Changes in Population Health-Related Behaviors During a COVID-19 Surge: A Natural Experiment.

Lockdowns implemented during the first surge of the COVID-19 pandemic created highly disruptive scenarios impacting many aspects of life, including health-related behaviors. While early studies on isolated health-related behaviors partly aid in the understanding of changes in some of these behaviors, there is robust evidence supporting the idea that health-related behaviors and their changes often co-occur and should be studied and analyzed as a whole. Hence, in this study, we used hypothesis-free methods to identify inter-dependent patterns of change in health-related behaviors including tobacco smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, sleep, and weight in a population-based sample of 10,032 adults from Catalonia, Spain. We found that 86% of participants modified their health-related behavior during the lockdown as we identified five patterns of behavioral change, ranging from general worsening to improvement, in diverse combinations. Additionally, we found that being female, older age, teleworking, highly educated, assuming caregiving responsibilities, and having a high exposure to pandemic news were main the determinants of patterns characterized by changing behaviors (both worsening and improving). Overall, our results highlight the heterogeneity, co-occurrence, and inter-play between health-related behaviors under a natural experiment, and identify common demographic, socio-environmental and behavioral factors that might predict changes in behavior.