Population-based study of the incidence of sudden unexplained death in epilepsy.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the population-based incidence of sudden unexplained death in epilepsy (SUDEP) and to determine the risk of SUDEP compared with the general population. BACKGROUND: Prior studies of SUDEP have described a wide range of incidence and have suffered from selection bias and other methodologic limitations. A population-based study of the incidence of SUDEP has never been performed. Furthermore, the risk of sudden death in the epilepsy population has not been compared with that of the general population. METHODS: All deaths in persons whose epilepsy was diagnosed between 1935 and 1994 in Rochester, MN, were reviewed. The rate of SUDEP was compared with the expected rate of sudden death in the general population for patients age 20 to 40 years to determine the standardized mortality ratio (SMR). RESULTS: We identified nine cases of SUDEP. SUDEP accounted for 8.6% (7 of 81) of the deaths in persons 15 to 44 years of age. The incidence of SUDEP was 0.35 per 1,000 person-years. SMR for SUDEP was 23.7 (95% confidence interval, 7.7 to 55.0) compared with the general population. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of SUDEP in our study was 0.35 per 1,000 person-years. SUDEP was responsible for 1.7% of deaths in our cohort. SUDEP is a rare cause of death in the epilepsy population but exceeds the expected rate of sudden death in the general population by nearly 24 times.

Time trends in the prevalence of atherosclerosis: a population-based autopsy study.

PURPOSE: Mortality from coronary heart disease is declining but little is known about trends in the prevalence of atherosclerosis. Autopsy rates in Olmsted County, Minnesota, are higher than the national average, offering an opportunity to address this matter. In this study, we determined the prevalence of anatomic coronary disease among autopsied Olmsted County residents and examined the generalizability of these findings. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Reports of the 2,562 autopsies performed between 1979 and 1994 on Olmsted County residents > or =20 years of age were reviewed for the presence of coronary disease. RESULTS: Among autopsied decedents less than 60 years old at death and among coroner's cases, the prevalence of anatomic coronary disease declined with time (P for trend = 0.05); no trend was detected among older persons or noncoroner's cases. By logistic regression analysis, the crude odds ratio ([OR] per 5 years) for the association between time and anatomic coronary disease was 0.94 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.86 to 1.03; P = 0.18]. Age, sex, and antemortem diagnosis of heart disease were also strongly related to the presence of disease. After adjustment for sex and antemortem diagnosis of heart disease, the prevalence of anatomic coronary disease decreased more in younger people than in older people (age 40 years: OR 0.43 [95% CI: 0.24 to 0.80]; age 60 years: OR 0.62 [95% CI: 0.45 to 0.87]; age 80 years: OR 0.89 [95% CI: 0.64 to 1.23]). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of anatomic coronary disease at autopsy decreased between 1979 and 1994, particularly among younger people, supporting the notion that the burden of coronary disease has shifted toward the elderly. These results suggest that the decreased incidence of coronary artery disease has contributed to the recent decrease in coronary mortality, particularly among younger people.

Validation of death certificate diagnosis of out-of-hospital coronary heart disease deaths in Olmsted County, Minnesota.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the validity of death certificate diagnosis of out-of-hospital (OOH) coronary heart disease (CHD) and sudden cardiac death (SCD) in Olmsted County, Minnesota, between 1981 and 1994. METHODS: In this review of the medical records, autopsy reports, and coroner's files, OOH deaths with heart disease as the underlying cause of death on the death certificate were classified into CHD (International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification [ICD-9-CM] codes 410-414) and non-CHD (other ICD-9-CM heart disease codes) deaths. A 10% random sample (n = 174) of these death certificates was reviewed by physicians, and published validation criteria were applied to classify these deaths into validated CHD or non-CHD categories. Sudden cardiac death was defined as validated CHD that occurred at an OOH location with less than 24 hours between symptom onset and death. RESULTS: The death certificate definition of OOH CHD death (ICD-9-CM codes 410-414) had high sensitivity and positive predictive value of 91% and 96%, respectively. The specificity and the negative predictive value were slightly lower at 86% and 72%, respectively. The sensitivity of death certificate diagnosis of CHD for validated SCD was 89%, and the positive predictive value was 77%. Using a more restrictive definition of SCD, that is, less than 1 hour between the onset of symptoms and death, the positive predictive value of CHD codes for SCD was lower at 52%. CONCLUSIONS: In Olmsted County, the positive predictive values of death certificate diagnosis for OOH CHD and SCD are high. Relying on death certificate diagnoses results in about 5% underestimation of the true CHD rates, whereas their use as a surrogate for SCD yields a 16% overestimation of the true SCD rates.

An anatomy of the autopsy, Olmsted County, 1935 through 1985.

In this study, we examined in detail the patterns of autopsy rates for a half century (1935 through 1985) among residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota. The time trend of the autopsy in this community represents, in many respects, a microcosm of national trends. In the process of this analysis, we identified several medical and socioeconomic variables that may influence the rate of autopsy, including the age at death, physical location of death, gender, surgical procedures preceding death, immediate cause of death, and direct and indirect costs of the autopsy. In particular, the advancing mean age at death and the increase of the nursing home as a social phenomenon seem to have had a profound effect on autopsy rates both in Olmsted County and throughout the United States.

Resurrecting the autopsy: benefits and recommendations.

Maintenance of high autopsy rates is associated with specific benefits, especially for clinical practice and for clinical and epidemiologic research. We have compiled and evaluated (on the basis of related costs and benefits) a comprehensive list of recommendations to resurrect the autopsy and reestablish it as a central contributor to medical practice, teaching, and research.