Association between socioeconomic deprivation and presentation with a ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm.

OBJECTIVE: Given the ongoing nature of research in the social determinants space and urges to improve United States Preventive Services Task Force screening efforts for abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs), this project aims to characterize the association between the level of socioeconomic deprivation, rurality, and ruptured AAA (rAAA) presentation across the United States. METHODS: We queried the Vascular Quality Initiative registry (2010-2019) for patients with AAAs. The area deprivation index (ADI) is an index from 1 to 100 used to capture socioeconomic status. ADI was grouped into quintiles, with the most deprived regions being quintile 5 and having the highest ADI index. Multivariable logistic regression assessed the association between ADI, rurality, and rAAA presentation overall and before age 65. RESULTS: Of the 82,909 patients included, 11,458 patients (14%) resided in the most socioeconomically deprived regions, and 18,083 patients (22%) lived in rural regions. Overall, 6831 patients (8.2%) experienced an rAAA, with 4696 patients (69%) residing in the three most deprived quintiles. Most patients underwent endovascular repair (n = 67,933; 82%), followed by open repair (n = 14,976; 18%). On multivariable analysis, residence in the most socioeconomically deprived region was associated with a near 1.5-fold increased odds of presenting with an rAAA compared with a residence in the least deprived regions (odds ratio [OR], 1.46; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.31-1.63; P < .001), whereas urban residence was associated with a decreased odds to present with an rAAA compared with rural residence (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.79-0.89; P < .001). When stratifying the study population by the United States Preventive Services Task Force recommended age for AAA screening (65 years old), 14,147 patients (17%) were under 65. Of those under 65, 1381 patients (9.8%) experienced a rAAA, and 9955 patients (71%) resided in the three most deprived quintiles. Residence in the most socioeconomically deprived region was associated with an increased odds of presenting with an rAAA compared with residence in the least deprived region (OR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.01-1.69; P = .042). However, there were no significant associations between rural residence and increased rAAA presentation among individuals under 65 (OR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.93-1.23; P = .36). CONCLUSIONS: Among all patients in this study, patients residing in highly socioeconomically deprived or rural regions were more likely to present with an rAAA, but among those under 65, only residence in a socioeconomically deprived area was associated with increased odds of rAAA presentation. Understanding the effects of socioeconomic deprivation on rAAA presentation can identify at-risk populations for early AAA screening before rupture.

Prediction of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Growth Using Geometric Assessment of Computerized Tomography Images Acquired During the Aneurysm Surveillance Period.

OBJECTIVE: We investigated the utility of geometric features for future AAA growth prediction. BACKGROUND: Novel methods for growth prediction of AAA are recognized as a research priority. Geometric feature have been used to predict cerebral aneurysm rupture, but not examined as predictor of AAA growth. METHODS: Computerized tomography (CT) scans from patients with infra-renal AAAs were analyzed. Aortic volumes were segmented using an automated pipeline to extract AAA diameter (APD), undulation index (UI), and radius of curvature (RC). Using a prospectively recruited cohort, we first examined the relation between these geometric measurements to patients' demographic features (n = 102). A separate 192 AAA patients with serial CT scans during AAA surveillance were identified from an ongoing clinical database. Multinomial logistic and multiple linear regression models were trained and optimized to predict future AAA growth in these patients. RESULTS: There was no correlation between the geometric measurements and patients' demographic features. APD (Spearman r = 0.25, P < 0.05), UI (Spearman r = 0.38, P < 0.001) and RC (Spearman r =-0.53, P < 0.001) significantly correlated with annual AAA growth. Using APD, UI, and RC as 3 input variables, the area under receiver operating characteristics curve for predicting slow growth (<2.5 mm/yr) or fast growth (>5 mm/yr) at 12 months are 0.80 and 0.79, respectively. The prediction or growth rate is within 2 mm error in 87% of cases. CONCLUSIONS: Geometric features of an AAA can predict its future growth. This method can be applied to routine clinical CT scans acquired from patients during their AAA surveillance pathway.

Trends in Incidence of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Rupture, Repair, and Mortality in Nova Scotia.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to examine sex-based trends in incidence of elective abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), ruptured AAA, ruptured AAA repair, and AAA-related mortality. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of patients presenting with AAA from 2005 to 2015 was conducted. Rates of elective AAA repair, ruptured AAA, ruptured AAA repair, and mortality were obtained from linking provincial administrative data using medical services insurance billing number. The age-adjusted incidence of elective AAA repair, overall rate of ruptured AAA, ruptured AAA repair, and AAA-related mortality was calculated for each sex based on Canadian census estimates, adjusted to the Canadian standard population. Weighted linear regression was performed to analyze trends in incidence over time. RESULTS: One thousand nine hundred eighty-six elective AAA repairs were identified, of which 1,098 were repaired open and 898 underwent endovascular abdominal aneurysm repair (EVAR). Five hundred and seventy ruptured AAAs were identified, of which 295 (52%) were repaired: 259 open and 36 EVAR. The proportion of ruptured AAA that was repaired did not change over time (P = 0.54). The proportion repairs performed using EVAR increased significantly in both elective (P < 0.001) and rupture repairs (P < 0.001). During the study period, 662 patients died of AAA-associated mortality. The average incidence of elective AAA repair in men was 29.3 (95% confidence interval (CI): 27.8 to 30.8) per 100,000 and decreased over time (P = 0.04), whereas the average incidence in women was 9.2 [8.3 to 10.0] and stable (P = 0.07). The incidence of open elective AAA repair was 10.5 [9.9-11.1] with a decreasing trend over time (P < 0.001) and EVAR was 9.0 (8.5-9.6) with an increasing trend over time (P < 0.001). A decreasing trend of overall ruptured AAA (5.4 [5.0-5.9], P < 0.001), ruptured AAA repair (2.9 [2.5-3.2], P = 0.02), and of AAA-related mortality (6.2 [5.8-6.8], P < 0.001) was found, with consistent trends in both sexes. The incidence of open ruptured AAA repair decreased over time (P = 0.001) whereas the incidence of ruptured EVAR remained stable (P = 0.23). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of elective AAA repair is decreasing in males but not females, whereas the incidence of rupture has decreased in both sexes. This has translated into reduced incidence of AAA-related mortality. Increased adoption of EVAR for ruptured AAA should continue these trends.

Association between neighborhood deprivation and presenting with a ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm before screening age.

OBJECTIVE: Recent data indicate social determinants of health (SDOH) have a great impact on prevention and treatment outcomes across a broad variety of disease states, especially cardiovascular diseases. The area deprivation index (ADI) is a validated measure of neighborhood level disadvantage capturing key social determinate factors. Abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture (rAAA) is highly morbid, but also preventable through evidence-based screening. However, the association between rAAA and SDOH is poorly characterized. Our objective is to study the association of SDOH with rAAA and screening age. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients who underwent operative repair of a rAAA at a multihospital healthcare system (2003-2019). Deprivation was measured by the ADI (scale 1-100), grouped into quintiles for simplicity, with higher quintiles indicating greater deprivation. Patients with the highest quintile ADI (89-100) were categorized as the most deprived. We investigated the association between neighborhood deprivation with the odds of (i) undergoing repair for rAAA before screening age 65 and (ii) undergoing endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) using logistic regression, sequentially modeling nonmodifiable then both nonmodifiable and modifiable confounding variables. RESULTS: There were 632 patients who met the inclusion criteria (aged 74.2 ± 9.4 years; 174 women [27.6%]; 564 White [89.2%]; ADI 66.8 ± 22.3). Those from the most deprived neighborhoods (n = 118) were younger (71.7 ± 10.0 years vs 74.8 ± 9.2 years; P = .002), more likely to be female (36% vs 26%; P = .031), more likely to be Black (5.9% vs 0.4%; P = .007), and fewer underwent EVAR (28% vs 39.5%; P = .020) compared with those from other neighborhoods. On sequential modeling, residing in the most deprived neighborhoods was associated with undergoing rAAA repair before age 65 after adjusting for nonmodifiable factors (odds ratio [OR], 2.02; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.39-2.95; P < .001), and nonmodifiable as well as modifiable factors (OR, 2.22; 95% CI, 1.56-3.16; P < .001). Those in the most deprived neighborhoods had a lower odds of undergoing EVAR compared with open repair after adjusting for nonmodifiable factors (OR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.41-0.98; P = .042), and nonmodifiable as well as modifiable factors (OR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.37-0.99; P = .047). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients who underwent rAAA, residing in the most deprived neighborhoods was associated with greater adjusted odds of presenting under age 65 and undergoing an open repair. These neighborhoods represent tangible geographic targets that may benefit from a younger screening age, enhanced education, and access to care. These findings stress the importance of developing strategies for early prevention and diagnosis of cardiovascular diseases among patients with disadvantageous SDOH.

Comparison of contemporary and historical outcomes of elective and ruptured open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair.

BACKGROUND: Recently, open abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair (OSR) has become less common and will often be reserved for patients with more complex aortic anatomy. Despite improvements in patient management, the reduced surgical volume has raised concerns for potentially worsened outcomes in the contemporary era (2014-2019) compared with an earlier era in which OSR was more widely practiced (2005-2010). In the present study, we compared the 30-day outcomes of open AAA repair between these two eras. METHODS: The American College of Surgeons National Quality Improvement Program general database was queried for open AAA repair using the Current Procedural Terminology and International Classification of Diseases, 9th and 10th, codes. The cases were stratified into two groups by operation year: 2005 to 2010 (early) and 2014 to 2019 (contemporary). In each era, the cases were further divided into elective and ruptured groups. The 30-day outcomes, including mortality, major morbidity, postoperative sepsis, and unplanned reoperation, were compared between the contemporary and early eras in the elective and ruptured groups. Preoperative variables with a P value <.25 were adjusted for in the multivariate analysis. RESULTS: In the contemporary and early eras, 3749 and 3798 patients had undergone elective OSR and 1148 and 907 had undergone ruptured OSR, respectively. These samples were of similar sizes owing to the National Quality Improvement Program sampling process and our relatively strict inclusion criteria. In the contemporary era, fewer patients were elderly and fewer were smokers or had hypertension or dyspnea in the elective and rupture cohorts. More patients had had American Society of Anesthesiologists class >3 in the elective contemporary era (39% vs 24%; P < .0001). The contemporary elective repair group demonstrated increased 30-day mortality (3.7% vs 3.2%; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.36; P = .006), major adverse cardiac events (5.7% vs 3.4%; aOR, 1.87; P < .0001), and bleeding requiring transfusion (58.5% vs 13.7%; aOR, 8.96; P < .0001). The incidence of pulmonary complications (12.1% vs 15.2%; aOR, 0.80; P = .02) and sepsis (3.7% vs 8.4%; aOR, 0.47; P < .0001) had decreased in the contemporary era, with a similar rate of unplanned reoperations (8.4% vs 7.7%; aOR, 1.16; P = .09). The incidence of renal complications in the contemporary era had increased, with a statistically significant difference. However, the absolute increase of <0.5% was likely not clinically relevant (5.5% vs 5.1%; aOR, 1.23; P = .049). In the ruptured cohort, contemporary repair was associated with increased 30-day mortality (41.4% vs 40%; aOR, 1.53; P < .0001), major adverse cardiac events (25.8% vs 12.8%; aOR, 2.49; P < .0001), and bleeding requiring transfusion (88.2% vs 27%; aOR, 23.03; P < .0001). The incidence of pulmonary complications (36.9% vs 48.1%; aOR, 0.67; P < .0001), sepsis (14.6% vs 23%; aOR, 0.75; P = .03), and unplanned reoperations (18.1% vs 22.7%; aOR, 0.74; P = .008) had decreased in the contemporary OSR group. No differences were detected in the incidence of renal complications. CONCLUSIONS: The 30-day mortality has worsened after open AAA repair in the elective and rupture settings despite the improvements in perioperative management over the years. These complications likely stem from increased bleeding events and major cardiac events, which were increased in the contemporary era.

The natural history of large abdominal aortic aneurysms in patients without timely repair.

OBJECTIVE: Contemporary data on the natural history of large abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) in patients undergoing delayed or no repair are lacking. In this study, we examine the impact of large AAA size on the incidence of rupture and mortality. METHODS: From a prospectively maintained aneurysm surveillance registry, patients with an unrepaired, large AAA (≥5.5 cm in men and ≥5.0 cm in women) at baseline (ie, index imaging) or who progressed to a large size from 2003 to 2017 were included, with follow-up through March 2020. Outcomes of interest obtained by manual chart review included rupture (confirmed by imaging/autopsy), probable rupture (timing/findings consistent with rupture without more likely cause of death), repair, reasons for either no or delayed (>1 year after diagnosis of large AAA) repair and total mortality. Cumulative incidence of rupture was calculated using a nonparametric cumulative incidence function, accounting for the competing events of death and aneurysm repair and was stratified by patient sex. RESULTS: Of the 3248 eligible patients (mean age, 83.6 ± 9.1 years; 71.2% male; 78.1% white; and 32.0% current smokers), 1423 (43.8%) had large AAAs at index imaging, and 1825 progressed to large AAAs during the follow-up period, with a mean time to qualifying size of 4.3 ± 3.4 years. In total, 2215 (68%) patients underwent repair, of which 332 were delayed >1 year; 1033 (32%) did not undergo repair. The most common reasons for delayed repair were discrepancy in AAA measurement between surgeon and radiologist (34%) and comorbidity (20%), whereas the most common reasons for no repair were patient preference (48%) and comorbidity (30%). Among patients with delayed repair (mean time to repair, 2.6 ± 1.8 years), nine (2.7%) developed symptomatic aneurysms, and an additional 11 (3.3%) ruptured. Of patients with no repair, 94 (9.1%) ruptured. The 3-year cumulative incidence of rupture was 3.4% for initial AAA size 5.0 to 5.4 cm (women only), 2.2% for 5.5 to 6.0 cm, 6.0% for 6.1 to 7.0 cm, and 18.4% for >7.0 cm. Women with AAA size 6.1 to 7.0 cm had a 3-year cumulative incidence of rupture of 12.8% (95% confidence interval, 7.5%-19.6%) compared with 4.5% (95% confidence interval, 3.0%-6.5%) in men (P = .002). CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort of AAA registry patients over 17 years, annual rupture rates for large AAAs were lower than previously reported, with possible increased risk in women. Further analyses are ongoing to identify those at increased risk for aneurysm rupture and may provide targeted surveillance regimens and improve patient counseling.

Outcomes of intramural hematoma involving the ascending aorta and extending into the descending thoracic aorta.

OBJECTIVE: The optimal treatment of intramural hematoma (IMH) involving the ascending aorta remains controversial. This study aimed to analyze the results of the management of patients with acute IMH involving the ascending aorta and extending into the descending thoracic aorta, to compare outcomes of descending thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR) with that of medical therapy (MT), and to assess the risk factors associated with adverse aortic events. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed all patients diagnosed with acute IMH involving the ascending aorta and extending into the descending thoracic aorta from January 2012 to December 2019. The primary end points during follow-up were aortic disease-related death and adverse aorta-related events that required surgical or endovascular treatment, such as aortic rupture, the progression of aortic disease, or endoleak. RESULTS: We identified a total of 135 patients with acute IMH involving the ascending aorta and extending into the descending thoracic aorta, of whom 104 underwent descending TEVAR (group 1) and 31 were managed with MT (group 2). Freedom from adverse aorta-related events at 1, 3, and 5 years was significantly higher for patients who underwent descending TEVAR compared with those managed with MT (89.2%, 88.2%, and 84.0% vs 74.2%, 74.2%, and 74.2%, respectively; P = .026). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates for patients in the descending TEVAR group was 100%, 100%, and 100%, respectively, which was significantly higher than the survival of the MT group: 93.5%, 93.5%, and 81.9%, respectively (P = .002). On a univariate analysis among patients receiving MT, those who suffered adverse aorta-related events showed a higher prevalence of renal insufficiency (55.6% vs 9.1%; P = .003). In MT patients, multivariate analysis showed that renal insufficiency was the only independent risk factor associated with adverse aorta-related events (hazard ratio, 8.691; 95% confidence interval, 2.056-36.737; P = .003). CONCLUSIONS: Based on our study, compared with MT, descending TEVAR might be the more favorable treatment for patients with IMH involving the ascending aorta and extending into the descending thoracic aorta. Patients with renal insufficiency are more likely to experience adverse aorta-related events, which implies the need for subsequent intervention or an increased risk of mortality. The risk factor would be helpful for clinical decision-making.

Nationwide Study of Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms During Twenty Years (1994-2013).

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the epidemiology of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (RAAA) in Sweden over 20 years, and assess the effect of endovascular repair (EVAR) on surgical treatment rate and outcome. METHODS: All Swedish citizens >50 years with RAAA 1994 to 2013 were extracted from 3 national (Cause of Death, Patient, and Vascular Surgical) registries. Incidence, proportion repaired, surgical techniques, and 90-day mortality were assessed based on sex and age groups, with regression analysis. RESULTS: 18,726 individuals with RAAA were identified, 74.0% men. The incidence of RAAA decreased from 33.1/100,000: 1994 to 21.3/100,000: 2013 (relative change -35.6%, P < 0.001). The proportion of men with RAAA undergoing repair was 44.5%: 1994-1998, 49.7%: 2009-2013 (+11.7%, P < 0.001). In women, 22.3% were repaired in 1994-1998, versus 28.2%: 2009-2013 (+26.4%, P < 0.001). The proportion undergoing repair increased in octogenarians (men: +44.3%, P < 0.001; women +49.3%, P = 0.001). EVAR increased from 0% initially to 42.3% in men and 41.2% in women 2013. Overall, mortality rate among all individuals with RAAA decreased, men 75.8%: 1994-1998, 64.8%: 2009-2013 (-14.5%, P < 0.001); women 88.5%: 1994-1998, 82.2%: 2009-2013 (-7.1%, P < 0.001). Among those who underwent repair, mortality was 47.0% in men: 1994-1998, 31.8%: 2009-2013 (-32.3%, P < 0.001); women 51.8%: 1994-1998, 41.4%: 2009-2013 (-20.1%, P = 0.010). CONCLUSION: RAAA mortality among men decreased, mainly attributed to falling incidence of RAAA. The mortality was further reduced by more patients being offered repair, increasingly often with EVAR, and improved survival after repair. Incidence of rupture remained unchanged among women, who had higher RAAA mortality. Focused efforts to reduce RAAA mortality among women are warranted.

Lipoprotein(a) levels and risk of abdominal aortic aneurysm in the Women's Health Initiative.

OBJECTIVE: Few studies have prospectively examined the associations of lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] levels with the risk of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), especially in women. Accounting for commonly recognized risk factors, we investigated the baseline Lp(a) levels and the risk of AAA among postmenopausal women participating in the ongoing national Women's Health Initiative. METHODS: Women's Health Initiative participants with baseline Lp(a) levels available who were beneficiaries of Medicare parts A and B fee-for-service at study enrollment or who had aged into Medicare at any point were included. Participants with missing covariate data or known AAA at baseline were excluded. Thoracic aneurysms were excluded owing to the different pathophysiology. The AAA cases and interventions were identified using the International Classification of Diseases, 9th and 10th revision, codes and Current Procedural Terminology codes from claims data. Hazard ratios were computed using Cox proportional hazard models according to the quintiles of Lp(a). RESULTS: The mean age of the 6615 participants included in the analysis was 65.3 years. Of the 6615 participants, 66.6% were non-Hispanic white, 18.9% were black, 7% were Hispanic and 4.7% were Asian/Pacific Islander. Compared with the participants in the lowest Lp(a) quintile, those in higher quintiles were more likely to be overweight, black, and former or current smokers, to have hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and a history of cardiovascular disease, and to use menopausal hormone therapy and statins. During 65,476 person-years of follow-up, with a median of 10.4 years, 415 women had been diagnosed with an AAA and 36 had required intervention. More than one half had required intervention for a ruptured AAA. We failed to find a statistically significant association between Lp(a) levels and incident AAA. Additional sensitivity analyses stratified by race, with exclusion of statin users and alternative categorizations of Lp(a) using log-transformed levels, tertiles, and a cutoff of >50 mg/dL, were conducted, which did not reveal any significant associations. CONCLUSIONS: We found no statistically significant association between Lp(a) levels and the risk of AAA in a large and well-phenotyped sample of postmenopausal women. Women with high Lp(a) levels were more likely to be overweight, black, and former or current smokers, and to have hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and a history of cardiovascular disease, or to use hormone therapy and statins compared with those with lower Lp(a) levels. These findings differ from previous prospective, case-control, and meta-analysis studies that had supported a significant relationship between higher Lp(a) levels and an increased risk of AAA. Differences in the association could have resulted from study limitations or sex differences.

A population-based study of post-endovascular aortic repair rupture during 15 years.

OBJECTIVE: The devastating event of a ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) in patients who have survived a previous AAA repair, either elective or urgent, is a feared and quite uncommon event. It has been suggested to partly explain the loss of the early survival benefit for endovascular aortic repair (EVAR) vs open surgical repair (OSR). The main objective of this study was to report the national incidence rate, risk factors and outcome of post-EVAR ruptures. Secondarily, the national incidence rate of ruptures after OSR (post-OSR ruptures) was investigated. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide, population-based, retrospective cohort study using the inpatient and outpatient entries for all patients >40 years of age, receiving their first (index) surgical procedure for AAA, from 2001 to 2015. Only patients surviving their index procedure were included. The primary outcome was rAAA, registered after discharge from the index procedure (EVAR or OSR), identified in the Swedish National Patient Registry and the Cause of Death Registry. RESULTS: In total, 14,859 patients survived their primary (index) AAA procedure. There were 6470 EVAR procedures, 5893 for intact AAA (iAAA) and 577 for rAAA. Of the 6470 EVAR patients, 86 cases of post-EVAR rupture were identified, corresponding with a cumulative incidence of 1.3% over a mean follow-up time of 3.9 years. The incidence rate was 3.4 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.7-4.2)/1000 person-years. The independent risk factors identified for post-EVAR rupture were rAAA at index surgery HR 2.4 (95% CI, 1.4-4.1, p 0.002) and age (hazard ratio, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.0-1.1; P < .001). Freedom from post-EVAR rupture was 99%, 98%, and 96% at 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively. Total and postoperative mortality after post-EVAR rupture were 42% and 17% (30 days), 45% and 22% (90 days), and 53% and 33% (1 year). The incidence rate of post-OSR rupture was 0.9/1000 person-years (95% CI, 0.7-1.2). CONCLUSIONS: Post-EVAR rupture is a rare complication that can occur at any time after the index EVAR procedure. This finding may have implications for the discussion of limited follow-up programs and for the choice of procedure in patients with an AAA with a long life expectancy. An rAAA as the indication for the index surgery and age were identified as risk factors for post-EVAR rupture. The mortality associated with post-EVAR rupture is high, but lower than that of primary rAAA. The much lower risk of post-OSR rupture was confirmed, but must not be neglected as a possible late complication.

Prognostic Role of Severe Infrarenal Aortic Neck Angulation in Endovascular Aneurysm Repair.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether patients with severe infrarenal aortic neck angulation have worse outcomes than those without severe angulation after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR). DATA SOURCES: The HDAS (Healthcare Database Advanced Search) interface developed by NICE (National Institute for Health and Care Excellence) was used to search electronic bibliographic databases. REVIEW METHODS: Studies comparing outcomes of standard EVAR in patients with and without severe neck angulation were considered. Pooled outcome estimates were calculated using the odds ratio (OR) or hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI), using the Mantel-Haenszel or inverse variance method, as appropriate. Random effects models of meta-analysis were applied. The GRADE (Grading of Recommendation, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation) methodology was used to assess the certainty of evidence. RESULTS: Ten studies reporting a total of 7 371 patients (1 576 with severe neck angulation and 5 795 without) were included. The studies reported medium term follow up. No statistically significant difference was found for the primary outcomes (overall mortality: HR 1.27, 95% CI 0.88 - 1.85, low certainty; aneurysm related mortality: HR 1.07, 95% CI 0.80 - 1.44, moderate certainty; aneurysm rupture: HR 1.41, 95% CI 0.66 - 2.99, low certainty). The hazard of type Ia endoleak (HR 1.86, 95% CI 1.32 - 2.61) and re-intervention was higher in patient with severe angulation (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.01 - 1.54), but there was no significant difference in the odds of adjunctive procedures (OR 1.23, 95% CI 0.48 - 3.11), or the hazard of sac expansion (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.44 - 1.55) or stent migration (HR 1.22, 95% CI 0.78 - 1.92). Meta-analysis of studies that conducted multiple Cox regression analysis showed no significant difference for any of the primary outcomes. CONCLUSION: Severe neck angulation may not be a poor prognostic indicator for overall/aneurysm related mortality and rupture in the medium term after EVAR but may increase the risk of late type 1 endoleaks and re-intervention; therefore, patients require close surveillance.

Mediterranean Diet is Associated with Reduced Risk of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm in Smokers: Results of Two Prospective Cohort Studies.

OBJECTIVE: Smoking is a strong risk factor for the development of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). It was hypothesised that a Mediterranean diet via its anti-oxidative properties would decrease the risk of AAA, particularly among smokers. METHODS: The study population included the Cohort of Swedish Men (45 072 men) and the Swedish Mammography Cohort (36 632 women), aged 45 - 83 years at baseline. A modified Mediterranean Diet (mMED) score, including eight food groups, was calculated based on a food frequency questionnaire. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: During 17.5 years of follow up (1 427 841 person-years), 1 781 AAA cases (1 496 in men, 285 in women; 1 497 non-ruptured, 284 ruptured) were ascertained via Swedish registers. The mMED score was inversely associated with AAA incidence in men (per each one point increment in mMED score HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.93 - 1.00) and in women (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.77 - 0.90), for non-ruptured (HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.92 - 0.99; in men with infrarenal aortic diameter ≥ 30 mm HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.81 - 1.00) and for ruptured AAA (HR 0.81, 95% CI 0.70 - 0.93). In current and ex-smokers with low (< 20) and moderate (20 - 39.9) pack-years of smoking, a statistically significant inverse association was observed. HRs for each one point increment in the mMED score in current smokers were 0.83 (95% CI 0.75 - 0.91) and 0.90 (95% CI 0.84 - 0.97), respectively; in ex-smokers 0.89 (95% CI 0.81 - 0.97) and 0.93 (95% CI 0.85 - 1.01), respectively. No association was observed among current or ex-smokers with ≥ 40 pack-years; HRs 1.02 (95% CI 0.91 - 1.13) and 0.95 (95% CI 0.83 - 1.10), respectively. CONCLUSION: Adherence to the Mediterranean diet was associated with a reduced AAA risk in current and ex-smokers with low pack-years of smoking.

Short and Mid Term Outcomes of Cryopreserved Abdominal Aortic Allografts Used as a Substitute for Infected Prosthetic Grafts in 200 Patients.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the use of cryopreserved arterial allografts (CAA) as a substitute for infected infrarenal aortic prostheses, and its outcomes. METHODS: A single centre retrospective study of consecutive patients receiving an abdominal aortic CAA after removal of an infected graft was conducted between January 1997 and December 2013. The primary outcome was the rate of allograft related revision surgery. Secondary outcomes were the 30 day mortality rate, survival, primary patency, limb salvage, and infection recurrence. Allograft ruptures secondary to infection and risk factors for allograft failure were also investigated. RESULTS: Two hundred patients (mean age 64.2 ± 9.4 years) were included. In 56 (28%) cases, infection was related to an enteric fistula. The mean follow up duration was 4.1 years. The 30 day mortality rate was 11%. Early revision surgery was needed in 59 patients (29.5%). Among them, 15 (7.5%) were allograft related and led to the death of three patients (1.5%), corresponding to a 7.5% 30 day allograft related revision surgery rate. During the first six months, 17 (8.5%) patients experienced 21 events with complete or partial rupture (pseudo-aneurysm) of the allograft responsible for five (2.5%) deaths, corresponding to a re-infection rate of 8.5%. The multivariable analysis showed that diabetes and pseudo-aneurysm of the native aorta on presentation were predictive factors for short term allograft rupture. After six months, 25 (12.5%) patients experienced long term allograft complications (rupture, n = 2, 1%; pseudo-aneurysm, n = 6, 3%; aneurysm, n = 2, 1%; thrombosis, n = 11, 5.5%; stenosis, n = 4, 2%;) requiring revision surgery resulting in one death. The five year rates of survival, allograft related revision surgery, limb salvage, primary patency, and infection recurrence were 56%, 30%, 89%, 80%, and 12%, respectively. CONCLUSION: CAAs provide acceptable results to treat aortic graft infection with few early graft related fatal complications. Long term allograft related complications are quite common but are associated with low mortality and amputation rates.

Risk Factors, Dynamics, and Clinical Consequences of Aortic Neck Dilatation after Standard Endovascular Aneurysm Repair.

OBJECTIVE: Aortic neck dilatation (AND) occurs after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) with self expanding stent grafts (SESs). Whether it continues, ultimately exceeding the endograft diameter leading to abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) rupture, remains uncertain. Dynamics, risk factors, and clinical relevance of AND were investigated after EVAR with standard SESs. METHODS: All intact EVAR patients treated from 2000 to 2015 at a tertiary institution were included. Demographic, anatomical, and device related characteristics were investigated as risk factors for AND. Outer to outer diameters were measured at a single standardised aortic level on reconstructed computed tomography (CT) images. RESULTS: A total of 460 patients were included (median follow up 5.2 years, interquartile range [IQR] 3.0, 7.7 years; CT imaging follow up 3.3 years, IQR 1.3, 5.4). Baseline neck diameter was 24 mm (IQR 22, 26) and increased 11.1% (IQR 1.5%, 21.9%) at last CT imaging. Endograft oversizing was 20.0% (IQR 13.6, 28.0). AND was greater during the first year (5.2% [IQR 0, 11.7]) decreasing subsequently (two to four years to 1.4%/year [IQR 0.0, 4.5%], p ≤ .001) and was associated with suprarenal fixation endografts (t value = 7.9, p < .001) and oversizing (t value = 4.4, p < .001). AND exceeding the endograft was 3.5% (95% CI 2.2% - 4.8%) and 14.4% (95% CI 11.0% - 17.8%) at five and eight years, respectively. Excessive AND was associated with baseline neck diameter (OR 1.2/mm, 95% CI 1.05 - 1.41) while the Excluder endograft had a protective effect (OR 0.15, 95% CI 0.04 - 0.58). Excessive AND was associated with type 1A endoleak (HR 3.3, 95% CI 1.1 - 9.7) and endograft migration > 5 mm (HR 3.1, 95% CI 1.4 - 6.9). CONCLUSION: AND after EVAR with SES is associated with endograft oversizing and radial force but decelerates after the first post-operative year. Baseline aortic neck diameter and suprarenal stent bearing endografts were associated with an increased risk of AND beyond nominal stent graft diameter. However, it remains unclear whether patient selection, differences in endograft radial force or the suprarenal stent are accountable for this difference.

Type 2 Endoleak With or Without Intervention and Survival After Endovascular Aneurysm Repair.

OBJECTIVE: The aims of the present study were to examine the impact of type 2 endoleaks (T2EL) on overall survival and to determine the need for secondary intervention after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR). METHODS: A multicentre retrospective cohort study in the Netherlands was conducted among patients with an infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) who underwent EVAR between 2007 and 2012. The primary endpoint was overall survival for patients with (T2EL+) or without (T2EL-) a T2EL. Secondary endpoints were sac growth, AAA rupture, and secondary intervention. Kaplan-Meier survival and multivariable Cox regression analysis were used. RESULTS: A total of 2 018 patients were included. The median follow up was 62.1 (range 0.1 - 146.2) months. No difference in overall survival was found between T2EL+ (n = 388) and T2EL- patients (n = 1630) (p = .54). The overall survival estimates at five and 10 years were 73.3%/69.4% and 45.9%/44.1% for T2EL+/T2EL- patients, respectively. Eighty-five of 388 (21.9%) T2EL+ patients underwent a secondary intervention. There was no difference in overall survival between T2EL+ patients who underwent a secondary intervention and those who were treated conservatively (p = .081). Sac growth was observed in 89 T2EL+ patients and 44/89 patients (49.4%) underwent a secondary intervention. In 41/44 cases (93.1%), sac growth was still observed after the intervention, but was left untreated. Aneurysm rupture occurred in 4/388 T2EL patients. In Cox regression analysis, higher age, ASA classification, and maximum iliac diameter were significantly associated with worse overall survival. CONCLUSION: No difference in overall survival was found between T2EL+ and T2EL- patients. Also, patients who underwent a secondary intervention did not have better survival compared with those who did not undergo a secondary intervention. This study reinforces the need for conservative treatment of an isolated T2EL and the importance of a prospective study to determine possible advantages of the intervention.

Predictive Factors for In-Hospital Preoperative Rupture in Hyperacute Type A Aortic Dissection.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to figure out risk factors of in-hospital preoperative rupture of hyperacute type A aortic dissection (haTAAD) patients and build a prediction and risk stratification model. METHODS: From January 2011 to December 2019, 830 patients diagnosed as haTAAD from Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital were enrolled. Among them, 799 patients received prompt surgery and 31 suffered aortic rupture before operation. The association between in-hospital preoperative rupture and perioperative parameters were examined. Best subset selection was used for feature selection and ROC curve was used to identify the model. RESULTS: Age, winter season, back pain, preoperative hypotension, albumin and globulin ratio, high serum phosphorus level are risk factors for in-hospital preoperative rupture of haTAAD. On the basis of six variables with AUC 0.828, a nomogram was established. According to the robustness test, actual in-hospital preoperative ruptures were fitted well. CONCLUSIONS: The in-hospital rupture prediction model was developed using logistic regression analysis. High serum phosphorus level is one of the strongest predictors. This nomogram may be useful when evaluating the risk of aortic dissection in-hospital rupture in future trials.

[Who do you screen for an abdominal aortic aneurysm ?] / Chez qui effectuer un dépistage de l'anévrisme de l'aorte abdominale ?

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) represents an important public health problem. The early detection and treatment as well as follow-up of an AAA are important to reduce the high mortality rate associated with its rupture. Despite the decline of the prevalence of AAA in the last decades, the latest international recommendations have reaffirmed that screening in men remains cost-effective. In contrast, the data and recommendations for women are unclear. The best method for AAA screening is abdominal ultrasound. The aim of this paper is to present an up-to-date review of the indications for AAA screening based on the latest recommendations.

L'anévrisme de l'aorte abdominale (AAA) reste toujours un problème de santé publique malgré les progrès technologiques réalisés dans sa prise en charge. Le diagnostic précoce et le traitement ainsi que le suivi d'un AAA sont importants pour prévenir le taux de mortalité très élevé associé à sa rupture. Bien que la prévalence de l'AAA ait diminué ces dernières décennies, les dernières recommandations internationales ont réaffirmé qu'un dépistage chez les hommes reste rentable. En revanche, les données et les recommandations concernant la femme ne sont pas claires. L'examen de choix pour le dépistage des AAA est l'échographie abdominale. Cet article vise à mettre à jour les indications de dépistage de l'AAA en fonction des dernières recommandations.

Biomechanical indices are more sensitive than diameter in predicting rupture of asymptomatic abdominal aortic aneurysms.

OBJECTIVE: Several studies of biomechanical rupture risk assessment (BRRA) showed its advantage over the diameter criterion in rupture risk assessment of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). However, BRRA studies have not investigated the predictability of biomechanical risk indices at different time points ahead of rupture, nor have they been performed blinded for biomechanical analysts. The objective of this study was to test the predictability of the BRRA method against diameter-based risk indices in a quasi-prospective patient cohort study. METHODS: In total, 12 women and 31 men with intact AAAs at baseline have been selected retrospectively at two medical centers. Within 56 months, 19 cases ruptured, whereas 24 cases remained intact within 2 to 56 months. This outcome was kept confidential until all biomechanical activities in this study were finished. The biomechanical AAA rupture risk was calculated at baseline using high-fidelity and low-fidelity finite element method models. The capability of biomechanics-based and diameter-based risk indices to predict the known outcomes at 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, 9 months, and 12 months after baseline was validated. Besides common cohort statistics, the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curves has been used to grade the different rupture risk indices. RESULTS: Up to 9 months ahead of rupture, the receiver operating characteristic analysis of biomechanics-based risk indices showed a higher AUC than diameter-based indices. Six months ahead of rupture, the largest difference was observed with an AUC of 0.878 for the high-fidelity biomechanical risk index, 0.859 for the low-fidelity biomechanical risk index, 0.789 for the diameter, and 0.821 for the sex-adjusted diameter. In predictions beyond 9 months, none of the risk indices proved to be superior. CONCLUSIONS: High-fidelity biomechanical modeling improves the predictability of AAA rupture. Asymptomatic AAA patients with high biomechanical AAA rupture risk indices have an increased risk of rupture. Integrating biomechanics-based diagnostic indices may significantly decrease the false-positive rate in AAA treatment. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: Rupture of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is the tenth leading cause of death in men older than 60 years; however, the currently used maximal diameter criterion has a high false-positive rate. In this study, we have compared this criterion with biomechanical rupture risk assessment on the unique data set of 43 asymptomatic AAAs, of which 19 ruptured later. Moreover, the AAA outcome was blinded to the operator for the first time. Our data demonstrated that the biomechanical rupture risk assessment is superior to maximal diameter in predicting AAA rupture up to 9 months ahead and significantly decreases the false-positive rate.

Type II endoleak with an enlarging aortic sac after endovascular aneurysm repair predisposes to the development of a type IA endoleak.

OBJECTIVE: The most common endoleak after endovascular aneurysm repair is type II. Although type II endoleaks (TIIEL) are generally considered benign, there are reports that they can lead to aortic rupture. In this study, we reviewed the effect of TIIEL on sac size change to determine if sac expansion owing to a TIIEL could result in the development of a type IA endoleak (TIAEL). METHODS: After internal review board approval, all aortoiliac endovascular aneurysm repairs performed at a single institution between June 2006 and June 2012 were retrospectively reviewed. Patient demographics, comorbidities, aneurysm diameter, graft type, need for reintervention, and complications were collected. Patients with TIIEL diagnosed on follow-up imaging were categorized as those who underwent intervention for their TIIEL and those who did not. Outcomes were tabulated with attention to sac size change, development of TIAEL, rupture, and survival. RESULTS: Six hundred twenty-seven patients underwent aortoiliac stent graft placement at our institution during this time period. Patients with an operative indication other than nonruptured infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm and those without preoperative computed tomography angiography or follow-up data available for review were excluded. The total number of patients included was 389 with an average follow-up of 58.8 months (range, 0-194 months). Follow-up imaging diagnosed 124 patients with TIIEL (32%). Patients with TIIEL were significantly older (P < .0001) and more likely to be hypertensive (P < .05) but less likely to be smokers (P = .01). They had a significantly larger sac size increase than patients without TIIEL (9.50 vs -0.78 mm; P < .0001). Those with TIIEL were significantly more likely to develop a TIAEL than patients who did not have TIIEL (14% vs 5%; P = .004), but the rate of rupture was not significantly different (4% vs 2%; P = .33). In those with a TIIEL, the average sac size increase at which TIAEL developed was 13 mm. Patients in the TIIEL group who underwent intervention for their TIIEL survived significantly longer than patients who did not undergo intervention (140 months vs 100 months; P = .004). CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that there is an increased incidence of late TIAEL in patients with TIIEL compared with those without a TIIEL. Our study also demonstrates an increased overall survival in TIIEL patients who underwent intervention. Future studies are necessary to better define the association between TIIEL with enlarging sac and the development of TIAEL. However, it is reasonable to conclude that intervention for TIIEL should be undertaken at or before a cumulative sac size increase of 13 mm.

Outcomes of target vessel endoleaks after fenestrated-branched endovascular aortic repair.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to determine the incidence rate, outcomes, and risk factors of target vessel-related endoleaks after fenestrated-branched endovascular aortic repair (F-BEVAR) for pararenal aneurysms or thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms (TAAAs). METHODS: We reviewed consecutive patients treated by F-BEVAR between 2007 and 2017. Target vessel endoleaks were identified by computed tomography angiography (CTA). Follow-up included CTA and duplex ultrasound before discharge, at 2 months, at 6 months, and annually thereafter. Primary endoleaks were detected by predismissal CTA; secondary endoleaks were absent on the first CTA and were identified during follow-up. End points were spontaneous resolution of primary endoleaks, secondary interventions, and aneurysm rupture. Multivariable analyses were performed for risk factors of target vessel endoleaks and predictors of spontaneous resolution. RESULTS: A total of 382 patients (mean age, 75 ± 8 years; 75% male) underwent F-BEVAR for 195 pararenal aneurysms and 187 TAAAs with 1204 renal-mesenteric arteries targeted by 981 fenestrations and 223 directional branches. Fifty-two target vessel endoleaks were identified in 41 patients; 41 were type IIIC (interattachment), 10 were type IC (distal bridging stent sealing zone), and 1 was type IIIB (bridging stent fabric tear). Thirty-three patients (9%) had primary target vessel endoleaks in 41 target vessels (3%). Eight patients (2%) developed 11 secondary target vessel endoleaks. Directional branches were more prone to primary endoleaks (13/223 [6%]) in comparison to fenestrations (28/981 [3%]; P = .03). However, branch endoleaks resolved more often spontaneously (11/14 [79%]) compared with fenestration endoleaks (14/38 [37%]; P = .008). Other risk factors for target vessel endoleaks included inner aortic diameter ≥30 mm at the target vessel origin, four or more targeted vessels, TAAA (for primary endoleaks), and physician-modified endograft (for secondary endoleaks). Four patients with primary endoleaks underwent successful reintervention before discharge, and 29 were observed with a mean follow-up of 24 ± 21 months. Of the 41 primary endoleaks, 25 resolved spontaneously in 20 patients (61%) at first follow-up with no recurrences. Of the observed endoleaks, 11 persisted in 9 patients, and 8 of those endoleaks were treated in 7 patients. All secondary target vessel endoleaks required reintervention. There was one possible aneurysm rupture attributed to persistent secondary target vessel endoleak. CONCLUSIONS: Target vessel endoleak on CTA at discharge occurs in 1 of 10 patients treated by F-BEVAR. Of these, two-thirds resolve spontaneously, especially those affecting directional branches. Among patients with a persistent endoleak, endovascular reintervention is usually successful and aneurysm rupture is rare.