Risk factors for prostate cancer: An umbrella review of prospective observational studies and mendelian randomization analyses.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of prostate cancer is increasing in older males globally. Age, ethnicity, and family history are identified as the well-known risk factors for prostate cancer, but few modifiable factors have been firmly established. The objective of this study was to identify and evaluate various factors modifying the risk of prostate cancer reported in meta-analyses of prospective observational studies and mendelian randomization (MR) analyses. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We searched PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science from the inception to January 10, 2022, updated on September 9, 2023, to identify meta-analyses and MR studies on prostate cancer. Eligibility criteria for meta-analyses were (1) meta-analyses including prospective observational studies or studies that declared outcome-free at baseline; (2) evaluating the factors of any category associated with prostate cancer incidence; and (3) providing effect estimates for further data synthesis. Similar criteria were applied to MR studies. Meta-analysis was repeated using the random-effects inverse-variance model with DerSimonian-Laird method. Quality assessment was then conducted for included meta-analyses using AMSTAR-2 tool and for MR studies using STROBE-MR and assumption evaluation. Subsequent evidence grading criteria for significant associations in meta-analyses contained sample size, P values and 95% confidence intervals, 95% prediction intervals, heterogeneity, and publication bias, assigning 4 evidence grades (convincing, highly suggestive, suggestive, or weak). Significant associations in MR studies were graded as robust, probable, suggestive, or insufficient considering P values and concordance of effect directions. Finally, 92 selected from 411 meta-analyses and 64 selected from 118 MR studies were included after excluding the overlapping and outdated studies which were published earlier and contained fewer participants or fewer instrument variables for the same exposure. In total, 123 observational associations (45 significant and 78 null) and 145 causal associations (55 significant and 90 null) were categorized into lifestyle; diet and nutrition; anthropometric indices; biomarkers; clinical variables, diseases, and treatments; and environmental factors. Concerning evidence grading on significant associations, there were 5 highly suggestive, 36 suggestive, and 4 weak associations in meta-analyses, and 10 robust, 24 probable, 4 suggestive, and 17 insufficient causal associations in MR studies. Twenty-six overlapping factors between meta-analyses and MR studies were identified, with consistent significant effects found for physical activity (PA) (occupational PA in meta: OR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.80, 0.94; accelerator-measured PA in MR: OR = 0.49, 95% CI: 0.33, 0.72), height (meta: OR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.06, 1.12; MR: OR = 1.07, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.15, for aggressive prostate cancer), and smoking (current smoking in meta: OR = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.68, 0.80; smoking initiation in MR: OR = 0.91, 95% CI: 0.86, 0.97). Methodological limitation is that the evidence grading criteria could be expanded by considering more indices. CONCLUSIONS: In this large-scale study, we summarized the associations of various factors with prostate cancer risk and provided comparisons between observational associations by meta-analysis and genetically estimated causality by MR analyses. In the absence of convincing overlapping evidence based on the existing literature, no robust associations were identified, but some effects were observed for height, physical activity, and smoking.

Phenotypic and genetic effect of carotid intima-media thickness on the risk of stroke.

While carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) as a noninvasive surrogate measure of atherosclerosis is widely considered a risk factor for stroke, the intrinsic link underlying cIMT and stroke has not been fully understood. We aimed to evaluate the clinical value of cIMT in stroke through the investigation of phenotypic and genetic relationships between cIMT and stroke. We evaluated phenotypic associations using observational data from UK Biobank (N = 21,526). We then investigated genetic relationships leveraging genomic data conducted in predominantly European ancestry for cIMT (N = 45,185) and any stroke (AS, Ncase/Ncontrol=40,585/406,111). Observational analyses suggested an increased hazard of stroke per one standard deviation increase in cIMT (cIMTmax-AS: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.39, 95%CI = 1.09-1.79; cIMTmean-AS: HR = 1.39, 95%CI = 1.09-1.78; cIMTmin-AS: HR = 1.32, 95%CI = 1.04-1.68). A positive global genetic correlation was observed (cIMTmax-AS: [Formula: see text]=0.23, P=9.44 × 10-5; cIMTmean-AS: [Formula: see text]=0.21, P=3.00 × 10-4; cIMTmin-AS: [Formula: see text]=0.16, P=6.30 × 10-3). This was further substantiated by five shared independent loci and 15 shared expression-trait associations. Mendelian randomization analyses suggested no causal effect of cIMT on stroke (cIMTmax-AS: odds ratio (OR)=1.12, 95%CI=0.97-1.28; cIMTmean-AS: OR=1.09, 95%CI=0.93-1.26; cIMTmin-AS: OR=1.03, 95%CI = 0.90-1.17). A putative association was observed for genetically predicted stroke on cIMT (AS-cIMTmax: beta=0.07, 95%CI = 0.01-0.13; AS-cIMTmean: beta=0.08, 95%CI = 0.01-0.15; AS-cIMTmin: beta = 0.08, 95%CI = 0.01-0.16) in the reverse direction MR, which attenuated to non-significant in sensitivity analysis. Our work does not find evidence supporting causal associations between cIMT and stroke. The pronounced cIMT-stroke association is intrinsic, and mostly attributed to shared genetic components. The clinical value of cIMT as a surrogate marker for stroke risk in the general population is likely limited.

Epidemiological and genetic evidence for the relationship between ABO blood group and human cancer.

To comprehensively evaluate the etiological role of ABO blood group in human cancer, we conducted a large-scale meta-analysis of 127 publications totaling 20 million participants including 231 737 patients of 20 cancers, supplemented by genetic evidence. Effects of A, AB and B groups on cancer risk were investigated by respectively comparing with O group and their combined counterparts, and subgroup analysis by ethnicity was conducted for O-referent models. For cancer categories, A group increased risk of cancers of oral cavity and nasopharynx, digestive and female genital organs, while both AB and B groups showed associations with cancers of digestive and female genital organs. For individual cancers, A group significantly increased the risk of nine cancers including oral cavity (OR = 1.17, P = .013), stomach (OR = 1.19, P = 3.90 × 10-15 ), pancreas (OR = 1.33, P = 9.89 × 10-33 ), colorectum (OR = 1.09, P = .001), liver (OR = 1.23, P = .011), ovary (OR = 1.13, P = .001), cervix (OR = 1.17, P = .025), bladder (OR = 1.12, P = .025) and breast (OR = 1.06, P = .043). AB group showed associations with only three cancers: stomach (OR = 1.10, P = .007), pancreas (OR = 1.21, P = .001) and ovary (OR = 1.28, P = .006). B group, except for shared associations with A group on pancreas (OR = 1.20, P = 2.27 × 10-5 ) and cervix cancers (OR = 1.13, P = .011), had two distinct associations with esophagus (OR = 1.17, P = .002) and nonmelanoma skin cancers (OR = 0.96, P = .017). Ethnicity-specific analyses revealed the notable effects of non-O groups on pancreatic cancer both in Caucasians and Asians. In genetic analysis, four SNPs were associated with the risk of pancreatic cancer, with rs505922 corresponding to O group showing the strongest protective effect (P = 1.16 × 10-23 ). Our study provided comprehensive evidence of ABO blood group associated with cancers and highlighted its carcinogenic role.

Migraine, chronic kidney disease and kidney function: observational and genetic analyses.

Epidemiological studies demonstrate an association between migraine and chronic kidney disease (CKD), while the genetic basis underlying the phenotypic association has not been investigated. We aimed to help avoid unnecessary interventions in individuals with migraine through the investigation of phenotypic and genetic relationships underlying migraine, CKD, and kidney function. We first evaluated phenotypic associations using observational data from UK Biobank (N = 255,896). We then investigated genetic relationships leveraging genomic data in European ancestry for migraine (Ncase/Ncontrol = 48,975/540,381), CKD (Ncase/Ncontrol = 41,395/439,303), and two traits of kidney function (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR, N = 567,460] and urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio [UACR, N = 547,361]). Observational analyses suggested no significant association of migraine with the risk of CKD (HR = 1.13, 95% CI = 0.85-1.50). While we did not find any global genetic correlation in general, we identified four specific genomic regions showing significant for migraine with eGFR. Cross-trait meta-analysis identified one candidate causal variant (rs1047891) underlying migraine, CKD, and kidney function. Transcriptome-wide association study detected 28 shared expression-trait associations between migraine and kidney function. Mendelian randomization analysis suggested no causal effect of migraine on CKD (OR = 1.03, 95% CI = 0.98-1.09; P = 0.28). Despite a putative causal effect of migraine on an increased level of UACR (log-scale-beta = 0.02, 95% CI = 0.01-0.04; P = 1.92 × 10-3), it attenuated to null when accounting for both correlated and uncorrelated pleiotropy. Our work does not find evidence supporting a causal association between migraine and CKD. However, our study highlights significant biological pleiotropy between migraine and kidney function. The value of a migraine prophylactic treatment for reducing future CKD in people with migraine is likely limited.

Nuclear magnetic resonance-determined lipoprotein profile and risk of breast cancer: a Mendelian randomization study.

PURPOSE: While crudely quantified lipoproteins have been reported to affect the risk of breast cancer, the effects of subclass lipoproteins characterized by particle size, particle number, and lipidomes remain unknown. METHODS: Utilizing nuclear magnetic resonance-based GWAS of 85 lipoprotein traits, we performed two-sample univariable Mendelian randomization (MR) to evaluate the causal relationship between each trait with breast cancer (Ncase/control = 133,384/113,789) and with its estrogen receptor (ER) subtypes. Then, we applied multivariable MR to investigate the independent effects considering both general and central obesity. RESULTS: In univariable MR, a heterogeneous effect of subclass high-density lipoproteins (HDL) was observed, in which small HDL traits (ORs ranged from 0.89 to 0.94) were associated with a decreased risk of breast cancer while non-small HDLs traits (OR ranged from 1.04 to 1.08) were associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. Very-low-density lipoproteins (VLDL) traits and serum total triglycerides (TG) were associated with a decreased risk of breast cancer (ORs ranged from 0.88 to 0.94). Similar association patterns were found for ER + subtype. In multivariable MR, only the protective effects of small HDL, VLDL and TG on ER + subtype remained significant. CONCLUSION: We identified a heterogeneous effect of subclass HDLs and a consistent protective effect of VLDL on breast cancer. Only the effects of small HDL and VLDL on ER + subtype remained robust after controlling for obesity. These findings provide new insight into the causal pathway underlying lipoproteins and breast cancer.

Impact of gallstone disease on the risk of stroke and coronary artery disease: evidence from prospective observational studies and genetic analyses.

BACKGROUND: Despite epidemiological evidence associating gallstone disease (GSD) with cardiovascular disease (CVD), a dilemma remains on the role of cholecystectomy in modifying the risk of CVD. We aimed to characterize the phenotypic and genetic relationships between GSD and two CVD events - stroke and coronary artery disease (CAD). METHODS: We first performed a meta-analysis of cohort studies to quantify an overall phenotypic association between GSD and CVD. We then investigated the genetic relationship leveraging the largest genome-wide genetic summary statistics. We finally examined the phenotypic association using the comprehensive data from UK Biobank (UKB). RESULTS: An overall significant effect of GSD on CVD was found in meta-analysis (relative risk [RR] = 1.26, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.19-1.34). Genetically, a positive shared genetic basis was observed for GSD with stroke ([Formula: see text]=0.16, P = 6.00 × 10-4) and CAD ([Formula: see text]=0.27, P = 2.27 × 10-15), corroborated by local signals. The shared genetic architecture was largely explained by the multiple pleiotropic loci identified in cross-phenotype association study and the shared gene-tissue pairs detected by transcriptome-wide association study, but not a causal relationship (GSD to CVD) examined through Mendelian randomization (MR) (GSD-stroke: odds ratio [OR] = 1.00, 95%CI = 0.97-1.03; GSD-CAD: OR = 1.01, 95%CI = 0.98-1.04). After a careful adjustment of confounders or considering lag time using UKB data, no significant phenotypic effect of GSD on CVD was detected (GSD-stroke: hazard ratio [HR] = 0.95, 95%CI = 0.83-1.09; GSD-CAD: HR = 0.98, 95%CI = 0.91-1.06), further supporting MR findings. CONCLUSIONS: Our work demonstrates a phenotypic and genetic relationship between GSD and CVD, highlighting a shared biological mechanism rather than a direct causal effect. These findings may provide insight into clinical and public health applications.

Understanding the relationship between circulating lipids and risk of chronic kidney disease: a prospective cohort study and large-scale genetic analyses.

BACKGROUND: This study aims to comprehensively investigate the phenotypic and genetic relationships between four common lipids (high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, HDL-C; low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, LDL-C; total cholesterol, TC; and triglycerides, TG), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). METHODS: We first investigated the observational association of lipids (exposures) with CKD (primary outcome) and eGFR (secondary outcome) using data from UK Biobank. We then explored the genetic relationship using summary statistics from the largest genome-wide association study of four lipids (N = 1,320,016), CKD (Ncase = 41,395, Ncontrol = 439,303), and eGFR(N = 567,460). RESULTS: There were significant phenotypic associations (HDL-C: hazard ratio (HR) = 0.76, 95%CI = 0.60-0.95; TG: HR = 1.08, 95%CI = 1.02-1.13) and global genetic correlations (HDL-C: [Formula: see text] = - 0.132, P = 1.00 × 10-4; TG: [Formula: see text] = 0.176; P = 2.66 × 10-5) between HDL-C, TG, and CKD risk. Partitioning the whole genome into 2353 LD-independent regions, twelve significant regions were observed for four lipids and CKD. The shared genetic basis was largely explained by 29 pleiotropic loci and 36 shared gene-tissue pairs. Mendelian randomization revealed an independent causal relationship of genetically predicted HDL-C (odds ratio = 0.91, 95%CI = 0.85-0.98), but not for LDL-C, TC, or TG, with the risk of CKD. Regarding eGFR, a similar pattern of correlation and pleiotropy was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Our work demonstrates a putative causal role of HDL-C in CKD and a significant biological pleiotropy underlying lipids and CKD in populations of European ancestry. Management of low HDL-C levels could potentially benefit in reducing the long-term risk of CKD.

Using human genetics to understand the epidemiological association between obesity, serum urate, and gout.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to clarify the genetic overlaps underlying obesity-related traits, serum urate, and gout. METHODS: We conducted a comprehensive genome-wide cross-trait analysis to identify genetic correlation, pleiotropic loci, and causal relationships between obesity (the exposure variable), gout (the primary outcome) and serum urate (the secondary outcome). Summary statistics were collected from the hitherto largest genome-wide association studies conducted for BMI (N = 806 834), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR; N = 697 734), WHR adjusted for BMI (WHRadjBMI; N = 694 649), serum urate (N = 288 649), and gout (Ncases = 13 179 and Ncontrols = 750 634). RESULTS: Positive overall genetic correlations were observed for BMI (rg = 0.27, P = 6.62 × 10-7), WHR (rg = 0.22, P = 6.26 × 10-7) and WHRadjBMI (rg = 0.07, P = 6.08 × 10-3) with gout. Partitioning the whole genome into 1703 LD (linkage disequilibrium)-independent regions, a significant local signal at 4q22 was identified for BMI and gout. The global and local shared genetic basis was further strengthened by the multiple pleiotropic loci identified in the cross-phenotype association study, multiple shared gene-tissue pairs observed by Transcriptome-wide association studies, as well as causal relationships demonstrated by Mendelian randomization [BMI-gout: OR (odds ratio) = 1.66, 95% CI = 1.45, 1.88; WHR-gout: OR = 1.57, 95% CI = 1.37, 1.81]. Replacing the binary disease status of gout with its latent pathological measure, serum urate, a similar pattern of correlation, pleiotropy and causality was observed with even more pronounced magnitude and significance. CONCLUSION: Our comprehensive genome-wide cross-trait analysis demonstrates a shared genetic basis and pleiotropic loci, as well as a causal relationship between obesity, serum urate, and gout, highlighting an intrinsic link underlying these complex traits.

Using human genetics to understand the phenotypic association between chronotype and breast cancer.

Little is known regarding the shared genetic influences underlying the observed phenotypic association between chronotype and breast cancer in women. Leveraging summary statistics from the hitherto largest genome-wide association study conducted in each trait, we investigated the genetic correlation, pleiotropic loci, and causal relationship of chronotype with overall breast cancer, and with its subtypes defined by the status of oestrogen receptor. We identified a negative genomic correlation between chronotype and overall breast cancer ( r g $$ {r}_g $$ = -0.06, p = 3.00 × 10-4 ), consistent across oestrogen receptor-positive ( r g $$ {r}_g $$ = -0.05, p = 3.30 × 10-3 ) and oestrogen receptor-negative subtypes ( r g $$ {r}_g $$ = -0.05, p = 1.11 × 10-2 ). Five specific genomic regions were further identified as contributing a significant local genetic correlation. Cross-trait meta-analysis identified 78 loci shared between chronotype and breast cancer, of which 23 were novel. Transcriptome-wide association study revealed 13 shared genes, targeting tissues of the nervous, cardiovascular, digestive, and exocrine/endocrine systems. Mendelian randomisation demonstrated a significantly reduced risk of overall breast cancer (odds ratio 0.89, 95% confidence interval 0.83-0.94; p = 1.30 × 10-4 ) for genetically predicted morning chronotype. No reverse causality was found. Our work demonstrates an intrinsic link underlying chronotype and breast cancer, which may provide clues to inform management of sleep habits to improve female health.

Temporal relationship between sleep duration and obesity among Chinese Han people and ethnic minorities.

BACKGROUND: No studies have assessed the association between sleep duration and obesity in Chinese ethnic minorities. Whether the relationship between sleep duration and obesity is different between Chinese Han people and Chinese ethnic minorities remains unclear. The study aimed to explore the relationship between sleep duration and obesity among Chinese Han people and Chinese ethnic minorities. METHODS: We applied data from the Guizhou Population Health Cohort Study (GPHCS), which 9,280 participants were recruited in the baseline survey from 2010 to 2012, and 8,163 completed the follow-up survey from 2016 to 2020. A total of 5,096 participants (3,188 Han Chinese and 1,908 ethnic minorities) were included in the ultimate analysis. Information on sleep duration (total 24-hour sleep time), body mass index (BMI), and waist circumference (WC) was collected at the baseline and follow-up survey, respectively. Cross-lagged panel analyses were conducted to explore the temporal relationship between sleep duration and obesity for Han people and ethnic minorities. RESULTS: For Han people, the results from cross-lagged panel analyses indicated that baseline sleep duration was significantly associated with follow-up BMI (ßBMI = -0.041, 95% CIBMI: -0.072 ~ -0.009) and follow-up WC (ßWC = -0.070, 95%CIWC: -0.103 ~ -0.038), but baseline BMI (ßBMI = -0.016, 95% CIBMI: -0.050 ~ 0.018) and baseline WC (ßWC = -0.019, 95% CIWC: -0.053 ~ 0.016) were not associated with follow-up sleep duration. In addition, the relationship between baseline sleep duration and follow-up BMI was gender-specific and significant only in the Han people female (ßBMI = -0.047, 95% CIBMI: -0.090 ~ -0.003) but not in the Han people male (ßBMI = -0.029, 95% CIBMI: -0.075 ~ 0.016). For ethnic minorities, the results indicated that there was no relationship between sleep duration and obesity at all, either from sleep duration to obesity (ßBMI = 0.028, 95%CIBMI: -0.012 ~ 0.068; ßWC = 0.020, 95%CIWC: -0.022 ~ 0.062), or from obesity to sleep duration (ßBMI = -0.022, 95%CIBMI: -0.067 ~ 0.022; ßWC = -0.042, 95%CIWC: -0.087 ~ 0.003). CONCLUSION: The relationship pattern between sleep duration and obesity across Han people and ethnic minorities is different. Future sleep-aimed overweight and obesity intervention should be conducted according to population characteristics.

Novel physical performance-based models for activities of daily living disability prediction among Chinese older community population: a nationally representative survey in China.

BACKGROUND: Physical performances including upper and lower limb functions have predictive roles in activities of daily living (ADL) disability, but they have rarely been incorporated into prediction models. This study primarily aimed to develop and validate novel physical performance-based models for ADL disability among Chinese older adults. Comparisons of predictive performance across multiple models were performed, and model simplification was further explored. METHODS: Data were obtained from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study in the 2011 and 2015 waves, containing 2192 older adults over 60 years old. Our models were constructed by logistic regression analysis, using a backward stepwise selection. Model performance was internally validated by discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) and Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) were used to assess the incremental benefit of the extended models. Moreover, nomograms were built for visualization. RESULTS: We selected gender, age, smoking, self-report health condition, BMI, depressive symptoms, and cognitive function into the fundamental model (Model 1). Based on Model 1, five novel prediction models were constructed by adding handgrip strength (Model 2), Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) (Model 3), gait speed (Model 4), handgrip strength plus SPPB (Model 5), and handgrip strength plus gait speed (Model 6), respectively. Significant improvement in predictive values were observed for all five novel models compared with Model 1 (C-index = 0.693). The lower limb model (Model 3 SPPB model: C-index = 0.731) may play a key role in the prediction of ADL disability, reflecting a comparable predictive value to the comprehensive models combining both upper and lower limbs (Model 5 handgrip strength + SPPB model: C-index = 0.732). When we simplified the lower limb models by replacing SPPB with gait speed, the predictive values attenuated slightly (C-index: Model 3 vs Model 4: 0.731 vs 0.714; Model 5 vs Model 6: 0.732 vs 0.718), but still better than the upper limb model (Model 2 handgrip strength model: C-index = 0.701). CONCLUSIONS: Physical performance-based models, especially lower limb model, provided improved prediction for ADL disability among Chinese older adults, which may help guide the targeted intervention.

Head Injury and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis: A Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Prior studies have suggested that head injury might be a potential risk factor of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). However, the association has not been well established. We aimed to provide a synopsis of the current understanding of head injury's role in ALS. METHODS: We performed a systematic search in PubMed for observational studies that quantitatively investigated the association between head injury and ALS risk published before April 10, 2020. We used a random-effects model to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Fourteen eligible articles including 10,703 cases and 2,159,324 controls were selected in current meta-analysis. We found that head injury was associated with an increased risk of ALS (OR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.20-1.60) and the association was slightly stronger concerning severe head injury and ALS risk (OR = 1.69, 95% CI: 1.27-2.23). Considering the number of head injuries (N) and ALS risk, the association was weak (OR = 1.23, 95% CI: 1.10-1.37, N = 1; OR = 1.29, 95% CI: 0.89-1.86, N ≥ 2). In addition, a strong association with ALS risk was found in individuals who suffered head injury <1 year (OR = 4.05, 95% CI: 2.79-5.89), and when the time lag was set at 1-5, 5-10, and >10 years, the pooled OR was 1.13, 1.35, and 1.10, respectively. CONCLUSION: This meta-analysis indicates that head injury, especially severe head injury, could increase ALS risk. Although a strong association is found between head injury <1 year and ALS risk in the current study, this result suggests a possibility of reverse causation.

A web-based dynamic Nomogram for predicting instrumental activities of daily living disability in older adults: a nationally representative survey in China.

BACKGROUND: Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) disability is a common health burden in aging populations. The identification of high-risk individuals is essential for timely targeted interventions. Although predictors for IADL disability have been well described, studies constructing prediction tools for IADL disability among older adults were not adequately explored. Our study aims to develop and validate a web-based dynamic nomogram for individualized IADL disability prediction in older adults. METHODS: Data were obtained from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). We included 4791 respondents aged 60 years and over, without IADL disability at baseline in the 2011 to 2013 cohort (training cohort) and 371 respondents in the 2013 to 2015 cohort (validation cohort). Here, we defined IADL disability as needing any help in any items of the Lawton and Brody's scale. A web-based dynamic nomogram was built based on a logistic regression model in the training cohort. We validated the nomogram internally with 1000 bootstrap resamples and externally in the validation cohort. The discrimination and calibration ability of the nomogram was assessed using the concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots, respectively. RESULTS: The nomogram incorporated ten predictors, including age, education level, social activity frequency, drinking frequency, smoking frequency, comorbidity condition, self-report health condition, gait speed, cognitive function, and depressive symptoms. The C-index values in the training and validation cohort were 0.715 (bootstrap-corrected C-index = 0.702) and 0.737, respectively. The internal and external calibration plots for predictions of IADL disability were in excellent agreement. An online web server was built ( https://lilizhang.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/ ) to facilitate the use of the nomogram. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a dynamic nomogram to evaluate the risk of IADL disability precisely and expediently. The application of this nomogram would be helpful for health care physicians in decision-making.

The Injuries and Helmet Use in Bike Share Programs: A Systematic Review.

To investigate the injury effects of bike share programs and the helmet usage status in bike share programs. We conducted a systematic review of peer reviewed scientific literature. Searches were conducted in three databases (Pubmed, Scopus, and Web of Science) on March 1 2020 to identify all articles on the injury incidence related to bike share programs and the helmet usage status in bike share programs. Titles, abstracts, and full-text articles were screened to identify all articles relevant to the themes by two authors independently, and discrepancies were resolved after discussion with the third author. Standardised data extraction and quality assessment (The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale) were implemented. A sum of 491 records after removing duplicates was identified, 181 fulltext articles were screened, and 13 studies were included in the review. The primary outcome are injuries of bike share users and unhelmeted rate among bike share users as well as the unhelmeted rate among personal bike users. Two studies evaluated the injuries related to bike share users, but have inconclusive results. A total of 11 studies reported the unhelmeted rates in bike share programs ranging from 36.0 to 88.9%. There is a significant change in bike injuries with the implementation of bike share programs. Moreover, the unhelmeted rate of bike share users was generally higher than that of personal bike users, which may result from helmets' accessibility and users' safety perception.

[Epidemiology, Treatment, and Epidemic Prevention and Control of the Coronavirus Disease 2019: a Review].

This review summarizes the ongoing researches regarding etiology, epidemiology, transmission dynamics, treatment, and prevention and control strategies of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), with comparison to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV), Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) and pandemic H1N1 virus. SARS-CoV-2 may be originated from bats, and the patients and asymptomatic carriers are the source of epidemic infection. The virus can be transmitted human-to-human through droplets and close contact, and people at all ages are susceptible to this virus. The main clinical symptoms of the patients are fever and cough, accompanied with leukocytopenia and lymphocytopenia. Effective drugs have been not yet available thus far. In terms of the prevention and control strategies, vaccine development as the primary prevention should be accelerated. Regarding the secondary prevention, ongoing efforts of the infected patients and close contacts quarantine, mask wearing promotion, regular disinfection in public places should be continued. Meanwhile, rapid detection kit for serological monitoring of the virus in general population is expected so as to achieve early detection, early diagnosis, early isolation and early treatment. In addition, public health education on this disease and prevention should be enhanced so as to mitigate panic and mobilize the public to jointly combat the epidemic.

Variants in the PSCA gene associated with risk of cancer and nonneoplastic diseases: systematic research synopsis, meta-analysis and epidemiological evidence.

Variants in the prostate stem cell antigen (PSCA) gene have been linked with risk of multiple cancers and other diseases. But results have been inconclusive and no systematic research synopsis has been available. We did a comprehensive meta-analysis to investigate associations between variants in this gene and risk of nine cancers and four nonneoplastic diseases based on data from 55 publications including 81 961 cases and 442 932 controls. We graded levels of cumulative epidemiological evidence of a significant association using the Venice criteria and false-positive report probability tests. We performed functional annotation for these variants using data from the Encyclopedia of DNA Elements Project and other public databases. We found that six variants were nominally significantly associated with an increased or reduced risk of three cancers and three nonneoplastic diseases (P < 0.05). Cumulative evidence of an association was graded as strong for rs2294008 [odds ratio (OR) = 1.32, P = 5.1 × 10-33], rs2976392 (OR = 1.29, P = 1.8 × 10-8), rs9297976 (OR = 0.75, P = 1.4 × 10-7), rs2976391 (OR = 1.38, P = 6.1 × 10-5) and rs138377917 (OR = 0.53, P = 0.008) with gastric cancer, rs2294008 with bladder cancer (OR = 1.15, P = 8.0 × 10-19), gastritis (OR = 1.35, P = 1.2 × 10-5), duodenal ulcer (OR = 0.68, P = 2.4 × 10-57) and gastric ulcer (OR = 0.88, P = 1.7 × 10-7). Data from the Encyclopedia of DNA Elements Project and other databases showed that these variants and other variants correlated with them might fall in putative functional regions. In conclusion, this study provides summary evidence that variants in the PSCA gene are associated with risk of gastric and bladder cancer, gastritis, as well as duodenal and gastric ulcer and highlights the significant role of this gene in the pathogenesis of these diseases.

Cumulative evidence for relationships between multiple variants in the VTI1A and TCF7L2 genes and cancer incidence.

Genetic studies have linked the VTI1A-TCF7L2 region with risk of multiple cancers. However, findings from these studies were generally inconclusive. We aimed to provide a synopsis of current understanding of associations between variants in the VTI1A-TCF7L2 region and cancer susceptibility. We conducted a comprehensive research synopsis and meta-analysis to evaluate associations between 17 variants in this region and risk of seven cancers using data from 32 eligible articles totaling 224,656 cancer cases and 324,845 controls. We graded cumulative evidence of significant associations using Venice criteria and false-positive report probability tests. We also conducted analyses to evaluate potential function of these variants using data from the Encyclopedia of DNA Elements (ENCODE) Project. Eight variants showed a nominally significant association with risk of individual cancer (p < 0.05). Cumulative epidemiological evidence of an association was graded as strong for rs7903146 [odds ratio (OR) = 1.05, p = 4.13 × 10-5 ] and rs7904519 (OR = 1.07, p = 2.02 × 10-14 ) in breast cancer, rs11196172 (OR = 1.11, p = 2.22 × 10-16 ), rs12241008 (OR = 1.13, p = 1.36 × 10-10 ) and rs10506868 (OR = 1.10, p = 3.98 × 10-9 ) in colorectal cancer, rs7086803 in lung cancer (OR = 1.30, p = 3.54 × 10-18 ) and rs11196067 (OR = 1.18, p = 3.59 × 10-13 ) in glioma, moderate for rs12255372 (OR = 1.12, p = 2.52 × 10-4 ) in breast cancer and weak for rs7903146 (OR = 1.11, p = 0.007) in colorectal cancer. Data from ENCODE suggested that seven variants with strong evidence and other correlated variants might fall within putative functional regions. Collectively, our study provides summary evidence that common variants in the VTI1A and TCF7L2 genes are associated with risk of breast, colorectal, lung cancer and glioma and highlights the significant role of the VTI1A-TCF7L2 region in the pathogenesis of human cancers.

Microstructure and Mechanical Properties of AA1050/AA6061 Laminated Composites Fabricated through Three-Cycle Accumulative Roll Bonding and Subsequent Cryorolling.

In this study, AA1050/AA6061 laminated composites were prepared by three-cycle accumulative roll bonding (ARB) and subsequent rolling. The effects of the rolling process on the microstructure evolution and mechanical properties of AA1050/AA6061 laminated composites were systematically investigated. The results indicate that the mechanical properties of the laminated composites can be effectively improved by cryorolling compared with room-temperature rolling. The microstructure analysis reveals that cryorolling can suppress the necking of the hard layer to obtain a flat lamellar structure. Moreover, the microstructure characterized by transmission electron microscopy shows that cryorolling can inhibit the dynamic recovery and significantly refine the grain size of the constituent layers. Meanwhile, the tensile fracture surface illustrates that AA1050/AA6061 laminated composites have the optimal interfacial bonding quality after cryorolling. Therefore, the laminated composites obtain excellent mechanical properties with the contribution of these factors.

Integrating Experimental and Computational Analyses for Mechanical Characterization of Titanium Carbide/Aluminum Metal Matrix Composites.

This study investigates the mechanical properties of titanium carbide/aluminum metal matrix composites (AMMCs) using both experimental and computational methods. Through accumulative roll bonding (ARB) and cryorolling (CR) processes, AA1050 alloy surfaces were reinforced with TiCp particles to create the Al-TiCp composite. The experimental analysis shows significant improvements in tensile strength, yield strength, elastic modulus, and hardness. The finite element analysis (FEA) simulations, particularly the microstructural modeling of RVE-1 (the experimental case model), align closely with the experimental results observed through scanning electron microscopy (SEM). This validation underscores the accuracy of the computational models in predicting the mechanical behavior under identical experimental conditions. The simulated elastic modulus deviates by 5.49% from the experimental value, while the tensile strength shows a 6.81% difference. Additionally, the simulated yield strength indicates a 2.85% deviation. The simulation data provide insights into the microstructural behavior, stress distribution, and particle-matrix interactions, facilitating the design optimization for enhanced performance. The study also explores the influence of particle shapes and sizes through Representative Volume Element (RVE) models, highlighting nuanced effects on stress-strain behavior. The microstructural evolution is examined via transmission electron microscopy (TEM), revealing insights regarding grain refinement. These findings demonstrate the potential of Al-TiCp composites for lightweight applications.

Independent association of general and central adiposity with risk of gallstone disease: observational and genetic analyses.

Background: General obesity is a well-established risk factor for gallstone disease (GSD), but whether central obesity contributes additional independent risk remains controversial. We aimed to comprehensively clarify the effect of body fat distribution on GSD. Methods: We first investigated the observational association of central adiposity, characterized by waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), with GSD risk using data from UK Biobank (N=472,050). We then explored the genetic relationship using summary statistics from the largest genome-wide association study of GSD (ncase=43,639, ncontrol=506,798) as well as WHR, with and without adjusting for body mass index (BMI) (WHR: n=697,734; WHRadjBMI: n=694,649). Results: Observational analysis demonstrated an increased risk of GSD with one unit increase in WHR (HR=1.18, 95%CI=1.14-1.21). A positive WHR-GSD genetic correlation (rg =0.41, P=1.42×10-52) was observed, driven by yet independent of BMI (WHRadjBMI: rg =0.19, P=6.89×10-16). Cross-trait meta-analysis identified four novel pleiotropic loci underlying WHR and GSD with biological mechanisms outside of BMI. Mendelian randomization confirmed a robust WHR-GSD causal relationship (OR=1.50, 95%CI=1.35-1.65) which attenuated yet remained significant after adjusting for BMI (OR=1.17, 95%CI=1.09-1.26). Furthermore, observational analysis confirmed a positive association between general obesity and GSD, corroborated by a shared genetic basis (rg =0.40, P=2.16×10-43), multiple novel pleiotropic loci (N=11) and a causal relationship (OR=1.67, 95%CI=1.56-1.78). Conclusion: Both observational and genetic analyses consistently provide evidence on an association of central obesity with an increased risk of GSD, independent of general obesity. Our work highlights the need of considering both general and central obesity in the clinical management of GSD.