Algorithms for Predicting Future Risk of Type 2 Diabetes: A Retrospective Cohort Study of Health Data From Kuwait.

Objective: In recent decades, the Arab population has experienced an increase in the prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2DM), particularly within the Gulf Cooperation Council. In this context, early intervention programmes rely on an ability to identify individuals at risk of T2DM. We aimed to build prognostic models for the risk of T2DM in the Arab population using machine-learning algorithms vs. conventional logistic regression (LR) and simple non-invasive clinical markers over three different time scales (3, 5, and 7 years from the baseline). Design: This retrospective cohort study used three models based on LR, k-nearest neighbours (k-NN), and support vector machines (SVM) with five-fold cross-validation. The models included the following baseline non-invasive parameters: age, sex, body mass index (BMI), pre-existing hypertension, family history of hypertension, and T2DM. Setting: This study was based on data from the Kuwait Health Network (KHN), which integrated primary health and hospital laboratory data into a single system. Participants: The study included 1,837 native Kuwaiti Arab individuals (equal proportion of men and women) with mean age as 59.5 ± 11.4 years. Among them, 647 developed T2DM within 7 years of the baseline non-invasive measurements. Analytical methods: The discriminatory power of each model for classifying people at risk of T2DM within 3, 5, or 7 years and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were determined. Outcome measures: Onset of T2DM at 3, 5, and 7 years. Results: The k-NN machine-learning technique, which yielded AUC values of 0.83, 0.82, and 0.79 for 3-, 5-, and 7-year prediction horizons, respectively, outperformed the most commonly used LR method and other previously reported methods. Comparable results were achieved using the SVM and LR models with corresponding AUC values of (SVM: 0.73, LR: 0.74), (SVM: 0.68, LR: 0.72), and (SVM: 0.71, LR: 0.70) for 3-, 5-, and 7-year prediction horizons, respectively. For all models, the discriminatory power decreased as the prediction horizon increased from 3 to 7 years. Conclusions: Machine-learning techniques represent a useful addition to the commonly reported LR technique. Our prognostic models for the future risk of T2DM could be used to plan and implement early prevention programmes for at risk groups in the Arab population.

Fasting during the holy month of Ramadan among older children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes in Kuwait.

Background To evaluate the safety of fasting during the holy month of Ramadan among children and adolescent with type 1 diabetes (T1D). Methods A retrospective cohort study of 50 children and adolescents with T1D whose mean age was 12.7 ± 2.1 years was conducted. Twenty-seven patients (54%) were on multiple daily injections (MDI) insulin regimen and 23 (46%) were on insulin pump therapy. Before fasting for Ramadan, children and their families were evaluated and educated about diabetes management during Ramadan. Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), weight, number of days fasted, hypoglycemia and hyperglycemia episodes, and emergency hospital visits were collected and analyzed after completing the month. Participants were compared according to the insulin treatment regimen and their glycemic control level before Ramadan. Results The children were able to fast 20 ± 9.9 days of Ramadan, and the most common cause for breaking the fast was mild hypoglycemia (7.8% among all cases). There was no significant difference between the two insulin regimen groups in breaking fast days, frequency of hypo- or hyperglycemia, weight and HbA1c changes post Ramadan. Patients with HbA1c ≤ 8.5% were able to fast more days during Ramadan with significantly less-frequent hypoglycemic attacks as compared to patients with HbA1c > 8.5 (1.2 ± 1.5 vs. 3.3 ± 2.9 days of hypoglycemia, p = 0.01, respectively). Conclusions Fasting for children with T1D above the age of 10 years is feasible and safe in both pump and non-pump users, and well-controlled patients are less likely to develop complications. Education of the families and their children before Ramadan, along with intensive monitoring of fasting children during the month are crucial.

Incidence of Type 2 Diabetes in Kuwaiti Children and Adolescents: Results From the Childhood-Onset Diabetes Electronic Registry (CODeR).

Background: Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) in children and adolescents has become an important public health concern due to the increase in childhood obesity worldwide. The urgency to address T2D is evident as children and adolescents are at a higher risk of complications due to prolonged disease duration. We aimed to estimate the incidence rate (IR) of T2D in Kuwaiti children and adolescents aged 14 years and younger between 2011 and 2013 and to describe their clinical characteristics at the time of diagnosis. Material and Methods: All newly diagnosed patients were registered through the Childhood-Onset Diabetes electronic Registry implemented in Kuwait. Cases who met the 2018 ISPAD guidelines for diagnosis of T2D were included. Results: A total of 32 patients were included, equally distributed gender-wise, with a mean age 12.2 years (±1.7 SD), lower for females than males (11.5 vs. 12.2, p < 0.025). Data ascertainment was 94.1% (95%CI; 91.6-96.6%). Overall IR was 2.56 (95% CI; 1.78-3.56) per 100,000 Kuwaiti children and adolescents per year. Most of the patients (n = 30; 93.8%) presented with T2D between the ages 10-14 years, with age-specific IR of 8.0 (95%CI; 5.5-11.3). No statistically significant difference between males and females with regards to BMI z scores or HbA1C at diagnosis. Conclusion: The true incidence of T2D in Kuwaiti children and adolescents is expected to be considerably higher as we have reported only symptomatic cases. Future research should focus on screening children and adolescents at risk to enable accurate estimates. More efforts are needed to better understand the clinical course of T2D early in life to improve management, prevent complications and improve quality of life.

Ethnic differences in association of high body mass index with early onset of Type 1 diabetes - Arab ethnicity as case study.

OBJECTIVE: The "accelerator hypothesis" predicts early onset of Type 1 diabetes (T1D) in heavier children. Studies testing direction of correlation between body mass index (BMI) and age at onset of T1D in different continental populations have reported differing results-inverse, direct, and neutral. Evaluating the correlation in diverse ethnic populations is required to generalize the accelerator hypothesis. METHODS: The study cohort comprised 474 Kuwaiti children of Arab ethnicity diagnosed with T1D at age 6 to 18 years during 2011-2013. Age- and sex-adjusted BMI z-scores were calculated by comparing the BMI measured at diagnosis with Kuwaiti pediatric population reference data recorded during comparable time-period. Multiple linear regression and Pearson correlation analyses were performed. RESULTS: BMI z-score was seen inversely associated with onset age (r,-0.28; p-value<0.001). Children with BMI z-score>0 (i.e. BMI >national average) showed a stronger correlation (r,-0.38; p-value<0.001) than those with BMI z-score<0 (r,-0.19; p-value<0.001); the former group showed significantly lower mean onset age than the latter group (9.6±2.4 versus 10.5±2.7; p-value<0.001). Observed inverse correlation was consistent with that seen in Anglo-saxon, central european, caucasian, and white children while inconsistent with that seen in Indian, New Zealander, and Australian children. CONCLUSIONS: The accelerator hypothesis generalizes in Arab pediatric population from Kuwait.

Referral pattern of children with short stature to a pediatric endocrine clinic in Kuwait.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to describe the referral pattern, baseline characteristics, and etiological profile of children referred with short stature in Kuwait. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional retrospective review of children referred to the Endocrine Clinic with short stature. Short stature was defined as height or length below the 3rd centile or <-2 standard deviation score (SDS). RESULTS: A total of 221 children were referred with no gender difference (p=0.346). Almost one fifth of these children had normal stature. Median (interquartile) age was 7.7 (4.7, 10.3) years and mean height SDS was -2.67 (0.68). The most common diagnoses were normal variants of growth, growth hormone deficiency (GHD). CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights the need to improve the referral process in order to avoid unnecessary investigations and alleviate parental anxiety. There is no gender bias in short stature referrals in Kuwait. There is a need of further investigation of short stature in the region.