Thirty-six years of butterfly monitoring, snow cover, and plant productivity reveal negative impacts of warmer winters and increased productivity on montane species.

Climate change is contributing to declines of insects through rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and an increasing frequency of extreme events. The impacts of both gradual and sudden shifts in weather patterns are realized directly on insect physiology and indirectly through impacts on other trophic levels. Here, we investigated direct effects of seasonal weather on butterfly occurrences and indirect effects mediated by plant productivity using a temporally intensive butterfly monitoring dataset, in combination with high-resolution climate data and a remotely sensed indicator of plant primary productivity. Specifically, we used Bayesian hierarchical path analysis to quantify relationships between weather and weather-driven plant productivity on the occurrence of 94 butterfly species from three localities distributed across an elevational gradient. We found that snow pack exerted a strong direct positive effect on butterfly occurrence and that low snow pack was the primary driver of reductions during drought. Additionally, we found that plant primary productivity had a consistently negative effect on butterfly occurrence. These results highlight mechanisms of weather-driven declines in insect populations and the nuances of climate change effects involving snow melt, which have implications for ecological theories linking topographic complexity to ecological resilience in montane systems.

Insects and recent climate change.

Insects have diversified through more than 450 million y of Earth's changeable climate, yet rapidly shifting patterns of temperature and precipitation now pose novel challenges as they combine with decades of other anthropogenic stressors including the conversion and degradation of land. Here, we consider how insects are responding to recent climate change while summarizing the literature on long-term monitoring of insect populations in the context of climatic fluctuations. Results to date suggest that climate change impacts on insects have the potential to be considerable, even when compared with changes in land use. The importance of climate is illustrated with a case study from the butterflies of Northern California, where we find that population declines have been severe in high-elevation areas removed from the most immediate effects of habitat loss. These results shed light on the complexity of montane-adapted insects responding to changing abiotic conditions. We also consider methodological issues that would improve syntheses of results across long-term insect datasets and highlight directions for future empirical work.

Additive and interactive effects of anthropogenic stressors on an insect herbivore.

The pressures of global change acting on wild plants and animals include exposure to environmental toxins, the introduction of non-native species, and climate change. Relatively few studies have been reported in which these three main classes of stressors have been examined simultaneously, allowing for the possibility of synergistic effects in an experimental context. In this study, we exposed caterpillars of the Melissa blue butterfly (Lycaeides melissa) to three concentrations of chlorantraniliprole, under three experimental climates, on a diet of a native or a non-native host plant throughout larval development in a fully factorial experiment. We find that high pesticide exposure and a non-native diet exhibit strong negative effects on caterpillars, resulting in 62% and 42% reduction in survival, respectively, while interactive effects tend to be weaker, ranging from 15% to 22% reduction in survival. Interactive effects have been shown to be strong in other contexts, but do not appear to be universal; however, our study shows that the cumulative effects of stressors acting in isolation (additively) are sufficiently strong to severely reduce survival and by extension population persistence in the wild.