The cost-effectiveness of progesterone in preventing miscarriages in women with early pregnancy bleeding: an economic evaluation based on the PRISM trial.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the cost-effectiveness of progesterone compared with placebo in preventing pregnancy loss in women with early pregnancy vaginal bleeding. DESIGN: Economic evaluation alongside a large multi-centre randomised placebo-controlled trial. SETTING: Forty-eight UK NHS early pregnancy units. POPULATION: Four thousand one hundred and fifty-three women aged 16-39 years with bleeding in early pregnancy and ultrasound evidence of an intrauterine sac. METHODS: An incremental cost-effectiveness analysis was performed from National Health Service (NHS) and NHS and Personal Social Services perspectives. Subgroup analyses were carried out on women with one or more and three or more previous miscarriages. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cost per additional live birth at ≥34 weeks of gestation. RESULTS: Progesterone intervention led to an effect difference of 0.022 (95% CI -0.004 to 0.050) in the trial. The mean cost per woman in the progesterone group was £76 (95% CI -£559 to £711) more than the mean cost in the placebo group. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for progesterone compared with placebo was £3305 per additional live birth. For women with at least one previous miscarriage, progesterone was more effective than placebo with an effect difference of 0.055 (95% CI 0.014-0.096) and this was associated with a cost saving of £322 (95% CI -£1318 to £673). CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that progesterone is associated with a small positive impact and a small additional cost. Both subgroup analyses were more favourable, especially for women who had one or more previous miscarriages. Given available evidence, progesterone is likely to be a cost-effective intervention, particularly for women with previous miscarriage(s). TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Progesterone treatment is likely to be cost-effective in women with early pregnancy bleeding and a history of miscarriage.

Who is at risk of endometrial cavity breach at laparoscopic myomectomy?

BACKGROUND: Submucous and large intramural fibroids cause heavy menstrual bleeding and can negatively impact reproductive outcomes. Large submucous and non-cavity distorting fibroids need to be removed laparoscopically. One of the risks of a laparoscopic myomectomy is breaching the endometrial cavity and there have been suggestions that this increases the risk of intrauterine adhesions. The aim of this study was to examine the role of various demographic and pre-operative ultrasound variables at predicting the risk of endometrial cavity breach during laparoscopic myomectomy. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of women who underwent a laparoscopic myomectomy. Women who had more than one fibroid removed and women who did not have pre-operative ultrasound images available were excluded. The size of the fibroid, minimum distance from the endometrial cavity, surface area, intra-cavity surface area, protrusion ratio and extra-cavity size as well as the women's age, parity and pre-operative GnRH analogue use were recorded. The outcome measure was the breach of the endometrial cavity at myomectomy. Univariate analysis was performed to identify variables that are associated with a cavity breach. A logistic regression analysis was used to identify the most significant predictor of a breach. RESULTS: A total of 66 women were included in the study. From these, 10 women sustained a cavity breach. All pre-operative ultrasound variables, i.e. minimum distance of the fibroid from the cavity (p=0.001), protrusion ratio (p=0.001), total surface area (p=0.020), intra-cavity surface area (p=0.001), size (p=0.030) and extra-cavity size (p=0.001) were statistically different between the group that had a cavity breach and the group that did not. In a logistic regression model, protrusion ratio was selected as the best predictor of a breach (OR 1.22; 95% CI 1.10 - 1.37). All breaches occurred in women who were not given GnRH analogue. CONCLUSION: Identifying patients at increased risk of a cavity breach facilitates better individualized pre-operative counselling regarding the risk of a breach and the possibility of intrauterine adhesions. It will also trigger more intra-operative vigilance to minimize the risk of breaching the cavity and, subsequently, the risk of intrauterine adhesions if a breach does occur.