Emergency hospital admissions for the elderly: insights from the Devon Predictive Model.

BACKGROUND: In the UK, people aged 85 and over are the fastest growing population group and are predicted to double in number by 2030. Emergency hospital admissions are also rising. METHODS: All emergency admissions for the registered population in Devon to all English hospitals were analysed by age, and admission rates per thousand registered were calculated. The Devon Predictive Model (DPM) was built, using local data, to predict emergency admissions in the following 12 months. This model was compared with the Combined Predictive Model over five risk categories. RESULTS: The registered Devon population on 31 March 2011 was 761 652 with 65 892 emergency admissions in 2010/2011. The DPM had 89 variables including several local factors which strengthened the model. Three of the four most powerful predictors were age 85-89, 90-94 and 95 and over. The positive predictive value for the DPM was better than the CPM's in all five risk categories. Half (49.6%) of all emergency admissions were from those aged 65 or over. Admissions rose progressively and significantly in each successive elderly age band. At age 85 and over there were 420 emergency admissions per thousand registered. CONCLUSIONS: Age, especially 85 and over, has been undervalued as a risk factor for emergency hospital admissions.

The cost of diagnosing Type 2 diabetes mellitus by clinical opportunistic screening in general practice.

AIMS: Type 2 diabetes is associated with serious complications and shortens life. Its prevalence is increasing rapidly worldwide and no cure is available. One logical response is to diagnose the condition as early as possible. Clinical opportunistic screening is one mechanism for making the diagnosis before symptoms are reported. This paper reports the cost of using this technique in UK general practice. METHODS: In one UK general practice, the electronic medical records were searched to determine the number of blood glucose and oral glucose tolerance tests undertaken for non-pregnant adults without known diabetes over three consecutive years. The laboratory, staff and administrative costs associated with these screening tests were calculated. The records of all patients newly diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes during the same period were reviewed to identify diagnoses made by clinical opportunistic screening. Total costs were divided by the number of diagnoses to determine a cost per diagnosis detected by opportunistic screening. RESULTS: During the study period, 5720 screening tests were conducted for 2763 patients. Over the 3 years, 86 patients were diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes, 54 (63%) via screening (yield 2.0%; number needed to screen 51.2). The screening costs totalled £ 20,372. The average cost per new screen-detected diagnosis was £ 377. CONCLUSIONS: Almost two-thirds of new cases of Type 2 diabetes can be detected before symptoms are reported, at reasonable cost by opportunistic screening in general practice, without the use of extra resources. As an affordable alternative to population screening, clinical opportunistic screening merits further consideration.

Thallphytic alleopathy: isolation and identification of laetisaric Acid.

Laetisaria arvalis, a soil-dwelling basidiomycete fungus, secretes an allelopathic agent that induces rapid hyphal lysis in several phytopathogenic fungi. The active compound was isolated from chloroform:methanol extracts of L. arvalis mycelia and characterized as a previously unknown hydroxy fatty acid, (Z,Z-9,12-8-hydroxyoctadecadienoic acid.

Natural and synthetic allatotoxins: suicide substrates for juvenile hormone biosynthesis.

Cytotoxic agents with antijuvenile hormone activity in insects have been discovered. Their mechanism of action may involve an oxidative bioactivation into a reactive quinone methide.

Inorganic analyses of martian surface samples at the viking landing sites.

Elemental analyses of fines in the Martian regolith at two widely separated landing sites, Chryse Planitia and Utopia Planitia, produced remarkably similar results. At both sites, the uppermost regolith contains abundant Si and Fe, with significant concentrations of Mg, Al, S, Ca, and Ti. The S concentration is one to two orders of magnitude higher, and K(<0.25 percent by weight) is at least 5 times lower than the average for the earth's crust. The trace elements Sr, Y, and possibly Zr, have been detected at concentrations near or below 100 parts per million. Pebblesized fragments sampled at Chryse contain more S than the bulk fines, and are thought to be pieces of a sulfate-cemented duricrust.

Epirubicin, cisplatin and protracted venous infusion 5-Fluorouracil chemotherapy for advanced salivary adenoid cystic carcinoma.

AIMS: Adenoid cystic carcinoma (ACC) is a rare tumour that usually arises in the salivary glands. Initial management is surgery often combined with adjuvant radiotherapy. Chemotherapy is reserved for treatment of symptomatic recurrence. We evaluated the combination of epirubicin, cisplatin and protracted venous infusion 5-fluorouracil (ECF) in the management of ACC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients referred for treatment of advanced, symptomatic ACC were considered. The drugs given were epirubicin 50 mg/m(2) 3-weekly, cisplatin 60 mg/m(2) 3-weekly and protracted venous infusion 5-fluorouracil 200 mg/m(2)/day. RESULTS: Eight patients (median age 46 years) received a median of five cycles of chemotherapy. All patients had had previous surgery, seven had had previous radiotherapy and one had had previous chemotherapy. One patient showed a partial response (duration 34 months) and five showed stable disease (median duration 13.6 months [6.8-15.9+ months]). Median survival was 27 months (3.5-62.3 months). CONCLUSIONS: The activity of ECF in ACC of the head and neck seems to be similar to the combination of cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil and single-agent epirubicin.

Aural exostoses (surfer's ear) provide vital fossil evidence of an aquatic phase in Man's early evolution.

For over a century, otolaryngologists have recognised the condition of aural exostoses, but their significance and aetiology remains obscure, although they tend to be associated with frequent swimming and cold water immersion of the auditory canal. The fact that this condition is usually bilateral is predictable since both ears are immersed in water. However, why do exostoses only grow in swimmers and why do they grow in the deep bony meatus at two or three constant sites? Furthermore, from an evolutionary point of view, what is or was the purpose and function of these rather incongruous protrusions? In recent decades, paleoanthropological evidence has challenged ideas about early hominid evolution. In 1992 the senior author suggested that aural exostoses were evolved in early hominid Man for protection of the delicate tympanic membrane during swimming and diving by narrowing the ear canal in a similar fashion to other semiaquatic species. We now provide evidence for this theory and propose an aetiological explanation for the formation of exostoses.

Prevalence and clinical implications of the inter-arm blood pressure difference: A systematic review.

A blood pressure (BP) difference between arms was first reported over 100 years ago. Knowledge of its prevalence and relevance to the accurate measurement of BP remains poor. Current hypertension guidelines do not emphasise it. The objectives of this study were to establish the best estimate of prevalence of the inter-arm difference (IAD) in the population, to consider its implications for accurate BP measurement and treatment, and to discuss its aetiology and potential as a risk marker for cardiovascular disease. Systematic literature review was carried out. The data sources were Medline EMBASE and CINAHL databases, and Index of Theses. Studies reporting prevalence rates of IAD were retrieved and considered for inclusion against explicit methodological criteria. Point prevalence rates were extracted and weighted mean prevalence rates calculated. The main outcome measures were weighted mean prevalences of systolic IAD > or =10 and > or =20 mm Hg and of diastolic IAD > or =10 mm Hg. Thirty-one studies were identified. Most had methodological weaknesses; only four met the inclusion criteria. Pooled prevalences of the IAD from these four studies were 19.6% systolic > or =10 mm Hg (95% CI 18.0-21.3%), 4.2% systolic > or =20 mm Hg (95% CI 3.4-5.1%) and 8.1% diastolic > or =10 mm Hg (95%CI 6.9-9.2%). In conclusion, an IAD is present in a substantial number of patients and should be looked for whenever diagnosis and treatment depend on accurate measurements of BP. The importance of an IAD should be better emphasised in current hypertension management guidelines. There is evidence associating an IAD with peripheral vascular disease, raising the possibility that its presence may predict cardiovascular events.

Surface chemistry and biological pathogenicity of silicates: an X-ray photoelectron spectroscopic study.

We extend our electron spectroscopy for chemical analysis studies of the chemistry of silicates to provide direct surface chemical information on the interactions involved in silicate-induced lung and tissue pathology. A total of five fibrous and non-fibrous silicate minerals, primarily amphiboles, have been studied: anthophyllite, tremolite, cummingtonite, hornblende and actinolite. We have followed the 'inlattice' surface chemistry of these materials and monitored features such as the simultaneous presence of four- and six-coordinate (with respect to oxygen) structural aluminium, and the presence of iron in the M4 octahedral positions. In vitro experiments involving contact of the silicate with cultured murine Ehrlich cells have identified modifications in the surface chemistry of Al, Mg and Fe in the silicates and changes in cellular iron content.

Oxidative damage in Alzheimer's dementia, and the potential etiopathogenic role of aluminosilicates, microglia and micronutrient interactions.

While evidence implicating free radical oxidative processes in the etiopathogenesis of Alzheimer's dementia is accumulating, the specific cellular and biochemical mechanisms involved remain to be identified. The potential pathogenic role of microglial cells in neurodegenerative processes is indicated by the finding that purified murine microglial cells exposed in vitro to various model aluminosilicate particles stimulate the generation of tissue-injurious free radical reactive oxygen metabolites. Analogous inorganic aluminosilicate deposits have been reported to occur in the core of the characteristic senile plaques found in the brains of Alzheimer disease subjects. The possible modulation of free radical oxidative activity by antioxidant micronutrients and pharmacological agents, provides a rational basis for further preventative and therapeutic clinical investigations.

Anterior cervical-transsternal approach for resection of benign tumors at the thoracic inlet.

BACKGROUND: Neural tumors at the thoracic apex, even when benign, present technical problems for the surgeon because of their inaccessibility. The standard approach from below, using a posterolateral thoracotomy, offers suboptimal access to the vascular and neural structures of the thoracic inlet. METHODS: We present a new technique for the resection of benign tumors of the thoracic inlet, combining an anterior cervical approach with a limited median sternotomy. We do not find it necessary to resect any part of the clavicle or to add a thoracotomy. We used this technique in 4 patients with apical tumors. In 3 patients the tumor arose from the sympathetic chain and in 1 patient from the T1 component of the brachial plexus. RESULTS: The tumors ranged from 30 to 70 mm in diameter, and histologic findings were neurilemoma in 3 cases and ganglioneuroma in 1. There were no complications or deaths. All 4 patients were discharged 3 to 6 days postoperatively. CONCLUSIONS: In our experience this new technique provides improved exposure, good control of the neurovascular bundle, and less morbidity than that associated with thoracotomy. For malignant Pancoast's tumors we would still advocate the approach of Dartevelle or Grunenwald, supplemented by lateral thoracotomy to facilitate systematic intrathoracic evaluation.

Serum sulphydryl levels in rheumatoid patients treated with alclofenac.

Serum sulphydryl levels, which are decreased in rheumatoid patients, are increased to near normal during treatment with alclofenac. The biochemical function of the sulphydryl group and its possible pathogenic significance in rheumatoid and other auto-immune diseases are discussed.

Serum protein changes in coal workers' pneumoconiosis.

Differences from the normal were found in the serum proteins of coal workers suffering from pneumoconiosis which were similar to those in subjects suffereing from bronchitis, cancer and rheumatoid arthritis. The differences consisted of decreased albumin and increased globulin contents, and decreased sulphydryl contents, and decreased sulphydryl contents in both albumin and globulin proteins. These differences caused a reduction in the number of protein sulphydryl groups in serum. In pnemoconiotic coal workers the amount of idsulphide-linked cysteine in albumin increased above the normal, the increase tending to depend on the severity of the pneumoconiosis. Apart from this correlation the above differences could not be used to diagnose the class of pneumoconiosis.

C-erbB receptors in squamous cell carcinomas of the head and neck: clinical significance and correlation with matrix metalloproteinases and vascular endothelial growth factors.

We studied the profile of four c-erbB receptors in head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNSCC) and to determine whether their expression was associated with clinicopathological features and key molecules involved in angiogenesis and metastasis. We also assessed the impact of expression on survival. This study included 54 cases of primary HNSCC, of which 27 cases showed lymph node metastasis. The expression of c-erbB receptors, matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) family members was analysed in the same tissue homogenates by semi-quantitative RT-PCR. HNSCC frequently co-expressed multiple c-erbB receptors and showed significant correlations amongst their levels. High expression of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), c-erbB-2 or c-erbB-3 was associated with an infiltrating mode of invasion, nodal metastases and advanced pathological stages. EGFR and c-erbB-2 levels were strongly correlated (P=0.0004-0.029) with the expression of MMP-2, MMP-7, MMP-9, MMP-10, MMP-11, MMP-13, VEGF-A and VEGF-C whereas the levels of c-erbB-3 and B-4 showed a weaker correlation (P=0.049-0.01) with some MMPs and VEGF-C. Only nodal metastasis and EGFR levels were significantly associated with poor outcome in uni- and multi-variate analysis. We conclude that co-operative signalling of all four c-erbB receptors may play a significant role in the pathogenesis of HNSCC. Amongst these, EGFR appears to be the dominant component controlling the invasive and angio-/lymphangiogenic phenotype in HNSCC via upregulation of multiple MMPs and VEGFs.

Expression of matrix metalloproteinases and their inhibitors correlates with invasion and metastasis in squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck.

BACKGROUND: Matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) have been implicated in the invasion and metastasis of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). However, a detailed analysis of MMPs and tissue inhibitors of MMPs (TIMPs) in relation to the biological behavior of HNSCC has yet to be performed in clinical material. OBJECTIVES: To study a comprehensive profile of MMPs and their 2 main inhibitors in HNSCC tissue samples and to correlate the patterns of expression with clinicopathological characteristics, invasion, and metastasis. DESIGN: This study included 54 consecutive patients with primary HNSCC, 27 of which showed lymph node metastasis. Expression of MMP-1, MMP-2, MMP-3, MMP-7, MMP-9, MMP-10, MMP-11, MMP-13, MMP-14, TIMP-1, and TIMP-2 was simultaneously analyzed in tissue homogenates using semiquantitative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction assay. Where feasible, levels of protein and enzyme activity were confirmed by Western blot, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and substrate zymography. Conventional clinicopathological features, including mode of tumor invasion, were also examined. RESULTS: Significantly higher MMP-1, MMP-2, MMP-3, MMP-7, MMP-9, MMP-10, MMP-11, MMP-13, and TIMP-1 levels were found in tumors vs specimens of matched normal mucosa. No difference in the distribution of MMPs and TIMPs in relation to age, sex, tumor site, or histological grade was observed. A significant correlation was demonstrated between levels of MMP-1, MMP-9, and TIMP-1 and advanced T stage and between MMP-9 expression and an infiltrative pattern of growth. Enhanced expression of MMP-9 was strongly correlated (P<.001) and levels of MMP-2, MMP-7, and MMP-11 were weakly correlated (P =.03-.05) with lymph node involvement. CONCLUSIONS: Overexpression of multiple MMPs and TIMPs is characteristic of HNSCC, and analysis of specific MMPs, MMP-9 in particular, might be useful for evaluating the malignant potential in individual HNSCC.

Cephaloconiosis: a free radical perspective on the proposed particulate-induced etiopathogenesis of Alzheimer's dementia and related disorders.

By analogy to the etiology of the pneumoconioses, exogenous dust-induced diseases of the lung, and endogenous crystal-induced arthropathies such as gout, it is proposed that Alzheimer's dementia and allied disorders are causally related to the accumulation of fibriform inorganic deposits within the brain. Hence the neonosological term 'Cephaloconiosis'. It is proposed that: 1) either by the extrinsic migration or intrinsic formation and deposition of insoluble and persistent inorganic reactive nidi, the particle-induced generation of tissue-damaging free-radical oxygen metabolites by stimulated brain glial macrophage-type and allied phagocytic cells, provides a rationale for the etiopathogenesis of neurodegenerative processes; 2) the modulation of the injurious oxidative metabolic reaction by micronutrient and pharmacological antioxidant agents is a rational and potentially feasible strategy for future therapeutic clinical investigations.

Complications in head and neck surgery and how to avoid trouble.

Increasing litigation in recent years has made it more and more necessary for the surgeon to be aware of the problems, pitfalls and complications which may arise as a result of surgery. The risks are compounded in the head and neck not only because of its complex anatomy but also because of additional difficulties relating to surgery of the upper aero-digestive tract. Some problems are unavoidable. The potential risks of surgery and its complications should be carefully weighed against the natural history of the pathological process and a realistic expectation of the surgical outcome compared with alternative treatments. Other problems may result from genuine mistakes, but a number of complications are caused through actions or omissions which are avoidable and which in certain circumstances may be construed as professional negligence. Some of the more common pitfalls and complications in head and neck surgery are discussed with particular reference to their causation and possible avoidance.

The paranasal sinuses and other enigmas: an aquatic evolutionary theory.

The functional role of the paranasal sinuses in man has long been in dispute and as yet no satisfactory explanation has been offered for these 'unwanted' spaces. An answer may be found by study of the comparative evolutionary development of the sinuses in man and other higher primates. Several unique physical characteristics of man not seen elsewhere in the ape family, or indeed in other terrestrial mammals, including some relating to the upper aerodigestive tract, are not satisfactorily explained by the traditionally held theory of evolutionary development of early man directly from the arboreal ape. It is argued that these developmental differences are much more logically explained by a period of aquatic adaptation at a crucial period in the evolution of pre-hominid man. A new theory is proposed which might explain the importance of the sinus air cavities as buoyancy aids for protection of the upper airway tract in such an aquatic environment. Further evidence is offered relating to a pathological condition of the external ear canal which supports this theory that man at some stage in his early development acquired an affinity for an aquatic environment. Explanation of these unique hominid characteristics in terms of an aquatic evolutionary theory may help to resolve some of the enigmatic inconsistencies between man and other higher primates, and may account for man's eventual emergence as the dominant extant species, and perhaps an explanation for the 'missing link'.

Tracheo-oesophageal puncture without tears: the forceps technique.

Certain problems have been encountered using a rigid endoscopic technique for tracheo-oesophageal puncture in voice restoration following laryngectomy. An alternative method is described using a modified curved abdominal forceps which allows quicker and more predictable access to the puncture site.

Knot to be condemned.

It is common practice following mastoid and middle ear surgery to apply a pressure bandage to the ear for a short post-operative period to reduce local swelling. The bandage is usually secured in such a way as to lift it away from the eye, sometimes with a length of ribbon gauze tied in a knot over the temporal region. Pressure from the knot may cause injury to the underlying tissues leading to post-operative complications which hitherto have not been described.