A Nationwide Analysis of Risk of Prostate Cancer Diagnosis and Mortality following an Initial Negative Transrectal Ultrasound Biopsy with Long-Term Followup.

PURPOSE: Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) targeted prostate biopsy has been shown to find many high-grade prostate cancers in men with concurrent negative transrectal ultrasound (TRUS) systematic biopsy. The oncologic risk of such tumors can be explored by looking at long-term outcomes of men with negative TRUS biopsy followed without MRI. The aim was to analyze the mortality after initial and second negative TRUS biopsy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All men who underwent initial TRUS biopsies between January 1, 1995 and December 31, 2016 in Denmark were included. A total of 37,214 men had a negative initial TRUS biopsy and 6,389 underwent a re-biopsy. Risk of cause-specific mortality was analyzed with competing risks. Diagnosis of Gleason score ≥7 prostate cancer following negative biopsies was analyzed with multivariable logistic regression including time to re-biopsy, prostate specific antigen (PSA), age and digital rectal examination. RESULTS: The 15-year prostate cancer-specific mortality was 1.9% (95% CI: 1.7-2.1). Prostate cancer-specific mortality was 1.3% (95% CI: 0.9-1.6) and 4.6% (95% CI: 3.4-5.8) for men with PSA <10 and >20 ng/ml, respectively. Of the TRUS re-biopsies 12% were Gleason score ≥7 and risk of Gleason score ≥7 increased with longer time to re-biopsy (p <0.001). Mortality after re-biopsy was similar to after initial biopsy. CONCLUSIONS: Men with negative TRUS biopsies have a very low prostate cancer-specific mortality, especially with PSA <10 ng/ml. This raises serious questions about the routine use of MRI targeting for initial prostate biopsy and suggests that MRI targeting should only be recommended for men with PSA >10 ng/ml after negative biopsy.

Detection of Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer by Systematic TRUS-Biopsies in a Population-Based Setting Over a 20 Year Period.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the performance of systematic TRUS-biopsies in a population-based setting to detect clinically significant PCa (csPCa) in combination with age, clinical tumor category (cT), and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) in men referred for the first biopsy. METHODS: We identified all men referred for PCa work-up because of elevated PSA who underwent initial TRUS-biopsies in the nationwide Danish Prostate Cancer Registry (DaPCaR) between January 1st, 1995 and December 31st, 2016, in Denmark. Risk of histologic findings in initial TRUS-biopsies categorized as non-malignant, insignificant PCa, or significant PCa (csPCa). We defined csPCa as any biopsy containing Gleason score 3 + 4 or above as in the PRECISION trial. We assessed risk of csPCa with absolute risk, logistic regression model, and predicted risks. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: After exclusions, our cohort included 39,886 men. The diagnostic hit rate for csPCa was 40.8 %. Men with PSA > 20 ng/mL and ≥cT2 harbor a risk >75% for finding csPCa in the first TRUS biopsy-set. Men with cT1 tumors and PSA < 20 ng/mL have a risk of non-malignant histology of at least 58%. Limitations include the high number of exclusions based on missing information. CONCLUSION: The diagnostic accuracy of systematic TRUS-biopsies is high for men with palpable tumors and high PSA. Our data point to the fact that not all men need pre-biopsy MRI to find csPCa.

What is the risk of prostate cancer mortality following negative systematic TRUS-guided biopsies? A systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the risk of prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM) following initial negative systematic transrectal ultrasound-guided (TRUS) prostate biopsies. DESIGN: Systematic review. DATA SOURCES: PubMed and Embase were searched using a string combination with keywords/Medical Subject Headings terms and free text in the search builder. Date of search was 13 April 2020. STUDY SELECTION: Studies addressing PCSM following initial negative TRUS biopsies. Randomised controlled trials and population-based studies including men with initial negative TRUS biopsies reported in English from 1990 until present were included. DATA EXTRACTION: Data extraction was done using a predefined form by two authors independently and compared with confirm data; risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for cohort studies when applicable. RESULTS: Four eligible studies were identified. Outcomes were reported differently in the studies as both cumulative incidence and Kaplan-Meier estimates have been used. Regardless of the study differences, all studies reported low estimated incidence of PCSM of 1.8%-5.2% in men with negative TRUS biopsies during the following 10-20 years. Main limitation in all studies was limited follow-up. CONCLUSION: Only a few studies have investigated the risk of PCSM following initial negative biopsies and all studies included patients before the era of MRI of the prostate. However, the studies point to the fact that the risk of PCSM is low following initial negative TRUS biopsies, and that the level of prostate-specific antigen before biopsies holds prognostic information. This may be considered when advising patients about the need for further diagnostic evaluation. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42019134548.