A meta-analysis of previous falls and subsequent fracture risk in cohort studies.

The relationship between self-reported falls and fracture risk was estimated in an international meta-analysis of individual-level data from 46 prospective cohorts. Previous falls were associated with an increased fracture risk in women and men and should be considered as an additional risk factor in the FRAX® algorithm. INTRODUCTION: Previous falls are a well-documented risk factor for subsequent fracture but have not yet been incorporated into the FRAX algorithm. The aim of this study was to evaluate, in an international meta-analysis, the association between previous falls and subsequent fracture risk and its relation to sex, age, duration of follow-up, and bone mineral density (BMD). METHODS: The resource comprised 906,359 women and men (66.9% female) from 46 prospective cohorts. Previous falls were uniformly defined as any fall occurring during the previous year in 43 cohorts; the remaining three cohorts had a different question construct. The association between previous falls and fracture risk (any clinical fracture, osteoporotic fracture, major osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture) was examined using an extension of the Poisson regression model in each cohort and each sex, followed by random-effects meta-analyses of the weighted beta coefficients. RESULTS: Falls in the past year were reported in 21.4% of individuals. During a follow-up of 9,102,207 person-years, 87,352 fractures occurred of which 19,509 were hip fractures. A previous fall was associated with a significantly increased risk of any clinical fracture both in women (hazard ratio (HR) 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33-1.51) and men (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.41-1.67). The HRs were of similar magnitude for osteoporotic, major osteoporotic fracture, and hip fracture. Sex significantly modified the association between previous fall and fracture risk, with predictive values being higher in men than in women (e.g., for major osteoporotic fracture, HR 1.53 (95% CI 1.27-1.84) in men vs. HR 1.32 (95% CI 1.20-1.45) in women, P for interaction = 0.013). The HRs associated with previous falls decreased with age in women and with duration of follow-up in men and women for most fracture outcomes. There was no evidence of an interaction between falls and BMD for fracture risk. Subsequent risk for a major osteoporotic fracture increased with each additional previous fall in women and men. CONCLUSIONS: A previous self-reported fall confers an increased risk of fracture that is largely independent of BMD. Previous falls should be considered as an additional risk factor in future iterations of FRAX to improve fracture risk prediction.

Fibrotic activity quantified in serum by measurements of type III collagen pro-peptides can be used for prognosis across different solid tumor types.

Due to activation of fibroblast into cancer-associated fibroblasts, there is often an increased deposition of extracellular matrix and fibrillar collagens, e.g. type III collagen, in the tumor microenvironment (TME) that leads to tumor fibrosis (desmoplasia). Tumor fibrosis is closely associated with treatment response and poor prognosis for patients with solid tumors. To assure that the best possible treatment option is provided for patients, there is medical need for identifying patients with high (or low) fibrotic activity in the TME. Measuring unique collagen fragments such as the pro-peptides released into the bloodstream during fibrillar collagen deposition in the TME can provide a non-invasive measure of the fibrotic activity. Based on data from 8 previously published cohorts, this review provides insight into the prognostic value of quantifying tumor fibrosis by measuring the pro-peptide of type III collagen in serum of a total of 1692 patients with different solid tumor types and discusses the importance of tumor fibrosis for understanding prognosis and for potentially guiding future drug development efforts that aim at overcoming the poor outcome associated with a fibrotic TME.

A retrospective cohort study of the effect of SARS-CoV-2 point of care rapid RT-PCR at the Emergency Department on targeted admission.

BACKGROUND: To prevent nosocomial transmission of SARS-CoV-2, infection prevention control (IPC) measures are implemented for patients with symptoms compatible with COVID-19 until reliable test results are available. This delays admission to the most appropriate ward based on the medical condition. SARS-CoV-2 rapid antigen detection (RAD) tests and point-of-care (POC) rapid RT-PCR (VitaPCR) were introduced at emergency department (ED) at Skåne University Hospital, Sweden in late 2020, but the consequence on patient flow and targeted admission is unknown. METHODS: Patients presenting at the emergency department of a referral hospital (N = 2940) between 13-Nov-2020 and 12-Jan-2021 were included. The study period was delimited into three periods by the introduction of RAD tests and the VitaPCR. Participant data was collected from hospital records, and outcome variables were Length-of-Stay (LoS), intrahospital transfers and targeted admission to COVID-19 ward. RESULTS: Compared to baseline (RT-PCR only), RAD tests reduced ED Length-of-Stay (LoS) for participants with positive tests. Negative VitaPCR results reduced mean hospital LoS by 1.5 (95% CI 0.3-2.7) days and admissions to COVID-19 wards from 34.5 (95% CI 28.9-40.5) to 14.7 (95% CI 11.1-19.1) per 100 admissions and reduced transfers between hospital wards in the first 5 days from 50.0 (95% CI 45.0-55.0) to 34.0 (95% CI 30.3-37.9) per 100 admissions. CONCLUSION: RAD tests enabled prompt detection of SARS-CoV-2 infection which had pronounced effects on LoS at the ED. Negative VitaPCR enabled cessation of IPC measures and a negative test was associated with increased targeted admissions, reduced intrahospital transfers and shorter LoS at the hospital.

Programmed, intermittent boluses versus continuous infusion to the sciatic nerve - a non-inferiority randomized, controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Trials comparing programmed, intermittent boluses (PIB) and continuous infusion in catheter-based nerve blocks found no analgesic differences. However, as these trials used equal doses of local anesthetic (LA), the time of action of each bolus was not accounted for. Therefore, the dose-sparing benefits of PIB may have been overlooked. We compared the analgesic effect of boluses administered in intervals resembling the time of action of each bolus with continuous infusion. We hypothesized that PIB provided non-inferior analgesia despite consuming less LA. METHODS: Eighty-one patients undergoing fore- and midfoot surgery receiving a catheter-based sciatic nerve block were randomized to ropivacaine 0.2% as PIB of 10 ml every 8th hour or as continuous infusion, 6 ml h-1 . All participants could also receive boluses of 10 ml every 4th hour as needed. A non-inferiority randomized controlled design was used. Primary outcome was pain (VAS, 0-100 mm) for 72 h using area under curve (AUC) calculation. We assumed a linear relationship between mean VAS and AUC-VAS and used a non-inferiority margin of VAS = 20 mm, corresponding to AUC-VAS = 1440 mm h. RESULTS: Mean difference in AUC-VAS was -416 mm h (95% CI -1076 to 244; p = .217) between continuous infusion (mean AUC-VAS 1206 mm h) and PIB (mean AUC-VAS 1621 mm h), establishing non-inferiority. Mean total LA consumption was significantly larger for continuous infusion compared to PIB ((468 ml (95% CI 458 to 478) vs. 136 ml (95% CI 123 to 148); p < 0.0001)). CONCLUSIONS: PIB provided non-inferior analgesia compared to continuous infusion for 72 postoperative hours despite using significantly less LA.

Characteristics and Long-term Prognosis of Danish Patients With Varicella Zoster Virus Detected in Cerebrospinal Fluid Compared With the Background Population.

BACKGROUND: Risk factors for, and long-term outcomes following, detection of varicella zoster virus (VZV) DNA in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) are unknown. METHODS: We performed a nationwide population-based cohort study of all Danish residents who had VZV DNA detected in the CSF by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) between 1 January 1997 and 1 March 2016 (VZV cohort; n = 517) and an age- and sex- matched comparison cohort from the general Danish population (n = 9823). We examined potential risk factors and mortality, neurologic morbidity, psychiatric morbidity, redemptiom of prescriptions for nervous system medicine prescribed for the nervous system, and social outcomes. RESULTS: Prior hospital admission, redemption of immunosuppressive medicine, comorbidity, and immunosuppressive conditions were associated with detection of VZV DNA in the CSF. Mortality was increased in the VZV cohort, especially during the first year of observation and among patients with encephalitis. Patients in the VZV cohort had an increased risk of dementia and epilepsy. The redemption of antiepileptics and antidepressants was increased in the VZV cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Immunosuppression and comorbidity are associated with increased risk of detection of VZV DNA in the CSF and the condition is associated with increased mortality and neurological morbidity.

High preharvest donor Foxp3 mRNA level predicts late relapse of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia after haematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

OBJECTIVES: The curative effect of allogeneic haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) for acute leukaemia is due in part to the donor T cell-mediated graft-versus-leukaemia immune reaction (GvL). Several studies have suggested that donor CD25+CD4+Foxp3+regulator T cells (Tregs) may decrease graft-versus-host disease (GvHD) without abrogating GVL. This notion may need modification in acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL). METHODS: Foxp3 mRNA level was measured by qPCR in preharvest donor blood CD4+ T cells. The study comprised 45 patients with ALL in 1st or 2nd CR who received myeloablative HSCT using T-replete bone marrow grafts. RESULTS: Relapse occurred in 17 patients median 363 days after HSCT. The relapse risk was estimated by Cox univariate and multivariate proportional hazard regression. The proportionality assumption was met by analysing the preharvest donor Foxp3 mRNA level as a time-dependent covariate. Early relapse was not modified by the Foxp3 mRNA level. However, a higher Foxp3 mRNA level was associated with a significantly increased relapse risk after day 363 after transplantation, compatible with inhibition of GvL. In contrast, a higher preharvest donor CD4+ T-cell concentration was associated with reduced relapse risk. CONCLUSION: A higher preharvest donor Foxp3 mRNA level may be predictive of late ALL relapse after HSCT.

Safety, tolerability and pharmacokinetic characterisation of DACRA KBP-042 in healthy male subjects.

There is a need for antidiabetic agents successfully targeting insulin sensitivity and treating obesity control at the same time. The aim of this first-in-human study was (a) to evaluate safety and tolerability, (b) to evaluate pharmacokinetics and (c) to assess indications of receptor engagement of single ascending doses of KBP-042, a dual amylin and calcitonin receptor agonist (DACRA) that has shown promising preclinical data, with superior activity in terms of typical amylin-induced responses including reduction of food intake, weight loss and gluco-regulatory capacities. A randomised double-blind placebo-controlled single ascending dose study was performed with six dose levels of KBP-042 (5, 7.5, 10, 20, 20 (evening), 40 ug) in healthy male adults. KBP-042 or placebo was administered as a single dose after an overnight fast, followed by a standardized lunch after 4 hours. KBP-042 was associated with dose-dependent complaints of nausea and vomiting, with a lack of tolerability at doses of 20 µg and above. Doses of 5-40 µg KBP-042 behaved according to a linear pharmacokinetic profile. Indications of target receptor engagement were observed at the level of glucose control and lowering of bone resorption, compared to placebo. The results of this study showed that doses up to 40 µg were safe, although tolerability was not present at the highest doses. The study confirmed target receptor engagement at the studied doses.

Long-Term Survival, Health, Social Functioning, and Education in Patients With an Enterovirus Central Nervous System Infection, Denmark, 1997-2016.

BACKGROUND: The long-term clinical course of patients with an enterovirus central nervous system infection (ECI) is poorly understood. METHODS: We performed a nationwide population-based cohort study of all Danish patients with ECI diagnosed 1997-2016 (n = 1745) and a comparison cohort from the general population individually matched on date of birth and sex (n = 17 450). Outcomes were categorized into mortality and risk of cancer and likely measures of neurological sequelae: neuropsychiatric morbidities, educational landmarks, use of hospital services, employment, receipt of disability pension, income, number of sick leave days, and nursing home residency. RESULTS: Mortality in the first year was higher among patients with ECI (mortality rate ratio [MRR] = 10.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.17-24.1), but thereafter mortality was not higher (MMR = 0.94; 95% CI, 0.47-1.86). Long-term outcomes for patients with ECI were not inferior to those of the comparison cohort for risk of cancer, epilepsy, mental and behavioral disorders, dementia, depression, school start, school marks, high school education, use of hospital services, employment, receipt of disability pension, income, days of sick leave, or nursing home residency. CONCLUSIONS: Diagnosis of an ECI had no substantial impact on long-term survival, health, or social/educational functioning.

Risk of Neurological Disorders in Patients With European Lyme Neuroborreliosis: A Nationwide, Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Lyme neuroborreliosis (LNB), caused by the tick-borne spirochetes of the Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato species complex, has been suggested to be associated with a range of neurological disorders. In a nationwide, population-based cohort study, we examined the associations between LNB and dementia, Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease, motor neuron disease, epilepsy, and Guillain-Barré syndrome. METHODS: We used national registers to identify all Danish residents diagnosed during 1986-2016 with LNB (n = 2067), created a gender- and age-matched comparison cohort from the general population (n = 20 670), and calculated risk estimates and hazard ratios. RESULTS: We observed no long-term increased risks of dementia, Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease, motor neuron diseases, or epilepsy. However, within the first year, 8 (0.4%) of the LNB patients developed epilepsy, compared with 20 (0.1%) of the comparison cohort (difference, 0.3%; 95% confidence interval, .02-.6%). In the LNB group, 11 (0.5%) patients were diagnosed with Guillain-Barré syndrome within the first year after LNB diagnosis, compared with 0 (0.0%) in the comparison cohort. After the first year, the risk of Guillain-Barré was not increased. CONCLUSIONS: LNB patients did not have increased long-term risks of dementia, Alzheimer's disease, Parkinson's disease, motor neuron diseases, epilepsy, or Guillain-Barré. Although the absolute risk is low, LNB patients might have an increased short-term risk of epilepsy and Guillain-Barré syndrome.

Volume of ropivacaine 0.2% and sciatic nerve block duration: A randomized, blinded trial in healthy volunteers.

BACKGROUND: Sciatic nerve blocks are used for many orthopaedic procedures on the knee, lower leg, foot and ankle. However, as nerve block durations vary considerably, the timing of supplemental analgesia is challenging. Therefore, knowledge on the effect of local anaesthetic (LA) dose on block duration is important to outweigh the benefits of increasing LA dose against the risk of LA systemic toxicity. In this randomized, double-blind trial, we aimed to explore the relationship between the volume of ropivacaine 0.2% and sciatic nerve block duration. We hypothesized that increasing LA volume would prolong block duration. METHODS: We randomized 60 healthy volunteers to receive one of five volumes of ropivacaine 0.2%: 5, 10, 15, 20, or 30 mL. We used an ultrasound-guided, catheter-based technique targeting the sciatic nerve in the infragluteal region. The primary outcome was sensory block duration defined as the time of insensitivity to a cold stimulus. Intergroup differences were tested using one-way ANOVA. RESULTS: Mean (SD) sensory block durations for the tibial nerve (TN) with increasing volume were: 9.3 hours (1.7), 10.4 hours (1.6), 9.7 hours (2.9), 10.7 hours (2.8) and 9.9 hours (2.6). Mean (SD) sensory block durations for the common peroneal nerve (CPN) were: 10.6 hours (2.7), 11.9 hours (1.5), 11.0 hours (3.3), 13.2 hours (3.7), and 13.5 hours (6.1). There were no intergroup differences (P = .67 [TN]; P = .25 [CPN]). CONCLUSION: We found no effect of increasing the volume of ropivacaine 0.2% from 5 to 30 mL on sensory sciatic nerve block duration.