Estimating global injuries morbidity and mortality: methods and data used in the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study.

BACKGROUND: While there is a long history of measuring death and disability from injuries, modern research methods must account for the wide spectrum of disability that can occur in an injury, and must provide estimates with sufficient demographic, geographical and temporal detail to be useful for policy makers. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 study used methods to provide highly detailed estimates of global injury burden that meet these criteria. METHODS: In this study, we report and discuss the methods used in GBD 2017 for injury morbidity and mortality burden estimation. In summary, these methods included estimating cause-specific mortality for every cause of injury, and then estimating incidence for every cause of injury. Non-fatal disability for each cause is then calculated based on the probabilities of suffering from different types of bodily injury experienced. RESULTS: GBD 2017 produced morbidity and mortality estimates for 38 causes of injury. Estimates were produced in terms of incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability, cause-specific mortality, years of life lost and disability-adjusted life-years for a 28-year period for 22 age groups, 195 countries and both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: GBD 2017 demonstrated a complex and sophisticated series of analytical steps using the largest known database of morbidity and mortality data on injuries. GBD 2017 results should be used to help inform injury prevention policy making and resource allocation. We also identify important avenues for improving injury burden estimation in the future.

Global injury morbidity and mortality from 1990 to 2017: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

BACKGROUND: Past research in population health trends has shown that injuries form a substantial burden of population health loss. Regular updates to injury burden assessments are critical. We report Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 Study estimates on morbidity and mortality for all injuries. METHODS: We reviewed results for injuries from the GBD 2017 study. GBD 2017 measured injury-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) using the Cause of Death Ensemble model. To measure non-fatal injuries, GBD 2017 modelled injury-specific incidence and converted this to prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs). YLLs and YLDs were summed to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). FINDINGS: In 1990, there were 4 260 493 (4 085 700 to 4 396 138) injury deaths, which increased to 4 484 722 (4 332 010 to 4 585 554) deaths in 2017, while age-standardised mortality decreased from 1079 (1073 to 1086) to 738 (730 to 745) per 100 000. In 1990, there were 354 064 302 (95% uncertainty interval: 338 174 876 to 371 610 802) new cases of injury globally, which increased to 520 710 288 (493 430 247 to 547 988 635) new cases in 2017. During this time, age-standardised incidence decreased non-significantly from 6824 (6534 to 7147) to 6763 (6412 to 7118) per 100 000. Between 1990 and 2017, age-standardised DALYs decreased from 4947 (4655 to 5233) per 100 000 to 3267 (3058 to 3505). INTERPRETATION: Injuries are an important cause of health loss globally, though mortality has declined between 1990 and 2017. Future research in injury burden should focus on prevention in high-burden populations, improving data collection and ensuring access to medical care.

The burden of unintentional drowning: global, regional and national estimates of mortality from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 Study.

BACKGROUND: Drowning is a leading cause of injury-related mortality globally. Unintentional drowning (International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 10 codes W65-74 and ICD9 E910) is one of the 30 mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive causes of injury-related mortality in the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. This study's objective is to describe unintentional drowning using GBD estimates from 1990 to 2017. METHODS: Unintentional drowning from GBD 2017 was estimated for cause-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs), age, sex, country, region, Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile, and trends from 1990 to 2017. GBD 2017 used standard GBD methods for estimating mortality from drowning. RESULTS: Globally, unintentional drowning mortality decreased by 44.5% between 1990 and 2017, from 531 956 (uncertainty interval (UI): 484 107 to 572 854) to 295 210 (284 493 to 306 187) deaths. Global age-standardised mortality rates decreased 57.4%, from 9.3 (8.5 to 10.0) in 1990 to 4.0 (3.8 to 4.1) per 100 000 per annum in 2017. Unintentional drowning-associated mortality was generally higher in children, males and in low-SDI to middle-SDI countries. China, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh accounted for 51.2% of all drowning deaths in 2017. Oceania was the region with the highest rate of age-standardised YLLs in 2017, with 45 434 (40 850 to 50 539) YLLs per 100 000 across both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: There has been a decline in global drowning rates. This study shows that the decline was not consistent across countries. The results reinforce the need for continued and improved policy, prevention and research efforts, with a focus on low- and middle-income countries.

Outcome of burn injury and its associated factors among burn patients attending public hospitals in North Showa Zone, Ethiopia: A cross-sectional study.

Burn injury is a major contributor to morbidity and mortality in developing countries. In Ethiopia, the outcome of burn injuries and associated factors among burn patients were not clearly described. To assess the outcome of burn injuries and its associated factors among burn patients attending public hospitals in the North, showa Zone, Ethiopia. An institution-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 420 burn patients in public hospitals of the North showa, zone. Systematic random sampling was used to select study participants. Structured checklists were used to extract data from burn patients' medical records. Data was entered using Epi-Data version 4.6. Data was analyzed using SPSS version 25. A p- value of ≤ 0.05 in the multivariable logistic regression was used to declare a significant association. In this study, the prevalence of discharges with complications was 40.9% (95% CI: 36.5-45.6). The odds of developing complications among patients having pre-hospital intervention were nearly four times the odds of not having the intervention (AOR = 3.8, 95% CI, 1.11-13.25). The odds of developing complications among patients having scalds were four times the odds of not having scalds (AOR = 4.3, 95% CI, 1.52-12.32). A patient who received fluid and electrolytes was 76% less likely to develop the outcome of burn injury discharged with burn complications. Patients with TBSA less than 20% were 66% less likely to be discharged with complications compared to patients with TBSA greater than 20%.: This study demonstrates a significantly higher level of outcome for patients with burn injuries who were discharged with complications, leading to death and other bad outcomes. Therefore, stakeholder would more emphasis in health education on prevention of burn injuries, first aid treatment of burn, treatment of the cause of burns, and providing fluid and electrolytes.

Estimate the burden of sexual dysfunction due to non-communicable diseases in Ethiopia: Systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Untreated sexual dysfunction is a serious sexual problem that adversely affects the quality of life. Body of evidence indicates non-communicable diseases are common comorbid conditions associated with sexual dysfunction. Therefore, this review was aimed to synthesize and estimate the burden of sexual dysfunction and its determinant factors among patients with non-communicable diseases in Ethiopia. METHODS: Cross-sectional studies were systematically searched using PubMed, Google Scholar, African Journals Online, Cochran Library, Scopus database, and gray literature. Data were extracted using a standardized Joanna Briggs Institute form. The I2 statistic was used to check heterogeneity across the included studies. A funnel plot and Egger's regression test were used to check the presence of publication bias. Sensitivity analysis was deployed to check the effect of a single study on the overall estimation. All statistical analyses were done using STATA version 11.0 software. RESULT: A total of six studies with 2,434 study participants was included. The estimated pooled sexual dysfunction was 68.04% (95% CI: 56.41-79.67). Based on the subgroup analysis, the highest prevalence of sexual dysfunction was reported among patients with mental related illness, 73.02% (95% CI: 54.00-92.03). CONCLUSION: In this review, nearly seven out of ten patients with chronic illness have sexual dysfunction, which implies sexual dysfunction was highly prevalent among non-communicable patients. Therefore, health care providers should screen and manage sexual dysfunction during follow-up for improving patient quality of life and sexual reproductive health satisfaction.