Exogenous hormone use, reproductive history and risk of adult myeloid leukaemia.

BACKGROUND: A hormonal aetiology is one explanation for the lower incidence of myeloid leukaemia in women compared with men. METHODS: In this population-based case-control study, we evaluated associations between exogenous hormone use and reproductive history and myeloid leukaemia, overall and by disease subtype. RESULTS: We observed a suggestive association between oral contraceptive use and acute myeloid leukaemia (odds ratio=0.55, 95% confidence interval=0.32-0.96). Hormone replacement therapy and reproductive factors were not associated with risk. CONCLUSION: Despite the biological plausibility for a role of oestrogen in leukaemogenesis, other aetiologic factors are likely to explain the differing incidence rates in males and females.

Unrelated donor search prognostic score to support early HLA consultation and clinical decisions.

A simple scoring system that can provide a quick search prognosis at the onset of an adult unrelated donor (URD) search could be a useful tool for transplant physicians. We aimed to determine whether patient human leukocyte Ag genotype frequency (GF) could be used as a surrogate measure of whether or not a potential 10/10 and/or 9/10 URD in the Be The Match Registry (BTMR) can be identified for the patient. GF was assigned on a training data set of 2410 patients that searched the BTMR using the reported ethnic group. A proportional odds model was used to correlate GF with defined search productivity categories as follows: 'Good' (>2 10/10), 'Fair' (1-2 10/10 or No 10/10 and >2 9/10) or 'Poor' (No 10/10 and <3 9/10). A second cohort (n=2411) was used to calculate the concordance by the ethnic group in all three categories. In addition, we validated against an independent cohort (n=1344) resolved as having a 10/10 or 9/10 matched URD. Across the ethnic groups, >90% of cases with 'Good' GF prognosis, 20-26% 'Fair' and <10% 'Poor' had a 10/10 URD. Although not a replacement for an actual URD search, GF offers a quick way for transplant physicians to get an indication of the likely search outcome.