Selective internal radiation therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma: A 15-year multicenter Australian cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The exact place for selective internal radiation therapy (SIRT) in the therapeutic algorithm for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is debated. There are limited data on its indications, efficacy, and safety in Australia. METHODS: We performed a multicenter retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing SIRT for HCC in all Sydney hospitals between 2005 and 2019. The primary outcome was overall survival. Secondary outcomes were progression-free survival and adverse events. RESULTS: During the study period, 156 patients underwent SIRT across 10 institutions (mean age 67 years, 81% male). SIRT use progressively increased from 2005 (n = 2), peaking in 2017 (n = 42) before declining (2019: n = 21). Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages at treatment were A (13%), B (33%), C (52%), and D (2%). Forty-four (28%) patients had tumor thrombus. After a median follow-up of 13.9 months, there were 117 deaths. Median overall survival was 15 months (95% confidence interval 11-19). Independent predictors of mortality on multivariable analysis were extent of liver involvement, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, baseline ascites, alpha fetoprotein, and model for end-stage liver disease score. Median progression-free survival was 6.0 months (95% confidence interval 5.1-6.9 months). Following SIRT, 11% of patients were downstaged to curative therapy. SIRT-related complications occurred in 17%: radioembolization-induced liver disease (11%), pneumonitis (3%), gastrointestinal ulceration, and cholecystitis (1% each). Baseline ascites predicted for radioembolization-induced liver disease. CONCLUSION: We present the largest Australian SIRT cohort for HCC. We have identified several factors associated with a poor outcome following SIRT. Patients with early-stage disease had the best survival with some being downstaged to curative therapy.

[Analysis of the effect of ipsilateral supraclavicular lymph node metastasis on the prognosis of N3 breast cancer].

Objective: The 6th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system for breast cancer classifies ipsilateral supraclavicular lymph node metastasis (ISLM) downing stage from M1 to N3, suggesting more patients might receive radical treatment. The aim of this study was to analyze the effect of ISLM on the prognosis of N3 breast cancer and verify the rationality of modified staging. Methods: A total of 321 breast cancer patients with N3 according to the 6th edition AJCC staging system were retrospectively analyzed. Propensity Score Matching (PSM) was used to pair the different subgroups of N3. The primary end point was disease-free survival (DFS), the secondary end point was overall survival (OS). Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the DFS and OS. The differences between two groups were analyzed by the Log-rank test. Results: After PSM pairing twice, 78 patients with none-ISLM and 78 patients with ISLM were enrolled in the first group; 51 patients with none-ISLM was compared patients with isolated ISLM in the second group. The results of the two groups showed that patients with none-ISLM have a prolonged DFS (the first group: 58.9 months vs 32.1 months, P=0.101; the second group: 59.0 months vs 44.0 months, P=0.533), while the OS was opposite (the first group: 87.4 months vs 140.4 months, P=0.289; the second group: 87.4 months vs 137.1 months, P=0.289). Conclusions: The prognosis of breast cancer patients with ISLM is similar to that of patients with none-ISLM in stage N3. It is reasonable to include ISLM in N3 in the 6th edition AJCC staging system. Yet, prospective studies with larger sample size are needed to further confirmation.

[The predicting value of the 8th edition of American Joint Committee on Cancer staging manual in mucinous breast cancer].

Objective: The current study aimed to evaluate the predictive performances of anatomic staging system (AS) and prognostic staging system (PS) proposed in the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging manual in patients with pure mucinous breast cancer (PMBC). Methods: Clinicopathologic features and follow-up information were collected from a total of 3628 patients with PMBC. Breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) were compared among patients in different stage groups. Likelihood ratio (LR) χ(2), Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Harrell's concordance index (C-index) were used to evaluate the predictive performances of AS and PS in PMBC. Results: In PMBC, BCSS was associated with tumor size (P=0.002), lymph node status (P=0.002), grade(P=0.003), PR status(P=0.017)and the receipt of radiation. Compared to AS, 1326 patients (37.54%) underwent stage change after applying PS, with 6.50% upstaged and 37.04% downstaged. There were significant differences in BCSS among patients of different stages under the AS and PS (P<0.001). However, PS was not superior to AS in predicting prognosis (AS vs PS, LR χ(2): 16.41 vs 17.5; AIC: 357.44 vs 358.35; C-index, 0.72 vs 0.73, P=0.667). Conclusions: Both of AS and PS proposed in the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging manual were predictive factors in patients with PMBC. Compared with AS, the PS did not show superiority in prognosis prediction among patients with PMBC.

The characteristics and prognosis of different disease patterns of multiple primary lung cancers categorized according to the 8th edition lung cancer staging system.

INTRODUCTION: The 8th edition lung cancer staging system was the first to describe the detailed diagnosis and staging of multiple primary lung cancers (MPLC). However, the characteristics and prognosis of MPLC categorized according to the new system have not been evaluated. METHOD: We retrospectively analyzed data from surgically treated MPLC patients in a single center from 2011 to 2013 and explored the characteristics and outcomes of different MPLC disease patterns. RESULTS: In total, 202 surgically treated MPLC patients were identified and classified into different groups according to disease categories and diagnostic time (multifocal ground glass/lepidic (GG/L) nodules: n = 139, second primary lung cancer (SPLC): n = 63, simultaneous MPLC (sMPLC): n = 171, and metachronous MPLC (mMPLC): n = 31). There were significant differences in clinical characteristics between SPLC and GG/L nodule patients and simultaneous and metachronous MPLC patients. The overall 1-, 3-, and 5-year lung cancer-specific survival rates of MPLC were 97.98%, 90.18%, and 82.81%, respectively. Five-year survival was better in patients with multiple GG/L nodules than in those with SPLC (87.94% vs. 71.29%, P < 0.05). Sex was an independent prognostic factor for sMPLC (5-year survival, female vs. male, 88.0% vs. 69.5%, P < 0.05), and in multiple tumors, the highest tumor stage was an independent prognostic factor for all categories of MPLC. CONCLUSIONS: The different disease patterns of MPLC have significantly different characteristics and prognoses. Clinicians should place treatment emphasis on the tumor with the highest stage as it is the main contributor to the prognosis of all categories of MPLC patients.

Presence of tumor deposits is a strong indicator of poor outcome in patients with stage III colorectal cancers undergoing radical surgery.

BACKGROUND: Tumor deposits (TDs) are emerging as an adverse prognostic factor in colorectal cancers (CRCs). However, TDs are somewhat neglected in the current staging system. It has been proposed either to add the TD count to the number of metastatic lymph nodes or to consider TDs as distant metastases; however, the scientific basis for these proposals seems questionable. This study aimed to investigate a new staging system. METHODS: A total of 243 consecutive patients with stage III CRC who were undergoing curative resection and adjuvant chemotherapy were included. Each substage of stage III TNM was split according to the absence or presence of TDs. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and bootstrap methods were used to compare the current vs the new competing staging system in terms of oncologic outcome prediction. RESULTS: A high rate of TDs was recorded (124 cases [51%]). TDs were correlated with other adverse prognostic indicators, particularly vascular and perineural invasions, and showed a negative correlation with the number of removed lymph nodes, suggesting a possible multimodal origin. In addition, TDs were confirmed to have a negative impact on oncologic outcome, regardless of their counts. Compared with the current staging system, the new classification displayed higher values at survival ROC analysis, a significantly better stratification of patients, and effective identification of patients at high risk of recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: TDs negatively affect the prognosis in CRCs. A revision of the staging system could be useful to optimize treatments. The proposed new classification is easy to implement and more accurate than the current one. This study was registered online on the ClinicalTrials.gov website under the following identifier: NCT05923450.

Establishing and Externally Validating a Hemoglobin, Albumin, Lymphocyte, and Platelet (HALP) Score-Based Nomogram for Predicting Early Recurrence in BCLC Stage 0/A Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients After Radical Liver Resection: A Multi-Center Study.

Purpose: Early recurrence (ER) is associated with poor prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this study, we developed and externally validated a nomogram based on the hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocytes, and platelets (HALP) score to predict ER for patients with BCLC stage 0/A HCC who underwent radical liver resection. Patients and Methods: A total of 808 BCLC stage 0/A HCC patients from six hospitals were included in this study, and they were assigned to a training cohort (n = 500) and an external validation cohort (n = 308). We used univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis to identify the independent risk factors for disease-free survival (DFS). We also established and externally validated a nomogram based on these risk predictors. The nomogram was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), the concordance index (C-index), the calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and Kaplan‒Meier analysis. Results: Multivariate COX regression showed that HBV DNA ≥10,000 IU/mL (P < 0.001), HALP score ≤38.20 (P < 0.001), tumor size (P = 0.003), clinically significant portal hypertension (P = 0.001), Edmondson-Steiner grade (III-IV) (P = 0.007), satellite nodules (P < 0.001), and MVI (P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for post-operative tumor recurrence. The AUC of our nomogram for predicting the 2-year and 5-year DFS was 0.756 and 0.750, respectively, in the training cohort and 0.764 and 0.705, respectively, in the external validation cohort. We divided the patients into low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups according to the risk score calculated by the nomogram. There were statistically significant differences in the DFS and overall survival (OS) among the three groups of patients (P < 0.001). Conclusion: We developed and externally validated a new nomogram, which is accurate and can predict ER in BCLC stage 0/A HCC patients after curative liver resection.

Revisiting the survival paradox between stage IIB/C and IIIA colon cancer.

Patients with stage IIB/C (T4a-bN0) colon cancer often exhibit worse survival rates compared to those with stage IIIA (T1-2N1, T1N2a) colon cancer. This study re-evaluates the survival paradox using the latest Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data (released on April 17, 2024) to inform potential revisions to the staging criteria. Utilizing SEER data with 8th edition TNM staging criteria, 4692 colon cancer patients diagnosed between 2018 and 2021 were analyzed with chi-square test. Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were employed to assess factors associated with cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS). The 3-year CSS rates for stage IIB and IIC were 73.1% and 70.3%, respectively, whereas stage IIIA had a substantially higher CSS rate of 91% (P < 0.001). Similarly, the OS rates were 64.9% and 63.0% for stage IIB and IIC, respectively, compared to 83.1% for stage IIIA (P < 0.001). Multivariate analyses revealed stage IIIA patients had significantly lower risks of cancer-specific mortality (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.374, 95% CI: 0.296-0.473, P < 0.001) and overall mortality (HR = 0.575, 95% CI: 0.483-0.685, P < 0.001) compared to stage IIB patients. The upcoming 9th edition of the AJCC staging system should address this paradox by integrating advanced diagnostic markers and emphasizing the aggressive biology of T4 tumor, providing more accurate prognostic information and guiding more effective treatment strategies for colon cancer patients.

Outcome of transarterial radioembolization in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma as a first-line interventional therapy and after a previous transarterial chemoembolization.

Purpose: Due to a lack of data, there is an ongoing debate regarding the optimal frontline interventional therapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of the study is to compare the results of transarterial radioembolization (TARE) as the first-line therapy and as a subsequent therapy following prior transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in these patients. Methods: A total of 83 patients were evaluated, with 38 patients having undergone at least one TACE session prior to TARE [27 male; mean age 67.2 years; 68.4% stage Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) B, 31.6% BCLC C]; 45 patients underwent primary TARE (33 male; mean age 69.9 years; 40% BCLC B, 58% BCLC C). Clinical [age, gender, BCLC stage, activity in gigabecquerel (GBq), Child-Pugh status, portal vein thrombosis, tumor volume] and procedural [overall survival (OS), local tumor control (LTC), and progression-free survival (PFS)] data were compared. A regression analysis was performed to evaluate OS, LTC, and PFS. Results: No differences were found in OS (95% CI: 1.12, P = 0.289), LTC (95% CI: 0.003, P = 0.95), and PFS (95% CI: 0.4, P = 0.525). The regression analysis revealed a relationship between Child-Pugh score (P = 0.005), size of HCC lesions (>10 cm) (P = 0.022), and OS; neither prior TACE (Child-Pugh B patients; 95% CI: 0.120, P = 0.729) nor number of lesions (>10; 95% CI: 2.930, P = 0.087) correlated with OS. Conclusion: Prior TACE does not affect the outcome of TARE in unresectable HCC.

An Open-Access, Interactive Decision-Support Tool to Facilitate Guideline-Driven Care for Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing in incidence and is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Adherence to HCC surveillance guidelines and appropriate treatment triage of liver lesions may improve receipt of curative-intent treatment and improved survival. Late-stage HCC diagnosis reflects sub-optimal implementation of effective HCC surveillance, whereas inappropriate treatment triage or linkage to care accounts for the non-receipt of curative-intent in close to half of early-stage HCC in the USA. A free, open-access decision-support tool for liver lesions that incorporates current guideline recommendations in a user-friendly interface could improve appropriate and timely triage of patients to appropriate care. This review provides a summary of gaps and disparities in linkage to HCC care and introduces a free, internet-based, interactive decision-support tool for managing liver lesions. This tool has been developed by the HCC Steering Committee of the Chronic Liver Disease Foundation and is targeted toward clinicians across specialties who may encounter liver lesions during routine care or as part of dedicated HCC surveillance.

Cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma staging may influence management in users: A survey study.

PURPOSE: This study aims to determine whether there is consensus regarding staging and management of cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC) across the various specialties that manage this disease. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A survey regarding CSCC high-risk features, staging, and management was created and emailed to cutaneous oncology experts including dermatology, head and neck surgery/surgical oncology, radiation oncology, and medical oncology. RESULTS: One hundred fifty-six (46%) of 357 invited physicians completed the survey. Depth of invasion (92%), perineural invasion (99%), histologic differentiation (85%), and patient immunosuppression (90%) achieved consensus (>80%) as high-risk features of CSCC. Dermatologists were more likely to also choose clinical tumor diameter (79% vs. 54%) and histology (99% vs. 66%) as a high-risk feature. Dermatologists were also more likely to utilize the Brigham and Women's Hospital (BWH) staging system alone or in conjunction with American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) (71%), whereas other cancer specialists (OCS) tend to use only AJCC (71%). Respondents considered AJCC T3 and higher (90%) and BWH T2b and higher (100%) to be high risk and when they consider radiologic imaging, sentinel lymph node biopsy, post-operative radiation therapy, and increased follow-up. Notably, a large number of respondents do not use staging systems or tumor stage to determine treatment options beyond surgery in high-risk CSCC. CONCLUSION: This survey study highlights areas of consensus and differences regarding the definition of high-risk features of CSCC, staging approaches, and management patterns between dermatologists and OCS. High-risk CSCC is defined as, but not limited to, BWH T2b and higher and AJCC T3 and higher, and these thresholds can be used to identify cases for which treatment beyond surgery may be considered. Dermatologists are more likely to utilize BWH staging, likely because BWH validation studies showing advantages over AJCC were published in dermatology journals and discussed at dermatology meetings. Additional data are necessary to develop a comprehensive risk-based management approach for CSCC.

Machine learning application in personalised lung cancer recurrence and survivability prediction.

Machine learning is an important artificial intelligence technique that is widely applied in cancer diagnosis and detection. More recently, with the rise of personalised and precision medicine, there is a growing trend towards machine learning applications for prognosis prediction. However, to date, building reliable prediction models of cancer outcomes in everyday clinical practice is still a hurdle. In this work, we integrate genomic, clinical and demographic data of lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) and squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC) patients from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and introduce copy number variation (CNV) and mutation information of 15 selected genes to generate predictive models for recurrence and survivability. We compare the accuracy and benefits of three well-established machine learning algorithms: decision tree methods, neural networks and support vector machines. Although the accuracy of predictive models using the decision tree method has no significant advantage, the tree models reveal the most important predictors among genomic information (e.g. KRAS, EGFR, TP53), clinical status (e.g. TNM stage and radiotherapy) and demographics (e.g. age and gender) and how they influence the prediction of recurrence and survivability for both early stage LUAD and LUSC. The machine learning models have the potential to help clinicians to make personalised decisions on aspects such as follow-up timeline and to assist with personalised planning of future social care needs.

Clinical stages of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide, and has relatively high recurrence rates. Few studies have been published on the clinical stages of recurrent HCC. AIM: To assess the applicability of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging for recurrent HCC and the need to establish clinical stage criteria for recurrent HCC. METHODS: The clinicopathological data of 81 patients with recurrent HCC who were admitted to the Hospital of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region from January 2013 to December 2017 were collected. The patients were divided into three groups according to the BCLC staging system as follows: (1) Group A with BCLC stage A, 51 patients; (2) Group B with BCLC stage B, 14 patients; and (3) Group C with BCLC stage C, 16 patients. The median time to tumor recurrence and the median overall survival were compared. RESULTS: The median time to tumor recurrence in groups A, B, and C was 16 ± 1.5 mo, 10 ± 2.8 mo, and 6 ± 0.5 mo, respectively, with a statistically significant difference among them (χ 2 = 70.144, P < 0.05); no statistically significant difference was noted between group A and group B (χ 2 = 2.659, P > 0.05), although there were statistically significant differences between group A and group C and between group B and group C (χ 2 = 62.110, and 19.972, P < 0.05). The median overall survival in groups A, B, and C were 42 ± 5.1 mo, 22 ± 3.1 mo, and 13 ± 1.8 mo, respectively, with a statistically significant difference among them (χ 2 = 38.949, P < 0.05); there were statistically significant differences between group A and group B, group A and group C, and group B and group C (χ 2 = 9.577, 37.172, and 7.183, respectively; P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: There are different prognoses in recurrent HCC patients according to the BCLC staging. Therefore, BCLC staging is applicable to recurrent HCC and it is essential to formulate clinical stage criteria for recurrent HCC.

Nomograms Incorporating the CNLC Staging System Predict the Outcome of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Curative Resection.

PURPOSE: Prediction models of postoperative outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after surgery based on the China liver cancer (CNLC) staging system are rare. This study aimed to compare the prognostic abilities of CNLC, Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) 8th edition, and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging systems for HCC after curative resection. We developed two nomograms incorporating the CNLC staging system to predict the postoperative recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) of HCC patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The prognostic abilities of the CNLC, TNM and BCLC staging systems for HCC after curative resection were compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Two nomograms incorporating five selected risk factors were constructed based on multivariate Cox regression in the primary cohort of 312 HCC patients. It was validated with an independent validation cohort of 130 HCC patients. The predictive performance and discrimination ability of the two nomograms were further evaluated and compared with those of the TNM and BCLC staging systems. RESULTS: The CNLC staging system had a higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) value for both OS (AUC=0.692) and RFS (AUC=0.673) than the TNM (ROC=0.667 for OS and 0.652 for RFS) and BCLC (ROC=0.671 for OS and 0.670 for RFS) staging systems. The independent predictors of OS (cirrhosis, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), tumor differentiation and CNLC staging system) and RFS (α-fetoprotein (AFP) and CNLC staging system) were incorporated into the two nomograms. The OS and RFS nomograms consistently outperformed the TNM and BCLC staging systems in the primary cohort. These results were verified in the validation cohort. In the 442 patients with HCC, the RFS nomogram could predict early recurrence very well. CONCLUSION: The two proposed nomograms incorporating the CNLC staging system can predict the outcomes of patients with HCC after curative hepatectomy in clinical practice.

Efficacy of Combined Therapy with Drug-Eluting Beads-Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization Followed by Conventional Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multi-Center Study.

EB-TACE has recently been performed because of its lower hepatotoxicity compared to cTACE in less advanced HCC. However, local recurrence at the tumor margins is often observed after DEB-TACE. cTACE involves filling the intratumoral sinusoids with lipiodol-containing anticancer drugs and accumulating in the drainage area, which is the first site of HCC recurrence. The aim of this study is to evaluate the therapeutic effect of DEB-TACE followed by cTACE in HCC patients. Between 2014 and 2020, 65 patients with Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) stage B (intermediate stage) of HCC were enrolled and divided into two groups: one group received DEB-TACE followed by cTACE (cTACE group) and the other group received only DEB-TACE (non-cTACE group). Sixty-five patients were medically followed. The median observation time was 14 ± 13.1 months after the first DEB-TACE and outcomes were analyzed for multiple factors. Results: The complete response rate was significantly higher in the cTACE group than in the non-TACE group. The analysis showed that the only factor that increased the CR rate in the cTACE group was the total tumor number (less than four). The OS rate of CR patients was higher than that of non-CR patients in the cTACE group. Adverse events in the cTACE group included severe thrombocytopenia but only in one of twenty-seven patients. Conclusions: The combined therapy with DEB-TACE followed by cTACE may be a new effective therapeutic strategy for the intermediate stage of HCC patients.

Establishment and validation of a nomogram model for predicting the survival probability of differentiated thyroid carcinoma patients: a comparison with the eighth edition AJCC cancer staging system.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to develop a clinically predictive nomogram model to predict the survival probability of differentiated thyroid carcinoma patients and compare the value of this model with that of the eighth edition AJCC cancer staging system. METHODS: We selected 59,876 differentiated thyroid carcinoma patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2015 from the SEER database and separated those patients into a training set (70%) and a validation set (30%) randomly. We used Cox regression analysis to build the nomogram model (model 1) and the eighth edition AJCC cancer staging model (model 2). Then we compared the predictive accuracy, discrimination, and clinical usage of both models by calculating AUC (Area under the curve), C-index, as well as analyzing DCA (Decision Curve Analysis) performance respectively. RESULTS: AUCs of all predicted time points (12-month, 36-month, 60-month, and 120-month) of model 1 were 0.933, 0.913, 0.879, and 0.868 for the training set; 0.933, 0.926, 0.916, and 0.894 for the validation set. As for model 2, data were 0.938, 0.906, 0.866, and 0.847 for the training set; 0.924, 0.925, 0.912, and 0.867 for the validation set. C-indices of model 1 were higher than those of model 2 (0.923 vs. 0.918 for the training set, 0.938 vs. 0.930 for the validation set). DCA comparison showed that the net benefit of model 1 was bigger when comparing with that of model 2. CONCLUSIONS: Model 1 provided with both better predictive accuracy and clinical usage compared with those of model 2 and might be able to predict the survival probability of differentiated thyroid carcinoma patients visually and accurately with a higher net benefit.

The prognostic and predictive value of the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system among early breast cancer patients aged <50 years.

BACKGROUND: This study respectively analyzed the prognostic value and the role in treatment decision-making [breast-conserving surgery (BCS) + radiotherapy (RT) or mastectomy (MAST)] of the 8th American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) pathological prognostic staging system compared with the 7th AJCC anatomical staging system among early breast cancer patients aged <50 years. METHODS: Patients with T1-2N0M0 breast cancer aged <50 years were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2010 and 2014. Breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) was used as the primary endpoint. Chi-squared test, receiver operating characteristics analysis, Kaplan-Meier method, and multivariate Cox proportional models were used to conduct statistical analysis. RESULTS: A total of 22,640 female patients were identified, and 24.4% of them reallocated to new stage groups from the 7th to the 8th AJCC staging. Among them, 46.2% (n=10,450) and 53.8% (n=12,190) of patients received BCS + RT and MAST, respectively. The 8th AJCC staging system was an independent prognostic factor for BCSS. Patients treated with BCS + RT had better BCSS compared to those treated with MAST (P<0.001). According to the 8th AJCC staging, BCS + RT could improve 5-year BCSS compared with MAST in patients with stage IA (P=0.006) and stage IB (P=0.001) diseases, while comparable BCSS was found between the two treatment arms in patients' stage IIA disease (P=0.366). Multivariate analyses replicated similar findings after stratification by the 8th AJCC stages. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with T1-2N0 breast cancer and aged <50 years, the 8th AJCC pathological staging system provides accurate prognostic information than the 7th anatomical staging. BCS + RT is the optimal local management for stage IA and IB diseases, while it is the optional management in stage IIA disease according to the 8th AJCC staging.

A proposed modification for the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system: Adding bile duct tumor thrombus status in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system is widely applied to stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, it may be inaccurate when applied to East Asian HCC patients. In this study, a large Chinese HCC cohort was analyzed to evaluate possible modifications for the BCLC staging system. METHODS: Between January 1995 and December 2009, 622 HCC patients who underwent hepatectomy were enrolled. Prognostic risk factors were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analyses. The ability of the modified system to predict survival was evaluated by determining the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: Patients without bile duct tumor thrombus (BDTT; 1-, 3- and 5-year overall survival, 80%, 60% and 48%, respectively) showed a substantial survival advantage over those with BDTT (1-, 3- and 5-year overall survival, 77%, 42% and 23%, respectively; χ2 = 6.280, P = 0.012). In BCLC stage 0-A patients, significant differences were identified between the BDTT group and the non-BDTT group, while no such differences were found in BCLC stage B patients. Based on this finding, BCLC stage 0-A BDTT patients were recategorized into stage B. The modified BCLC classification featured better performance in the prediction of overall survival than the original system (modified BCLC χ2 = 53.596, P < 0.001; original BCLC χ2 = 46.335, P < 0.001). The ability to predict mortality was also slightly higher using the modified BCLC system. CONCLUSIONS: Modification of the BCLC system to include BDTT status might further enhance its prognostic ability.

The Joinpoint-Jump and Joinpoint-Comparability Ratio Model for Trend Analysis with Applications to Coding Changes in Health Statistics.

Analysis of trends in health data collected over time can be affected by instantaneous changes in coding that cause sudden increases/decreases, or "jumps," in data. Despite these sudden changes, the underlying continuous trends can present valuable information related to the changing risk profile of the population, the introduction of screening, new diagnostic technologies, or other causes. The joinpoint model is a well-established methodology for modeling trends over time using connected linear segments, usually on a logarithmic scale. Joinpoint models that ignore data jumps due to coding changes may produce biased estimates of trends. In this article, we introduce methods to incorporate a sudden discontinuous jump in an otherwise continuous joinpoint model. The size of the jump is either estimated directly (the Joinpoint-Jump model) or estimated using supplementary data (the Joinpoint-Comparability Ratio model). Examples using ICD-9/ICD-10 cause of death coding changes, and coding changes in the staging of cancer illustrate the use of these models.

Hepatocellular carcinoma staging systems: Hong Kong liver cancer vs Barcelona clinic liver cancer in a Western population.

BACKGROUND: Despite being the world's most widely used system for staging and therapeutic guidance in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treatment, the Barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) system has limitations, especially regarding intermediate-grade (BCLC-B) tumors. The recently proposed Hong Kong liver cancer (HKLC) staging system appears useful but requires validation in Western populations. AIM: To evaluate the agreement between BCLC and HKLC staging on the management of HCC in a Western population, estimating the overall patient survival. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of HCC patients treated at a university hospital in southern Brazil between 2011 and 2016. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were collected. HCC staging was carried out according to the HKLC and BCLC systems to assess treatment agreement. Overall survival was estimated based on the treatment proposed in each system. RESULTS: A total of 519 HCC patients were assessed. Of these, 178 (34.3%) were HKLC-I; 95 (18.3%) HKLC-IIA; 47 (9.1%) HKLC-IIB; 29 (5.6%) HKLC-IIIA; 30 (5.8%) HKLC-IIIB; 75 (14.4%) HKLC-IV; and 65 (12.5%) HKLC-V. According to the BCLC, 25 (4.9%) were BCLC-0; 246 (47.4%) BCLC-A; 107 (20.6%) BCLC-B; 76 (14.6%) BCLC-C; and 65 (12.5%) BCLC-D. The general agreement between the two systems was 80.0% - BCLC-0 and HKLC-I (100%); BCLC-A and HKLC-I/HKLC-II (96.7%); BCLC-B and HKLC-III (46.7%); BCLC-C and HKLC-IV (98.7%); BCLC-D and HKLC-V (41.5%). When sub-classifying BCLC-A, HKLC-IIB, HKLC-IIIA and HKLC-IIIB stages according to the up-to-7 in/out criterion, 13.4, 66.0, 100 and 36.7%, respectively, of the cases were classified as up-to-7 out. CONCLUSION: In a Western population, the general agreement between the two systems was 80.0%, although in BCLC-B cases the agreement was low, suggesting that some individuals could be candidates for the curative treatment recommended by the HKLC. The authors suggest that the BCLC system should be routinely employed, although for BCLC-B cases it should be associated with the HKLC system.