Moving epidemic method (MEM) applied to virology data as a novel real time tool to predict peak in seasonal influenza healthcare utilisation. The Scottish experience of the 2017/18 season to date.
Euro Surveill
; 23(11)2018 03.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-29560854
ABSTRACT
Scotland observed an unusual influenza A(H3N2)-dominated 2017/18 influenza season with healthcare services under significant pressure. We report the application of the moving epidemic method (MEM) to virology data as a tool to predict the influenza peak activity period and peak week of swab positivity in the current season. This novel MEM application has been successful locally and is believed to be of potential use to other countries for healthcare planning and building wider community resilience.
Palabras clave
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Banco de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Aceptación de la Atención de Salud
/
Vigilancia de la Población
/
Vigilancia de Guardia
/
Gripe Humana
Tipo de estudio:
Prognostic_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
/
Screening_studies
Límite:
Humans
País/Región como asunto:
Europa
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Euro Surveill
Asunto de la revista:
DOENCAS TRANSMISSIVEIS
Año:
2018
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
Reino Unido