The natural and unnatural history of the Mustard procedure: long-term outcome up to 40 years.

AIMS: To describe long-term survival, clinical outcome and ventricular systolic function in a longitudinally followed cohort of patients after Mustard repair for transposition of the great arteries (TGA). There is serious concern about the long-term outcome after Mustard repair. METHODS AND RESULTS: This longitudinal single-centre study consisted of 91 consecutive patients, who underwent Mustard repair before 1980, at age <15 years, and were evaluated in-hospital every 10 years. Survival status was obtained of 86 patients. Median follow-up was 35 (IQR 34-38) years. Cumulative survival was 84% after 10 years, 80% after 20 years, 77% after 30 years, and 68% after 39 years. Cumulative survival free of events (i.e. heart transplantation, arrhythmias, reintervention, and heart failure) was 19% after 39 years. Reinterventions were mainly required for baffle-related problems. Supraventricular and ventricular arrhythmias occurred in 28 and 6% of the patients, respectively. Pacemaker and/or ICD implantation was performed in 39%. Fifty survivors participated in the current in-hospital investigation including electrocardiography, 2D-echocardiography, cardiopulmonary-exercise testing, NT-proBNP measurement, Holter monitoring, and cardiac magnetic resonance. Right ventricular systolic function was impaired in all but one patient at last follow-up, and 14% developed heart failure in the last decade. NT-proBNP levels [median 31.6 (IQR 22.3-53.2) pmol/L] were elevated in 92% of the patients. Early postoperative arrhythmias were a predictor for late arrhythmias [HR 3.8 (95% CI 1.5-9.5)], and development of heart failure [HR 8.1 (95% CI 2.2-30.7)]. Also older age at operation was a predictor for heart failure [HR 1.26 (95% CI 1.0-1.6)]. CONCLUSION: Long-term survival after Mustard repair is clearly diminished and morbidity is substantial. Early postoperative arrhythmias are a predictor for heart failure and late arrhythmias.

Birth prevalence of congenital heart disease worldwide: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Congenital heart disease (CHD) accounts for nearly one-third of all major congenital anomalies. CHD birth prevalence worldwide and over time is suggested to vary; however, a complete overview is missing. This systematic review included 114 papers, comprising a total study population of 24,091,867 live births with CHD identified in 164,396 individuals. Birth prevalence of total CHD and the 8 most common subtypes were pooled in 5-year time periods since 1930 and in continent and income groups since 1970 using the inverse variance method. Reported total CHD birth prevalence increased substantially over time, from 0.6 per 1,000 live births (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.4 to 0.8) in 1930 to 1934 to 9.1 per 1,000 live births (95% CI: 9.0 to 9.2) after 1995. Over the last 15 years, stabilization occurred, corresponding to 1.35 million newborns with CHD every year. Significant geographical differences were found. Asia reported the highest CHD birth prevalence, with 9.3 per 1,000 live births (95% CI: 8.9 to 9.7), with relatively more pulmonary outflow obstructions and fewer left ventricular outflow tract obstructions. Reported total CHD birth prevalence in Europe was significantly higher than in North America (8.2 per 1,000 live births [95% CI: 8.1 to 8.3] vs. 6.9 per 1,000 live births [95% CI: 6.7 to 7.1]; p < 0.001). Access to health care is still limited in many parts of the world, as are diagnostic facilities, probably accounting for differences in reported birth prevalence between high- and low-income countries. Observed differences may also be of genetic, environmental, socioeconomical, or ethnic origin, and there needs to be further investigation to tailor the management of this global health problem.