Epidemiology of forearm fractures in women and men in Norway 2008-2019.

The purpose of this paper is to describe rates of forearm fractures in adults in Norway 2008-2019. Incidence rate of distal forearm fractures declined over time in both sexes. Forearm fracture constitute a significant health burden and prevention strategies are needed. PURPOSE: To assess age- and sex-specific incidence rates, and time trends for forearm fractures in Norway, and compare these with incidence rates in other Nordic countries. METHODS: Data on all patients aged 20-107 years with forearm fractures treated in Norwegian hospitals from 2008 to 2019 was retrieved from the Norwegian Patient Registry. Fractures were identified based on International Classification of Disease 10th revision code S52. Age- and sex-specific incidence rates and changes in incidence rates were calculated. RESULTS: We identified 181,784 forearm fractures in 45,628,418 person-years. Mean annual forearm fracture incidence rates per 100,000 person-years were 398 (95% CI 390-407) for all, 565 (95% CI 550-580) for women, and 231 (95% CI 228-234) for men above 20 years. Mean annual number of forearm fractures was 15,148 (95% CI 14,575-15,722). From 2008 to 2019, age-adjusted total incidence rates of forearm fractures S52 diagnoses declined by 3.5% (incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 0.997 (95% CI 0.994-0.999)) in men. The corresponding decline in women was not significant (IRR: 0.999 (95% CI 0.997-1.002)). In the same period, the age-adjusted incidence rates of distal forearm fractures declined by 7.0% in men (IRR = 0.930; 95% CI 0.886-0.965) and 4.7% in women (IRR = 0.953; 95% CI 0.919-0.976). The incidence rates of distal forearm fractures were similar to rates in Sweden and Finland. CONCLUSION: Age-adjusted incidence rates of distal forearm fractures in both sexes declined over time.

Validation of forearm fracture diagnoses in administrative patient registers.

The validity of forearm fracture diagnoses recorded in five Norwegian hospitals was investigated using image reports and medical records as gold standard. A relatively high completeness and correctness of the diagnoses was found. Algorithms used to define forearm fractures in administrative data should depend on study purpose. PURPOSE: In Norway, forearm fractures are routinely recorded in the Norwegian Patient Registry (NPR). However, these data have not been validated. Data from patient administrative systems (PAS) at hospitals are sent unabridged to NPR. By using data from PAS, we aimed to examine (1) the validity of the forearm fracture diagnoses and (2) the usefulness of washout periods, follow-up codes, and procedure codes to define incident forearm fracture cases. METHODS: This hospital-based validation study included women and men aged ≥ 19 years referred to five hospitals for treatment of a forearm fracture during selected periods in 2015. Administrative data for the ICD-10 forearm fracture code S52 (with all subgroups) in PAS and the medical records were reviewed. X-ray and computed tomography (CT) reports from examinations of forearms were reviewed independently and linked to the data from PAS. Sensitivity and positive predictive values (PPVs) were calculated using image reports and/or review of medical records as gold standard. RESULTS: Among the 8482 reviewed image reports and medical records, 624 patients were identified with an incident forearm fracture during the study period. The sensitivity of PAS registrations was 90.4% (95% CI: 87.8-92.6). The PPV increased from 73.9% (95% CI: 70.6-77.0) in crude data to 90.5% (95% CI: 88.0-92.7) when using a washout period of 6 months. Using procedure codes and follow-up codes in addition to 6-months washout increased the PPV to 94.0%, but the sensitivity fell to 69.0%. CONCLUSION: A relatively high sensitivity of forearm fracture diagnoses was found in PAS. PPV varied depending on the algorithms used to define cases. Choice of algorithm should therefore depend on study purposes. The results give useful measures of forearm fracture diagnoses from administrative patient registers. Depending on local coding practices and treatment pathways, we infer that the findings are relevant to other fracture diagnoses and registers.

Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR) based on cystatin C was associated with increased risk of hip and proximal humerus fractures in women and decreased risk of hip fracture in men, whereas eGFR based on creatinine was not associated with fracture risk in both sexes: The Tromsø Study.

PURPOSE: Patients with end-stage kidney disease have an increased fracture risk. Whether mild to moderate reductions in kidney function is associated with increased fracture risk is uncertain. Results from previous studies may be confounded by muscle mass because of the use of creatinine-based estimates of the glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcre). We tested the hypothesis that lower eGFR within the normal range of kidney function based on serum cystatin C (eGFRcys) or both cystatin C and creatinine (eGFRcrecys) predict fractures better than eGFR based on creatinine (eGFRcre). METHODS: In the Tromsø Study 1994-95, a cohort of 3016 women and 2836 men aged 50-84 years had eGFRcre, eGFRcys and eGFRcrecys estimated using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equations. Hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals) for fracture were calculated in Cox's proportional hazards models and adjusted for age, height, body mass index, bone mineral density, diastolic blood pressure, smoking, physical activity, previous fracture, diabetes and cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: During a median of 14.6 years follow-up, 232, 135 and 394 women and 118, 35 and 65 men suffered incident hip, proximal humerus and wrist fractures. In women, lower eGFRcre did not predict fracture, but the risk for hip and proximal humerus fracture increased per standard deviation (SD) lower eGFRcys (HRs 1.36 (1.16-1.60) and 1.33 (1.08-1.63)) and per SD lower eGFRcrecys (HRs 1.25 (1.08-1.45) and 1.30 (1.07-1.57)). In men, none of the eGFR estimates were related to increased fracture risk. In contrast, eGFRcys and eGFRcrecys were inversely associated with hip fracture risk (HRs 0.85 (0.73-0.99) and 0.82 (0.68-0.98)). CONCLUSIONS: In women, each SD lower eGFRcys and eGFRcrecys increased the risk of hip and proximal humerus fracture by 25-36%, whereas eGFRcre did not. In men, none of the estimates of eGFR were related to increased fracture risk, and each SD lower eGFRcys and eGFRcrecys decreased the risk of hip fracture by 15-18%. The findings particularly apply to a cohort of generally healthy individuals with a normal kidney function. In future studies, the association of measured GFR using the gold standard method of iohexol clearance with fractures risk should be examined for causal inference. More clinical research is needed before robust clinical inferences can be made.