RESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Pre-eclampsia (PE) is a serious complication of pregnancy associated with maternal and fetal morbidity and mortality. As current prediction models have limitations and may not be applicable in resource-limited settings, we aimed to develop a machine-learning (ML) algorithm that offers a potential solution for developing accurate and efficient first-trimester prediction of PE. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study in Mexico City, Mexico to develop a first-trimester prediction model for preterm PE (pPE) using ML. Maternal characteristics and locally derived multiples of the median (MoM) values for mean arterial pressure, uterine artery pulsatility index and serum placental growth factor were used for variable selection. The dataset was split into training, validation and test sets. An elastic-net method was employed for predictor selection, and model performance was evaluated using area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve (AUC) and detection rates (DR) at 10% false-positive rates (FPR). RESULTS: The final analysis included 3050 pregnant women, of whom 124 (4.07%) developed PE. The ML model showed good performance, with AUCs of 0.897, 0.963 and 0.778 for pPE, early-onset PE (ePE) and any type of PE (all-PE), respectively. The DRs at 10% FPR were 76.5%, 88.2% and 50.1% for pPE, ePE and all-PE, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our ML model demonstrated high accuracy in predicting pPE and ePE using first-trimester maternal characteristics and locally derived MoM. The model may provide an efficient and accessible tool for early prediction of PE, facilitating timely intervention and improved maternal and fetal outcome. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.
Eficiencia de un enfoque de aprendizaje automático para la predicción de la preeclampsia en un país de ingresos medios OBJETIVO: La preeclampsia (PE) es una complicación grave del embarazo asociada a morbilidad y mortalidad materna y del feto. Dado que los modelos de predicción actuales tienen limitaciones y pueden no ser aplicables en situaciones con recursos limitados, se propuso desarrollar un algoritmo de aprendizaje automático (AA) que ofrezca una solución con potencial para desarrollar una predicción precisa y eficiente de la PE en el primer trimestre. MÉTODOS: Se realizó un estudio de cohorte prospectivo en Ciudad de México para desarrollar un modelo de predicción de la PE pretérmino (PEp) en el primer trimestre utilizando AA. Para la selección de variables se utilizaron las características maternas y los múltiplos de la mediana (MdM) obtenidos localmente para la presión arterial media, el índice de pulsatilidad de la arteria uterina y el factor de crecimiento placentario sérico. El conjunto de datos se dividió en subconjuntos de datos de entrenamiento, de validación y de test estadístico. Se empleó un método de red elástica para la selección de predictores, y el rendimiento del modelo se evaluó mediante el área bajo la curva de características operativas del receptor (ABC) y las tasas de detección (TD) con tasas de falsos positivos (TFP) del 10%. RESULTADOS: El análisis final incluyó a 3050 mujeres embarazadas, de las cuales 124 (4,07%) desarrollaron PE. El modelo de AA mostró una buena eficiencia, con un ABC de 0,897, 0,963 y 0,778 para la PEp, la PE de aparición temprana (PEat) y cualquier tipo de PE (todas las PE), respectivamente. Las TD con TFP del 10% fueron del 76,5%, 88,2% y 50,1% para la PEp, PEat y todas las PE, respectivamente. CONCLUSIONES: Nuestro modelo de AA demostró una alta precisión en la predicción de la PEp y la PEat utilizando características maternas del primer trimestre y MdM calculados localmente. El modelo puede proporcionar una herramienta eficiente y accesible para la predicción temprana de la PE, facilitando la intervención oportuna y la mejora de los resultados maternos y del feto.
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Pré-Eclâmpsia , Recém-Nascido , Gravidez , Feminino , Humanos , Pré-Eclâmpsia/diagnóstico , Fator de Crescimento Placentário , Estudos Prospectivos , Biomarcadores , Primeiro Trimestre da GravidezRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Recommendations on general glaucoma management and the use of early minimally invasive and microincisional surgeries are limited. This study aimed to establish consensus regarding glaucoma management, focusing on the XEN-45 gel stent implant. METHODS: A Delphi consensus-driven process was used. The scientific committee led the study, identified the expert panel, and participated in elaborating the questionnaire. Fifty-one panelists were invited to complete, on a nine-point Likert scale, an 89-item questionnaire covering three topic blocks. Two Delphi rounds were performed. Consensus was achieved if ≥66.6% of panelists reached agreement or disagreement. RESULTS: Panelists agreed on 84 items related to the patients' quality of life, the therapeutic algorithm and patient profile, and surgical and pre- and post-operative management. Panelists agreed on the suitability of XEN stent implants to treat glaucoma at different stages and for different patient profiles: young patients, elderly or with significant comorbidities, and with myopic glaucoma, patients who failed previous surgeries, and with previous poor post-operative experience. XEN surgery was considered a therapeutic step prior to classic filtering surgery and a possible first surgical option in elderly patients with comorbidities and uncontrolled intraocular pressure. XEN surgery allows the patient to return to routine daily activities faster than conventional filtering surgeries and to reduce and/or eliminate topical treatments. CONCLUSIONS: This Delphi-driven consensus resulted in a series of general recommendations for glaucoma management, including those related to patient quality of life, therapeutic algorithm, and patient profile, and specific ones regarding the use of XEN stent gel surgery.
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Implantes para Drenagem de Glaucoma , Glaucoma , Humanos , Idoso , Técnica Delphi , Qualidade de Vida , Resultado do Tratamento , Glaucoma/cirurgiaRESUMO
AIM: We analyze the registered data of home parenteral nutrition (HPN) in our country during the year 2000. METHOD: The data were collected through a previously designed questionnaire. Apart from epidemiological information, the form includes the disease to prescribe this treatment, the specific nutritional treatment used and its duration, access path, complications and readmission rate in hospital, follow-up of the treatment, and progress. All data were processed and analysed by the co-ordinating team. RESULTS: Fourteen hospitals participated, and 67 patients were enrolled. Middle age was 5 +/- 4 years for patients < 14 years old, and 48 +/- 15 years for those > or = 14 years old. The more prevalent diagnosis were: ischemic bowel (28.4%), neoplasm (16.4%), radiation enteritis (13.4%), motility disorders (7.5%), Crohn's disease (2.9%), and other. The mean time on HPN was 7.5 +/- 4.4 months. Tunelized catheter was the preferential route (77.6%), followed by the implantated one (20.9%). The intermittent method (nocturnal) was preferential (91.0%). Patients receive the formula from hospital pharmacy more frequently than from Nutriservice (71.5% versus 19.4%). The complications related to nutrition (0.32/100 days of HPN) included the infections (0.12 catheter sepsis/100 d of HPN), metabolic (0.06/100 d of HPN), mechanic (0.03/100 d of HPN) and electrolitic disorders (0.03/100 d of HPN). The readmission rate, for nutritional problems, was 0.3 hospitalizations/100 d of HPN. At the end of the year, 61.2% of the patients remained in the HPN program, 37.3% abandoned the treatment (due to death (40%), to progress to oral feeding (48%), and to progress to enteral nutrition (4%); and 1.5% of the patients were not follow up. CONCLUSIONS: This review illustrates that there is an increment in the registration of HPN patients in our country (1997: 0.7 patients/10(6) habitants, 2000: 1.9 patients/10(6) habitants), that vascular pathology is the more frequent diagnoses in HPN patients, and the rate of readmission and complications and the behaviour is similar to other series making this as a safe treatment in our place.
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Inquéritos Nutricionais , Nutrição Parenteral no Domicílio/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistema de Registros , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , EspanhaRESUMO
AIM: We analyse the registered data of home parenteral nutrition (HPN) in our country during the year 2001. METHOD: The data were collected through a previously designed questionnaire. Apart from epidemiological information, the form includes the disease to prescribe this treatment, the specific nutritional treatment used and its duration, access path, complications and readmission rate in hospital, follow-up of the treatment, and progress. All data were processed and analysed by the co-ordinating team. RESULTS: Seventeen hospitals participated, and 66 patients were enrolled. Middle age was 5.5 +/- 4.9 years for patients < 14 years old, and 49.2 +/- 15.8 years for those > or = 14 years old. The more prevalent diagnosis were: ischemic bowel (28.9%), neoplasm (22.7%), radiation enteritis (12.1%), motility disorders (4.5%) and Crohn's disease (4.5%). The mean time on HPN was 8.4 +/- 4.5 months. Tunnelled catheter was the preferential route (62.1%), followed by the implantated one (33.3%). The intermittent method (nocturnal) was preferential (81.8%). Patients receive the formula, mainly from hospital pharmacy (75.7%). The complications related to nutrition (1.3/patient) included the infections (0.46 sepsis/patient, and 0.19 catheter contamination/patients), mechanic (0.15/patient), metabolic (0.1/patient) and electrolytic disorders (0.07/patient). The readmission rate, for nutritional problems, was 1.34/patient. At the end of the year, 74.2% of the patients remained in the HPN program, and 25.8% abandoned the treatment (due to death: 52.9%, and to progress to oral feeding (25.3%). CONCLUSIONS: This review illustrates that the registration of HPN patients in our country is standing (1.65 patients/10(6) habitants), that vascular pathology is the more frequent diagnoses in HPN patients, and the rate of readmission and complications and the behaviour is similar to other series making this as a safe treatment in our place.
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Nutrição Parenteral no Domicílio , Sistema de Registros , Adolescente , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Espanha , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
GOAL: Once again, the NADYA-SENPE Working Group analysed the registered data of Home Enteral Nutrition (HEN) in our country, during the year 2000. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The data were collected through a closed questionnaire included on our web site (www.nadya-senpe.com). Apart from epidemiological information, the form includes the indication to prescribe this treatment, the specific nutritional treatment used and its duration, access path, complications and readmission rate in hospital, follow-up of the treatment, patient's quality of life and progress. All data were processed and analysed by the co-ordinating team. RESULTS: Twenty two hospital participated and 2,986 patients, aged 65.1 +/- 19.7 years, were enrolled. Of these patients, 41.2% were diagnosed with neurological diseases and 33.3% with cancer. The mean time on HEN was 6.3 +/- 4.4 months. Oral nutrition was the preferential route (50.8%), followed by nasoenteral tube (30.5%), and in 17.4% ostomy tubes were placed. Polymeric was the formula composition mainly used (83.2%). Patients were followed (70.1%) by the hospital reference Nutritional Support Unit. The complications related to nutrition included the gastrointestinal (0.25 complications/patient), the mechanical one (0.19 complications/patient), and the metabolic (0.007 complications/patient). Feeding tube need to be replaced 0.3 times/patient/year. The readmission rate, for nutritional problems, was observed in 0.03 patients. At the end of the year, 54.9% of the patients were in the HEN program, and in 30.3% HEN was finish due to different reasons. In 21.9% of the patients no, o light, discapacity degree was found. CONCLUSIONS: Related to previous years, there is an increment in the number of enrolled patients. Neurological diseases and cancer were the more frequent diagnoses in HEN patients. Oral access was the higher feeding route due, probably, to the high prevalence of cancer patients. In spite of the elevated prevalence of neurological diseases, a few number of patients were feed with ostomy tube. Finally, due to the few readmission rate and complications, HEN is a safe treatment in our country.
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Nutrição Parenteral no Domicílio/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistema de Registros , Programas Governamentais , Humanos , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Nutrição Parenteral no Domicílio/efeitos adversos , EspanhaRESUMO
GOAL: The NADYA-SENPE Working Group analyzed the registered data of patients on Home Enteral Nutrition (HEN) in our country, during year 2001. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The data were collected through a closed questionnaire included on our web site (www.nadya-senpe.com). Apart from epidemiological information, the form includes the indication to prescribe this treatment, the specific nutritional treatment used and its duration, access path, complications and readmission rate in hospital, follow-up of the treatment, patient's quality of life and progress. All data were processed and analyzed by the coordinating team. RESULTS: Twenty two hospitals participated and 3,458 patients, aged 5.6 +/- 4.0 y for those younger than 14 y, and 67.1 +/- 19.5 y for those older than 14 y, were enrolled. Of these patients, 43.4% were diagnosed with neurological diseases and 33.5% with cancer. The mean time on HEN was 6.5 +/- 4.5 months. Oral nutrition was the preferential route (54.5%), followed by nasoenteral tube (32.3%), and in 13.3% ostomy tubes were placed. Polymeric was the formula composition mainly used (85.9%). Patients were followed (71.1%) by the hospital reference Nutritional Support Unit. The complications related to nutrition included mainly the gastrointestinal (0.16 complications/patient), and the mechanical one (0.15 complications/patient). At the end for the year, 48.3% of the patients were in the HEN program, and in 33.3% HEN was finish due to different reasons. In 22.9% of the patients no, o light, discapacity degree was found. CONCLUSIONS: Neurological diseases and cancer were the more frequent diagnoses in HEN patients. Oral access was the higher feeding route due, probably, to the high prevalence of cancer patients. In spite of the elevated prevalence of neurological diseases, a few number of patients, as previous years, were feed with ostomy tube. Due to the few complications observed, HEN is a safe treatment in our country.
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Nutrição Enteral , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar , Sistema de Registros , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Espanha , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
Using a simplified questionnaire from the NADYA group, data referring to age, sex, diagnosis, access route, duration, form of administration, complications, and quality of life have been gathered from 1,400 patients (57% male, 43% female) who receive home enteral nutrition, and from 38 patients (20% male and 18% female) who receive home parenteral nutrition. All of these patients come from the 1996 national registry. The most common indication for home enteral nutrition are neoplasias (39%) followed by neurological alterations (33%). The most common access route is oral (48%), followed by a nasogastric tube in 34%, PEG in 10% and surgical ostomies in 7%. The average treatment duration is 6 months. There is an index of 0.74 complications/patient-year (gastrointestinal 0.28 and mechanical alterations 0.19). At the end of the year 58% of the patients continued to use at home enteral nutrition, with a death rate of 17%. The majority of the treated patients presented a severe social disability (28%) or was bed-ridden (22%). The most common indications for home parenteral nutrition are: neoplasia (42%), Crohn_s disease (10%), and mesenteric ischemia (10%). AIDS (8%), radical enteritis (5%), and motility disorders (5%) are less common. In 42% of the cases tunneled catheters are used, and port-a-cath are used in 53%. The average treatment duration is 6.9 months. 1.06 hospitalizations/patient-year have been registered in relation to the nutritional treatment (mainly catheter sepsis). A mortality of 29% is registered, and there is recovery of the oral route in 7.9% of the cases. 50% of the patients present a severe social disability.
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Inquéritos Nutricionais , Nutrição Parenteral Total no Domicílio , Sistema de Registros , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , EspanhaRESUMO
BACKGROUND AIMS: The effects of two anesthetic agents, alfentanil and isoflurane, on the macrophage-monocytic system and the relation with the adrenocortical-hypophyseal axis were analyzed. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Thirty ASA I-II patients submitted to elective surgery were distributed into two groups: group I, analgesic anesthesia with alfentanil 100 micrograms/kg, a perfusion of 2-3 micrograms/kg/min and naloxone 0.2-0.4 mg upon termination of surgery; group II, inhalation anesthesia with isoflurane at 2-2.5% and O2/air = 1/1. HLA-DR membrane receptors and vimentin threads of the cytoskeleton were determined in basal conditions, at one hour and two hours of induction and upon termination of surgery by means of indirect immunofluorescence with the use of monoclonal antibodies. Phagocytosis of latex particles was also measured and ACTH and cortisol levels were obtained by radioimmunoassay. RESULTS: In group I (alfentanil) a decrease (p < 0.01) of all the monocyte parameters analyzed, which was more significant than that observed in group II (isoflurane), was observed. In group II only the expression of HLA-DR and the index of phagocytosis (p < 0.05) were statistically significant. Following the administration of naloxone a reversion of these parameters was observed. The maximum immune depression corresponded with the lowest values of ACTH and cortisol (group I) with surgical stress being discarded as the cause of this immunodepression. CONCLUSIONS: Alfentanil produces a monocytic depression which reverses following the administration of naloxone, thus discarding surgical stress as the cause of this immunodepression suggesting a mechanism mediated by opiate receptors. With regards to isoflurane, the functions of the mononuclear-phagocytic system were hardly altered in the patient studied.