Utility of shaking chills as a diagnostic sign for bacteremia in adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Accurate prediction of bacteremia is essential for guiding blood culture collection and optimal antibiotic treatment. Shaking chills, defined as a subjective chill sensation with objective body shivering, have been suggested as a potential predictor of bacteremia; however, conflicting findings exist. To address the evidence gap, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies to assess the diagnostic accuracy of shaking chills for predicting bacteremia among adult patients. METHODS: We included studies reporting the diagnostic accuracy of shaking chills or chills for bacteremia. Adult patients with suspected bacteremia who underwent at least one set of blood cultures were included. Our main analysis focused on studies that assessed shaking chills. We searched these studies through CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, the World Health Organization ICTRP Search Portal, and ClinicalTrials.gov. Study selection, data extraction, evaluation for risk of bias, and applicability using the QUADAS-2 tool were conducted by two independent investigators. We estimated a summary receiver operating characteristic curve and a summary point of sensitivity and specificity of the index tests, using a hierarchical model and the bivariate model, respectively. RESULTS: We identified 19 studies with a total of 14,641 patients in which the accuracy of shaking chills was evaluated. The pooled sensitivity and specificity of shaking chills were 0.37 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.29 to 0.45) and 0.87 (95% CI, 0.83 to 0.90), respectively. Most studies had a low risk of bias in the index test domain and a high risk of bias and a high applicability concern in the patient-selection domain. CONCLUSIONS: Shaking chills are a highly specific but less sensitive predictor of bacteremia. Blood cultures and early initiation of antibiotics should be considered for patients with an episode of shaking chills; however, the absence of shaking chills must not lead to exclusion of bacteremia and early antibiotic treatment.

Joint associations of air pollutants during pregnancy, infancy, and childhood with childhood persistent asthma: Nationwide database study in Japan.

The joint effect of air pollutants at relatively low levels requires further investigation. Here, a database study was performed to evaluate the effects of exposure to mixtures of air pollutants during pregnancy, infancy, and childhood on childhood persistent asthma. We used the Japan Medical Data Center database, which provides access to family linkages and healthcare provider addresses, and included child-mother dyads in which the child was born between January 2010 and January 2017. The exposure of interest was ground-level air pollutants, and the primary outcome was childhood persistent asthma at 45 years of age, as defined based on outpatient and inpatient asthma disease codes and/or asthma medication dispensing claims. The weighted quantile sum (WQS) regression was used to evaluate the effects of air pollutant mixtures on 52,526 child-mother dyads from 1149 of 1907 municipalities (60.3 %) in Japan. The WQS regression models showed that with every 10th percentile increase in the WQS index, ground-level air pollutants during pregnancy, infancy, and childhood increased the risk of childhood persistent asthma by an odds ratio of 1.04 (95 % CI: 1.02-1.05; p<0.001), 1.02 (95 % CI: 1.01-1.03; p<0.001), and 1.03 (95 % CI: 1.01-1.04; p<0.001), respectively. Moreover, particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 µm was assigned the highest weight across all three exposure periods. Relatively high weights were assigned to suspended particulate matter and photochemical oxidants during pregnancy, carbon monoxide during infancy, and photochemical oxidants during childhood. Our study showed that a mixture of low-level air pollutants has a detrimental association with childhood persistent asthma.

Effectiveness of Immediate Video-Assisted Thoracoscopic Surgery for Empyema: A Multicentre, Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Because of limitations in previous randomised controlled trials and observational studies, the effectiveness of immediate video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) for patients with empyema in real-world settings remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate whether immediate VATS improves clinical outcomes in patients with empyema. METHODS: This multicentre retrospective cohort study included 744 patients with physician-diagnosed empyema from six hospitals between 2006 and 2021. The exposure was VATS performed within 3 days of empyema diagnosis, the primary outcome was 30-day mortality, and secondary outcomes were 90-day mortality, length of hospital stay, and time from diagnosis to discharge. We used propensity score weighting to account for potential confounders. For outcome analyses, we used logistic regression for mortality outcomes and gamma regression for the number of days. RESULTS: Among the 744 patients, 53 (7.1%) underwent VATS within 3 days, and 691 (92.9%) initially received conservative treatment. After propensity score weighting, the differences in 30- and 90-day mortalities between the immediate VATS and initial conservative treatment groups were 1.18% (95% confidence interval [CI], -10.7 to 13.0%) and -0.08% (95% CI, -10.3 to 10.2%), respectively. The differences in length of hospital stay and time from diagnosis to discharge were -3.22 (95% CI, -6.19 to -0.25 days) and -5.04 days (95% CI, -8.19 to -1.90 days), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our real-world study showed that immediate VATS reduced the length of hospital stay and the time from diagnosis to discharge. Considering the small sample and differences in protocols between countries, further large-scale studies are warranted.

Concordance between practice and published evidence in the management of ANCA-associated vasculitis in Japan: A cross-sectional web-questionnaire survey.

OBJECTIVES: We conducted a descriptive study of the physicians' evidence-practice gap for adults covered by the 2017 clinical practice guidelines for the management of antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis in Japan. METHODS: This web-based survey, conducted between January and February 2021, involved physicians who had treated at least five patients in the preceding year at a regional core hospital. The outcome was the physicians' experience in treating patients with microscopic polyangiitis or granulomatosis with polyangiitis [prevalence with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)], defined as treating at least 60% of their patients with the recommended therapy during the year. A modified Poisson regression analysis was performed to explore the factors associated with concordance. RESULTS: The 202 participants included 49 pulmonologists, 65 nephrologists, 61 rheumatologists, and other physicians. The concordance was 31.5% (95% CI, 25.1-38.5) of physicians who used cyclophosphamide or rituximab for the induction of remission. Rheumatology showed the highest concordance with published evidence (risk ratio = 2.4; 95% CI, 1.10-5.22, p = .03). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest an evidence-practice gap, which varies substantially among subspecialties. Further studies and a new promotional initiative are necessary to close this gap in clinical practice.

Early corticosteroid dose tapering in patients with acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Although corticosteroid therapy with dose tapering is the most commonly used treatment for acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (AE-IPF), there is no consensus on the tapering regimen. This study aimed to investigate the association between early corticosteroid dose tapering and in-hospital mortality in patients with AE-IPF. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed the data of a cohort from eight Japanese tertiary care hospitals and routinely collected administrative data from a cohort from 185 Japanese hospitals. Patients with AE-IPF were classified into the early and non-early tapering groups depending on whether the maintenance dose of corticosteroids was reduced within two weeks of admission. Propensity score analysis with inverse probability weighting (IPW) was performed to estimate the effect of early corticosteroid dose tapering. RESULTS: The multi-center cohort included 153 eligible patients, of whom 47 (31%) died, whereas the administrative cohort included 229 patients, of whom 51 (22%) died. Patients with early tapering tended to have a better prognosis than those without it (unadjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] 0.41 [0.22-0.76] and 0.65 [0.36-1.18] in the multi-center and administrative cohorts, respectively). After IPW, the early tapering group had a better prognosis than the non-early tapering group (IPW-adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] 0.37 [0.14-0.99] and 0.27 [0.094-0.83] in the multi-center and administrative cohorts, respectively). CONCLUSION: Early corticosteroid dose tapering was associated with a favorable prognosis in patients with AE-IPF. Further studies are warranted to confirm the effects of early corticosteroid dose tapering in patients with AE-IPF.

Diagnostic accuracy of home sleep apnea testing using peripheral arterial tonometry for sleep apnea: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of home sleep apnea testing using peripheral arterial tonometry for sleep apnea as an alternative to polysomnography. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies, randomized controlled trials, and diagnostic case-control studies examining the diagnostic accuracy of peripheral arterial tonometry by searching the CENTRAL, MEDLINE, EMBASE, ICTRP and ClinicalTrials.gov databases on 5 October 2021. We assessed the risk of bias of the included studies using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. A bivariate random-effects model was generated to derive the summary point estimates of sensitivity and specificity with 95% confidence intervals at different apnea-hypopnea index cutoffs. This meta-analysis included 13 studies (1227 participants, median prevalence of sleep apnea with apnea-hypopnea index ≥ 5 events per hr: 85%). The risk of bias in the included studies was low to moderate. The pooled sensitivity and specificity estimates were 96% (95% confidence interval: 93%-97%) and 44% (95% confidence interval: 32%-56%) at apnea-hypopnea index ≥ 5 events per hr, 88% (85%-91%) and 74% (63%-83%) at apnea-hypopnea index ≧ 15 events per hr, and 80% (66%-89%) and 90% (83%-95%) at apnea-hypopnea index ≧ 30 events per hr, respectively. Peripheral arterial tonometry resulted in a significant number of false negatives and false positives at any apnea-hypopnea index cutoff when applied to the median prevalence setting of the included studies. The inadequate sensitivity and specificity of peripheral arterial tonometry render it an unsuitable alternative to polysomnography for detecting sleep apnea for apnea-hypopnea index ≧ 5, 15 and 30 events per hr.

Certolizumab pegol for maintenance of medically induced remission in Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND: Crohn's disease (CD) is a disease with an impaired immune response characterized by chronic, relapsing-remitting, and progressive inflammation mainly affecting the gastrointestinal tract. Certolizumab pegol (CZP) is a biological agent that regulates the impaired immune response by controlling tumour necrosis factor-α (TNFα). However, the efficacy and safety of long-term administration of CZP for people with CD with inflammation under control are not well understood. OBJECTIVES: To assess the efficacy and safety of CZP for maintenance of remission in people with CD. SEARCH METHODS: We searched CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, ClinicalTrials.gov, WHO ICTRP, and conference abstracts from inception to 23 March 2022. We contacted pharmaceutical companies involved with the production of CZP for further relevant information. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing CZP with placebo in adults with CD. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently selected studies and extracted data. The main outcomes were failure to maintain clinical remission at week 26, failure to maintain clinical response at week 26, and serious adverse events. We planned to perform meta-analyses including all available studies if similar enough for pooling to be appropriate and calculated risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for dichotomous outcomes and mean differences with 95% CIs for continuous outcomes. We analyzed the number needed to treat for an additional beneficial outcome (NNTB) and the number needed to treat for an additional harmful outcome (NNTH) to indicate the magnitude of treatment effects. The same two review authors independently evaluated the risk of bias by using the Cochrane RoB 2 tool and evaluated the certainty of evidence using the GRADE framework. MAIN RESULTS: We identified one study meeting our prespecified eligibility criteria. The included study enrolled 428 adults with CD who responded to induction therapy with CZP 400 mg at weeks 0, 2, and 4. The study evaluated long-term efficacy and safety of CZP administered subcutaneously every four weeks compared with placebo. The proportion of participants who failed to maintain clinical remission at week 26 was 52.3% (113/216) in the CZP group compared to 71.7% (152/212) in the placebo group. Treatment of CZP probably results in a large reduction in failure to maintain clinical remission at week 26 (RR 0.73, 95% CI 0.63 to 0.85). The NNTB was 5 (95% CI 4 to 9). We judged this outcome at low risk of bias. Using the GRADE assessment, we judged the certainty of evidence as moderate due to the low number of events occurred. The proportion of participants who failed to maintain clinical response at week 26 was 37.5% (81/216) in the CZP group compared to 64.2% (136/212) in the placebo group. Treatment of CZP probably results in a large reduction in failure to maintain clinical response at week 26 (RR 0.58, 95% CI 0.48 to 0.71). The NNTB was 4 (95% CI 3 to 5). We judged this outcome at low risk of bias. Using the GRADE assessment, we judged the certainty of evidence as moderate due to the low number of events occurred. The proportion of participants who developed serious adverse events was 5.6% (12/216) in the CZP group compared to 6.6% (14/212) in the placebo group. Treatment of CZP may lead to no difference in serious adverse events compared to placebo when used as a remission maintenance treatment (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.40 to 1.78). The NNTB was 95 (95% CI NNTH 19 to NNTB 25). We evaluated the risk of bias for this outcome as low. We evaluated the certainty of evidence as low due to the low number of events occurred and the CIs were not sufficiently narrow. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: CZP probably results in a large reduction in failure to maintain clinical remission and response at week 26 in people with CD. The evidence suggests that CZP may lead to no difference in serious adverse events compared to placebo when used as a remission maintenance treatment. However, the current studies are limited to 26 weeks of follow-up and only included adults. Therefore, these conclusions cannot be used to guide longer term treatment or for treatment in children at present.

Diagnostic accuracy of Aspergillus-specific antibodies for chronic pulmonary aspergillosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

We performed this study to provide the latest evidence of the diagnostic accuracy of all Aspergillus antibodies for chronic pulmonary aspergillosis (CPA). In this meta-analysis, we searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE, Embase, and other databases, until 19 March 2020, for studies that examined the diagnostic accuracy of each Aspergillus-specific antibody for CPA and assessed the risk of bias using the revised Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. We integrated the results using a hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) model and calculated the point estimates of specificity with sensitivity fixed at 0.90 using the HSROC curve. We identified 32 published and one unpublished studies, including 75 studies on five antibody test types: 18 of precipitin test (2810 participants), 46 of IgG (8197), three of IgA (283), six of IgM (733) and two of combined IgG and IgM (IgG + IgM) (920). The results of specificity with sensitivity fixed at 0.90 were as follows: precipitin test, 0.93 (95% credible intervals: 0.86, 1.00); IgG, 0.90 (0.86, 0.95); IgA, 0.74 (0.00, 1.00); IgM, 0.50 (0.37, 0.53); IgG + IgM, 0.47 (0.00, 1.00). However, the precipitin test showed imprecision and instability in the sensitivity analysis. Most studies had a high risk of bias due to the case-control design. Although there is lack of applicability for malignancy or immunosuppressive patients, our study suggests a preference for IgG over other antibody tests in CPA screening. Particularly, IgG should be used as an adjunct when ruling out CPA.

Monocyte count and the risk for acute exacerbation of fibrosing interstitial lung disease: A retrospective cohort study.

Recent studies have suggested that an increased peripheral monocyte count predicts a poor outcome in fibrosing interstitial lung disease (ILD). However, the association between an increased monocyte count and acute exacerbations (AEs) of fibrosing ILD remains to be elucidated. Our retrospective cohort study aimed to assess the impact of peripheral monocyte count on AEs of fibrosing ILD. We analyzed the electronic medical records of 122 consecutive patients with fibrosing ILD and no prior history of an AE, who were treated with anti-fibrotic agents from August 2015 to December 2018. We determined their peripheral monocyte counts at anti-fibrotic agent initiation and performed univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses of time-to-first AE after anti-fibrotic agent initiation to assess the impact of monocyte count on AEs of fibrosing ILD. Twenty-six patients developed an AE during the follow-up period, and there was an increased monocyte count at anti-fibrotic agent initiation in these patients compared to those who did not develop an AE. There was also a significantly shorter time-to-first AE of fibrosing ILD in patients with a higher absolute monocyte count. Subgroup analyses indicated similar results regardless of the idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis diagnoses. This association was independently significant after adjusting for the severity of the fibrosing ILD. Using our results, we developed a simple scoring system consisting of two factors-monocyte count (<>380 µL-1) and ILD-gender, age, physiology score (<>4 points). Our findings suggest that the absolute monocyte count is an independent significant risk factor for AE in patients with fibrosing ILD. Our simple scoring system may be a predictor for AEs of fibrosing ILD, although further studies are needed to verify our findings.

Acute exacerbation of chronic fibrosing interstitial pneumonia in patients receiving antifibrotic agents: incidence and risk factors from real-world experience.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Here, we present real-world data on the incidence and risk factors of acute exacerbation (AE) in patients with chronic fibrotic interstitial pneumonia (CFIP) treated with antifibrotic agents, which has been previously poorly documented. METHODS: We retrospectively examined clinical characteristics, incidence and risk factors of AE in a cohort of 100 patients with CFIP (n = 75, idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis [IPF]; n = 25, other conditions), all of whom received antifibrotic agents in a real-world setting. RESULTS: The median follow-up was 17.4 months (interquartile range [IQR], 6.6 to 26.7 months). During the follow-up periods, 21 patients experienced AE after starting antifibrotic agents. The estimated 1-, 2-, and 3-year AE incidence rates were 11.4% (95% confidence interval [95%CI], 6.2-20.3%), 32% (95%CI, 20.7-47.4%), and 36.3% (95%CI 23.5-53.1%), respectively. Decreased baseline lung function (forced vital capacity and carbon monoxide diffusing capacity of the lung), existence of pulmonary hypertension estimated from an echocardiogram, higher Interstitial Lung Disease-Gender, Age, and Physiology (ILD-GAP) score, supplementary oxygen, and concomitant corticosteroid and proton-pump inhibitor (PPI) use upon starting the antifibrotic agent were risk factors of AE. Concomitant corticosteroid and PPI use and corticosteroid dose were risk factor of AE in a multivariate Cox regression hazard model adjusting for ILD-GAP score. CONCLUSION: AE of CFIP is more common in patients with physiologically and functionally advanced disease under antifibrotic agents. Prudent use of corticosteroids and PPIs when initiating antifibrotic agents may be recommended. Further studies are warranted.

Azithromycin for idiopathic acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a retrospective single-center study.

BACKGROUND: Acute exacerbation (AE) of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a fatal condition without an established pharmaceutical treatment. Most patients are treated with high-dose corticosteroids and broad-spectrum antibiotics. Azithromycin is a macrolide with immunomodulatory activity and may be beneficial for treatment of acute lung injury. The objective of this study was to determine the effect of azithromycin on survival of patients with idiopathic AE of IPF. METHODS: We evaluated 85 consecutive patients hospitalized in our department for idiopathic AE of IPF from April 2005 to August 2016. The initial 47 patients were treated with a fluoroquinolone-based regimen (control group), and the following 38 consecutive patients were treated with azithromycin (500 mg/day) for 5 days. Idiopathic AE of IPF was defined using the criteria established by the 2016 International Working Group. RESULTS: Mortality in patients treated with azithromycin was significantly lower than in those treated with fluoroquinolones (azithromycin, 26% vs. control, 70%; p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that the two variables were independently correlated with 60-day mortality as determined by the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (p = 0.002) and azithromycin use (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Azithromycin may improve survival in patients with idiopathic AE of IPF.

Algorithms Identifying Patients With Acute Exacerbation of Interstitial Pneumonia and Acute Interstitial Lung Diseases Developed Using Japanese Administrative Data.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to develop algorithms to identify patients with acute exacerbation of interstitial pneumonia and acute interstitial lung diseases using Japanese administrative data. METHODS: This single-center validation study examined diagnostic algorithm accuracies. We included patients >18 years old with at least one claim that was a candidate for acute exacerbation of interstitial pneumonia, acute interstitial lung diseases, and pulmonary alveolar hemorrhage who were admitted to our hospital between January 2016 and December 2021. Diagnoses of these conditions were confirmed by at least two respiratory physicians through a chart review. The positive predictive value was calculated for the created algorithms. RESULTS: Of the 1,109 hospitalizations analyzed, 285 and 243 were for acute exacerbation of interstitial pneumonia and acute interstitial lung diseases, respectively. As there were only five cases of pulmonary alveolar hemorrhage, we decided not to develop an algorithm for it. For acute exacerbation of interstitial pneumonia, acute interstitial lung diseases, and acute exacerbation of interstitial pneumonia or acute interstitial lung diseases, algorithms with high positive predictive value (0.82, 95% confidence interval: 0.76-0.86; 0.82, 0.74-0.88; and 0.89, 0.85-0.92, respectively) and algorithms with slightly inferior positive predictive value but more true positives (0.81, 0.75-0.85; 0.77, 0.71-0.83; and 0.85, 0.82-0.88, respectively) were developed. CONCLUSION: We developed algorithms with high positive predictive value for identifying patients with acute exacerbation of interstitial pneumonia and acute interstitial lung diseases, useful for future database studies on such patients using Japanese administrative data.

Prognostic Factors for Discharge Directly Home in Patients With Thoracoscopic Surgery for Empyema: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study.

Background: Video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery is a widely recommended treatment for empyema in advanced stages. However, only a few studies have evaluated prognostic factors among patients with empyema who underwent video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery. Furthermore, no studies have evaluated predictors of direct discharge home. Patients and Methods: This multicenter retrospective cohort study included 161 patients with empyema who underwent video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery in five acute-care hospitals. The primary outcome was the probability of direct discharge home. The secondary outcome was the length of hospital stay after surgery. We broadly assessed pre-operative factors and performed univariable logistic regression for the direct discharge home and univariable gamma regression for the length of hospital stay after surgery. Results: Of the 161 included patients, 74.5% were directly discharged home. Age (>70 years; -24.3%); altered mental status (-33.4%); blood urea nitrogen (>22.4 mg/dL; -19.4%); and pleural pH (<7.2; -17.6%) were associated with high probabilities of not being directly discharged home. Fever (15.2%) and albumin (> 2.7 g/dL; 20.2%) were associated with high probabilities of being directly discharged home. The median length of stay after surgery was 19 days. Age (>70 years; 6.2 days); altered mental status (5.6 days); purulence (2.7 days); pleural thickness (>2 cm; 5.1 days); bronchial fistula (14.6 days); albumin (>2.7 g/dL; 3.1 days); and C-reactive protein (>20 mg/dL; 3.6 days) were associated with a longer post-operation hospital stay. Conclusions: Physicians should consider using these prognostic factors to predict non-direct discharge to the home for patients with empyema.

Systemic steroid therapy for pneumonic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation: A retrospective cohort study.

The effectiveness of systemic steroid therapy on mortality in patients with pneumonic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbation is unclear. We evaluated the association between systemic steroid therapy and 30-day mortality after adjusting for known confounders, using data from the Health, Clinic, and Education Information Evaluation Institute in Japan, which longitudinally followed up patients in the same hospital. We selected patients aged ≥40 years admitted for pneumonic COPD exacerbation. The exclusion criteria were censoring within 24 h, comorbidity with other respiratory diseases, and daily steroid use. Systemic steroid therapy was defined as oral/parenteral steroid therapy initiated within two days of admission. The primary outcome was the 30-day mortality rate. To account for known confounders, each patient was assigned an inverse probability of treatment weighting. The outcome was evaluated using logistic regression. Among 3,662 patients showing pneumonic COPD exacerbation, 30-day mortality in the steroid therapy and non-steroid therapy groups was 27.6% (169/612) and 21.9% (668/3,050), respectively. Systemic steroid therapy indicated a slightly higher estimated probability of 30-day mortality (difference in the estimated probabilities, 2.65%; 95% confidence interval, -1.23 to 6.54%, p-value = 0.181). Systemic steroid therapy within two days of admission was associated with higher 30-day mortality rates in pneumonic COPD exacerbation. Further validation studies based on chart reviews will be needed to cope with residual confounders.

The ROX index (Index combining the respiratory rate with oxygenation) is a prognostic factor for acute respiratory distress syndrome.

BACKGROUND: There is no existing reliable and practical method for predicting the prognosis of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). OBJECTIVE: We aimed to clarify the association between the ROX index, which is calculated as the ratio of peripheral oxygen saturation divided by the fraction of inspired oxygen to the respiratory rate, and the prognosis of patients with ARDS under ventilator support. METHODS: In this single-center retrospective cohort study from prospectively collected database, eligible patients were categorized into three groups based on ROX tertiles. The primary outcome was the 28-day survival, and the secondary outcome was 28-day liberation from ventilator support. We performed multivariable analysis using the Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Among 93 eligible patients, 24 (26%) patients died. The patients were divided into three groups according to the ROX index (< 7.4, 7.4-11, ≥ 11), with 13, 7, and 4 patients dying in the groups, respectively. A higher ROX index was associated with lower mortality; adjusted hazard ratios [95% CIs] for increasing tertiles of ROX index: 1[reference], 0.54[0.21-1.41], 0.23[0.074-0.72] (P = 0.011 for trend) and a higher rate of successful 28-day liberation from ventilator support; adjusted hazard ratios [95% CIs] for increasing tertiles of ROX index: 1[reference], 1.41[0.68-2.94], 2.80[1.42-5.52] (P = 0.001 for trend). CONCLUSIONS: The ROX index at 24 h after initiating ventilator support is a predictor of outcomes in patients with ARDS and might inform initiation of more advanced treatments.

Efficacy and Safety of the Surgery-First Approach Compared to the Chemotherapy-First Approach for Treating Low-Risk Gestational Trophoblastic Neoplasia: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

For gestational trophoblastic neoplasia (GTN) affecting women of reproductive age, the chemotherapy-first approach is often preferred over the surgery-first approach. Low-risk GTN is treated with a chemotherapy-first approach, but the number of courses required can affect fertility. A surgery-first approach may decrease the number of chemotherapy courses, but its efficacy and safety compared to a chemotherapy-first approach are unclear. Thus, we investigated the efficacy and safety of the surgery-first approach compared to the chemotherapy-first approach in treating low-risk GTN. We searched the MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, ClinicalTrials.gov, and World Health Organization International Clinical Trials Registry Platform databases for relevant articles in July 2023. A systematic review and meta-analysis of outcome measures were conducted using a random-effects model. The primary outcomes were remission, the mean number of chemotherapy courses required to cure, and adverse events. The certainty of the evidence was evaluated using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation approach. This study protocol was registered in the Open Science Framework (https://osf.io/kysvn/). Studies for low-risk GTN included a qualitative synthesis (with 2,192 participants and ten studies, eight of which were about second uterine curettage and two about hysterectomy) and a meta-analysis (with 138 participants and two randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that compared first-line treatments of second uterine curettage and chemotherapy). Second uterine curettage may result in little to no difference in remission (risk ratio: 1.00, 95% confidence interval: 0.96-1.05; low certainty) and a slight reduction in adverse events (risk ratio: 0.87, 95% confidence interval: 0.47-1.60; low certainty). The evidence is very uncertain on the mean number of chemotherapy courses (mean difference: 2.84 lower, 95% confidence interval: 7.31 lower to 1.63 higher; very low certainty). Based on clinical outcomes, second uterine curettage can be comparable to the chemotherapy-first approach as a first-line treatment option for low-risk GTN; however, the overall certainty of the evidence was low or very low.

Skeletal muscle atrophy and short-term mortality in patients with acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: an observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Skeletal muscle atrophy, a common complication of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), and its presence upon diagnosis can indicate a poor prognosis. Patients with IPF frequently experience acute exacerbations (AE), which is associated with a high mortality rate. However, the association between skeletal muscle atrophy and short-term mortality remains unknown. METHODS: We performed a retrospective, multicenter cohort study of patients admitted for AE-IPF in Japan. The cross-sectional areas of the erector spinae muscle (ESMCSA) and the pectoralis muscle (PMCSA) were analyzed via single-slice computed tomography (CT). The primary outcome was 90-day mortality. Survival probability was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the log-rank test was used between the low and high groups of ESMCSA and PMCSA. We used multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models to evaluate the association between ESMCSA and PMCSA and prognosis. RESULTS: Of the 212 patients included, 94 (44%) died during the observation period. The low ESMCSA group (<25.6 cm2) had a significantly worse prognosis than that of the high ESMCSA group (≥25.6 cm2) (hazard ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 1.52 [1.00-2.33], P = 0.049). Multivariable analyses showed that all-cause mortality was associated with low ESMCSA (model 1, adjusted HR [95% CI]: 1.59 [0.98-2.60]; model 2, 1.55 [0.95-2.56], and model 3, 1.67 [1.00-2.78], respectively). The adjusted HR of low PMCSA (<20.4 cm2) vs. high PMCSA (≥20.4 cm2) was 1.39 (95% CI: 0.88-2.20). CONCLUSIONS: Low ESMCSA on CT images is associated with a high 90-day mortality rate in patients with AE-IPF.