Molecular specific and cell selective cytotoxicity induced by a novel synthetic HLA-DR antibody mimic for lymphoma and leukemia.

Like rituximab, monoclonal antibodies reactive with human leukocyte antigen have potent antilymphoma activity. However, size limits their vascular and tissue penetration. To mimic monoclonal antibody binding, nanomolecules have been synthesized, shown specific for the beta subunit of HLA-DR10, and selective for cells expressing this protein. Selective high affinity ligands (SHALs) containing the 3-(2-([3-chloro-5-trifluoromethyl)-2-pyridinyl]oxy)-anilino)-3-oxopropanionic acid (Ct) ligand residualized and had antilymphoma activity against expressing cells. Herein, we show the extraordinary potency in mice with human lymphoma xenografts of a tridentate SHAL containing this ligand. After titrating antilymphoma activity in cell culture, a randomized preclinical study of a tridentate SHAL containing the Ct ligand was conducted in mice with established and aggressive human lymphoma xenografts. Mice having HLA-DR10 expressing Raji B- or Jurkat's T-lymphoma xenografts were randomly assigned to receive either treatment with SHAL at a dose of 100 ng i.p. weekly for 3 consecutive weeks, or to be untreated. Primary end-points were cure, overall response rates and survival. Toxicity was also evaluated in these mice, and a USFDA general safety study was conducted in healthy Balb/c mice. In Raji cell culture, the threshold and IC50 concentrations for cytotoxic activity were 0.7 and 2.5 nmol (pm/ml media), respectively. When compared to treated Jurkat's xenografts or untreated xenografts, Raji xenografts treated with the SHAL showed an 85% reduction in hazard of death (P=0.014; 95% confidence interval 32-95% reduction). There was no evidence for toxicity even after i.p. doses 2000 times greater than the treatment dose associated with cure of a majority of the mice with Raji xenografts. When compared with control groups, treatment selectively improved response rates and survival in mice with HLA-DR10 expressing human lymphoma xenografts at doses not associated with adverse events and readily achievable in patients.

Motility and ultrastructure of large granular lymphocytes on lipid bilayers reconstituted with adhesion receptors LFA-1, ICAM-1, and two isoforms of LFA-3.

Large granular lymphocytes, mediators of NK activity, bind to other cells using both the LFA (lymphocyte function-associated)-1-ICAM and the CD2-LFA-3 adhesion pathways. Here we have studied the motility and ultrastructure of large granule lymphocyte (LGL) on lipid bilayers containing purified LFA-1, ICAM-1, and the transmembrane and glycophosphatidylinositol isoforms of LFA-3. LGLs moved at 8 microns/min on ICAM-1 but poorly (less than 1 microns/min) on its receptor pair LFA-1. TM-LFA-3 promoted locomotion at a rate close to ICAM-1, whereas the cells were less motile on GPI-LFA-3. The difference in the rates of locomotion on the two isoforms of LFA-3 is presumably attributable to their difference in anchoring and lateral mobility in the bilayer. In spite of the variation in motility the ultrastructure of the adhering cells was similar on all four ligands. LGLs contacted the membrane variably, i.e., cells adhering only in a few small areas or in larger areas were detected on each ligand. The relative percentage of the plasma membrane facing the lipid bilayer was greatest on ICAM-1 and least on the transmembrane isoform of LFA-3, demonstrating no correlation with motility. The ratio of adjacent plasma membrane to lipid bilayer was virtually constant for all four ligands. Activation of the LGLs with a combination of CD2 mAb T11(2) and T11(3) (T11(2/3) mAb) reduced the movement on ICAM-1 and virtually immobilized the cells on the other bilayers. In the presence of T11(2/3) mAb, the area of cell membrane attaching to bilayers containing ICAM-1 and GPI-LFA-3 was decreased and the percentage of plasma membrane facing other cells was increased. No preferential orientation of the Golgi apparatus or degranulation was detected in the absence or presence of T11(2/3) mAb, but a significantly lower percentage of LGLs on ICAM-1 contained a profile of the Golgi apparatus after exposure to T11(2/3) mAb. The results demonstrate that the motility of LGLs depends on the type of receptor in the opposing bilayer, the receptor mobility in the bilayer, and the activation of the cells. The ultrastructure of LGLs binding to any of the adhesion molecules does not have the characteristics of LGLs in cytolytic contact with target cells, suggesting that the mediation of an attack on a target requires more complex stimulus than any one of the single adhesion proteins tested here.

Six-year effect of depressive symptoms on the course of physical disability in community-living older adults.

BACKGROUND: Late-life depression affects physical health and impedes recovery from physical disability. But whether milder symptoms that occur frequently in the general population increase the risk of developing a disability or decrease the likelihood of recovery remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: To examine the effect of mild symptoms of depression, assessed by a reduced version (10 items, ranging from 0-10) of the Center for Epidemiological Studies-Depression Scale, on the course of physical disability, assessed by items from the Katz Activities of Daily Living Scale, the Rosow-Breslau Functional Health Scale, and the Nagi Index. METHODS: A population-based longitudinal study was conducted, with 6 follow-up interviews of 3434 community-dwelling persons aged 65 years and older in East Boston, Mass. RESULTS: The likelihood of becoming disabled increased with each additional symptom of depression (for the Katz measure: odds ratio, 1.16 per symptom; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.19; for the Rosow-Breslau measure: odds ratio, 1.14; 95% confidence interval, 1.11-1.16; and for the Nagi measure: odds ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 1.14-1.19). As the number of depressive symptoms increased, the likelihood of recovering from a physical disability decreased (for the Katz measure: odds ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.93-0.99; for the Rosow-Breslau measure: odds ratio, 0.86; 95% confidence interval, 0.84-0.89; and for the Nagi measure: odds ratio, 0.89; 95% confidence interval, 0.87-0.91). This effect was not accounted for by age, sex, level of educational attainment, body mass index, or chronic health conditions. CONCLUSION: Mild depressive symptoms in older persons (those aged > or =65 years) are associated with an increased likelihood of becoming disabled and a decreased chance of recovery, regardless of age, sex, and other factors that contribute to physical disability.

Prospective evaluation of low-dose ketoconazole plus hydrocortisone in docetaxel pre-treated castration-resistant prostate cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: Ketoconazole is a well-known CYP17-targeted systemic treatment for castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). However, most of the published data has been in the pre-chemotherapy setting; its efficacy in the post-chemotherapy setting has not been as widely described. Chemotherapy-naïve patients treated with attenuated doses of ketoconazole (200-300 mg three times daily) had PSA response rate (>50% decline) of 21-62%. We hypothesized that low-dose ketoconazole would likewise possess efficacy and tolerability in the CRPC post-chemotherapy state. METHODS: Men with CRPC and performance status 0-3, adequate organ function and who had received prior docetaxel were treated with low-dose ketoconazole (200 mg orally three times daily) and hydrocortisone (20 mg PO qAM and 10 mg PO qPM) until disease progression. Primary endpoint was PSA response rate (>50% reduction from baseline) where a rate of 25% was to be considered promising for further study (versus a null rate of <5%); 25 patients were required. Secondary endpoints included PSA response >30% from baseline, progression-free survival (PFS), duration of stable disease and evaluation of adverse events (AEs). RESULTS: Thirty patients were accrued with median age of 72 years (range 55-86) and median pre-treatment PSA of 73 ng ml(-1) (range 7-11,420). Twenty-nine patients were evaluable for response and toxicity. PSA response (>50% reduction) was seen in 48% of patients; PSA response (>30% reduction) was seen in 59%. Median PFS was 138 days; median duration of stable disease was 123 days. Twelve patients experienced grade 3 or 4 AEs. Of the 17 grade 3 AEs, only 3 were attributed to treatment. None of the two grade 4 AEs were considered related to treatment. CONCLUSIONS: In docetaxel pre-treated CRPC patients, low-dose ketoconazole and hydrocortisone is a well-tolerated, relatively inexpensive and clinically active treatment option. PSA response to low-dose ketoconazole appears historically comparable to that of abiraterone in this patient context. A prospective, randomized study of available post-chemotherapy options is warranted to assess comparative efficacy.

MRI-derived entorhinal and hippocampal atrophy in incipient and very mild Alzheimer's disease.

With high resolution, quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) techniques, it is now possible to examine alterations in brain anatomy in vivo and to identify regions affected in the earliest stages of Alzheimer's disease (AD). In this study, we compared MRI-derived entorhinal and hippocampal volume in healthy elderly controls, patients who presented at the clinic with cognitive complaints, but did not meet criteria for dementia (non-demented), and patients with very mild AD. The two patient groups differed significantly from controls in entorhinal volume, but not from each other; in contrast, they differed from each other, as well as from controls, in hippocampal volume, with the mild AD cases showing the greatest atrophy. Follow-up clinical evaluations available on 23/28 non-demented patients indicated that 12/23 had converted to AD within 12-77 months from the baseline MRI examination. Converters could be best differentiated from non-converters on the basis of entorhinal, but not hippocampal volume. These data suggest that although both the EC and hippocampal formation degenerate before the onset of overt dementia, EC volume is a better predictor of conversion.

Loss of nucleus basalis neurons containing trkA immunoreactivity in individuals with mild cognitive impairment and early Alzheimer's disease.

Recent studies indicate that there is a marked reduction in trkA-containing nucleus basalis neurons in end-stage Alzheimer's disease (AD). We used unbiased stereological counting procedures to determine whether these changes extend to individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) without dementia from a cohort of people enrolled in the Religious Orders Study. Thirty people (average age 84.7 years) came to autopsy. All individuals were cognitively tested within 12 months of death (average MMSE 24.2). Clinically, 9 had no cognitive impairment (NCI), 12 were categorized with MCI, and 9 had probable AD The average number of trkA-immunoreactive neurons in persons with NCI was 196, 632 +/- 12,093 (n = 9), for those with MCI it was 106,110 +/- 14,565, and for those with AD it was 86,978 +/- 12,141. Multiple comparisons showed that both those with MCI and those with AD had significant loss in the number of trkA-containing neurons compared to those with NCI (46% decrease for MCI, 56% for AD). An analysis of variance revealed that the total number of neurons containing trkA immunoreactivity was related to diagnostic classification (P < 0.001), with a significant reduction in AD and MCI compared to NCI but without a significant difference between MCI and AD. Cell density was similarly related to diagnostic classification (P < 0.001). There was a significant correlation with the Boston Naming Test and with a global score measure of cognitive function. The number of trkA-immunoreactive neurons was not correlated with MMSE, age at death, education, apolipoprotein E allele status, gender, or Braak score. These data indicate that alterations in the number of nucleus basalis neurons containing trkA immunoreactivity occurs early and are not accelerated from the transition from MCI to mild AD.

Change in cognitive function in older persons from a community population: relation to age and Alzheimer disease.

OBJECTIVE: To examine change in cognitive function in older persons sampled from a community population, and its relation to age and Alzheimer disease. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study with an average of 3.5 years of follow-up. SETTING: East Boston, Mass--a geographically defined, urban, working-class community. PARTICIPANTS: A stratified, random sample of persons 65 years and older underwent uniform, structured clinical evaluation for Alzheimer disease. The 388 persons (89.2% of those eligible) who completed at least 1 annual follow-up evaluation were studied: 97 had Alzheimer disease at baseline; 95 developed Alzheimer disease during the study; and 196 were unaffected. OUTCOME MEASURES: Eight cognitive performance tests were administered, then converted to population-weighted z scores and averaged to create a composite summary measure of cognitive function. Initial level of and change in this score were the outcome measures. RESULTS: In the population as a whole, many persons experienced a decline in cognitive performance, and age was related to both initial level and rate of decline. Analyses were conducted in 3 subgroups: persons with Alzheimer disease at baseline, those who developed Alzheimer disease during the study, and those who remained unaffected. In both Alzheimer disease subgroups, substantial cognitive decline was observed, but neither initial level nor rate of decline was related to age. In unaffected persons, little cognitive decline was evident, and there was a small, inverse association of age with initial level of cognitive function. CONCLUSION: In a general population sample, there was little evidence of cognitive decline during a 3.5-year period among persons who remained free of Alzheimer disease.

Education and other measures of socioeconomic status and risk of incident Alzheimer disease in a defined population of older persons.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the relations of 3 measures of socioeconomic status (education, occupational prestige, and income) to risk of incident clinically diagnosed Alzheimer disease (AD). DESIGN: Cohort study with an average observation of 4.3 years. SETTING: East Boston, Mass. a geographically defined community. PARTICIPANTS: A stratified random sample of 642 community residents 65 years of age and older who were free of AD at baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Clinical diagnosis of probable AD according to standard criteria, using structured uniform evaluation. RESULTS: The relations of the 3 measures of socioeconomic status to risk of disease were assessed using logistic regression analyses. In individual analyses, fewer years of formal schooling, lower income, and lower occupational status each predicted risk of incident AD; risk of disease decreased by approximately 17% for each year of education. In an analysis including all 3 measures, the effect of education on risk for disease remained approximately the same, but the effects of the other 2 measures were somewhat less and did not attain formal statistical significance, compared with separate analysis of each measure. CONCLUSIONS: Markers of lower socioeconomic status predict risk of developing incident AD. The mechanism of this relation is uncertain, but the possibility that it reflects unidentified and potentially reversible risk factors for the disease deserves careful investigation.

Progression of parkinsonism and loss of cognitive function in Alzheimer disease.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the relation between parkinsonism and cognitive function in Alzheimer disease from cross-sectional and longitudinal perspectives. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study with annual clinical evaluations during a 4-year period. SETTING: Alzheimer disease clinic in an urban medical center. PARTICIPANTS: Four hundred ten persons with clinically diagnosed Alzheimer disease. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Global and specific measures of cognitive function and parkinsonism. RESULTS: Higher levels of parkinsonism at baseline were reliably associated with lower levels of cognitive function at baseline and with more rapid cognitive decline during the 4-year study period. However, the associations were small, with baseline parkinsonism accounting for less than 10% of the variation either in baseline cognitive function or in the rate of cognitive decline. By contrast, rates of change in parkinsonism and cognitive function were strongly correlated, with 70% or more shared variance in the rates of change in many models. The association was observed with diverse measures of cognition and parkinsonism and was not explained by demographic variables or use of neuroleptic medications. CONCLUSION: In Alzheimer disease, progressive worsening of parkinsonism is more strongly associated with cognitive decline than previously recognized. Arch Neurol. 2000.

Premorbid reading activity and patterns of cognitive decline in Alzheimer disease.

BACKGROUND: Educational and occupational attainment have been associated with progression of Alzheimer disease in some studies. One hypothesis about this association is that education and occupation are markers for lifelong participation in cognitively stimulating activities like reading. OBJECTIVE: To assess the relation of premorbid reading activity with patterns of cognitive decline in Alzheimer disease. METHODS: During a 4-year period, 410 persons with Alzheimer disease had annual clinical evaluations, which included administration of 17 cognitive function tests from which global, verbal, and nonverbal summary measures were derived. At baseline, a knowledgeable informant was questioned about the affected person's reading frequency and access to reading materials before dementia onset. RESULTS: A composite measure of premorbid reading activity was developed. It had moderately high internal consistency and was positively correlated with education and baseline level of cognitive function. In analyses that controlled for baseline cognitive function, education, and other demographic variables, higher level of premorbid reading activity was associated with more rapid decline on the global cognitive and verbal measures but not on the nonverbal measure. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that both the extent and nature of premorbid cognitive experiences may affect how Alzheimer disease pathology is clinically expressed.

Cytokine dysregulation in AIDS: in vivo overexpression of mRNA of tumor necrosis factor-alpha and its correlation with that of the inflammatory cytokine GRO.

The human immunodeficiency virus establishes an intimate interaction with the immune system. The virus can use cytokines, such as tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha) and interleukin-1 (Il-1), to regulate its own expression by modifying the normal immunoregulatory network. We demonstrate that mRNA of the cytokine TNF-alpha from peripheral blood mononuclear cells is overexpressed in virtually all patients with AIDS who do not have active opportunistic infections compared with uninfected volunteers (p < 0.0001). This overexpression correlates with elevated mRNA levels of the recently discovered GRO (p < 0.05), a cytokine involved in the inflammatory response.

Pentoxifylline decreases tumor necrosis factor expression and serum triglycerides in people with AIDS. NIAID AIDS Clinical Trials Group.

Tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF)-cachectin increases the expression of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), reverses the therapeutic efficacy of zidovudine (ZDV), and may contribute to the wasting syndrome. Pentoxifylline (Trental) decreases TNF activity; in cell culture, it decreases HIV replication and down-regulates expression of the HIV long terminal repeat (LTR). Therefore, pentoxifylline was administered to 25 patients with advanced AIDS in this AIDS Clinical Trial Group study (ACTG #160), the goal of which was to investigate the ability of the drug to decrease TNF expression and HIV replication in this patient population. One patient discontinued drug treatment because of toxicity. Data were analyzed on the 17 patients who completed the 8-week study treatment with pentoxifylline, 400 mg, thrice daily. The median pretreatment CD4+ lymphocyte count was 32 cells/mm3. Fasting serum triglycerides, which have previously been shown to correlate with levels of interferon-alpha and/or TNF, fell on average by 66 mg/dl (p = 0.06). TNF mRNA levels in peripheral blood mononuclear cells fell in 10 of 16 patients (p = 0.02). HIV load decreased and increased significantly in four and one patients, respectively, but did not change in the group as a whole. This study demonstrates the safety of pentoxifylline in AIDS patients and its ability to decrease triglycerides and TNF mRNA levels.

Progression of gait disorder and rigidity and risk of death in older persons.

BACKGROUND: Bradykinesia, gait disturbance, rigidity, and tremor are common motor signs in old age. All of these signs are associated with increased morbidity and mortality, but the extent to which they are progressive is unknown. METHODS: Study participants were 787 older Catholic clergy members without clinically diagnosed PD, related conditions, or dementia at baseline. They were evaluated annually for up to 7 years, with >95% follow-up participation by survivors. Evaluations included administration of a modified version of the motor portion of the Unified PD Rating Scale (UPDRS), from which previously established measures of the global UPDRS and four specific motor signs were derived. Scores represent the percent of the total possible UPDRS score obtained. RESULTS: At baseline, the global UPDRS score ranged from 0 to 36.3 (mean +/- SD, 7.3 +/- 6.4). It increased by an average of 0.69 unit per year during follow-up, with more rapid progression in older persons, but there was wide variability with no progression in 21% of subjects and annual increases of up to 8.23 units in the remaining 79%. Of 129 persons who died, 106 had follow-up UPDRS data. In a proportional hazards model, risk of death was associated with both the level of the global UPDRS score at baseline and the annual rate of progression (both p < 0.001). Overall, risk of death in subjects who had some worsening of the global UPDRS score was 2.93 times the rate among those without progression (95% CI, 1.32-6.50). Gait disorder/postural reflex impairment and rigidity worsened, but bradykinesia and tremor did not. Risk of death was associated with worsening of gait/posture but not with the other signs. CONCLUSION: Gait disorder and rigidity, as assessed with the modified UPDRS, are usually progressive in old age. Both the severity of the gait disorder and its rate of progression are strongly associated with risk of death.

Metric properties of nurses' ratings of parkinsonian signs with a modified Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale.

We evaluated the ability of nurse clinicians to assess parkinsonian signs in older persons with a modified version of the motor section of the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (UPDRS). After completing a structured training protocol, three nurse clinicians and a neurologist with expertise in movement disorders administered a modified UPDRS to 75 older persons. The nurses repeated the assessment about 3 weeks later. Inter-rater agreement and short-term temporal stability were estimated for each item, the total modified UPDRS score, and for summary measures of bradykinesia, postural reflex impairment, rigidity, and tremor, and a global parkinsonian sign score. We performed our assessment in Catholic religious communities in the Chicago area, using consecutive subjects at four communities participating in the Religious Orders Study, a longitudinal, clinical-pathologic study of older persons. Our results showed that nurses were not a significant source of variability, with intraclass correlations exceeding 0.97 for all items, and they showed good to excellent agreement with the neurologist for most modified UPDRS items. Correlations between nurses and neurologist exceeded 0.90 for the total modified UPDRS, ranged from 0.76 to 0.95 for the four parkinsonian domain scores, and exceeded 0.90 for the global parkinsonian sign score. Nurses showed fair to good agreement with themselves over the 3-week interval for most modified UPDRS items. Correlations over the 3-week interval exceeded 0.90 for the total modified UPDRS score, ranged from 0.70 to 0.95 for the four domain scores, and exceeded 0.90 for the global parkinsonian sign score. Ratings of parkinsonian signs by nurse clinicians corresponded closely to those of a neurologist with expertise in movement disorders and showed good inter-rater agreement and temporal stability. With appropriate training, nurse clinicians can reliably administer the modified UPDRS.

Progression of parkinsonian signs in Alzheimer's disease.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the progression of parkinsonian signs in persons with AD. BACKGROUND: Parkinsonian signs are common in AD and appear to be related to morbidity and mortality. However, little is known about individual patterns of progression of parkinsonian signs. METHODS: A cohort of 410 people with clinically diagnosed AD underwent annual clinical evaluations over a 4-year period, with over 90% of survivors participating in follow-up. The entire motor portion of the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (UPDRS) was administered at each evaluation. Previously established measures of four parkinsonian signs were derived from the UPDRS. Scores ranged from 0 to 100 and represented the percent obtained of the total possible item score. RESULTS: A growth curve approach was used to estimate individual paths of change. Rates of change in bradykinesia (4.5% increase per year), rigidity (6.0% increase per year), and gait disorder/postural reflex impairment (8.9% increase per year) were substantial and positively correlated (median r = 0.69). Change in tremor was minimal, mostly confined to postural tremor, and weakly correlated with change in other signs (median r = 0.16). The rate of progression in each sign was highly variable across individuals and not strongly related to demographic factors or use of neuroleptic medications. CONCLUSIONS: Parkinsonian signs other than tremor progress rapidly in AD but at widely differing rates.

Natural history of mild cognitive impairment in older persons.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive abilities of older persons range from normal, to mild cognitive impairment, to dementia. Few large longitudinal studies have compared the natural history of mild cognitive impairment with similar persons without cognitive impairment. METHODS: Participants were older Catholic clergy without dementia, 211 with mild cognitive impairment and 587 without cognitive impairment, who underwent annual clinical evaluation for AD and an assessment of different cognitive abilities. Cognitive performance tests were summarized to yield a composite measure of global cognitive function and separate summary measures of episodic memory, semantic memory, working memory, perceptual speed, and visuospatial ability. The authors compared the risk of death, risk of incident AD, and rates of change in global cognition and different cognitive domains among persons with mild cognitive impairment to those without cognitive impairment. All models controlled for age, sex, and education. RESULTS: On average, persons with mild cognitive impairment had significantly lower scores at baseline in all cognitive domains. Over an average of 4.5 years of follow-up, 30% of persons with mild cognitive impairment died, a rate 1.7 times higher than those without cognitive impairment (95% CI, 1.2 to 2.5). In addition, 64 (34%) persons with mild cognitive impairment developed AD, a rate 3.1 times higher than those without cognitive impairment (95% CI, 2.1 to 4.5). Finally, persons with mild cognitive impairment declined significantly faster on measures of episodic memory, semantic memory, and perceptual speed, but not on measures of working memory or visuospatial ability, as compared with persons without cognitive impairment. CONCLUSIONS: Mild cognitive impairment is associated with an increased risk of death and incident AD, and a greater rate of decline in selected cognitive abilities.

Depressive symptoms, cognitive decline, and risk of AD in older persons.

BACKGROUND: Cross-sectional and retrospective case-control studies suggest an association of depression symptoms with cognitive impairment and AD, but there have been few prospective studies and their results have been inconsistent. METHODS: Participants are Catholic clergy members who were aged > or =65 years and who did not have clinical evidence of AD. During a 7-year period, they underwent annual clinical evaluations that included clinical classification of AD and detailed cognitive function testing from which global and specific measures of cognition were derived. Number of depressive symptoms was assessed at baseline with a modified, 10-item Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CES-D). The association of CES-D score with incident AD, using proportional hazards models, and cognitive decline, using random effects models, was examined. RESULTS: At baseline, participants reported an average of about one depressive symptom on the CES-D scale (range, 0 to 8). During the 7 years of follow-up, 108 persons developed AD. In analyses that controlled for selected demographic and clinical variables including baseline level of cognitive function, CES-D score was associated with both risk of AD and rate of cognitive decline. For each depressive symptom, risk of developing AD increased by an average of 19%, and annual decline on a global cognitive measure increased by an average of 24%. CONCLUSIONS: The results raise the possibility that depressive symptoms in older persons may be associated with risk of developing AD.

Level of education and change in cognitive function in a community population of older persons.

In a community population of persons over the age of 65, cognitive function was assessed using brief performance tests on two occasions 3 years apart. Those with fewer years of formal education consistently had greater declines in cognitive function, independently of age, birthplace, language of interview, occupation, and income. These prospective findings suggest that low educational attainment or a correlate predicts cognitive decline. It is not clear, however, whether this relation represents a direct effect of education on future cognition, whether education might be related to occurrence of a disease leading to cognitive decline in older persons, or whether education might be a surrogate for some variable not included in the study.

Population prevalence estimates from complex samples.

Epidemiologic studies are often designed to severe several purposes. The complex sampling plans necessary to ensure an adequate number of cases, a similar age distribution among cases and controls, or other important design constraints for comparative studies may make the additional goal of estimating prevalence in the population or in important subgroups difficult to attain with existing computer software, which typically assumes simple random sample selection. We consider here various methods for estimating overall and subgroup prevalence from complex samples, including crude prevalences, direct standardization of prevalences, and standardization using logistic regression to smooth the sampling group prevalences. We illustrate these methods using a complex sample to estimate the prevalence of Alzheimer's disease in an urban community. A simulation study under various models in this setting is also described. We conclude that the use of logistic regression to smooth sampling group prevalences before standardization is an effective method for estimation of overall prevalence, provided that the adequacy of fit of a logistic model is carefully checked.