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1.
Public Health ; 182: 81-87, 2020 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32200074

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Health system responsiveness is related to the way and the environment in which individuals are treated during their health system interaction. Generally, patients who are members of ethnic minority (EM) groups encounter more challenges in receiving healthcare services and bear a disproportionate burden of diseases compared with most counterparts. We aimed to compare the health system responsiveness perceived by South Asian (SA) EM people with that of local Chinese people in Hong Kong. STUDY DESIGN: The cross-sectional survey sample comprised 575 SA and 494 Chinese individuals. The health system responsiveness module of the World Health Survey 2002 was used for data collection. METHODS: We used propensity score weighting method to balance the two groups. Simple and multiple regressions were used to compare the perceived outpatient and inpatient health system responsiveness between SA and Chinese participants, respectively, before and after adjustment for demographics. All estimates were accompanied by 95% confidence intervals, and two-sided tests were conducted with significance concluded by a P value < 0∙05. RESULTS: Compared with the Chinese participants, the SA participants reported generally lower health system responsiveness for outpatient and inpatient services. The top three mean score difference (SA-Chinese) for outpatient care included autonomy (-0.78, P < 0.001), communication (-0.67, P < 0.001), and choice (-0.53, P < 0.001), and the top three mean score difference for inpatient care included communication (-0.90, P < 0.001), autonomy (-0.82, P < 0.001), and choice (-0.61, P < 0.01). In addition, SA participants also experienced lower responsiveness in access to community support (-0.81, P < 0.001) during hospitalization but perceived higher quality of basic amenities (0.29, P < 0.001) and confidentiality (0.44, P < 0.01) in outpatient settings. CONCLUSION: SA participants in an urbanized Chinese-oriented society reported generally lower health system responsiveness compared with the local Chinese group; however, SA participants perceived higher confidentiality and quality of basic amenities in their outpatient experience. Concerted efforts from healthcare providers and policymakers are required to improve the existing healthcare system for users of members of EM groups.


Assuntos
Povo Asiático/psicologia , Etnicidade/psicologia , Grupos Minoritários/psicologia , Satisfação do Paciente , Qualidade da Assistência à Saúde , Adolescente , Adulto , Assistência Ambulatorial , Comunicação , Confidencialidade , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Hong Kong , Hospitalização , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inquéritos e Questionários , Adulto Jovem
2.
Acta Psychiatr Scand ; 133(4): 277-88, 2016 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26493376

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of resting heart rate with suicide in two large cohorts. METHOD: The MJ cohort (Taiwan) included 532 932 adults from a health check-up programme (1994-2008). The HUNT cohort (Norway) included 74 977 adults in the Nord-Trøndelag County study (1984-1986), followed up to 2004. In both cohorts heart rate was measured at baseline, and suicide was ascertained through linkage to cause-of-death registers. Risk of suicide was estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: There were 569 and 188 suicides (average follow-up period of 8.1 and 16.9 years) in the MJ and HUNT cohorts respectively. Sex- and age-adjusted hazard ratio for every 10 beat increase in heart rate per minute was 1.08 (95% Confidence Interval 1.00-1.16) and 1.24 (1.12-1.38) in the MJ and HUNT cohorts, respectively. In the MJ cohort this association was confined to individuals with a history of heart diseases vs. those without such a history (P for interaction = 0.008). In the HUNT cohort the association did not differ by history of heart diseases and was robust to adjustment for health-related life style, medication use, and symptoms of anxiety and depression. CONCLUSION: Elevated resting heart rate may be a marker of increased suicide risk.


Assuntos
Frequência Cardíaca/fisiologia , Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Noruega/epidemiologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco , Taiwan/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
3.
Psychol Med ; 39(7): 1097-106, 2009 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18945378

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Patients with major depressive disorder are found to show selective attention biases towards mood-congruent information. Although previous studies have identified various structural changes in the brains of these patients, it remains unclear whether the structural abnormalities are associated with these attention biases. In this study, we used voxel-based morphometry (VBM) to explore the structural correlates of attention biases towards depression-related stimuli. METHOD: Seventeen female patients with major depressive disorder and 17 female healthy controls, matched on age and intelligence, underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). They also performed positive-priming (PP) and negative-priming (NP) tasks involving neutral and negative words that assessed selective attention biases. The reaction time (RT) to a target word that had been attended to or ignored in a preceding trial was measured on the PP and NP tasks respectively. The structural differences between the two groups were correlated with the indexes of attention biases towards the negative words. RESULTS: The enhanced facilitation of attention to stimuli in the PP task by the negative valence was only found in the depressed patients, not in the healthy controls. Such attention biases towards negative stimuli were found to be associated with reduced gray-matter concentration (GMC) in the right superior frontal gyrus, the right anterior cingulate gyrus and the right fusiform gyrus. No differential effect in inhibition of attention towards negative stimuli in the NP task was found between the depressed patients and the healthy controls. CONCLUSIONS: Specific structural abnormalities in depression are associated with their attention biases towards mood-congruent information.


Assuntos
Afeto/fisiologia , Atenção/fisiologia , Encéfalo/fisiopatologia , Transtorno Depressivo Maior/fisiopatologia , Processamento de Imagem Assistida por Computador , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Semântica , Adulto , Mapeamento Encefálico , Sinais (Psicologia) , Dominância Cerebral/fisiologia , Feminino , Lobo Frontal/fisiopatologia , Giro do Cíngulo/fisiopatologia , Humanos , Sistema Límbico/fisiopatologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Rede Nervosa/fisiopatologia , Inventário de Personalidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Psicometria , Tempo de Reação/fisiologia , Leitura , Valores de Referência , Lobo Temporal/fisiopatologia
4.
Crisis ; 30(2): 79-84, 2009.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19525166

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Three bridges in Hong Kong have become iconic sites for suicide since their openings 11 years ago. AIMS: This retrospective record-based study aimed to examine suicides by jumping from a group of three iconic bridges in Hong Kong, and to explore potential preventive strategies on these bridges to prevent future suicide. METHODS: We examined the Coroner's files of 12 people who killed themselves by jumping from the bridges between 1997 and 2007. We also examined the Coroner's files of other suicides in 2003, and compared them with the bridge suicides. RESULTS: The majority of the suicides were male, middle-age (40-59 years), married or cohabiting, not living alone, employed or self-employed, and in financial difficulty. None of these cases had a reported psychiatric diagnosis or psychiatric care history, and only one case had a history of suicidal attempt. Compared with other suicides in Hong Kong, the bridge jumpers were more likely to be younger, holding a job, indebted, free from a psychiatric and attempt history, and to leave a suicide note (p < .05). The bridge suicide cases in Hong Kong also appeared to be different from the profiles of bridge jumpers in other countries. CONCLUSIONS: Erection of an effective safety barrier has been found to prevent bridge suicides in many countries. Given the different characteristics of bridge jumpers in Hong Kong and the technical difficulties, more innovative ways may be needed to prevent suicides by such means. Potential prevention measures are discussed and, hopefully, will better inform the future design and development of bridges of significance.


Assuntos
Altitude , Causas de Morte , Comparação Transcultural , Meio Social , Suicídio/etnologia , Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Meios de Transporte , Adulto , Feminino , Hong Kong , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Motivação , Fatores de Risco , Segurança , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Suicídio/psicologia , Prevenção do Suicídio
5.
Epidemiol Psychiatr Sci ; 28(1): 112-130, 2019 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29633681

RESUMO

AIMS: There has recently been an increased interest in mental health indicators for the monitoring of population wellbeing, which is among the targets of Sustainable Development Goals adopted by the United Nations. Levels of subjective wellbeing and suicide rates have been proposed as indicators of population mental health, but prior research is limited. METHODS: Data on individual happiness and life satisfaction were sourced from a population-based survey in Hong Kong (2011). Suicide data were extracted from Coroner's Court files (2005-2013). Area characteristic variables included local poverty rate and four factors derived from a factor analysis of 21 variables extracted from the 2011 census. The associations between mean happiness and life satisfaction scores and suicide rates were assessed using Pearson correlation coefficient at two area levels: 18 districts and 30 quantiles of large street blocks (LSBs; n = 1620). LSB is a small area unit with a higher level of within-unit homogeneity compared with districts. Partial correlations were used to control for area characteristics. RESULTS: Happiness and life satisfaction demonstrated weak inverse associations with suicide rate at the district level (r = -0.32 and -0.36, respectively) but very strong associations at the LSB quantile level (r = -0.83 and -0.84, respectively). There were generally very weak or weak negative correlations across sex/age groups at the district level but generally moderate to strong correlations at the LSB quantile level. The associations were markedly attenuated or became null after controlling for area characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: Subjective wellbeing is strongly associated with suicide at a small area level; socioeconomic factors can largely explain this association. Socioeconomic factors could play an important role in determining the wellbeing of the population, and this could inform policies aimed at enhancing population wellbeing.


Assuntos
Felicidade , Transtornos Mentais/psicologia , Satisfação Pessoal , Pobreza , Qualidade de Vida/psicologia , Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Saúde Mental , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vigilância da População , Características de Residência , Distribuição por Sexo , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adulto Jovem
7.
Biometrics ; 64(3): 869-876, 2008 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18047531

RESUMO

The etiology, pathogenesis, and prognosis for a newly emerging disease are generally unknown to clinicians. Effective interventions and treatments at the earliest possible times are warranted to suppress the fatality of the disease to a minimum, and inappropriate treatments should be abolished. In this situation, the ability to extract most information out of the data available is critical so that important decisions can be made. Ineffectiveness of the treatment can be reflected by a constant fatality over time while effective treatment normally leads to a decreasing fatality rate. A statistical test for constant fatality over time is proposed in this article. The proposed statistic is shown to converge to a Brownian motion asymptotically under the null hypothesis. With the special features of the Brownian motion, we are able to analyze the first passage time distribution based on a sequential tests approach. This allows the null hypothesis of constant fatality rate to be rejected at the earliest possible time when adequate statistical evidence accumulates. Simulation studies show that the performance of the proposed test is good and it is extremely sensitive in picking up decreasing fatality rate. The proposed test is applied to the severe acute respiratory syndrome data in Hong Kong and Beijing.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/mortalidade , Biometria/métodos , China/epidemiologia , Monitoramento Ambiental/estatística & dados numéricos , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Modelos Estatísticos
8.
Suicide Life Threat Behav ; 38(5): 631-6, 2008 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19014313

RESUMO

Media recommendations on suicide reporting are available in many countries and in different languages. Hong Kong newspapers have been found to be noncompliant with WHO recommendations. A booklet containing WHO media guidelines Preventing Suicide: A Resource for Media Professionals, and an awareness campaign were launched in November 2004 in Hong Kong. Content analysis was then conducted to compare the reporting of suicide news before and after the launch. Results indicate that certain reporting styles were changed in accordance with the recommendations; namely, lessened use of pictorial presentations and headlines mentioning suicides. Most of the changes were attributed to the tabloid-style newspapers. This study suggests that programs to promote media recommendations tailored for journalists appear to be efficacious in altering their way of reporting.


Assuntos
Revelação , Promoção da Saúde , Meios de Comunicação de Massa , Suicídio , Organização Mundial da Saúde , Humanos
10.
Crisis ; 26(4): 156-9, 2005.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16485840

RESUMO

The paper proposes to use the years-of-life-lost method (YLL) in assessing the social and economic burden of suicides in Hong Kong SAR. The YLL from suicide by age group in 1981-2002 is calculated based on the standard set by World Health Organization (WHO). It shows that the middle age group (25-39) contributed most to the burden of disease in Hong Kong. The proportion of older adults' suicides is about 25% of the total number of suicides but its disease burden is less than 6% in terms of the YLL. Though the group aged 25-39 contributed disproportionately to the total YLL from suicide, the prevention effort for this particular group has been very much neglected and needs to be strengthened. It illustrates that use of YLL could provide a new viewpoint for setting up public health policies.


Assuntos
Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Hong Kong , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Suicídio/economia , Prevenção do Suicídio
11.
J Epidemiol Community Health ; 57(10): 766-9, 2003 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14573569

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the infection curve of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) using the back projection method and to assess the effectiveness of interventions. DESIGN: Statistical method. DATA: The daily reported number of SARS and interventions taken by Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) up to 24 June 2003 are used. METHOD: To use a back projection technique to construct the infection curve of SARS in Hong Kong. The estimated epidemic curve is studied to identify the major events and to assess the effectiveness of interventions over the course of the epidemic. RESULTS: The SARS infection curve in Hong Kong is constructed for the period 1 March 2003 to 24 June 2003. Some interventions seem to be effective while others apparently have little or no effect. The infections among the medical and health workers are high. CONCLUSIONS: Quarantine of the close contacts of confirmed and suspected SARS cases seems to be the most effective intervention against spread of SARS in the community. Thorough disinfection of the infected area against environmental hazards is helpful. Infections within hospitals can be reduced by better isolation measures and protective equipments.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/epidemiologia , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/prevenção & controle , Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Desinfecção , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Controle de Infecções , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa do Paciente para o Profissional/prevenção & controle , Modelos Estatísticos , Avaliação de Processos e Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Isolamento de Pacientes , Prática de Saúde Pública/normas , Quarentena , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/transmissão
12.
Hong Kong Med J ; 8(4): 262-8, 2002 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12167730

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the viability of the Health Protection Account proposed by the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Government. DESIGN: Retrospective study. SETTING: The Hospital Authority of Hong Kong. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were obtained from hospital and specialist out-patient clinic admissions. The expected health cost for each patient from the age of 65 years to the average age of life expectancy (83 years) was estimated, as was the contribution to these health costs from the Health Protection Account. RESULTS: If individuals contribute 1% of their salary to the Health Protection Account from age 40 to 65 years, the Account can only cover 4% of the actual health costs. CONCLUSION: The Health Protection Account, as proposed, does not ease the financial burden of increasing health care costs in the elderly. Increasing the contribution rate or reducing the age at which contributions to the scheme are started are possible viable options for making the scheme sustainable. However, the current economic situation is such that the public would not favour either of these alternatives. It is envisaged that the Government will need to continue to finance the health care of its citizens by taxation. A gradual increase in user charges might be the only future option for controlling government health expenditure.


Assuntos
Atenção à Saúde/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Programas Nacionais de Saúde/economia , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Necessidades e Demandas de Serviços de Saúde , Hong Kong , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
13.
Hong Kong Med J ; 8(5): 348-53, 2002 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12376712

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To examine the utilisation pattern of accident and emergency services and to study the possible impact of a user-fee policy on non-emergency attendances in Hong Kong. DESIGN: Retrospective study. METHODS: Four different scenarios are postulated to examine the impact on the number of accident and emergency attendances of a user-fee policy from 2000 to 2029. Patient volume data of accident and emergency attendances for 2000 were made available by the Hospital Authority of Hong Kong. RESULTS: Non-emergency use of the accident and emergency services is the main cause of over-utilisation and contributes to more than 70.0% of its use. Only 22.0% of patients attending accident and emergency departments were admitted to a ward for further treatment. By 2029, the number of accident and emergency attendances would increase by more than 47.0% if the present utilisation pattern prevails. However, if patients at triage levels 3, 4, and 5 were discouraged from using the accident and emergency services, the number of attendances would decrease by 76.4%. CONCLUSION: The proposed user-fee policy would act as a deterrent by preventing unnecessary use of accident and emergency services. However, the use of out-patient services may be increased as a result and attendance should be carefully monitored. Community health education and civic education relating to abuse of accident and emergency services would be effective in reducing over-utilisation of these services.


Assuntos
Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/estatística & dados numéricos , Planos de Pagamento por Serviço Prestado/economia , Acidentes , Distribuição por Idade , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência/economia , Hong Kong , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Triagem
14.
Hong Kong Med J ; 9(6): 419-26, 2003 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-14660809

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To describe changes of the epidemiological profile of suicides in Hong Kong, and the burden of suicides in terms of years of life lost between 1981 and 2001. DESIGN: Retrospective study. SETTING: Hong Kong. PARTICIPANTS: Data on registered deaths of the Hong Kong population from 1981 to 2001 were retrieved from records of the Census and Statistics Department of the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Crude, standardised, age- and sex-standardised suicide rates; years of life lost; suicide method used; and rank among leading causes of death. RESULTS: Suicide ranked sixth in the leading cause of deaths and represented about 3% of all deaths each year. The suicide rate has increased from 9.6 per 100000 to 15 per 100000 between 1981 and 2001. The total years of life lost due to suicide increased by 96.0%, from about 9900 years in 1981 to 19 400 years in 2001, whereas the figure for all causes of death decreased by 14.0%, from 274600 years to 236700 years. The total share of years of life lost attributable to suicide deaths has increased from 3.6% to 8.1% and is still increasing, especially among the middle age-groups (30-59 years). The use of charcoal burning as a suicide method has increased from 6.0% before 1998 to more than 28.0% in 2001. CONCLUSION: The burden on the years of life lost due to suicide is underestimated and overlooked. The increase of suicides in recent years has had a significant impact on the years of life lost and can be used as a useful indicator of performance in Hong Kong.


Assuntos
Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Causas de Morte , Feminino , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Sistema de Registros , Estudos Retrospectivos
15.
Crisis ; 34(3): 156-63, 2013.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23628665

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) study entitled Suicide Trends in At-Risk Territories (START) is an international multisite initiative that aims to stimulate suicide research and prevention across different areas of the globe. A central component of the study is the development of registration systems for fatal and nonfatal suicidal behaviors. AIMS: This paper provides an overview of the data collected on suicidal behaviors from the participating locations in the START study. METHOD: Descriptive statistics on the data are presented in terms of age, sex, and method. RESULTS: A greater proportion of suicide deaths occurred among males. In all areas except the Philippines more females than males engaged in nonfatal suicidal behaviors. Compared to Australia, Italy, New Zealand, the Philippines, and Hong Kong SAR, in the Pacific Islands suicide most often occurs in younger age groups. Results indicate notable variations between countries in choice of method. A greater proportion of suicides occurred by hanging in Pacific Islands, while inhalation of carbon monoxide, use of firearms, ingestion of chemicals and poisons, and drug overdose were the most frequent methods of choice in other areas. CONCLUSION: The information drawn from this study demonstrates the enormous variation in suicidal behavior across the areas involved in the START Study. Further research is needed to assess the reliability of the established data-recording systems for suicidal behaviors. The baseline data established in START may allow the development of suicide prevention initiatives sensitive to variation in the profile of suicide across different locations.


Assuntos
Overdose de Drogas/epidemiologia , Armas de Fogo/estatística & dados numéricos , Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Austrália/epidemiologia , Overdose de Drogas/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Hong Kong/epidemiologia , Humanos , Itália/epidemiologia , Masculino , Nova Zelândia/epidemiologia , Ilhas do Pacífico/epidemiologia , Filipinas/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Distribuição por Sexo , Tentativa de Suicídio/prevenção & controle , Tentativa de Suicídio/estatística & dados numéricos , Organização Mundial da Saúde , Adulto Jovem , Prevenção do Suicídio
16.
J Epidemiol Community Health ; 65(10): 915-20, 2011 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21282146

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Setting physical barriers, for example platform screen doors (PSDs), has been proven to be effective in preventing falls onto railway tracks, but its cost-effectiveness is not known. For economic evaluation of public health interventions, the importance of including non-health factors has been noted despite a lack of empirical studies. This study aimed to investigate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of PSDs, which are installed in part of the Hong Kong railway system, for preventing railway injuries. METHODS: Data on railway injuries from 1997 to 2007 were obtained from the railway operators. Poisson regression was used to examine the risk reduction. Two incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) were calculated to assess the cost-effectiveness based on (1) disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) only and (2) DALYs with potential fare revenue and passengers' waiting time lost due to railway circulation collapse. RESULTS: The PSD installation has effectively reduced railway injuries (adjusted 5-year average percentage change: -68.8%, p<0.0001) with no apparent substitution effect to the other platforms observed. To be cost-effective, the cost of gaining a healthy life year (ICER) should not exceed three times the per capita GDP (US$74,700). The PSD installation would only be cost-effective if the loss of fare revenue and passengers' waiting time, in addition to DALY, were included (ICER: US$65,400), while the ICER based on DALY only would be US$77,900. CONCLUSION: The challenges of complexity for economic evaluation appear in many community-based health interventions. A more extensive perspective for exploring other outcome measurements and evaluation methods to reflect a fair and appropriate value of the intervention's cost-effectiveness is needed.


Assuntos
Acessibilidade Arquitetônica/métodos , Ferrovias , Gestão da Segurança/economia , Ferimentos e Lesões/prevenção & controle , Acessibilidade Arquitetônica/economia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Bases de Dados Factuais , Hong Kong , Humanos
19.
Eur Respir J ; 26(3): 474-9, 2005 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16135731

RESUMO

A prospective study was undertaken to identify clinical, radiographical, haematological and biochemical profiles of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) patients. A prediction rule, which demarcates low from high risk patients for SARS in an outbreak situation was developed. A total of 295 patients with unexplained respiratory illnesses, admitted to Queen Mary Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China, in March to July 2003, were evaluated for clinical, radiological, haematological and alanine transaminase (ALT) data daily for 3 days after hospitalisation. In total, 44 cases were subsequently confirmed to have SARS by RT-PCR (68.2%) and serology (100%). The scoring system of attributing 11, 10, 3, 3 and 3 points to the presence of independent risk factors, namely: epidemiological link, radiographical deterioration, myalgia, lymphopenia and elevated ALT respectively, generated high and low-risk (total score 11-30 and 0-10, respectively) groups for SARS. The sensitivity and specificity of this prediction rule in positively identifying a SARS patient were 97.7 and 81.3%, respectively. The positive and negative predictive values were 47.8 and 99.5%, respectively. The prediction rule appears to be helpful in assessing suspected patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome at the bedside, and should be further validated in other severe acute respiratory syndrome cohorts.


Assuntos
Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/diagnóstico , Adulto , Alanina Transaminase/sangue , Contagem de Células Sanguíneas , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Humanos , Testes de Função Renal , Modelos Logísticos , Pulmão/diagnóstico por imagem , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Estudos Prospectivos , Radiografia , Medição de Risco , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/complicações , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/metabolismo , Carga Viral
20.
Bull World Health Organ ; 81(1): 43-7, 2003.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12640475

RESUMO

Sullivan's method and a regression model were used to calculate healthy life expectancy (HALE) for men and women in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (Hong Kong SAR) of China. These methods need estimates of the prevalence and information on disability distributions of 109 diseases and HALE for 191 countries by age, sex and region of the world from the WHO's health assessment of 2000. The population of Hong Kong SAR has one of the highest healthy life expectancies in the world. Sullivan's method gives higher estimates than the classic linear regression method. Although Sullivan's method accurately calculates the influence of disease prevalence within small areas and regions, the regression method can approximate HALE for all economies for which information on life expectancy is available. This paper identifies some problems of the two methods and discusses the accuracy of estimates of HALE that rely on data from the WHO assessment.


Assuntos
Doença Crônica/epidemiologia , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Criança , Pré-Escolar , China/epidemiologia , Pessoas com Deficiência/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Hong Kong , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Análise de Regressão , Distribuição por Sexo
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