Use of multiple markers in population-based molecular epidemiologic studies of tuberculosis.

SETTING: Many epidemiologic studies of tuberculosis are being conducted worldwide. Fingerprinting with a secondary marker in strains with fewer than six IS6110-hybridizing bands enhances the tracking of strains, but its impact on population-level inferences has not been well studied. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effects of secondary genotyping for low-copy Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates with polymorphic guanine-cytosine-rich repetitive sequence (PGRS) on epidemiologic inferences in population-based research settings. DESIGN: For San Francisco tuberculosis cases (1991-1996), clusters were defined by IS6110 alone and by PGRS/IS6110 to 1) estimate recent transmission, 2) evaluate the theoretical influence of bacterial population parameters on these estimates, and 3) assess risk factors for recent transmission. RESULTS: Secondary typing on low-copy strains (20.3% of all isolates) decreased the estimate of recent transmission from 29.1% to 25.3% (P = 0.03). The most influential parameters in determining whether supplemental genotyping results in different estimates were the proportion of low-copy strains and the amount of clustering. Risk factors for recent transmission were identical for both definitions of clustering. CONCLUSION: The statistical and inferred effects of secondary genotyping of M. tuberculosis seem to depend on the proportion of low-copy strains in the population. When this proportion is low or when few secondary patterns match, supplemental genotyping may yield minimal insight into population-level investigations.

Tuberculosis in Mexican-born persons in San Francisco: reactivation, acquired infection and transmission.

SETTING: San Francisco, California. OBJECTIVE: To determine the relative contributions of infection acquired in San Francisco and reactivation of tuberculous infection acquired elsewhere in Mexican-born persons who developed tuberculosis in San Francisco, and to determine the frequency of transmission leading to secondary cases of tuberculosis in other persons. DESIGN: The study population consisted of all Mexican-born tuberculosis patients reported in San Francisco from 1991 through June 1995. All patients had positive cultures for Mycobacterium tuberculosis and DNA fingerprinting of isolates using IS6110 with more than two bands. Patients were classified as infected in San Francisco or infected elsewhere based on pre-defined criteria that included a second DNA fingerprinting technique (polymorphic guanine-cytosine-rich sequence), chart reviews, and selected patient interviews. RESULTS: Of the 43 Mexican-born patients studied, nine (21%) met the definition of infection acquired in San Francisco and 34 (79%) met the definition of reactivation of infection acquired elsewhere. Only one of the 43 cases resulted in two secondary cases in US-born persons. CONCLUSION: One-fifth of the Mexican-born patients who developed tuberculosis in San Francisco acquired their tuberculous infection in San Francisco; transmission from Mexican-born persons leading to tuberculosis in other persons is uncommon.

Tuberculin reactivity in United States and foreign-born Latinos: results of a community-based screening program.

Because of the concern that we were underestimating the prevalence of tuberculosis within the Latino community in San Francisco, we undertook a community-based screening program directed largely towards recent immigrants. Of 1,871 intermediate-strength (5 TU) tuberculin tests applied and read, 37 per cent of the reactions were greater than or equal to 10 mm. Significant reactions were found in 53 per cent of foreign-born persons compared to 7 per cent of those born in the United States. Persons older than 20 years of age were more likely to have significant reactions compared to younger Latinos. Among the foreign-born, the frequency of significant reactions was not influenced by the length of stay in the US or a history of BCG (bacille Calmette-Guérain) vaccination. Two foreign-born children were found to have current tuberculosis. The prevalence of tuberculin reactors among US-born Latino children was 3 per cent, which suggests that undetected transmission of tuberculosis may be occurring. We conclude that Latino immigrants should be systematically screened for tuberculosis.

Tuberculosis prevention in methadone maintenance clinics. Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness.

To determine the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a program to provide screening for tuberculosis infection and directly observed preventive therapy (DOPT) in methadone maintenance clinics, we determined completion rates of screening for tuberculosis infection, medical evaluation, and preventive therapy, as well as the number of active tuberculosis cases and tuberculosis-related deaths prevented, in five clinics in San Francisco, California. Between 1990 and 1995, a total of 2,689 clients (of whom 18% were HIV-seropositive) were screened at least once. Of eligible clients, 99% received tuberculin skin tests, 96% received a medical examination, 91% began isoniazid preventive therapy, and 82% completed preventive therapy. Program effectiveness was enhanced by close collaboration between public health and methadone maintenance programs and the use of incentives and enablers. Over a 3-yr follow-up period, only one verified case of tuberculosis was reported among clients with a positive tuberculin skin test, thereby preventing as much as 95% of expected tuberculosis cases. Over 10 yr, we estimate the program would prevent 30.0 (52%) of 57.7 expected cases of tuberculosis, and 7.6 (57%) of 13.4 expected tuberculosis-related deaths. The program cost $771,569, but averted an estimated $876,229, for a net savings of $104,660 (average of $3, 724 per case prevented). Our study demonstrates that when effectively implemented, screening for tuberculosis infection and DOPT in methadone maintenance clinics is a highly cost-effective approach to prevent tuberculosis.

Predictive value of contact investigation for identifying recent transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis.

Contact tracing, the evaluation of persons who have been in contact with patients having tuberculosis, is an important component of tuberculosis control. We used DNA fingerprinting to test the assumption that tuberculosis in contacts to active cases represents transmission from that person. Cases of tuberculosis in San Francisco between 1991 and 1996 with positive cultures who had been previously identified as contacts ("contact cases") to active cases ("index cases") were studied. Of 11,211 contacts evaluated, there were 66 pairs of culture-positive index and contact cases. DNA fingerprints were available for both members of these pairs in 54 instances (82%). The index and contact cases were infected with the same strain of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in 38 instances (70%; 95% CI: 56 to 82%); 16 pairs (30%) were infected with unrelated strains. Unrelated infections were more common among foreign-born (risk ratio [RR] = 5.22, p < 0.001), particularly Asian (RR = 3.89, p = 0.002) contacts. Contact investigation is an imperfect method for detecting transmission of M. tuberculosis, particularly in foreign-born persons. However, because such investigations target a group with a high prevalence of tuberculosis and tuberculous infection, these efforts remain an important activity in the control of tuberculosis.

Differences in contributing factors to tuberculosis incidence in U.S. -born and foreign-born persons.

To determine the factors contributing to tuberculosis incidence in the U.S.-born and foreign-born populations in San Francisco, California, and to assess the effectiveness of tuberculosis control efforts in these populations, we performed a population-based molecular epidemiologic study using 367 patients with strains of Mycobacterium tuberculosis recently introduced into the city. IS6110-based and PGRS-based restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) analyses were performed on M. tuberculosis isolates. Patients whose isolates had identical RFLP patterns were considered a cluster. Review of public health and medical records, plus patient interviews, were used to determine the likelihood of transmission between clustered patients. None of the 252 foreign-born cases was recently infected (within 2 yr) in the city. Nineteen (17%) of 115 U. S.-born cases occurred after recent infection in the city; only two were infected by a foreign-born patient. Disease from recent infection in the city involved either a source or a secondary case with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection, homelessness, or drug abuse. Failure to identify contacts accounted for the majority of secondary cases. In San Francisco, disease from recent transmission of M. tuberculosis has been virtually eliminated from the foreign-born but not from the U.S.-born population. An intensification of contact tracing and screening activities among HIV-infected, homeless, and drug-abusing persons is needed to further control tuberculosis in the U.S.-born population. Elimination of tuberculosis in both the foreign-born and the U.S. -born populations will require widespread use of preventive therapy.

A molecular epidemiologic analysis of tuberculosis trends in San Francisco, 1991-1997.

BACKGROUND: To decrease tuberculosis case rates and cases due to recent infection (clustered cases) in San Francisco, California, tuberculosis control measures were intensified beginning in 1991 by focusing on prevention of Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission and on the use of preventive therapy. OBJECTIVE: To describe trends in rates of tuberculosis cases and clustered cases in San Francisco from 1991 through 1997. DESIGN: Population-based study. SETTING: San Francisco, California. PATIENTS: Persons with tuberculosis diagnosed between 1 January 1991 and 31 December 1997. MEASUREMENTS: DNA fingerprinting was performed. During sequential 1-year intervals, changes in annual case rates per 100,000 persons for all cases, clustered cases (cases with M. tuberculosis isolates having identical fingerprint patterns), and cases in specific subgroups with high rates of clustering (persons born in the United States and HIV-infected persons) were examined. RESULTS: Annual tuberculosis case rates peaked at 51.2 cases per 100,000 persons in 1992 and decreased significantly thereafter to 29.8 cases per 100,000 persons in 1997 (P < 0.001). The rate of clustered cases decreased significantly over time in the entire study sample (from 10.4 cases per 100,000 persons in 1991 to 3.8 cases per 100,000 persons in 1997 [P < 0.001]), in persons born in the United States (P < 0.001), and in HIV-infected persons (P = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: The rates of tuberculosis cases and clustered tuberculosis cases decreased both overall and among persons in high-risk groups. This occurred in a period during which tuberculosis control measures were intensified.