Detection rates of colorectal neoplasia during colonoscopies and their associated factors in the SCREESCO study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Colonoscopy quality, including lesion detectability, is variable, and factors influencing lesion detection are not fully understood. This study investigated lesion detection rates during colonoscopies and the associated factors in the SCREEning of Swedish COlons (SCREESCO) study. METHODS: In this cross-sectional analysis of data from SCREESCO, a large-scale randomized controlled trial of colorectal cancer screening in the Swedish population aged 60 years, we assessed data of first-time colonoscopies performed in both colonoscopy and fecal immunochemical test (FIT) arms. RESULTS: This study included 16 552 individuals. The adenoma detection rate was 23.9% and 37.8% in colonoscopy and FIT arms, respectively. Regarding colonoscopy procedures, a withdrawal time ≥ 6 min was associated with higher detection rates of advanced adenomas (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 2.474, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.295-4.723), adenomas (2.181, 1.515-3.140), and proximal serrated lesions (pSLs) (1.713, 1.007-2.915). Antispasmodic use was associated with higher detection rates of these lesions and sessile serrated lesions (SSLs) (AOR, 95% CI: 1.523, 1.295-1.791; 1.361, 1.217-1.522; 1.450, 1.247-1.687; and 1.810, 1.512-2.167, respectively). Insertion time > 20 min was related to lower detection rates of adenomas, pSLs, and SSLs (AOR, 95% CI: 0.753, 0.639-0.887; 0.640, 0.495-0.828; and 0.704, 0.518-0.955, respectively). The relationship between a recent period and higher detection rates of pSLs and SSLs was also demonstrated. CONCLUSION: Lesion detectability in SCREESCO was mostly acceptable with room for improvement. In addition to sufficient withdrawal time, antispasmodic use and acquiring skills enabling short insertion time may improve lesion detection. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, ID: NCT02078804.

Long-Term Incidence and Mortality of Colorectal Cancer After Endoscopic Biopsy With Normal Mucosa: A Swedish-Matched Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Endoscopic screening reduces colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality. Individuals with a negative result are recommended to undergo rescreening within a 10-year interval, but evidence supporting this advice is limited. METHODS: We performed a matched cohort study using prospectively collected data from 88,798 individuals in Sweden with normal mucosa at the first colorectal biopsy (aged ≥50 years) in the nationwide gastrointestinal epidemiology strengthened by histopathology reports (ESPRESSO) (1965-2016) and 424,150 matched reference individuals from the general population. Cox proportional hazards regression estimated multivariable hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of CRC incidence and mortality of incident CRCs up to 44 years of follow-up. RESULTS: In the normal biopsy and reference groups, respectively, the 20-year incidences of CRC were 3.03% and 4.53% and the 20-year mortalities of incident CRC were 0.89% and 1.54%. The multivariable hazard ratio comparing the normal biopsy and reference groups was 0.62 for CRC incidence (95% CI = 0.58-0.66, P < 0.001) and 0.56 for mortality of incident CRC (95% CI = 0.49-0.64, P < 0.001). When assessed by time interval after biopsy, lower CRC incidence and mortality were observed throughout the follow-up. The association seemed weaker for proximal colon cancer than for rectal and distal colon cancer. DISCUSSION: A normal colorectal biopsy was associated with lower CRC incidence and mortality for at least 20 years after the examination. Our findings confirm previous data and suggest that the screening intervals after a normal colonoscopy could be longer than the commonly recommended 10 years. It may be time to open the discussion for a revision of the international guidelines.

Postcolonoscopy Colorectal Cancer in Sweden From 2003 to 2012: Survival, Tumor Characteristics, and Risk Factors.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The rate of postcolonoscopy colorectal cancer (PCCRC) is a measure of colonoscopy quality, but there are conflicting results from studies of survival times of patients with PCCRC. We assessed survival times of patients with PCCRC and characterized the microscopic and macroscopic features of postcolonoscopy colorectal tumors. METHODS: We performed a population-based cohort study using data from a database in Sweden, on 458,937 colonoscopies (54.0% women) performed from 2003 through 2012. Rates of colorectal cancer within 3 years of a colonoscopy were calculated based on the World Endoscopy Organization guidelines. Risk factors were evaluated using Poisson regression analysis. We used Cox regression models and Kaplan-Meier analyses, stratified by sex, to assess conditional survival. Logistic regression models were used to evaluate features of postcolonoscopy colorectal tumors, including stage location (right, left, or rectum) differentiation grade (high or low), synchronous tumors, perineural growth, resection margins, and mucinous and vessel characteristics. RESULTS: Within 36 months after a colonoscopy, there were 19,184 individuals who had received a diagnosis of CRC; 1384 of these were PCCRCs (7.2%). The proportion of individuals with PCCRC decreased from 9.4% in 2003 to 6.1% in 2012. The largest risk factors for PCCRC were a prior diagnosis of CRC (relative risk [RR], 3.31; 95% CI, 2.71-4.04), ulcerative colitis (RR, 5.44; 95% CI, 4.75-6.23), Crohn's disease (RR, 3.81; 95% CI, 2.98-4.87), and prior polypectomy (RR, 2.32; 95% CI, 1.97-2.72). Individuals with PCCRCs had shorter survival times than individuals with CRCs detected during the index colonoscopy. Multivariate hazard ratios for PCCRC were 2.75 for men (95% CI, 2.21-3.42) and 2.00 for women (95% CI, 1.59-2.52), respectively. Individuals with left-side PCCRC had shorter survival times than patients with CRC detected during the index colonoscopy. Postcolonoscopy colorectal tumors had increased odds of low differentiation grade (odds ratio, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.09-1.49) compared with colorectal tumors detected during the index colonoscopy. CONCLUSIONS: In an analysis of colonoscopies in Sweden, the rate of PCCRCs decreased from 9.4% in 2003 to 6.1% in 2012. Diseases that require surveillance (such as prior colorectal neoplasms and inflammatory bowel diseases) are the largest risk factors for PCCRC. Patients with PCCRC have shorter survival times than patients with CRC detected during their initial colonoscopy-especially women and patients with left-side tumors.

Health Care Costs of Patients With Biopsy-Confirmed Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Are Nearly Twice Those of Matched Controls.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Data on healthcare resource use and costs associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in clinical practice are lacking. We compared real-life healthcare costs of patients with NAFLD to matched controls. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study of 646 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD in Sweden from 1971 through 2009. Each patient was matched for age, sex, and county of residence with 10 persons from the general population (controls). We retrieved all healthcare contacts through Dec 31, 2014 from national registers. Unit costs were assigned to arrive at a total healthcare cost (in USD [$]) per study subject. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 19.9 years, we recorded a mean of 0.27 hospitalizations per year for patients with NAFLD vs 0.16 for controls (P < .001). This corresponded to an incremental cost of $635 per year for patients with NAFLD. Patients with NAFLD had a higher mean use of outpatient care visits: 1.46 contacts per year compared with 0.86 per year in controls, corresponding to $255 in additional costs (P < .001). Total costs incurred by patients with stage 3-4 fibrosis were higher than by patients with fibrosis stage 0-2 (mean annual costs, $4397 vs $629). Cumulative costs were higher for all stages of fibrosis compared to controls. CONCLUSIONS: Healthcare costs are nearly twice as high in patients with NAFLD than in matched controls. This is mostly attributable to higher costs for hospitalizations, but also to more outpatient visits. Patients with advanced fibrosis had the highest costs.

Gender, having a positive FIT and type of hospital are important factors for colonoscopy experience in colorectal cancer screening - findings from the SCREESCO study.

OBJECTIVES: Assessing the experience of screening procedures is crucial for improving the quality and acceptance of colonoscopy in colorectal cancer screening. The aim of the study was to investigate the colonoscopy experience and associated factors among individuals who underwent a colonoscopy in the Screening of Swedish Colons (SCREESCO) study. METHODS: Participants in the Screening of Swedish Colons (SCREESCO; n = 7593) randomized clinical trial (colonoscopy vs. faecal immunochemical test (FIT)) were enrolled. The primary outcome was overall colonoscopy experience measured with a study-specific questionnaire. Secondary endpoints were measured using multiple regression analyses with factors that included sex, randomization group, geographical regions, university hospital, complications, sedation, clean bowel, time to cecum, and presence of polyps or cancer. RESULTS: A total of 6572 (87%) individuals responded to the questionnaire. The majority was satisfied with the information, care and treatment. Women reported more worry, discomfort and pain, but also better information, care and treatment compared with men. The FIT group was more worried and perceived more discomfort and pain than the colonoscopy group. Type of hospital (geographical region; university hospital vs. not university hospital) was also a significant predictor for the colonoscopy experience. CONCLUSIONS: Although most participants were satisfied with the colonoscopy experience, the study has highlighted areas for improvement. Important factors for colonoscopy experience were gender, randomization group, and type of hospital and therefore crucial to bear in mind when designing screening programs.

Rates and characteristics of postcolonoscopy colorectal cancer in the Swedish IBD population: what are the differences from a non-IBD population?

OBJECTIVE: The rate of postcolonoscopy colorectal cancer (PCCRC) is considered a key quality indicator of colonoscopy; little is known about PCCRC in IBD. DESIGN: A population-based cohort study of colonoscopies in Sweden from 2001 to 2010 was conducted. Individuals with a colorectal cancer (CRC) detected within 36 months after a colonoscopy were identified and stratified on UC, Crohn's disease (CD) or non-IBD. The CRCs were classified as detected CRCs (dCRC) (0-6 months) or as PCCRCs (6-36 months). PCCRC rates were calculated by the number of false negative/(the number of true positive+the number of false negative) colonoscopies. Poisson regression analysis was employed to examine the association between PCCRC and IBD (CD and UC) diagnosis, age, gender, location, time period and comorbidities. RESULTS: We identified 348 232 colonoscopies in 270 918 individuals. Of these, 27 123 were performed on 14 597 individuals with CD, and 51 572 were performed on 26 513 individuals with UC. There were 13 317 CRCs in the non-IBD group, 133 in the CD group and 281 in the UC group. The PCCRC rate in the CD group was 28.3% and 41.0% in the UC group. The RR for a PCCRC was 3.82 (95% CI 2.94 to 4.96) in CD and 5.89 (95% CI 5.10 to 6.80) in UC, compared with non-IBD. The highest risk was observed among rectal cancer location in CD and in younger individuals with UC. CONCLUSION: The high rates of PCCRC in young patients with UC and for rectal cancer location in CD might affect future performance of IBD surveillance.

Accuracy of Noninvasive Scoring Systems in Assessing Risk of Death and Liver-Related Endpoints in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Several non-invasive scoring systems have been developed to determine risk of advanced fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We examined the association between 4 scoring systems and incident severe liver disease and overall mortality in a large cohort of patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of data from 646 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD, recruited from 2 hospitals in Sweden, from 1971 through 2009. The NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), FIB-4, APRI, and BARD scores were calculated at the time of the liver biopsy. Based on each score, patients were assigned to categories of low, intermediate, or high risk for advanced fibrosis. Overall mortality and severe liver disease (cirrhosis, decompensated liver disease, liver failure, or hepatocellular carcinoma) were ascertained through linkage with national registers until the end of 2014. Cox regression, area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve, and C-statistic analyses were used to study the predictive capacity of each scoring system. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up time of 19.9±8.7 years, there were 214 deaths and 76 cases of severe liver disease. For overall mortality, AUROC curve values were: NFS, 0.72 (95% CI, 0.68-0.76); FIB-4, 0.72 (95% CI, 0.68-0.76); BARD, 0.62 (95% CI, 0.58-0.66); and APRI, 0.52 (95% CI, 0.47-0.57). For severe liver disease, AUROC curve values were: NFS, 0.72 (95% CI, 0.66-0.78); FIB-4, 0.72 (95% CI, 0.66-0.79); BARD, 0.62 (95% CI, 0.55-0.69); APRI, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.63-0.76). C-statistics for all scores were of moderate capacity to predict outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: In a retrospective analysis of data from 646 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD, we found the NFS and the FIB-4 scores to most accurately determine risk of overall death or severe liver disease. However, the AUROC values for these scoring systems are not high enough for use in the clinic; new systems are needed to determine prognoses of patients with NAFLD.

Cardiovascular risk factors in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are at an increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). It is unclear whether histological variables may help predict CVD risk. We evaluated histology and traditional CV risk factors as predictors of CVD outcomes in a large NAFLD cohort. METHODS: We included 603 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients free of baseline CVD and matched these (1:10, by age, sex and municipality) to 6269 population controls. All individuals were cross-linked to national registries to ascertain incident CVD events, defined as acute ischaemic heart disease or stroke. The presence of CV risk factors and liver histology were available in NAFLD patients only. Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for incident CVD. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 18.6 years, 168 (28%) of NAFLD patients and 1325 (21%) of controls experienced a CVD event (HR 1.54, 95%CI 1.30-1.83). Within the NAFLD cohort, age, male sex, type 2 diabetes, smoking and triglycerides were associated with risk of CVD. Taking these CV risk factors into account, no histological parameter, including presence of NASH and fibrosis stage, were associated with incident CVD. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with NAFLD are at an increased risk for CVD compared to matched controls, but histological parameters do not seem to independently predict this risk.

Alcohol and drug use prior to liver transplantation: more common than expected in patients with non-alcoholic liver disease.

Objective: Liver transplantation (LT) is a life-saving procedure for patients with end-stage liver disease, acute liver failure or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Patients with known alcoholic liver cirrhosis (ALC) are usually assessed by an addiction specialist, but patients with other liver diseases may also exhibit harmful drinking. This study aims to assess the drinking habits in LT-recipients with or without a diagnosis of ALC. Patients and methods: Between April 2012 and December 2015, 190 LT-recipients were interviewed using the Lifetime Drinking History (LDH) and the Addiction Severity Index (ASI). Patients were categorized according to their diagnoses: ALC (group A, n = 39), HCC or hepatitis C (group B, n = 56) or other liver diseases (group C, n = 95). Data were analysed using descriptive statistic methods. Results: Fifteen of 95 patients (15.8%) in group C - a cohort without suspected addiction problems - had either alcohol consumption or binge drinking within the upper quartile of the overall cohort. The aetiology of liver disease in this subgroup included mainly cholestatic and cryptogenic liver disease. Illicit drugs had been used by 35% of all patients. Cannabis and amphetamine were the most common drugs and had the longest duration of regular use. Conclusions: LT candidates without known alcohol or drug use may have a clinically significant consumption of alcohol and previous illicit drug use. Efforts should be put on identification of these patients during LT evaluation. The use of structured questionnaires such as the ASI and the LDH could facilitate detection of alcohol and drug problems.

Fecal immunochemical test in cancer screening - colonoscopy outcome in FIT positives and negatives.

Objectives: Fecal immunochemical test (FIT) is used in colorectal cancer (CRC) screening, but evaluations of multiple sample strategies in colonoscopy screening cohorts are rare. The aim of this study was to assess accuracy of FIT for advanced neoplasia (AN) with two fecal samples in a colonoscopy screening cohort. Materials and methods: The study comprised 1155 participants of the colonoscopy arm in SCREESCO (Screening of Swedish Colons, NCT02078804), a randomized controlled study on CRC screening of 60-year-olds from the Swedish average-risk population. Participants provided two FIT samples prior to colonoscopy. First sample, mean of two, and any of the two samples above cut off level were assessed. Colonoscopy findings (CRC, advanced adenoma (AA), AN (CRC + AA) and adenoma characteristics) were evaluated in uni- and multivariable analysis in relation to FIT positivity (at ≥10 µg hemoglobin (Hb)/g). Results: Of 1155 invited, 806 (416 women, 390 men) participated. CRC, AA and non-AA were found in one (0.1%), 80 (9.9%) and 145 (18%), respectively. Sensitivity and specificity for AN were 20%/93%, 25%/92% and 26%/89% for first, mean of two and any of the two samples respectively at cut off level 10 µg/g, corresponding to 60 (74%)-65 (80%) participants with missed AN. The difference in sensitivity between screening strategies was non-significant. The specificity for first sample was significantly higher than for any of the two samples at cut off 10 µg/g (p = .02) and 20 µg/g (p = .04). FIT positivity in participants with adenoma was associated with pedunculated shape (p = .007) and high-risk dysplasia (p = .009). Conclusions: In an average-risk colonoscopy screening cohort of 60-year-olds, sensitivity for AN was modest and did not increase when using two samples instead of one. FIT predominantly detected adenomas with pedunculated shape and high-risk dysplasia, and participants with flat or broad based adenomas may thus be missed in screening.

Fecal immunochemical test in colorectal cancer screening: Colonoscopy findings by different cut-off levels.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Fecal immunochemical test (FIT) is used in colorectal cancer (CRC) screening, but number of tests and cut-off level differ by program. The aim was to evaluate CRC screening with two FIT samples in average-risk 60-year-old men and women and to investigate hemoglobin (Hb) level in correlation to adenoma characteristics. METHODS: We analyzed a cohort from Screening of Swedish Colons trial where participants with at least one of two FIT samples ≥10 µg Hb/g are offered colonoscopy. FIT levels and colonoscopy findings were assessed in multivariable analyses. Cut-off levels 10-80 µg Hb/g for one and two samples were assessed. FIT levels and advanced neoplasia (AN) were investigated by gender. RESULTS: A total of 12 383 participated and 1182 positives (551 women) completed colonoscopy diagnosing 27 (2.3%) CRC and 269 (23%) advanced adenomas (AA). Median FIT level was 241.0 and 23.8 for CRC and AA compared with 13.4-15.8 in other subgroups (P = 0.002) correlating with adenoma size (P = 0.038). CRC was detected in 22 and 19 subjects for the first sample at cut-off 20 and 40 µg Hb/g, compared with 20 and 17 for the mean of two samples at cut-off 40 and 80 µg Hb/g (P < 0.05). Men had more AN (CRC + AA), (P = 0.003). In women, similar number of AN would be detected with cut-off lowered from 40 to 20 or from 80 to 40 µg Hb/g, requiring additional 26-34% colonoscopies. CONCLUSION: In average-risk 60-year-olds, FIT was higher in participants with AN and correlated with adenoma size. FIT screening with one sample at low cut-off detected more CRC than two samples at higher cut-off. Applying lower cut-off in women to equalize gender differences in AN would result in considerable increase in colonoscopy workload.

The underreporting of hepatocellular carcinoma to the cancer register and a log-linear model to estimate a more correct incidence.

The Cancer Register (CR) in Sweden has reported that the incidence of primary liver cancer (PLC) has slowly declined over the last decades. Even though all cancers, irrespective of diagnostic method, should be reported to the CR, the PLC incidence may not reflect the true rate. Improved diagnostic tools have enabled diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma based on noninvasive methods without histological verification, possibly associated with missed cancer reports or misclassification in the CR. Our objective was to study the completeness and assess the underreporting of PLC to the CR and to produce a more accurate estimate based on three registers. The CR, the Cause of Death Register, and the Patient Register were investigated. Differences and overlap were examined, the incidence was estimated by merging data from the registers, and the number reported to none of the registers was estimated using a log-linear capture-recapture model. The results show that 98% of the PLCs reported to the CR were histologically verified; 80% were hepatocellular carcinoma and 20% were intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. Unspecified liver cancer decreased over time and constituted <10% of all reported liver cancers. The CR may underestimate the liver cancer incidence by 37%-45%, primarily due to missed cancer reports. The estimated annual number of liver cancers increased over time, but the standardized incidence was stable around 11 per 100,000. Hepatitis C-associated liver cancer increased and constituted 20% in 2010. CONCLUSION: There was an underreporting of PLC diagnosed by noninvasive methods; the incidence was considerably higher than estimated by the CR, with a stable incidence over time; reporting needs to improve and combining registers is recommended when studying incidence. (Hepatology 2017;65:885-892).

Increased risk of mortality by fibrosis stage in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

Liver fibrosis is the most important predictor of mortality in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Quantitative risk of mortality by fibrosis stage has not been systematically evaluated. We aimed to quantify the fibrosis stage-specific risk of all-cause and liver-related mortality in NAFLD. Through a systematic review and meta-analysis, we identified five adult NAFLD cohort studies reporting fibrosis stage-specific mortality (0-4). Using fibrosis stage 0 as a reference population, fibrosis stage-specific mortality rate ratios (MRRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all-cause and liver-related mortality were estimated. The study is reported according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses statement. Included were 1,495 NAFLD patients with 17,452 patient years of follow-up. Compared to NAFLD patients with no fibrosis (stage 0), NAFLD patients with fibrosis were at an increased risk for all-cause mortality, and this risk increased with increases in the stage of fibrosis: stage 1, MRR = 1.58 (95% CI 1.19-2.11); stage 2, MRR = 2.52 (95% CI 1.85-3.42); stage 3, MRR = 3.48 (95% CI 2.51-4.83); and stage 4, MRR = 6.40 (95% CI 4.11-9.95). The results were more pronounced as the risk of liver-related mortality increased exponentially with each increase in the stage of fibrosis: stage 1, MRR = 1.41 (95% CI 0.17-11.95); stage 2, MRR = 9.57 (95% CI 1.67-54.93); stage 3, MRR = 16.69 (95% CI 2.92-95.36); and stage 4, MRR = 42.30 (95% CI 3.51-510.34). Limitations of the study include an inability to adjust for comorbid conditions or demographics known to impact fibrosis progression in NAFLD and the inclusion of patients with simple steatosis and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis without fibrosis in the reference comparison group. CONCLUSION: The risk of liver-related mortality increases exponentially with increase in fibrosis stage; these data have important implications in assessing the utility of each stage and benefits of regression of fibrosis from one stage to another. (Hepatology 2017;65:1557-1565).

Hepcidin levels correlate to liver iron content, but not steatohepatitis, in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND: One-third of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) develop dysmetabolic iron overload syndrome (DIOS), the pathogenesis of which is unknown. Altered production of the iron-regulatory peptide hepcidin has been reported in NAFLD, but it is unclear if this is related to iron accumulation, lipid status or steatohepatitis. METHODS: Eighty-four patients with liver disease, 54 of which had iron overload, underwent liver biopsy (n = 66) and/or magnetic resonance imaging (n = 35) for liver iron content determination. Thirty-eight of the patients had NAFLD, 29 had chronic liver disease other than NAFLD, and 17 had untreated genetic hemochromatosis. Serum hepcidin was measured with ELISA in all patients and in 34 controls. Hepcidin antimicrobial peptide (HAMP) mRNA in liver tissue was determined with real-time-quantitative PCR in 36 patients. RESULTS: Serum hepcidin was increased similarly in NAFLD with DIOS as in the other chronic liver diseases with iron overload, except for genetic hemochromatosis. HAMP mRNA in liver tissue, and serum hepcidin, both correlated to liver iron content in NAFLD patients (r2 = 0.45, p < 0.05 and r2 = 0.27, p < 0.05 respectively) but not to body mass index, NAFLD activity score or serum lipids. There was a good correlation between HAMP mRNA in liver tissue and serum hepcidin (r2 = 0.39, p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: In NAFLD with or without dysmetabolic iron overload, serum hepcidin and HAMP mRNA in liver correlate to body iron content but not to the degree of steatohepatitis or lipid status. Thus, the dysmetabolic iron overload syndrome seen in NAFLD is not caused by an altered hepcidin synthesis.

Health literacy levels and views about being invited to a colorectal cancer screening program.

BACKGROUND: Sweden has not yet implemented a national screening program for colorectal cancer, but a nationwide study is ongoing; the Screening of Swedish Colons (SCREESCO). Previous research shows that the use of health care services, together with several health-related outcomes, is associated with an individual's level of health literacy. However, the relation between health literacy and participation in colorectal cancer screening has produced varying results reported within the few studies addressing this issue and therefore, further research is warranted. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The aim was to explore health literacy and views about being invited to screening, among participants and non-participants in a national colorectal cancer screening program. They were randomly sampled to fecal immunochemical test or colonoscopy and a mixed methods approach was applied, using questionnaires, focus group discussions and interviews. RESULTS: The majority of individuals, whether they were participants or non-participants in the SCREESCO program, had an acceptable level of health literacy and no significant differences in health literacy levels between the groups were found. Participants expressed that it was important and appreciated to be able to choose information sources on an individual basis. Among non-participants, the importance of receiving invitations with a clear message that quickly draws one's attention was highlighted. However, both groups expressed a positive outlook towards the invitation. The mixed methods approach revealed that findings from interviews and focus group discussions corresponded to items in the health literacy scales. CONCLUSION: A majority of individuals displayed acceptable levels of health literacy, regardless of whether they chose to participate or not. Similarities between the groups were seen in the qualitative findings regarding views of the invitation. Currently, the SCREESCO invitation letter is distributed by regular mail, but in the future a more dynamic approach could be valuable to increase clarity in the message about importance of screening.

Dense genotyping of immune-related loci identifies HLA variants associated with increased risk of collagenous colitis.

OBJECTIVE: Collagenous colitis (CC) is a major cause of chronic non-bloody diarrhoea, particularly in the elderly female population. The aetiology of CC is unknown, and still poor is the understanding of its pathogenesis. This possibly involves dysregulated inflammation and immune-mediated reactions in genetically predisposed individuals, but the contribution of genetic factors to CC is underinvestigated. We systematically tested immune-related genes known to impact the risk of several autoimmune diseases for their potential CC-predisposing role. DESIGN: Three independent cohorts of histologically confirmed CC cases (N=314) and controls (N=4299) from Sweden and Germany were included in a 2-step association analysis. Immunochip and targeted single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) genotype data were produced, respectively, for discovery and replication purposes. Classical human leucocyte antigen (HLA) variants at 2-digit and 4-digit resolution were obtained via imputation from single marker genotypes. SNPs and HLA variants passing quality control filters were tested for association with CC with logistic regression adjusting for age, sex and country of origin. RESULTS: Forty-two markers gave rise to genome-wide significant association signals, all contained within the HLA region on chromosome 6 (best p=4.2×10-10 for SNP rs4143332). Among the HLA variants, most pronounced risk effects were observed for 8.1 haplotype alleles including DQ2.5, which was targeted and confirmed in the replication data set (p=2.3×10-11; OR=2.06; 95% CI (1.67 to 2.55) in the combined analysis). CONCLUSIONS: HLA genotype associates with CC, thus implicating HLA-related immune mechanisms in its pathogenesis.

Fibrosis stage but not NASH predicts mortality and time to development of severe liver disease in biopsy-proven NAFLD.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is very common in the general population, but identifying patients with increased risk of mortality and liver-specific morbidity remains a challenge. Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is thought to enhance this risk; therefore, resolution of NASH is a major endpoint in current pharmacologic studies. Herein, we aim to investigate the long-term prognosis of a large cohort of NAFLD patients, and to study the specific effect of NASH and fibrosis stage on prognosis. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 646 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients. Each case was matched for age, sex and municipality to ten controls. Outcomes on mortality and severe liver disease, defined as cirrhosis, liver decompensation/failure or hepatocellular carcinoma, were evaluated using population-based registers. Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex and type 2 diabetes were used to examine the long-term risk according to fibrosis stage. Likelihood ratio tests were used to assess whether adding NASH to these models increased the predictive capacity. Laplace regression was used to estimate the time to severe liver disease according to stage of fibrosis. RESULTS: During a follow-up of mean 20years (range 0-40) equivalent to 139,163 person-years, 12% of NAFLD patients and 2.2% of controls developed severe liver disease (p<0.001). Compared to controls, the risk of severe liver disease increased per stage of fibrosis (hazard ratio ranging from 1.9 in F0 to 104.9 in F4). Accounting for the presence of NASH did not change these estimates significantly (likelihood ratio test >0.05 for all stages of fibrosis). Similar results were seen for overall mortality. The lower end of the 95% confidence interval for the 10th percentile of time to development of severe liver disease was 22-26years in F0-1, 9.3years in F2, 2.3years in F3, and 0.9years to liver decompensation in F4. CONCLUSIONS: In this, the largest ever study of biopsy-proven NAFLD, the presence of NASH did not increase the risk of liver-specific morbidity or overall mortality. Knowledge of time to development of severe liver disease according to fibrosis stage can be used in individual patient counselling and for public health decisions. LAY SUMMARY: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is very common in the general population, but reaching an accurate prognosis remains challenging. We investigate the long-term prognosis of a large cohort of NAFLD patients. In this, the largest ever study of biopsy-proven NAFLD, the presence of NASH did not increase the risk of liver-specific morbidity or overall mortality. Knowledge of time to development of severe liver disease according to fibrosis stage can be used in individual patient counselling and for public health decisions.

Risk of cirrhosis-related complications in patients with advanced fibrosis following hepatitis C virus eradication.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is reduced but not eradicated among patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-induced advanced hepatic fibrosis who attained sustained viral response (SVR). We aimed to assess the risk of cirrhosis-related complications in this specific group of patients. METHODS: Data from previously reported Western cohort studies including patients with chronic HCV infection and bridging fibrosis or cirrhosis who attained SVR were pooled for survival analyses on the individual patient level. The primary endpoint was HCC and the secondary endpoint was clinical disease progression, defined as liver failure, HCC or death. RESULTS: Included were 1000 patients with SVR. Median age was 52.7 (IQR 45.1-59.7) years, 676 (68%) were male and 842 (85%) had cirrhosis. Median follow-up was 5.7 (IQR 2.9-8.0) years. Fifty-one patients developed HCC and 101 had clinical disease progression. The cumulative 8-year HCC incidence was 1.8 (95% CI 0.0-4.3) among patients with bridging fibrosis and 8.7% (95% CI 6.0-11.4) among those with cirrhosis (p=0.058). Within the cirrhosis group, the 8-year HCC incidence was 2.6% (95% CI 0.0-5.5) among patients <45years, 9.7% (95% CI 5.8-13.6) among patients from 45-60years, and 12.2% (95% CI 5.3-19.1) among patients >60years of age at start of therapy (p=0.006). Multivariable Cox analyses indicated that higher age, lower platelet count and diabetes mellitus were independently associated with development of HCC. After 8years 4.2% (95% CI 0.1-8.3) of patients with bridging fibrosis and 15.8% (95% CI 12.3-19.3) of patients with cirrhosis experienced clinical disease progression (p=0.007). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with HCV-induced cirrhosis and SVR showed an annual risk of approximately 1% for HCC and 2% for clinical disease progression. Therefore, to prevent HCC surveillance, chronic HCV infection should preferably be treated before cirrhosis has developed. LAY SUMMARY: Patients with cirrhosis who were able to eradicate their chronic HCV infection remain at substantial risk of primary liver cancer. The risk of liver cancer increases with higher age, laboratory makers suggesting more severe liver disease, and presence of diabetes mellitus. Also after successful antiviral therapy patients with HCV-induced cirrhosis should thus remain included in follow-up for early detection of liver cancer.

Histologic Scores for Fat and Fibrosis Associate With Development of Type 2 Diabetes in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a strong risk factor for development of type 2 diabetes, but little is known about how long-term NAFLD or its histologic features affect risk. We aimed to investigate the cumulative incidence of type 2 diabetes in patients with NAFLD and to identify histologic factors that affect risk of diabetes. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study of 396 patients in Sweden diagnosed with NAFLD by biopsy analysis from 1971 through 2009 who did not have type 2 diabetes at baseline. Data on development of type 2 diabetes were collected from patient charts and national registers. Patients were categorized into groups with fibrosis stages 0-2 (n = 357) or stages 3-4 (n = 39). Hazard ratios of histologic parameters for type 2 diabetes development were calculated separately in a multivariate Cox regression model adjusted for sex, age, body mass index, and serum levels of triglycerides greater than 150 mg/dL. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up period of 18.4 years (range, 0-41 years), 132 individuals (33%) developed type 2 diabetes. A significantly higher proportion of patients with fibrosis stages 3-4 (51.2%) developed type 2 diabetes than patients with fibrosis stages 0-2 (31.3%) (P = .02). For patients with fibrosis stages 0-2, fat score associated independently with development of type 2 diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.34; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.74; P = .03). No histologic factors associated with development of diabetes in patients with fibrosis stages 3-4. Presence of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis was not associated with development of type 2 diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: In a retrospective study we found a higher proportion of patients with fibrosis stages 3-4 to develop type 2 diabetes than patients with fibrosis stages 0-2. In patients with fibrosis stages 0-2, fat score associates with risk of type 2 diabetes.