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BACKGROUND: Infectious diarrhea remains a major public health problem worldwide. This study used stacking ensemble to developed a predictive model for the incidence of infectious diarrhea, aiming to achieve better prediction performance. METHODS: Based on the surveillance data of infectious diarrhea cases, relevant symptoms and meteorological factors of Guangzhou from 2016 to 2021, we developed four base prediction models using artificial neural networks (ANN), Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM), support vector regression (SVR) and extreme gradient boosting regression trees (XGBoost), which were then ensembled using stacking to obtain the final prediction model. All the models were evaluated with three metrics: mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE). RESULTS: Base models that incorporated symptom surveillance data and weekly number of infectious diarrhea cases were able to achieve lower RMSEs, MAEs, and MAPEs than models that added meteorological data and weekly number of infectious diarrhea cases. The LSTM had the best prediction performance among the four base models, and its RMSE, MAE, and MAPE were: 84.85, 57.50 and 15.92%, respectively. The stacking ensembled model outperformed the four base models, whose RMSE, MAE, and MAPE were 75.82, 55.93, and 15.70%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The incorporation of symptom surveillance data could improve the predictive accuracy of infectious diarrhea prediction models, and symptom surveillance data was more effective than meteorological data in enhancing model performance. Using stacking to combine multiple prediction models were able to alleviate the difficulty in selecting the optimal model, and could obtain a model with better performance than base models.
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Conceitos Meteorológicos , Redes Neurais de Computação , Humanos , Incidência , Saúde Pública , Diarreia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Evidence of a potential causal link between long-term exposure to particulate matter (PM) and all-site cancer mortality from large population cohorts remained limited and suffered from residual confounding issues with traditional statistical methods. AIMS: We aimed to examine the potential causal relationship between long-term PM exposure and all-site cancer mortality in South China using causal inference methods. METHODS: We used a cohort in southern China that recruited 580,757 participants from 2009 through 2015 and tracked until 2020. Annual averages of PM1, PM2.5, and PM10 concentrations were generated with validated spatiotemporal models. We employed a causal inference approach, the Marginal Structural Cox model, based on observational data to evaluate the association between long-term exposure to PM and all-site cancer mortality. RESULTS: With an increase of 1⯵g/m³ in PM1, PM2.5, and PM10, the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for all-site cancer were 1.033 (95% CI: 1.025-1.041), 1.032 (95% CI: 1.027-1.038), and 1.020 (95% CI: 1.016-1.025), respectively. The HRs (95% CI) for digestive system and respiratory system cancer mortality associated with each 1⯵g/m³ increase in PM1 were 1.022 (1.009-1.035) and 1.053 (1.038-1.068), respectively. In addition, inactive participants, who never smoked, or who lived in areas of low surrounding greenness were more susceptible to the effects of PM exposure, the HRs (95% CI) for all-site cancer mortality were 1.042 (1.031-1.053), 1.041 (1.032-1.050), and 1.0473 (1.025-1.070) for every 1⯵g/m³ increase in PM1, respectively. The effect of PM1 tended to be more pronounced in the low-exposure group than in the general population, and multiple sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the results. CONCLUSION: This study provided evidence that long-term exposure to PM may elevate the risk of all-site cancer mortality, emphasizing the potential health benefits of improving air quality for cancer prevention.
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Poluentes Atmosféricos , Exposição Ambiental , Neoplasias , Material Particulado , Material Particulado/análise , Material Particulado/toxicidade , Humanos , China/epidemiologia , Exposição Ambiental/estatística & dados numéricos , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Neoplasias/induzido quimicamente , Estudos de Coortes , Poluentes Atmosféricos/toxicidade , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluentes Atmosféricos/efeitos adversos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , AdultoRESUMO
We report a fast, easy-to-implement, highly sensitive, sequence-specific, and point-of-care (POC) DNA virus detection system, which combines recombinase polymerase amplification (RPA) and CRISPR/Cas12a system for trace detection of DNA viruses. Target DNA is amplified and recognized by RPA and CRISPR/Cas12a separately, which triggers the collateral cleavage activity of Cas12a that cleaves a fluorophore-quencher labeled DNA reporter and generalizes fluorescence. For POC detection, portable smartphone microscopy is built to take fluorescent images. Besides, deep learning models for binary classification of positive or negative samples, achieving high accuracy, are deployed within the system. Frog virus 3 (FV3, genera Ranavirus, family Iridoviridae) was tested as an example for this DNA virus POC detection system, and the limits of detection (LoD) can achieve 10 aM within 40 min. Without skilled operators and bulky instruments, the portable and miniature RPA-CRISPR/Cas12a-SPM with artificial intelligence (AI) assisted classification shows great potential for POC DNA virus detection and can help prevent the spread of such viruses.
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Sistemas CRISPR-Cas , Aprendizado Profundo , Ranavirus/genética , Técnicas de Amplificação de Ácido Nucleico/métodos , Vírus de DNA/genética , Recombinases/metabolismo , DNA Viral/genética , DNA Viral/análise , Sistemas Automatizados de Assistência Junto ao LeitoRESUMO
With the inherent antitumor function and unique "off-the-shelf" potential, genetically engineered human natural killer (NK) cells with chimeric antigen receptors (CARs) bear great promise for the treatment of multiple hematological malignancies and solid tumors. Current methods of producing large-scale CAR-NK cells mainly rely on mRNA transfection and viral vector transduction. However, mRNA CAR-NK cells were not stable in CAR expression while viral vector transduction mostly ended up with low efficiency. In this chapter, we described an optimized protocol to generate CAR-NK cells by using the piggyBac transposon system via electroporation and to further expand these engineered CAR-NK cells in a large scale together with artificial antigen-presenting feeder cells. This method can stably engineer human primary NK cells with high efficiency and supply sufficient scale of engineered CAR-NK cells for the future possible clinical applications.
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Neoplasias , Receptores de Antígenos Quiméricos , Humanos , Receptores de Antígenos Quiméricos/genética , Receptores de Antígenos Quiméricos/metabolismo , Células Matadoras Naturais , Neoplasias/patologia , Vetores Genéticos/genética , RNA Mensageiro/metabolismo , Imunoterapia Adotiva/métodosRESUMO
This study aimed to investigate the univariate and bivariate effects of ambient temperature and air pollutants on 57,251 inpatients with AECOPD (Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) in Ganzhou from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2019. We categorized the daily mean temperature and air pollutant variables based on the exposure-response curve of the Distributed Lag Non-Linear Model. Poisson regression model was used for interaction and stratification analysis. The Relative Excess Risk due to Interaction (RERI) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) between daily mean temperature (Tmean) and air pollutants including NO2, PM2.5, and PM10 were - 0.428 (95% CI - 0.637, - 0.218), -- 0.227 (95% CI - 0.293, - 0.161), and - 0.119 (95% CI - 0.159, - 0.079). Further stratification analysis showed the relative risk (RR) (95% CI) of high NO2 (> 33 µg/m3) at low Tmean (≤ 28 °C) was 1.119 (95% CI 1.096, 1.142). Low temperatures with high PM10 in men and high PM2.5 in women were associated with a higher risk of AECOPD hospitalization. The results indicate a higher risk of hospitalization for AECOPD when there is with high concentrations of air pollution at low temperatures.
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Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Hospitalização , Material Particulado , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica , Temperatura , Humanos , China/epidemiologia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Masculino , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar/análise , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/epidemiologia , Doença Pulmonar Obstrutiva Crônica/etiologia , Idoso , Poluentes Atmosféricos/efeitos adversos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Material Particulado/análise , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Dióxido de Nitrogênio/análise , Dióxido de Nitrogênio/efeitos adversosRESUMO
Ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) has attracted considerable attention due to its crucial role in the rising global disease burden. Evidence of health risks associated with exposure to PM2.5 and its major constituents is important for advancing hazard assessments and air pollution emission policies. We investigated the relationship between exposure to major constituents of PM2.5 and outpatient visits as well as hospitalizations in Guangdong Province, China, where 127 million residents live in a severe PM2.5 pollution environment. An approach that integrates the generalized weighted quantile sum (gWQS) regression with the difference-in-differences (DID) approach was used to assess the overall mixture effects and relative contributions of each constituent. We observed significant associations between long-term exposure to the mixture of PM2.5 constituents (WQS index) and outpatient visits (IR%, percentage increases in risk per unit WQS index increase:1.73, 95%CI: 1.72, 1.74) as well as hospitalizations (IR%:5.15, 95%CI: 5.11, 5.20). Black carbon (weight: 0.34) and nitrate (weight: 0.60) respectively exhibited the highest contributions to outpatient visits and hospitalizations. The overall mixture effects on outpatient visits and hospitalizations were higher with increased summer air temperatures (IR%: 7.54, 95%CI: 7.33, 7.74 and IR%: 9.55, 95%CI: 8.36, 10.75, respectively) or decreased winter air temperatures (IR%: 1.88, 95%CI: 1.68, 2.08 and IR%: 4.87, 95%CI: 3.73, 6.02, respectively). Furthermore, the overall mixture effects on outpatient visits and hospitalizations were significantly higher in populations with higher socioeconomic status (P < 0.01). It's crucial to address the primary sources of nitrate precursor substances and black carbon (mainly traffic-related and industrial-related air pollutants) and consider the complex interaction effects between air temperature and PM2.5 in the context of climate change. Of particular concern is the need to prioritize healthcare demands in economically disadvantaged regions and to address the health inequalities stemming from the uneven distribution of healthcare resources and PM2.5 pollution.
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Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Humanos , Pacientes Ambulatoriais , Nitratos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Material Particulado/análise , Poluição do Ar/análise , China/epidemiologia , Hospitalização , Carbono , Exposição Ambiental/análiseRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a major public health issue in China while temperature and humidity are well-documented predictors. However, evidence on the combined effect of temperature and humidity is still limited. It also remains unclear whether such an effect could be modified by the enterovirus 71 (EV71) vaccination. METHODS: Based on 320,042 reported HFMD cases during the summer months between 2012 and 2019, we conducted a study utilizing Distributed Lag Non-Linear Models (DLNM) and time-varying DLNM to examine how China's HFMD EV71 vaccine strategy would affect the correlation between meteorological conditions and HFMD risk. RESULTS: The incidence of HFMD changed with the Discomfort Index in an arm-shaped form. The 14-day cumulative risk of HFMD exhibited a statistically significant increase during the period of 2017-2019 (following the implementation of the EV71 vaccine policy) compared to 2012-2016 (prior to the vaccine implementation). For the total population, the range of relative risk (RR) values for HFMD at the 75th, 90th, and 99th percentiles increased from 1.082-1.303 in 2012-2016 to 1.836-2.022 in 2017-2019. In the stratified analyses, Han Chinese areas show stronger relative growth, with RR values at the 75th, 90th, and 99th percentiles increased by 14.3%, 39.1%, and 134.4% post-vaccination, compared to increases of 22.7%, 41.6%, and 38.8% in minority areas. Similarly, boys showed greater increases (24.4%, 47.7%, 121.5%) compared to girls (8.1%, 28.1%, 58.3%). Additionally, the central Guizhou urban agglomeration displayed a tendency for stronger relative growth compared to other counties. CONCLUSIONS: Although the EV71 vaccine policy has been implemented, it hasn't effectively controlled the overall risk of HFMD. There's been a shift in the main viral subtypes, potentially altering population susceptibility and influencing HFMD occurrences. The modulating effects of vaccine intervention may also be influenced by factors such as race, sex, and economic level.
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Enterovirus Humano A , Doença de Mão, Pé e Boca , Vacinação , Doença de Mão, Pé e Boca/epidemiologia , Doença de Mão, Pé e Boca/prevenção & controle , Humanos , China/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Lactente , Pré-Escolar , Enterovirus Humano A/imunologia , Incidência , Vacinas Virais/administração & dosagem , Umidade , Temperatura , CriançaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: China initialised the expanded hepatitis A vaccination programme (EHAP) in 2008. However, the effectiveness of the programme remains unclear. We aimed to comprehensively evaluate the effectiveness of EHAP in the country. METHODS: Based on the provincial data on the incidence of hepatitis A (HepA), the population and meteorological variables in China, we developed interrupted time series (ITS) models to estimate the effectiveness of EHAP with the autocorrelation, seasonality and the meteorological confounders being controlled. Results were also stratified by economic zones, age groups and provinces. RESULTS: We found a 0.9% reduction (RR=0.991, 95% CI: 0.990 to 0.991) in monthly HepA incidence after EHAP, which was 0.3% greater than the reduction rate before EHAP in China. Across the three economic regions, we found a 1.1% reduction in HepA incidence in both central and western regions after EHAP, which were 0.3% and 1.2% greater than the reduction rates before EHAP, respectively. We found a decreased reduction rate for the eastern region. In addition, we found generally increased reduction rate after EHAP for age groups of 0-4, 5-14 and 15-24 years. However, we found decreased reduction rate among the 25-64 and ≥65 years groups. We found a slight increased rate after EHAP in Shanxi Province but not elsewhere. CONCLUSION: Our finding provides comprehensive evidence on the effectiveness of EHAP in China, particularly in the central and western regions, and among the population aged 0-24 years old. This study has important implications for the adjustment of vaccination strategies for other regions and populations.
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Hepatite A , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Lactente , Pré-Escolar , Criança , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Hepatite A/epidemiologia , Hepatite A/prevenção & controle , Análise de Séries Temporais Interrompida , Vacinação , China/epidemiologia , IncidênciaRESUMO
Introduction: Although the global COVID-19 emergency ended, the real-world effects of multiple non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and the relative contribution of individual NPIs over time were poorly understood, limiting the mitigation of future potential epidemics. Methods: Based on four large-scale datasets including epidemic parameters, virus variants, vaccines, and meteorological factors across 51 states in the United States from August 2020 to July 2022, we established a Bayesian hierarchical model with a spike-and-slab prior to assessing the time-varying effect of NPIs and vaccination on mitigating COVID-19 transmission and identifying important NPIs in the context of different variants pandemic. Results: We found that (i) the empirical reduction in reproduction number attributable to integrated NPIs was 52.0% (95%CI: 44.4, 58.5%) by August and September 2020, whereas the reduction continuously decreased due to the relaxation of NPIs in following months; (ii) international travel restrictions, stay-at-home requirements, and restrictions on gathering size were important NPIs with the relative contribution higher than 12.5%; (iii) vaccination alone could not mitigate transmission when the fully vaccination coverage was less than 60%, but it could effectively synergize with NPIs; (iv) even with fully vaccination coverage >60%, combined use of NPIs and vaccination failed to reduce the reproduction number below 1 in many states by February 2022 because of elimination of above NPIs, following with a resurgence of COVID-19 after March 2022. Conclusion: Our results suggest that NPIs and vaccination had a high synergy effect and eliminating NPIs should consider their relative effectiveness, vaccination coverage, and emerging variants.
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COVID-19 , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinação , Cobertura Vacinal , PandemiasRESUMO
Evidence linking greenness to all-site and site-specific cancers remains limited, and the complex role of air pollution in this pathway is unclear. We aimed to fill these gaps by using a large cohort in southern China. A total of 654,115 individuals were recruited from 2009 to 2015 and followed-up until December 2020. We calculated the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) in a 500-m buffer around the participants' residences to represent the greenness exposure. Cox proportional-hazards models were used to evaluate the impact of greenness on the risk of all-site and site-specific cancer mortality. Additionally, we assessed both the mediation and interaction roles of air pollution (i.e., PM2.5, PM10, and NO2) in the greenness-cancer association through a causal mediation analysis using a four-way decomposition method. Among the 577,643 participants, 10,088 cancer deaths were recorded. We found a 10% (95% CI: 5-16%) reduction in all-site cancer mortality when the NDVI increased from the lowest to the highest quartile. When stratified by cancer type, our estimates suggested 18% (95% CI: 8-27%) and 51% (95% CI: 16-71%) reductions in mortality due to respiratory system cancer and brain and nervous system cancer, respectively. For the above protective effect, a large proportion could be explained by the mediation (all-site cancer: 1.0-27.7%; respiratory system cancer: 1.2-32.3%; brain and nervous system cancer: 3.6-109.1%) and negative interaction (all-site cancer: 2.1-25.7%; respiratory system cancer: 2.0-25.7%; brain and nervous system cancer: not significant) effects of air pollution. We found that particulate matter (i.e., PM2.5 and PM10) had a stronger causal mediation effect (25.0-109.1%) than NO2 (1.0-3.6%), while NO2 had a stronger interaction effect (25.7%) than particulate matter (2.0-2.8%). In summary, greenness was significantly beneficial in reducing the mortality of all-site, respiratory system, and brain and nervous system cancer in southern China, with the impact being modulated and mediated by air pollution.
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Limited evidence exists on the effect of submicronic particulate matter (PM1) on hypertension hospitalization. Evidence based on causal inference and large cohorts is even more scarce. In 2015, 36,271 participants were enrolled in South China and followed up through 2020. Each participant was assigned single-year, lag0-1, and lag0-2 moving average concentration of PM1 and fine inhalable particulate matter (PM2.5) simulated based on satellite data at a 1-km resolution. We used an inverse probability weighting approach to balance confounders and utilized a marginal structural Cox model to evaluate the underlying causal links between PM1 exposure and hypertension hospitalization, with PM2.5-hypertension association for comparison. Several sensitivity studies and the analyses of effect modification were also conducted. We found that a higher hospitalization risk from both overall (HR: 1.13, 95% CI: 1.05-1.22) and essential hypertension (HR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.06-1.25) was linked to each 1 µg/m3 increase in the yearly average PM1 concentration. At lag0-1 and lag0-2, we observed a 17%-21% higher risk of hypertension associated with PM1. The effect of PM1 was 6%-11% higher compared with PM2.5. Linear concentration-exposure associations between PM1 exposure and hypertension were identified, without safety thresholds. Women and participants that engaged in physical exercise exhibited higher susceptibility, with 4%-22% greater risk than their counterparts. This large cohort study identified a detrimental relationship between chronic PM1 exposure and hypertension hospitalization, which was more pronounced compared with PM2.5 and among certain groups.
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Exposição Ambiental , Hospitalização , Hipertensão , Material Particulado , Humanos , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Material Particulado/análise , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Masculino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Idoso , Adulto , Poluentes Atmosféricos/efeitos adversos , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar/análiseRESUMO
Poor sleep quality is a widespread concern. While the influence of particle exposure on sleep disturbances has received considerable attention, research exploring other dimensions of sleep quality and the chemical components of the particles remains limited. We employed a marginal structural model to explore the association of long-term exposure to PM2.5 and its chemical components with poor sleep quality. The odds ratio (95 % CI) for poor sleep quality was 1.335 (1.292-1.378), 1.097 (1.080-1.113), 1.137 (1.100-1.174), 1.197 (1.156-1.240), and 1.124 (1.107-1.140) per IQR increase in the concentration of PM2.5, SO42-, NO3-, NH4+, and BC, respectively. The score (and 95 % CI) of sleep latency, use of sleep medication, habitual sleep efficiency, subjective sleep quality, and daytime dysfunction were affected by PM2.5, with an increase of 0.059 (0.050-0.069), 0.054 (0.049-0.059), 0.011 (0.008-0.014), 0.011 (0.005-0.018), and 0.026 (0.018-0.034) per IQR increase in PM2.5 concentrations, respectively. This study supports the association of long-term exposure to PM2.5 and its chemical components with poor sleep quality.
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Material Particulado , Qualidade do Sono , Humanos , Material Particulado/análise , Material Particulado/efeitos adversos , Masculino , Feminino , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluentes Atmosféricos/efeitos adversos , Adulto , Transtornos do Sono-VigíliaRESUMO
Urban greenness, as a vital component of the urban environment, plays a critical role in mitigating the adverse effects of rapid urbanization and supporting urban sustainability. However, the causal links between urban greenness and lung cancer mortality and its potential causal pathway remain poorly understood. Based on a prospective community-based cohort with 581,785 adult participants in southern China, we applied a doubly robust Cox proportional hazard model to estimate the causal associations between urban greenness exposure and lung cancer mortality. A general multiple mediation analysis method was utilized to further assess the potential mediating roles of various factors including particulate matter (PM1, PM2.5-1, and PM10-2.5), temperature, physical activity, and body mass index (BMI). We observed that each interquartile range (IQR: 0.06) increment in greenness exposure was inversely associated with lung cancer mortality, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.89 (95 % CI: 0.83, 0.96). The relationship between greenness and lung cancer mortality might be partially mediated by particulate matter, temperature, and physical activity, yielding a total indirect effect of 0.826 (95 % CI: 0.769, 0.887) for each IQR increase in greenness exposure. Notably, the protective effect of greenness against lung cancer mortality could be achieved primarily by reducing the particulate matter concentration.
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INTRODUCTION: Residential greenness may influence COPD mortality, but the causal links, risk trajectories, and mediation pathways between them remain poorly understood. OBJECTIVES: We aim to comprehensively identify the potential causal links, characterize the dynamic progression of hospitalization or posthospital risk, and quantify mediation effects between greenness and COPD. METHODS: This study was conducted using a community-based cohort enrolling individuals aged ≥ 18 years in southern China from January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2015. Greenness was characterized by normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) around participants' residential addresses. We applied doubly robust Cox proportional hazards model, multi-state model, and multiple mediation method, to investigate the potential causal links, risk trajectories among baseline, COPD hospitalization, first readmission due to COPD or COPD-related complications, and all-cause death, as well as the multiple mediation pathways (particulate matter [PM], temperature, body mass index [BMI] and physical activity) connecting greenness exposure to COPD mortality. RESULTS: Our final analysis included 581,785 participants (52.52% female; average age: 48.36 [Standard Deviation (SD): 17.56]). Each interquartile range (IQR: 0.06) increase in NDVI was associated with a reduced COPD mortality risk, yielding a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.88 (95 % CI: 0.81, 0.96). Furthermore, we observed per IQR (0.04) increase in NDVI was inversely associated with the risk of multiple transitions (baseline - COPD hospitalization, baseline - death, and readmission - death risks), especially a declined risk of all-cause death after readmission (HR = 0.66 [95 %CI: 0.44, 0.99]). Within the observed association between greenness and COPD mortality, three mediators were identified, namely PM, temperature, and BMI (HR for the total indirect effect: 0.773 [95 % CI: 0.703, 0.851]), with PM showing the highest mediating effect. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings revealed greenness may be a beneficial factor for COPD morbidity, prognosis, and mortality. This protective effect is primarily attributed to the reduction in PM concentration.
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BACKGROUND: The potential for residential greenness to improve cardiovascular health through both physical and psychological mechanisms is well recognized. However, evidence from rapidly urbanizing developing countries and cohort-based causal inference approaches, remains limited. We aim to examine the effect of residential greenness and time to cardiovascular mortality in South China. METHODS: We utilized data from a community-based population survey involving 748,209 participants at baseline from 2009 to 2015, followed up until 2020. Residential greenness exposure was assessed by the annual Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) in the 500 m radius of each participant's residence. We used time-varying proportional hazard Cox models coupled with inverse probability weighting to fit marginal structural models and obtain hazard ratios (HRs) for cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality after adjusting for confounders. Multiple effect modifiers on both additive and multiplicative scales were further explored. RESULTS: A total of 15,139 CVD-related deaths were identified during a median of 7.9 years of follow-up. A protective effect was found between higher greenness exposure and reduced CVD mortality, with a 9.3 % lower rate of total CVD mortality (HR 0.907, 95 % CI 0.859-0.957) based on a 0.1 increase in annual average NDVI. Demographic (age, marital status) and lifestyle factors (smoking, drinking status) were found to modify the association between residential greenness and CVD mortality (all P interaction values < 0.05 or 95 %CI for RERI excluded the value 0). Notably, this effect was more pronounced among older adults, married, and individuals having healthier lifestyles, indicating a greater benefit from greenness for these subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings support a causal link between increased residential greenness exposure and a reduced risk of CVD mortality in South China with marked heterogenous effects, which has public health implications for cultivating greener urban environments to mitigate the impact of CVD within the context of rapid urbanization.
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Objective: To assess the interplay among psychopathological symptoms and real-life functioning, and to further detect their influence with violent behavior in patient with schizophrenia. Methods: A sample of 1,664 patients with post-violence assessments and their propensity score-matched controls without violence from a disease registration report system of community mental health service in Guangdong, China, were studied by network analysis. Ising-Model was used to estimate networks of psychopathological symptoms and real-life functioning. Then, we tested whether network properties indicated the patterns of interaction were different between cases and controls, and calculated centrality indices of each node to identify the central nodes. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to examine the difference of interaction patterns between pre-violence and post-violence assessments in violence cases. Results: Some nodes in the same domain were highly positive interrelations, while psychopathological symptoms were negatively related to real-life functioning in all networks. Many symptom-symptom connections and symptom-functioning connections were disconnected after the violence. The network density decreased from 23.53% to 12.42% without statistical significance (p = 0.338). The network structure, the global network strength, and the global clustering coefficient decreased significantly after the violence (p < 0.001, p = 0.019, and p = 0.045, respectively). Real-life functioning had a higher node strength. The strength of sleeping, lack of spontaneity and flow of conversation, and preoccupation were decreased in post-violence network of patients. Conclusion: The decreasing connectivity may indicate an increased risk of violence and early warning for detecting violence. Interventions and improving health state based on nodes with high strength might prevent violence in schizophrenia patients.