Relation of socio-economic status to impaired fasting glucose and Type 2 diabetes: findings based on a large population-based cross-sectional study in Tianjin, China.

AIMS: Studies on the relationship between socio-economic status and Type 2 diabetes mellitus in the Chinese population are sparse. We aimed to examine the relation of socio-economic status as represented by income, education and occupation to impaired fasting glucose, Type 2 diabetes, and the control of Type 2 diabetes in a large Chinese population. METHODS: This study included 7315 individuals who were aged 20-79 years and living in Tianjin, China. Impaired fasting glucose and Type 2 diabetes were ascertained according to the 1999 World Health Organization criteria. Data were analysed using multinomial and binary logistic regression, with adjustment for potential confounders. RESULT: Among all participants, 532 (7.3%) persons had impaired fasting glucose, 688 (9.4%) persons had Type 2 diabetes, including 288 (3.9%) previously undiagnosed Type 2 diabetes. In fully adjusted multinomial logistic regression, compared with higher income (≥ 2000 yuan, $243.3/month), lower income (< 1000 yuan, $121.70/month) showed odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 3.31 (2.48-4.41) for impaired fasting glucose, 4.50 (3.07-6.61) for undiagnosed Type 2 diabetes and 4.56 (3.20-6.48) for diagnosed Type 2 diabetes. These results remained significant in the analysis stratified by education and occupation. Furthermore, persons who were retired were more likely to have impaired fasting glucose [odds ratio 1.91 (1.40-2.45)], undiagnosed Type 2 diabetes [odds ratio 2.01) 1.40-2.89] and diagnosed Type 2 diabetes [odds ratio 3.02 (2.12-4.22)]. Among the patients with Type 2 diabetes previously diagnosed, lower education (less than senior high school), non-manual work and unemployment were related to worse glycaemic control (fasting blood glucose level > 8.5 mmol/l). CONCLUSIONS: Lower income and retirement are associated with increased odds of impaired fasting glucose and Type 2 diabetes in Tianjin, China. Education and occupation may play a role in glycaemic control among patients with Type 2 diabetes.

An economic evaluation for prevention of diabetes mellitus in a developing country: a modelling study.

BACKGROUND: The serious consequences of diabetes mellitus, and the subsequent economic burden, call for urgent preventative action in developing countries. This study explores the clinical and economic outcomes of strategies that could potentially prevent diabetes based on Chinese circumstances. It aims to provide indicators for the long-term allocation of healthcare resources for authorities in developing countries. METHODS: A representative sample of Chinese adults was used to create a simulated population of 20,000 people aged 25 years and above. The hybrid decision tree Markov model was developed to compare the long-term clinical and economic outcomes of four simulated diabetes prevention strategies with a control group, where no prevention applied. These preventive strategies were the following: (i) one-off screening for undiagnosed diabetes and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), with lifestyle interventions on diet, (ii) on exercise, (iii) on diet combined exercise (duo-intervention) respectively in those with IGT, and (iv) one-off screening alone. Independent age-specific models were simulated based on diverse incidences of diabetes, mortalities and health utilities. The reported outcomes were the following: the remaining survival years, the quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) per diabetes or IGT subjects, societal costs per simulated subject and the comparisons between preventions and control over 40 years. Sensitivity analyses were performed based on variations of all assumptions, in addition to the performance and the compliance of screening. RESULTS: Compared with the control group, all simulated screening programmes prolonged life expectancy at the initiation ages of 25 and 40 years, postponed the onset of diabetes and increased QALYs at every initiation age. Along with an assumption of six years intervention, prevention programmes were associated with cost-saving compared with the control group, especially in the population aged 25 years. The savings were at least US$2017 per subject, but no statistically significant difference was observed among the intervention strategies within each age groups. The cost savings were reduced when screening was affected by poor performance and noncompliance. CONCLUSIONS: Developing countries have few effective strategies to manage the prevention of diabetes. One-off screening for undiagnosed diabetes and IGT, with appropriate lifestyle interventions for those with IGT are cost saving in China, especially in young adults.

IDF Diabetes Atlas: Global estimates of diabetes prevalence for 2017 and projections for 2045.

INTRODUCTION: Since the year 2000, IDF has been measuring the prevalence of diabetes nationally, regionally and globally. AIM: To produce estimates of the global burden of diabetes and its impact for 2017 and projections for 2045. METHODS: A systematic literature review was conducted to identify published studies on the prevalence of diabetes, impaired glucose tolerance and hyperglycaemia in pregnancy in the period from 1990 to 2016. The highest quality studies on diabetes prevalence were selected for each country. A logistic regression model was used to generate age-specific prevalence estimates or each country. Estimates for countries without data were extrapolated from similar countries. RESULTS: It was estimated that in 2017 there are 451 million (age 18-99 years) people with diabetes worldwide. These figures were expected to increase to 693 million) by 2045. It was estimated that almost half of all people (49.7%) living with diabetes are undiagnosed. Moreover, there was an estimated 374 million people with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and it was projected that almost 21.3 million live births to women were affected by some form of hyperglycaemia in pregnancy. In 2017, approximately 5 million deaths worldwide were attributable to diabetes in the 20-99 years age range. The global healthcare expenditure on people with diabetes was estimated to be USD 850 billion in 2017. CONCLUSION: The new estimates of diabetes prevalence, deaths attributable to diabetes and healthcare expenditure due to diabetes present a large social, financial and health system burden across the world.

An evaluation of cost sharing to finance a diet and physical activity intervention to prevent diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: The Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP) lifestyle intervention is a cost-effective strategy to prevent type 2 diabetes, but it is unclear how this intervention could be financed. We explored whether this intervention could be offered in a way that allows return on investment for private health insurers while remaining attractive for consumers, employers, and Medicare. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We used the DPP and other published reports to build a Markov simulation model to estimate the lifetime progression of disease, costs, and quality of life for adults with impaired glucose tolerance. The model assumed a health-payer perspective and compared DPP lifestyle and placebo interventions. Primary outcomes included cumulative incidence of diabetes, direct medical costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and cost per QALY gained. RESULTS: Compared with placebo, providing the lifestyle intervention at age 50 years could prevent 37% of new cases of diabetes before age 65, at a cost of $1,288 per QALY gained. A private payer could reimburse $655 (24%) of the $2,715 in total discounted intervention costs during the first 3 intervention years and still recover all of these costs in the form of medical costs avoided. If Medicare paid up to $2,136 in intervention costs over the 15-year period before participants reached age 65, it could recover those costs in the form of future medical costs avoided beginning at age 65. CONCLUSIONS: Cost-sharing strategies to offer the DPP lifestyle intervention for eligible people between ages 50 and 64 could provide financial return on investment for private payers and long-term benefits for Medicare.

The cost-effectiveness of lifestyle modification or metformin in preventing type 2 diabetes in adults with impaired glucose tolerance.

BACKGROUND: The Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP) demonstrated that interventions can delay or prevent the development of type 2 diabetes. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the lifetime cost-utility of the DPP interventions. DESIGN: Markov simulation model to estimate progression of disease, costs, and quality of life. DATA SOURCES: The DPP and published reports. TARGET POPULATION: Members of the DPP cohort 25 years of age or older with impaired glucose tolerance. TIME HORIZON: Lifetime. PERSPECTIVES: Health system and societal. INTERVENTIONS: Intensive lifestyle, metformin, and placebo interventions as implemented in the DPP. OUTCOME MEASURES: Cumulative incidence of diabetes, microvascular and neuropathic complications, cardiovascular complications, survival, direct medical and direct nonmedical costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and cost per QALY. RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS: Compared with the placebo intervention, the lifestyle and metformin interventions were estimated to delay the development of type 2 diabetes by 11 and 3 years, respectively, and to reduce the absolute incidence of diabetes by 20% and 8%, respectively. The cumulative incidence of microvascular, neuropathic, and cardiovascular complications were reduced and survival was improved by 0.5 and 0.2 years. Compared with the placebo intervention, the cost per QALY was approximately 1100 dollars for the lifestyle intervention and $31 300 for the metformin intervention. From a societal perspective, the interventions cost approximately 8800 dollars and 29,900 dollars per QALY, respectively. From both perspectives, the lifestyle intervention dominated the metformin intervention. RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: Cost-effectiveness improved when the interventions were implemented as they might be in routine clinical practice. The lifestyle intervention was cost-effective in all age groups. The metformin intervention did not represent good use of resources for persons older than 65 years of age. LIMITATIONS: Simulation results depend on the accuracy of the underlying assumptions, including participant adherence. CONCLUSIONS: Health policy should promote diabetes prevention in high-risk individuals.

Higher medical care costs accompany impaired fasting glucose.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to estimate medical costs associated with elevated fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and to determine whether costs differed for patients who met the 2003 (> or = 100 mg/dl) versus the 1997 (> or = 110 mg/dl) American Diabetes Association (ADA) cut point for impaired fasting glucose. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We identified 28,335 patients with two or more FPG test results of at least 100 mg/dl between 1 January 1994 and 31 December 2003. Those with evidence of diabetes before the second test were excluded. We categorized patients into two stages of abnormal glucose (100-109 mg/dl and 110-125 mg/dl) and matched each of these subjects to a patient with a normal FPG test (<100 mg/dl) on age, sex, and year of FPG test. All subjects were followed until an FPG test qualified them for a higher stage, dispensing of an anti-hyperglycemic drug, health plan termination, or 31 December 2003. RESULTS: Adjusted annual costs were dollar 4,357 among patients with normal FPG, dollar 4,580 among stage 1 patients, and dollar 4,960 among stage 2 patients (P < 0.001, all comparisons). After removing patients with normal FPG tests whose condition progressed to a higher stage or diabetes, costs in the normal FPG stage were dollar 3,799. Patients in both stages 1 and 2 had more cardiovascular comorbidities than patients with normal FPG. CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate that abnormal glucose metabolism is associated with higher medical care costs. Much of the excess cost was attributable to concurrent cardiovascular disease. The 2003 ADA cut point identifies a group of patients with greater costs and comorbidity than normoglycemic patients but with lower costs and less comorbidity than patients with FPG above the 1997 cut point.

Cost-Effectiveness of a Short Message Service Intervention to Prevent Type 2 Diabetes from Impaired Glucose Tolerance.

Aims. To investigate the costs and cost-effectiveness of a short message service (SMS) intervention to prevent the onset of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT). Methods. A Markov model was developed to simulate the cost and effectiveness outcomes of the SMS intervention and usual clinical practice from the health provider's perspective. The direct programme costs and the two-year SMS intervention costs were evaluated in subjects with IGT. All costs were expressed in 2011 US dollars. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was calculated as cost per T2DM onset prevented, cost per life year gained, and cost per quality adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Results. Within the two-year trial period, the net intervention cost of the SMS group was $42.03 per subject. The SMS intervention managed to reduce 5.05% onset of diabetes, resulting in saving $118.39 per subject over two years. In the lifetime model, the SMS intervention dominated the control by gaining an additional 0.071 QALY and saving $1020.35 per person. The SMS intervention remained dominant in all sensitivity analyses. Conclusions. The SMS intervention for IGT subjects had the superiority of lower monetary cost and a considerable improvement in preventing or delaying the T2DM onset. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01556880.

Fasting plasma glucose versus glucose challenge test: screening for gestational diabetes and cost effectiveness.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance in screening for gestational carbohydrate intolerance of the 1-h 50-g glucose challenge test (GCT), fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and fasting capillary glucose (FCG). DESIGN AND METHODS: FPG and FCG were measured at the same time as the GCT in 188 women. Gestational carbohydrate intolerance was diagnosed according to the Canadian Diabetes Association criteria. We constructed receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves and compared the sensitivity and specificity of the FPG, FCG and GCT. RESULTS: Gestational diabetes was diagnosed in 11.2% women and gestational impaired glucose tolerance in 8.4%. The areas under the ROC curves for the FPG, the GCT and the FCG were not statistically different (P = 0.26). The GCT yielded a better specificity than the FPG and the FCG for a comparable level of sensitivity. CONCLUSIONS: The GCT is better than the FPG in our population and is cost effective.

[Cost-effectiveness analysis of acarbose in the treatment of patients with impaired glucose tolerance]. / Análisis de la relación coste-efectividad de la acarbosa en el tratamiento de pacientes con intolerancia a la glucosa.

OBJECTIVE: To perform a cost-effectiveness analysis of treatment with acarbose in patients with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) in comparison with conventional treatment (based on medical counseling on diet and health and without drug treatment) from the perspective of the public payer. MATERIAL AND METHOD: A cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using data on efficacy, the incidence of diabetes mellitus type 2 (DM2) and cardiovascular events from the STOP-NIDDM clinical trial of acarbose treatment vs. placebo. The study used a decision tree analysis to estimate the health and economic impact of the two alternative treatments in a population of 1,000 patients over a period of 40 months. Resource use and cost data refer to the Spanish health care system. RESULTS: In the base case, acarbose treatment was slightly dominant over conventional treatment since it achieved improved outcomes at an even lower cost. Sensitivity analysis revealed that acarbose treatment lost dominance due to a moderately positive cost-effectiveness ratio for avoided progression to DM2 in some scenarios. The cost-effectiveness ratio was particularly sensitive to the cost of cardiovascular treatments, the risk of progression to DM2, the daily doses of acarbose, and the publicly funded share of the cost of this drug. CONCLUSIONS: Acarbose treatment in patients diagnosed with IGT appeared to be the dominant alternative compared with conventional treatment. The cost per avoided progression to DM2 and per additional individual free of a cardiovascular event was moderately low in some of the scenarios included in the sensitivity analysis. For a more comprehensive evaluation of the possible treatment of patients with IGT, the alternatives under comparison and the time horizon of the study would need to be increased and more refined health outcome measures, comprising all the treatment's health effects, would need to be introduced.

Cost implications of the use of basal insulin glargine in people with early dysglycemia: the ORIGIN trial.

AIMS: The cost implications of the Outcome Reduction with an Initial Glargine Intervention (ORIGIN) trial were evaluated using a prespecified analysis plan. METHODS: Purchasing power parity-adjusted country-specific costs were applied to consumed healthcare resources by participants from each country. Subgroup analyses were conducted on subgroups based on baseline metabolic status and diabetes duration. RESULTS: The total undiscounted cost per participant in the insulin glargine arm was $13,491 ($13,080 to $14,254) versus $11,189 ($10,568 to $12,147) for standard care, an increase of $2303 ($1370 to $3235; p < 0.0001); the discounted increase was $2099 ($1276 to $2923; P < 0.0001). The greater number of mainly generic oral anti-diabetic agents in the standard group partially offset the higher cost of basal insulin glargine. As the trial progressed and the standard group required more anti-diabetic medications, the annual cost difference decreased, reaching $68 (-$160 to $295) in the last year. The subgroup whose baseline diabetes duration was ≥ 6 years achieved cost-savings during the trial. CONCLUSIONS: From a global perspective basal insulin glargine use in ORIGIN incurred greater costs than standard care using older generic drugs. Nevertheless, the cost difference fell with time such that the intervention was cost-neutral by the last year.

The cost of diabetes in adults in Australia.

AIMS: To assess and compare costs associated with diabetes and lesser degrees of glucose intolerance in Australia. METHODS: The Australian Diabetes, Obesity and Lifestyle study collected data on the use of health services and health related expenditure in 2004-2005. Complications data were collected through physical examination and biochemical tests or questionnaire. Data were available on 6101 participants. Age- and sex-adjusted direct healthcare costs, direct non-healthcare costs and government subsidies were estimated according to glucose tolerance status. RESULTS: Annual direct per person costs were A$1898 for those with normal glucose tolerance to A$4390 for those with known diabetes. Costs were substantially higher in people with diabetes and both micro- and macrovascular complications. The total annual cost of diabetes in 2005 for Australians aged ≥30 years was A$10.6 billion (A$4.4 billion in direct costs; A$6.2 billion in government subsidies) which equates to A$14.6 billion in 2010 dollars. Total annual excess cost associated with diabetes in 2005 was A$4.5 billion (A$2.2 billion in direct costs; A$2.3 billion in government subsidies). CONCLUSION: The excess cost of diabetes to individuals and government is substantial and is greater in those with complications. Costs could potentially be reduced by preventing the development of diabetes or its complications.

A comparison of cost per case detected of screening strategies for Type 2 diabetes and impaired glucose regulation: modelling study.

BACKGROUND: To determine a cost per case detected for different screening strategies for both Type 2 diabetes alone and in combination with impaired glucose regulation. METHODS: Bayesian framework modelling study using data from the ADDITION-Leicester screening study in UK multi-ethnic primary care setting. There were 5794 people aged 40-75 years (77.4% white European; 22.6% south Asian) without previously known diabetes. We compared 212 screening strategies including blood tests, a computer practice data score and a risk score, as part of a multi-stage process that all used an oral glucose tolerance test as the diagnostic test. Simulation models were created using sensitivity estimates for the expected cost per case. RESULTS: The estimated costs per case identified for the 18 most sensitive strategies varied from £457 to £1639 (€526-1886, for £1=€1.15) for diabetes and £148-913 (€170-1050) for both diabetes and impaired glucose regulation. The lowest costing diabetes strategies ranged from £457 to £523 (€526-601) involving a two-stage screening strategy, a non-invasive risk stratifying tool followed by a blood test, producing sensitivities ranging from 67.1 to 82.4%. CONCLUSION: Screening a population using a non-invasive risk stratification tool followed by a screening blood test is the most cost-effective method of screening for diabetes and abnormal glucose tolerance.

The economics of diabetes prevention.

In the United States, the costs associated with diabetes mellitus are increasing. Although people with diabetes comprise less than 6% of the US population, approximately 1 in 5 health care dollars is spent caring for people with diabetes. Healthy lifestyle interventions for the general population and intensive lifestyle and medication interventions for high-risk individuals present opportunities for diabetes prevention. This article describes the costs associated with glucose intolerance and diabetes, the effect of glucose intolerance and diabetes on the quality of life, and the cost-effectiveness of screening and primary prevention interventions for diabetes prevention.

A cost-effective moderate-intensity interdisciplinary weight-management programme for individuals with prediabetes.

AIM: To compare the effectiveness and cost of two lifestyle-modification programmes in individuals at high risk of developing type 2 diabetes. METHODS: Forty-eight men and women with a body mass index ≥27 kg/m(2) and prediabetes were randomly assigned to either a 1-year interdisciplinary intervention including individual counseling every 6 weeks and 25 group seminars (group I; n=22) or a group intervention comprising seminars only (group G; n=26). These interventions were compared in terms of weight loss and improvement of anthropometric measures, metabolic variables and costs. RESULTS: Participants in group I lost an average of 4.9 kg (95% CI: -7.3, -2.4; P<0.01) and 5 cm in waist circumference (95% CI: -7.0, -3.0; P<0.01), whereas no significant change was noted in those assigned to group G. Among the participants in group I, 50 and 27% lost at least 5 and 10% of their initial weight, respectively, compared with only 12 and 4%, respectively, in group G. Fasting glucose, 2-hour glucose and lipid profiles improved significantly in group I, and no participant (zero on 22) developed diabetes compared with 11.5% (3/26) in group G. Most participants (nine on 11) with impaired fasting glucose in group I returned to normal. The direct cost of the individual intervention was estimated to be $733.06/year per subject compared with $81.36/year per subject for the group intervention. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates that a low-cost, moderate-intensity, individual interdisciplinary approach combined with group seminars leads to clinically significant weight loss and metabolic improvement in people with prediabetes. Group seminars alone were not effective in this population (www.ClinicalTrial.gov, Identifier: NCT00991549).

A review of the economic evidence for acarbose in the prevention of diabetes and cardiovascular events in individuals with impaired glucose tolerance.

The highly prevalent, prediabetic condition of impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) confers a high risk for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and cardiovascular disease (CVD). There is an emerging body of cost-effectiveness literature in the management of IGT. For acarbose, an alpha-glucosidase inhibitor, economic analyses have been conducted for Spain, Germany, Sweden and Canada. In Spain, acarbose was more effective and less costly (dominant) compared with placebo. In Germany, the cost per patient free of diabetes was under Pounds 800; acarbose was dominant for those at high risk for T2DM, CVD or both, and a similar outcome in the Swedish study. In Canada, acarbose was dominant compared with no intervention and very cost-effective compared with metformin [C Dollars 1798/life years gained (LYG)]. The particularly cost-effective outcomes or cost savings delivered by acarbose for IGT subjects at high risk for T2DM and/or CVD render an IGT-intervention program prioritised to such high-risk individuals an economically attractive strategy.