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1.
N Engl J Med ; 386(23): 2201-2212, 2022 06 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35613036

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) provides natural immunity against reinfection. Recent studies have shown waning of the immunity provided by the BNT162b2 vaccine. The time course of natural and hybrid immunity is unknown. METHODS: Using the Israeli Ministry of Health database, we extracted data for August and September 2021, when the B.1.617.2 (delta) variant was predominant, on all persons who had been previously infected with SARS-CoV-2 or who had received coronavirus 2019 vaccine. We used Poisson regression with adjustment for confounding factors to compare the rates of infection as a function of time since the last immunity-conferring event. RESULTS: The number of cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection per 100,000 person-days at risk (adjusted rate) increased with the time that had elapsed since vaccination with BNT162b2 or since previous infection. Among unvaccinated persons who had recovered from infection, this rate increased from 10.5 among those who had been infected 4 to less than 6 months previously to 30.2 among those who had been infected 1 year or more previously. Among persons who had received a single dose of vaccine after previous infection, the adjusted rate was low (3.7) among those who had been vaccinated less than 2 months previously but increased to 11.6 among those who had been vaccinated at least 6 months previously. Among previously uninfected persons who had received two doses of vaccine, the adjusted rate increased from 21.1 among those who had been vaccinated less than 2 months previously to 88.9 among those who had been vaccinated at least 6 months previously. CONCLUSIONS: Among persons who had been previously infected with SARS-CoV-2 (regardless of whether they had received any dose of vaccine or whether they had received one dose before or after infection), protection against reinfection decreased as the time increased since the last immunity-conferring event; however, this protection was higher than that conferred after the same time had elapsed since receipt of a second dose of vaccine among previously uninfected persons. A single dose of vaccine after infection reinforced protection against reinfection.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Vacina BNT162/imunologia , Vacina BNT162/uso terapêutico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra COVID-19/imunologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Imunidade Inata , Reinfecção/imunologia , Reinfecção/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2 , Fatores de Tempo , Vacinas Virais/imunologia , Vacinas Virais/uso terapêutico
2.
Lancet Oncol ; 25(8): 1070-1079, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39029483

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Refractory upper abdominal pain or lower back pain (retroperitoneal pain syndrome) related to celiac plexus involvement characterises pancreatic and other upper gastrointestinal malignancies and is an unmet need. We hypothesised that ablative radiation delivered to the celiac plexus would decrease pain. METHODS: This multicentre, single-arm, phase 2 study was done at eight hospitals in five countries (Israel, Poland, Canada, the USA, and Portugal). Eligible patients aged 18 years or older with an average pain level of 5-10 on the Brief Pain Inventory short form (BPI-SF), an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status score of 0-2, and either pancreatic cancer or other tumours involving the celiac axis, received a single fraction of 25 Gy of external-beam photons to the celiac plexus. The primary endpoint was complete or partial pain response based on a reduction of the BPI-SF average pain score of 2 points or more from baseline to 3 weeks after treatment. All evaluable patients with stable pain scores were included in response assessment. The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03323489, and is complete. FINDINGS: Between Jan 3, 2018, and Dec 28, 2021, 125 patients were treated, 90 of whom were evaluable. Patients were followed up until death. Median age was 65·5 years (IQR 58·3-71·8), 50 (56%) were female and 40 (44%) were male, 83 (92%) had pancreatic cancer, and 77 (86%) had metastatic disease. Median baseline BPI-SF average pain score was 6 (IQR 5-7). Of the 90 evaluable patients at 3 weeks, 48 (53%; 95% CI 42-64) had at least a partial pain response. The most common grade 3-4 adverse events, irrespective of attribution, were abdominal pain (35 [28%] of 125) and fatigue (23 [18%]). 11 serious adverse events of grade 3 or worse were recorded. Two grade 3 serious adverse events were probably attributed to treatment by the local investigators (abdominal pain [n=1] and nausea [n=1]), and nine were possibly attributed to treatment (seven were grade 3: blood bilirubin increased [n=1], duodenal haemorrhage [n=2], abdominal pain [n=2], and progressive disease [n=2]; and two were grade 5: gastrointestinal bleed from suspected varices 24 days after treatment [n=1] and progressive disease [advanced pancreatic cancer] 89 days after treatment [n=1]). INTERPRETATION: Celiac plexus radiosurgery could potentially be a non-invasive palliative option for patients with retroperitoneal pain syndrome. Further investigation by means of a randomised comparison with conventional celiac block or neurolysis is warranted. FUNDING: Gateway for Cancer Research and the Israel Cancer Association.


Assuntos
Dor do Câncer , Plexo Celíaco , Manejo da Dor , Radiocirurgia , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Radiocirurgia/efeitos adversos , Manejo da Dor/métodos , Dor do Câncer/etiologia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/complicações , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/patologia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/cirurgia , Medição da Dor , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto , Dor Abdominal/etiologia
3.
Int J Cancer ; 2024 Jul 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39030837

RESUMO

In order to explore the association between meat consumption and gastrointestinal/colorectal cancer (CRC) risk and to estimate the Israeli population attributable fraction (PAF), we conducted a collaborative historical cohort study using the individual participant data of seven nutritional studies from the past 6 decades. We included healthy adult men and women who underwent a nutritional interview. Dietary assessment data, using food-frequency or 24-h recall questionnaires, were harmonized. The study file was linked to the National Cancer and death registries. Among 27,754 participants, 1216 (4.4%) were diagnosed with gastrointestinal cancers and 839 (3.0%) with CRC by the end of 2016. Using meta-analysis methods applied to Cox proportional hazard models (adjusted for daily energy intake, sex, age, ethnic origin, education and smoking),100 g/day increments in beef, red meat and poultry consumption, and 50 g/day increment in processed meat consumption were associated with hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals of 1.46 (1.06-2.02), 1.15 (0.87-1.52), 1.06 (0.89-1.26), and 0.93 (0.76-1.12), respectively, for CRC. Similar results were obtained for gastrointestinal cancer, although red meat consumption reached statistical significance (HR = 1.27; 95%CI: 1.02-1.58). The PAFs associated with a reduction to a maximum of 50 g/day in the consumption of red meat were 2.7% (95%CI: -1.9 to 12.0) and 5.2% (0.3-13.9) for CRC and gastrointestinal cancers, respectively. Reduction of beef consumption to a maximum of 50 g/day will result in a CRC PAF reduction of 7.5% (0.7%-24.3%). While beef consumption was associated with gastrointestinal/CRC excess risk, poultry consumption was not. A substantial part of processed meat consumption in Israel is processed poultry, perhaps explaining the lack of association with CRC.

4.
Nutr J ; 23(1): 88, 2024 Aug 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39107818

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Collection of detailed dietary data is labor intensive and expensive, harmonization of existing data sets has been proposed as an effective tool for research questions in which individual studies are underpowered. METHODS: In this paper, we describe the methodology used to retrospectively harmonize nutritional data from multiple sources, based on the individual participant data of all available studies, which collected nutritional data in Israel between 1963 and 2014. This collaboration was established in order to study the association of red and processed meat with colorectal cancer. Two types of nutritional questionnaires, the Food Frequency Questionnaires (FFQ) and the 24-h dietary recall (24HR recall), and different food composition tables, were used by the participating studies. The main exposure of interest included type of meat (total meat, red meat, and poultry) and level of processing. RESULTS: A total of 29,560 Israeli men and women were enrolled. In studies using FFQ,the weighted mean intakes of total, red, processed meat, and poultry were 95, 27, 37 and 58 gr/day and 92, 25, 10, and 66 gr/day in studies using 24HR recall, respectively.. Despite several methodological challenges, we successfully harmonized nutritional data from the different studies. CONCLUSIONS: This paper emphasizes the significance and feasibility of harmonization of previously collected nutritional data, offering an opportunity to examine associations between a range of dietary exposures and the outcome of interest, while minimizing costs and time in epidemiological studies.


Assuntos
Dieta , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Israel , Dieta/métodos , Dieta/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Inquéritos sobre Dietas/métodos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Carne , Adulto , Avaliação Nutricional , Neoplasias Colorretais , Idoso , Rememoração Mental , Registros de Dieta
5.
Clin Infect Dis ; 76(7): 1315-1317, 2023 04 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36366729

RESUMO

The correlation between anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 antibody levels and infection was reported. Here, we estimated the role of pre-fourth dose levels using data from 1098 healthcare workers. The risk of infection was reduced by 46% (95% confidence interval, 29%-59%) for each 10-fold increase in prebooster levels. Prebooster antibody levels could be used to optimally time boosters.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Humanos , Vacinação , Imunização Secundária , Anticorpos Antivirais , Pessoal de Saúde
6.
Blood ; 138(16): 1429-1440, 2021 10 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34157093

RESUMO

Omidubicel is an ex vivo expanded hematopoietic progenitor cell and nonexpanded myeloid and lymphoid cell product derived from a single umbilical cord blood unit. We report results of a phase 3 trial to evaluate the efficacy of omidubicel compared with standard umbilical cord blood transplantation (UCBT). Between January 2017 and January 2020, 125 patients age 13 to 65 years with hematologic malignancies were randomly assigned to omidubicel vs standard UCBT. Patients received myeloablative conditioning and prophylaxis with a calcineurin inhibitor and mycophenolate mofetil for graft-versus-host disease (GVHD). The primary end point was time to neutrophil engraftment. The treatment arms were well balanced and racially diverse. Median time to neutrophil engraftment was 12 days (95% confidence interval [CI], 10-14 days) for the omidubicel arm and 22 days (95% CI, 19-25 days) for the control arm (P < .001). The cumulative incidence of neutrophil engraftment was 96% for patients receiving omidubicel and 89% for patients receiving control transplants. The omidubicel arm had faster platelet recovery (55% vs 35% recovery by 42 days; P = .028), had a lower incidence of first grade 2 to 3 bacterial or invasive fungal infection (37% vs 57%; P = .027), and spent more time out of hospital during the first 100 days after transplant (median, 61 vs 48 days; P = .005) than controls. Differences in GVHD and survival between the 2 arms were not statistically significant. Transplantation with omidubicel results in faster hematopoietic recovery and reduces early transplant-related complications compared with standard UCBT. The results suggest that omidubicel may be considered as a new standard of care for adult patients eligible for UCBT. The trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT02730299.


Assuntos
Transplante de Células-Tronco de Sangue do Cordão Umbilical/métodos , Sangue Fetal/transplante , Neoplasias Hematológicas/terapia , Adolescente , Adulto , Transplante de Células-Tronco de Sangue do Cordão Umbilical/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Sobrevivência de Enxerto , Doença Enxerto-Hospedeiro/etiologia , Hematopoese , Transplante de Células-Tronco Hematopoéticas/efeitos adversos , Transplante de Células-Tronco Hematopoéticas/métodos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem
7.
J Nutr ; 153(6): 1816-1824, 2023 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37030594

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Recently, we confirmed 24-h urinary sucrose plus fructose (24 uSF) as a predictive biomarker of total sugar intake. However, the collection of 24-h urine samples has limited feasibility in population studies. OBJECTIVE: We investigated the utility of the urinary sucrose plus fructose (uSF) biomarker measured in spot urine as a measure of 24 uSF biomarker and total sugar intake. METHODS: Hundred participants, 18-70 y of age, from the Phoenix Metropolitan Area completed a 15-d feeding study. For 2 of the 8 collected 24-h urine samples, each spot urine sample was collected in a separate container. We considered 4 timed voids of the day [morning (AM) void: first void 08:30-12:30; afternoon (PM) void: first void 12:31-17:30; evening (EVE) void: first void 17:31-12:00; and next-day (ND) void: first void 04:00-12:00]. We investigated the performance of uSF from 1 void, and uSF combined from 2 and 3 voids as a measure of 24 uSF and sugar intake. RESULTS: The biomarker averaged from PM/EVE void strongly correlated with 24 uSF (partial r = 0.75). The 24 uSF predicted from the PM/EVE combination was significantly associated with observed sugar intake and was selected for building the calibrated biomarker equation (marginal R2 = 0.36). Spot urine-based calibrated biomarker, ie, biomarker-estimated sugar intake was moderately correlated with the 15-d mean-observed sugar intake (r = 0.50). CONCLUSIONS: uSF measured from a PM and EVE void may be used to generate biomarker-based sugar intake estimate when collecting 24-h urine samples is not feasible, pending external validation.


Assuntos
Frutose , Sódio , Humanos , Sódio/urina , Coleta de Urina , Carboidratos da Dieta , Biomarcadores/urina , Sacarose
8.
Am J Epidemiol ; 191(4): 626-635, 2022 03 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34893792

RESUMO

There is conflicting evidence regarding the association between metformin treatment and prostate cancer risk in diabetic men. We investigated this association in a population-based Israeli cohort of 145,617 men aged 21-89 years with incident diabetes who were followed over the period 2002-2012. We implemented a time-dependent covariate Cox model, using weighted cumulative exposure to relate metformin history to prostate cancer risk, adjusting for use of other glucose-lowering medications, age, ethnicity, and socioeconomic status. To adjust for time-varying glucose control variables, we used inverse probability weighting of a marginal structural model. With 666,553 person-years of follow-up, 1,592 men were diagnosed with prostate cancer. Metformin exposure in the previous year was positively associated with prostate cancer risk (per defined daily dose; without adjustment for glucose control, hazard ratio (HR) = 1.53 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19, 1.96); with adjustment, HR = 1.42 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.94)). However, exposure during the previous 2-7 years was negatively associated with risk (without adjustment for glucose control, HR = 0.58 (95% CI: 0.37, 0.93); with adjustment, HR = 0.60 (95% CI: 0.33, 1.09)). These positive and negative associations with previous-year and earlier metformin exposure, respectively, need to be confirmed and better understood.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Metformina , Neoplasias da Próstata , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Humanos , Hipoglicemiantes/efeitos adversos , Masculino , Metformina/efeitos adversos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias da Próstata/diagnóstico , Adulto Jovem
9.
Am J Epidemiol ; 191(6): 1125-1139, 2022 05 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35136928

RESUMO

Few biomarker-based validation studies have examined error in online self-report dietary assessment instruments, and food records (FRs) have been considered less than food frequency questionnaires (FFQs) and 24-hour recalls (24HRs). We investigated measurement error in online and paper-based FFQs, online 24HRs, and paper-based FRs in 3 samples drawn primarily from 3 cohorts, comprising 1,393 women and 1,455 men aged 45-86 years. Data collection occurred from January 2011 to October 2013. Attenuation factors and correlation coefficients between reported and true usual intake for energy, protein, sodium, potassium, and respective densities were estimated using recovery biomarkers. Across studies, average attenuation factors for energy were 0.07, 0.07, and 0.19 for a single FFQ, 24HR, and FR, respectively. Correlation coefficients for energy were 0.24, 0.23, and 0.40, respectively. Excluding energy, the average attenuation factors across nutrients and studies were 0.22 for a single FFQ, 0.22 for a single 24HR, and 0.51 for a single FR. Corresponding correlation coefficients were 0.31, 0.34, and 0.53, respectively. For densities (nutrient expressed relative to energy), the average attenuation factors across studies were 0.37, 0.17, and 0.50, respectively. The findings support prior research suggesting different instruments have unique strengths that should be leveraged in epidemiologic research.


Assuntos
Dieta , Avaliação Nutricional , Biomarcadores , Estudos de Coortes , Inquéritos sobre Dietas , Ingestão de Energia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Rememoração Mental , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Inquéritos e Questionários
10.
J Gen Intern Med ; 37(12): 3128-3133, 2022 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35794306

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Renal failure (RF) is a risk factor for mortality among hospitalized patients. However, its role in COVID-19-related morbidity and mortality is inconclusive. The aim of the study was to determine whether RF is a significant predictor of clinical outcomes in COVID-19 hospitalized patients based on a retrospective, nationwide, cohort study. METHODS: The study sample consisted of patients hospitalized in Israel for COVID-19 in two periods. A random sample of these admissions was selected, and experienced nurses extracted the data from the electronic files. The group with RF on admission was compared to the group of patients without RF. The association of RF with 30-day mortality was investigated using a logistic regression model. RESULTS: During the two periods, 19,308 and 2994 patients were admitted, from which a random sample of 4688 patients was extracted. The 30-day mortality rate for patients with RF was 30% (95% confidence interval (CI): 27-33%) compared to 8% (95% CI: 7-9%) among patients without RF. The estimated OR for 30-day mortality among RF versus other patients was 4.3 (95% CI: 3.7-5.1) and after adjustment for confounders was 2.2 (95% CI: 1.8-2.6). Furthermore, RF patients received treatment by vasopressors and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) more frequently than those without RF (vasopressors: 17% versus 6%, OR = 2.8, p<0.0001; IMV: 17% versus 7%, OR = 2.6, p<0.0001). DISCUSSION: RF is an independent risk factor for mortality, IMV, and the need for vasopressors among patients hospitalized for COVID-19 infection. Therefore, this condition requires special attention when considering preventive tools, monitoring, and treatment.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Insuficiência Renal , COVID-19/terapia , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Israel/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Renal/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Renal/terapia , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2
11.
Euro Surveill ; 27(39)2022 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36177870

RESUMO

We assess the immunogenicity and efficacy of Spikevax and Comirnaty as fourth dose COVID-19 vaccines. Six months post-fourth-dose, IgG levels were higher than pre-fourth dose at 1.58-fold (95% CI: 1.27-1.97) in Spikevax and 1.16-fold (95% CI: 0.98-1.37) in Comirnaty vaccinees. Nearly 60% (159/274) of vaccinees contracted SARS-CoV-2. Infection hazard ratios (HRs) for Spikevax (0.82; 95% CI: 0.62-1.09) and Comirnaty (0.86; 95% CI: 0.65-1.13) vaccinees were similar, as were substantial-disease HRs, i.e. 0.28 (95% CI: 0.13-0.62) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.27-0.96), respectively.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Seguimentos , Humanos , Imunoglobulina G , Israel/epidemiologia , RNA Mensageiro , SARS-CoV-2/genética
12.
Gynecol Oncol ; 161(2): 496-501, 2021 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33637348

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Report the results from a preplanned interim analysis of a phase III, double blind, randomized controlled study of ofranergene obadenovec (VB-111), a targeted anti-cancer gene therapy, in combination with paclitaxel in patients with platinum resistant ovarian cancer (PROC). METHODS: The OVAL (NCT03398655) study is an on-going study where patients are randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to weekly paclitaxel 80 mg/m2 with VB-111 or placebo. The protocol specifies a pre-planned unblinded futility interim analysis of CA-125 response per GCIG criteria in the first 60 evaluable patients. The futility rule determined for this analysis was that the response rate of VB-111 must be greater than the response rate of placebo by at least 10% in order to continue the study. Coincident with the interim analysis, the blinded CA-125 response rate was estimated as a proportion of the first 60 evaluable patients with CA-125 response per GCIG criteria. Post-treatment fever is provided as a possible surrogate marker of VB-111 therapy activity. RESULTS: The median age of the evaluable patients was 62 years (range 41-82); 97% had high-grade serous cancer; 58% had been treated with 3 or more previous lines of therapy, 70% received prior anti-angiogenic treatment, 43% received prior PARP inhibitors. CA-125 response in the VB-111 and weekly paclitaxel treated arm met the pre-specified interim criterion of an absolute advantage of 10% or higher compared to the control. Blinded results show a 53% CA-125 response rate (32/60) with 15% complete response (n=9). Assuming balanced randomization and an absolute advantage of 10% or higher to the VB-111 arm, it may be deducted that the response in the VB-111 treatment arm is 58% or higher. Among patients with post-treatment fever, the CA-125 response rate was 69%. CONCLUSIONS: At the time of the interim analysis, response rate findings are comparable to the responses seen in a similar patient population in the phase I/II study. The independent data and safety monitoring committee (iDSMC) recommended continuing the OVAL trial as planned. No new safety signals were identified.


Assuntos
Terapia Genética/métodos , Neoplasias Ovarianas/terapia , Paclitaxel/administração & dosagem , Adenoviridae/genética , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Indutores da Angiogênese/administração & dosagem , Terapia Combinada , Método Duplo-Cego , Esquema de Medicação , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias Ovarianas/tratamento farmacológico , Receptores Tipo I de Fatores de Necrose Tumoral/genética , Transgenes , Receptor fas/genética
13.
Eur J Nutr ; 60(1): 65-77, 2021 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32185478

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Studies of the association between maternal nutrition and birth outcomes have investigated differing nutrients, maternal socioeconomic conditions, and timing within the reproductive cycle; and have produced inconsistent results. We evaluated the association of preconceptional maternal dietary intake with birth outcomes among low socioeconomic status ethnic minority women in a high-income country. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, habitual preconceptional dietary intake was assessed among pregnant Bedouin Arab women in Israel (n = 384), using a short culturally specific, targeted food frequency questionnaire. Multiple nutrients (protein, lysine, calcium, iron, zinc, folate, omega-3 fatty acids) were evaluated simultaneously via a diet quality score derived from principal component analysis. Multivariable logistic regression was used to test associations between the diet quality score and a composite adverse birth outcomes variable, including preterm birth, low birth weight and small for gestational age. RESULTS: Sixty-nine women (18%) had adverse birth outcomes. Women with low preconceptional diet quality scores had low intakes of nutrient-rich plant foods, bioavailable micronutrients, and complete proteins. In multivariable analysis, a woman at the 10th percentile of the diet quality score had a 2.97 higher odds (95% CI 1.28-6.86) of an adverse birth outcome than a woman at the 90th percentile. CONCLUSION: Low diet quality during the preconceptional period was associated with adverse birth outcomes among low socioeconomic status minority women in a high-income country. The results have implications for the development of appropriate intervention strategies to prevent adverse birth outcomes, and the promotion of adequate nutrition throughout the child-bearing years.


Assuntos
Nascimento Prematuro , Peso ao Nascer , Dieta , Etnicidade , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Grupos Minoritários , Gravidez , Nascimento Prematuro/epidemiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Classe Social
16.
Stat Med ; 39(16): 2232-2263, 2020 07 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32246531

RESUMO

We continue our review of issues related to measurement error and misclassification in epidemiology. We further describe methods of adjusting for biased estimation caused by measurement error in continuous covariates, covering likelihood methods, Bayesian methods, moment reconstruction, moment-adjusted imputation, and multiple imputation. We then describe which methods can also be used with misclassification of categorical covariates. Methods of adjusting estimation of distributions of continuous variables for measurement error are then reviewed. Illustrative examples are provided throughout these sections. We provide lists of available software for implementing these methods and also provide the code for implementing our examples in the Supporting Information. Next, we present several advanced topics, including data subject to both classical and Berkson error, modeling continuous exposures with measurement error, and categorical exposures with misclassification in the same model, variable selection when some of the variables are measured with error, adjusting analyses or design for error in an outcome variable, and categorizing continuous variables measured with error. Finally, we provide some advice for the often met situations where variables are known to be measured with substantial error, but there is only an external reference standard or partial (or no) information about the type or magnitude of the error.


Assuntos
Teorema de Bayes , Viés , Humanos
17.
Stat Med ; 39(16): 2197-2231, 2020 07 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32246539

RESUMO

Measurement error and misclassification of variables frequently occur in epidemiology and involve variables important to public health. Their presence can impact strongly on results of statistical analyses involving such variables. However, investigators commonly fail to pay attention to biases resulting from such mismeasurement. We provide, in two parts, an overview of the types of error that occur, their impacts on analytic results, and statistical methods to mitigate the biases that they cause. In this first part, we review different types of measurement error and misclassification, emphasizing the classical, linear, and Berkson models, and on the concepts of nondifferential and differential error. We describe the impacts of these types of error in covariates and in outcome variables on various analyses, including estimation and testing in regression models and estimating distributions. We outline types of ancillary studies required to provide information about such errors and discuss the implications of covariate measurement error for study design. Methods for ascertaining sample size requirements are outlined, both for ancillary studies designed to provide information about measurement error and for main studies where the exposure of interest is measured with error. We describe two of the simpler methods, regression calibration and simulation extrapolation (SIMEX), that adjust for bias in regression coefficients caused by measurement error in continuous covariates, and illustrate their use through examples drawn from the Observing Protein and Energy (OPEN) dietary validation study. Finally, we review software available for implementing these methods. The second part of the article deals with more advanced topics.


Assuntos
Modelos Estatísticos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Viés , Calibragem , Causalidade , Simulação por Computador , Humanos
18.
Am J Epidemiol ; 188(10): 1794-1800, 2019 10 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31269196

RESUMO

There is conflicting evidence regarding the association between metformin use and cancer risk in diabetic patients. During 2002-2012, we followed a cohort of 315,890 persons aged 21-87 years with incident diabetes who were insured by the largest health maintenance organization in Israel. We used a discrete form of weighted cumulative metformin exposure to evaluate the association of metformin with cancer incidence. This was implemented in a time-dependent covariate Cox model, adjusting for treatment with other glucose-lowering medications, as well as age, sex, ethnic background, socioeconomic status, smoking (for bladder and lung cancer), and parity (for breast cancer). We excluded from the analysis metformin exposure during the year before cancer diagnosis in order to minimize reverse causation of cancer on changes in medication use. Estimated hazard ratios associated with exposure to 1 defined daily dose of metformin over the previous 2-7 years were 0.98 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.82, 1.18) for all-sites cancer (excluding prostate and pancreas), 1.05 (95% CI: 0.67, 1.63) for colon cancer, 0.98 (95% CI: 0.49, 1.97) for bladder cancer, 1.02 (95% CI: 0.59, 1.78) for lung cancer, and 0.88 (95% CI: 0.56, 1.39) for female breast cancer. Our results do not support an association between metformin treatment and the incidence of major cancers (excluding prostate and pancreas).


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Hipoglicemiantes/efeitos adversos , Metformina/efeitos adversos , Neoplasias/induzido quimicamente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Hipoglicemiantes/uso terapêutico , Incidência , Israel/epidemiologia , Masculino , Metformina/uso terapêutico , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Adulto Jovem
19.
Biometrics ; 75(3): 927-937, 2019 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30724332

RESUMO

In lifestyle intervention trials, where the goal is to change a participant's weight or modify their eating behavior, self-reported diet is a longitudinal outcome variable that is subject to measurement error. We propose a statistical framework for correcting for measurement error in longitudinal self-reported dietary data by combining intervention data with auxiliary data from an external biomarker validation study where both self-reported and recovery biomarkers of dietary intake are available. In this setting, dietary intake measured without error in the intervention trial is missing data and multiple imputation is used to fill in the missing measurements. Since most validation studies are cross-sectional, they do not contain information on whether the nature of the measurement error changes over time or differs between treatment and control groups. We use sensitivity analyses to address the influence of these unverifiable assumptions involving the measurement error process and how they affect inferences regarding the effect of treatment. We apply our methods to self-reported sodium intake from the PREMIER study, a multi-component lifestyle intervention trial.


Assuntos
Viés , Dieta/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Longitudinais , Modelos Estatísticos , Dados de Saúde Gerados pelo Paciente/normas , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Biomarcadores , Ingestão de Alimentos , Humanos , Sódio/administração & dosagem
20.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 197(12): 1565-1574, 2018 Jun 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29494211

RESUMO

Rationale: The efficacy of disease management programs in the treatment of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remains uncertain.Objectives: To study the effect of disease management (DM) added to recommended care (RC) in ambulatory patients with COPD.Measurements and Main Results: In this trial, 1,202 patients with COPD (age, ≥40 yr), with moderate to very severe airflow limitation were randomly assigned either to DM plus RC (study intervention) or to RC alone (control intervention). RC included follow-up by pulmonologists, inhaled long-acting bronchodilators and corticosteroids, smoking cessation intervention, nutritional advice and psychosocial support when indicated, and supervised physical activity sessions. DM, delivered by trained nurses during patients' visits to the designated COPD centers and by remote contacts with the patients between these visits, included patient self-care education, monitoring patients' symptoms and adherence to treatment, provision of advice in case of acute disease exacerbation, and coordination of care vis-à-vis other healthcare providers. The primary composite endpoint was first hospital admission for respiratory symptoms or death from any cause. During 3,537 patient-years, 284 patients (47.2%) in the control group and 264 (44.0%) in the study intervention group had a primary endpoint event. The median (range) time elapsed until a primary endpoint event was 1.0 (0-4.0) years among patients assigned to the study intervention and 1.1 (0-4.1) years among patients assigned to the control intervention; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.92 (95% confidence interval, 0.77-1.08).Conclusions: DM added to RC was not superior to RC alone in delaying first hospital admission or death among ambulatory patients with COPD.

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