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1.
J Infect Dis ; 229(1): 173-182, 2024 Jan 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37584317

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Malaria epidemics result from extreme precipitation and flooding, which are increasing with global climate change. Local adaptation and mitigation strategies will be essential to prevent excess morbidity and mortality. METHODS: We investigated the spatial risk of malaria infection at multiple timepoints after severe flooding in rural western Uganda employing longitudinal household surveys measuring parasite prevalence and leveraging remotely sensed information to inform spatial models of malaria risk in the 3 months after flooding. RESULTS: We identified clusters of malaria risk emerging in areas (1) that showed the greatest changes in Normalized Difference Vegetation Index from pre- to postflood and (2) where residents were displaced for longer periods of time and had lower access to long-lasting insecticidal nets, both of which were associated with a positive malaria rapid diagnostic test result. The disproportionate risk persisted despite a concurrent chemoprevention program that achieved high coverage. CONCLUSIONS: The findings enhance our understanding not only of the spatial evolution of malaria risk after flooding, but also in the context of an effective intervention. The results provide a "proof of concept" for programs aiming to prevent malaria outbreaks after flooding using a combination of interventions. Further study of mitigation strategies-and particularly studies of implementation-is urgently needed.


Assuntos
Inseticidas , Malária , Humanos , Uganda/epidemiologia , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/prevenção & controle , Malária/parasitologia , Estudos Longitudinais , Quimioprevenção
2.
J Infect Dis ; 2024 Feb 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38330207

RESUMO

We obtained samples from the Department of Defense Serum Repository from soldiers who were stationed at Fort Liberty, North Carolina, between 1991 and 2019 to assess temporal trends in tick-borne rickettsiosis and ehrlichiosis. Serological evidence of infection was common, with nearly 1 in 5 (18.9%) demonstrating antibodies. We observed significant decreases in Rickettsia seroprevalence (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.42 [95% CI, .27-.65], P = .0001) while over the same period Ehrlichia seroprevalence, albeit less common, nearly doubled (aOR, 3.61 [95% CI, 1.10-13.99], P = .048). The increase in Ehrlichia seroprevalence likely reflects increased transmission resulting from the expanding geographic range of the lone star tick.

3.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 30(3): 564-567, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38407256

RESUMO

Healthcare providers in North Carolina, USA, have limited experience diagnosing and managing Lyme disease because few cases occur annually statewide. We outline the prolonged diagnostic course for a patient with locally acquired Lyme disease in North Carolina. This case highlights the need for greater awareness and professional education.


Assuntos
Diagnóstico Tardio , Doença de Lyme , Humanos , North Carolina/epidemiologia , Pessoal de Saúde , Doença de Lyme/diagnóstico , Doença de Lyme/epidemiologia
4.
Trop Med Int Health ; 29(7): 541-583, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38813598

RESUMO

Rickettsia africae is a tick-borne bacteria known to cause African tick bite fever (ATBF). While the disease was first described more than 100 years ago, knowledge of transmission risk factors and disease burden remain poorly described. To better understand the burden of R. africae, this article reviewed and summarized the published literature related to ATBF epidemiology and clinical management. Using a systematic approach, consistent with the PRISMA guidelines, we identified more than 100 eligible articles, including 65 epidemiological studies and 41 case reports. Most reports described R. africae in ticks and livestock, while human studies were less common. Human disease case reports were exclusively among returning travellers from non-endemic areas, which limits our disease knowledge among at-risk populations: people living in endemic regions. Substantial efforts to elucidate the ATBF risk factors and clinical manifestations among local populations are needed to develop effective preventative strategies and facilitate appropriate and timely diagnosis.


Assuntos
Infecções por Rickettsia , Rickettsia , Animais , Humanos , África Subsaariana/epidemiologia , Rickettsia/isolamento & purificação , Infecções por Rickettsia/epidemiologia , Infecções por Rickettsia/microbiologia , Fatores de Risco , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/microbiologia , Carrapatos/microbiologia
5.
J Clin Microbiol ; 61(12): e0073123, 2023 12 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38014985

RESUMO

IMPORTANCE: Despite the relatively high mortality and the difficulty in diagnosis, nearly one-third of patients hospitalized with a documented diagnosis of encephalitis did not undergo a lumbar puncture (LP). When an LP was performed, pathogen-specific testing was greatly underutilized. Infectious etiologies were most common, but over 40% of cases were idiopathic at discharge. These findings suggest that there is a substantial opportunity to improve the quality of care through more accurate and timely diagnosis.


Assuntos
Líquidos Corporais , Encefalite , Humanos , North Carolina/epidemiologia , Encefalite/diagnóstico , Encefalite/epidemiologia , Punção Espinal
6.
Epidemiology ; 34(5): 721-731, 2023 09 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37527450

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Population-based seroprevalence studies are crucial to understand community transmission of COVID-19 and guide responses to the pandemic. Seroprevalence is typically measured from diagnostic tests with imperfect sensitivity and specificity. Failing to account for measurement error can lead to biased estimates of seroprevalence. Methods to adjust seroprevalence estimates for the sensitivity and specificity of the diagnostic test have largely focused on estimation in the context of convenience sampling. Many existing methods are inappropriate when data are collected using a complex sample design. METHODS: We present methods for seroprevalence point estimation and confidence interval construction that account for imperfect test performance for use with complex sample data. We apply these methods to data from the Chatham County COVID-19 Cohort (C4), a longitudinal seroprevalence study conducted in central North Carolina. Using simulations, we evaluate bias and confidence interval coverage for the proposed estimator compared with a standard estimator under a stratified, three-stage cluster sample design. RESULTS: We obtained estimates of seroprevalence and corresponding confidence intervals for the C4 study. SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence increased rapidly from 10.4% in January to 95.6% in July 2021 in Chatham County, North Carolina. In simulation, the proposed estimator demonstrates desirable confidence interval coverage and minimal bias under a wide range of scenarios. CONCLUSION: We propose a straightforward method for producing valid estimates and confidence intervals when data are based on a complex sample design. The method can be applied to estimate the prevalence of other infections when estimates of test sensitivity and specificity are available.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , North Carolina/epidemiologia , Viés , Anticorpos Antivirais
7.
Malar J ; 22(1): 197, 2023 Jun 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37365595

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Malaria risk is not uniform across relatively small geographic areas, such as within a village. This heterogeneity in risk is associated with factors including demographic characteristics, individual behaviours, home construction, and environmental conditions, the importance of which varies by setting, making prediction difficult. This study attempted to compare the ability of statistical models to predict malaria risk at the household level using either (i) free easily-obtained remotely-sensed data or (ii) results from a resource-intensive household survey. METHODS: The results of a household malaria survey conducted in 3 villages in western Uganda were combined with remotely-sensed environmental data to develop predictive models of two outcomes of interest (1) a positive ultrasensitive rapid diagnostic test (uRDT) and (2) inpatient admission for malaria within the last year. Generalized additive models were fit to each result using factors from the remotely-sensed data, the household survey, or a combination of both. Using a cross-validation approach, each model's ability to predict malaria risk for out-of-sample households (OOS) and villages (OOV) was evaluated. RESULTS: Models fit using only environmental variables provided a better fit and higher OOS predictive power for uRDT result (AIC = 362, AUC = 0.736) and inpatient admission (AIC = 623, AUC = 0.672) compared to models using household variables (uRDT AIC = 376, Admission AIC = 644, uRDT AUC = 0.667, Admission AUC = 0.653). Combining the datasets did not result in a better fit or higher OOS predictive power for uRDT results (AIC = 367, AUC = 0.671), but did for inpatient admission (AIC = 615, AUC = 0.683). Household factors performed best when predicting OOV uRDT results (AUC = 0.596) and inpatient admission (AUC = 0.553), but not much better than a random classifier. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that residual malaria risk is driven more by the external environment than home construction within the study area, possibly due to transmission regularly occurring outside of the home. Additionally, they suggest that when predicting malaria risk the benefit may not outweigh the high costs of attaining detailed information on household predictors. Instead, using remotely-sensed data provides an equally effective, cost-efficient alternative.


Assuntos
Malária , Humanos , Uganda/epidemiologia , Malária/epidemiologia , Modelos Estatísticos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Características da Família , Fatores de Risco
8.
Clin Infect Dis ; 74(12): 2191-2199, 2022 07 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34499116

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Malaria epidemics are a well-described phenomenon after extreme precipitation and flooding. Yet, few studies have examined mitigation measures to prevent post-flood malaria epidemics. METHODS: We evaluated a malaria chemoprevention program implemented in response to severe flooding in western Uganda. Children aged ≤12 years from 1 village were eligible to receive 3 monthly rounds of dihydroartemisinin-piperaquine (DP). Two neighboring villages served as controls. Malaria cases were defined as individuals with a positive rapid diagnostic test result as recorded in health center registers. We performed a difference-in-differences analysis to estimate changes in the incidence and test positivity of malaria between intervention and control villages. RESULTS: A total of 554 children received at least 1 round of chemoprevention, with 75% participating in at least 2 rounds. Compared with control villages, we estimated a 53.4% reduction (adjusted rate ratio [aRR], 0.47; 95% confidence interval [CI]: .34-.62; P < .01) in malaria incidence and a 30% decrease in the test positivity rate (aRR, 0.70; 95% CI: .50-.97; P = .03) in the intervention village in the 6 months post-intervention. The impact was greatest among children who received the intervention, but decreased incidence was also observed in older children and adults (aRR, 0.57; 95% CI: .38-.84; P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: Three rounds of chemoprevention with DP delivered under pragmatic conditions reduced the incidence of malaria after severe flooding in western Uganda. These findings provide a proof-of-concept for the use of malaria chemoprevention to reduce excess disease burden associated with severe flooding.


Assuntos
Antimaláricos , Artemisininas , Malária , Adulto , Antimaláricos/uso terapêutico , Artemisininas/uso terapêutico , Quimioprevenção , Criança , Inundações , Humanos , Incidência , Malária/tratamento farmacológico , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/prevenção & controle , Piperazinas , Quinolinas , Uganda/epidemiologia
9.
Malar J ; 21(1): 63, 2022 Feb 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35197060

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Progress against malaria has stalled and may even be slipping backwards in high-burden countries. This is due to a range of factors including insecticide resistance and mosquito feeding behaviours that limit contact with widely-employed interventions including long-lasting insecticidal nets and indoor-residual spraying. Thus, further innovations in malaria control are urgently needed. METHODS: The pilot was a randomized, placebo-controlled pilot study of permethrin-treated baby wraps-known locally as lesus-in children 6-18 months of age at a single site in rural western Uganda. Fifty mother-infant pairs were assigned to permethrin-treated or untreated lesus in a 1:1 allocation. Participants and clinical staff were blinded to group assignments through use of sham treatment and re-treatment of lesus. Participants attended scheduled clinic visits every 2 weeks for a total 12 weeks. The primary outcome of interest was the safety of the intervention, assessed as changes in the frequency of use, rates of discontinuation, and incidence of adverse events, such as skin rash. Secondary outcomes included acceptability and feasibility of the intervention as measured through participant satisfaction and completion of study activities, respectively. RESULTS: Overall, rates of retention and participation were relatively high with 86.0% (43 of 50) of participants completing all scheduled visits, including 18 (75.0%) and 25 (96.2%) in the intervention and control arms respectively. By the conclusion of the 12-week follow-up period, one adverse event (0.35 events per 100 person-weeks, one-sided 95% CI 0.0-1.65) was reported. Satisfaction with the lesu was high in both groups. In each study arm, there were five incident RDT positive results, but the only PCR-positive results were observed in the control group (n = 2). CONCLUSIONS: Permethrin-treated baby wraps were well-tolerated and broadly acceptable. Adverse events were infrequent and mild. These findings support future trials seeking to determine the efficacy of treated wraps to prevent P. falciparum malaria infection in young children as a complementary tool to existing household-based interventions. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04102592, Registered 25 September 2019. Available at: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04102592.


Assuntos
Mosquiteiros Tratados com Inseticida , Inseticidas , Malária , Animais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Método Duplo-Cego , Humanos , Lactente , Inseticidas/uso terapêutico , Malária/epidemiologia , Controle de Mosquitos/métodos , Permetrina , Projetos Piloto , Uganda
10.
BMC Infect Dis ; 22(1): 699, 2022 Aug 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35986240

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Human Monocytic Ehrlichiosis is caused by infection with the bacteria Ehrlichia chaffeensis through the bite of an infected lone star tick (Amblyomma americanum). Patients infected with Human Monocytic Ehrlichiosis often present with symptoms including fever, headache, myalgia, and occasionally a macular rash. The presence of other endemic tick-borne diseases with similar symptoms, such as Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever, complicate the diagnosis of Human Monocytic Ehrlichiosis. CASE PRESENTATION: A patient developed a fever, diffuse myalgia, headache, and a non-productive cough 5 days after a fishing trip in late May in central North Carolina. Over the course of the illness the patient's symptoms worsened, with arthralgia, bilateral lower extremity erythema and edema, and a developing bilateral rash on the palms. With testing that revealed elevated liver enzymes, a potential for recent tick exposure (e.g., fishing trip), presentation during tick season, and the development of a rash, Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever and Human Monocytic Ehrlichiosis were considered. The patient was prescribed a seven-day course of oral doxycycline and cefalexin, which would provide coverage from Rickettsia, Ehrlichia and gram-positive bacteria typically responsible for cellulitis. Many of the patient's symptoms resolved or improved, although the right shoulder remained painful to active movement. The patient was prescribed another seven-day course of doxycycline due to his perceived incomplete response to the first course. Approximately 5 weeks after symptom onset (D0 + 36), the patient followed up with a provider for convalescent testing and counseling. Convalescent Ehrlichia and Rickettsia serological tests were ordered. The acute Ehrlichia serology and acute Rickettsia serology were originally non-reactive with both titers measured at < 1:64. Convalescent serology, ordered 28 days after the acute sample collection, showed a greater than four-fold increase in the Ehrlichia IgG titer (1:256), satisfying clinical and laboratory case definitions for ehrlichiosis. In follow-up, 3 weeks later (D0 + 57), the patient reported that most of his pain had subsided, though he still occasionally got shooting nerve pain when exercising. CONCLUSION: This case of Human Monocytic Ehrlichiosis in North Carolina exemplifies the need for a knowledge of spatial epidemiological patterns and clinical manifestations in the diagnosis of tick-borne diseases.


Assuntos
Ehrlichiose , Exantema , Rickettsia , Febre Maculosa das Montanhas Rochosas , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos , Animais , Doxiciclina/uso terapêutico , Ehrlichia , Ehrlichiose/diagnóstico , Ehrlichiose/tratamento farmacológico , Ehrlichiose/epidemiologia , Cefaleia , Humanos , Masculino , Mialgia , Febre Maculosa das Montanhas Rochosas/epidemiologia , Febre Maculosa das Montanhas Rochosas/microbiologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/epidemiologia
11.
BMC Infect Dis ; 22(1): 589, 2022 Jul 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35787247

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Despite the availability of a highly effective vaccine, measles remains a substantial public health problem in many countries including Uganda. In this study, conducted between June-August 2020 following a local outbreak, we sought to explore the factors that could affect measles vaccination coverage in rural western Uganda. METHODS: We conducted a descriptive study using qualitative data collection approaches in the Kasese district. The research team utilized purposive sampling to identify and select participants from the public health sector and district government. We conducted key informant interviews (KII) and one focus group discussion (FGD). Responses were recorded using portable electronic devices with the FGD and KII guide installed. Interviews were conducted at the health centre and district headquarters. Data was coded and analysed using ATLAS.ti version 8 software through deductive thematic analysis to identify key themes. RESULTS: Barriers to measles vaccination identified in this study were premised around six themes including: (i) availability of supplies and stock management, (ii) health worker attitudes and workload, (iii) financing of vaccination outreach activities, (iv) effectiveness of duty rosters (i.e., health workers' working schedules), (v) community beliefs, and (vi) accessibility of healthcare facilities. Respondents reported frequent vaccine supply disruptions, lack of resources to facilitate transportation of health workers to communities for outreach events, and health centre staffing that did not adequately support supplemental vaccination activities. Furthermore, community dependence on traditional medicine as a substitute for vaccines and long distances traveled by caregivers to reach a health facility were mentioned as barriers to vaccination uptake. CONCLUSIONS: Health system barriers limiting vaccination uptake were primarily logistical in nature and reflect inadequate resourcing of immunization efforts. At the same time, local beliefs favouring traditional medicine remain a persistent cultural barrier. These findings suggest an urgent need for more efficient supply management practices and resourcing of immunization outreaches in order to achieve the Uganda Ministry of Health's targets for childhood immunization and the prevention of disease outbreaks.


Assuntos
Sarampo , Vacinas , Criança , Humanos , Programas de Imunização , Sarampo/epidemiologia , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Uganda/epidemiologia , Vacinação , Cobertura Vacinal
12.
J Infect Dis ; 224(1): 109-113, 2021 07 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33502531

RESUMO

We enrolled 250 febrile children in western Uganda to compare the results of malaria rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) when using capillary vs venous blood. Participants were tested with 4 different RDT types. Polymerase chain reaction testing was performed as the reference standard. Sensitivity and specificity were broadly similar across RDT types and sampling method. Agreement between sample type was high, ranging from 0.95 to 0.99. When following the manufacturer's recommended interpretation, only 5 tests would have resulted in a different clinical diagnosis. These results demonstrate that malaria RDTs perform similarly when using capillary or venous blood in febrile children with Plasmodium falciparum malaria.


Assuntos
Malária Falciparum/diagnóstico , Capilares , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase , Estudos Prospectivos , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Veias
13.
Malar J ; 20(1): 304, 2021 Jul 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34225756

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) remain a cornerstone of malaria control, but strategies to sustain universal coverage and high rates of use are not well-defined. A more complete understanding of context-specific factors, including transmission intensity and access to health facilities, may inform sub-district distribution approaches and tailored messaging campaigns. METHODS: A cross-sectional survey of 2190 households was conducted in a single sub-county of western Uganda that experiences highly variable malaria transmission intensity. The survey was carried out approximately 3 years after the most recent mass distribution campaign. At each household, study staff documented reported LLIN use and source among children 2 to 10 years of age and performed a malaria rapid diagnostic test. Elevation and distance to the nearest health facility was estimated for each household. Associations between parasite prevalence and LLIN use were estimated from log binomial regression models with elevation and distance to clinic being the primary variables of interest. RESULTS: Overall, 6.8% (148 of 2170) of children age 2-10 years of age had a positive RDT result, yielding a weighted estimate of 5.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 5.4-6.2%). There was substantial variability in the positivity rates among villages, with the highest elevation villages having lower prevalence than lowest-elevation villages (p < .001). Only 64.7% (95% CI 64.0-65.5%) of children were reported to have slept under a LLIN the previous night. Compared to those living < 1 km from a health centre, households at ≥ 2 km were less likely to report the child sleeping under a LLIN (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.83-0.89, p < .001). Households located farther from a health centre received a higher proportion of LLINs from government distributions compared to households living closer to health centres. CONCLUSIONS: LLIN use and sourcing was correlated with household elevation and estimated distance to the nearest health facility. The findings suggest that current facility-based distribution strategies are limited in their reach. More frequent mass distribution campaigns and complementary approaches are likely required to maintain universal LLIN coverage and high rates of use among children in rural Uganda.


Assuntos
Mosquiteiros Tratados com Inseticida/estatística & dados numéricos , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/prevenção & controle , Controle de Mosquitos/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Transversais , Malária/transmissão , Prevalência , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Uganda/epidemiologia
14.
BMC Infect Dis ; 21(1): 596, 2021 Jun 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34157990

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Measles outbreaks are prevalent throughout sub-Saharan Africa despite the preventive measures like vaccination that target under five-year-old children and health systems strengthening efforts like prioritizing the supply chain for supplies. Measles immunization coverage for Kasese district and Bugoye HC III in 2018 was 72 and 69%, respectively. This coverage has been very low and always marked red in the Red categorization (below the national target/poor performing) on the national league table indicators. The aim of this study was to assess the scope of the 2018-2019 measles outbreak and the associated risk factors among children aged 0-60 months in Bugoye sub-county, Kasese district, western Uganda. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective unmatched case-control study among children aged 0-60 months with measles (cases) who had either a clinical presentation or a laboratory confirmation (IgM positivity) presenting at Bugoye Health Centre III (BHC) or in the surrounding communities between December 2018 and October 2019.. Caregivers of the controls (whose children did not have measles) were selected at the time of data collection in July 2020. A modified CDC case investigation form was used in data collection. Quantitative data was collected and analyzed using Microsoft excel and STATA version 13. The children's immunization cards and health registers at BHC were reviewed to ascertain the immunization status of the children before the outbreak. RESULTS: An extended measles outbreak occurred in Bugoye, Uganda occured between December 2018 and October 2019. All 34 facility-based measles cases were documented to have had maculopapular rash, conjunctivitis, and cough. Also, the majority had fever (97%), coryza (94.1%), lymphadenopathy (76.5%), arthralgias (73.5%) and Koplik Spots (91.2%) as documented in the clinical registers. Similar symptoms were reported among 36 community-based cases. Getting infected even after immunized, low measles vaccination coverage were identified as the principal risk factors for this outbreak. CONCLUSION: Measles is still a significant problem. This study showed that this outbreak was associated with under-vaccination. Implementing a second routine dose of measles-rubella vaccine would not only increase the number of children with at least one dose but also boost the immunity of those who had the first dose.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças , Sarampo/epidemiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Pré-Escolar , Coleta de Dados/métodos , Feminino , Humanos , Imunização , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Fatores de Risco , Uganda/epidemiologia , Cobertura Vacinal
15.
J Infect Dis ; 222(7): 1086-1089, 2020 09 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32750135

RESUMO

The recent development and regulatory approval of a variety of serological assays indicating the presence of antibodies against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 has led to rapid and widespread implementation of seroprevalence studies. Accurate estimates of seroprevalence are needed to model transmission dynamics and estimate mortality rates. Furthermore, seroprevalence levels in a population help guide policy surrounding reopening efforts. The literature to date has focused heavily on issues surrounding the quality of seroprevalence tests and less on the sampling methods that ultimately drive the representativeness of resulting estimates. Seroprevalence studies based on convenience samples are being reported widely and extrapolated to larger populations for the estimation of total coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infections, comparisons of prevalence across geographic regions, and estimation of mortality rates. In this viewpoint, we discuss the pitfalls that can arise with the use of convenience samples and offer guidance for moving towards more representative and timely population estimates of COVID-19 seroprevalence.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , Betacoronavirus/imunologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/epidemiologia , COVID-19 , Infecções por Coronavirus/transmissão , Infecções por Coronavirus/virologia , Humanos , Pandemias , Pneumonia Viral/transmissão , Pneumonia Viral/virologia , Vigilância da População , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudos de Amostragem , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/transmissão , Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave/virologia
16.
BMC Med ; 18(1): 53, 2020 03 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32146905

RESUMO

Please see related article: http://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12916-020-01520-1.


Assuntos
Estatísticas Vitais , Autopsia , Projetos de Pesquisa
17.
BMC Infect Dis ; 20(1): 835, 2020 Nov 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33176708

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The spatial distribution and burden of dengue in sub-Saharan Africa remains highly uncertain, despite high levels of ecological suitability. The goal of this study was to describe the epidemiology of dengue among a cohort of febrile children presenting to outpatient facilities located in areas of western Uganda with differing levels of urbanicity and malaria transmission intensity. METHODS: Eligible children were first screened for malaria using rapid diagnostic tests. Children with a negative malaria result were tested for dengue using a combination NS1/IgM/IgG rapid test (SD Bioline Dengue Duo). Confirmatory testing by RT-PCR was performed in a subset of participants. Antigen-capture ELISA was performed to estimate seroprevalence. RESULTS: Only 6 of 1416 (0.42%) children had a positive dengue rapid test, while none of the RT-PCR results were positive. ELISA testing demonstrated reactive IgG antibodies in 28 (2.2%) participants with the highest prevalence seen at the urban site in Mbarara (19 of 392, 4.9%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, these findings suggest that dengue, while present, is an uncommon cause of non-malarial, pediatric febrile illness in western Uganda. Further investigation into the eocological factors that sustain low-level transmission in urban settings are urgently needed to reduce the risk of epidemics.


Assuntos
Vírus da Dengue/genética , Vírus da Dengue/imunologia , Dengue/diagnóstico , Dengue/epidemiologia , Febre/diagnóstico , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Dengue/virologia , Testes Diagnósticos de Rotina/efeitos adversos , Ensaio de Imunoadsorção Enzimática , Feminino , Humanos , Imunoglobulina G/imunologia , Imunoglobulina M/imunologia , Malária/diagnóstico , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/parasitologia , Masculino , Plasmodium/imunologia , Plasmodium/isolamento & purificação , Prevalência , Estudos Prospectivos , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase em Tempo Real , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Uganda/epidemiologia
19.
Malar J ; 17(1): 305, 2018 Aug 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30134987

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Malaria is a leading cause of paediatric morbidity and mortality in Uganda. More than half of febrile children in rural areas initially seek care at private clinics and drug shops. These shops are generally unregulated and the quality of clinical care is variable, with the potential for misdiagnosis and the development of drug resistance. There is thus an urgent need to identify rural drug shops and coordinate their malaria treatment efforts with those of the public sector. The objective of the study was to identify all drug shops in the Bugoye sub-county of Western Uganda and assess their anti-malarial dispensing practices. METHODS: This study is a cross-sectional survey of drug shops in a rural sub-county of Western Uganda. In the first phase, shop locations, licensing and shopkeeper's qualifications, and supply and pricing of anti-malarials were characterized. In the second phase, the proportion of anti-malarials dispensed by private drug shops was compared to public health facilities. RESULTS: A total of 48 drug shops were identified. Only one drug shop (1 of 48, 2%) was licensed with the sub-county's records office. The drug shops stocked a variety of anti-malarials, including first-line therapies and less effective agents (e.g., sulfadoxine/pyrimethamine). Almost all drug shops (45 of 48, 94%) provided parenteral anti-malarials. Of the 3900 individuals who received anti-malarials during the study, 2080 (53.3%) purchased anti-malarials through the private sector compared to 1820 (46.7%) who obtained anti-malarials through the public sector. Drug shops were the primary source of parenteral anti-malarials. Inadequate dosing of anti-malarials was more common in drug shops. CONCLUSIONS: Drug shops are major sources of parenteral anti-malarials, which should be reserved for cases of severe malaria. Strengthening malaria case management and incorporating drug shops in future interventions is necessary to optimize malaria control efforts in the sub-county, and in similarly endemic regions.


Assuntos
Antimaláricos/uso terapêutico , Injeções/estatística & dados numéricos , Farmácia , Setor Privado , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , População Rural , Uganda , Adulto Jovem
20.
Clin Infect Dis ; 65(9): 1509-1515, 2017 Oct 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29020298

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In rural areas, many patients with malaria seek care at peripheral health facilities or community case management programs. While this strategy is effective for the management of uncomplicated malaria, severe malaria necessitates prompt detection and referral to facilities with adequate resources. METHODS: In this prospective, observational cohort study, we assessed the accuracy of a dual-band (histidine-rich protein-2/pan-lactate dehydrogenase [HRP2/pLDH]) rapid diagnostic test (RDT) to differentiate uncomplicated from severe malaria. We included children aged <12 years who presented to a rural clinic in western Uganda with a positive HRP2 or HRP2/pLDH RDT. We estimated the test characteristics of a dual-antigen (HRP2+/pLDH+) band positive RDT compared to World Health Organization-defined clinical and laboratory criteria to detect severe malaria. RESULTS: A total of 2678 children underwent testing for malaria with an RDT, and 83 (9.0%) satisfied criteria for severe malaria. The sensitivity and specificity of a HRP2+/pLDH+ result for severe malaria was 97.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 90.8%-99.6%) and 75.6% (95% CI, 73.8%-77.4%), respectively. An HRP2+/pLDH+ result was significantly more sensitive (97.6% vs 68.7%, P < .001) for the detection of severe malaria compared to algorithms that incorporate screening for danger signs. CONCLUSIONS: A positive dual-antigen (HRP2/pLDH) RDT has higher sensitivity than the use of clinical manifestations to detect severe malaria, making it a promising tool in the triage of children with malaria in low-resource settings. Additional work is needed to operationalize diagnostic and treatment algorithms that include dual-antigen RDTs to avoid over referral.


Assuntos
Antígenos de Protozoários/sangue , Malária Falciparum/classificação , Malária Falciparum/diagnóstico , Parasitologia/métodos , Plasmodium falciparum , Kit de Reagentes para Diagnóstico , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , Proteínas de Protozoários , Saúde da População Rural , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Uganda
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