Impact of menopausal symptoms on presenteeism in Japanese women.

BACKGROUND: Menopausal symptoms are common among middle-aged women. Working women with severe menopausal symptoms are more likely to experience presenteeism-a condition where employees continue to work despite feeling unwell. However, it remains unclear as to which specific symptoms women experience during the menopausal transition and postmenopausal periods that primarily contribute to presenteeism. AIMS: To evaluate the associations between types of menopausal symptoms and presenteeism among Japanese women. METHODS: A cross-sectional study of 4000 women aged 40-59 years who were currently working was conducted in Japan in September 2022. We used an online self-administered questionnaire that included items on demographic characteristics, the Menopause Rating Scale for measuring menopausal symptoms and the Work Functioning Impairment Scale for measuring presenteeism. Logistic regression analysis was performed. RESULTS: Women with severe overall menopausal symptoms had 12.18-fold (95% confidence interval [CI] 9.09-16.33, P < 0.001) increased odds of presenteeism compared with those without symptoms. Participants with psychological symptoms also had significantly higher presenteeism (severe: odds ratio: 9.18, 95% CI 6.60-12.78, P < 0.001). However, after controlling for psychological symptoms, there were no significant associations between somatic and urogenital symptoms and presenteeism. CONCLUSIONS: The results indicate that menopausal symptoms, especially psychological symptoms, have a significant impact on presenteeism among Japanese women. Organizations need to address menopausal symptoms in the workplace, with an emphasis on reducing work-related stress for women with menopausal symptoms.

Two definitions of presenteeism: sickness presenteeism and impaired work function.

BACKGROUND: Two major definitions exist for presenteeism: sickness presenteeism and impaired work function. The evidence for comparing previous studies on presenteeism is insufficient because of the different definitions of presenteeism used. AIMS: To assess the relationship between the two major definitions of presenteeism. METHODS: This cross-sectional study analysed secondary data on 5334 respondents to an employee survey administered in a construction company in Japan. Impaired work function was measured using the Work Functioning Impairment Scale (WFun). Multiple logistic regression was performed. RESULTS: A strong linear association was observed between the number of days of sickness presenteeism and impaired work function (all P < 0.001). In contrast, the number of days of sickness absence was only partially positively associated with impaired work function. All choices for most frequent health problem were positively associated with impaired work function, beginning with mental problems (adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 20.45, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 14.94-28.01), followed by malaise (adjusted OR = 11.91, 95% CI: 9.08-15.62) and sleeping problems (adjusted OR = 8.62, 95% CI: 6.57-11.33). CONCLUSIONS: A strong relationship was observed between the two major definitions of presenteeism, even after adjusting for a variety of chronic health conditions. Although a consensus on the definition of presenteeism is yet to be reached, this study provides insight on comparing existing studies on presenteeism.

Near misses and presenteeism among paramedics.

BACKGROUND: Paramedics need to be in good physical health to be able to respond to emergencies. We hypothesized that near misses by paramedics and unanticipated incidents that cause no harm may be associated with presenteeism during emergency rescues. AIMS: To examine the association between presenteeism and near misses among paramedics. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted among 254 paramedics using a self-administered questionnaire. Presenteeism was measured using the work functioning impairment scale (WFun). RESULTS: Twelve per cent of respondents experienced high work function impairment indicating presenteeism. The rate of near-miss experiences steadily increased with increasing work function impairment among paramedics (WFun score category: middle, odds ratio (OR) 3.62, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.62-8.11; high, OR 4.36, 95% CI 1.37-13.84; very high, OR 8.62, 95% CI 2.09-35.48). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated a positive relationship between impaired work function indicating presenteeism and near misses among paramedics. This suggests that presenteeism may be associated with errors that have the potential to cause serious accidents. Improved access to treatment for frequent health problems may reduce the number of incidents among paramedics.

Willingness to care for blood-borne virus-infected patients in Thailand.

Background: Although stigma and discrimination by nurses against patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) have been reported, potential determinants of nurses' willingness to care for these patients have not been well studied in Thailand. Aims: To identify factors associated with Thai nurses' willingness to care for patients infected with HIV or HCV. Methods: Multivariable logistic regression analysis of data from a questionnaire completed by nurses at a large hospital in Bangkok, Thailand. Results: Of 626 nurses, 546 (87%) nurses participated. Eleven per cent (59) and 6% (34) had previously experienced HIV- or HCV-infected blood contamination incidents, respectively. Forty-four per cent (240) and 38% (208) reported unwillingness to care for HIV- or HCV-infected patients, respectively. Willingness to care was less common [adjusted odds ratios 0.51 (0.34-0.74) for HIV and 0.62 (0.42-0.89) for HCV] in nurses aged ≥ 40 years and in those who feared HCV [0.63 (0.37-0.99)], but not HIV [0.84 (0.5-1.26)] transmission. Nurses who had confidence in protecting themselves against infection with HIV [1.84 (1.52-2.04)] and HCV [1.87 (1.45-2.18)], and accepting attitudes towards HIV-infected co-workers [1.39 (1.08-1.66)] but not HCV-infected co-workers [1.16 (0.83-1.5)], were more willing to care for HIV- and HCV-infected patients. Conclusions: Around 4 in 10 Thai nurses in our sample were unwilling to care for HIV- or HCV-infected patients. Minimizing the risk of nosocomial transmission and improving the public perception of infected individuals may help improve nurses' willingness to care for such patients, in Thailand or elsewhere.

Multiple myeloma among atomic bomb survivors in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, 1950-76: relationship to radiation dose absorbed by marrow.

The relationship between atomic bomb exposure and the incidence of multiple myeloma has been examined in a fixed cohort of atomic bomb survivors and controls in the life-span study sample for Hiroshima and Nagasaki. From October 1950 to December 1976, 29 cases of multiple myeloma were confirmed in this sample. Our analysis shows that the standardized relative risk (RR) adjusted for city, sex, and age at the time of bombings (ATB) increased with marrow-absorbed radiation dose. The increased RR does not appear to differ between cities or sexes and is demonstrable only for those survivors whose age ATB was between 20 and 59 years. The estimated risk in these individuals is approximately 0.48 cases/million person-years/rad for bone marrow total dose. This excess risk did not become apparent in individuals receiving 50 rad or more in marrow total dose until 20 years or more after exposure.

Partial purification and characterization of glycylprolyl dipeptidyl aminopeptidase in porcine pancreas.

This study reports the presence of glycylprolyl dipeptidyl aminopeptidase in porcine pancreas, and its partial purification and some properties. Crude enzyme preparation was obtained by extraction from acetone-dried powder of the pancreas at pH 7.6. For solubilization of enzyme, freezing and thawing were carried out. Crude enzyme extract was fractionated with ammonium sulfate precipitation, gel filtration on Sephadex G-200 column and ion-exchange chromatography on DEAE-cellulose. Partially purified enzyme showed 2897-folds purification. The enzyme activity on polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis showed good agreement with a main protein band stained with Coomassie brilliant blue. Molecular weight of this enzyme from the pancreas was estimated to be 300000 by gel filtration on Sephacryl S-300 column. Optimum pH was between 8.5 and 9.0, and Km value for glycylproline-p-nitroanilide tosilate was 0.33 mM. This enzyme from the pancreas was a serine enzyme and was relatively stable to heat at 60 degrees C for 10 min.

Nuclear localisation of glutathione S-transferase pi is an evaluation factor for drug resistance in gynaecological cancers.

AIMS: Nuclear glutathione S-transferase pi (GST7pi) has been reported to protect cancer cells against anticancer drugs. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the clinical significance of nuclear GSTpi in gynaecological cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We carried out an immunohistochemical analysis of GSTpi, and examined the correlation between nuclear GSTpi: expression and prognosis in 43 epithelial ovarian cancers. We compared expression levels before and after chemotherapy in uterine cervical cancers and endometrial cancers. RESULTS: The 5-year progression-free survival rate of the nuclear GSTpi-positive group was lower than that of the cytoplasmic GSTpi-positive group, and was significantly lower than that of the negative group (14.3% vs 34.8% vs 66.7%; P = 0.041). The expression of nuclear GSTpi was compared before and after chemotherapy in uterine cervical and endometrial cancers. In eight out of 12 cases (66.7%), the expression turned positive after the chemotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: We suggest that nuclear localisation of GSTpi is associated with drug resistance. The nuclear localisation of GSTpi in tumour cells is a useful prognosticator, and may contribute to the selection of anticancer drugs for gynaecological cancers.

Purulent pericarditis caused by Streptococcus milleri.

Streptococcus milleri was isolated in pure culture from the pericardial fluid of a 42-year-old man with pulmonary tuberculosis. Pericardiectomy had to be done to cure the pericarditis.

Altered metabolism of androgens in elderly men with benign prostatic hyperplasia.

Kinetics of testosterone, dihydrotestosterone (DHT) and 5alpha-androstane-3alpha,17beta-diol (3alpha-diol) were studied in 7 elderly healthy men (ages 61 to 80 years) with benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). Clearance rates were determined by the constant infusion technique with labeled testosterone and DHT. Metabolic clearance rate (MCR), conversion ratio (CR), the transfer constants (rho) and production rates (PB) were calculated. Plasma androgens were measured by specific radioimmunoassay. Plasma testosterone was 516 +/- 314 (SD) ng/dl, plasma DHT was 74.6 +/- 19.6 (SD) ng/dl and plasma 3alpha-diol was 16.4 +/- 4.1 (SD) ng/dl. An elevated DHT level in elderly men with BPH wasconfirmed. MCRT was 620 +/- 65 (SD) liter/day and MCRDHT was 393 +/- 50 (SD) liter/day. Both MCRT and MCRDHT in elderly men were significantly lower than in young men. PBT was 3.2 +/- 2.1 (SD) mg/day and PBDHT was 291 +/- 87 (SD)migrogram/day. PBDHT was the same in elderly and young men. DHT production is maintained in elderly men despite reduction of testosterone production. From the data, it was claculated that in contrast to young men where greater than 80% of blood DHT is from secreted testosterone, over 50% in elderly men is derived from secretion or production of DHT by the testis or even more likely the prostate.

Direct conversion of testosterone to dihydrotestosterone glucuronide in man.

Tritiated testosterone and [14C]dihydrotestosterone (DHT) were administered by constant iv infusion into five young and five elderly men undergoing diagnostic cardiac catheterization. The radioactivity concentrations of free and conjugated DHT in arterial and hepatic vein blood samples were then determined. The analysis of the 3H:14C ratio of free DHT in arterial and hepatic vein blood showed that in both groups, the 3H:14C ratio of free DHT was the same in arterial and hepatic vein blood, indicating that splanchnic tissue is not the source of blood DHT from testosterone. This is in agreement with data that the transfer constant across the liver ([rho]T-DHT SD) was undetectable. In both young and elderly men, a significant increase of the 3H concentration of DHT glucuronide in hepatic vein blood was observed, indicating that the splanchnic compartment could be the site of production of DHT glucuronide. The 3H:14C ratio of DHT glucuronide was much higher than that of free DHT in both groups, suggesting that DHT glucuronide is derived from the blood testosterone pool, and most of the DHT from testosterone seems to be conjugated before mixing with blood DHT. This study indicates that a large fraction of DHT produced in the liver from testosterone is efficiently conjugated or further metabolized, and this results in the lack of splanchnic production of free DHT in men.

Splanchnic extraction and conversion of testosterone and dihydrotestosterone in man.

The splanchnic extraction and interconversion of testosterone and dihydrotestosterone (DHT) were studied in 7 healthy men (ages 29-46 years) undergoing cardiac catheterization. During a constant infusion of [1,2-3H]testosterone and [4-14C]DHT, the arterial and hepatic vein blood samples were taken and radioactive and non-radioactive testosterone and DHT were determined. Metabolic clearance rate (MCR), splanchnic extraction (SE), splanchnic clearance (SC), extrasplanchnic clearance (ESC), transfer constant in blood (T-DHT rhoBB) and transfer constant across the liver (T-DHT rhoSB) were calculated. The MCRT was 952 +- 172 (mean +- SD) 1/day and MCRDHT was 764 +/- 67 1/day in agreement with data from non-catheterized subjects. SET was 68.8 +/- 7.1% (mean +/- SD) and SEDHT was 37.6 +/- 5.9%. SET was significantly greater than SEDHT (P less than 0.001). The calculated SCT and ESCT were 638 +/- 112 (mean +/- SD) 1/day and 314 +/- 190 1/day, respectively. SCDHT and ESCDHT were 343 +/- 95 (mean +/-SD) 1/day and 421 +/-105 1/day, suggesting that a major fraction of testosterone is metabolized in the splanchnic organs and a higher fraction of DHT is metabolized in extrasplanchnic organs. In the interconversion study, overall conversion of testosterone to DHT in blood (T-DHT rhoBB) was 4.0 +/- 0.6% (mean +/- SD). No evidence for a net appearance of DHT by either mass or specific activity analysis in hepatic vein blood was observed in any infusion leading to the conclusion that the overall contribution of testosterone to circulating DHT from the liver (T-DHTrhoSB) was undetectable. This work indicates that conversion of testosterone to DHT occurs entirely in extrasplanchnic tissue in man.

An autopsy case of 17 alpha-hydroxylase deficiency with malignant hypertension.

This is the first autopsy case of male 17 alpha-hydroxylase deficiency with malignant hypertension. The subject had hypertension, hypokalemic alkalosis, and pseudohermaphroditism. At age 21, 17 alpha-hydroxylase deficiency was diagnosed by low urinary excretion of 17-hydroxysteroids, low secretion rate of cortisol, and low plasma testosterone level in association with high urinary excretion of pregnanediol and high plasma progesterone and corticosterone. Urinary excretion of aldosterone and PRA were suppressed, and plasma ACTH was elevated. Hypertension and hypokalemic alkalosis were normalized with dexamethasone therapy. After missing 5 yr of follow-up, malignant hypertension developed, and PRA and aldosterone were elevated. Histological examination revealed some characteristic arteriolar lesions as in malignant nephrosclerosis. Juxtaglomerular hyperplasia and an increase of renin granules were observed, which reflected high PRA. Abnormal histological findings of endocrine organs were observed in the breast, the pituitary gland, the adrenal glands, and the testis.

Axially chiral 1,7-naphthyridine-6-carboxamide derivatives as orally active tachykinin NK(1) receptor antagonists: synthesis, antagonistic activity, and effects on bladder functions.

Cyclic analogues of N-[3,5-bis(trifluoromethyl)benzyl]-7,8-dihydro-N, 7-dimethyl-5-(4-methylphenyl)-8-oxo-1,7-naphthyridine-6-carboxamide (1) having a 6-9-membered ring (6-9) were synthesized and evaluated for NK(1) antagonistic activities. The 8-membered ring compound with a beta-methyl group at the C((9))-position, (aR,9R)-7-[3, 5-bis(trifluoromethyl)benzyl]-8,9,10, 11-tetrahydro-9-methyl-5-(4-methylphenyl)-7H-[1,4]diazocino[2,1-g] [1, 7]naphthyridine-6,13-dione [(aR,9R)-8b], was atropodiastereoselectively synthesized by cyclization of a chiral intermediate, 10g. On the other hand, the 7-membered ring compound with a beta-methyl group at the C((9))-position [(9S)-7b] was obtained as an equilibrium mixture of atropisomers with a ratio of ca. 3:2 in solution at room temperature (measured by NMR in CDCl(3)). Compounds (9S)-7b and (aR,9R)-8b exhibited excellent antagonistic activities both in vitro [IC(50) (inhibition of [(125)I]BH-SP binding in human IM-9 cells) = 0.28 and 0.45 nM, respectively] and in vivo (iv and po). Significantly, the in vitro activity of (aR, 9R)-8b was ca. 750-fold higher than that of its enantiomer (aS, 9S)-8b, ca. 40-fold higher than its atropisomer (aS,9R)-8b, and ca. 20-fold higher than its diastereomer (aR,9S)-8b. The structure-activity relationships in this series, along with the X-ray analysis of (aR,9R)-8b, indicated that the stereochemistry around the -C((6))(=O)-N((7))-CH(2)Ar moiety is important for NK(1) receptor recognition. The NK(1) antagonists showed effects on bladder functions in guinea pigs upon intravenous injection: i.e., the antagonists increased the shutdown time of distension-induced rhythmic bladder contractions and the bladder volume threshold, and the effects on the shutdown time were found to correlate well with the NK(1) antagonistic activities. Compound (aR,9R)-8b has been identified as a potential clinical candidate for the treatment of bladder function disorders.

Novel, potent, and orally active substance P antagonists: synthesis and antagonist activity of N-benzylcarboxamide derivatives of pyrido[3,4-b]pyridine.

A series of 4-phenylisoquinolone derivatives were synthesized and evaluated for NK1 (substance P) antagonist activity. Highly potent antagonists, 4-phenyl-3-isoquinolone-N-benzylcarboxamides (11), were discovered from the structure-activity relationship studies on the isoquinolone-urea lead 1a. Optimization of the activity in this series resulted in the development of 5-phenyl-6-pyrido[3,4-b]pyridine-N-benzylcarboxamides (30) which are highly potent orally active NK1 antagonists. Among the compounds synthesized, N-[3,5-bis(trifluoromethyl)benzyl]-7,8-dihydro-N,7-dimethyl-8-oxo-5- (substituted phenyl)-6-pyrido[3,4-b]pyridinecarboxamides (30a,f,g) showed excellent antagonist activities with IC50 values (in vitro inhibition of [125I]-BH-SP binding in human IM-9 cells) of 0.21-0.34 nM and ED50 values (in vivo inhibition of capsaicin-induced plasma extravasation in guinea-pig trachea, iv) of 0.017-0.030 mg/kg. These compounds exhibited significantly potent activity upon oral administration with ED50 values of 0.068-0.17 mg/kg. Conformational studies on 30g indicated that the two stable conformers of 30g are quite similar to those of CP-99,994.

Axially chiral N-benzyl-N,7-dimethyl-5-phenyl-1, 7-naphthyridine-6-carboxamide derivatives as tachykinin NK1 receptor antagonists: determination of the absolute stereochemical requirements.

A potent and orally active NK1 antagonist, trans-N-[3, 5-bis(trifluoromethyl)benzyl]-7,8-dihydro-N, 7-dimethyl-5-(4-methylphenyl)-8-oxo-1,7-naphthyridine-6-carboxamide (1t), was shown to exist as a mixture of separable and stable (R)- and (S)-atropisomers (1t-A and 1t-B) originating from the restricted rotation around the -C(6)-C(=O)- bond; the antagonistic activities of 1t-A were ca. 6-13-fold higher than those of 1t-B. Analogues of 1t (3), which have (S)- and (R)-methyl groups at the benzylic methylene portion of 1t, were prepared and separated into the diastereomeric atropisomers, 3a-A, 3a-B and 3b-A, 3b-B, in enantiomerically pure forms. Among the four isomers of 3, the (aR, S)-enantiomer (3a-A) exhibited the most potent antagonistic activities with an IC50 value of 0.80 nM (in vitro inhibition of [125I]BH-SP binding in human IM-9 cells) and ED50 values of 9.3 micrograms/kg (iv) and 67.7 micrograms/kg (po) (in vivo inhibition of capsaicin-induced plasma extravasation in guinea pig trachea), while the activity of the (aS,R)-enantiomer (3b-B) was the weakest with an IC50 value of 620 nM. The structure-activity relationships in this series of antagonists indicate that the (R)-configuration at the axial bond and the stacking (or stacking-like) conformation between the two phenyl rings as shown in 1t-A and 3a-A are essential for high-affinity binding and suggest that the amide moiety functions as a hydrogen bond acceptor in the interaction with the receptor.

Prevention of mother-to-child transmission of human T-lymphotropic virus type-I.

Human T-cell lymphotropic virus type I (HTLV-I), an etiologic human retrovirus of adult T-cell leukemia/lymphoma (ATLL), causes approximately 60 new cases of ATLL each year in Nagasaki Prefecture; essentially all cases are fatal, and they account for approximately 0.5% of total deaths in the area. The estimated life risk for an HTLV-I carrier to develop ATLL is approximately 5%. The major transmission pathway of HTLV-I peculiarly endemic in the Nagasaki Prefecture was studied. The prevalence of HTLV-I infection in children of carrier mothers (21%) was significantly higher than that in children in the general population in the area (1%) and more than 85% of mothers of carrier children were carriers. The breast milk of carrier mothers contained HTLV-I-infected cells and was infectious for marmoset via oral administration. A retrospective survey of children of carrier mothers showed that the prevalence of carrier children of carrier mothers was 17 (39%) of 44 and 0 (0%) of 10 when they were given breast milk only or formula only, respectively. These data provide a powerful basis for devising an intervention measure to block the endemic cycle of HTLV-I, ie, if carrier mothers refrain from breast-feeding, the incidence of ATLL will be significantly reduced some 50 years later.

Inhibition of prolyl hydroxylase activity and collagen biosynthesis by the anthraquinone glycoside, P-1894B, an inhibitor produced by Streptomyces albogriseolus.

P-1894B, a potent prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor produced by Streptomyces albogriseolus subsp. No. 1894, inhibited about 50% of the activity of purified chick embryo prolyl hydroxylase at a concentration of 2.2 x 10(-6) M. The inhibition was noncompetitive with respect to (Pro-Pro-Gly)5 with a Ki of 1.8 x 10(-6)M. When excess amounts of ferrous ions or ascorbate were added to the reaction mixture, the inhibition was slightly reversed. P-1894B at a dose of 0.15 mg/kg reduced the hydroxylation of peptidyl proline and caused a significant inhibition of collagen biosynthesis in the uterus of the immature rat stimulated by the administration of estradiol-17 beta.

Attenuation of anorexia induced by heat or surgery during sustained administration of ginsenoside Rg1 into rat third ventricle.

Effects of ginsenoside Rg1 (Rg1), a major component of panax ginseng, on modulation of ingestive behavior were investigated. No direct effect was observed on food intake after 10 microliters infusion of 1.0, 2.0, 4.0 or 8.0 mM Rg1 into the rat third ventricle for 10 min. Continuous osmotic infusion of 4.0 mM Rg1 at a rate of 0.966 microliter/h into the third ventricle prevented feeding suppression caused by surgical procedure to implant an osmotic minipump. Continuous infusion of Rg1 attenuated anorexia, increased water intake, and decreased ambulation, that were produced by elevation of environmental temperature from 21 degrees C to 30 degrees C. Consequently, rats maintained body weight and rectal temperature unchanged. The results indicate that sustained central administration of Rg1 may relieve anorexia caused by implantation surgery or by a heated environment.

Investigation of circular asymmetry in cancer mortality of Hiroshima and Nagasaki A-bomb survivors.

Data on Hiroshima and Nagasaki A-bomb survivors are used to investigate, for each city, possible circular asymmetry in cancer mortality around the hypocenter. Using the Cox regression method and controlling for age ATB, sex, followup year, distance from the hypocenter, and type of shielding, it is found that in Hiroshima cancer mortality was significantly higher in the westerly direction from the hypocenter. Mortality from stomach cancer, leukemia, and colon cancer were higher in the westerly direction. In Nagasaki, only lung cancer exhibited circular asymmetry, and was significantly higher in the westerly direction. For various reasons, the results tend to support the possibility of an asymmetry in radiation dose in Hiroshima, but not in Nagasaki. Also, possible asymmetry in nondose variables associated with cancer is suggested in both cities, particularly in variables associated with lung cancer. Indications for future work and implications for future dose-mortality investigations are discussed.

Temporal analysis of a dose-response relationship: leukemia mortality in atomic bomb survivors.

A data analysis that incorporates time dependencies is demonstrated for the dose response of leukemia mortality in the atomic bomb survivors. The time dependencies are initially left unspecified and the data on leukemia mortality--up to the end of 1978--are used to infer them. Several findings based on T65 revised doses (T65DR) are obtained. First, it is shown that the fits to the data of time-dependent L (linear in gamma dose)-Q (quadratic in gamma dose)-L (linear in neutron dose), L-L, and Q-L dose-response models are significantly improved (P less than 0.001) by using the corresponding time-dependent dose-response models. Second, it is shown that the increased risk of leukemia mortality due to gamma irradiation decreases in time while the increased risk due to neutron exposure decreases more slowly, if at all, in time. Consequently, relative biological effectiveness (RBE) of neutrons is shown to increase in time (P = 0.002) and the current definition of RBE as a time-independent quantity is therefore challenged. It is demonstrated with time-dependent models that the L-L model has a poor fit (P = 0.01) to the data for the first 7 years of study, but has an adequate fit for the remaining 21 years. In contrast the Q-L model has an adequate fit for the entire follow-up period (P greater than 0.30).