Imaging-Based Biomarkers Predict Programmed Death-Ligand 1 and Survival Outcomes in Advanced NSCLC Treated With Nivolumab and Pembrolizumab: A Multi-Institutional Study.

ABSTRACT

Background: Although the immune checkpoint inhibitors, nivolumab and pembrolizumab, were found to be promising in patients with advanced NSCLC, some of them either do not respond or have recurrence after an initial response. It is still unclear who will benefit from these therapies, and, hence, there is an unmet clinical need to build robust biomarkers. Methods: Patients with advanced NSCLC (N = 323) who were treated with pembrolizumab or nivolumab were retrospectively identified from two institutions. Radiomics features extracted from baseline pretreatment computed tomography scans along with the clinical variables were used to build the predictive models for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1). To develop the imaging and integrative clinical-imaging predictive models, we used the XGBoost learning algorithm with ReliefF feature selection method and validated them in an independent cohort. The concordance index for OS, PFS, and area under the curve for PD-L1 was used to evaluate model performance. Results: We developed radiomics and the ensemble radiomics-clinical predictive models for OS, PFS, and PD-L1 expression. The concordance indices of the radiomics model were 0.60 and 0.61 for predicting OS and PFS and area under the curve was 0.61 for predicting PD-L1 in the validation cohort, respectively. The combined radiomics-clinical model resulted in higher performance with 0.65, 0.63, and 0.68 to predict OS, PFS, and PD-L1 in the validation cohort, respectively. Conclusions: We found that pretreatment computed tomography imaging along with clinical data can aid as predictive biomarkers for PD-L1 and survival end points. These imaging-driven approaches may prove useful to expand the therapeutic options for nonresponders and improve the selection of patients who would benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitors.