RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Epidemiological studies have investigated the health impacts of local sources of environmental pollution using as an outcome variable self-reported health, reflecting the overall perception interviewed people have of their own health. This work aims at analyzing the advantages and the results of this approach. This second part presents the results of the studies. METHODS: Based on a literature review (51 papers), this article presents an analysis of the contribution of self-reported health to epidemiological studies investigating local sources of environmental pollution. It discusses the associations between self-reported health and exposure variables, and other risk factors that can influence health reporting. RESULTS: Studies using self-reported health showed that local sources can be associated with a wide range of health outcomes, including an impact on mental health and well-being. The perception of pollution, especially sensory information such as odors, affects self-reported health. Attitudes referring to beliefs, worries and personal behaviors concerning the source of pollution have a striking influence on reported health. Attitudes can be used to estimate the reporting bias in a biomedical approach, and also constitute the main explanatory factors in biopsychosocial studies taking into account not only the biological, physical, and chemical factors but also the psychological and social factors at stake in a situation of environmental exposure. CONCLUSION: Studying self-reported health enables a multifactorial approach to health in a context of environmental exposure. This approach is most relevant when conducted within a multidisciplinary framework involving human and social sciences to better understand psychosocial factors. The relevance of this type of approach used as an epidemiological surveillance tool to monitor local situations should be assessed with regard to needs for public health management of these situations.
Assuntos
Poluição Ambiental , Saúde , Características de Residência , Autorrelato , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Exposição Ambiental/análise , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Monitoramento Ambiental/estatística & dados numéricos , Poluição Ambiental/análise , Poluição Ambiental/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Epidemiológicos , Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Saúde Pública/métodos , Saúde Pública/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde Pública/tendências , Características de Residência/estatística & dados numéricosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Epidemiological studies have investigated the health impacts of local sources of environmental pollution using as an outcome variable self-reported health, reflecting the overall perception interviewed people have of their own health. This work aims at analyzing the advantages and the results of this approach. A first step focused on describing the indicators. METHODS: The literature on indicators of self-reported health was reviewed, leading to a discussion on data collection, selection of health effects, data processing, and construction of indicators. RESULTS: The literature review concerned 51 articles. The use of self-reported health indicators allowed the studies to take into account the health concerns and complaints of populations exposed to environmental pollution. Various indicators of self-reported health were used in the studies. They measured physical, psychological and general dimensions of health. Standardized questionnaires were used less often than ad hoc questionnaires (78% of studies) developed to fit the needs of a given study. Three standardized questionnaires were used more frequently: the MOS Short-Form Health Survey (SF-36) to measure general health perceptions, the General Health Questionnaire (GHQ), and the Symptoms Checklist (SCL-90) to measure psychological distress. CONCLUSION: The choice of self-reported health indicators is a compromise between specificity of the studied health issues within a given environment and standardization of the questionnaires used to measure them. Such standardization is necessary to ensure the validity and the reliability of the information collected across time and situations. The psychometric properties of the measuring questionnaires are rarely estimated or verified when they are used.
Assuntos
Poluição Ambiental , Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Saúde , Características de Residência , Autorrelato , Poluição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Poluição Ambiental/análise , Poluição Ambiental/estatística & dados numéricos , Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Transtornos Mentais/diagnóstico , Transtornos Mentais/epidemiologia , Psicometria/métodos , Características de Residência/estatística & dados numéricos , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
PURPOSE: Streptococcus pneumoniae is one of the leading causes of bacterial pneumonia, meningitis and acute otitis media in children and adults worldwide. Polysaccharide pneumococcal vaccines have been available for approximately 50 years and conjugate vaccines, which generate immunological memory even at an early age but have limited serotype coverage, have recently been developed. CURRENT KNOWLEDGE AND KEY POINTS: Although the polysaccharide vaccine is considered effective in preventing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in adults, its efficacy against pneumonia and among older or immunocompromised individuals is still controversial. On the other hand, the conjugate vaccine for children allows a large reduction in the incidence of IPD and in the rate of pneumococcal colonization in the general population through herd immunity, but its serotype coverage remains low in adults and serotype replacement may be expected in the long-term. FUTURE PROSPECTS: In the present context of widespread antibiotic resistance, it is of the utmost importance to assess the expected benefits of pneumococcal vaccination, in order to be able to use it optimally in all population parts.
Assuntos
Infecções Pneumocócicas/prevenção & controle , Vacinas Pneumocócicas , Adulto , Humanos , Vacinas ConjugadasRESUMO
A survey of the social perception of AIDS and its prevention was carried out in December 1987 in a representative sample of the adult population of the Paris region (France). A significant part of the general public still holds misconceptions about transmission by casual contact and blood donation. Misbeliefs about modes of transmission clearly encourage individuals' willingness to stigmatize AIDS patients and to support the most coercive measures of prevention (such as quarantine). Advertizing efforts to promote use of condoms, sexual education in schools, and systematic HIV screening for pregnant women are the only measures which create a broad consensus independently of sociocultural differences. Socioeconomic status and even religious or political beliefs strongly influence public opinions toward other preventive measures.
Assuntos
Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/prevenção & controle , Opinião Pública , Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/transmissão , Atitude , França , Humanos , Fatores de Risco , Estudos de Amostragem , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
The medical and psychological consequences of terrorism were assessed through an epidemiologic survey of 254 survivors of terrorist attacks (TA) that occurred in public places in France between 1982 and 1987 (20 bombings and 1 machine-gun attack). Physical lesions were typical of bombings (blast syndrome, burn, coma), but amputations were rare. Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) was present in 10.5% of uninjured victims, 8.3% of moderately injured and 30.7% of severely injured ones. Major depression was found in 13.3% of all victims, with no difference according to the level of the injury. Prevalence rates were not different in males and females, nor did they vary with age of the victim. The prevalence of PTSD was not associated with the delay between TA and questionnaire completion. These findings suggest the need for including psychiatric assistance in the initial care of TA victims, especially severely injured ones.
Assuntos
Transtornos de Estresse Pós-Traumáticos/epidemiologia , Violência , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologia , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Viés , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Escala de Gravidade do Ferimento , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Ocupações , Prevalência , Sistema de Registros , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Transtornos de Estresse Pós-Traumáticos/etiologia , Transtornos de Estresse Pós-Traumáticos/prevenção & controle , Inquéritos e Questionários , Fatores de Tempo , Ferimentos e Lesões/complicaçõesRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The Regional Influenza Surveillance Group (GROG) is a French surveillance network set up in 1984. It collects virological specimens and health service based indicators on a weekly basis. Our aim was to assess the predictive value of the health service based indicators for the detection of influenza A epidemics. METHODS: Virological data were used as a gold standard for defining the epidemics. For each health service based indicator, a statistical threshold was used as a test for the identification of epidemic weeks. Finally, an epidemiological criterion was defined in order to improve the specificity and the speed of detection of outbreaks. RESULTS: Health service based indicators have a positive predictive value of around 0.80. They also advance the detection of outbreaks by between 1 and 4 weeks. CONCLUSIONS: These indicators are easy to collect and are useful for the surveillance of influenza epidemics. Such a system is the prerequisite for the rational use of preventive tools.
Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças , Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Vírus da Influenza A , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Vigilância da População/métodos , Estudos de Avaliação como Assunto , Humanos , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Influenza Humana/virologia , Paris/epidemiologia , Probabilidade , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Sensibilidade e EspecificidadeRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to determine the health effects of attending a well-kept school swimming pool maintained according to French public health regulations. METHODS: This prospective month long study was carried out on a randomised sample of pupils aged 5 to 18 years who attended a private French school with two swimming pools. The children surveyed, helped by their parents, had to fill in questionnaires about their bathing habits and symptoms during the survey period. Inspections of the pool complex were made and these included physicochemical and bacteriological analyses of the pools' water. PARTICIPATION: The response rates achieved were 70% at primary and middle school levels but only 25% in the high school pupils. Because of this older teenagers were excluded from the final analysis (of 246 children). RESULTS: Compared with non-bathers, bathers experienced fatigue and eye irritation significantly more often (p < 0.001). The eyes were red (38% of bathers) and/or watery (16%) after swimming but this resolved spontaneously within 24 hours. Bathing behaviour (bath duration, head immersion, wearing swimming goggles) did not affect these incidence rates noticeably. There were no differences between bathers and non-bathers with regard to other symptoms, especially otolaryngological ones. This survey does not allow definite conclusions to be made about verrucas because 22% of non-bathers were exempted from swimming because of verrucas that they might have caught previously in a pool. CONCLUSIONS: Except for verrucas, the methodology was adequate and daily self reporting of symptoms was feasible. This college largely recruits pupils from higher social classes and is not therefore representative of schools in Paris.
Assuntos
Oftalmopatias/epidemiologia , Otorrinolaringopatias/epidemiologia , Dermatopatias/epidemiologia , Piscinas , Natação , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Fadiga/epidemiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Paris/epidemiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Água/química , Microbiologia da ÁguaRESUMO
STUDY OBJECTIVE: To quantify the short term respiratory health effects of ambient air pollution in the Paris area. DESIGN: Time series analysis of daily pollution levels using Poisson regression. SETTING: Paris, 1987-92. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Air pollution was monitored by measurement of black smoke (BS) (15 monitoring stations), sulphur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), particulate matter less than 13 microns in diameter (PM13), and ozone (O3) (4 stations). Daily mortality and general admissions to public hospitals due to respiratory causes were considered. The statistical analysis was based on a time series procedure using linear regression modelling followed by a Poisson regression. Meterological variables, epidemics of influenza A and B, and strikes of medical staff were included in the models. The mean daily concentration of PM13 and daily 1 hour maximum of SO2 significantly affected daily mortality from respiratory causes. An increase in the concentration of PM13 of 100 micrograms/m3 above its 5th centile value increased the risk of respiratory death by 17%. PM13 and BS were also associated with hospital admissions due to all respiratory diseases (4.1% increased risk when the BS level exceeded its 5th centile value by 100 micrograms/m3). SO2 levels consistently influenced hospital admissions for all respiratory diseases, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and asthma. Asthma was also correlated with NO2 levels. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that even though the relative risk is weak in areas with low levels of pollution, ambient air pollution, and especially particulate matter and SO2, nonetheless require attention because of the number of people exposed and the existence of high risk groups.
Assuntos
Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Transtornos Respiratórios/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Poluentes Atmosféricos/efeitos adversos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar/análise , Poeira/efeitos adversos , Poeira/análise , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Dióxido de Nitrogênio/efeitos adversos , Dióxido de Nitrogênio/análise , Razão de Chances , Paris/epidemiologia , Análise de Regressão , Transtornos Respiratórios/mortalidade , Estações do Ano , Fumaça/efeitos adversos , Fumaça/análise , Dióxido de Enxofre/efeitos adversos , Dióxido de Enxofre/análiseRESUMO
The aim of the study was to determine the exposure levels of workers to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons on gasworks sites by the measurement of urinary 1-hydroxypyrene. Start-shift and end-shift urine samples were taken every day during an entire week (Monday to Friday), once in November and a second time in June. Four groups of workers were selected according to their activity. Increased exposure was only found among volunteers involved in the remediation of a site, 0.16 to 2.31 mumol/mol creatinine in non-smokers. The median of the non-smoker referent group was 0.02 mumol/mol creatinine (95% confidence interval, 0.01 to 0.04). Smokers had greater exposure levels than non-smokers in every group. Within and between variability was around 200%. Assessment of the exposure of persons on contaminated soil is possible, with the condition that the exposed subjects come in direct contact with the soil.
Assuntos
Exposição Ocupacional/análise , Hidrocarbonetos Policíclicos Aromáticos/urina , Pirenos/metabolismo , Poluentes do Solo/urina , Análise de Variância , Biomarcadores , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Exposição Ocupacional/estatística & dados numéricos , Paris , FumarRESUMO
A survey on the effects of AIDS upon sexual behaviour has been carried out, in December 1987, in a representative sample (n = 900) of the population of 18 years of age and over of the Paris region. Among the sexually active population, 13.8% have been tested for HIV at least once in 1987, 10.7% denied some opportunity of sexual intercourse during the last 6 months of 1987 because of fear of AIDS, and 11.8% declared regular utilization of condoms. 53.4% of condom users are new users since the last 6 months, and, 46.6% of all condom users are mainly motivated by fear of AIDS. Multivariate analysis shows that being single, declaring multiple sexual partners and having being tested for HIV are the main predictors for use of condoms, suggesting adoption of a rather coherent preventive behaviour in a significant fraction of the sexually 'at risk' population.
Assuntos
Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/prevenção & controle , Comportamento Sexual/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Dispositivos Anticoncepcionais Masculinos/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , França , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Paris , Inquéritos e QuestionáriosRESUMO
The article presents the results of the first national survey in a representative sample of the French population of 18 years of age and over (n = 1000; March 1990) about knowledge, attitudes, beliefs and practices toward HIV infection. It focuses on the impact of the media campaigns about AIDS and condom promotion that were initiated since April 1987 by French public health authorities. A total of 53.2% of respondents were able to correctly quote at least one of the slogans of the campaigns and 48.4% felt they have been personally influenced by the campaigns. Respectively 25.4%, 12.1%, and 11.2% declared that the campaigns have made them more concerned of individual risk of HIV infection and prompted them to condom use and HIV testing. Among heterosexually active respondents, 16.9% declared condom use in the past 12 months, age, marital status, level of education, HIV testing and self-acknowledgement of influence of campaigns being the main factors related to condom use in multidimensional analysis. Respondents who recognise having been influenced by campaigns are less likely to believe in HIV transmission through casual contact and to express discriminatory attitudes toward HIV carriers but more likely to support HIV mandatory screening for the general population. The difficulties to properly evaluate media campaigns for AIDS prevention are discussed as well as the complex trade-offs that general public information has to face between promotion of both individual behavioural change and societal support and empathy for HIV carriers and persons with AIDS.
Assuntos
Síndrome da Imunodeficiência Adquirida/prevenção & controle , Educação em Saúde/métodos , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Meios de Comunicação de Massa , Adulto , Dispositivos Anticoncepcionais Masculinos/estatística & dados numéricos , Coleta de Dados , França , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Opinião PúblicaRESUMO
Population exposure to pollutants in soil is an important public health concern. Difficult to measure, it is usually estimated using multimedia models. Modeling data predict that the skin surface is a predominant exposure route in roughly 15% of the US Superfund sites. Nonetheless, no study has confirmed these predictions. The SOLEX study was an opportunity to study the feasibility of estimating the cutaneous polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs: all 16 of the United States Environmental Protection Agency list) load of workers at three former manufactured gas sites, one of those being under remediation. Over two measurement periods (November 1997 and June 1998), 30 and 28 volunteers, respectively, were equipped for a single day work with five pads that collected soil particles and were placed at the neck, shoulder, wrist, groin, and ankle. Pad contamination was observed for six of the nine workers on the site being remediated but not on other sites. The wrist pad was most often affected, followed by the neck pad, these are, the exposed regions of the body. The PAHs most frequently identified were anthracene, fluoranthene, naphthalene, phenanthrene, and pyrene, at concentrations relatively high. In conclusion, this study showed that estimating skin exposure to soil pollutants is feasible. Secondly, it suggested that only subjects in close contact with the soil had a detectable exposure to PAHs. Extension of this approach to other exposure settings is warranted, especially among children playing in polluted public or private gardens, because their games lead to frequent contact with the soil.
Assuntos
Exposição Ocupacional/análise , Hidrocarbonetos Policíclicos Aromáticos/análise , Administração Cutânea , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Estudos de Viabilidade , Indústrias , Saúde PúblicaRESUMO
Many epidemiologic studies have observed, in different contexts, a slight short-term relationship between particles in air and cardiopulmonary mortality, even when air quality standards were respected. The causality of this relationship is important to public health because of the number of people exposed. Our aim was to make a critical assessment of the arguments used in 15 reviews of published studies. We explain the importance of distinguishing validity from causality, and we systematically analyze the various criteria of judgment within the context of ecologic time studies. Our conclusion is that the observed relationship is valid and that most of the causality criteria are respected. It is hoped that the level of exposure of populations to these particles be reduced. In Europe, acting at the root of the problem, in particular on diesel emissions, will also enable the reduction of levels of other pollutants that can have an impact on health. In the United States, the situation is more complicated, as particles are mainly secondary. It is also essential to continue with research to become better acquainted with the determinants of personal global exposures and to better understand the toxic role of the various physicochemical factors of the particles.
Assuntos
Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Exposição Ambiental , Doenças Respiratórias/mortalidade , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Estudos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Tamanho da Partícula , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Doenças Respiratórias/etiologiaRESUMO
Are absenteeism indicators usefull as predictor of serious morbidity in a working population? To seek an answer was the objective of a double case-control study carried out in a large company (17000 workers) of Quebec Province. In the first study, 64 cases of myocardial infarction (incidence density = 1.66% +/- 0.35) were compared with 64 controls matched for sex, age and type of work. In the second one, 142 cases of labor accident were compared with 142 controls sampled in a similar way. Absenteeism frequency and length were analysed during the period of 6 to 12 years prior to the onset of the health problem. Ratios were calculated on an individual basis for all causes of absence and for sick leave; they were adjusted for length of service. A four classes interval scale was used for the comparison. An excess of absence length exists in the two studies. The excess is not significant for the myocardial infarction cases (+ 33%, with a statistical power = 51%). It is significant for the labor accident cases (+ 52%, p less than 0.01). The corresponding odds ratio calculated in reference to the lowest absence group were 2.4 (0.9-6.6) and 2.7 (1.5-4.9). The cumulative absence length can be considered as a predictor of serious disease. A conceptual framework of the relationship between absence and natural disease history is presented. The epidemiological approach to the phenomenon of absence is certainly usefull in spite of the controversy underlined by the social sciences.
Assuntos
Absenteísmo , Acidentes de Trabalho , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Doenças Profissionais/epidemiologia , Adulto , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Quebeque , RiscoRESUMO
Three epidemiological studies were conducted at the urgent request of the administrative authority of the French department of Saône-et-Loire, in order to assess the health impact of volatile emissions from an industrial wastes dump situated in the vicinity of dwellings in the city of Montchanin, France (6,000 inhabitants). These studies were implemented in the context of deep concern within the local population. Two dealt with the diagnosed morbidity before (retrospective follow-up study), or after (case-control study) the closure of the site. The third one dealt with mortality, for several causes of death liable to be related to the gazes emitted by the landfill (SMR analysis). Due to the small size of the population, these studies had limited statistical power. Despite these uncertainties, the authors claim that the decision to close the site was based on sound health considerations and recommend that the site be cleaned up. This experience illustrates the usefulness and the limitations of field epidemiological evaluations of environmental nuisances.
Assuntos
Resíduos Perigosos/efeitos adversos , Morbidade , Saúde Pública , Viés , Causas de Morte , Tomada de Decisões Gerenciais , Seguimentos , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Vigilância da População , Projetos de Pesquisa , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de RiscoRESUMO
The experience of the Chernobyl accident has shown the necessity of being prepared for epidemiological assessment of the death consequences of a nuclear or a radiological accident. We discuss the contribution of epidemiology in such situations, in addition to the existing tools designed to assess or manage radiological risks. From a decisional point of view, three issues are distinguished: the protection of the different population groups against ionizing radiations, the achievement of health care and the communication with the public and media. We discuss the input of epidemiological tools in both perspectives. Epidemiology may also contribute to the analysis of health events that may be observed after an accident, i.e. to assess whether these events are not statistical artifacts, whether they are an effect of the exposure to the ionizing radiations or a non specific consequence of any accident. Finally, epidemiological studies should be carried out to improve our knowledge on ionizing radiations effects with a special consideration given to the dose-effect relationships. Examples of past nuclear accidents are used to discuss these issues. The last part of this paper is focused on different research issues that should be developed for preparing epidemiological plans for nuclear accidents.
Assuntos
Exposição Ambiental , Liberação Nociva de Radioativos , Planejamento em Desastres , Desastres , Monitoramento Ambiental , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Epidemiologia , Humanos , Centrais Elétricas , Saúde Pública , Liberação Nociva de Radioativos/mortalidade , Liberação Nociva de Radioativos/estatística & dados numéricos , UcrâniaRESUMO
The authors have designed a multicriteria framework for the analysis of health indexes in order to provide a tool for the comparison of population health status indexes and to establish a typology of these indexes regarding their use for public health. This framework allows for (a) shedding some light on the conceptualization of health underlying each index, (b) understanding the nature of the phenomenon which are effectively measured, (c) understanding the principles of the construction of the index, (d) giving some details concerning its main properties, (e) and finally understanding its possible uses. Using this multicriteria framework for analyzing and comparing 16 different population health status indexes, the authors suggest some guidelines for choosing an index regarding its future utilization (identification of priorities, resources allocation, evaluation). Finally, the limits of the utilization of health status indexes within the process of decision making in public health are underlined.
Assuntos
Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Saúde Pública , Estatística como Assunto , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Morbidade , Mortalidade , Padrões de Referência , RiscoRESUMO
The major health indexes based on the classical concepts of mortality and morbidity are reviewed while emphasizing their limitations: underestimation of health problems socio-economic impact, inadequacy for the evaluation of certain main objectives of health care delivery systems, purely negative measurement of health. This paper investigates the recent attempts to improve these aspects: extension of the concept of morbidity by the introduction of disability measurements and the development of a "positive health" concept. Finally, a discussion is presented of the major health indexes whose development is based on the use of these concepts and the main conceptual, methodological problems they give rise to.
Assuntos
Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Atenção à Saúde , França , Recursos em Saúde , Humanos , Morbidade , Mortalidade , População , Reabilitação , Fatores SocioeconômicosRESUMO
Since 1990, many epidemiological time series studies have provided evidence that ambient air pollution levels have adverse health effects. The ERPURS study (Evaluation des Risques de la Pollution Urbaine pour la Santé) has permitted to quantify this impact in the Paris region. This study was based on an ecological time series approach. We present, step by step, the method used, illustrated by an example: association between SO2 levels and total mortality (excluding external causes), 1987-1990. Mortality modelling has taken trend into account by a linear term, seasons by trigonometrics functions sum, day of the week effects by 6 dummy variables, temperature peak by a dummy variable, influenza epidemics by appropriate variables, mean temperature by linear and quadratic terms, relative humidity by a linear term. SO2 1 day lag was introduced in the model by a linear term. The central issue is the control of seasonal variations and long term trend. An inadequate control can lead to some spurious results. The relationship between mortality and weather variables is generally nonlinear. The use of statistical and graphical diagnostics, are necessary at each step. Time series analysis are important tools to study short term relationship between air pollutants and health indicators. The method applied in the ERPURS study is only one of the possible approaches. Whatever the method used, it is important to understand the underlying process of the data and to control for confounding factors with the appropriate method for the temporal structure of the data.
Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Dióxido de Enxofre/intoxicação , Poluentes Ocupacionais do Ar , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Modelos Estatísticos , Mortalidade , Paris/epidemiologia , Estações do Ano , População UrbanaRESUMO
This paper analyses 14 epidemiologic investigations (published from January 1980 to September 1991) about the relationship between urban air pollution and mortality. Air pollution indicators and mortality indicators are examined. Methods to analyse the relationships between these two kinds of indicators are classified according as they bring "qualitative information" trying to answer the question: "is there any relationship between air pollution and mortality?" or according as they try to quantify this relationship. Results are presented by author. Confounding factors and means to take them into account are described. This paper ends by a discussion about interest and limits of these studies. It emphasizes the importance of the collaboration between metrologists of urban air pollution and epidemiologists.