Expanding antibiotic, vaccine, and diagnostics development and access to tackle antimicrobial resistance.

The increasing number of bacterial infections globally that do not respond to any available antibiotics indicates a need to invest in-and ensure access to-new antibiotics, vaccines, and diagnostics. The traditional model of drug development, which depends on substantial revenues to motivate investment, is no longer economically viable without push and pull incentives. Moreover, drugs developed through these mechanisms are unlikely to be affordable for all patients in need, particularly in low-income and middle-income countries. New, publicly funded models based on public-private partnerships could support investment in antibiotics and novel alternatives, and lower patients' out-of-pocket costs, making drugs more accessible. Cost reductions can be achieved with public goods, such as clinical trial networks and platform-based quality assurance, manufacturing, and product development support. Preserving antibiotic effectiveness relies on accurate and timely diagnosis; however scaling up diagnostics faces technological, economic, and behavioural challenges. New technologies appeared during the COVID-19 pandemic, but there is a need for a deeper understanding of market, physician, and consumer behaviour to improve the use of diagnostics in patient management. Ensuring sustainable access to antibiotics also requires infection prevention. Vaccines offer the potential to prevent infections from drug-resistant pathogens, but funding for vaccine development has been scarce in this context. The High-Level Meeting of the UN General Assembly in 2024 offers an opportunity to rethink how research and development can be reoriented to serve disease management, prevention, patient access, and antibiotic stewardship.

AI for Multistructure Incidental Findings and Mortality Prediction at Chest CT in Lung Cancer Screening.

Background Incidental extrapulmonary findings are commonly detected on chest CT scans and can be clinically important. Purpose To integrate artificial intelligence (AI)-based segmentation for multiple structures, coronary artery calcium (CAC), and epicardial adipose tissue with automated feature extraction methods and machine learning to detect extrapulmonary abnormalities and predict all-cause mortality (ACM) in a large multicenter cohort. Materials and Methods In this post hoc analysis, baseline chest CT scans in patients enrolled in the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) from August 2002 to September 2007 were included from 33 participating sites. Per scan, 32 structures were segmented with a multistructure model. For each structure, 15 clinically interpretable radiomic features were quantified. Four general codes describing abnormalities reported by NLST radiologists were applied to identify extrapulmonary significant incidental findings on the CT scans. Death at 2-year and 10-year follow-up and the presence of extrapulmonary significant incidental findings were predicted with ensemble AI models, and individualized structure risk scores were evaluated. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis was used to evaluate the performance of the models for prediction of ACM and extrapulmonary significant incidental findings. The Pearson χ2 test and Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test were used for statistical analyses. Results A total of 24 401 participants (median age, 61 years [IQR, 57-65 years]; 14 468 male) were included. In 3880 of 24 401 participants (16%), 4283 extrapulmonary significant incidental findings were reported. During the 10-year follow-up, 3389 of 24 401 participants (14%) died. CAC had the highest feature importance for predicting the three study end points. The 10-year ACM model demonstrated the best AUC performance (0.72; per-year mortality of 2.6% above and 0.8% below the risk threshold), followed by 2-year ACM (0.71; per-year mortality of 1.13% above and 0.3% below the risk threshold) and prediction of extrapulmonary significant incidental findings (0.70; probability of occurrence of 25.4% above and 9.6% below the threshold). Conclusion A fully automated AI model indicated extrapulmonary structures at risk on chest CT scans and predicted ACM with explanations. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00047385 © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Yanagawa and Hata in this issue.

Alternating low-rank tensor reconstruction for improved multiparametric mapping with cardiovascular MR Multitasking.

PURPOSE: To develop a novel low-rank tensor reconstruction approach leveraging the complete acquired data set to improve precision and repeatability of multiparametric mapping within the cardiovascular MR Multitasking framework. METHODS: A novel approach that alternated between estimation of temporal components and spatial components using the entire data set acquired (i.e., including navigator data and imaging data) was developed to improve reconstruction. The precision and repeatability of the proposed approach were evaluated on numerical simulations, 10 healthy subjects, and 10 cardiomyopathy patients at multiple scan times for 2D myocardial T1/T2 mapping with MR Multitasking and were compared with those of the previous navigator-derived fixed-basis approach. RESULTS: In numerical simulations, the proposed approach outperformed the previous fixed-basis approach with lower T1 and T2 error against the ground truth at all scan times studied and showed better motion fidelity. In human subjects, the proposed approach showed no significantly different sharpness or T1/T2 measurement and significantly improved T1 precision by 20%-25%, T2 precision by 10%-15%, T1 repeatability by about 30%, and T2 repeatability by 25%-35% at 90-s and 50-s scan times The proposed approach at the 50-s scan time also showed comparable results with that of the previous fixed-basis approach at the 90-s scan time. CONCLUSION: The proposed approach improved precision and repeatability for quantitative imaging with MR Multitasking while maintaining comparable motion fidelity, T1/T2 measurement, and septum sharpness and had the potential for further reducing scan time from 90 s to 50 s.

Differentiation between descending thoracic aortic diseases using machine learning and plasma proteomic signatures.

BACKGROUND: Descending thoracic aortic aneurysms and dissections can go undetected until severe and catastrophic, and few clinical indices exist to screen for aneurysms or predict risk of dissection. METHODS: This study generated a plasma proteomic dataset from 75 patients with descending type B dissection (Type B) and 62 patients with descending thoracic aortic aneurysm (DTAA). Standard statistical approaches were compared to supervised machine learning (ML) algorithms to distinguish Type B from DTAA cases. Quantitatively similar proteins were clustered based on linkage distance from hierarchical clustering and ML models were trained with uncorrelated protein lists across various linkage distances with hyperparameter optimization using fivefold cross validation. Permutation importance (PI) was used for ranking the most important predictor proteins of ML classification between disease states and the proteins among the top 10 PI protein groups were submitted for pathway analysis. RESULTS: Of the 1,549 peptides and 198 proteins used in this study, no peptides and only one protein, hemopexin (HPX), were significantly different at an adjusted p < 0.01 between Type B and DTAA cases. The highest performing model on the training set (Support Vector Classifier) and its corresponding linkage distance (0.5) were used for evaluation of the test set, yielding a precision-recall area under the curve of 0.7 to classify between Type B from DTAA cases. The five proteins with the highest PI scores were immunoglobulin heavy variable 6-1 (IGHV6-1), lecithin-cholesterol acyltransferase (LCAT), coagulation factor 12 (F12), HPX, and immunoglobulin heavy variable 4-4 (IGHV4-4). All proteins from the top 10 most important groups generated the following significantly enriched pathways in the plasma of Type B versus DTAA patients: complement activation, humoral immune response, and blood coagulation. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that ML may be useful in differentiating the plasma proteome of highly similar disease states that would otherwise not be distinguishable using statistics, and, in such cases, ML may enable prioritizing important proteins for model prediction.

Sex differences in coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity using 18F-sodium fluoride positron emission tomography.

INTRODUCTION: There are sex differences in the extent, severity, and outcomes of coronary artery disease. We aimed to assess the influence of sex on coronary atherosclerotic plaque activity measured using coronary 18F-sodium fluoride (18F-NaF) positron emission tomography (PET), and to determine whether 18F-NaF PET has prognostic value in both women and men. METHODS: In a post-hoc analysis of observational cohort studies of patients with coronary atherosclerosis who had undergone 18F-NaF PET CT angiography, we compared the coronary microcalcification activity (CMA) in women and men. RESULTS: Baseline 18F-NaF PET CT angiography was available in 999 participants (151 (15%) women) with 4282 patient-years of follow-up. Compared to men, women had lower coronary calcium scores (116 [interquartile range, 27-434] versus 205 [51-571] Agatston units; p = 0.002) and CMA values (0.0 [0.0-1.12] versus 0.53 [0.0-2.54], p = 0.01). Following matching for plaque burden by coronary calcium scores and clinical comorbidities, there was no sex-related difference in CMA values (0.0 [0.0-1.12] versus 0.0 [0.0-1.23], p = 0.21) and similar proportions of women and men had no 18F-NaF uptake (53.0% (n = 80) and 48.3% (n = 73); p = 0.42), or CMA values > 1.56 (21.8% (n = 33) and 21.8% (n = 33); p = 1.00). Over a median follow-up of 4.5 [4.0-6.0] years, myocardial infarction occurred in 6.6% of women (n = 10) and 7.8% of men (n = 66). Coronary microcalcification activity greater than 0 was associated with a similarly increased risk of myocardial infarction in both women (HR: 3.83; 95% CI:1.10-18.49; p = 0.04) and men (HR: 5.29; 95% CI:2.28-12.28; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Although men present with more coronary atherosclerotic plaque than women, increased plaque activity is a strong predictor of future myocardial infarction regardless of sex.

Downward myocardial creep during stress PET imaging is inversely associated with mortality.

PURPOSE: The myocardial creep is a phenomenon in which the heart moves from its original position during stress-dynamic PET myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) that can confound myocardial blood flow measurements. Therefore, myocardial motion correction is important to obtain reliable myocardial flow quantification. However, the clinical importance of the magnitude of myocardial creep has not been explored. We aimed to explore the prognostic value of myocardial creep quantified by an automated motion correction algorithm beyond traditional PET-MPI imaging variables. METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing regadenoson rest-stress [82Rb]Cl PET-MPI were included. A newly developed 3D motion correction algorithm quantified myocardial creep, the maximum motion at stress during the first pass (60 s), in each direction. All-cause mortality (ACM) served as the primary endpoint. RESULTS: A total of 4,276 patients (median age 71 years; 60% male) were analyzed, and 1,007 ACM events were documented during a 5-year median follow-up. Processing time for automatic motion correction was < 12 s per patient. Myocardial creep in the superior to inferior (downward) direction was greater than the other directions (median, 4.2 mm vs. 1.3-1.7 mm). Annual mortality rates adjusted for age and sex were reduced with a larger downward creep, with a 4.2-fold ratio between the first (0 mm motion) and 10th decile (11 mm motion) (mortality, 7.9% vs. 1.9%/year). Downward creep was associated with lower ACM after full adjustment for clinical and imaging parameters (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.93; 95%CI, 0.91-0.95; p < 0.001). Adding downward creep to the standard PET-MPI imaging model significantly improved ACM prediction (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, 0.790 vs. 0.775; p < 0.001), but other directions did not (p > 0.5). CONCLUSIONS: Downward myocardial creep during regadenoson stress carries additional information for the prediction of ACM beyond conventional flow and perfusion PET-MPI. This novel imaging biomarker is quantified automatically and rapidly from stress dynamic PET-MPI.

Reproducibility of artificial intelligence-enabled plaque measurements between systolic and diastolic phases from coronary computed tomography angiography.

OBJECTIVES: Current coronary CT angiography (CTA) guidelines suggest both end-systolic and mid-diastolic phases of the cardiac cycle can be used for CTA image acquisition. However, whether differences in the phase of the cardiac cycle influence coronary plaque measurements is not known. We aim to explore the potential impact of cardiac phases on quantitative plaque assessment. METHODS: We enrolled 39 consecutive patients (23 male, age 66.2 ± 11.5 years) who underwent CTA with dual-source CT with visually evident coronary atherosclerosis and with good image quality. End-systolic and mid- to late-diastolic phase images were reconstructed from the same CTA scan. Quantitative plaque and stenosis were analyzed in both systolic and diastolic images using artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled plaque analysis software (Autoplaque). RESULTS: Overall, 186 lesions from 39 patients were analyzed. There were excellent agreement and correlation between systolic and diastolic images for all plaque volume measurements (Lin's concordance coefficient ranging from 0.97 to 0.99; R ranging from 0.96 to 0.98). There were no substantial intrascan differences per patient between systolic and diastolic phases (p > 0.05 for all) for total (1017.1 ± 712.9 mm3 vs. 1014.7 ± 696.2 mm3), non-calcified (861.5 ± 553.7 mm3 vs. 856.5 ± 528.7 mm3), calcified (155.7 ± 229.3 mm3 vs. 158.2 ± 232.4 mm3), and low-density non-calcified plaque volume (151.4 ± 106.1 mm3 vs. 151.5 ± 101.5 mm3) and diameter stenosis (42.5 ± 18.4% vs 41.3 ± 15.1%). CONCLUSION: Excellent agreement and no substantial differences were observed in AI-enabled quantitative plaque measurements on CTA in systolic and diastolic images. Following further validation, standardized plaque measurements can be performed from CTA in systolic or diastolic cardiac phase. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: Quantitative plaque assessment using artificial intelligence-enabled plaque analysis software can provide standardized plaque quantification, regardless of cardiac phase. KEY POINTS: • The impact of different cardiac phases on coronary plaque measurements is unknown. • Plaque analysis using artificial intelligence-enabled software on systolic and diastolic CT angiography images shows excellent agreement. • Quantitative coronary artery plaque assessment can be performed regardless of cardiac phase.

Progression of non-obstructive coronary plaque: a practical CCTA-based risk score from the PARADIGM registry.

OBJECTIVES: No clear recommendations are endorsed by the different scientific societies on the clinical use of repeat coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) in patients with non-obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD). This study aimed to develop and validate a practical CCTA risk score to predict medium-term disease progression in patients at a low-to-intermediate probability of CAD. METHODS: Patients were part of the Progression of AtheRosclerotic PlAque Determined by Computed Tomographic Angiography Imaging (PARADIGM) registry. Specifically, 370 (derivation cohort) and 219 (validation cohort) patients with two repeat, clinically indicated CCTA scans, non-obstructive CAD, and absence of high-risk plaque (≥ 2 high-risk features) at baseline CCTA were included. Disease progression was defined as the new occurrence of ≥ 50% stenosis and/or high-risk plaque at follow-up CCTA. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, 104 (28%) patients experienced disease progression. The median time interval between the two CCTAs was 3.3 years (2.7-4.8). Odds ratios for disease progression derived from multivariable logistic regression were as follows: 4.59 (95% confidence interval: 1.69-12.48) for the number of plaques with spotty calcification, 3.73 (1.46-9.52) for the number of plaques with low attenuation component, 2.71 (1.62-4.50) for 25-49% stenosis severity, 1.47 (1.17-1.84) for the number of bifurcation plaques, and 1.21 (1.02-1.42) for the time between the two CCTAs. The C-statistics of the model were 0.732 (0.676-0.788) and 0.668 (0.583-0.752) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The new CCTA-based risk score is a simple and practical tool that can predict mid-term CAD progression in patients with known non-obstructive CAD. CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The clinical implementation of this new CCTA-based risk score can help promote the management of patients with non-obstructive coronary disease in terms of timing of imaging follow-up and therapeutic strategies. KEY POINTS: • No recommendations are available on the use of repeat CCTA in patients with non-obstructive CAD. • This new CCTA score predicts mid-term CAD progression in patients with non-obstructive stenosis at baseline. • This new CCTA score can help guide the clinical management of patients with non-obstructive CAD.

Latent Coronary Plaque Morphology From Computed Tomography Angiography, Molecular Disease Activity on Positron Emission Tomography, and Clinical Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Assessments of coronary disease activity with 18F-sodium fluoride positron emission tomography and radiomics-based precision coronary plaque phenotyping derived from coronary computed tomography angiography may enhance risk stratification in patients with coronary artery disease. We sought to investigate whether the prognostic information provided by these 2 approaches is complementary in the prediction of myocardial infarction. METHODS: Patients with known coronary artery disease underwent coronary 18F-sodium fluoride positron emission tomography and coronary computed tomography angiography on a hybrid positron emission tomography/computed tomography scanner. Coronary 18F-NaF uptake was determined by the coronary microcalcification activity. We performed quantitative plaque analysis of coronary computed tomography angiography datasets and extracted 1103 radiomic features for each plaque. Using weighted correlation network analysis, we derived latent morphological features of coronary lesions which were aggregated to patient-level radiomics nomograms to predict myocardial infarction. RESULTS: Among 260 patients with established coronary artery disease (age, 65±9 years; 83% men), 179 (69%) participants showed increased coronary 18F-NaF activity (coronary microcalcification activity>0). Over 53 (40-59) months of follow-up, 18 patients had a myocardial infarction. Using weighted correlation network analysis, we derived 15 distinct eigen radiomic features representing latent morphological coronary plaque patterns in an unsupervised fashion. Following adjustments for calcified, noncalcified, and low-density noncalcified plaque volumes and 18F-NaF coronary microcalcification activity, 4 radiomic features remained independent predictors of myocardial infarction (hazard ratio, 1.46 [95% CI, 1.03-2.08]; P=0.03; hazard ratio, 1.62 [95% CI, 1.04-2.54]; P=0.02; hazard ratio, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.07-2.06]; P=0.01; and hazard ratio, 1.50 (95% CI, 1.05-2.13); P=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with established coronary artery disease, latent coronary plaque morphological features, quantitative plaque volumes, and disease activity on 18F-sodium fluoride positron emission tomography are additive predictors of myocardial infarction.

Clinical Correlates of a Single-item Physical Activity Questionnaire among Patients Undergoing Stress SPECT Myocardial Perfusion Imaging.

BACKGROUND: There has been an increasing call for employing ultrashort exercise activity questionnaires as a clinical "vital sign". To-date, this has not been applied to patients undergoing cardiac stress testing. METHODS: We evaluated 1,136 patients who completed a one-item exercise questionnaire before undergoing stress SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). This question asked patients to grade how much they exercise during daily life on an 11-point scale (0= none, 10 = always). Patients were divided into four exercise activity groups based on their response: no, low, moderate, and high exercise activity. The results of this questionnaire were compared to patients clinical risk profile, mode of stress testing (exercise versus pharmacologic), and exercise treadmill duration. RESULTS: We noted a stepwise inverse relationship between exercise activity and patients' frequency of hypertension, diabetes, and obesity (p<0.001 for each). Patients with no reported exercise activity were more likely to complain of dyspnea. There was a stepwise increase in the number of patients performing treadmill exercise with increasing reported exercise activity (p<0.001). The duration on treadmill exercise increased in stepwise fashion with higher patient reported exercise activity (p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Our single-item, self-reported questionnaire was correlated to patients' risk profiles, their mode of stress testing, and cardiorespiratory fitness. These correlates, along with the pragmatic nature of this ultrashort questionnaire, and its built-in identification of patients who may warrant exercise counseling, augurs for adopting ultrashort questionnaires regarding exercise activity among patients undergoing stress MPI and other cardiac imaging tests where functional capacity is not routinely assessed.

Machine and deep learning models for accurate detection of ischemia and scar with myocardial blood flow positron emission tomography imaging.

BACKGROUND: Quantification of myocardial blood flow (MBF) is used for the noninvasive diagnosis of patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). This study compared traditional statistics, machine learning, and deep learning techniques in their ability to diagnose disease using only the rest and stress MBF values. METHODS: This study included 3245 rest and stress rubidium-82 positron emission tomography (PET) studies and matching diagnostic labels from perfusion reports. Standard logistic regression, lasso logistic regression, support vector machine, random forest, multilayer perceptron, and dense U-Net were compared for per-patient detection and per-vessel localization of scars and ischemia. RESULTS: Receiver-operator characteristic area under the curve (AUC) of machine learning models was significantly higher than those of traditional statistics models for per-patient detection of disease (0.92-0.95 vs. 0.87) but not for per-vessel localization of ischemia or scar. Random forest showed the highest AUC = 0.95 among the different models compared. On the final hold-out set for generalizability, random forest showed an AUC of 0.92 for detection and 0.89 for localization of perfusion abnormalities. CONCLUSIONS: For per-vessel localization, simple models trained on segmental data performed similarly to a convolutional neural network trained on polar-map data, highlighting the need to justify the use of complex predictive algorithms through comparison with simpler methods.

Comparative predictors of mortality among patients referred for stress single-photon emission computed tomography versus positron emission tomography myocardial perfusion imaging.

BACKGROUND: There is currently little information regarding the usage and comparative predictors of mortality among patients referred for single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) versus positron emission tomography (PET) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) within multimodality imaging laboratories. METHODS: We compared the clinical characteristics and mortality outcomes among 15,718 patients referred for SPECT-MPI and 6202 patients referred for PET-MPI between 2008 and 2017. RESULTS: Approximately two-thirds of MPI studies were performed using SPECT-MPI. The PET-MPI group was substantially older and included more patients with known coronary artery disease (CAD), hypertension, diabetes, and myocardial ischemia. The annualized mortality rate was also higher in the PET-MPI group, and this difference persisted after propensity matching 3615 SPECT-MPI and 3615 PET-MPI patients to have similar clinical profiles. Among the SPECT-MPI patients, the most potent predictor of mortality was exercise ability and performance, including consideration of patients' mode of stress testing and exercise duration. Among the PET-MPI patients, myocardial flow reserve (MFR) was the most potent predictor of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In our real-world setting, PET-MPI was more commonly employed among older patients with more cardiac risk factors than SPECT-MPI patients. The most potent predictors of mortality in our SPECT and PET-MPI groups were variables exclusive to each test: exercise ability/capacity for SPECT-MPI patients and MFR for PET-MPI patients.

Is typical angina still prognostically important? The influence of "treatment bias" upon prognostic assessments.

BACKGROUND: Since typical angina has become less frequent, it is unclear if this symptom still has prognostic significance. METHODS: We evaluated 38,383 patients undergoing stress/rest SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging followed for a median of 10.9 years. After dividing patients by clinical symptoms, we evaluated the magnitude of myocardial ischemia and subsequent mortality among medically treated versus revascularized subgroups following testing. RESULTS: Patients with typical angina had more frequent and greater ischemia than other symptom groups, but not higher mortality. Among typical angina patients, those who underwent early revascularization had substantially greater ischemia than the medically treated subgroup, including a far higher proportion with severe ischemia (44.9% vs 4.3%, P < 0.001) and transient ischemic dilation of the LV (31.3% vs 4.7%, P < 0.001). Nevertheless, the revascularized typical angina subgroup had a lower adjusted mortality risk than the medically treated subgroup (HR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.57-0.92, P = 0.009) CONCLUSIONS: Typical angina is associated with substantially more ischemia than other clinical symptoms. However, the high referral of patients with typical angina patients with ischemia to early revascularization resulted in this group having a lower rather than higher mortality risk versus other symptom groups. These findings illustrate the need to account for "treatment bias" among prognostic studies.

Head-to-head comparison of 18F-sodium fluoride coronary PET imaging between a silicon photomultiplier with digital photon counting and conventional scanners.

BACKGROUND: We compared silicone photomultipliers with digital photon counting (SiPM) and photomultiplier tubes (PMT) positron emission tomography (PET) in imaging coronary plaque activity with 18F-sodium fluoride (18F-NaF) and evaluated comprehensively SiPM PET reconstruction settings. METHODS: In 25 cardiovascular disease patients (mean age 67 ± 12 years), we conducted 18F-NaF PET on a SiPM (Biograph Vision) and conventional PET (Discovery 710) on the same day as part of a prospective clinical trial (NCT03689946). Following administration of 250 MBq of 18F-NaF, patients underwent a contrast-enhanced CT angiography and a 30-min PET acquisition in list-mode on each PET consecutively. Image noise was defined as mean standard deviation of blood pool activity within the left atria. Target-to-background ratio (TBR) and signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) were measured within the whole-vessel tubular three-dimensional volumes of interest on the cardiac motion and attenuation-corrected 18F-NaF PET images using dedicated software. RESULTS: There were significant differences in image noise and background activity between the two PETs (Image noise (%), PMT: 7.6 ± 3.7 vs SiPM: 4.0 ± 2.3, P < 0.001; background activity, PMT: 1.4 ± 0.4 vs SiPM: 1.0 ± 0.3, P < 0.001). Similarly, the SNR and TBR were significantly higher in vessels scanned with the SiPM PET (SNR, PMT: 16.3 ± 11.5 vs SiPM: 32.7 ± 29.8, P < 0.001; TBR, PMT: 0.8 ± 0.4 vs SiPM: 1.1 ± 0.6, P < 0.001). SiPM PET image reconstruction with a 256 matrix, 1.4 mm pixel, and 2 mm Gaussian filter provided best trade off in terms of maximal SNR, TBR, and clinically practical file size. CONCLUSIONS: In 18F-NaF coronary PET imaging, the SiPM PET showed superior image contrast and less image noise compared with PMT PET.

Use of a Single-item Exercise Questionnaire Predicts Prognostic Risk among Patients undergoing Stress PET-MPI.

BACKGROUND: Exercise activity reduces mortality and favorably influences mediators of risk, including myocardial flow reserve (MFR) and chronotropic responsiveness. Comprehensive research regarding the relationship between exercise activity, MFR, and chronotropic response to pharmacological stress, as assessed by heart rate response (HRR) among patients undergoing PET myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) has not been performed. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the relationship between exercise activity as assessed by a practical single-item questionnaire, MFR and HRR, and longitudinal clinical risk. METHODS: We studied outpatients who underwent pharmacological stress rubidium-82. PET-MPI and answered a self-reported one-item exercise activity questionnaire (0-10 scale) at the time of PET-MPI. HRR was calculated by the following equation: (stress HR-rest HR)/rest HR*100 (%). The primary outcome was death or myocardial infarction. RESULTS: Of 1,686 patients, 221 (13%) patients had hard events during our mean follow up of 3.8 years. Patients were divided into four groups: no/minimal exercise (n=551), low exercise (n=468), moderate exercise (n=485), and high exercise (n=182) based on the questionnaire. MFR and HRR increased with exercise activity in a stepwise manner. By Cox analysis adjusted for clinical and PET-MPI variables including MFR and HRR, exercise activity was independently associated with hard events (HR [95%CI] per activity scale, 0.95 [0.91-0.99]; p=0.028). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with higher exercise activity assessed by a practical single-item questionnaire had higher MFR and HRR. Exercise activity was an independent predictor of hard events in patients undergoing PET-MPI. Because of its ease of use, this single-item questionnaire should be applied among patients undergoing stress MPI.

From bench to bedside: Improving the clinical safety of GalNAc-siRNA conjugates using seed-pairing destabilization.

Preclinical mechanistic studies have pointed towards RNA interference-mediated off-target effects as a major driver of hepatotoxicity for GalNAc-siRNA conjugates. Here, we demonstrate that a single glycol nucleic acid or 2'-5'-RNA modification can substantially reduce small interfering RNA (siRNA) seed-mediated binding to off-target transcripts while maintaining on-target activity. In siRNAs with established hepatotoxicity driven by off-target effects, these novel designs with seed-pairing destabilization, termed enhanced stabilization chemistry plus (ESC+), demonstrated a substantially improved therapeutic window in rats. In contrast, siRNAs thermally destabilized to a similar extent by the incorporation of multiple DNA nucleotides in the seed region showed little to no improvement in rat safety suggesting that factors in addition to global thermodynamics play a role in off-target mitigation. We utilized the ESC+ strategy to improve the safety of ALN-HBV, which exhibited dose-dependent, transient and asymptomatic alanine aminotransferase elevations in healthy volunteers. The redesigned ALN-HBV02 (VIR-2218) showed improved specificity with comparable on-target activity and the program was reintroduced into clinical development.

Initial Invasive or Conservative Strategy for Stable Coronary Disease.

BACKGROUND: Among patients with stable coronary disease and moderate or severe ischemia, whether clinical outcomes are better in those who receive an invasive intervention plus medical therapy than in those who receive medical therapy alone is uncertain. METHODS: We randomly assigned 5179 patients with moderate or severe ischemia to an initial invasive strategy (angiography and revascularization when feasible) and medical therapy or to an initial conservative strategy of medical therapy alone and angiography if medical therapy failed. The primary outcome was a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, myocardial infarction, or hospitalization for unstable angina, heart failure, or resuscitated cardiac arrest. A key secondary outcome was death from cardiovascular causes or myocardial infarction. RESULTS: Over a median of 3.2 years, 318 primary outcome events occurred in the invasive-strategy group and 352 occurred in the conservative-strategy group. At 6 months, the cumulative event rate was 5.3% in the invasive-strategy group and 3.4% in the conservative-strategy group (difference, 1.9 percentage points; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.8 to 3.0); at 5 years, the cumulative event rate was 16.4% and 18.2%, respectively (difference, -1.8 percentage points; 95% CI, -4.7 to 1.0). Results were similar with respect to the key secondary outcome. The incidence of the primary outcome was sensitive to the definition of myocardial infarction; a secondary analysis yielded more procedural myocardial infarctions of uncertain clinical importance. There were 145 deaths in the invasive-strategy group and 144 deaths in the conservative-strategy group (hazard ratio, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.32). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with stable coronary disease and moderate or severe ischemia, we did not find evidence that an initial invasive strategy, as compared with an initial conservative strategy, reduced the risk of ischemic cardiovascular events or death from any cause over a median of 3.2 years. The trial findings were sensitive to the definition of myocardial infarction that was used. (Funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and others; ISCHEMIA ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01471522.).

Incremental prognostic value of stress phase entropy over standard PET myocardial perfusion imaging variables.

PURPOSE: Phase analysis can assess left ventricular dyssynchrony. The independent prognostic value of phase variables over positron emission tomography myocardial perfusion imaging (PET-MPI) variables including myocardial flow reserve (MFR) has not been studied. The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic value of phase variables for predicting mortality over standard PET-MPI variables. METHODS: Consecutive patients who underwent pharmacological stress-rest 82Rb PET study were enrolled. All PET-MPI variables including phase variables (phase entropy, phase bandwidth, and phase standard deviation) were automatically obtained by QPET software (Cedars-Sinai, Los Angeles, CA). Cox proportional hazard analyses were used to assess associations with all-cause mortality (ACM). RESULTS: In a total of 3963 patients (median age 71 years; 57% male), 923 patients (23%) died during a median follow-up of 5 years. Annualized mortality rates increased with stress phase entropy, with a 4.6-fold difference between the lowest and highest decile groups of entropy (2.6 vs. 12.0%/year). Abnormal stress phase entropy (optimal cutoff value, 43.8%) stratified ACM risk in patients with normal and impaired MFR (both p < 0.001). Among three phase variables, only stress phase entropy was significantly associated with ACM after the adjustment of standard clinical and PET-MPI variables including MFR and stress-rest change of phase variables, whether modeled as binary variables (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.44 for abnormal entropy [> 43.8%]; 95%CI, 1.18-1.75; p < 0.001) or continuous variables (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.05 per 5% increase; 95%CI, 1.01-1.10; p = 0.030). The addition of stress phase entropy to the standard PET-MPI variables significantly improved the discriminatory power for ACM prediction (p < 0.001), but the other phase variables did not (p > 0.1). CONCLUSION: Stress phase entropy is independently and incrementally associated with ACM beyond standard PET-MPI variables including MFR. Phase entropy can be obtained automatically and included in clinical reporting of PET-MPI studies to improve patient risk prediction.

Unsupervised learning to characterize patients with known coronary artery disease undergoing myocardial perfusion imaging.

PURPOSE: Patients with known coronary artery disease (CAD) comprise a heterogenous population with varied clinical and imaging characteristics. Unsupervised machine learning can identify new risk phenotypes in an unbiased fashion. We use cluster analysis to risk-stratify patients with known CAD undergoing single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). METHODS: From 37,298 patients in the REFINE SPECT registry, we identified 9221 patients with known coronary artery disease. Unsupervised machine learning was performed using clinical (23), acquisition (17), and image analysis (24) parameters from 4774 patients (internal cohort) and validated with 4447 patients (external cohort). Risk stratification for all-cause mortality was compared to stress total perfusion deficit (< 5%, 5-10%, ≥10%). RESULTS: Three clusters were identified, with patients in Cluster 3 having a higher body mass index, more diabetes mellitus and hypertension, and less likely to be male, have dyslipidemia, or undergo exercise stress imaging (p < 0.001 for all). In the external cohort, during median follow-up of 2.6 [0.14, 3.3] years, all-cause mortality occurred in 312 patients (7%). Cluster analysis provided better risk stratification for all-cause mortality (Cluster 3: hazard ratio (HR) 5.9, 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.0, 8.6, p < 0.001; Cluster 2: HR 3.3, 95% CI 2.5, 4.5, p < 0.001; Cluster 1, reference) compared to stress total perfusion deficit (≥10%: HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.5, 2.5 p < 0.001; < 5%: reference). CONCLUSIONS: Our unsupervised cluster analysis in patients with known CAD undergoing SPECT MPI identified three distinct phenotypic clusters and predicted all-cause mortality better than ischemia alone.

Mitigating bias in deep learning for diagnosis of coronary artery disease from myocardial perfusion SPECT images.

PURPOSE: Artificial intelligence (AI) has high diagnostic accuracy for coronary artery disease (CAD) from myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). However, when trained using high-risk populations (such as patients with correlating invasive testing), the disease probability can be overestimated due to selection bias. We evaluated different strategies for training AI models to improve the calibration (accurate estimate of disease probability), using external testing. METHODS: Deep learning was trained using 828 patients from 3 sites, with MPI and invasive angiography within 6 months. Perfusion was assessed using upright (U-TPD) and supine total perfusion deficit (S-TPD). AI training without data augmentation (model 1) was compared to training with augmentation (increased sampling) of patients without obstructive CAD (model 2), and patients without CAD and TPD < 2% (model 3). All models were tested in an external population of patients with invasive angiography within 6 months (n = 332) or low likelihood of CAD (n = 179). RESULTS: Model 3 achieved the best calibration (Brier score 0.104 vs 0.121, p < 0.01). Improvement in calibration was particularly evident in women (Brier score 0.084 vs 0.124, p < 0.01). In external testing (n = 511), the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was higher for model 3 (0.930), compared to U-TPD (AUC 0.897) and S-TPD (AUC 0.900, p < 0.01 for both). CONCLUSION: Training AI models with augmentation of low-risk patients can improve calibration of AI models developed to identify patients with CAD, allowing more accurate assignment of disease probability. This is particularly important in lower-risk populations and in women, where overestimation of disease probability could significantly influence down-stream patient management.