Serum apolipoprotein B to apolipoprotein A-I ratio predicts mortality in patients with heart failure.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: Apolipoproteins have been reported to be involved in many cardiovascular diseases. The aim of our study was to investigate the prognostic value of apolipoprotein B (ApoB) to apolipoprotein A-I (ApoA-I) ratio (ApoB/ApoA-I) in patients with heart failure (HF). METHODS AND RESULTS: We randomly assigned 2400 HF patients into the training cohort (n = 1400) and the validation cohort (n = 1000). Using a receiver operating characteristic curve, we identified the optimal cut-off value of the ApoB/ApoA-I in the training cohort as 0.69, which was further validated in the validation cohort. A propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was conducted to eliminate the imbalance in the baseline characteristics of the high and low ApoB/ApoA-I group. A total of 2242 HF patients were generated in the PSM cohort. We also validated our results with an independent cohort (n = 838). Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to explore the independent prognostic value of ApoB/ApoA-I in the training cohort (n = 1400), the validation cohort (n = 1000), the PSM cohort (n = 2242), and the independent cohort (n = 838). Patients with high ApoB/ApoA-I ratio had significantly poorer prognosis compared with those with low ApoB/ApoA-I ratio in the training cohort, the validation cohort, the PSM cohort, and the independent cohort (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis indicated that the ApoB/ApoA-I was an independent prognostic factor for HF in the training cohort [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.637, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.201-2.231, P = 0.002], the validation cohort (HR = 1.54, 95% CI = 1.051-2.257, P = 0.027), the PSM cohort (HR = 1.645, 95% CI = 1.273-2.125, P < 0.001), and the independent cohort (HR = 1.987, 95% CI = 1.251-3.155, P = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Serum ApoB/ApoA-I ratio is an independent predictor for the prognosis of HF patients.